Newsgroup: it.politica.internazionale
Titolo: Legittimo sospetto

Come mai gli Exit polls hanno previsto accuratamente i risulati nei
non-swing states (con una precisione minore della differenza di voto
nei swing states), mentre nei swing states hanno cannato alla
stragrande?
Proprio come nel 2000?
E se... gli exit polls avessero ragione?
http://www.commondreams.org/views04/1104-36.htm

 
http://www.commondreams.org/views04/1104-36.htm
dreams : appunto !
Dal Corsera
05 nov 18:21   Usa: risultati definitivi, Bush batte Kerry 286 a 252
WASHINGTON - Risultati definitivi delle elezioni presidenziali negli Stati 
Uniti. George W. Bush ha ottenuto 286 Grandi Elettori, lo sfidante 
democratico John Kerry 252. A Bush sono stati attribuiti gli ultimi due 
stati, Iowa e New Mexico. (Agr)

 E se... gli exit polls avessero ragione?
E se gli asini volassero? :)
E se un ufo avesse abbattuto le Twin Towers? :)
-Stefano

 E se... gli exit polls avessero ragione?
Facile, li sostituiamo alle elezioni.
Palmiro Pangloss
-- 
Happy ever after in the marketplace...
(Lennon & McCartney)

 prevedere i risultati?
vedi l'altro link,  
http://img103.exs.cx/img103/4526/exit_poll.gif
Non si tratta del risultato elettorale, ma della differenza fra
risultato numerico e predizione, che dovrebbe essere indipendente dal
fatto se lo state e' swing o no (visto che la percentuale di elettori
indecisi e' piu' o meno la stessa da stato a stato)
Qui, invece, dipende molto dallo swinginess, e SOPRATUTTO dal modo in
cui
i voti erano contati.
GT

...

Ecco alcuni risultati "definitivi".   Aldila' del fatto che Bush ha
sicuramente
preso piu' voti (sigh!), questa e' proprio una repubblica delle
Banane!
http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=694&u=/ap/20041104/ap_on_el_pr/voting_problems&printer=1
N.C. Computer Loses More Than 4,500 Votes 
http://www.washingtondispatch.com/spectrum/archives/000715.html
Palm Beach County Logs 88,000 More Votes Than Voters
http://www.enquirer.com/editions/2004/11/05/loc_warrenvote05.html
Citing concerns about potential terrorism, Warren County officials
locked down the county administration building on election night and
blocked anyone from observing the vote count as the nation awaited
Ohio's returns. 
http://www.newsday.com/news/nationworld/wire/sns-ap-voting-report,0,5740145.story?coll=sns-ap-nationworld-headlines
Voting Group Finds Irregularities in South
A national voting rights group says it documented hundreds of voting
irregularities affecting poor and minority voters in seven Southern
states -- from long lines and faulty equipment to deliberate voter
intimidation. 
http://www.iht.com/bin/print_ipub.php?file=%2Farticles%2F2004%2F11%2F02%2Fnews%2Fobserve.html
The global implications of the U.S. election are undeniable, but
international monitors at a polling station in southern Florida said
Tuesday that voting procedures being used in the extremely close
contest fell short in many ways of the best global practices.
The observers said they had less access to polls than in Kazakhstan,
that the electronic voting had fewer fail-safes than in Venezuela,
that the ballots were not so simple as in the Republic of Georgia and
that no other country had such a complex national election system.
"To be honest, monitoring elections in Serbia a few months ago was
much simpler," said Konrad Olszewski, an election observer stationed
in Miami by the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe.
http://www.ohio.com/mld/beaconjournal/news/state/10103910.htm
Computer error at voting machine gives Bush 3,893 extra votes
http://www.newbernsj.com/SiteProcessor.cfm?Template=/GlobalTemplates/Details.cfm&StoryID=18297&Section=Local
A systems software glitch in Craven County's electronic voting
equipment is being blamed for a vote miscount that, when corrected,
changed the outcome of at least one race in Tuesday's election.

 changed the outcome of at least one race in Tuesday's election.
Idem come sopra.
-Stefano

 E se... gli exit polls avessero ragione?
Perche' fai di tutto per renderti ridicolo ?
andrea