Newsgroup: it.politica.internazionale
Titolo: Sanctions against Iran put cloud over global growth

Eh, suvvia: vale la pena andare a rotoli per evitare la pace in medioriente.
Già, perché se non vi fosse l'occupazione, l'apartheid, la progressiva e 
incessante spoliazione di risorse e diritti degli arabi musulmani di 
Palestina, l'Iran non avrebbe nessun motivo o pretesto per minacciare 
quella che viene definità l'entità sionista.
 
Un reality check, ogni tanto, no eh?
 
-------------------------------------------
Sanctions against Iran put cloud over global growth
Resultant surge in oil prices would have serious consequences on the 
global economy, say experts
AFP, Sunday 25 Mar 2012
 
Tightened sanctions by the West have yet to dissuade Iran from pursuing 
its controversial nuclear programme but have triggered an oil price 
spike that could trigger a global recession.
 
Oil prices hit a record high in euro terms earlier this month and 
analysts now believe they may have already dragged the eurozone into 
recession.
 
New sanctions by the US and EU against Iran have ratcheted up tensions 
and the price of oil as traders worry about the risk of hostilities, 
including an attack by Israel on Iranian nuclear facilities.
 
US President Barack Obama conceded Friday that tensions over Iran were 
"adding a $20 or $30 premium to oil prices", which are up some 20 per 
cent since December.
 
IMF chief Christine Lagarde warned earlier that any interruption in oil 
supplies from Iran could increase oil prices by a further 20 to 30 per 
cent and cause an economic shock.
 
"A sudden and brutal rise in the price of oil" from Brent crude's 
current levels of around $125 a barrel "would have serious consequences 
on the global economy" until other oil-exporting nations were able to 
bridge the gap, she added.
 
Iran has threatened retaliation against the sanctions, including a 
possible disruption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a Gulf 
chokepoint for global oil shipments.
 
Ernst & Young's Eurozone Forecast warned a spike in oil prices to a 
sustained level of $150 a barrel would cause a recession of 1.0 per cent 
in the European Union this year, double the milder 0.5 per cent 
contraction currently forecast.
 
"A new oil shock would hit an already fragile economy," said Marie 
Diron, senior economic adviser to the Ernst & Young Eurozone Forecast.
 
"With their budgets already squeezed by austerity measures and rising 
unemployment, many households" would likely be forced to cut back on 
purchases.
 
That would be a blow to businesses, which would also have to cope with 
higher fuel prices and would likely cut output and jobs, increasing the 
number of unemployed by around 500,000 according their calculations.
 
Industry group IATA warned that current fuel prices were hurting 
airlines and that an increase to $150 a barrel could push some into 
bankruptcy.
 
The price of Brent crude jumped in January when the EU said it would ban 
imports of Iranian crude and higher prices appear to have already pushed 
the eurozone back into recession.
 
Eurozone private sector activity fell more sharply than expected in 
March, indicating that the 17-nation single currency area slid back into 
recession, according to Markit research firm's purchasing managers' 
index (PMI).
 
The composite PMI fell to 48.7 points in March after reaching 49.3 
points in February. Any score below 50 indicates contraction.
 
"The oil price and the weak trade environment were key drivers behind 
the fall," said Christian Schulz, senior economist at Berenberg Bank.
 
Chinese manufacturing activity also fell to a four-month low of 48.1 in 
March, according HSBC bank's preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index 
(PMI), adding to concerns about slowing growth in the world's second 
largest economy.
 
The price of Brent crude hit $128.40 on March 1, the highest level since 
a peak of $147.50 of July 2008. But with the euro having slid against 
the dollar, it reached a record of 94.65 euros per barrel.
 
"Given the existing major debt issues facing beleaguered eurozone 
economies, the latest jump in oil prices adds unwelcome inflationary and 
balance of payments costs with imports of dollar-denominated oil," the 
International Energy Agency commented in its latest monthly report.
 
"Sustained higher prices risk further undermining the pace of global 
economic recovery," the agency added, while noting that prices have 
risen by 20 per cent since December.
 
The IEA estimates that exports from Iran could plunge by about 800,000 
barrels per day to one million bpd in the second half of the year after 
the tighter Western sanctions go into force.
 
The high oil prices have clearly become a worry to Western governments.
 
French energy minister Eric Besson said this past week that France and 
other industrialised countries were considering releasing part of their 
strategic crude reserves to keep prices down.
 
The previous week Obama discussed such a possibility with visiting 
British Prime Minister David Cameron, the White House had confirmed.
 
Industrialised nations had dipped into strategic reserves last year to 
mitigate a rise in prices after Libyan exports dried up due to the 
rebellion against longtime dictator Moamer Kadhafi.
 
However IEA director Maria van Hoeven told Dow Jones Newswires this past 
week there has been no discussion of any coordintated release of 
reserves by industrialised countries, which is handled via the agency.
 
She added there is not currently any supply disruption that would 
justify a release.
 
Washington and Brussels believe the sanctions are beginning to take a 
toll on the Iranian economy, and Tehran last month agreed to revive 
talks between it and the P5+1 group of powers -- the five UN Security 
Council permanent members plus Germany.
 
As yet no date or venue for the negotiations has been announced, and the 
previous round of Iran-P5+1 talks collapsed in Istanbul in January last 
year.
 
Iranian officials have said they plan to make no concessions on their 
nuclear programme.
 
 
http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/3/12/37617/Business/Economy/Sanctions-against-Iran-put-cloud-over-global-growt.aspx
 
-- 
Sostieni Rete ECO
 
http://rete-eco.it/it/sostienici.html
 
 

 medioriente.
 
 
Le sanzioni all'Iran servono a mantenere la pace in medio oriente (visto 
che l'alternativa è il bombardamanto dell'Iran)
 
Persio è un pirla
 
 
-- 
“Those who expect to reap the blessings of  freedom, must, like men, 
undergo the  fatigues of supporting it.”
 
North Idaho 21st Batallion of Light Foot

 che l'alternativa è il bombardamanto dell'Iran)
 
lasciare l'Iran in pace non esiste, ovviamente. SPUT


mica ha detto che l'Iran deve essere cancellato dalle carte
geografiche.

Il 25/03/12 13:53, giovannino ha scritto:

Lasciare in pace fascismi guerrafondai è ancora meno conduttivo alla pace.
Se non fossi un fan del fascio, lo sapresti anche tu.



qualcuno l'ha mai detto di ISRAELE?

 Lasciare in pace fascismi guerrafondai
 
ammiratore dello stato guida che ha fatto un centinaio di guerre in
due secoli, quante guerre ha cominciato il "fascismo guerrafondaio"
iraniano?


effettivamente, tenendo presente che sostanzialmente si limitano a
sterminare comunisti, i barbuti andrebbero rivalutati.

 effettivamente
 
ecco, bravo.