Newsgroup: it.politica.internazionale
Titolo: buone ragioni

per non cedere ad Abu Mazen
http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2011/05/27/must-israel-make-concessions-in-advance-of-september-un-brawl/
Must Israel Make Concessions in Advance of September UN Brawl?
Jonathan S. Tobin 05.27.2011 - 3:28 PM
In the wake of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s successful trip to
Washington, Israel’s critics are in a grouchy mood. President Obama
failed in his effort to ambush Netanyahu—they can’t deny that—and the
result was a reaffirmation of American support for Israel that
effectively ends any further diplomatic freelancing by the White
House. But unhappy Israel-bashers claim it doesn’t matter.
They say Israel is still isolated diplomatically and will be forced—
whether or not Bibi’s fans like it—to capitulate to international
territorial demands without getting anything from the Palestinians in
exchange. Either that, or the Jewish state will find itself being
treated like the new South Africa after the United Nations recognizes
an independent Palestinian state inside the 1967 borders with no
swaps.
So does that mean that Netanyahu must take “bold” steps to give in to
the Palestinians or face a diplomatic “tsunami” this fall? Despite the
hopes of those who think the wrong guy won the fight between the two
leaders last week, the answer is no.
First of all, the idea that Israel has the power to head off the
confrontation in the UN in September is a fallacy. The spectacle of
the world’s lining up to bash Israel at the UN will be daunting, but
it will get the Palestinians nowhere. In the end, the United States
will veto the resolution in the Security Council and that will be
that. Israel won’t be any more or less diplomatically isolated than it
is today. All that will have been accomplished will be to have proven
(again) that the Palestinians won’t talk. The Arabs will be angry with
the United States, but essentially nothing will have changed when the
dust settles.
The worst mistake Netanyahu could make would be to budge an inch this
summer as pressure again builds on him. He knows that any concessions
made now will simply be pocketed by the Palestinians, but would fail
to gain Israel any peace or international support. The Palestinians
are choosing this route specifically to avoid negotiations. They won’t
come back to them until their UN gambit has come a cropper.
Moreover, anyone who bets on rational behavior from the Palestinians
hasn’t been paying attention to them the last several decades. In the
next few months, Hamas and Fatah could fall out, leading to a collapse
of either one of the two forces, reconfiguring the diplomatic map
perhaps to Israel’s advantage.
But even more important is the fact that, after the UN initiative
fails, the Palestinians will be forced either to launch a new
intifada, which would make any talk of concessions or negotiations
nugatory, or to come crawling back to peace talks. While the chances
that either Fatah or Hamas will ever recognize the legitimacy of a
Jewish state no matter where its borders are drawn are nil, there is
no point in Israel giving anything up now in advance of real
negotiations should they ever restart. A Congressional initiative to
cut off funds to the Fatah-Hamas alliance running the PA could also
strengthen Netanyahu’s hand.
Israelis want peace, but right now “bold” moves by Netanyahu would
make the restart of peace talks even more unlikely. As difficult as
the next few months may be for both Bibi and Israel’s friends to
endure, the last thing he should do would be to concede territory
merely to please Obama and the Europeans.

 Nel rabbinato avete anche cerimonie
credo dovresti informarti meglio.

 Ma la mia nasceva da
irrilevante.