Newsgroup: it.politica.internazionale
Titolo: Russia Analyst: Russia wouldn’t resist intervention in Syria

http://amanpour.blogs.cnn.com/2012/07/09/russia-analyst-russia-wouldnt-resist-intervention-in-syria/
 
 
Russia Analyst: Russia wouldn’t resist intervention in Syria
 
By Lucky Gold
 
The violence in Syria continues unabated and with it the international 
outrage and calls for President Bashar Assad to step down.  So far, 
Russia, Syria’s chief ally along with China, has stood by the Assad regime.
 
But that could be changing.
 
In a startlingly frank interview Monday on Amanpour, Dimitri Simes, the 
Russian-born President of the Center for the National Interest, a 
Washington-based think tank with close connections to the Russian 
government and Russian foreign policy experts, responded to this 
question from Christiane Amanpour:
 
“Do you mean if the U.S. decided to gather its own coalition and do for 
instance what it did in Kosovo, do an end run around Russia, that Russia 
would not resist?”
 
“Since you asked,” said Simes, “We recently heard a top level Russian 
delegation….It included Russian officials being there in an official 
capacity…and this question was raised, and the answer was very clear: 
Russia would not welcome such an intervention, Russia would not approve 
such an intervention.”
 
Then, came the bombshell:  “It would not resist such an intervention, 
and this intervention would not become a major issue in the U.S.-Russian 
relationship.”
 
Responded Ms. Amanpour:  “Well, that’s a bit of a green light in my book.”
 
The last thing you want is to put him in a corner
 
Simes did not contradict her, but did suggest that U.S. Secretary of 
State Hillary Clinton’s recent statements, such as suggesting that 
Russia “get off the sidelines,” were counterproductive:  “I think it’s 
quite unhelpful.  Because Russia is trying to meet the U.S. halfway 
behind the scene.”
 
Underscoring that warning was this fascinating insight into the Russian 
leader’s psyche:  “If you understand Putin’s psychology, the last thing 
you want to do is to put him publicly in the corner if you want his 
cooperation.”
 
Calling Clinton’s remarks “megaphone diplomacy,” Simes felt they were 
largely for “domestic consumption” in an election year.  Apologizing for 
being cynical, he added, “It suggests to me that the Obama 
administration does not want to interfere in Syria and wants to use 
Russia as an alibi.”
 
Russia should be treated as a full scale partner
 
If Russia’s support for Assad is far from unwavering, why does President 
Putin continue to support him?  Simes said the answer is in many ways a 
matter of respect.
 
“They do feel that this is another American-led humanitarian 
intervention.  That their (the Russians’) perspective is not 
sufficiently taken into account.  That American clients are usually 
protected; Russian clients are usually punished.”
 
A prime example of this double standard, he said, was the U.S. led 
intervention in Libya:  “They also feel that in the case of Libya they 
kind of met the United States half way.  But as a result, there was a 
full scale air war against Gadhafi.  That was not something they 
expected.  That was not something they believed they were told would 
happen by President Obama.”
 
“That was a result of a personal phone conversation between President 
Obama and President Medvedev, the call initiated apparently by President 
Obama.  And Medvedev was severely criticized later, including by Putin, 
for a kind of giving up to Obama and allowing the NATO military 
intervention in Libya.”
 
In other words, the Russians have no intention of “giving up” again.  “I 
think it is a sense that Russia is a great power and if they (the U.S.) 
want Russia to be involved in something so controversial as a Syrian 
military intervention, Russia should be treated as a full scale partner. 
  Otherwise, Russia would not resist but Russia would not help, either.”
 
Again, Simes questioned Russia’s support for Assad:  “They are not 
supplying him with new weapons.  They stated publicly that they would 
not use force on his behalf.  And apparently they told privately both 
the U.S. government, and more important the Assad inner circle, that 
they are not committed to Assad personally.”
 
Finally, Simes spoke of Putin the realist:  “He doesn’t want to be the 
only guy supporting this failing tyrant.  I think he is supporting him 
but up to a point.”
-- 
Namib
 
Chacun appelle "idées claires" celles qui sont au même degré de 
confusion que les siennes propres (M. Proust)
 

 but up to a point.”
 
Per il resto c'è PirlaCard.
 
 
-- 
*opperso*
Anyone who believes exponential growth can go on forever in a finite 
world is either a madman or an economist.
 
 

 Russia Analyst: Russia wouldn’t resist intervention in Syria
 
(ANSA) - MOSCA - Un gruppo di navi militari russe della flotta del
Nord si sta dirigendo in Siria, al porto di Tartus: lo rende noto una
fonte militar-diplomatica, citata dall'agenzia Interfax. Secondo la
fonte, si tratterebbe della Admiral Ciabanenko e di tre grandi navi da
trasporto che partiranno dal Baltico verso il Mediterraneo, dove si
aggiungeranno una nave guarda costa e dei rimorchiatori.

 ha scritto nel messaggio 
news:6f10e834-403f-475a...@m10g2000vbn.googlegroups.com...

siamo terrorizzati :-) 
 


 :-)) 
 
 


(ANSA) - MOSCA - La Russia continuera' a rifornire la Siria con i
sistemi di difesa antiaerea. Lo annuncia il vice responsabile del
servizio per la cooperazione militare di Mosca, Viatcheslav Dzirkaln,
citato dalla stampa nazionale.