Newsgroup: it.cultura.militare
Titolo: Top Neocons Call for US to Invade Pakistan

Top Neocons Call for US to Invade Pakistan
US military strike on Pakistan advocated
* Analysts say likely dangers include collapse of Pakistan govt 
* Propose Special Forces operation to prevent nukes from falling into
wrong hands 
* Suggest supporting army
By Khalid Hasan
WASHINGTON: Two experts have proposed that the US should take pre-emptive
action to secure Pakistan’s nuclear weapons before they fall into the
wrong hands.
Frederick Kagan of the right-wing American Enterprise Institute and
Michael O’Hanlon of the more liberal Brookings Institution argue in an
article published in the New York Times on Sunday that the US simply
cannot stand by as a nuclear-armed Pakistan descended into the abyss. Nor
would it be strategically prudent to withdraw US forces from an improving
situation in Iraq to cope with a deteriorating one in Pakistan. While
Pakistan’s officer corps and ruling elites remain largely moderate and
more interested in building a strong, modern state, the same was true of
Iran on the eve of the Islamic revolution. Pakistan’s intelligence
services, the two writers maintain, contain enough sympathisers and
supporters of the Afghan Taliban, and enough nationalists bent on seizing
Kashmir from India, that there are grounds for real worries.
Complete collapse: The likely dangers include the complete collapse of
Pakistani government rule that allows an extreme Islamist movement to fill
the vacuum, a total loss of federal control over outlying provinces, or a
struggle within the Pakistani military in which the minority sympathetic
to the Taliban and Al Qaeda tries to establish Pakistan as a state sponsor
of terrorism.
While admitting that all possible military initiatives to avoid those
possibilities are daunting, given Pakistan’s size and complexity and the
scanty US knowledge about the location of its nuclear weapons, the US
would have to act before a complete government collapse, and for that it
would need the cooperation of “moderate Pakistani forces”.
Possible plan: One possible plan would be a Special Forces operation with
the limited goal of preventing Pakistan’s nuclear materials and warheads
from getting into the wrong hands. Given the degree to which Pakistani
nationalists cherish these assets, it is unlikely the United States would
get permission to destroy them. Somehow, American forces would have to
team with Pakistanis to secure critical sites and possibly to move the
material to a safer place. For the United States, the safest bet would be
shipping the material to someplace like New Mexico, but even pro-American
Pakistanis would be unlikely to cooperate. It would be better for the US
to settle for establishing a remote redoubt within Pakistan, with the
nuclear technology guarded by elite Pakistani forces backed up and watched
over by crack international troops. It is realistic to think that such a
mission might be undertaken within days of a decision to act. The price
for rapid action and secrecy, however, would probably be a very small
international coalition.
Support army: Kagan and O’Hanlon suggest that a broader option would
involve supporting the core of the Pakistani armed forces as they sought
to hold the country together in the face of an ineffective government,
seceding border regions and Al Qaeda and Taliban assassination attempts
against the leadership. This would require a sizeable combat force from
the US, other Western powers and moderate Muslim nations. Since the
decline of the Pakistani state is likely to be gradual, it will give the
US time to act, they argue. “The most likely directive would be to help
Pakistan’s military and security forces hold the country’s center -
primarily the region around the capital, Islamabad, and the populous areas
like Punjab to its south ... If a holding operation in the nation’s centre
was successful, the foreign forces would then seek to establish order in
the parts of Pakistan where extremists operate. Beyond propping up the
state, this would benefit American efforts in Afghanistan by depriving
terrorists of the sanctuaries they have long enjoyed in Pakistan’s tribal
and frontier regions ... There was a time when volatility in places like
Pakistan was mostly a humanitarian worry — today it is as much a threat to
our basic security as Soviet tanks once were.”
-- 
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 wrong hands
In effetti si tratta di uno scenario da incubo. Altro che Iran!
MG

 
tra il dire e il fare c'è di mezzo il mare.

 ha scritto nel messaggio 
news:c1f2466c-59f1-423f...@l1g2000hsa.googlegroups.com...

Se davvero il Pakistan collassasse, i primi a arrivare, e quelli più 
interessati a mettere in sicurezza de armi nucleari, sarebbero gli Indiani.
Che poi la messa in sicurezza delle bombe sarebbe anche un eccellente 
pretesto per regolare un sacco di vecchi conti in sospeso... quella è 
un'altra storia!
Carlo "Jurassic Park" 

 ha scritto nel messaggionews:c1f2466c-59f1-423f...@l1g2000hsa.googlegroups.com...

Non credo che gli USA lascerebbero mani libere agli Indiani in
Pakistan.
MG

 Pakistan.
Non si tratta tanto di lasciar le mani libere... in un vuoto di potere gli 
Indiani dovrebbero sicuramente intervenire, per tutelare la loro propria 
sicurezza nazionale. Per gli U.S.A. sarebbe molto meglio collaborare con 
loro piuttosto che cacciarsi in un altro ginepraio da soli.
Carlo "Jurassic Park"

Jurassic Park ha scritto:

sei un imbecille. tipico generaletto da tastiera...
Come se il pakistan non avesse un esercito e milioni di integralisti 
pronti a farsi saltare. Non invadono l'iran perchè non ce la fanno 
(vorrei ben dire) adesso si mettono in guerra con il pakistan.

 sei un imbecille. tipico generaletto da tastiera...
Sciò, cretino!
Carlo "Jurassic Park"

 sei un imbecille. tipico generaletto da tastiera...
quoto.

 quoto.
Dio li fa e poi li accoppia.
Carlo "Jurassic Park"