Method for assessing the probability of a vehicle driving along a possible driving path, comprising: providing the current distance between the geographical position of the vehicle and a reference position; providing a possible future driving path of the vehicle; providing operating information for a direction indicator, wherein the operating information indicates whether the direction indicator is activated at the current position and, if it has been activated, at what distance from the reference position and in which direction the direction indicator was last activated; parameterizing a model for operating the direction indicator on the basis of the possible future driving path, wherein the parameterized model provides an occurrence measure for the operating information for the direction indicator and the current distance, specifically a measure of the probability of the operating information occurring on the driving path, assuming that the driver intends to follow the possible future driving path, wherein the occurrence measure enables a statement with respect to the execution probability of the driving path; determining the occurrence measure with the aid of the parameterized model; wherein the determination of the occurrence measure comprises the following calculation if the operating information specifies that the direction indicator is activated: ƒ R s s C = P R λ e λ s − s C where: λ=− log 1 − P 10 / Δs where: s indicates the distance between the location at which the direction indicator was activated and a predetermined reference point on the digital map; s c indicates the distance between the current position and the predetermined reference point on the digital map, P R is the probability of the direction indicator being activated even though the driver is driving straight ahead and, in particular, is a value in the range between 0.01 and 0.05, and P 10 is the probability of the driver deactivating the direction indicator in the interval from s to s + Δs following activation when driving straight ahead and, in particular, is a value in the range from 1/300 to 1/100, and Δs is a predetermined distance, in particular a value from the range of 0.5 m to 5 m. providing the current distance between the geographical position of the vehicle and a reference position; providing a possible future driving path of the vehicle; providing operating information for a direction indicator, wherein the operating information indicates whether the direction indicator is activated at the current position and, if it has been activated, at what distance from the reference position and in which direction the direction indicator was last activated; parameterizing a model for operating the direction indicator on the basis of the possible future driving path, wherein the parameterized model provides an occurrence measure for the operating information for the direction indicator and the current distance, specifically a measure of the probability of the operating information occurring on the driving path, assuming that the driver intends to follow the possible future driving path, wherein the occurrence measure enables a statement with respect to the execution probability of the driving path; determining the occurrence measure with the aid of the parameterized model; wherein the determination of the occurrence measure comprises the following calculation if the operating information specifies that the direction indicator is activated: ƒ R s s C = P R λ e λ s − s C where: λ=− log 1 − P 10 / Δs where: s indicates the distance between the location at which the direction indicator was activated and a predetermined reference point on the digital map; s c indicates the distance between the current position and the predetermined reference point on the digital map, P R is the probability of the direction indicator being activated even though the driver is driving straight ahead and, in particular, is a value in the range between 0.01 and 0.05, and P 10 is the probability of the driver deactivating the direction indicator in the interval from s to s + Δs following activation when driving straight ahead and, in particular, is a value in the range from 1/300 to 1/100, and Δs is a predetermined distance, in particular a value from the range of 0.5 m to 5 m. s indicates the distance between the location at which the direction indicator was activated and a predetermined reference point on the digital map; s c indicates the distance between the current position and the predetermined reference point on the digital map, P R is the probability of the direction indicator being activated even though the driver is driving straight ahead and, in particular, is a value in the range between 0.01 and 0.05, and P 10 is the probability of the driver deactivating the direction indicator in the interval from s to s + Δs following activation when driving straight ahead and, in particular, is a value in the range from 1/300 to 1/100, and Δs is a predetermined distance, in particular a value from the range of 0.5 m to 5 m.