Reform of U.S. International Taxation: Alternatives
Released: 2017-08-01T00:00:00

Introduction

The increasingly global scope of U.S. business has a variety of dimensions. In trade, the overall level of exports plus imports has risen steadily and substantially in recent decades, increasing from 16% of U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) in 1976 to 29% of GDP in 2016. Cross-border investment is growing even more dramatically. In 1976, the ratio of U.S. private assets abroad to GDP was 0.20; by year-end 2016 the ratio was 1.42.

The bulk of the increase in outbound investment has been portfolio investment—investment in financial assets such as stocks and bonds without the active conduct of overseas business operations. But foreign direct investment by U.S. firms—actual foreign production by U.S.-owned companies—has increased too, rising from a ratio of 0.12 of GDP to 0.44 of GDP between 1976 and 2016. It is the taxation of U.S. business operations that has been the recent focus of policymakers, and that has raised the question of basic tax reform in the international sector: Is the current U.S. system for taxing U.S. international business appropriate in this age of globalized business operations, or is reform needed? Moreover, along with the increasing scope of international investment activities, there is a growing opportunity for tax shelters that take advantage of low-tax foreign jurisdictions. How might revisions in the tax system exacerbate or address these tax shelter issues?

The current U.S. system is a hybrid construct, embodying a mix of opposing jurisdictional principles. Not surprisingly, the mixed system—in conjunction with foreign host-country taxes—poses a patchwork of incentive effects for U.S. firms and their global operations, in some cases taxing foreign operations favorably and creating an incentive to invest abroad, and in other cases imposing high tax burdens and posing a disincentive to overseas investment. In still other cases, the system presents a rough tax neutrality toward overseas investment. It is perhaps the hybrid nature of the system that has led to calls for reform. Prescriptions for a "good" tax system vary, and the hybrid system satisfies none of them fully.

This report describes and assesses the principal prescriptions that have been offered for broad reform of the international system. It begins with an overview of current law and possible revisions. It then sets the framework for considering economic efficiency as well as tax shelter activities. Finally, it reviews alternative approaches to revision in light of those issues.

The Current System and Possible Revisions

The System's Structure

There are two alternative, conceptually "pure," principles on which countries base their tax in the international setting: residence and territory. Under a residence system, a country taxes its own residents (or domestically chartered resident corporations) on their worldwide income, regardless of that income's geographic source. Under a territorial or source-based system, a country taxes only income that is earned within its own borders.

In practice, no country uses a pure residence-based tax; historically, virtually all countries tax income foreign investors earn within their borders (although they may grant tax holidays in some cases as an inducement to investment). Many countries, however, have a territorial or source-based tax (although they may tax some foreign-source income under anti-abuse rules). The United States uses a system that taxes both income of foreign firms earned within its borders and the worldwide income of U.S.-chartered firms.

Despite these nominal residence features, however, U.S. taxes do not apply to the foreign income of U.S.-owned corporations chartered abroad. As a result, a U.S. firm can indefinitely defer U.S. tax on its foreign income if it conducts its foreign operations through a foreign-chartered subsidiary corporation; U.S. taxes do not apply as long as the foreign subsidiary's income is reinvested overseas. With some exceptions, U.S. taxes apply only when the income is remitted to the U.S.-resident parent as dividends or other intra-firm payments such as interest and royalties. The deferral feature reduces the effective U.S. tax burden on foreign income and imparts an element of territoriality to the system. It also results in a dichotomous structure for taxing overseas business income: deferral in the case of foreign-subsidiary income and current taxation in the case of branches of U.S.-chartered corporations. The bulk of active business investment by U.S. firms is through foreign-chartered subsidiaries.

Along with deferral, another basic feature of the U.S. system is the foreign tax credit. The United States taxes worldwide income on either a current or deferred basis, but it also allows credits for foreign taxes paid on a dollar-for-dollar basis against U.S. taxes otherwise owed. This treatment avoids the double taxation that would otherwise apply and concedes the first right of taxation to the country of source. In effect, the United States gives the foreign host country the first opportunity to tax the income and collects only what tax is left (up to its own rate) after the foreign host country collects its share.

When the foreign tax is higher than the U.S. tax, the credit is limited to the U.S. tax that would be due on the foreign income. The purpose of the limit is to protect the U.S. domestic tax base—without it, foreign countries could impose very high taxes without discouraging inbound U.S. investment because the cost of the higher taxes would be shifted to the U.S. Treasury. With the limitation, if foreign taxes exceed the U.S. tax that would be due, the excess foreign taxes cannot be credited. Foreign tax credits that exceed this limitation are termed excess credits . Currently, foreign tax credits are allowed on what is sometimes termed an overall basis, so that income and tax credits from all countries are combined. This treatment allows for cross-crediting , in which credits paid in excess of U.S. tax in one country may be used to offset U.S. tax in a country in which the foreign tax is lower than the U.S. tax. To prevent abuse, tax credits are divided into baskets that separate passive income easily shifted to low-tax countries. Currently, two baskets exist, one for active income and one for passive income. More than half of foreign-source active business income is earned by firms with overall excess credits.

Cross-crediting can also occur across types of income. For example, royalties are subject to current U.S. taxes and are generally deductible by firms in foreign jurisdictions, but they are considered foreign-source income. As a result, they are shielded from tax in many cases by excess credits.

To address tax avoidance by shifting passive income into low-tax jurisdictions, Subpart F restricts the applicability of deferral in some situations. Subpart F provides that U.S. stockholders (e.g., parent firms) of foreign corporations are subject to current U.S. tax on certain types of subsidiary income, whether or not the income is repatriated. Only stockholders owning at least 10% of subsidiary stock and only subsidiaries that are at least 50% owned by 10% U.S. stockholders are subject to Subpart F. Countries that have territorial tax systems generally also have some type of anti-abuse provision to protect their tax bases.

Tax deferral results in heightened importance for the system's rules for dividing income between related firms; the more income a firm can assign, for tax purposes, to a foreign subsidiary in a low-tax country, the lower its overall tax burden. The current system generally requires firms to set hypothetical transfer prices , which are required to approximate the prices two firms would agree on if they conducted their transactions at arm's length. The system is complex and difficult to administer.

The foreign tax credit's limitation also places pressure on the system's rules for determining the source of income ( sourcing rules). Because firms can only credit foreign taxes against the portion of taxable income attributable to foreign sources, taxpayers must assign both revenue and costs to either domestic or foreign sources. Although the tax code contains rules for making such allocations, they are likewise complex and difficult to administer.

In sum, the United States taxes its resident corporations on their worldwide income but permits indefinite deferral of active business income earned through foreign subsidiaries. Where U.S. taxes apply, foreign tax credits alleviate double taxation but are limited to offsetting U.S. tax on foreign income. Subpart F is designed to deny deferral to what is generally passive income.

Possible Revisions

Because the current U.S. tax system is a mix of a worldwide system and a territorial system, the fundamental tax reform issue is whether moving toward either pure system—a territorial or worldwide residence-based regime—would be an improvement. Moving toward a territorial system would involve permanently exempting most foreign-source active business income. (Most territorial proposals, however, would continue taxing passive income, as under current law's Subpart F.) Moving toward a worldwide tax would eliminate the deferral benefit and might also entail further restricting cross-crediting by increasing the number of baskets for the foreign tax credit limit. Some revisions that maintain the current system but tighten the rules for deductions include proposals to disallow certain deductions of the parent company (such as interest) that reflect the share of income that is deferred.

The report defers discussion of the precise changes fundamental reform would entail. First, however, it explains the tools economists have developed for evaluating the various international tax systems.

Neutrality, Efficiency, and Competitiveness

The term competitiveness has often been invoked in the debate about U.S. policy in a global economy, including discussions of U.S. tax policy. In economic analysis, however, it is not countries that are competitive; it is companies that are. A company generally thinks of itself as competitive if it can produce at the same cost as, or a lower cost than, other firms. But a country's firms cannot be competitive in all areas. Indeed, even if firms in a country are more productive than firms in all other countries in every respect, a country would still tend to produce those goods in which its relative advantage is greatest. The other countries need to produce goods with their resources as well. This notion is called comparative advantage, and it is an important concept in economic theory.

When discussing national policy, including tax policy and its effect on the international allocation of capital, the issues are generally framed around questions of efficiency, neutrality, and optimal policies rather than notions of competitiveness. These terms can mean the same thing, or they can be slightly different. Neutrality generally refers to provisions that do not alter the allocation of investment from that which would occur without taxes. When markets are operating efficiently, a neutral tax policy will also be an efficient policy because it will maintain the efficient allocation that would occur without taxes. Moreover, even when the market is imperfect, neutrality may still be the policy most likely to be efficient, given the difficulty in identifying and measuring market imperfections.

Optimal policy differs from efficiency in that it usually refers to a particular agent or actor choosing a policy that maximizes his or her own welfare. A country can also choose a policy that leads to the greatest welfare for its own citizens, even if that policy distorts the allocation of capital (is not neutral) and leads to less efficient worldwide production. The optimal policy from the perspective of a country, in other words, may not be the most efficient in terms of the worldwide allocation of capital, and it may not be the optimal policy from the perspective of world economic welfare.

Economists have traditionally used three concepts to evaluate tax rules that apply to outbound investment. These concepts are referred to as neutrality concepts, although, as shown below, they are not always neutral in the sense of not distorting the allocation of investment. The concepts are capital export neutrality , capital import neutrality , and national neutrality . To evaluate the consequences of any multinational tax reform, it is crucial to understand these concepts, whether they are valid, and what they imply for policy. The concepts were developed when virtually all foreign investment took place as direct investment of multinational companies; virtually no foreign portfolio investment (ownership of foreign stock by U.S. citizens) existed. The growth in this portfolio investment has led to a new neutrality concept, referred to as capital ownership neutrality . These traditional and new concepts are addressed in turn.

Understanding Capital Export Neutrality, Capital Import Neutrality, and National Neutrality

Capital export neutrality requires a country to apply the same tax rate to its firms' investme nts, regardless of where they are located, and is embodied in a residence-based tax system. Capital import neutrality requires the same tax on firms with different nationalities that invest in a given location and is embodied in a territorial or source-based tax. National neutrality requires that the nation's total return on investment, including both that nation's taxes and its firms' profits, is equal in each jurisdiction, foreign and domestic. This form of neutrality is obtained by taxing foreign-source income and allowing a deduction for foreign taxes.

Some of these neutrality rules may also be rules for optimization. National neutrality is often described as optimal, but that outcome is only the case with perfectly mobile capital and no retaliation by foreign countries. There is also an optimizing rule for choosing the tax rate on inbound investment, which depends on how responsive that investment inflow is to the return.

Evaluating policy, discussed subsequently, is complicated because although some countries have territorial or source-based taxes, no country imposes a pure residence-based tax. Worldwide taxation as practiced in the United States and other countries has some attributes of a residence-based tax, but it is a mixture of residence- and source-based tax. Tax is imposed on foreign firms operating within the United States, a source-based attribute. On outbound investment, the application of tax to repatriated income creates some resemblance to residence tax, but the foreign tax credit limitations cause it to depart from such a tax, and deferral provisions introduce an element of a source-based tax.

Because these concepts are so frequently misunderstood, it is useful to employ a simple illustrative example to explain them with the pure tax systems that are consistent with capital export neutrality and capital import neutrality. In these simple systems, national neutrality is the same as capital export neutrality. Its nuances will be discussed in the following section, in which more realistic tax systems are discussed. In this instance, it may be helpful to demonstrate the difference between residence-based and source-based taxes in achieving economic neutrality.

Consider a world beginning with no taxes and assume that capital is perfectly substitutable across countries, implying that a firm will earn the same after-tax return in each location. The return is 10%. There are three countries: a high-tax country that imposes a 50% tax rate, a low-tax country that imposes a 25% tax rate, and a zero-tax country. All investment is made through the companies' direct operations, so there is no substitution of capital across firms and the capital owned by each country is fixed. The high- and low-tax countries have capital that can be used to invest in their own country or in the other two countries. To simplify, the zero-tax country is assumed to have only labor and no capital.

Table 1 shows the return to firms in the absence of any tax and with the two tax systems in place but before investment has shifted (which would alter the pretax return). Residence taxation, which produces capital export neutrality, has no effect on the allocation of investment by either country's firms because each firm still earns the same return in each location. Source-based taxation, however, will result in higher returns in the zero- and, to a lesser extent, low-tax countries. As a result, capital will flow out of the high-tax country, raising its return and lowering the wages of the workers in that country, and into the zero-tax country, lowering its return and raising the wages of the workers in that country. The effect on the low-tax country depends on the size of that country and its labor force relative to the rest of the world. In addition to the effects on the return to capital and wages, output is produced inefficiently, which reduces world welfare.

Table 1 can also be used to show that the residence-based system is consistent with national neutrality but the source-based system is not. For the high-tax country, in each location it earns 5% in tax revenue and 5% in profits (for a total of 10%). Thus, the total return to the nation is equated in each jurisdiction. The same is true of the low-tax country, although the total return is split into 2.5% taxes and 7.5% profits. The source-based system does not meet that standard. Even before investment shifts, the high-tax country, while earning 10% domestically and in the zero-tax country, is earning only 7.5% in the low-tax country, because that country's government is collecting the tax. The same is true of the low-tax country with respect to investment taxed by the high-tax country.

National neutrality departs from capital export neutrality in the more complex, real-world circumstances. It, in fact, requires that foreign-source income be taxed and that any taxes imposed by the country of location be deducted (rather than the current rule of some countries, including the United States, that allow taxes to be credited). If foreign countries impose taxes, national neutrality does not lead to worldwide neutrality because foreign investment is discouraged in countries that impose taxes.

National neutrality is really about optimal policy, which maximizes the welfare of the country's residents. It is an optimal policy if all capital is perfectly mobile; if not, it is actually optimal for a country to impose even more tax on outbound investment than is suggested by the neutrality standard.

In sum, according to these long-standing measures of neutrality and efficiency, capital export neutrality is appropriate for maximizing world output, national neutrality is appropriate for maximizing a nation's welfare, and capital import "neutrality" is not neutral at all.

Capital Ownership Neutrality

A new concept of neutrality has appeared in recent years. The term capital ownership neutrality (CON) is closely associated with Desai and Hines, professors, respectively, of business at Harvard and economics at the University of Michigan. The term itself, however, appears to have been coined by Michael Devereux, a British economist. The underlying justification for the new standard's development, the growth of portfolio investment, was also discussed independently about the same time in a paper by Frisch. Essentially, capital ownership neutrality is the same as capital import neutrality in that, under certain very restrictive assumptions, it is achieved by source-based taxation. Some of the earlier discussions viewed it as a resurrection of capital import neutrality.

The issue of ownership neutrality developed because international investment markets changed. At the time the previous notions of neutral international tax systems were first developed—generally, the early 1960s—virtually all U.S. investment abroad was carried out through foreign direct investment by U.S. firms. U.S. portfolio investors held almost no stock in foreign firms. Until the mid-1980s, the share of foreign stocks in U.S. residents' stock portfolios was less than 1%. Thus, it was reasonable to assume, as in the discussion above, that there was no substitution across the nationality of firms but rather only across locations—that is, U.S. investors could not substitute investment abroad through foreign firms for investment in U.S. firms with foreign operations. Over time, however, the share of foreign stock in U.S. residents' portfolios increased. By the end of 2006, before the recession, it was 22%. By the end of 2016, it was 19%, although that fall may have reflected the rest of the world's slower recovery from the recession. This overall increase did not occur smoothly: it rose in the latter part of the mid-1980s to about 6%, leveled out for a number of years, then again increased around 1993 and 1994 to about 11%, where it stayed until around 2001 and then rose again.

A closer look at the CON concept indicates that, to make the argument that capital ownership neutrality (and therefore source-based taxation) should be the guiding principle for an efficient and neutral tax system, three requirements are needed. First, firms are assumed not to substitute operations in one location for those in another—capital is completely immobile across locations. Second, firms must differ in their productivity—that is, some firms are more efficient than others—and there must be substitution across portfolios that results in firms being shut out of lines of business that they could run more efficiently. Third, there must be no mechanisms available to obtain the benefits of productive efficiency—short of owning the productive capital assets. For example, relatively inefficient firms cannot rent efficient technologies or hire efficient managers away from efficient firms.

If only the first requirement is met (immobility across locations), any system of taxing investment abroad would be neutral because the particular distortion—allocation of investment across locations—is simply assumed away. It does not matter if overseas operations are taxed higher or lower than domestic investment, because investment has no reason to move. Residence taxation would be efficient as well as source-based taxation, because the national affiliation of firms would not matter to productivity (although residence taxation would not be optimal for the high-tax country that would have no revenues).

If the two remaining assumptions also apply—productivity differs and no mechanisms exist to boost efficiency—it can be shown that residence-based taxation is inefficient whereas source-based taxation produces efficiency. For example, returning to Table 1 , suppose some firms in each country are particularly productive and can earn 12% before tax rather than 10%. With residence-based taxation, the after-tax return of the high-tax country's productive firms, which would yield an after-tax return of 6%, would not be enough for these firms to operate and, if the only way to realize the higher return is to own the capital, the higher pretax yields of these more efficient firms would not be realized. With source-based taxation, the efficient firms in each country would operate and displace the less efficient ones.

In the more realistic tax systems in which countries also tax capital income in their own locations, the high-tax country's especially productive firms would still operate in their own country. That is, by taxing income within its borders, a high-tax country that is attempting to practice capital export neutrality with a worldwide tax still faces neutral ground in its home country. Thus, any distortion arising in practice from the current system would involve foreign firms and the solution of exempting foreign-source income from tax is the solution consistent with capital ownership neutrality.

Consider each of the restrictions in turn. The first is the assumption that capital is immobile across locations; as noted above, there is considerable evidence that it is not and, indeed, that it is quite elastic. So at best, it would be a question of picking which type of distortion is worse. As long as capital is mobile across jurisdictions, capital ownership neutrality is not neutral. At most, the model shows that there is no way to achieve neutrality and that one is in a second-best world.

The second restriction requires a high, perhaps perfect, degree of substitution in portfolios of different types of stocks that would lead to the exclusion of stock of high-tax countries. There is considerable evidence to suggest that such perfect substitution is not the case. It has long been known that there is a significant home bias in the holding of both portfolio and direct assets. Despite global securities markets, American residents continue to hold 80% of their stock portfolios in stock of U.S. firms. If portfolio investment were perfectly substitutable, the U.S. share would be expected to be closer to the share of total assets. The United States accounts for about a third of total fixed investment of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries.

The fact that the share of foreign stocks in the portfolios of U.S. residents has grown does not in itself provide evidence of a significant elasticity; rather, it may reflect a variety of technical and institutional changes that make holding foreign stocks more feasible or more likely. Moreover, the portfolio shares are consistent with the notion that the holdings that do exist are not due so much to tax differences as to a general desire to diversify assets across countries to reduce cyclical risk. Prior to the recession, two-thirds of investment in foreign equities by U.S. residents was in other countries with similar tax rates. At the end of 2006, the two largest shares of total foreign equities in U.S. residents' portfolios were for the United Kingdom (16%) and Japan (15%). The UK, with a 30% corporate rate, had a lower statutory rate than the United States (39% including state taxes), but Japan had a rate of 41%.

Recently, tax rates have fallen in many countries, including the UK and Japan. The total foreign share has, as noted above, decreased, but the composition has shifted somewhat toward countries viewed as tax havens. Of the foreign portfolios, the UK share fell to 13% at the end of 2015, whereas the share for Japan fell to 10%. The next two largest claimants in 2006 (Canada and France, with 7% and 6%, respectively) had tax rates of 35% each. These shares were similar at the end of 2013 (5% each). Canada's tax rate had declined, but France's was unchanged. There were significant shares in two tax havens in 2006, Bermuda (5%) and the Cayman Islands (3%). According to the 2006 Department of the Treasury report, however, the Bermuda investments are largely former U.S. firms that have moved their locations to avoid U.S. tax (a phenomenon called "inversion" that was subsequently addressed with legislative restrictions), and the Cayman Islands investments are in offshore financial centers (again, likely a tax-avoidance issue rather than a direct-production issue). The share in Bermuda declined to 3% at the end of 2015, but the Cayman Islands share rose to 14%, apparently, in part, because of the addition of new survey respondents. The Cayman Islands was also an inversion location.

An imperfect portfolio substitution elasticity also suggests that the phenomenon of eliminating efficient firms is less likely to happen. Especially productive and efficient firms will earn higher returns than other firms in similar circumstances of nationality and location, and they would be expected to be retained in both domestic and foreign investors' portfolios. Any firms whose size is contracted by portfolio shifts due to tax rates are more likely to be the marginal firms that have a normal level of productivity.

Finally, this model assumes there are no other ways to enjoy the additional productivity of more efficient firms. In effect, the model begins with the assumption of productive advantages without defining in formal terms—so that the effects can be modeled—the source of the productivity.

For example, if the greater productivity of the firm is due to the employment of managers with greater skills, then that productivity arises at a cost, and these management skills embodied in the individuals resident in a given country should be free to move to their highest use and allocated efficiently. Because they add a surplus value, they would not be driven out of the market, and worldwide efficiency requires a capital export neutrality approach to labor resources as well as capital.

If the asset is uniquely tied to the firm—such as a value through a trademark, intangible research and development, or even a management set-up—the model does not allow for the fact that ownership of the productive assets and ownership of the intangible asset can, in most cases, be separated. Trademarks and patents can be franchised and sold. Or, if the intangible cannot be separately sold (for example, if the research and development could be easily copied and thus is not patented but kept secret), there are ways for the firm to operate without ownership of the capital assets, such as factories, machinery, and equipment that give rise to normal products. These assets could be leased by the firm with the intangible asset. Moreover, if the asset is not closely tied to management, the firm could arrange for contract manufacturing, a technique commonly used to shift profits. These techniques may be less than perfect if there are principal-agent costs, but this effect is of questionable importance.

In light of the many ways in which the efficiency costs of capital ownership non-neutrality are unlikely to be significant compared to location distortions, it seems questionable to use meeting this standard of neutrality to evaluate tax reform changes and questionable to see source-based taxation as an efficient international tax regime.

Assessing the Existing Tax System

The above examples illustrate the various traditional concepts of neutrality and how they are embodied in basic tax structures. However, as described at the report's outset, the U.S. tax system is a hybrid—neither a pure territorial- or residence-based system. Accordingly, it presents a patchwork of incentive effects, sometimes posing an incentive to invest abroad and, in other situations, presenting either a disincentive or tax neutrality. This section looks at the existing system's principal incentive effects.

First, in some cases the U.S. system resembles residence-based taxation—it taxes foreign branch income on a current basis while allowing a foreign tax credit. Even where current taxation applies, however, the U.S. system departs from pure residence taxation by placing a limit on its foreign tax credit. If pure residence-based taxation means taxing income of residents at the same rate, regardless of where it is earned, an unlimited foreign tax credit would be required. Under such a credit, when the foreign tax is lower than the home country tax, the home country would collect a residual, equating the total tax imposed to that on its domestic investment. When the foreign country's tax is higher, the home country would have to refund the excess so that, again, the tax on the foreign investment would be the same as the tax on domestic investment. In practice, however, an unlimited foreign tax credit is not feasible because of its potential threat to the home country tax base (here, that of the United States). Without a limit, countries host to foreign investment could simply raise their taxes on inbound investment without limit and without fear of driving foreign investors away. The foreign investors could simply credit their high foreign taxes against their home country tax bill. The United States thus limits its foreign tax credit to offsetting U.S. taxes on foreign (and not domestic) income.

The incentive effects of a worldwide system with a limited credit depend on exactly how the credit is limited. If the limit applies separately for each country (a per-country limit), the system would achieve neutrality on outbound investment with respect to low-tax-rate countries but not high-tax-rate countries. If taxes can be averaged across countries—that is, if a firm calculates a single limit aggregated across countries—the neutrality consequences are less clear. In that case, the excess credits from the investment in a high-tax country can be used to offset tax due on investments in the low-tax country (can be cross-credited). For example, assume profits were $100 in a high-tax location with a 50% rate and $100 in the zero-tax location, with the home country tax rate 25%. With no cross-crediting, a firm from the 25% tax rate country uses the foreign tax of $50 to wipe out the home country tax of $25, with only the tax of $50 applying, while the firm would pay a home country tax of $25 on the income earned in the zero-tax jurisdiction. The total tax is $75. With cross-crediting, the total foreign-source income is $200, the total foreign tax paid is $50 (in the high-tax country, on $100 of profit), and the total home-country tax due is also $50 (25% of $200 of income in both countries). All foreign tax is credited and the total tax is $50.

Cross-crediting, as allowed in the U.S. tax system, can therefore reduce the disincentive to invest in high-tax countries if the firm already has investment in the zero-tax country because the excess credits have a value. Similarly, it can increase the incentive to invest in the zero-tax country if the firm already has investment in the high-tax country because excess credits can effectively remove any residual tax in the zero-tax country. In either case, foreign investment is encouraged relative to domestic investment. In practice, the U.S. tax system permits extensive cross-crediting; it does not require a per-country limitation, although it does require firms to calculate separate limits for passive and active business income.

Second, the U.S. tax system departs from residence-based taxation in its use of deferral. As described above, U.S. taxes generally do not apply to the foreign business income of foreign-chartered subsidiaries. This feature of the tax system introduces elements of a territorial or source-based taxation into the system, and it also introduces a distortion in firms' decisions of whether to return profits to the United States or reinvest them abroad. Moreover, the interaction of deferral with cross-crediting provides some scope for firms to choose the times and places of repatriation to minimize tax liability. In general, the availability of deferral—like the territorial taxation it at least approaches—poses an incentive for U.S. firms to invest in low-tax countries. In addition, once capital has been invested abroad, the provision encourages firms to retain their earnings overseas rather than returning them to the United States.

This mixture of treatments also provides methods for avoiding tax apart from the direct effects on investment allocation. Deferral provides an incentive to artificially shift profits to low-tax jurisdictions. Because firms can choose between branch operations and investment via foreign-chartered subsidiaries, they can use a branch form when operations are starting up and typically lose money to allow losses to be deducted from the U.S. worldwide income tax and then shift to a subsidiary form when the operation becomes profitable.

In sum, the current system poses a patchwork of incentive effects that is in keeping with its hybrid nature. Where current taxation applies—for example, to branch income—there is a disincentive to invest in high-tax countries and either an incentive or neutrality toward investment in low-tax countries, depending on whether the investing firm can use cross-crediting of foreign taxes. Where deferral is available, the system poses an incentive to invest in low-tax countries. It also provides mechanisms for artificially sheltering income from tax.

Territorial Taxation: The Dividend Exemption Proposal

The preceding sections showed why the theoretical argument that territorial taxation is optimal is difficult to defend. Some have argued, however, that although territorial taxation may not be the most efficient system in a perfect world, it is nonetheless superior to the hybrid, patchwork system that is the current U.S. system—a second-best argument.

To understand this argument for territorial taxation, it is helpful to examine the specific version proposed in a 2001 American Enterprise Institute monograph by economists Harry Grubert and John Mutti. Until the recent proposals for a territorial tax by Ways and Means Committee Chairman Camp and Senator Enzi, the proposal that was discussed over the years was the Grubert-Mutti proposal. In 2005, President Bush's advisory commission on tax reform set forth a similar plan. More recently, the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform proposed a territorial tax, although it did not provide specific details. It is useful to discuss the Grubert-Mutti plan first and then address how the two more recent proposals differed from it.

Grubert and Mutti described their proposal as a "dividend exemption" system, thus focusing on the chief modification their plan would make to the current regime: it would exempt from U.S. taxes dividends repatriated to U.S. parents from foreign subsidiary corporations, thus moving from current law's deferral for foreign income to a permanent exemption. More generally, an exemption system can be viewed as a territorial tax system whose application is restricted to active business investment abroad but that continues to tax portfolio investment of firms (such as interest, royalties, and similar income) on a current basis.

Several additional features of the plan are important to the advantages it might have over the current system. First, the plan would not permit foreign tax credits to be claimed for foreign taxes paid with respect to repatriated earnings. The repatriations, after all, would be exempt from U.S. tax, thus obviating the need for relief from double taxation. Second, deductions allocable to tax-exempt foreign-source income would be disallowed. Here, the reasoning is that the purpose of deductions is to remove items of cost from the tax base; because overseas income would no longer be in the U.S. tax base, removal of associated costs would not be necessary. Importantly, this would mean that a portion of debt incurred by a U.S. parent corporation would not be deductible—the portion assumed to be used in financing tax-exempt foreign subsidiaries. This limitation on deductions would also apply to other overhead expenses, including research and development costs.

As described in the preceding sections, the capital import neutrality and capital ownership neutrality standards both recommend adoption of territorial taxation, but traditional economic theory is skeptical of the theoretical justification of the two standards. Grubert and Mutti argue, however, that even if capital import neutrality and capital ownership neutrality are rejected on theoretical grounds, an exemption system is superior to the current hybrid system in terms of several important factors: efficiency, simplicity, and the raising of tax revenue.

First, efficiency: Grubert and Mutti argue that current law's application of tax to repatriated foreign earnings encourages wasteful and inefficient behavior on the part of corporations in devising methods of repatriating foreign earnings without paying U.S. tax. Under an exemption system, such wasteful planning would be unnecessary. In addition, because foreign tax credits would no longer be applicable, cross-crediting of excess foreign tax credits would no longer shield investment in low-tax foreign locations from U.S. tax and the artificial diversion of technology-exploiting investment to low-tax locations would no longer occur. The elimination of credits would also increase the tax on royalties, which are subject to current tax but considered foreign-source income and thus can have their U.S. tax liability offset by excess credits.

Nevertheless, elimination of these sources of inefficiency alone would not be sufficient to make an exemption system less wasteful than current law. If elimination of tax on repatriations were the only feature of an exemption system, the system would likely increase inefficiency by encouraging added investment in low-tax countries. Rather, the crucial element to an exemption system's purported superiority is its elimination of interest and other overhead deductions for overseas investment. The inclusion of this provision would actually result in an increase in the average tax burden for overseas investment, thus generating an efficiency gain from an improved allocation of investment away from low-tax overseas locations and into the domestic economy.

An exemption system may also increase tax revenue. The Grubert and Mutti analysis concludes that the system would generate $7.7 billion annually in added U.S. revenue. (Their estimate is based on 1994 data.) More recently, the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) estimated the revenue gain at about $7 billion per year. As with the efficiency gains, however, the increase in tax revenues is crucially dependent on denial of deductions for costs allocated to tax-exempt foreign income. Without the new restrictions, an exemption system would likely reduce tax revenue. Moreover, the JCT has significantly increased estimates of the cost of deferral, from approximately $6 billion in 2006 to more than $80 billion in FY2014, making it more likely that the Grubert-Mutti proposal would lose revenue. A loss of revenue would generally indicate that foreign investment is favored in the aggregate.

In the area of simplicity, proponents of an exemption system emphasize its reduction in the need for tax planning. Note, however, that tax complexity—and its accompanying difficulties for tax administration—exists when entities or activities are taxed according to different rules. Under an exemption system, foreign subsidiary corporations would be tax exempt as under current law, and because the exemption would be permanent rather than temporary, its import for firms' tax planners would be magnified. Accordingly, the tax system's transfer pricing rules for allocating income among U.S. parent firms and their foreign subsidiaries would become more important; more pressure would apply to rules that are inherently difficult to enforce. The same would be true for the distinction between active and passive income, because active income would be permanently exempt and passive-investment income would be taxed on a current basis. Firms would have an even greater incentive to move from branch to subsidiary operations for start-up firms.

In an article critical of territorial tax proposals, Kleinbard pointed out analyses by Grubert and others that emphasized the growth in the importance of royalties as a share of repatriated earnings for multinationals, suggesting that the exploitation of intangible assets by multinationals in foreign locations is increasing. However, whereas the Grubert and Mutti analysis sees this as an important reason to adopt an exemption system—cross-crediting of foreign taxes would no longer pose an incentive to low-tax investment under an exemption system—Kleinbard sees it as a liability. The growth of intangibles, argues Kleinbard, would place enormous pressure on the administration of transfer prices.

Proponents of an exemption system concede that it is not perfect but argue that it is at least superior to the highly imperfect existing system. Even this defense, however, has its shortcomings: the most economically attractive aspects of the exemption proposal could, in principle, be adopted piecemeal, and its most distortionary aspects could be left behind. Specifically, more restrictive rules for deducting interest and other costs could be adopted without exempting dividend repatriations from U.S. tax. Such plans could enhance economic efficiency more than would the full-blown exemption systems.

More recent proposals, such as a discussion draft by the Ways and Means Committee subsequently included in a proposal by Ways and Means Chairman Camp, subsequently introduced as H.R. 1 in the 113 th Congress, and a bill by Senator Enzi ( S. 2091 , 112 th Congress), were similar in many ways but also differ substantially from the Grubert-Mutti proposal. Chairman Camp's proposal had an allocation of interest rather than all deductions, and S. 2091 had no allocation of deductions. Both bills provided some relief for royalties. These proposals also contained anti-base erosion provisions or options for limiting profit shifting whose effectiveness is uncertain. They excluded only 95% of dividends, a provision intended to capture some overhead costs but one that is much smaller than the full overhead costs.

The Camp proposal and S. 2091 included provisions aimed at limiting profit shifting through transfers of intangibles by providing a minimum tax on foreign intangible income (which also applied to royalties). In addition, they included an allocation of interest deductions. The proposed plans were revenue neutral in the budget horizon, but this neutrality relied on a one-time taxation of existing accumulated earnings and thus would have lost revenue in the long run. This loss of revenue suggests that both the Camp and Enzi proposals would likely have encouraged more investment abroad. The fleshing out of a detailed territorial tax provision that might be considered legislatively has also served to highlight one of the major concerns about moving to a territorial tax: the possible increase in international profit shifting and tax avoidance, discussed below.

As noted above, the Camp proposal also included a tax on prior accumulated deferred income with a 90% exclusion for earnings not held in cash and a 75% exclusion for earnings held in cash. The proposal also reduced the corporate tax rate to 25%, making these rates 2.5% and 6.25%. Proportional foreign tax credits would have been allowed.

The report next examines what moving toward a residence-based system would look like in practice.

A Residence-Based System in Practice

The capital export neutrality standard recommends a system that would be based on residence—that is, a system that taxes the income of home-country firms, regardless of where it is earned. This section looks at the shape a residence-based system would likely take.

Current law's deferral system would be repealed under a residence-based system, and U.S. taxation would apply on a current basis to the income of foreign subsidiaries, whether or not the income is repatriated. If it were not for foreign taxes, deferral's repeal would move the system to the brink of capital export neutrality (except for the portfolio investment concern): the tax burden on foreign investment would roughly equal the tax rate on domestic investment. Foreign taxes, however, complicate matters and make pure capital export neutrality difficult to achieve in practice. The problem arises when a foreign host country's tax rate exceeds the U.S. domestic tax rate. In such cases, pure capital export neutrality would require an unlimited foreign tax credit. Foreign taxes would offset U.S. taxes on domestic as well as foreign income—only by this mechanism could the high foreign tax burden be brought into line with taxes on domestic investment. Yet, as noted in the preceding section on the existing tax system, an unlimited foreign tax credit is impractical because foreign governments could, in effect, draw on the U.S. Treasury by raising taxes on U.S. investors ad infinitum.

Advocates of a residence-based system have in some cases called for a more restrictive form of the foreign tax credit limitation that would place more limits on cross-crediting than does current law's two-part limit. For example, at various times in the past, the United States has required firms to calculate their limitation on a country-by-country basis (a per-country limitation) under which taxes paid to one country could not be credited against U.S. tax on income from another country. The Wyden-Gregg Tax Reform Act, S. 3018 , introduced in the 111 th Congress, would have, in the context of a general corporate reform that broadened the base and reduced the rate, eliminated deferral, and instituted a per-country foreign tax credit limit. A similar bill, S. 727 , was sponsored by Wyden and Coats and introduced in the 112 th Congress. An alternative or additional approach to restricting cross-crediting was implemented by the Tax Reform Act of 1986 ( P.L. 99-514 ), which, instead of requiring separate limits for each country, specified a variety of different types of income for which separate limits (baskets) were required. The American Jobs Creation Act of 2004 (AJCA; P.L. 108-357 ), however, reduced the number of separate limits to current law's two. Note, however, that a more restrictive foreign tax credit limitation would not necessarily move a residence-based system closer to pure capital export neutrality. As noted above, cross-crediting may pose an incentive to invest in low-tax countries, but it also mitigates the disincentive to invest in high-tax countries.

Capital export neutrality requires equal tax burdens on foreign and domestic investment. Several features of the current system favor domestic over foreign investment, and modifying these features would move the current system in the direction of capital export neutrality. The most important of these is the 9% tax deduction for domestic production enacted in 2004 by AJCA. Other tax benefits that are restricted to domestic investment include the Section 179 "expensing" allowance for machines and equipment and the research and experimentation tax credit.

As noted above, Grubert and Altshuler revisited the topic of international tax reform in 2006 (with a paper published in 2008). In their analysis, they compared the exemption system with what they termed a "burden neutral" worldwide taxation system. In constructing this latter system, they couple elimination of deferral with a reduction in the statutory U.S. tax rate that applies to foreign earnings—thus using the added tax revenue from deferral's repeal to, in effect, purchase a cut in the tax rate. The goal of the exchange is to not damage what they term the "competitive position" of U.S. multinationals. As a consequence of the countervailing changes, the burden on investment in a range of low-tax countries would increase; the burden of a range of income that is repatriated under current law would fall, but the overall burden on overseas investment would be unchanged.

Grubert and Altshuler note that the overall advantage of their burden-neutral worldwide proposal over current law depends on outcomes that are, as yet, unknown: how many firms would be in an excess-credit position under the plan and what the burden-neutral tax rate would be. They also caution that the plan would have another weakness—foreign countries would have an incentive to raise their tax rates in the face of current U.S. taxation because inbound U.S. investment would be less sensitive to the foreign rates. They further note that their plan's reduction of tax rates at the corporate level would shift more of the overall U.S. tax burden on corporations from the corporate to the shareholder level—a virtue in the modern world in which capital is increasingly mobile because shareholder-level taxes are generally imposed on a residence basis and thus achieve allocative efficiency.

A Minimum Tax Approach

In 2013, then-Chairman Baucus of the Senate Finance Committee released a discussion draft of a proposal that taxed some foreign-source income in full and provided lower rates on others, while retaining the foreign tax credit. Under the plan, income derived from activities with a U.S. source as well as passive and mobile income (presumably similar to current Subpart F income) would be taxed in full when earned. Other foreign-source income would also be taxed when earned but at a rate lower than the U.S. rate. The discussion draft described two options, one in which this income would be taxed at 80% of the U.S. rate and one in which active income would be taxed at 60% of the U.S. rate and other income at 100%. The 80% and 60% figures were only suggestions. Minimum tax approaches had also been suggested, without specifics, by the President.

A minimum tax on foreign-source income might be a compromise between moving to a territorial system and eliminating deferral or imposing stricter rules in the context of the current system. Another form of compromise might be requiring a percentage of income to be paid out. This type of system would eliminate the repatriation tax because income would be taxed (at some rate) regardless of repatriation.

The discussion draft also included provisions aimed at limiting profit shifting, including an interest-allocation rule (similar to that of Grubert and Mutti) that would disallow deductions associated with exempt income.

The Baucus staff proposal also included a 20% tax on prior deferred earnings with a proportional foreign tax credit allowed.

The President's budget proposal for FY2016 included a minimum tax of 19% on income of controlled foreign corporations in each country, along with a number of other revisions that had been in prior budgets. A foreign tax credit equal to 85% of taxes paid with taxes assigned per country based on tax residence (not incorporation) would be allowed. The proposal also allows an exemption from the minimum tax base for an allowance for corporate equity (ACE). This provision allows a risk-free return on active assets invested in the country. Its purpose is to exempt from the minimum tax return on the actual activities in the country. The proposal included some other anti-abuse provisions (see below).

The proposal also included a 14% tax on prior deferred earnings, with a proportional foreign tax credit.

Similar proposals were included in the FY2016 budget proposals.

Proposals to Restrict Deferral and Cross-Crediting

It is also possible to move toward further restrictions on deferral without eliminating it entirely. One such proposal, contained in H.R. 3970 , a tax-reform plan introduced in 2007 by Chairman Rangel of the Ways and Means Committee, would disallow certain deductions of parent-company costs (the most important being interest) that reflect the share of income that is deferred. This provision, projected to raise revenue of $106 billion over 10 years, would make investment in low-tax countries much less attractive. The revenue from this provision and other changes were to be used to lower the corporate statutory tax rate.

This proposal also included a foreign tax credit pooling proposal, which would allow a share of foreign tax credits equal to the share of income repatriated. This provision limits the ability of firms to repatriate income from high-tax countries and use excess foreign tax credits to shield income from low-tax countries from the foreign tax credit.

President Obama has proposed these two changes, along with others, in his various budget outlines from 2009 through 2014. (The allocation of deductions, however, excluded research and development expenditures and focused on interest deductions.) In the FY2015 budget, the deferral provision was projected to raise $5.0 billion in FY2016 and $43.8 billion over 10 years (FY2015-FY2024), and the foreign credit pooling provision was projected to raise $6.7 billion in FY2016 and $74.6 billion over 10 years. These provisions were not included in his FY2016 budget because that proposal included the minimum tax proposed above.

Another provision (contained in the FY2010 proposals but not in later outlines) would eliminate check-the-box , a provision that allows firms to elect to treat subsidiaries as separate entities or disregarded entities and permits firms to avoid current taxation on certain income that would be subject to Subpart F anti-abuse rules (such as interest on loans from a subsidiary in a low-tax country to a related subsidiary in a high-tax country). This provision was originally projected to raise $86 billion over 10 years.

A provision in the FY2015 budget proposal would treat excess income from intangibles as Subpart F income and assign them to a separate foreign tax credit basket. This provision was projected to raise $2.67 billion in FY2016 and $30.0 billion over 10 years.

A number of additional proposals that raised revenues on foreign-source income were included in the earlier budget outlines and continued in the later ones, including provisions to restrict credits for payments that are considered in the nature of royalties on extractive industries and to limit deductions for reinsurance of insurance companies via foreign subsidiaries. The FY2015 budget outline included some new provisions to tax under Subpart F certain income associated with digital goods and certain sales income.

The FY2015 proposal also included a new provision to address the allocation of interest to U.S. subsidiaries of foreign parents (replacing one to apply this interest restriction to inverted firms that had shifted headquarters abroad), an issue addressing inbound rather than outbound investment. This provision was also in the FY2016 budget. This provision was projected to raise $2.6 billion in FY2016 and $64.2 billion over 10 years. In addition, the FY2015 and FY2016 proposals contained a provision to disallow inversions (shifting from U.S. to foreign headquarters) by merging with a smaller company, projected to raise $0.3 billion in FY2016 and $12.8 billion over 10 years.

The earlier proposals included a provision that would disallow foreign tax credits when the associated income is not received, as can occur with an arrangement termed a reverse hybrid . This provision was adopted in 2010 ( P.L. 111-226 ). P.L. 111-226 contained a number of provisions directed at perceived abuses of the foreign tax credit.

The Administration earlier presented a framework for tax reform that mentioned five elements: the allocation of interest for deferred income, a tax on excess intangibles, a minimum tax on foreign-source income in low-tax countries, disallowing a deduction for the cost of moving abroad, and providing a 20% credit for costs of moving an operation from abroad to the United States. All of these provisions were included in the FY2016 budget proposal.

A minimum tax on foreign-source income, as discussed above, might be a compromise between moving to a territorial system and eliminating deferral. Another form of compromise might be requiring a percentage of income to be paid out.

Tax Havens: Issues and Policy Options

The topic of tax havens has been a focus of recent international tax policy discussions. (This topic is treated in more detail in another CRS report.) Tax havens do not fit neatly into the traditional capital export neutrality/capital import neutrality/national neutrality evaluation framework outlined above—perhaps because the tax-haven issue involves as much artificial shifting of income and investment as it does questions about how investment is actually allocated. To the extent tax havens abet the shifting of income from its true geographic source to low-tax jurisdictions (the havens themselves), they raise questions about protecting the U.S. Treasury from revenue losses. They also raise questions about tax fairness (not all taxpayers are in position to reduce their U.S. taxes by using tax havens). And to the extent tax havens reduce the tax burden on investment that truly occurs overseas, they also raise the same questions about economic efficiency and neutrality addressed by the traditional framework outlined above.

Tax haven is not a precisely defined term, but in most usages it refers to a country—in many cases a small one—in which nonresidents can save taxes by conducting various investments, transactions, and activities. Attributes that make a country a successful tax haven include low or nonexistent tax rates applicable to foreigners; strict bank and financial secrecy laws; and a highly developed communications, financial, and legal infrastructure.

At the heart of the tax-haven issue is the discrepancy between real economic activity and what is only apparent. Much of the economic activity that appears to occur in tax havens actually occurs elsewhere and is only associated with particular tax-haven countries because of sometimes spurious relationships between the person or firm conducting the activity and the tax-haven country. Thus, for example, much (or even most) of the income reported by U.S.-controlled subsidiaries chartered in tax havens may well have its true economic location either in some other foreign country or in the United States itself. In several small tax-haven locations, incomes of U.S.-controlled foreign subsidiaries are many times larger than GDP.

In part, U.S. firms may find tax havens useful tax-saving mechanisms because of particular aspects of the U.S. tax structure. Here, no illegal tax evasion or even transfer-price manipulation may be necessary to obtain tax savings. An example is the technique sometimes termed a corporate inversion reorganization , in which the overall parent of a corporate group shifts from a U.S.-chartered entity to a foreign corporation organized in an offshore tax haven. The rearrangement can potentially reduce or eliminate U.S. tax that would otherwise be due when foreign income is repatriated. Although legislation has been enacted to prevent inversions that involve simply moving the firm's headquarters, a number of firms recently announced plans to accomplish a headquarters shift by merging with a foreign firm of sufficient size (while still retaining control of the company) to avoid the U.S. law's restrictions. The President's budget proposal includes a provision addressing this issue, and legislative proposals have also been introduced.

U.S. firms can also use tax havens to shift income out of foreign countries where there are corporate income taxes to the zero-tax environment many tax havens offer. Short of outright tax evasion, techniques for shifting income include manipulation of transfer prices affixed to intra-firm sales and other transfers, and the structuring of intra-firm lending and interest charges so as to shift income out of high-tax countries to tax havens (sometimes called earnings stripping ). Transfer price manipulation can also theoretically be used to shift what is actually U.S.-source income to offshore-tax-haven subsidiary corporations. Some of the President's proposals and the Camp tax reform proposal address these issues.

Along with income shifting and expatriation by corporations, tax havens in some cases apparently abet the outright evasion of taxes, occasionally by U.S. citizens. For example, income from illegal activity in the United States can be shielded from U.S. authorities if a tax haven offers sufficient bank secrecy. Or, taxes on legally generated U.S. income are apparently evaded in some cases by depositing the income in secrecy-protected foreign bank accounts. The focus of this report, however, is the activities of multinational firms, so its concern with tax havens is more with legal (albeit what some might term abusive ) income shifting rather than with outright tax evasion.

In part, the ability of firms to divert income from other foreign locations to tax havens has implications for the real location of investment: just because a tax haven is not the true source of income does not make the associated tax savings any less real for the underlying investment, wherever it may be located. Interpret the effect of tax havens on actual investment in terms of the efficiency framework outlined in previous sections of the report. First, regarding the allocation of investment between the United States and foreign locations, existing data indicate that the United States is a relatively high-tax country, even if tax havens are omitted from the calculation. Thus, much of the income shifted to tax havens is likely shifted from countries whose taxes are lower than U.S. taxes to begin with. As a result, it is likely that tax havens on balance magnify the distorting effects of deferral, thus further diverting U.S. investment to foreign locations and, in turn, reducing economic efficiency and U.S. national welfare. This efficiency effect, however, may be mitigated by a reduction in the tax-induced distortion of location decisions across foreign countries.

Along with efficiency effects, tax havens reduce tax revenue collections by capital-exporting countries. In the case of U.S. firms' use of tax havens, the revenue loss can accrue both to the United States (in the case of income shifted from domestic sources) and other countries (in the case of income shifted from other countries with higher taxes). Tax havens likewise have the potential to damage perceptions of tax fairness when public reports appear of large firms and wealthy individuals using tax havens to avoid or evade substantial taxes. Accordingly, a policy question is how tax evasion, or what might be termed abusive tax avoidance through tax havens, can be reduced.

One possible approach to tax havens is multilateral (that is, multicountry) action. The concept here is that tax havens flourish in part because of a lack of coordination in tax administration between non-haven countries and that efforts to suppress tax-haven activities cannot be successful without solidarity among non-haven countries. One prominent multilateral effort has been the OECD's Project on Harmful Tax Practices, initiated in 1996. The focus of the OECD's project has been to identify tax havens and induce them to increase their "transparency" (presumably reduce secrecy about financial transactions) as well as to increase the number and scope of exchange of tax information agreements with tax havens. The OECD more recently has been pursuing a broad effort to address profit shifting referred to as Base Erosion and Profit Shifting, or BEPs. A number of proposals have been issued.

The Clinton Administration put forth a unilateral approach with its FY2001 budget proposal. The basis of the plan was to be a list of jurisdictions identified by the Department of the Treasury as tax havens. Foreign tax credits and the deferral benefit would be restricted for taxpayers using the identified tax havens. More narrow unilateral approaches proposed in the past have primarily involved increasing information reporting requirements.

Several legislative proposals, including proposals in President Obama's budget and a number of congressional proposals, have been made to address evasion and avoidance. Some provisions were adopted in the Hire Act in 2010 ( P.L. 111-147 ).

General Reforms of the Corporate Tax and Implications for International Tax Treatment

Despite increasing globalization of the U.S. economy, foreign direct investment remains a small share of the U.S.-owned capital stock. For that reason, it would perhaps not be appropriate for international concerns to dominate the formulation of corporate tax policy. Nevertheless, specific forms of corporate tax revisions might have important consequences for international taxation.

Under the current U.S. system, taxes on corporate profits at the individual level (dividends and capital gains) tend to be collected (due to tax treaties) on a residence basis. If taxes at the individual level could be increased and taxes at the corporate level decreased, the tax would shift toward a residence-based system without any other changes and without any additional concerns about portfolio substitution. In 2003, relief for double taxation was provided by reducing the tax rate on corporate dividends from the ordinary tax rate to 15% for those in brackets above the 15% rate and to 5% for others. The 5% rate was then scheduled to fall to 0%. Capital gains, which formerly had a top rate of 20%, were also subjected to these lower rates. These provisions expired at the end of 2012 and were extended by the Tax Relief, Unemployment Insurance Reauthorization, and Job Creation Act of 2010 ( P.L. 111-312 ). With the expiration of all the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts scheduled for the end of 2012, these lower rates were made permanent by the American Taxpayer Relief Act ( P.L. 112-240 ), except that very high-income individuals ($450,000 of taxable income for joint returns and $400,000 for single returns), among whom much of capital gains is concentrated, were taxed at 20% on dividends and capital gains.

The revenue estimates for keeping lower rates compared with the return to pre-2003 treatment were $22 billion for dividends in FY2016 and $6.5 billion for capital gains. Based on projected corporate revenues of $439 billion for that year, returning to pre-2003 law would provide sufficient revenue to permit a 2.2 percentage-point reduction in the corporate tax rate. The capital gains portion is small because it affected only a small part of capital gains, although it is slightly larger (by about $1 billion) than a static estimate because of scoring conventions that increase realizations substantially with tax reductions.

The JCT's scoring conventions limit the potential revenue to be earned from taxing capital gains as well as dividends at ordinary rates. For example, the static estimate for revenue from capital gains, from tax expenditure estimates, is $113 billion, but the estimate using JCT's realizations response is only $10 billion, which would allow a reduction of a percentage point. If its realizations elasticity is too large, there may be a much larger gain; for example, using an elasticity recently used by the Congressional Budget Office to project realizations, revenue would be $44 billion and allow an additional reduction of 3.5 percentage points, leading to a corporate rate about 6 points lower, at 29%. Another possibility is to raise rates and tax corporate stock by marking to market so individuals will be taxed on accruals whether they realize gains or not. Because corporate stock is probably more responsive than other sorts of assets, and because this treatment would expand the base to include currently unrealized gains, considerable revenue might be raised.

The corporate tax rate could also be lowered by disallowing part or all of the deduction for interest. Current treatment, which allows a deduction for nominal interest, creates a negative effective tax on the investments rate. Another revenue-raising approach would be to tax more pass-through firms (larger partnerships and Subchapter S firms that are corporations taxed as partnerships) at the corporate level. Also, the statutory corporate rate could be reduced by base-broadening provisions. Base broadening may lower the statutory rate but probably would not lower the effective rate that matters for investment.

A lower U.S. corporate tax is desirable if one believes the most serious distortion in the international tax system is the tendency of capital to flow to low-tax foreign jurisdictions because of deferral. Lower corporate tax rates are also responsive to concerns that portfolio substitution disfavors U.S.-owned firms. Nevertheless, even notable reductions in the U.S. tax rate are unlikely to have significant effects on overall U.S. output because the corporate tax is relatively small compared with GDP. A recent estimate suggests that lowering the rate to 25% without making any other changes would increase U.S. output by only two-tenths of 1% of GDP.

Although international concerns should not necessarily dominate the issues surrounding corporate tax policy, they do suggest the economic desirability of certain types of corporate tax reforms that would improve economic efficiency in the international area.

The "Better Way" House Tax Blueprint: Substituting a Consumption Tax for the Income Tax

The House tax plan, first announced in 2016, would fundamentally change the base of the corporate tax. The plan moves to a territorial tax system but also introduces a destination-based cash flow tax for corporations and unincorporated business. The cash flow tax means that investments are expensed rather than depreciated over a period of years and that interest is no longer deductible. The destination basis means that a border adjustment will apply: imports are taxed and exports are deducted. These changes largely eliminate the corporate tax and replace it with a consumption tax. The rate is lowered to 20%.

The elimination of a production-based corporate tax could cause equity capital to relocate to the United States. It is not clear whether total capital flows into the United States would increase because of the loss of interest deductions. The approach would eliminate the concerns for revenue loss due to profit shifting (since the United States would be an attractive location for profits). With the elimination of taxation of foreign source income, there would be no tax consequences for repatriation of profits of foreign subsidiaries. (The proposal would include a deemed repatriation at lower rates for existing deferred earnings abroad.) There would no longer be an incentive for inversions because a U.S. headquarters would be desirable.

A major concern with the blueprint is that it is estimated to generate a significant revenue loss of in excess of $2 trillion over the next 10 years. Considerable controversy has surrounded the proposal for a border adjustment, which would normally be expected to cause the dollar to appreciate by 25% and effectively offset the real burden of the import tax and export subsidy. Importers are concerned that the appreciation may not occur in full or quickly. Without the border tax adjustment, the revenue cost would increase by over $1 trillion over the next 10 years.

A recent announcement by congressional and administration leaders indicated that border tax adjustments would be dropped from future tax plans. As discussed in the CRS report on the "Better Way," this change would add $1.2 trillion to the revenue cost and might make profit shifting through the shifting of intangible assets more attractive because of the territorial tax (although remaining elements of a lower tax rate and disallowance of interest deductions would reduce profit shifting through leveraging).