Newsgroup: it.politica.internazionale
Titolo: Crisi economica e atteggiamento degli USA...

Il deprezzamento del dollaro guidato da Mr. Snow costituisce un atto grave
che vorrebbe puntare ad una rispresa americana a spese di Europa delle altre
potenze easportatrici (Cina e Giappone)... L'America dimostra di voler
comunque fare da sola anche a scapito di partners ed alleati.... Fino a che
punto i pifferai del legame transatlantico suoneranno le loro nenie alla
luce di quello che gli USA stanno combinando alle economie del resto del
mondo (con scarsi risultati per loro aggiungerei...)

 ha scritto nel messaggio
news:vQGza.237764$K35.5...@news2.tin.it...


 wrote in message
vQGza.237764$K35.5...@news2.tin.it...



Lo spero vivamente, ma comunque ciò non influisce sul fatto che il
deprezzamento del dollaro sia un atto ostile che viola i taciti accordi tra
le potenze economiche che riguardano la globalizzazione ed il sistema
economico globale...


Questa è in inglese, ma è troppo bella: il rublo guadagna sul dollaro... non
è che forse Snow ha esagerato??
The ruble is becoming stronger
George Soros has recently placed the US dollar down at a near-all-time low.
This action on the part of the world-known financier has made financial
analysts talk something about which they have never talked before - a
serious split in the American political and economic elite. Soros is
basically known for his attack against the British pound sterling in 1992,
which made the British currency stop being a world currency.
It seems not to be possible to overcome the crisis of the American economy.
The Bush's administration is creating special conditions for companies that
are closely connected with White House personalities. As a result, the
financiers that support the US Democratic Party have been cast aside. This
definitely exacerbates the pre-election opposition. The only opportunity for
Democrats to make George W. Bush stumble and fall at the coming election is
to aggravate the economic situation in the States and to make the dollar go
down.
However, the US dollar has been a tool for saving money and deriving profit
throughout the whole world. Therefore, the reduction of the American
currency will ruin millions of people worldwide. This is especially
dangerous for Russia, since the dollar became the major currency in Russia
in 1991.
Russian financiers keep talking about the current situation with the US
dollar: how to keep savings, how to obtain profit from the difference of the
dollar and the euro. However, no one wants to say anything on what the
strengthening of the ruble means for the country and for the people. It has
already become evident that the Russian Federation-s Central Bank is not
capable of struggling with the objective tendencies of the world financial
market. The strengthening of the ruble is cutting into the profitability of
Russian exports, and people are losing their dollar savings.
The declining dollar allows political problems to be solved in the USA and
revives American exports. Therefore, one shall assume that the USA will not
try to maintain its national currency. American military power is always
capable of bringing the dollar back to its absolute status. That is why
there is no point in the Central Bank struggling to preserve the current
dollar rate against the ruble. Russian exports become less profitable, and
Russian companies and the budget suffer losses, not to mention the
population.
The Central Bank accumulates gold and currency reserves, which are placed
abroad, working for the economy of the USA and EU states. However, record
reserves make a very good trump card. In addition, a low dollar rate is very
good for Russia from the point of view of foreign debt. President Putin
pointed out in his address to the Federal Assembly that Russia's gold and
forex reserves had increased by 5.5 times during the years of his
presidency.
According to experts' estimates, the Russian Central Bank is repeating the
mistakes of South East Asian national banks that caused the Asian crisis in
1998 (and the default in Russia as well). The RBC news agency reports that
the official currency rate dropped from 31.38 to 31.10 rubles per dollar in
April of the current year - by 0.9 percent that is. The strengthening of the
real ruble rate against the dollar came to 2.2 percent (taking into account
consumer prices in Russia and in the States). The ruble gained 7.6 percent
against the dollar during the first four months of 2003.
The Central Bank is continuing its policy of revaluating the ruble against
the US dollar. There is too much foreign currency in Russia, and it is not
working. For the time being, the Russian Finance Ministry does not see
anything frightening about the strengthening of the Russian currency.
Ministerial officials say that the economic situation allegedly allows
gradually adapting to the strengthening of the ruble. However, the inflation
rate is about to get out of control. Deputy Finance Minister Aleksey
Ulyukayev believes that everything will be just fine if the ruble-s growth
against the dollar does not exceed a level of 10 percent. This official
mentioned a six or eight percent level before, though.
The Russky Focus news agency believes that if the growth of the real ruble
rate achieves the level that was mentioned by Aleksey Ylyukayev, the cost of
the American currency will return to the pre-crisis situation by the year
2005 - six rubles per one dollar.
In the meantime, the whole world keeps buying European, Canadian, Asian
currencies - any other currencies but the USD. Deutsche Bank, the largest
European bank on the forex market, has already recommended that its clients
get rid of the dollar and invest in the euro. Bank analysts say that the
euro rate vs. the dollar rate will go up to $1.20 per one euro as early as
September. The Bank also predicted that the dollar rate would drop down to
$1.40 per one euro within two years.
On the other hand, the fate of the European currency does not give too much
cause for optimism either. The European macroeconomic statistics do are not
encouraging to anyone. The surplus of the balance of trade in Europe dropped
down to 1.6 billion from 5.2 billion in March of the current year, according
to the Eurostat statistics agency. Moreover, the industrial output in Europe
dropped by 1.2 percent in March.
However, no one doubts now that the dollar will continue falling. There will
be no reason for its growth as long as the American government derives
profit from a weak USD.
  ????????: Akhtyam Akhtyrov/Pravda.ru

resto del mondo (con scarsi risultati per loro aggiungerei...)
E cosa combinano? :)  Costringono in qualche modo le banche del resto
del mondo a non svalutare le proprie monete quando troppo forti? :)
*LOL*
-Stefano

 wrote in message
3ECF6CDF...@interfree.it...


 
Non ti dispiace se passo tutti i tuoi post all'avvocato per vedere se
sussiste il reato di sostituzione di persona (oltra alla violazione
della privacy)? :)
-Stefano