Newsgroup: it.cultura.religioni
Titolo: Invece di preoccuparvi dell'ineffabile, e' tempo di pensare ad altro.....

Se attacco solo il link, magari non lo leggete e non capite davvero cosa 
significa....altro che di dio avremo da preoccuparci.....
Credit crisis adds to risk of oil supply crunch-IEAReuters, Wednesday 
November 12 2008
(Updates with comments from news conference)
By Jane Merriman
LONDON, Nov 12 (Reuters) - The credit crisis increases the risk the world's 
oil reserves will not be drilled fast enough to meet global demand growth, 
the International Energy Agency said on Wednesday.
The agency's World Energy Outlook for 2008 stopped short of sounding the 
alarm oil supplies could have peaked.
But it highlighted obstacles to accessing new fields that include the 
increasing dominance of national oil companies as well as dwindling amounts 
of credit.
Many investments are being postponed because of the credit crisis and its 
effects on global economic growth and energy demand.
"The financial crisis may have eclipsed the focus on longer term concerns 
about energy," Nobuo Tanaka, IEA executive director said at a news 
conference to launch the report.
"I emphasise the need to take a longer term view to avoid a worsening supply 
crunch."
For major international oil companies have been investing enough so far, but 
looking ahead, the IEA estimated the industry needed to spend more than $26 
trillion in the next 20 years to ensure adequate energy supplies, an 
increase of more than $4 trillion from estimates in its 2007 World Energy 
Outlook.
"Some 30 million barrels per day of new capacity is needed by 2015," said 
the IEA, which advises industrialised countries.
"There remains a real risk that under-investment will cause an oil-supply 
crunch in that timeframe."
In oil, upstream investment spending has risen in nominal terms, but much of 
the increase was because of high costs and because cheaper reserves were 
off-limits to international oil companies.
The gap between what was being built in terms of new capacity and what would 
be needed to keep pace with demand was set to widen sharply after 2010, the 
IEA said.
The growing influence of national oil companies would have a major impact on 
where investments were made.
"It will be a new world, the national oil companies will make the investment 
decisions, but based on different factors than those used by the 
international oil companies," said Fatih Birol, IEA chief economist.
NON-OPEC PEAK
The IEA's projections pointed to a rise in world oil supply to 106 million 
barrels per day (bpd) in 2030 from 84 million bpd in 2007.
Most of the increase would come from members of the Organization of the 
Petroleum Exporting Countries, whose share of world oil output was projected 
to rise to 51 percent in 2030 from 44 percent in 2007.
Outside OPEC, production has already peaked in most countries and would peak 
in most others before 2030.
The need to invest enough to ensure supply meets demand has been a recurrent 
theme in the IEA's annual outlook.
The 2008 report highlighted again the urgent need for investment, but also 
shifted the focus to dwindling reserves.
It looked at decline rates for 800 of the world's oilfields, where it 
expected the average rate of decline to increase to 8.6 percent in 2030 from 
about 6.7 percent currently for those that have passed their production 
peak.
Given the high cost of bringing on new output and the struggle to match 
supplies with demand, the IEA assumed consumers would pay an average of $100 
a barrel for oil over the next seven years and more beyond that.
The agency was careful not to predict prices, but makes price assumptions in 
its assessments.
Oil reached a record peak of more than $147 a barrel in July, but has fallen 
back below $60, a drop of more than 50 percent in just over three months.
On Wednesday it traded below $58 a barrel.
"It's short-term bearish, long-term quite bullish," said Tony Machacek of 
Bache Financial of the IEA's report.
"Whether it's having an influence on today's activity, I very much doubt. 
We're in the hands of the financial markets yet again."
The IEA saw more price volatility ahead.
"Pronounced short-term swings in prices are likely to remain the norm," the 
IEA said.
"The sudden drop in oil prices in August and early September 2008 -- in the 
absence of any obvious major shift in demand or supply -- lends support to 
the argument that financial investors have been playing a significant role 
in amplifying the impact of tighter market fundamentals on prices."
The report's projections for world oil demand were for a 1 percent increase 
per year on average, to 106 million bpd in 2030 from 85 million bpd in 2007.
World energy demand was expected to grow by 1.6 percent per year on average, 
with China, the world's second biggest energy consumer, together with India, 
accounting for just over half the increase.
The Executive Summary of its latest Outlook was released last week ahead of 
the full report. (Additional reporting by Alex Lawler, Christopher Johnson, 
David Sheppard, Joe Brock, Nao Nakanishi, Gerard Wynn, Nina Chestney, Muriel 
Boselli and Jacqueline Cowhig) (Editing by Peg Mackey and Barbara Lewis) 
larger | smallerBusiness 

 significa....altro che di dio avremo da preoccuparci.....
E' cosa buona e giusta  :-)  mettere i link di ciò che si copia incolla dal
Wed, ce lo metto io va, e ci metto anche dove si può tradurre...
E poi, che c'è da strupirsi e da spaventarsi? Già l'economista filosofo Marx 
( quello che tanto hai disperzzato attaccando me che ne postavo)  aveva 
previsto
( non per rivelazione divina, ma per puro calcolo) che questo sarebbe
avvenuto, non è comunque ancora la fine del sistema, anche se è vicina
e...meno male! :-)
http://uk.reuters.com/article/oilRpt/idUKLC20692220081112?rpc=401&

 
-- 

 significa....altro che di dio avremo da preoccuparci.....
Oddio, è lungo e io non so leggere così bene l'inglese, se vado sul link
il cursore si blocca e devo fare reset (Grrrrrr) così non ci ho capito un
cazzo.
Puoi dirmi in poche chiare parole sintetiche cosa dice?
La fine del sistema comunque è prevista nel 2012.
Vieni con me all'isola di Tonga?
ary

 ha scritto nel messaggio 
news:491c08ae$0$18154$4faf...@reader3.news.tin.it...

 A Tonga sono tutti obesi... io preferisco le Palau ( micronesia)  Ma se il 
sistema collassa , laggiu' come ci arriviamo????
In parole povere dice  che non c'e'e piu' possibilita' di estrarre nuovo 
petrolio,
 cioe' che abbiamo raggiunto il punto di massima disponibilita', d'ora in 
poi , si va verso l'esaurimento.
Raffaele 

 non č comunque ancora la fine del sistema, anche se č vicina


 poi , si va verso l'esaurimento.
E' giunto il momento di pensare seriamente ad un' energia alternativa.
Era ora.
ary

 SECOLI.
Non sono predizioni Karman, sono calcoli di un economista, quindi non 
premonizioni ma *previsioni* con calcolo logico di un conoscitore esperto in 
materia economica,  per giunta filosofo (  razionalista ;-)
Ciao!!