Clinical trial NCT04427345: Predictive Factors COVID-19 Patients
Official title: Predictive Clinical Response Factors in COVID-19 Patients
Study type: OBSERVATIONAL
Overall status: WITHDRAWN
Conditions: covid19
Keywords: Coronavirus
sars-covid-2
coronavirus infection
Lead sponsor: University of Milano Bicocca
Sponsor class: OTHER
First posted: 2020-06-11
Enrollment: 0
Sex: ALL
Minimum age (years): 18
Standard ages: ADULT
OLDER_ADULT
Accepts healthy volunteers: no
Observational model: COHORT
Time perspective: RETROSPECTIVE
Sampling method: NON_PROBABILITY_SAMPLE
Study population: The study involves patients admitted to San Gerardo Hospital from March 1, 2020 to May 31, 2020. The minimum expected follow-up will be one year for all patients.

Given the nature of the study, no formal calculation of the sample size was made, nor was a sample size predefined. However, given the recruiting potential of the center which in March saw on average 30-60 hospitalizations due to SARS-CoV-2 per day, even considering a progressive decrease in access, it is assumed that the proportion of patients who will be included in the study will exceed 1000 units.

Brief summary: This is a monocentric retro-prospective observational study that will be conducted on all COVID19 positive patients hospitalized at the S. Gerardo Hospital in Monza.

Detailed description: BACKGROUND:

The Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome-Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic is severely testing the health systems of the most advanced countries. Clinicians are faced with a new pathology of an emerging virus. There is therefore an urgent need to collect real-time clinical data that informs about outcome predictive variables. Furthermore, there are currently no antiviral drugs approved for the treatment of SARS-CoV-2 infection, off-label therapies are being used with drugs already in use for other pathologies that have shown some efficacy in vitro, and some treatments obtained for compassionate use with other drugs that are being tested.

It is more than ever necessary to collect clinical practice data both retrospectively on the work done so far, and in a longitudinal perspective, and analyze them quickly to optimize current treatments and define protocols for the future. Having a good clinical data base also offers the possibility of collaborating with numerous international networks on translational research, which aims to correlate clinical data with virological and immunological data, aimed at the rapid identification of possible specific viral virulence factors, or particular immune structures of the guests who once again define the final clinical outcome.

STUDY DESIGN:

All COVID19 positive patients admitted to San Gerardo Hospital will be enrolled in the study.

After patient signs the informed consent, the following data will be collected:

* birth data
* sex
* demographic data
* comorbidity
* blood chemistry data at the entrance

A series of variables will then be collected relating to the treatment procedure, the therapies, the team's choice to maximize the care ceiling in the individual patient and the entire clinical study of the patient.

STATISTICAL ANALISYS:

Central tendency and dispersion measurements will be used for descriptive analysis of continuous variables while absolute and relative frequencies will be used to describe categorical variables.

Eligibility criteria: Inclusion Criteria:

* Patients 18 years old or above
* Diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia

Exclusion Criteria:

* Explicit refusal to participate in the study

Primary outcomes:
measure: Identify risk factors for intra-hospital mortality.
timeFrame: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year)
measure: Identify risk factors to build a prognostic score.
timeFrame: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year)
measure: Identify risk factors to build a prognostic score.
timeFrame: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year)
Secondary outcomes:
measure: Predictive factors for the hospitalization duration.
timeFrame: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year)
measure: Predictive factors for clinical status patients based on "Ordinal Scale for Clinical Improvement"
timeFrame: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year)
measure: Describe the anti-viral therapies used commonly in this emergency in terms of efficacy
timeFrame: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year).
measure: Describe the anti-viral therapies used commonly used in this emergency in terms of safety
timeFrame: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year).
measure: Monitor the clinical course of the disease in discharged patients.
timeFrame: 12 month after discharge
Other outcomes:
Locations:
city: Monza
country: Italy
facility: ASST Monza-Ospedale San Gerardo
Study officials:
References:
citation: Rosenbaum L. Facing Covid-19 in Italy - Ethics, Logistics, and Therapeutics on the Epidemic's Front Line. N Engl J Med. 2020 May 14;382(20):1873-1875. doi: 10.1056/NEJMp2005492. Epub 2020 Mar 18. No abstract available.
citation: Chen N, Zhou M, Dong X, Qu J, Gong F, Han Y, Qiu Y, Wang J, Liu Y, Wei Y, Xia J, Yu T, Zhang X, Zhang L. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study. Lancet. 2020 Feb 15;395(10223):507-513. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30211-7. Epub 2020 Jan 30.
citation: Wang D, Hu B, Hu C, Zhu F, Liu X, Zhang J, Wang B, Xiang H, Cheng Z, Xiong Y, Zhao Y, Li Y, Wang X, Peng Z. Clinical Characteristics of 138 Hospitalized Patients With 2019 Novel Coronavirus-Infected Pneumonia in Wuhan, China. JAMA. 2020 Mar 17;323(11):1061-1069. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.1585.
citation: Wu C, Chen X, Cai Y, Xia J, Zhou X, Xu S, Huang H, Zhang L, Zhou X, Du C, Zhang Y, Song J, Wang S, Chao Y, Yang Z, Xu J, Zhou X, Chen D, Xiong W, Xu L, Zhou F, Jiang J, Bai C, Zheng J, Song Y. Risk Factors Associated With Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome and Death in Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pneumonia in Wuhan, China. JAMA Intern Med. 2020 Jul 1;180(7):934-943. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.0994.
citation: Wu Z, McGoogan JM. Characteristics of and Important Lessons From the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Outbreak in China: Summary of a Report of 72 314 Cases From the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. JAMA. 2020 Apr 7;323(13):1239-1242. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.2648. No abstract available.
citation: Guan WJ, Ni ZY, Hu Y, Liang WH, Ou CQ, He JX, Liu L, Shan H, Lei CL, Hui DSC, Du B, Li LJ, Zeng G, Yuen KY, Chen RC, Tang CL, Wang T, Chen PY, Xiang J, Li SY, Wang JL, Liang ZJ, Peng YX, Wei L, Liu Y, Hu YH, Peng P, Wang JM, Liu JY, Chen Z, Li G, Zheng ZJ, Qiu SQ, Luo J, Ye CJ, Zhu SY, Zhong NS; China Medical Treatment Expert Group for Covid-19. Clinical Characteristics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in China. N Engl J Med. 2020 Apr 30;382(18):1708-1720. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2002032. Epub 2020 Feb 28.