Newsgroup: it.politica.internazionale
Titolo: smontare la leggenda demografica

http://www.ynet.co.il/english/articles/0,7340,L-3741798,00.html
What demographic problem?
As opposed to myth, Arab-Israelis do not constitute demographic threat
Yair Lapid
At times, we need to stop and rethink everything. Our entire history
is made up of people who were sure they knew the truth, yet forgot
that the truth has an annoying tendency to change on occasion without
us noticing it.
After all, only six years ago, President George W. Bush declared total
victory in Iraq; five years ago, Ariel Sharon declared that Gush Katif
will never be evacuated; only two years ago, we were sure that pure
capitalism won and America's economy will continue to flourish; only a
year ago, most experts explained that the US will never have a black
president; only two months ago, it was clear that Netanyahu will never
recognize the two-state vision.
This week, I will try to reexamine some truths that appear clear and
self-evident to us. This is not exact science, but it is an
opportunity to take another look at some things that looks obvious,
even though they are not.
Cliché #2: Arab-Israelis are our real demographic problem
No, they’re not.
Everyone is familiar with this myth, of course: We will withdraw from
the territories, and then discover that the Arabs residing within the
Green Line keep on having children, until they became the majority and
Ahmad Tibi becomes prime minister.
The rest of the story has to do with us on a boat, sadly observing the
distancing shoreline.
Aside from the blatant racism inherent in this story, the facts are
wholly different. For 10 years now, we have seen a consistent and
sharp decline in Arab-Israeli birthrates.
According to Central Bureau of Statistics figures, until 2000 the
birthrate among Arab women was 4.74 children per woman. Yet by 2007 it
was down to 3.9 children per woman (and if we take the Bedouins
residing in the Negev out of the equation, then the figure is down to
3.2 children per woman, which is very similar to the Jewish figure.)
What can you do; over time, even the Arabs around here adopt the
childbearing patterns of Ashkenazi Jews.
Yet during the same decade, we saw a moderate rise in the birthrates
of Jewish women. This rise is especially apparent among Jewish women
born in Israel. In 1995, these women gave birth to 2.8 children on
average. By 2005, the number was up to 3.14 children per woman.
To a certain extent, the demographic war around here pits two groups
against each other: The 1.47 million Arabs are faced by the roughly
800,000 ultra-Orthodox Jews, who boast birthrates of about 7 children
per woman. Grab a calculator and a ruler, and you’ll discover that
time works in our favor.
The only thing the other Jews need to do is to stand on the sidelines
and cheer on the ultra-Orthodox women residing in Bnei Brak.
Indeed, it is true that the ultra-Orthodox birthrate raises a series
of whole other issues, not all of them pleasant, yet this is a problem
amongst us Jews. As to the Arabs, we’ll be able to handle it.

Montandola come si deve e    *i  n  i  n  t  e  r  r  o  t  a  m  e  n  t 
e*,    sarebbe molto meglio invece!
Ma ci vogliono reni , palle e muscolature adatte Zana'...non e` robbbba per 
te! 

 wrote:
la demografia va bene solo quando ci sono da giustificare i coloni...

 la demografia va bene solo quando ci sono da giustificare i coloni...
secondo te Yair Lapid giusitifica i coloni???