Newsgroup: it.politica.internazionale
Titolo: Is Jordan about to experience its first big moment of the Arab spring?

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/on-the-middle-east/2012/oct/04/jordan-abdullah-arab-spring
 
 
Is Jordan about to experience its first big moment of the Arab spring?
 
Protests planned in Amman could see confrontation between opposition and 
loyalists, writes Ian Black
 
Amman, Jordan's capital, has been largely spared the drama of events 
elsewhere in the Arab world over the past two years. Demonstrations in 
March 2011 were contained and protests since have been restricted to 
outlying areas - albeit in loyal East Bank heartlands such as Tafila and 
Ma'an. Talk of reform has been accompanied by three changes of prime 
minister. King Abdullah sacked his last one, Awn Khasawneh, because, the 
palace insisted, he was not moving fast enough. The other view is that 
he was getting too cosy in talks with the Islamic Action Front - the 
Jordanian branch of the Muslim Brotherhood.
 
So is Arab spring unrest about to hit the Hashemite kingdom? On Friday 
the IAF is organising a big rally under the resonant slogan "Save the 
Homeland." Its target is the constitutional changes the king has 
approved in advance of parliamentary elections he says must be held by 
the end of the year — though the increasingly vocal IAF says the reforms 
are inadequate and insists it will boycott the polls. That would render 
them meaningless.
 
The IAF has been emboldened by the successes of the Muslim Brotherhood 
in Egypt and Tunisia and by the prominent role it is playing in the 
uprising in Syria next door. Complicating matters, many of its 
supporters are Jordanians of Palestinian origin, always a sensitive 
issue, as is the peace treaty with Israel. The Obeidat, a large East 
Bank clan, has just disowned one of its members who has accepted the 
post of Jordanian ambassador to Tel Aviv.
 
The king is under pressure from his western friends to respond 
convincingly to growing demands for change. Crucially, though, he plans 
to retain the power to appoint the prime minister and dismiss parliament 
at will. Overall the proposed new electoral system is still rigged in 
favour of regime supporters; Palestinian-Jordanians in particular will 
be significantly under-represented. Critics complain that reforms are 
more apparent than real.
 
Talk has been rife of a showdown on Friday — and perhaps a violent one. 
Young thugs wearing T-shirts emblazoned with the king's image have been 
mobilised for a loyalist counter-demonstration and there are signs of an 
offically-inspired whispering campaign suggesting that the IAF will call 
on Abdullah to surrender power. It insists it is doing no such thing. 
The popular slogan the "people demand the fall of the regime" has barely 
been heard in the Hashemite kingdom.
 
In recent months there has been widespread unease because of the crisis 
in Syria, a serious financial squeeze, a row over the removal of fuel 
subsidies and anger about new restrictions on the internet. The once 
iron-clad taboo on criticism of the royal court has been eroded.
 
The IAF rally is to be held on the familiar "safety-valve" route from 
the al-Hussein mosque in downtown Amman to nearby al-Nakhil square. 
Loyalists were planning to oppose it under the banner of "Alleigance and 
Belonging." Several well-known Jordanian commentators have suggested 
that the government was seeking a confrontation with the opposition. 
According to the latest reports from Amman that counter-demonstration is 
now to be re-scheduled. That would help avoid a potentially dangerous 
clash — even if Jordan's underlying tensions remain.
-- 
Namib
--
I have examined maps of the city with the greatest care, yet have never 
again found the Rue d'Auseil (HPL)

 loyalists, writes Ian Black
 
credo che i Sauditi interverrebbero pro monarchia con l'accorata benedizione 
di Israele 
 


tradizionalmente, non esiste buon sangue fra sauditi e monarchi giordani.
 
ricodiamoci che i cugini degli attuali re di giordania regnavano sull'Hijaz prima che i sauditi li cacciassero via... e tentarono pure di prendersi Amman.

 benedizione di Israele
 
non so se fra i discendenti degli sceriffi della Mecca, e la dinastia di
usurpatori eretici che li ha cacciati nel 1924, tutte le divergenze sono
state appianate
 
per� occorrerebbe una conoscenza delle questioni interne del mondo
arabo-musulmano decisamente superiore alla mia
 
-- 
Maurizio Pistone    strenua nos exercet inertia  Hor.
 
http://blog.mauriziopistone.it
 
 
http://www.lacabalesta.it
 
 
http://blog.ilpugnonellocchio.it
 

 ha scritto nel messaggio 
news:f095a6c5-497e-4bb6...@googlegroups.com...

nella situazione dell'anno domini 2012 i sauditi temono l'espandersi delle 
cosiddette primavere arabe, le divergenze del passato vengono superate dalla 
criticit� attuale 
 

 arabo-musulmano decisamente superiore alla mia
 
semplicemente di fronte all'espandersi delle rivoluzioni arabe i Saud hanno 
necessit� di non essere circondati da stati ostili che potrebbero indurre 
anche in AS ulteriori elementi di destabilizzazione. In tal senso tenere in 
piedi la monarchia giordana potrebbe essere vantaggioso per entrambi qualora 
i giordani non fossero pi� autosufficienti...