Newsgroup: it.politica.internazionale
Titolo: Uno snap shot della situazione siriana, dal fronte.

 
Non costruita negli studi Katarioti di Al Jazzera o NATOnews24
 
I receive on a daily basis information from important gentlemen funded by 
not less important foundations
 
Of what is happening at the turkish or Jordan border.
I volunteer go enter In Syria and report some facts and findings I already 
checked during my trips, thanks to the opportunity to speak with people 
without interpreters.
 
1) the minority cartel that is ruling Syria is approximately 30% of the 
population ( Alawis, Shia , turkomans, Christians of different faiths and 
minor sects). The remaining 70% of Sunnis is divided between the regime 
followers ( 50%) and those in favour some sort of change ( 20%).
This 20% minority is divided among " western democrats" (5%?) and Muslim 
loyal to Sunni Imams ( 10% probably, most of them flying the war in Jordan, 
Lebanon ) and a 5% funded by Saudi Arabia showing a salafist, ( rigid and 
medieval) religiosity.
Roughly, this mosaic makes a 65% majority for Assad regime, most of them for 
the sake of " law and order" .
 
 
2) the repression of Syrian pro Assad forces is very heavy, due to the 
military training and doctrine received by Russian advisors: " if in a 
building there is a sniper, destroy the entire building regardless of 
collateral damages".
 
3) this rough attitude has caused many casualties even if not as many 
calculated - from London - by the Syrian observatory that has no connection 
with internationally recognised organisations with similar names .
 
4) in this situation, a shift of the balance of forces could happen only 
if - as happened in Lybia - an air support is given to the Syrian Liberation 
Army( by NATO or by US Air Force or both).
The situation is similar to the cuban anticastro army in 1961 or with the 
Iraqi Kurds in 1991.
No air support, no victory.
 
5) Turkish military are not eager to open a second front and are asking for 
more arms and funds .
 
6) in this situation every hope of a quick military solution is impossible, 
a sniper or bomb attack against Assad , or family, is difficult to replicate 
and a coup d'�tat from the army out of question. There has been too much 
bloodshed and comrades to revenge. It's time to think the unthinkable: a 
political compromise with Assad before being involved with the salafist 
embarrassing company.
 
7) remember what Rabin said once: "peace has to be made with enemies, not 
with friends."
 
 
-- 
-- 
Nel Giugno 2012 Hama una strage di circa
100 persone tra cui 49 bambini va in prima pagina.
Dopo pochi giorni l'ntero mondo occidentale espelle
gli ambasciatori Siriani, senza aver prove certe.
 
Risulta in seguito che le vittime sono intere famiglie
Allawite, Scite o fedeli al governo.
 
L'intero mondo occidentale si e' sbagliato.
Volutamente... complice?
 
 

 the sake of " law and order" .
 
infatti mi ricordo, alle ultime elezioni era andata cos�
 
-- 
Maurizio Pistone    strenua nos exercet inertia  Hor.
 
http://blog.mauriziopistone.it
 
 
http://www.lacabalesta.it
 
 
http://blog.ilpugnonellocchio.it
 


 
Gia'
 
A qualcuno pero' le elezioni non vanno bene.
Direi i non democratici.