Newsgroup: it.politica.internazionale
Titolo: MIDEAST:  Annapolis Could Fail Before it Begins

Mancano alcune condizioni fondamentali, mancano alcuni protagonisti essenziali, 
manca un chiaro impegno ad accettare le decisioni della conferenza, manca 
perfino una chiara idea su cosa trattare.
Ma allora perché si è voluto organizzare questo incontro?
---------------------------
MIDEAST:  Annapolis Could Fail Before it Begins
Analysis by Adam Morrow and Khaled Moussa al-Omrani
CAIRO, Nov 14 (IPS) - In the run-up to the upcoming U.S.-sponsored Middle East 
peace conference, Cairo has continued to express guarded optimism that talks 
will achieve their stated aim of restarting final status negotiations between 
Israeli and Palestinian leaders.
Independent observers, however, expect the event to yield little by way of 
concrete results, especially when it comes to establishment of a viable 
Palestinian state.
"Like all previous international peace talks, the event will only result in 
Israeli gains and the maintenance of Zionist supremacy in the region," Gamal 
Zahran, political science professor at Suez Canal University and independent 
member of parliament, told IPS.
The conference was initially proposed by U.S. President George W. Bush in July 
with the ostensible aim of restarting "serious negotiations towards the creation 
of a Palestinian state." Scheduled to convene later this year in the U.S. 
coastal city of Annapolis in Maryland, the event is expected to include 
participants from Israel, the Ramallah-based Palestinian Authority (PA) led by 
Mahmoud Abbas, and a number of other Arab states.
Representatives of Palestinian resistance faction Hamas, which wrested control 
of the Gaza Strip in mid-June, have not been invited to attend.
 From the outset, however, precise details about what issues would top the 
conference's agenda have remained vague.
Palestinian negotiators hope the talks will tackle longstanding Palestinian 
demands, including an Israeli withdrawal from Arab territories occupied in 1967, 
a "just solution" to the issue of Palestinian refugees, and the establishment of 
a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital. Israeli Prime Minister 
Ehud Olmert, however, has reassured more extreme members of his government 
coalition that the Annapolis talks would not address any "final status" issues.
Cairo, while supporting the summit in theory, has expressed reservations about 
the obvious lack of agreement vis-à-vis the event's agenda. On Aug. 25, 
President Hosni Mubarak stressed "the need for consensus on all outstanding 
issues...before the meeting is held."
Mohamed Basyouni, former Egyptian ambassador to Israel and head of the Shura 
Council's committee for Arab affairs, echoed the President's concerns.
"The summit needs serious preparation to succeed," Basyouni told IPS at the 
time. "A specific agenda must be set, we must know exactly who will attend, and 
a general consensus on the shape of the proposed Palestinian state must be reached."
In an effort to drum up support for the conference, U.S. Secretary of State 
Condoleezza Rice has paid several recent visits to Washington's Arab allies in 
the region. At an Oct. 16 press conference with Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmed 
Aboul-Gheit, Rice insisted that Israeli-Palestinian efforts to forge a common 
framework for negotiations had achieved a "certain momentum" despite several 
outstanding differences.
Aboul-Gheit, for his part, expressed guarded optimism, saying that the 
conference might achieve a breakthrough given "enough determination on the part 
of the U.S. administration."
Independent local observers, however, see little reason to be sanguine.
"Until now, talk about the conference has remained shrouded in confusion," Magdi 
Hussein, political analyst and secretary-general of the Socialist Labour Party, 
officially frozen since 2000, told IPS. "There does not appear to be any clear 
idea on how to make progress, nor does there appear to be any real desire for a 
breakthrough on the part of Israel."
Hussein went on to predict that the upcoming conference would amount to little 
other than "political theatre" by which Israel -- with the support of its U.S. 
patron -- stood to leverage diplomatic gains from the Arab world.
"By participating in this conference, Israel is hoping to achieve a degree of 
diplomatic normalisation with the Arab states without offering any concessions 
in return," said Hussein.
Arab capitals have historically used the lure of Arab recognition of Israel as a 
means of leveraging gains for the Palestinians. Along with Egypt, Jordan and 
Qatar currently represent the only members of the 22-nation Arab League to 
officially acknowledge the Jewish state.
Critics of the planned conference also point to the fact that, until now, even 
the guest list remains open to question. This is particularly the case with 
Syria, whose participation in the event remains uncertain.
While some Israeli leaders have called for Syrian representation at Annapolis, a 
number of Israeli parliamentarians continue to adamantly reject the notion. 
Damascus, for its part, has registered its refusal to take part unless the issue 
of the Golan Heights -- occupied by Israel since 1967 -- is on the agenda.
"How can the conference resolve anything when a major Arab party to the conflict 
like Syria, much of whose territory remains occupied by Israel, is excluded?" 
asked Zahran.
So far, even the precise date of the event remains undetermined. But as the 
talks draw closer, many Arab capitals -- even those close to Washington -- 
continue to warn of the potentially dire consequences of failure.
On Oct. 22, Mubarak cautioned that failure at Annapolis "would have serious 
repercussions for the Middle East and further afield." Quoted in Austrian daily 
Der Standard, Mubarak added that the region "can't bear another disappointment" 
on the Israeli-Palestinian peace track.
Amman, too, has expressed concern over the conference's shaky prospects. On Nov. 
4, Jordanian Foreign Minister Abdul-Ilah Khatib was quoted as saying that a 
breakdown at Annapolis could lead to the spread of "anarchy and extremism" in 
the region.
According to Zahran, continued deadlock at the conference would represent a 
"catastrophe" -- not least for Palestinian Authority President Abbas, "who 
desperately needs something positive" to justify his longstanding policy of 
accommodation with Israel. "If Annapolis turns into a mere photo opportunity for 
Rice, Bush and Olmert, Abbas' political fate will be sealed," said Zahran.
By the same token, Hussein believes that a failure at Annapolis would also 
translate into gains for Hamas, the isolation of which remains a primary policy 
goal for both Washington and Tel Aviv.
"Failure to achieve a breakthrough at the summit would represent a victory for 
Hamas," said Hussein. "Because that failure would vindicate the group's 
conviction that armed resistance, not negotiations, represents the only way to 
deal with Israel." (END/2007)

 Ma allora perché si è voluto organizzare questo incontro?
Perché potesse spiegarcelo quel pirla di persio.
Tb
-- 
Libertà per i comunisti siriani in carcere: Fateh Jamus, 'Isam Dimashqi,
Basel Hurani, 'Abd al-Halim Rumieh, Ratib Sha'bu, and Doha 'Ashur
al-'Askari 
http://snipurl.com/1oqtm

 Perché potesse spiegarcelo quel pirla di persio.
Bagarozzo?  Se non hai niente da dire perché non vai a dirlo da un'altra parte?

 parte?
Fascista e squadrista. Hai ppaura delle cose che rivelo su questo ng e per 
questo mi vuoi togliere la parola. Vergognati.


 per questo mi vuoi togliere la parola. 
Per carità, no.  Sei un prezioso strumento di propaganda antizelota.

 Per carità, no. Sei un prezioso str/cut/
Sono contento di averti fatto cambiare idea [cit].
Io invece non mi dispiaccio se te ne vai affanculo.


 Ma allora perché si è voluto organizzare questo incontro?
io lo so ma non te lo dico...

giovanni ha scritto:

Francamente a me non è chiaro.

 deal with Israel." (END/2007)
 Humour Bush until USA bleeds to death , then Israel will beg for
mercy
Bush is desperate to make a deal with the Muslim world before the USA
economy implodes and then the USA will have lost the upper hand and
leave the Muslims to set out the terms of settlement
Muslims all know the US economy is collapsing , so its OK to keep
talking a bit longer until the USA collapses completely and then
Israel will be swept away completely and all jews will be forced to
account for their war crimes in full
It wont be long now , Muslims only need to pretend to be amused until
the USA collapses completely , and then  they can set the terms of
USA and Israeli  unconditional surrender  and handing over of all war
criminals for trial by western taxpayers desperate to save something
for their childrens futures
kanga
====
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