Newsgroup: it.arti.cinema
Titolo: [MO] Il vero scopo e' di cambiare il regime in Libano e installare un governo fantoccio

C'e' una sinistra pacifista in Israele e questo articolo lo dimostra, sono
posizione largamente condivisibili secondo me, a meno di non volersi
incancrenire su slogan ottusi e faziosi.
La manifestazione pacifista di ieri ha segnato la presenza di 2000
partecipanti, non pochi, dato il clima generale che si respira in questi
giorni a Tel Aviv.
Non ho tempo di tradurre tutto l'articolo ma Uri Avnery e' un personaggio
popolare in Israele e cosi' e' Gush Shalom, se qualcuno lo volesse proprio
ne faccio una traduzione a voce e la mando per email, faccio un breve
sunto:
Il vero scopo e' cambiare il regime in libano e installare un governo
fantoccio, come voluto dagli americani.
Come nella precedente invasione del libano nell'82 e' servito un pretesto e
come nell'82, con l'appoggio degli USA. Allora il segretario di stato Haig
disse che serviva una "chiara provocazione" che sarebbe stata accettata dal
mondo per iniziare, gliela forni' opportunamente l'assassinio
dell'ambasciatore Israeliano a Londra. Anche se la cosa non aveva nessuna
connessione con il Libano, fu' il pretesto ufficiale per l'aggressione
israeliana. (cosi' come i terroristi del 9/11 venivano tutti dall'arabia
saudita ma gli USA aggredirono l'afganistan)
Questa volta il pretesto e' stata la cattura dei due soldati israeliani,
per lanciare una aggressione preparata da molto tempo.
Come nell'82, la scusa e' di spostare i confini ed evitare i lanci di
missili katiuscia. Una delle tante bugie degli americani e degli
israeliani, prima della guerra non era stato lanciato un singolo missile da
18 mesi. Il vero scopo, allora come ora, e' di sostituire il governo
Libanese con uno compiacente e di mostrare i muscoli dell'esercito
israeliano come deterrente per future minacce. israele e' pronta a farlo
sacrificando qualche centinaio di vittime tra i palestinesi e i libanesi e
persino tra i propri cittadini, considerando che dopo 20 giorni di
occupazione le cose hanno solo continuato a peggiorare, su entrambi i lati.
La logica dei militari e dei terroristi e' sempre la stessa, che se si
esaspera la gente abbastanza, alla fine si incazzano col governo, gli
chiedono quello che il governo non puo' fare e alla fine plaudono alla sua
sostituzione con un dittatore forte. L'esperienza (anche quella italiana,
ndm) mostra che chi esaspera la gente si prende l'odio direttamente e non
per interposta. 
L'unico scenario credibile e' una guerra civile in Libano, cosi' come gli
Americani sono riusciti a crearla in Iraq, e una incazzatura ancora piu'
forte degli Shiiti, che prima del'82 stavano buoni e dopo l'aggressione
israeliana hanno dato vita agli Hezbollah.
Qual'e' la risposta? Difficile dirlo, ma per certo se ci fosse un accordo
tra israeliani e palestinesi gli Hezbollah non potrebbero piu' fare la
parte di chi arriva in soccorso dei palestinesi.
Ma apparentemente nessuno cerca un accordo, Olmert vuol farsi vedere piu'
grosso e piu' cattivo di Sharon (ed e' difficile, ndm) gli Hezbollah
contano sulla popolarita' della condizione palestinese per farsi belli e
avere l'appoggio arabo.
Il fatto e' che ne' Olmert ne' Peretz contano piu' del due di picche, la
palla e' in mano al generale dell'esercito e ai militari.
Prepariamoci al peggio (dico io).
The Real Aim
Uri Avnery
15.7.06 -- GUSH SHALOM
THE REAL aim is to change the regime in Lebanon and to install a puppet
government.
That was the aim of Ariel Sharon's invasion of Lebanon in 1982. It failed.
But Sharon and his pupils in the military and political leadership have
never really given up on it.
As in 1982, the present operation, too, was planned and is being carried
out in full coordination with the US.
As then, there is no doubt that it is coordinated with a part of the
Lebanese elite.
That's the main thing. Everything else is noise and propaganda.
ON THE eve of the 1982 invasion, Secretary of State Alexander Haig told
Ariel Sharon that, before starting it, it was necessary to have a "clear
provocation", which would be accepted by the world.
The provocation indeed took place - exactly at the appropriate time - when
Abu-Nidal's terror gang tried to assassinate the Israeli ambassador in
London. This had no connection with Lebanon, and even less with the PLO
(the enemy of Abu-Nidal), but it served its purpose.
This time, the necessary provocation has been provided by the capture of
the two Israeli soldiers by Hizbullah. Everyone knows that they cannot be
freed except through an exchange of prisoners. But the huge military
campaign that has been ready to go for months was sold to the Israeli and
international public as a rescue operation.
(Strangely enough, the very same thing happened two weeks earlier in the
Gaza Strip. Hamas and its partners captured a soldier, which provided the
excuse for a massive operation that had been prepared for a long time and
whose aim is to destroy the Palestinian government.)
THE DECLARED aim of the Lebanon operation is to push Hizbullah away from
the border, so as to make it impossible for them to capture more soldiers
and to launch rockets at Israeli towns. The invasion of the Gaza strip is
also officially aimed at getting Ashkelon and Sderot out of the range of
the Qassams.
That resembles the 1982 "Operation Peace for Gallilee". Then, the public
and the Knesset were told that the aim of the war was to "push the
Katyushas 40 km away from the border".
That was a deliberate lie. For 11 months before the war, not a single
Katyusha rocket (nor a single shot) had been fired over the border. From
the beginning, the aim of the operation was to reach Beirut and install a
Quisling dictator. As I have recounted more than once, Sharon himself told
me so nine months before the war, and I duly published it at the time, with
his consent (but unattributed).
Of course, the present operation also has several secondary aims, which do
not include the freeing of the prisoners. Everybody understands that that
cannot be achieved by military means. But it is probably possible to
destroy some of the thousands of missiles that Hizbullah has accumulated
over the years. For this end, the army chiefs are ready to endanger the
inhabitants of the Israeli towns that are exposed to the rockets. They
believe that that is worthwhile, like an exchange of chess figures.
Another secondary aim is to rehabilitate the "deterrent power" of the army.
That is a codeword for the restoration of the army's injured pride that has
suffered a severe blow from the daring military actions of Hamas in the
south and Hizbullah in the north.
OFFICIALLY, THE Israeli government demands that the Government of Lebanon
disarm Hizbullah and remove it from the border region.
That is clearly impossible under the present Lebanese regime, a delicate
fabric of ethno-religious communities. The slightest shock can bring the
whole structure crashing down and throw the state into total anarchy -
especially after the Americans succeeded in driving out the Syrian army,
the only element that has for years provided some stability.
The idea of installing a Quisling in Lebanon is nothing new. In 1955, David
Ben-Gurion proposed taking a "Christian officer" and installing him as
dictator. Moshe Sharet showed that this idea was based on complete
ignorance of Lebanese affairs and torpedoed it. But 27 years later, Ariel
Sharon tried to put it into effect nevertheless. Bashir Gemayel was indeed
installed as president, only to be murdered soon afterwards. His brother,
Amin, succeeded him and signed a peace agreement with Israel, but was
driven out of office. (The same brother is now publicly supporting the
Israeli operation.)
The calculation now is that if the Israeli Air Force rains heavy enough
blows on the Lebanese population - paralysing the sea- and airports,
destroying the infrastructure, bombarding residential neighborhoods,
cutting the Beirut-Damascus highroad etc. - the public will get furious
with Hizbullah and pressure the Lebanese government into fulfilling
Israel's demands. Since the present government cannot even dream of doing
so, a dictatorship will be set up with Israel's support.
That is the military logic. I have my doubts. It can be assumed that most
Lebanese will react as any other people on earth would: with fury and
hatred towards the invader. That happened in 1982, when the Shiites in the
south of Lebanon, until then as docile as a doormat, stood up against the
Israeli occupiers and created the Hizbullah, which has become the strongest
force in the country. If the Lebanese elite now becomes tainted as
collaborators with Israel, it will be swept off the map. (By the way, have
the Qassams and Katyushas caused the Israeli population to exert pressure
on our government to give up? Quite the contrary.)
The American policy is full of contradictions. President Bush wants "regime
change" in the Middle East, but the present Lebanese regime has only
recently been set up by under American pressure. In the meantime, Bush has
succeeded only in breaking up Iraq and causing a civil war (as foretold
here). He may get the same in Lebanon, if he does not stop the Israeli army
in time. Moreover, a devastating blow against Hizbullah may arouse fury not
only in Iran, but also among the Shiites in Iraq, on whose support all of
Bush's plans for a pro-American regime are built.
So what's the answer? Not by accident, Hizbullah has carried out its
soldier-snatching raid at a time when the Palestinians are crying out for
succor. The Palestinian cause is popular all over the Arab word. By showing
that they are a friend in need, when all other Arabs are failing dismally,
Hizbullah hopes to increase its popularity. If an Israeli-Palestinian
agreement had been achieved by now, Hizbullah would be no more than a local
Lebanese phenomenon, irrelevant to our situation.
LESS THAN three months after its formation, the Olmert-Peretz government
has succeeded in plunging Israel into a two-front war, whose aims are
unrealistic and whose results cannot be foreseen.
If Olmert hopes to be seen as Mister Macho-Macho, a Sharon # 2, he will be
disappointed. The same goes for the desperate attempts of Peretz to be
taken seriously as an imposing Mister Security. Everybody understands that
this campaign - both in Gaza and in Lebanon - has been planned by the army
and dictated by the army. The man who makes the decisions in Israel now is
Dan Halutz. It is no accident that the job in Lebanon has been turned over
to the Air Force.
The public is not enthusiastic about the war. It is resigned to it, in
stoic fatalism, because it is being told that there is no alternative. And
indeed, who can be against it? Who does not want to liberate the "kidnapped
soldiers"? Who does not want to remove the Katyushas and rehabilitate
deterrence? No politician dares to criticize the operation (except the Arab
MKs, who are ignored by the Jewish public). In the media, the generals
reign supreme, and not only those in uniform. There is almost no former
general who is not being invited by the media to comment, explain and
justify, all speaking in one voice.
(As an illustration: Israel's most popular TV channel invited me to an
interview about the war, after hearing that I had taken part in an anti-war
demonstration. I was quite surprised. But not for long - an hour before the
broadcast, an apologetic talk-show host called and said that there had been
a terrible mistake - they really meant to invite Professor Shlomo Avineri,
a former Director General of the Foreign Office who can be counted on to
justify any act of the government, whatever it may be, in lofty academic
language.)
"Inter arma silent Musae" - when the weapons speak, the muses fall silent.
Or, rather: when the guns roar, the brain ceases to function.
AND JUST a small thought: when the State of Israel was founded in the
middle of a cruel war, a poster was plastered on the walls: "All the
country - a front! All the people - an army!"
58 Years have passed, and the same slogan is still as valid as it was then.
What does that say about generations of statesmen and generals?
==================================
No More Military Madness!
Stop the Unilateral Illusion!
Stop Killing Civilians in Lebanon, Israel and Gaza!
Start Political Negotiations!
March starts at 7pm on the corner of Frishman and Chen Blvd
Transportation from:
Haifa: 17:00, Kikar Solel Boneh.
Please, confirm with Itamar 054-5737423.
Jerusalem: 17:30 Gan haPa'amon, 17:45 Binyanei haUma,
Sergio 054-2076536.
Full manifesto of the protest march in English (Hebrew attached):
Silence the Canons! Start Negotiating!
The illusion that a 'strong and firm' Israeli government can unilaterally
determine! the
borders and lives of Israel and its neighbors has shattered into a bloody
reality. We can only expect more casualties, wounded, destruction, anxiety,
economic and social paralysis for us and our neighbors are the price to pay
if we continue to avoid the path of political negotiations.
Barak unilaterally stopped the peace process with Syria and preferred a
unilateral withdrawal from Lebanon, without negotiations or agreements.
Israel was left with the Golan Heights and with an armed Hizbollah on the
border. We are now paying the price.
Barak and Ben-Ami, Sharon and Ben Eliezer, Mofaz and Peres, and now Olmert
and Peretz gave up negotiating with the Palestinians and tried, and are
still trying, to withdraw from some of the territories while maintaining
the occupation in the rest of the territories.
Now it is clear:
No fence and no wall will protect Israel from hostile neighbors. The IDF
has failed and will keep losing in the battle against guerilla forces.
Technological and instrumental superiority allows one to spy, destroy,
liquidate, but it cannot prevent injuries in the border or the home front,
among civilians and soldiers.
After the long years of the failed military attempt to overcome guerilla
forces in Lebanon, how can we think that the current use of force will
solve anything? We've been in this situation before!!!
The only true defense, the only way to guarantee a different future, a
future of peace and security, is to resolve the source of the hostility, to
solve the conflict through negotiations, through compromise, by ending the
occupation and establishing a relationship of equality and respect between
Israelis and Palestinians and between Israelis and the neighboring nations.
Does it sound crazy? It is the sane thing to do. The sounds of explosion,
the smell of burning and the rivers of blood are the crazy things.
Does it sound difficult? It is. We have realized already that the
negotiations won't be simple, that the conflict is complicated, that both
sides will be required to make big and painful concessions. But does anyone
seriously think that military solutions are possible?!
Tomorrow, Sunday 16.7, we will hold a protest march in the streets of Tel
Aviv:
No More Military Madness!
Stop the Unilateral Illusion!
Stop Killing Civilians in Lebanon, Israel and Gaza!
Start Political Negotiations!
Those who can help making signs should come as of 16:00 to "haGada haSma!
lit", 70 Ahad Ha'am St. For more information: 050-7425484 / 050-6230249.
Taayush, Gush Shalom, The Women's Coalition for peace, Anarchists Against
Fences, Yesh Gvul, The committee Against House Demolition
GUSH SHALOM p.o.b. 3322 Tel Aviv 61033

 fantoccio, come voluto dagli americani.
interessante e condivisibile
-- 
Holden
hol...@iaciners.org
"lo Stanley Kubrick dei tacchinatori"  (copyright GAbriele)
"campioni der monno!!! io nun me ricordo der 1982
me ricordo solo o scudetto d'a'roma del 1983!" (anonimo)