Newsgroup: it.politica.internazionale
Titolo: perchè ci vuole l'autoattentato

semplice: i pretacci non sono fessi.
 
US military intelligence: ‘Iran won’t start the war’
n a briefing over the escalating hostilities between the US and Iran,
American intelligence officials say it is unlikely that Iran will
initiate any military action against the United States.
 
If and when the US does launch a strike on Iran, however, the
consequences could be catastrophic.
 
Speaking from Washington, DC this week, Defense Intelligence Agency
Director Lieutenant General Ronald Burgess said an attack at the hands
of Iran is unlikely, unless, of course, the US acts first. Burgess
also added that, despite increased sanctions imposed by the US and a
build up of American military forces surrounding the country, Iran is
unlikely to halt the nuclear program that has become the cause of
international concern.
 
"Iran today has the technical, scientific and industrial capability to
eventually produce nuclear weapons. While international pressure
against Iran has increased, including through sanctions, we assess
that Tehran is not close to agreeing to abandoning its nuclear
program," Burgess said.
 
The United States and some of its allies insist that Iran is producing
nuclear warheads; Iran says their research is working towards atomic
energy, not nukes. As the US continues to come down on Iran for
allegation of a weapons program, Burgess warns that Tehran shows no
signs of terminating their efforts anytime soon.
 
If the US tries to terminate it themselves, however, there could be
trouble.
 
"Iran can close the Strait of Hormuz at least temporarily, and may
launch missiles against United States forces and our allies in the
region if it is attacked," Burgess explained this week to a Senate
Armed Services Committee hearing.
 
"Iran could also attempt to employ terrorist surrogates worldwide.
However, the agency assesses Iran is unlikely to initiate or
intentionally provoke a conflict," the lieutenant general added.
 
With an Iran-initiated attack unlikely in the eyes of the American
intelligence community, that gives the US an upper hand in deciding on
a date to begin an assault of their own.
 
Recent weeks have seen escalating concerns over an Iran-Israel
conflict and how the US could end up at war if they decide to come to
the aid of their Israeli allies. Burgess told the committee, “To the
best of our knowledge Israel has not decided to attack Iran.” But
given the lovey-dovey relationship between the allies, an attack out
of Israel would likely prompt the US to begin an attack immediately.
 
At that point, warns Burgess, a retaliation in the form of an
international terrorist network masterminded by the Iranians and a
possible nuclear assault could become an immediate reality.
 
Neither the US nor Israel have confirmed that they intend to attack
Iran, but the two friendly countries have made plans for a massive
missile drill scheduled for later this year. The move will send
thousands of US troops to Israel, where they will be close to
thousands of other Americans stationed in nearby nations.
 
In the few months since a US surveillance drone was hijacked by Iran
during an attempted spy mission, Tehran has teased Washington and
insisted that it has decoded the stealth technology of the aircraft.
The US has responded by mobilizing fleets and ground troops to the
tune of tens of thousands around the Arabian Gulf and the nations that
surround Iran. Additionally, the US has equipped many countries that
neighbor Iran with weaponry capable of crushing their foe.

 semplice: i pretacci non sono fessi.
 
falso.


stanno lì da più di 30 anni, di solito i fessi ci restano secchi molto
prima.