Clinical trial NCT05132062: Mehran 2.0 Risk Score for Prediction of CA-AKI After PCI
Official title: A Contemporary Simple Risk Score for Prediction of Contrast-Associated Acute Kidney Injury After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Development and Initial Validation
Study type: OBSERVATIONAL
Overall status: COMPLETED
Conditions: Contrast-induced Nephropathy
Lead sponsor: Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai
Sponsor class: OTHER
First posted: 2021-11-24
Enrollment: 14616
Sex: ALL
Minimum age (years): 18
Standard ages: ADULT
OLDER_ADULT
Accepts healthy volunteers: no
Observational model: COHORT
Time perspective: RETROSPECTIVE
Sampling method: NON_PROBABILITY_SAMPLE
Study population: Patients with coronary artery disease have rather high prevalence of comorbidities associated with increased risk of CA-AKI, and those undergoing PCI may also sustain acute hemodynamic disturbances that further raise the risk of CA-AKI. All patients undergoing PCI at the Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY, have been screened for inclusion in the present analysis. No limits were set for age, sex and comorbidities (except for end-stage renal disease requiring dyalisis).

Brief summary: Consecutive patients having percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) over a period of 9 years at a large tertiary care center with available creatinine measurements both before and within 48 hours after the procedure were included; patients on chronic dialysis were excluded. Patients treated between 2012 and 2017 comprised the derivation cohort (n=14,616) and those treated from 2018 to 2020 formed the validation cohort (n=5,606). The primary endpoint is contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI, defined per Acute Kidney Injury Network \[AKIN\]). In addition, independent predictors of CA-AKI will be derived from multivariate logistic regression analysis. Model 1 will include only preprocedural variables, while Model 2 will also include procedural variables. A weighted integer score based on the effect estimate of each independent variable will be used to calculate the final risk score for each patient. Impact on 1-year mortality will be also evaluated.

Detailed description: Consecutive patients who underwent PCI at a tertiary hospital (Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY, USA) between 2012 and 2020 with documented serum creatinine both pre- procedure and within 48 hours after PCI were identified from our existing prospectively populated database. Only patients who expired within 48 hours after PCI and with pre-existing end-stage renal disease requiring dialysis were excluded from the present analysis. CA-AKI was defined according to the Acute Kidney Injury Network as an increase by ≥50% or ≥0.3mg/dl within 48 hours after PCI compared to pre-PCI serum creatinine. Anemia was defined as hemoglobin plasma level ≤13 g/dl for men and ≤12 g/dl for women. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of ≤60 ml/min/1.73 m2, per the Chronic Kidney Disease-Epidemiologic (CKD-EPI) formula. A dedicated data coordinating center performed all data management. Prespecified clinical and laboratory demographic information was obtained from hospital charts that were reviewed by independent research personnel who were unaware of the objectives of the study; accumulated data were then entered prospectively in the database. Patients treated between 2012 and 2017 will comprise the derivation cohort (n=14,616) and those treated from 2018 to 2020 will form the validation cohort (n=5,606). Independent predictors of CA-AKI (defined per Acute Kidney Injury Network) will be derived from multivariate logistic regression analysis. Model 1 will include only preprocedural variables, while Model 2 will also include procedural variables. A weighted integer score based on the effect estimate of each independent variable will be used to calculate the final risk score for each patient. Impact on 1-year mortality of CA-AKI occurrence will be also evaluated with Cox regression analysis. Multivariable Cox regression analysis will be also performed to look for independent association of CA-AKI occurrence with mortality.

Eligibility criteria: Inclusion Criteria:

* patients undergoing PCI
* patients with documented serum creatinine both pre- procedure and within 48 hours after PCI

Exclusion Criteria:

* patients who expired within 48 hours after PCI
* patients with pre-existing end-stage renal disease requiring dialysis

Primary outcomes:
measure: Rate of patients developing Contrast-Associated Acute Kidney Injury
timeFrame: 48 hours after PCI
Secondary outcomes:
measure: Rate of all-cause death
timeFrame: 1 year after PCI
Other outcomes:
Locations:
city: New York
country: United States
facility: Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai
state: New York
Study officials:
affiliation: Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai
name: Roxana Mehran, MD
role: STUDY_CHAIR
References:
citation: Mettler FA Jr, Mahesh M, Bhargavan-Chatfield M, Chambers CE, Elee JG, Frush DP, Miller DL, Royal HD, Milano MT, Spelic DC, Ansari AJ, Bolch WE, Guebert GM, Sherrier RH, Smith JM, Vetter RJ. Patient Exposure from Radiologic and Nuclear Medicine Procedures in the United States: Procedure Volume and Effective Dose for the Period 2006-2016. Radiology. 2020 May;295(2):418-427. doi: 10.1148/radiol.2020192256. Epub 2020 Mar 17.
citation: Seeliger E, Sendeski M, Rihal CS, Persson PB. Contrast-induced kidney injury: mechanisms, risk factors, and prevention. Eur Heart J. 2012 Aug;33(16):2007-15. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehr494. Epub 2012 Jan 19.
citation: McDonald JS, McDonald RJ, Williamson EE, Kallmes DF, Kashani K. Post-contrast acute kidney injury in intensive care unit patients: a propensity score-adjusted study. Intensive Care Med. 2017 Jun;43(6):774-784. doi: 10.1007/s00134-017-4699-y. Epub 2017 Feb 17.