Newsgroup: it.politica.internazionale
Titolo: Edward Luttwak: Putin's unhindered advance won't go unnoticed in China

velatamente Luttwak fa capire che vorrebbe che Obama si dimettesse...
 
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http://asia.nikkei.com/Viewpoints/Geopolitico/Edward-Luttwak-Putin-s-unhindered-advance-won-t-go-unnoticed-in-China
 
 
March 16, 2014 1:00 pm JST
Edward Luttwak: Putin's unhindered advance won't go unnoticed in China
EDWARD N. LUTTWAK
China is claiming hundreds of islands and reefs, along with millions of 
square kilometers of ocean, from Japan, the Philippines, Malaysia and 
Vietnam. It also claims most of the Indian state of Arunachal Pradesh. 
For the countries resisting Chinese demands, events in Ukraine cannot be 
reassuring. It is already clear that Russian President Vladimir Putin 
will achieve his aim of changing the borders -- and will not be 
satisfied with just the region of Crimea.
 
Putin's plan is to separate all the territory east of the Dnieper River 
into a new state, "Novy Russia," that could become the Russian 
Federation's 22nd republic. This territory on the east bank of the 
Dnieper is many times larger than the Transnistria ministate Russia 
seized from the Republic of Moldova. Transnistria is also separated from 
Russia proper, while Novy Russia would seamlessly extend Russian 
territory down to the Black Sea, including Crimea.
 
      Given the advance warning -- all the detailed planning, down to 
the design of a Novy Russia flag, could not be kept secret -- the 
failure to anticipate Putin's move or at least react effectively is very 
disappointing. First came the empty words: European prime ministers all 
seemed to use the same speechwriter, because they all said the seizure 
of Crimea was "unacceptable." Then, by ruling out any counter-move, they 
made it clear they would, in fact, accept it.
 
      Carl Bildt, Sweden's foreign minister, tweeted his opposition to 
Russia's actions. One doubts the tweet terrified Putin.
 
      The truth is that these days, only Germany counts in Europe, and 
Chancellor Angela Merkel has no intention of imposing economic sanctions 
on Russia.
 
      U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry did not do any better, 
resorting to the childish playground threat of not inviting Putin to the 
next G-8 meeting -- soon to be the G-7, perhaps.
 
      President Barack Obama, for his part, had a long telephone 
conversation with Putin -- at the end of which the Russian president 
issued a pair of noes: no, he would not withdraw from Crimea, and no, he 
would not accept the removal of his favorite Ukrainian president by the 
Kiev mob.
 
Off-duty "policeman"
 
It is obvious by now that Obama is tired and disappointed. If he were a 
British or Japanese prime minister, his colleagues would vote him out, 
allowing him to rest. But in the U.S. system he must serve out his full 
four years, as if it were a prison sentence.
 
      Obama particularly dislikes having to deal with foreigners -- he 
cannot even be persuaded to travel to the Indonesia of his childhood, or 
to Kenya, where he has family. He is even less willing to take risks to 
assert American power on the global scene. "We are not the world's 
policeman" seems to be his favorite phrase.
 
In 2008, when Russian tanks were advancing in Georgia to remove 
then-President Mikheil Saakashvili, the U.S. was much more tied down in 
Iraq and Afghanistan. Still, George W. Bush did not telephone Moscow. He 
sent an American warship to the Black Sea -- his better way of saying 
"stop."
 
      What does all this mean for China's neighbors?
 
      The Russians have a huge advantage in Ukraine that China cannot 
match. East of the Dnieper, there are many ethnic Russians, and numerous 
Russian-speaking Ukrainians who see their future with Moscow. In many 
cases, they or their sons work in Russia. They have little in common 
with the Kiev activists, many of whom hail from the anti-Russia Western 
Ukraine. Putin can therefore invoke the principle of national 
self-determination to legitimize Novy Russia. How could the world object 
if the people vote for the change?
 
      China will not find separatists on the Senkakus or the reefs of 
the South China Sea. But Beijing might be tempted to act anyway -- 
before the usual cycle of American politics replaces Obama with an 
activist president.
 
Edward N. Luttwak is a senior associate for the Center for Strategic and 
International Studies. He has served in the U.S. as a consultant to the 
Office of the Secretary of Defense, the National Security Council, the 
U.S. Department of State, the U.S. Army, Navy and Air Force. He has also 
advised a number of allied governments as well as international 
corporations and financial institutions.

 
 
La nuova strategia della Nato.
 
Divide Cina e Russia, si vede gia' nei film.
 
Solita pena.

 Solita pena.
 
Ahem. Non so se dalle tue parti č arrivata notizia ma Russia e Cina sono 
divise da qualche secolo di storia.
 
--
dhcmrlchtdj
--
"Ho sempre notato con interesse che i profitti possono assumere un volto 
filantropico"
J.Steinbeck - L'inverno del nostro scontento 
 

 
Pensavo che Luttwak fosse ormai fuori dal gioco, invece lo vedo bello pimpante. Esiste una mappa di Novy Russia? Ora guardo su Google

 
'Velatamente Luttwak' LOL - dice esplicitamente che Obama, al contrario dei PM europei e' incatenato alla poltrona per 4 anni.
 
Tu prendi i tuoi desideri per realta', dandoti in piu' delle arie. Ma quanto puoi essere fesso?

 
 
Storia?
 
Ma non era finita da un pezzo con Cazuto Yoko Ono?
 
Non mi dirai che la Crimea ha legami storici con Mosca?
 
Io e te forse leggiamo diversi libri di storia, tu leggi il readers digest.
Occhio e' pura merda, solo ex gladio possono leggerlo.
 

 'Velatamente Luttwak' LOL - dice esplicitamente che Obama, al contrario dei PM europei e' incatenato alla poltrona per 4 anni.
 
veramente ne mancano solo 2, e poi per lui è finita per sempre. La kulona invece potrebbe rimanere lì all'infinito...

 veramente ne mancano solo 2, e poi per lui è finita per sempre. 
 
se non sono `presidenti a vita` non ti piaciono eh.

Non mi dirai che la Crimea ha legami storici con Mosca?
 
Eh?


 
 
Non fare il furbo, la storia o la prendi tutta e la studi o e' meglio che la lasci stare.
Non e' un fumetto di Walt Disney.
 
Mai stato a Port Arthur?
 

 Mai stato a Port Arthur?
 
Non ci sono mai stato, ma mi spieghi come questa dimostrerebbe le buone 
relazioni tra Cina e Russia?



mah, più che altro con la questione ucraina i falchi americani vivono la 
presidenza Obama con sempre più insofferenza


dubito che tu abbia capacità di comprendonio:
 
"It is obvious by now that Obama is tired and disappointed. If he were a 
British or Japanese prime minister, his colleagues would vote him out, 
allowing him to rest. But in the U.S. system he must serve out his full 
four years, as if it were a prison sentence.
 
Obama particularly dislikes having to deal with foreigners -- he cannot 
even be persuaded to travel to the Indonesia of his childhood, or to 
Kenya, where he has family. He is even less willing to take risks to 
assert American power on the global scene. "We are not the world's 
policeman" seems to be his favorite phrase. "
 
e poi:
