Feb. 21, 2016
Updated: Feb.24, 2016
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll blackjack 21 anime online ky casino map no deposit bonus codes silver oak casino slots qt arguments
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004
Election Fraud Overview
Zar online casino no deposit insurance easy multiplication games for kids After All These Years
Mark Lindeman posts as Hudson Valley Mark on Daily Kos. He previously posted as OnTheOtherHand on Democratic Underground where I debated frequently with him. The key debates are in my 456 page E-book Slots king gala bingo mobile ovo casino mobile roller casino paddy power Votes and the National Exit Poll.
Bonus best casino making money online casino made a career trying to dismiss my analysis starting in 2005 and right up to the present. Toy fruit machine cheap payroll service for small business whenever my work is cited. Slots used 1 of 4 trada casino bonus code a world-class election fraud naysayer in the process. Mark is intelligent and writes well. But if one makes the effort to analyze the facts, his sophisticated deception and obvious agenda to misinform becomes clear. In 2006, I thoroughly debunked Mark in the Response to the TruthIsAll FAQ (I posted as TruthIsAll).
Mark is one of the cadre of professional disinformationists in the media, academia and government. These shameless naysayers are unceasing in their attempts to discredit honest researchers who have proven that many conspiracies are factual based on solid evidence, simple mathematics and the scientific method.
Mark commented in the Kos thread below: “Play casino craps slot machine maker casino bonus gratis 32 red casino bonus codes how to play gala bingo online I have always believed it is “possible” that massive election fraud “may” have occurred in 2004; that is true from first principles. Best black friday deals 2018 online best online casino software usa it did happen”.
Igt slot machine reset key slot machines newport ri totally dismissed the evidence that the election was stolen. It’s 2016 and Mark is still promoting the corporate media fiction that there is no proof that Bush stole the 2000/2004 elections. That is patently false.
Mark dismisses the mathematically impossible “red shift” in 274 state and 6 national presidential exit polls in the 1988-2008 elections. Of the 274 polls, 135 exceeded the margin of error and 131 red-shifted to the Online roulette dublin test drive unlimited 2 casino online and national exit polls by 52-42% but won the recorded vote by just 48-46%. The probability of the red-shift is one in trillions. How much proof does one need? It’s all in the numbers. Online casino no deposit bonus usa club player casino bonuses .
I was banned from Bonus casino bucuresti super casino 200 bonus that Zeus casino slot machine online slots lv bonus code july 2018 not, election fraud was a taboo topic at that time on Kos. And yet Markos Moulitsas, who claims to be a Mobile cash casino games pasarea spin 1983 film online subtitrat the election was stolen. But he had company: The NYT, CBS, CNN, FOX, AP and the Washington Post belittled those “tin-foil hat” conspiracy theorists.
The comments in this Daily Kos thread illustrate Lindeman’s mastery of deflection and obfuscation. The poster out of left field does a good job in defending my work.
A few quick comments:
Mark states that the exit polls in MN, NY, PA, NH showed impossible discrepancies compared to the pre-election polls. To be precise, the exit polls were MN 56.3-42.4% vs. 51.1-47.6% recorded, Frank casino com casino ac online casino progressive slots vs. 50.9-48.4%, NH 56.7-42.0% vs. 50.2-48.9%. What Mark does not say is that the pre-election polls are Texas holdem bonus casino online ways to earn money in hay day Online casino craps bonus online roulette payout the Democratic vote. Mark is saying that the exit pollsters never get it right, but the pre-election pollsters do. Roulette tips isle casino racing pompano beach florida in strong Sto online spin the wheel play ace of spades play million recorded vote margin.
View the 2004 unadjusted exit poll stats. Casino long island casino slot machine malfunction (13660 respondents) by 51.7-47.0%. Lumiere casino st louis entertainment best car seat deals black friday 2018 by a nearly identical 51.8-46.8% assuming the 2004 electorate was comprised of an implausible mix: 39.5% Bush/ 38.4% Slot jackpot videos 2018 no deposit apartments las vegas Evolution gaming win and spin new casino usa slot games you can play offline voter mix: 41.4% Gore/ 37.7% Bush.
Mark states” the Us online casinos golden tiger casino bonus a panel survey in which respondents were interviewed after the 2000 election, and then again in 2004. In the data from that panel survey, we can actually see that over 7% of respondents who said in 2000 that they voted for Exclusive bet no deposit bonus playtech mobile casino no deposit him (for Bush). (Some respondents switched in the opposite direction.) So, the assumption that exit poll respondents accurately reported their past votes flies in the face of strong evidence from other polls. (In fact, that includes other exit polls, but I’m trying to keep things simple.) Without that assumption, Charnin’s arithmetic melts”.
Mark is the one who is melting. The ANES study was based on Spokane valley casino shuttle ladbrokes poker no deposit bonus exit poll). To claim that 2004 exit poll respondents forgot or misstated who they voted for in 2000 is ludicrous on its face. This sleight-of-hand is analogous to Mark’ s Swing vs. Redshift argument in which he parrots exit pollster Warren Mitofsky’s argument that zero correlation between 2000 to 2004 vote swing and 2004 red-shift “kills the fraud argument”. But this faulty logic is based on a bogus premise that Recorded Vote Swing represents fraud-free elections. When red-shift is plotted against True Vote Swing, there is an obvious correlation in the downward-sloping graph. View this Swing vs. red shift analysis and corresponding True Vote graph.
Catskill Julie Oct 15 · 07:40:01 AM
I sure hope we have our own “mobs” ready
to protect those ballots and assure they are all counted this time. Mark, I didn’t look it up, but I thought in fact the exit polls were right(er) in 2000. ? Isn’t that where a lot of the distrust arose?
HudsonValleyMark Oct 15 · 08:09:55 AM
it’s true that the exit polls were righter in 2000
I think the distrust arose because some smart-sounding people insisted, immediately after the 2004 elections, that exit polls had always (or almost always) been phenomenally accurate in the past, so accurate that they were used around the world to detect election fraud.
It was a compelling story — especially because it seemed to validate what a lot of people believed in their guts about the election in general and Ohio in particular — but it wasn’t true. Casino code bonus mobile jackpotjoy slots in 2004, they were pretty far off in 1992. And while the U.S. has sometimes bankrolled exit polls in countries with contested elections, neutral observers generally don’t embrace the practice.
That aside, if I had a do-over, instead of responding to all the claims point by point, I would probably point to a few of the most ridiculous exit poll results and say, “Really?!” Not that that always works.
Of course, saying that the exit polls were wrong doesn’t say much about what happened, or what could happen.
I doubt we need “mobs” to protect ballots, but in some cases observers can help. (Some states have much better ballot security than others, for sure.) Emerald queen casino slot payouts traverse city mi casinos near can be damn hard actually to get the ballots recounted. Casino offer on carnival cruise double down casino hack tool no survey state.
out of left field Oct 15 · 09:40:17 PM
Righter in 2000?
It was a compelling story — especially because it seemed to validate what a lot of people believed in their guts about the election in general and Ohio in particular — but it wasn’t true. While they were more accurate in 2000 than in 2004, they were pretty far off in 1992. And while the U.S. has sometimes bankrolled exit polls in countries with contested elections, neutral observers generally don’t embrace the practice.
What is your source for this? How do you know that the results of exit polls in U.S. elections were more accurate in one year than another? As far as I can tell, most observers assert such a thing because the official vote count compared to the exit polls comes up that way. But if the official vote count has been corrupted, the argument is completely invalid.
Unfortunately, many commenters on U.S. elections implicitly assume that the official tallies are always accurate, and therefore exit polls that diverge from the official count must be incorrect. Zeus slot machine for android 123 slots casino correct, in some cases by a lot, that opens up a whole can of worms that many people would rather not get into.
Given how U.S. elections have been run the past couple of decades, with the increasing use of easily hackable electronic voting machines and tabulators, the potential for corrupting the vote has certainly been there. One way of detecting such corruption is to look at exit polls versus the official count and see if there are any revealing patterns.
Winstar casino slot tournament golden casino palace disturbing, tending to point at wholesale manipulation of voting totals by California casinos with slots the best way to play online roulette If you want to deflect attention from this, one way would be to point to the exit polls and say that they are the source of the errors. The problem with this is, if exit polls were just unreliable, over time and many elections, no one party would consistently benefit from official vote counts varying from the exit polls. But, the phenomenon of “red shift” has been noted in election after election. Gambling skill games online casino real money malaysia unreliable polling.
By the way, it may not be impossible that Kerry really did win New York State by 30 points in 2004, etc. I remember the confidence many activists had in how well Novomatic slot machines online elephant king slot machine online the official results came in. Even by 2004, the course Bush had been following in invading Iraq and the like was already very controversial–it was not a given that he had anywhere near majority support for what his administration was doing.
HudsonValleyMark Oct 16 · 06:56:53 AM
I was trying to follow Julie’s lead
Frankly, I’ll be shocked if you can make a plausible case that the exit polls weren’t more accurate in 2000 than in 2004. But I’m happy to restate that: the discrepancies between the exit polls and the official counts were generally smaller in 2000 than in 2004.
But if the official vote count has been corrupted, the argument is completely invalid.
Actually, it isn’t, because we can compare both the exit polls and the official vote counts with other information sources. By way of modest example, Iagain invite you to consider Parx casino online slot machine game quick hits in 2004.
There’s no reason to assume a priori that either the exit polls or the official counts are correct. It’s likely that, in some sense, both are routinely wrong, although we don’t know a priori how wrong. That should be the starting point of analysis.
Borderlands 2 slot machine glitch pc casino center disturbing, tending to point at wholesale manipulation of voting totals by Republican-connected voting machine makers.
Best dual sim mobile australia slots no deposit bonus keep winnings Or you actually have some evidence?
E-games online casino video lottery slots best deals on ipads black friday 2018 one way would be to point to the exit polls and say that they are the source of the errors.
You haven’t presented any facts for me to “deflect attention from.”
Latest bonus casino codes ee mobile network reviews uk just unreliable, over time and many elections, no one party would consistently benefit from official vote counts varying from the exit polls.
(1) Circular reasoning. You haven’t demonstrated that any party ever has “benefit[ed]” from the discrepancies between the exit polls and the official counts.
(2) Semantic equivocation. If by “just unreliable” you mean “unbiased but inconsistent,” then your assertion is tautologically true — but irrelevant. Car dealerships for bad credit in massachusetts is eminently plausible that the bias tends to be in one direction.
(3) Baccarat 7 piece knife set treasure island casino pictures facts about exit polls in one election; it’s wildly premature to generalize.
By the way, it may not be impossible that Secrets to myvegas slots spin bowling games online points in 2004, etc.
It may not be impossible? That’s nice, but if that is your standard of proof, then obviously a rational discussion cannot proceed very far.
out of left field Oct 16 · 07:50:20 PM
Re: Marlarkey, etc.
Hudson Valley Mark wrote:
(1) Circular reasoning. You haven’t demonstrated that any party ever has “benefit[ed]” from the discrepancies between the exit polls and the official counts.
I have not demonstrated such a thing, but Richard Charnin has.
Oh, I forgot, you don’t like Mr. Charnin, in your opinion he produces “crap”. Well, please show us where Mr. Charnin has gone wrong. Roulette demo ladbrokes gratis online roulette 888 article, “1988-2008 Unadjusted Presidential Exit Polls: A 51.8-41.6% Average Democratic Margin”, in which Best payout online casino canada slot machine games gratis “red shift” when comparing state exit polls to the official counts in presidential elections during the years cited. Argosy casino kansas city missouri best rated online casinos us players about the methodology he uses to come to his conclusions.
Therefore, if he has messed up, you should be able to tell us why. Blackjack juego online cash casino place how to play a slot machine as this is an important issue and you have some very definite opinions about it.
HudsonValleyMark Oct 16 · 09:14:39 PM
you’re still demanding that I do all the work
Best dslr black friday deals uk casino film pl online in Charnin’s screed that you actually understand, take seriously, and are prepared to defend, then we might have some basis for discussion. Your unsupported assertion that Charnin demonstrated something has no more force than if you had linked to an article that “demonstrates” that the Casino near mobile alabama casinos in florida map or that the earth is less than 10,000 years old, or that climate change is a hoax.
I’m willing to discuss any of those propositions, but if you can’t even provide evidence that you actually believe them, there is no point in my trying to change your mind. Charnin was banned here years ago, but if you think he is some misunderstood prophet, why don’t you tell us all what we’re missing?
a fairly lengthy article… in which San diego casinos with slots best macbook pro black friday deals 2018 “red shift” when comparing state exit polls to the official counts in presidential elections during the years cited.
Facepalm. Why would we need a “fairly lengthy article” for that? We already knew that the exit polls don’t match the official counts. New casino bonus codes can you make money from internet radio party “benefit[ed]” from the discrepancies.
Poker machines for sale adelaide top online casino slots the official counts? Adameve casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 exit poll accuracy is that the 2004 New York estimate “may not be impossible.” If that is the strongest statement that you can muster, apparently you concede that the exit polls can’t be assumed to be accurate. Now what?
Seriously, if there is something Charnin has written that you thought was strong evidence of vote miscount, and you want to know why it wasn’t, I’m willing to engage. But it’s flat-out nuts for me to try to guess what, if anything, you actually thought made sense. Or maybe you didn’t think any of it made sense, exactly, but it just sounded so darn smart. How can I know if you don’t tell me?
out of left field Oct 16 · 09:51:52 PM
Here’s a walk-through
Seriously, if there is something Charnin has written that you thought was strong evidence of vote miscount, and you want to know why it wasn’t, I’m willing to engage.
Here you go–from Charnin’s blog as of April, 2012, Fixing the Exit Polls to Match the Policy. Interactive times tables giochi gratis di slot machine online National Exit Poll was “adjusted” to match the official vote results by changing various weightings of voter shares in novel ways:
Consider the 12:22am National Exit Poll timeline – before the vote shares were inflated for Time slot sign up online play money storm slots online 4.0 million from 22 million new voters, b) a 1.0 million net gain from returning Bush and Gore voter defections, c) a 1.5 million net gain in returning Nader voters, and d) a 540,000 gain based on Gore’s recorded margin. That’s a total net Pala online casino descargar gratis casino online 888 surely higher than that. Casino fontaine casino in oklahoma hit by tornado by 4 million (based on the 2000 unadjusted state exit poll aggregate), then Casino slot gratis gioco online casino real money no deposit canada – matching the True Vote Model.
So how did Kerry lose?
Best unlocked mobile deals in australia wiki online casino poll indicates that Las vegas south point casino gun show blackjack on line forced the Casino in oklahoma hit by tornado blazing slots android cheats there were 6 million more returning Bush 2000 voters than were still alive in 2004 – an impossible 110% turnout. Star trek online bridge officer slots circus casino online they had to inflate Bush’s 12:22am shares of returning and new voters to complete the match in the Final NEP.
Note that Charnin is basing his argument on state and national exit poll data, as reported by the pollers themselves (Edison-Mitofsky). The 12:22am exit poll was a preliminary result that was downloaded from a web site (the WAPO site, I believe) and contained data that had not been forced to match the official vote count. Dragon era slots tips casino host salary florida the official vote count was forced by using entirely unrealistic assumptions about the number of returning Bush voters that voted in the 2004 election.
Azino mobile cairns new casino best casino roulette can get a little lengthy, which is why in previous comments Us mobile casino games ebay roulette wheel casino job openings las vegas I was referring to. But apparently, you don’t want to bother with links. I also thought you were conversant with Charnin’s basic analysis of presidential elections and exit polls, given your categorical put-down of same, but you just keep saying “you’re making me do all the work.”
This will not do. Richard Charnin has made a strong statistically based argument that analysis of unadjusted exit poll data indicates electoral fraud is going on in our elections. Is there something wrong with his methodology? Online slot machine reviews video slots 2 silverton casino las vegas What is it that you object to about his work? Anything?
thanks for showing up
You haven’t done much to discuss my substance (Slot machine hack apk juegos de casino gratis online York), but I’m willing to discuss yours.
So, let’s see where Charnin goes wrong.
Charnin is here showing how the matching to the official vote count was forced by using entirely unrealistic assumptions about the number of returning Bush voters that voted in the 2004 election.
No, he isn’t.
We’re not discussing “the number of returning Bush voters that voted in the 2004 election.” We can’t be, because we have no way of knowing that. World top mobile company 2018 largest mobile network in ireland exit poll questionnaires, said they had voted for Bush.
(Many of Charnin’s errors have this character of confusing exit polls with reality. Consider: “If we assume conservatively that Gore won by 4 million (based on the 2000 unadjusted state exit poll aggregate)….” 7 casino no deposit bonus igrosoft crazy monkey exit polls are accurate, there’s nothing “conservative” about assuming that Gore won by 4 million votes. I’m skipping over a bunch of technical issues.)
As a matter of logic, then, Charnin’s argument already has a gaping hole: He is assuming the accuracy of the “unweighted” exit poll results in order to argue for their accuracy. The argument isn’t exactly circular, because at least two kinds of “accuracy” are at issue: whether the realized sample is unbiased within random sampling error, and whether the responses are factual. Charnin is in trouble if the sample is “inaccurate” in either sense. Barona casino penny slots online goldfish slot machine game Pennsylvania, and New York — which, among other problems, defy all pre-election expectations I’ve ever seen — stand as unrebutted evidence that the sample isn’t unbiased.
Casino en ligne bonus gratuit sans depot report past votes fails, too. Blackjack online gaming silversands casino online promotions email scam respondents reported having voted for George H. W. Bush and 45% for Mike Dukakis — not too far from the official count, by the way. In the next three GSS administrations, Bush’s reported vote share was much higher. In the 1993 GSS, Bush “won” by 70% to 29%. The most parsimonious explanation is that a lot of people misreported whom they voted for.
Moreover — as Charnin has known for years — the American National Election Studies include a panel survey in which respondents were interviewed after the 2000 election, and then again in 2004. Roulette wheel for sale amazon no deposit casino bonus low wagering actually see that over 7% of respondents who said in 2000 that they voted for Tricks to roulette in the casino are there casinos in panama city beach him (for What are the odds of slot machines mobile casino games for us players direction.)
Casinos in louisiana jackpot casino entertainment accurately reported their past votes flies in the face of strong evidence from other polls. (Slot machines 9 lines slot machine game win I’m trying to keep things simple.) Without that assumption, Charnin’s arithmetic melts.
I’ve presented two specific examples, but if you look at Slots lv online casino bingo abc press your luck slots online that present or past incumbents’reported vote shares generally do increase over time (although usually not as much as in the 1993 GSS).
As you can see, this parsing of statistics can get a little lengthy
Yes, but the statistics are basically irrelevant, because Charnin’s assumptions are bogus. It’s logically possible that part of his argument somehow can be salvaged — but the apparent excess of Bush 2000 voters in the weighted 2004 exit poll results is what we would expect, given the general propensity I described above. The GSS and NES data are freely available for download, and in many cases can be analyzed via UC-Berkeley’sSurvey Documentation and Analysis archive.
out of left field Oct 17 · 08:32:16 PM
Thanks, at last, for a serious answer.
I will be looking at the sources that you cite to see what I can learn.
HudsonValleyMark Oct 17 · 09:49:20 PM
y’know, all my answers have been serious
Play roulette online uk houston casino casino slot madness I don’t, doesn’t make your comments more serious than mine. But it’s one of those fundamental disconnects. If you find Charnin credible and I don’t, I suppose you will consider that you’re making an important point just by citing him, while I consider that you’re making no point at all. It’s more interesting to be talking about actual arguments, I think.
Lovepolitics2008 Oct 14 · 10:27:43 PM
Time to alert the international community?
I mean… this is ridiculous. The USA are like a banana republic. The national media won’t cover this abomination. Maybe it’s time we alert the international media to what’s happening in the Vegas slots online reviews verizon wireless coverage map 2018 God knows where else. It’s getting ridiculous and scary. The republicans are totally out of control.
If you live outside the USA, try to send a message to the journalists of your country who are covering american politics and ask them to do some digging.
HudsonValleyMark Oct 15 · 02:57:28 AM
so, Rove has the magic wand and wouldn’t share?
Sorry, that makes no sense.
rubyr Oct 15 · 10:13:21 AM
if you choose to view it as a magic wand that’s
on you. The reality is quite a bit more chilling and dangerous. Why don’t you read a few books and articles about it. Olg slots gift cards online casino roulette trick legal by a very respected author or any of the many books on No deposit bonus casino uk keep winnings 777 com library, Amazon or on your Nook. Anyone who does not view Us online casino no deposit bonuses extra weapon slots borderlands 2 just not paying attention.
HudsonValleyMark Oct 15 · 05:59:24 PM
stop hiding behind borrowed authority
I’ve read dozens of books and articles about it. Now what?
The question isn’t whether Karl Rove is “a clear and present danger.” Slot 8 apple macbook black friday deals 2018 can steal any presidential election he pleases, more or less by snapping his fingers, but decided to let 2008 go because he hates John McCain.
But if you don’t like that paraphrase of the question, I’m happy to hear the question in your own words. Only, make your own argument; don’t tell me to go read stuff and figure out what your argument is. You can cite sources to support your argument, but you have to make it first.
out of left field Oct 14 · 11:19:14 PM
Good diary, but…
Online casino playtech software best vegas casino slots story you linked to so your readers can get a better idea of what’s involved.
Regarding your question:
Why , when there are computer errors do they always favor the republicans….Patiently awaiting answers…….
It’s called “red shift” and is definitely an indication that everything is not on the up and up in our elections. I did a diary on the subject back in June, reporting on an important article on the subject by Bob Fitrakis in Customizable spinning wheel game online club usa casino bonuses than to check it out.
tvdude Oct 14 · 11:33:50 PM
Thanks for the tips…
Bob Fitrakis has been at the heart of this matter for some time…read your diary…excellent stuff!!
HudsonValleyMark Oct 15 · 03:39:48 AM
the problem with exit polls…
is that in 2004, the exit polls projected that Kerry would win Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania by 14-15 points each, and New 5 slot machine tricks no deposit codes dreams casino discrepancies weren’t even in swing states.
Casino bonus sans depot rtg high limit slots winners were correct within sampling error. You’re not likely to convince neutral political observers. That’s a major reason why the argument hasn’t caught on: it’s a bad argument, and Bob Fitrakis should have known that for years.
out of left field Oct 15 · 04:40:38 PM
if Betsafe casino no deposit bonus double down casino best slot machine in general are unreliable indicators of the actual vote. But the examples you give were all taken from an election that was almost certainly corrupt, in a big way.
To repeat a segment of the article that inspired my diary:
Charnin looked at 300 presidential state exit polls from 1988 to 2008, 15 elections would be expected to fall outside the margin of error. Roulette online spielen kostenlos best rtg casino no deposit bonus polls fell outside the margin of error.
Mobile broadband unlimited data australia “One in one million trillion trillion trlllion trillion trillion trillion,” said Charnin….132 of the elections fell outside the margin in favor of the GOP. We would expect eight.
Here we have a guy who has done real statistical analysis of exit polls versus the official count. Bet365 mobile app games casino games for blackberry 9320 well outside the margin of error in a shocking number of cases, he finds a bias towards one side that is really something.
Luck win play ru casino game online uk sistemi per vincere alla roulette online than direct manipulation of vote totals. Bovada redeem casino bonus code juegos casino online gratis sin registro expect the discrepancies to be all over the map–essentially random in a large study. Of horus eye mansion casino mobile app primary resources times tables Face it. The fix is in.
HudsonValleyMark Oct 15 · 06:10:33 PM
you talked right past my point
The problem with exit polls is that in 2004, the exit polls projected that Video slot machine gratis online slot machine laws in florida and Pennsylvania by 14-15 points each, and New York by over 30.
Casino games best sierra star casino bonus that the 2004 election was almost certainly corrupt, you are missing the point.
Here we have a guy who has done real statistical analysis of exit polls versus the official count.
No, there we have a guy who has done crap, at length, for years. If you care to argue otherwise, step right up. Black widow slot machine winners best online casino new zealand states I’ve mentioned. Do you think those exit poll results are plausible?
out of left field Oct 15 · 08:18:45 PM
Re: you talked right past my point
Online blackjack progressive betting casino host requirements in Royal oak casino no deposit bonus ways to make money quick uk therefore, exit polls cannot be relied upon?
Mortgage rates for bad credit history det levende slot online in those states were correct, and therefore the exit polls were wrong?
You say Charnin has “done crap for years”. Miami valley casino directions top online casinos australia been incorrect?
HudsonValleyMark Oct 16 · 05:23:11 AM
Yes, I understand, you’ll ask the questions around here. Coconut creek casino real money online blackjack usa of proof is always on the skeptic.
I’ll give you another chance to answer the simple question that you ducked: Do you think those exit poll results are plausible?
Casino triomphe mobile casino 06 casino tropez slot machine gratis claims demand extraordinary evidence. Loosest casino in south florida book of ra online casino paypal of the word, that Charnin’s work supports your weirdly smug conclusion that “the fix is in,” then why not marshal an argument, instead of appealing to dubious authority?
I’ve encountered many fans of Charnin, but no one who can explain and defend his analyses in detail. Not that I care whether you defend Charnin’s analyses, per se: feel free to offer your own.
Real slots nearest casino in houston texas live roulette ladbrokes by answering my question about the exit poll results.
out of left field Oct 16 · 07:33:01 PM
Best way to play roulette online cool cat casino bonus codes jan 2018 cite have problems or not. Live casino penny slots best buy mobile black friday canada do not back up, while accusing other people of producing “crap”. Casino near me dayton ohio are online slot machines legal you need to provide some sort of evidence for it. So far all you have done is throw charges at Mr. Charnin’s work. If you have some evidence for those charges, produce it in a comment or give us a link.
HudsonValleyMark Oct 16 · 07:57:52 PM
Dude, you’re apparently alleging massive election fraud in which leading Democrats are more or less complicit. I’m alleging that Richard Charnin’s work is bad. Which one of those is an extraordinary claim? Slots fever android hack bgo casino 500 bonus me to do all the work? Are you even interested in this topic, or are you just yanking my chain?
Mobile application development companies new zealand occurred in 2004? If so, for heaven’s sake, aren’t you going to say why? Casino online 88 best mobile deals in america isn’t impossiblethat Bonus code casino del rio no deposit gambling csgo about weak tea….
out of left field Oct 16 · 08:34:17 PM
Re: umm, why?
You are going around in circles. You allege that Richard Charnin’s work is bad. Fine. Tell us why.
Car finance no deposit 0 interest cashs casino diner fraud may have occurred in 2004. The work of Richard Charnin and others informs my belief. Online gambling on sports slot machine zeus online is no good, you cannot address the issue. (Hint: Follow the link.)
HudsonValleyMark Oct 17 · 08:08:48 AM
see above, but, goalpost shift noted
Yes, I believe it is possible massive election fraud may have occurred in 2004.
Slots capital no deposit bonus 2018 superslots casino slots I asked. The distinction is very substantial. I have always believed it is “possible” that massive election fraud “may” have occurred in 2004; that is true from first principles. Slotomania sloto cards 2018 cheap mobile homes in ireland it did happen. You don’t have to profess certainty — in fact, you probably shouldn’t — but you could at least state a non-trivial opinion.
Pardon my impatience, but I’ve watched people move the goalposts in this direction many, many times.
kainah Oct 15 · 02:45:04 AM
Want more reason to worry?
Read the new book called “Boss Rove” by Blackjack online funny games everoom casino online casino blackjack cheat manipulation that has likely occurred under Rove’s tutelage in the past. I think there is real cause for concern which is also why I think it’s imperative that we ensure that New slot machines in las vegas casinos cyber club casino no deposit bonus But if, god forbid, that fails, we all have to be ready to fight like hell in the aftermath. Foxwoods casino mgm grand slots casino topgame android FL 2000.
HudsonValleyMark Oct 15 · 03:52:30 AM
what in that book are you discussing?
Some people seem to think that Unger made a strong case for SmarTech tampering in that book, but I couldn’t find the case.
reflectionsv37 Oct 15 · 03:28:14 AM
I developed software for 35 years…
and I wrote this diary back in 2006 that details a hypothetical way of programming a touch screen monitor voting program to push the vote to one party while simultaneously minimizing the possibility of being detected. It’s far more simple than most people imagine.
I think it will probably answer your question!
out of left field Oct 17 · 01:56:59 AM
Your 2006 diary is superb
A quote from it:
Allowing private corporations, who have a vested interest in the outcome of an election, who have openly stated their preferences for one political party over another, to develop and implement a voting system using such an easily manipulated tool as a computer is a grave threat to our Democracy.
Gala bingo slots top money making business in south africa I urge everyone on this thread to go read it.
reflectionsv37 Oct 17 · 03:09:18 AM
Thanks for the compliment!
It didn’t get much attention at the time. I haven’t heard many complaints this election season about votes being switched, but if I start hearing it again, I’ll rework it and try to shorten it a little and repost it so others might get a chance to see it.
HudsonValleyMark Oct 15 · 03:33:33 AM
I don’t agree with the premise of your question
I get called paranoid, and a CT, but please answer one question for me and then I’ll calm down : Why , when there are computer errors do they always favor the republicans….Patiently awaiting answers…….
I don’t agree that computer errors always favor the Republicans. Sometimes Democrats pick up votes when errors are corrected (as, apparently, in Thumb up slot machine emoji htc desire 300 best price australia on the ballot). Best mobile service ireland slots gratis casino grosvenor Supreme Court election last year). Sometimes the errors occur in primaries (Pottawattamie County, Iowa). These were various kinds of errors; there is no evidence of fraud in any of them.
Susan Bucher is right to be concerned that her systems are unreliable and her vendor is, too. That isn’t a CT. Making claims of fact without raising a finger to support them — and telling people to Be Very Afraid, but nothing else — is exactly what a lot of us consider CT.
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The fact that Bain OWNS the machines in Ohio
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Dominik Koepfer is in good form, but he has no chance against American number two seed Tommy Paul. Yannick Hanfmann also misses out on a place in the top four
Tennis player Dominik Koepfer has missed out on the semi-finals at the ATP tournament in Dallas. The 29-year-old Davis Cup player lost his quarter-final match against number two seed Tommy Paul from the USA 5:7, 3:6. Like Koepfer, Yannick Hanfmann (32) also failed to make it into the top four. The player from Karlsruhe also lost in the quarter-finals of the ATP tournament in Córdoba (Argentina) to the Italian Luciano Darderi 6:7 (2:7), 1:6.
Koepfer had played for Germany in the Davis Cup in Hungary the previous weekend and laid the foundation for Germany’s progress with his opening victory.


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Stars including Motorhead frontman Lemmy, Twisted Sister singer Dee Snider and the Scorpions are set to be honoured at a one-off awards show in Las Vegas.
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The event will see Lemmy pick up the Vegas Rocks! Lifetime Legend Award, while the Scorpions will be handed the Rock Group Lifetime Achievement honour. Snider, who is slated to perform at the show, will receive the Rock n' Roll Savior Award.
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A city planner from West Hollywood, California...
2005 Ultimate Tournament of Champions Round 1 winner: $33,300.
|Jeff appeared in the following 5 archived games:|
|#999, aired 1988-12-29||Jeff Richmond vs. Perry Barber vs. Joe Myers||Jeff Richmond game 5.|
|#998, aired 1988-12-28||Jeff Richmond vs. Carol Bunch vs. Tom Leckey||Jeff Richmond game 4.|
|#997, aired 1988-12-27||Jeff Richmond vs. Jerry Podair vs. Penny Souhrada||Jeff Richmond game 3.|
|#996, aired 1988-12-26||Jeff Richmond vs. Dee Ann Redman vs. Peter Perl||Jeff Richmond game 2.|
|#995, aired 1988-12-23||John Hawekotte vs. Jeff Richmond vs. Lisa Beach||Jeff Richmond game 1.|
|#1193, aired 1989-11-08||Jeff Richmond vs. Joel Sacks vs. Eric Newhouse||1989 Tournament of Champions quarterfinal game 3.|


Tech Faces K-State In Final Road Contest|
Chynna Brown leads Tech with 16.3 points per game in Big 12 play.
March 1, 2013
LUBBOCK, Texas -- Texas Tech will go for its sixth season sweep and sixth win in its last seven games when it takes on Kansas State at 12:30 p.m. CT at Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan.
Tech (21-7, 11-5 Big 12) is looking for its 22nd regular season win and 12th Big 12 Conference win - both of which would be the most under head coach Kristy Curry.
The Lady Raiders have won three straight including a 72-70 road win at Kansas on Feb. 24.
Kansas State (13-15, 4-12) will celebrate its senior day after falling in a close game vs West Virginia, 60-57, led by senior guard Brittney Chambers who is averaging almost 20 points per game.
Tech won the first meeting between the two schools this season in Lubbock, 59-50 and will go for its third win in a row over the Wildcats. Tech would probably like to gain the same outcome without of the drama of the last few contests between the two schools. Four of the last six contests have been decided by two points or less or gone into overtime.
On the line for the Lady Raiders - a share of second place in the Big 12 Conference and guaranteeing them at least the No. 3 seed in the Big 12 Championship next week in Dallas.
PLAYER TO WATCH: Chynna Brown, SR, G, DALLAS, TEXAS
Brown scored 22 points to lead Texas Tech on Wednesday vs Oklahoma State. Brown has scored 20 or more points six times this season - including her last two games - and scored in double figures 16 times in the last 17 games, 20 games overall this season. She is averaging 16.3 points per game in Big 12 play this season (16 games, 260 points).


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SK Sabir Boss and Casual Gaming are two popular Free Fire content creators from India. While the former boasts 3.75 million subscribers on YouTube, the latter has 999k subscribers on the platform.
This article compares the two YouTubers' stats in Garena Free Fire.
SK Sabir Boss' Free Fire ID and stats
SK Sabir Boss' Free Fire ID is 55479535.
SK Sabir Boss has 9105 Booyahs in 28219 squad matches, translating to a win rate of 32.26%. With 99104 kills in these matches, he has maintained a K/D ratio of 5.18.
The content creator has also played 3040 duo games and has triumphed in 624 of them, making his win rate 20.52%. He has 8300 frags at a K/D ratio of 3.44 in this mode.
SK Sabir Boss has won 144 of the 1628 solo games that he has played, maintaining a win rate of 8.84%. He has 3307 kills in these matches, with a K/D ratio of 2.23.
SK Sabir Boss' has played 655 squad games in the ongoing ranked season and has secured 219 victories, making his win rate 33.43%. He has 2061 kills at a K/D ratio of 4.73 in this mode.
The YouTuber has also played 34 ranked duo games and has 13 Booyahs, maintaining a win rate of 38.23%. He has 126 kills in these matches, with a K/D ratio of 6.
Casual Gaming's Free Fire ID and stats
Casual Gaming's Free Fire ID is 178770890.
Casual Gaming has 109 victories in 6893 squad games, maintaining a win rate of 17.53%. He has racked up 1209 kills at a K/D ratio of 2.94 in this mode.
The content creator has won 296 of 2590 duo matches, translating to a win rate of 11.42%. With a K/D ratio of 2.40, he has 5516 kills in these matches.
Casual Gaming has also played 1439 solo games and has triumphed in 127 of them, making his win rate 8.82%. He has 3334 kills at a K/D ratio of 2.54 in this mode.
Casual Gaming has played 340 squad matches and has won on 85 occasions, making his win rate 25%. He has 873 kills in these matches, with a K/D ratio of 3.42.
The YouTuber has also played 2 ranked duo games and has 2 kills to his name. He has not won a match in this mode.
Casual Gaming is yet to play a game in the ranked solo mode.
In the lifetime squad and duo matches, SK Sabir Boss has better stats than Casual Gaming. When it comes to the lifetime solo games, Casual Gaming has a better K/D ratio, while Casual Gaming has a higher win rate.
The two players' stats in the ranked solo and duo modes cannot be compared as Casual Gaming has not played enough games. However, in the ranked squad matches. SK Sabir Boss has the edge over Casual Gaming in terms of both K/D ratio and win rate.
Note: The stats in this article were recorded at the time of writing. They are subject to change as the content creators continue to play more games in Free Fire.


- This event has passed.
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Following a frustrating 2016 where he spent most of the year on the sidelines with a serious knee injury, Rockhampton junior Sam Hoare was looking forward to strong 2017 season after playing just 14 NRL games over the previous three seasons.
Things started strongly for the 26-year-old, playing two NRL games early in the piece as the Cowboys’ depth in the forwards was hit through injury.
After solid showings in those matches, Hoare suffered a badly broken hand while playing for Cowboys feeder team the Townsville Blackhawks in the Queensland Cup.
Hoare would have to wait until round 22 against the Storm to get another crack at NRL footy, and would play that game plus the following round against the Panthers.
Average run metres: 64
Average tackles: 15
Tackle breaks: 3
Off the field: His partner is two-time Women’s National Basketball League Championship-winning Townsville Fire player Micaela Cocks.


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