Newsgroup: it.politica
Titolo: Bielorussia, nazione canaglia dove frodano al voto

La Bielorussia non ha fatto nessun lockdown, o arresti domiciliari, o 
chiusura delle attivita' economiche, o delle attivita' sportive, o 
repressione violenta di chi cammina per strada.
Ha una popolazione di circa 10 milioni, e ha avuto 1250 morti da virus 
nel 2020.
Se rapportiamo ha avuto un decimo dei morti dell'italia di Giuseppi la 
Latrina.
 
Most European governments instituted the shutdown of economies, 
restrictions on freedom of movement and other policies known as 
lockdown. This was allegedly in response to the spread of Sars-Cov-2, a 
dangerous respiratory virus that originated in Wuhan, China.
 
Few countries rejected this approach; Sweden is the most well known of 
these. However, a more interesting case of dissent from the official 
narrative is Belarus and its leader Aleksandr Lukashenka.
 
This article will outline Lukashenka’s approach to the alleged 
pandemic, followed by an analysis of death figures and how the 
Belarussian case exposes the lies of lockdown advocates.
 
THE BELARUSSIAN APPROACH TO COVID 19
The alleged pandemic broke out in Europe in March 2020, and most 
European governments followed the severe strategy of imposing 
lockdowns. Lukashenka’s response was much more limited. A Belarussian 
press release from the 25th March talks about the quarantines set up 
for people who enter Belarus:
 
Quarantine stations were set up at all the points of entry. Screening 
measures include temperature checks. This system of control really 
works, [healthcare minister] Vladimir Karanik noted. This helped 
identify symptoms of a viral infection in more than 250 people, however 
the absolute majority of them had influenza, parainfluenza, and 
adenovirus. If a person tests positive for coronavirus, healthcare 
workers put their contacts under medical observation. “Such a targeted 
approach helps curb the spread of the virus,” the minister said.”
 
Lukashenka also advocated staying at home if one has symptoms of the 
virus. He also famously made some comments – reported widely in the 
Western media – giving health advice:
 
I am teetotal, but in recent times I say jokingly, that it is necessary 
to not only wash hands with vodka, but probably that [consuming] 40-50 
grams of a measure of clean spirit a day – [can] “poison” [in commas in 
original text] this virus. But not at work.” He then says that “Today, 
go to the sauna. But if [you go] two-three times a week that is even 
healthier. The Chinese have told us that this virus cannot withstand 
temperatures of 60 degrees”.
 
Overall, the Belarussian approach has been the least authoritarian in 
Europe. Belarussian football went ahead as normal and fans were allowed 
to continue attending games. Theatres, cafes and other social events 
continued and there was no shutdown of the economy. Victory Day Parades 
also went ahead on the 9th May despite being cancelled in countries 
such as Russia. Neither did Lukashenka delay scheduled elections, 
unlike Jacinda Ardern of New Zealand.
 
Western media treated Lukashenka’s approach as a laughable curiosity 
(in cases where they did not ignore it entirely). They mocked 
Lukashenka’s comments about vodka and saunas, using this was a way to 
avoid asking any deeper questions.
 
According to the official narrative, Belarus should have been a zone of 
death, destruction and disaster. Neil Ferguson’s modelling – one of the 
key pieces of propaganda used to put Britain in lockdown – predicted 
that left unchecked Covid 19 would kill between 54,090 and 71,616 
Belarussians.
 
So what are the facts?
 
COVID DEATHS AND BELARUS
The population of Belarus is around 9.5million. Of this population, as 
of December 12, 2020, a total of 1,263 deaths are recorded as being 
from Covid 19. It appears the first death in Belarus attributed to this 
disease was Mar 31, with between 2 and 11 deaths recorded each day up 
until Dec.12.
 
It goes without saying that 1,263 deaths out of a population of 9.5m is 
minuscule and hardly indicative of a deadly pandemic sweeping the 
country. But critics of the Belarussian approach may claim that 
Lukashenka is hiding the reality of Covid 19 deaths in the country.
 
The most logical way to examine this question is to look at whether 
there are any excess deaths in Belarus in general over this period, and 
if so, how many. Of course, just because there were excess deaths would 
not prove that the deaths were caused – or otherwise – by hidden cases 
of Covid 19. But a relatively low number of excess deaths would reveal 
that the claim that Lukashenka is hiding mass deaths from Covid 19 is 
not plausible.
 
According to the data, there were some excess deaths in Belarus in the 
second quarter of 2020 (April, May and June). 35,858 died in Belarus 
during this period, 5606 higher than in 2019. Examining the data, we 
can see that the vast majority of these excess deaths were in June, 
with virtually none in April and a small excess in May.
 
This figure is rather small compared with the predictions of doom and 
destruction put forward by the likes of Neil Ferguson.
 
BELARUS VS ENGLAND AND WALES
A comparison with another country that did pursue lockdowns gives 
further evidence that the scaremongering predictions regarding the 
consequences of not locking down are unfounded.
 
This analysis was performed by taking the number of excess deaths for 
Belarus and then calculating the same figures for England and Wales 
from the weekly death data from 2019 and 2020. Belarus had 5605 excess 
deaths in April, May and June 2020 from a population of 9.5 million. 
England and Wales had 54,798 excess deaths in the same period from a 
population of 59.5 million.
 
The population of England and Wales is 6.26 times larger than that of 
Belarus, so dividing the 54,798 figure by 6.26 gives a result of 8754. 
If Belarus had the same excess death rate as England and Wales another 
3,149 deaths in Belarus would have been observed. Or to phrase this 
data another way, if England and Wales had the same excess death rate 
as Belarus, there would have been 19,711 fewer deaths over the period.
 
The BMJ’s article on Belarus: Saving the Case for Lockdowns?
 
This evidence looks damning for lockdown supporters. However, there is 
one attempt to explain the low Belarus death rate despite the fact that 
there was no lockdown there, printed in the British Medical Journal. 
The article puts forward four reasons why Belarus has a low death rate, 
some of which offer comparative data with the UK.
 
The first reason given in the article is that Belarus has a much higher 
amount of beds per capita – 11 per 1000 as opposed to the UK’s 2.5 per 
1000.
 
Health services generally strike a balance between having enough beds 
available to deal with a crisis, and not so many that money is being 
wasted on unnecessary beds. The argument can be made that the NHS gets 
the balance wrong and leans towards having too few beds per capita. For 
example, the UK had a large number of flu cases in the 2017-2018 season 
with hospitals having high bed occupancy rates.
 
However, bed occupancy in the UK significantly decreased due to the 
lockdowns and NHS policy of discharging as many patients as possible. 
On the 13th April, a few weeks into lockdown, acute beds were 40% 
unoccupied. This hardly suggests a health service that would have been 
totally overwhelmed had it not locked down (for comparison, NHS beds 
are usually 90% full). It may actually have been the case that the 
lockdown cost lives by cancelling treatment, expelling people from 
hospitals and promoting a fear based message that discouraged people 
from seeking treatment.
 
Another main argument of the article is that Belarus has a small number 
of elderly people in care homes (it has 203 per 100,000, as opposed to 
the UK 854 per 100,000). It is true that a respiratory pathogen will 
find it easier to spread in an environment like a care home because of 
the close proximity of vulnerable individuals. It is also true that the 
UK had a large number of care home deaths during this period.
 
However, the UK government policy towards care homes likely contributed 
at least some of the excess deaths caused during this period. People in 
care homes were routinely denied hospital treatment and were unable to 
get access to GPs. The lack of visits by family caused many elderly 
patients to mentally give up and their condition deteriorated. Any 
deaths that resulted from this, therefore, cannot be attributed to a 
virus but government policy.
 
The argument also fails as a motivation for lockdowns. If the majority 
of deaths are in the fairly contained environment such as a care home, 
locking down the whole society, such as closing shops and sports 
events, is going to have no effect on transmission within that 
environment.
 
Two other reasons given in the article – the better Belarussian testing 
system, and the lack of interest in Belarus as a travel destination – 
also do not have any bearings on whether lockdowns are an effective 
strategy.
 
There is no evidence of people with a positive test but no symptoms 
being infectious. It follows that testing more people isn’t going to 
lead to fewer deaths, so this cannot explain the low Belarus death rate 
without a lockdown. Belarus did carry out quarantine measures, whereas 
the UK continued to allow flights into the country.
 
The piece argues that it is easier for Belarus (than the UK) to close 
its borders because it is not a major travel destination, which is 
true, but it can’t seriously be argued that setting up quarantine 
measures costs more than shutting down the entire country. Once any 
hypothetical virus is also present in a country in significant numbers 
quarantine also becomes irrelevant.
 
CONCLUSION
The Belarussian case is a significant problem for those individuals who 
argue that lockdowns were necessary to prevent mass deaths from the 
deadly Covid 19 pandemic. The limited measures taken in Belarus meant a 
lower death rate than lockdown supporting England and Wales. There are 
also no clear arguments as to why Belarus is so unique it could go 
without lockdowns while other countries had them.
 
Given the cost to the economy and mental wellbeing of imposing 
lockdowns, as well as the draconian restrictions on basic liberties, 
these facts strongly suggest that leaders that did impose lockdowns 
have a case to answer from their citizens.
 
-- 
 
Sauron vi spia, staccate il router


E andiamo a vedere il cesso lucente della Bielorussia. :-)
 
Forse la popolazione bielorussa usa i sistemi consigliati dal suo 
Presidente?
Se è così, e se davvero funziona, lo scienziato Likascemo meriterebbe 
il nobel della medicina... :-)
 
Il presidente della Bielorussia Aleksandr Lukashenko, aveva dato 
consigli in televisione, sui metodi da adottare per non contrarre il 
Coronavirus: “Bisogna ammazzare il virus con la vodka, bere 40-50 
millilitri al giorno –ma non al lavoro- e fare due, tre volte alla 
settimana la sauna.” :D
 
Ha funzionato?
Ovviamente il Lukascemo si è beccato il coronavirus... :-)
 
E la situazione del contagio da Covid-19 in Bielorussia  è più 
drammatica di quanto è venuto alla luce fin ora, perchè in Bielorussia 
si nasconde tutto, non esiste democrazia, e le notizie filtrano grazie 
ai racconti drammatici della popolazione. A lanciare l'allarme  è 
Massimo Bonfatti, il presidente di Mondo in Cammino, l'organizzazione 
di volontariato che da molteplici anni opera sul territorio Ucraino e 
Bielorusso per aiutare le vittime di Chernobyl:
 
- ..."da siti web e community indipendenti, da blogger locali, da video 
trasmessi dai propri cellulari via whatsapp e viber (che riprendono 
ambulanze con personale bardato di tutto punto portare via i propri 
vicini), il  recentissimo appello video realizzato autonomamente da 25 
medici bielorussi di varie specializzazioni in cui, preoccupati per la 
situazione del loro paese, impartiscono le raccomandazioni alla 
popolazione".
 
-... "La situazione è particolarmente grave a Vitebsk, ormai definita 
“la Bergamo bielorussa”: diversi medici e infermieri sono stati 
infettati dall'arrivo di centinaia di pazienti con problemi polmonari 
e, almeno una dozzina, sono morti.
 
-...Non va meglio in tutte le altri maggiori città della Bielorussia 
(Gomel, Mogilev Minsk, Grodno e, per ultimo, Brest), ma anche in realtà 
più piccole”, si legge nella nota.
 
-... “La mancanza di misure di contenimento (come la quarantena per 
tutto il paese), il fatto che la gente possa viaggiare liberamente, che 
i mezzi di trasporto privati e pubblici siano circolanti senza 
limitazioni e confini, che tutti i negozi e i mercati possano rimanere 
aperti (quelli chiusi lo sono per iniziativa individuale), che il 
campionato di calcio sia in corso (nonostante l'opposizione di diversi 
tifosi), è fonte di grave preoccupazione.
 
-... Ma ci sono molti altri bielorussi che non capiscono la gravità 
della situazione, fuorviati dalle rassicurazioni governative (è 
sufficiente respirare all'aria aperta, praticare sport e mangiare cibi 
grassi che fanno bene ai polmoni); :-)
 
-...fuorviati dalle diagnosi assegnate alle ormai migliaia di persone 
ricoverate per problemi polmonari: le diagnosi sono liquidate come 
semplici polmoniti, al massimo influenza suina. :-)
 
https://www.iltempo.it/esteri/2020/04/04/news/coronavirus-bielorussia-verita-contagi-paese-aleksandr-lukashenko-morti-contagi-1309061/
 
 
https://www.agi.it/dar01/news/2020-03-28/coronavirus-bielorussia-negazionismo-7948866/
 
 
Meditate, gente, meditate.

Sembra che Il gollum abbia detto :

Oggi gli USA con 3 presidenti assassinati e vari famosi brogli, 
stracceranno Bielorussia e Venenzuela.
 
Il paese piu' corrotto al mondo.
