2012년 프랑스 대통령 선거 여론조사

이 문서는 '''2012년 프랑스 대통령 선거''' 관련 '''여론조사'''를 정리하고 있다. 2012년 프랑스 대통령 선거 1차 투표는 2012년 4월 22일 실시됐으며, 사회당의 프랑수아 올랑드가 최다득표를 기록했다. 하지만 과반수 득표에 실패해 2012년 5월 6일 현직 대통령 니콜라 사르코지와 결선 투표를 치루게 된다.
=== 2009년 10월 - 2011년 6월 ===
여론조사 (2009년10월-2011년6월)
후보
 아르토
 브장스노
 뷔페
 오브리
 스트로스칸
 올랑드
 루아얄
 뒤플로
 바이루
 보를로
 빌팽
 사르코지
 뒤퐁애냥
 르펜
 IFOP2009.10.29
1%
9%
—
20%
—
—
—
—
14%
—
8%
'''28%'''
1%
11%
 CSA2010.02.04
1%
7%
3%
—
22%
—
—
9%
10%
—
10%
'''28%'''
—
9%
1%
6%
3%
19%
—
—
—
8%
12%
—
10%
'''31%'''
—
9%
 CSA2010.03.04
1%
6%
3%
19%
—
—
—
8%
12%
—
10%
'''32%'''
—
9%
1%
7%
3%
—
22%
—
—
9%
10%
—
10%
'''29%'''
—
9%
3%
7%
3%
21%
—
—
—
11%
11%
—
9%
—
—
8%
3%
6%
3%
—
'''27%'''
—
—
10%
11%
—
7%
—
—
8%
 멜라숑
 졸리
 IFOP2010.03.26
1%
5%
6%
'''27%'''
—
—
—
9%
7%
—
6%
26%
2%
11%
 TNS Sofres2010.08.21
1%
9%
5%
—
25%
—
—
9%
6%
—
6%
'''26%'''
—
13%
IFOP2010.11.19
1%
5%
6%
22%
—
—
—
7,5%
9%
—
7%
'''27%'''
1%
12%
1%
4,5%
6%
—
'''27%'''
—
—
6%
7,5%
—
6%
24%
1%
13%
1%
6%
7%
—
—
18%
—
8%
9,5%
—
8,5%
'''27%'''
1%
12%
1%
5,5%
7,5%
—
—
—
18%
8%
9,5%
—
7,5%
'''27%'''
1%
13%
 TNS Sofres 2010.11.20
1%
6,5%
6%
23%
—
—
—
8%
7%
6,5%
4%
'''25%'''
—
13%
1%
6,5%
7%
—
—
—
17%
9%
7%
8,5%
4%
'''26%'''
—
14%
1,5%
6,5%
6%
—
'''27%'''
—
—
6,5%
6%
5%
4%
24%
—
13,5%
1%
7%
6,5%
—
—
16,5%
—
8%
8%
8,5%
5%
'''25,5%'''
—
14%
 CSA2011.01.07
1%
6%
6%
22%
—
—
—
4%
9%
—
6%
'''28%'''
1%
17%
1%
7%
5%
—
'''30%'''
—
—
4%
6%
—
3%
25%
1%
18%
 IFOP2011.01.12
—
3,5%
6,5%
23%
—
—
—
6%
8%
—
6%
'''26.5%'''
—
16,5%
 BVA2011.01.14
0%
7%
5%
23%
—
—
—
5%
6%
5%
5%
'''27%'''
—
17%
0%
7%
4%
—
'''31%'''
—
—
6%
5%
2%
3%
25%
—
17%
 CSA2011.01.17
1%
6%
5%
22%
—
—
—
6%
9%
—
6%
'''27%'''
1%
17%
2%
5%
5%
—
'''30%'''
—
—
6%
6%
—
5%
23%
1%
17%
1%
6%
5%
—
—
20%
—
8%
9%
—
7%
'''26%'''
1%
17%
1%
4%
5%
—
—
—
21%
8%
10%
—
7%
'''26%'''
1%
17%
Opinion Way2011.01.21
1%
4%
7%
22%
—
—
—
10%
8%
—
—
'''28%'''
2%
18%
1%
5%
8%
25%
—
—
—
—
7%
—
—
'''28%'''
2%
18%
1%
5%
7%
—
'''28%'''
—
—
8%
6%
—
—
25%
2%
18%
1%
5%
9%
—
'''29%'''
—
—
—
5%
—
—
25%
2%
18%
CSA2011.02.14
1%
7%
6%
22%
—
—
—
6%
9%
—
5%
'''26%'''
1%
17%
1%
7%
7%
—
—
20%
—
6%
10%
—
5%
'''26%'''
1%
17%
1%
7%
8%
—
—
—
18%
7%
10%
—
5%
'''26%'''
1%
17%
1%
7%
6%
—
'''29%'''
—
—
5%
8%
—
4%
22%
1%
17%
 Harris2011.03.05
1%
6%
7%
—
23%
—
—
7%
6%
—
4%
21%
1%
'''24%'''
 윌로
 BVA2011.03.26
0,5%
6%
4%
'''24%'''
—
—
—
8%
5%
6%
7%
19%
0,5%
20%
1%
7%
4%
—
'''29%'''
—
—
7%
4%
5%
6%
17%
1%
19%
 Harris2011.04.20
1%
5%
5%
21%
—
—
—
5%
5%
9%
5%
20%
1%
'''23%'''
1%
4%
4%
—
'''30%'''
—
—
6%
4%
7%
3%
19%
1%
21%
1%
5%
5%
—
—
22%
—
6%
5%
8%
5%
19%
1%
'''23%'''
1%
5%
6%
—
—
—
15%
8%
7%
10%
6%
19%
1%
'''22%'''
 IFOP2011.04.21
0,5%
4%
4,5%
20%
—
—
—
8,5%
6,5%
9,5%
4%
'''21,5%'''
1%
20%
0,5%
4%
5%
—
'''27%'''
—
—
8%
5%
7,5%
4%
20%
1%
19%
1%
4,5%
4,5%
—
—
'''21%'''
—
8%
6%
8,5%
4,5%
'''21%'''
1%
20%
0,5%
4%
6%
—
—
—
16%
9%
6,5%
11%
5%
'''21%'''
1%
20%
 CSA2011.04.26
1%
4%
5%
—
'''26%'''
—
—
9%
5%
4%
4%
21%
1%
20%
 마르땅
 LH22011.05.07
0,5%
1%
4%
'''22%'''
—
—
—
11%
7%
11%
4,5%
19%
1%
17%
1%
1%
4%
—
'''23%'''
—
—
11%
8%
9%
6%
16%
1%
17%
0,5%
1%
4%
—
—
'''21,5%'''
—
11%
7%
10%
5%
19%
1%
18%
0,5%
1%
6%
—
—
—
15%
13,5%
8%
11%
5%
'''20%'''
1%
17%
 IFOP2011.05.12
0,5%
1%
5,5%
—
'''26%'''
—
—
7%
5,5%
5,5%
4%
21,5%
0,5%
22%
0,5%
1%
5%
—
—
'''23%'''
—
7,5%
6%
6,5%
3,5%
22%
0,5%
'''23%'''
 IPSOS2011.05.14
2%
1%
5%
'''25%'''
—
—
—
9%
6%
9%
5%
19%
1%
18%
2%
1%
6%
—
—
'''26%'''
—
11%
5%
8%
4%
19%
1%
17%
2%
1%
8%
—
—
—
16%
12%
7%
11%
6%
'''19%'''
1%
17%
 CSA2011.05.16
1%
2%
5%
'''23%'''
—
—
—
6%
7%
8%
4%
'''23%'''
2%
19%
1%
2%
5%
—
—
'''23%'''
—
6%
7%
8%
4%
22%
2%
20%
1%
2%
5%
—
—
—
18%
6%
9%
10%
4%
'''23%'''
2%
20%
 IPSOS2011.05.18
1%
0,5%
4%
'''27%'''
—
—
—
11%
5%
9%
4%
21%
0,5%
17%
2%
0,5%
4%
—
—
'''29%'''
—
11%
5%
9%
3%
19%
0,5%
17%
2%
0,5%
6%
—
—
—
16%
13%
7%
12%
6%
'''19%'''
0,5%
18%
 IFOP2011.05.19
0,5%
1%
6,5%
'''24%'''
—
—
—
6%
5,5%
7%
3,5%
22,5%
1%
21,5%
0,5%
1%
6%
—
—
'''26%'''
—
6%
5%
6,5%
3,5%
22,5%
1%
21%
 BVA2011.05.21
1%
1%
5%
'''24%'''
—
—
—
12%
6%
7%
5%
23%
0%
17%
1%
1%
6%
—
—
'''27%'''
—
12%
4%
6%
5%
22%
0%
17%
 TNS Sofres2011.05.21
1%
0,5%
4%
'''28%'''
—
—
—
9%
5%
7%
3%
24%
—
19%
1%
0,5%
3,5%
—
—
'''31%'''
—
8%
5,5%
7%
3%
22%
—
19%
1%
0,5%
7%
—
—
—
18%
10,5%
7%
9%
3,5%
'''24%'''
—
20%
 졸리
1%
0,5%
3%
—
—
'''28%'''
—
7%
5,5%
8%
3,5%
24%
—
20%
 윌로
 Harris2011.06.05
0%
0%
7%
'''25%'''
—
—
—
6%
6%
7%
2%
24%
1%
22%
0%
0%
7%
—
—
'''27%'''
—
6%
6%
7%
2%
23%
1%
21%
0%
0%
8%
—
—
—
17%
7%
7%
9%
3%
'''26%'''
1%
22%
 IFOP2011.06.10
0,5%
1%
6,5%
'''23%'''
—
—
—
6%
8%
6,5%
3,5%
21,5%
0,5%
22%
0,5%
0,5%
6%
—
—
'''26%'''
—
6%
7%
6%
3%
22%
0,5%
21%
 IPSOS2011.06.19
1%
0,5%
7%
'''30%'''
—
—
—
7%
5%
8%
4%
19%
0,5%
18%
1,5%
0,5%
7%
—
—
'''32%'''
—
7,5%
5%
7%
3%
19%
0,5%
17%
2%
1%
9,5%
—
—
—
'''19%'''
8,5%
7%
11%
4,5%
'''19%'''
0,5%
18%
 IFOP2011.06.23
0,5%
0,5%
7%
—
—
'''26%'''
—
6,5%
6%
7,5%
3%
21%
0,5%
20,5%
 CSA2011.06.23
1%
2%
7%
'''23%'''
—
—
—
7,5%
7%
10%
3%
'''23%'''
0,5%
16%
1%
1,5%
7%
—
—
'''27%'''
—
7%
5%
9%
3%
23%
0,5%
16%
1%
2%
10%
—
—
—
15%
9%
8%
10,5%
4%
'''24%'''
0,5%
16%
 졸리
1%
2%
7%
'''25,5%'''
—
—
—
4%
6%
11%
4%
23%
0,5%
16%
1%
1,5%
7%
—
—
'''27%'''
—
4%
7%
10%
3%
23%
0,5%
16%
1%
2%
8,5%
—
—
—
17%
5%
9%
13%
4%
'''24%'''
0,5%
16%
=== 2011년7월-9월 ===
여론조사 (2011.7-9)
 조사출처
 조사일
 표본
 르펜FN
 뒤퐁애냥DLR
 사르코지UMP
 보를로연합
 빌팽통합공화
 바이루MoDem
 졸리EELV
 오브리PS
 올랑드PS
 멜라숑FDG
 푸투NPA
 아르토LO
 기타
  LH2
 2011.07.08–09
 957
 15%
 1%
 '''21.5%'''
 8%
 4.5%
 10%
 6%
 '''26%'''
 –
 5%
 0%
 1.5%
 1.5%
 13%
 1%
 '''21%'''
 7.5%
 3%
 11%
 6%
 –
 '''29%'''
 5%
 0.5%
 1%
 2%
  BVA 
 2011.07.08–09
 782
 17%
 0%
 '''24%'''
 7%
 4%
 7%
 5%
 '''28%'''
 –
 5%
 1%
 1%
 1%
 16%
 0%
 '''23%'''
 9%
 4%
 6%
 5%
 –
 '''31%'''
 4%
 0%
 1%
 1%
  Ipsos
 2011.07.08–09
 955
 18%
 0.5%
 '''22%'''
 8%
 3%
 5%
 7%
 '''29%'''
 –
 4.5%
 1%
 2%
 0%
 17%
 0.5%
 '''22%'''
 8%
 3%
 5%
 7.5%
 –
 '''29%'''
 5%
 1%
 2%
 0%
  CSA 
 2011.07.11
 850
 16%
 1%
 '''27%'''
 9%
 2%
 6%
 5%
 '''25%'''
 –
 6.5%
 0.5%
 1%
 1%
 16%
 1%
 '''26%'''
 8%
 2%
 6%
 5%
 –
 '''26%'''
 7%
 0.5%
 2%
 0.5%
  Ifop
 2011.07.19–21
 1,002
 20%
 0.5%
 '''23.5%'''
 8%
 2%
 7.5%
 7%
 '''25%'''
 –
 4%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 1.5%
 20%
 0.5%
 '''23%'''
 7.5%
 2.5%
 6.5%
 7%
 –
 '''28%'''
 4%
 0%
 0%
 1%
  LH2
 2011.9.30-10.1
 975
 14.5%
 0%
 '''21%'''
 9%
 3%
 9%
 7.5%
 '''25%'''
 –
 10%
 0%
 1%
 0%
 15%
 0%
 '''21%'''
 7%
 2%
 8%
 7%
 –
 '''31%'''
 8%
 0%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Ipsos
  2011.9.30-10.1
 975
 16%
 0.5%
 '''22%'''
 7%
 5%
 6%
 5%
 '''29%'''
 –
 7%
 0.5%
 2%
 0%
 16%
 0.5%
 '''21%'''
 6.5%
 4%
 5.5%
 5%
 –
 '''32%'''
 8%
 0.5%
 1%
 0%
=== 2011년10월-2012년3월19일 ===
여론조사 (2011.10-2012.3.19)
 조사출처
 조사일
 표본
 기권/무효
 르펜FN
 뒤퐁애냥DLR
 사르코지UMP
 셰미나드SP
 바이루MoDem
 졸리EELV
 올랑드PS
 멜라숑FDG
 푸투NPA
 아르토LO
 기타
  CSA
 2011.10.17
 1,010
 –
 16%
 0.5%
 '''25%'''
 2%
 9%
 3%
 '''35%'''
 5%
 0.5%
 1%
 3%
  BVA
 2011.10.17–18
 950
 –
 19%
 –
 '''23%'''
 –
 7%
 4%
 '''39%'''
 6%
 0%
 2%
 –
  Ifop
 2011.10.18–20
 941
 –
 17%
 0.5%
 '''25%'''
 2%
 6.5%
 4.5%
 '''35%'''
 6%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 2%
  LH2
 2011.10.21–22
 975
 –
 14%
 0.5%
 '''24%'''
 1.5%
 8%
 5%
 '''39%'''
 6.5%
 –
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Ipsos
 2011.10.28–29
 970
 12%
 19%
 0.5%
 '''24%'''
 2%
 5.5%
 6%
 '''35%'''
 6%
 1%
 1%
 0%
  BVA 
 2011.11.04–05
 973
 –
 18%
 0.5%
 '''25%'''
 3%
 6%
 5%
 '''36%'''
 5%
 0%
 0%
 1.5%
  Ipsos
 2011.12.02–03
 955
 –
 17%
 0.5%
 '''25.5%'''
 2%
 7%
 6%
 '''32%'''
 6%
 0%
 1%
 1%
  CSA
 2011.12.12–13
 1,006
 21%
 16%
 0.5%
 '''26%'''
 2%
 11%
 3%
 '''32%'''
 6%
 0.5%
 1%
 2%
  Ifop
 2012.01.04–06
 1,163
 –
 19%
 0.5%
 '''26%'''
 2.5%
 12%
 3%
 '''28%'''
 6%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 2%
  BVA
 2012.01.06–07
 973
 22%
 17%
 0%
 '''24%'''
 4%
 11%
 4%
 '''28%'''
 8%
 0%
 1%
 3%
  CSA 
 2012.01.09–10
 1,005
 21%
 19%
 0%
 '''26%'''
 3%
 13%
 2%
 '''29%'''
 7%
 0.5%
 0%
 2.5%
  Opinion Way 
 2012.01.10–11
 1,060
 13%
 17%
 1%
 '''25%'''
 2%
 15%
 3%
 '''27%'''
 6%
 1%
 0.5%
 2.5%
  Ifop 
 2012.01.11–13
 1,550
 –
 19.5%
 0.5%
 '''24.5%'''
 1.5%
 12.5%
 2.5%
 '''28%'''
 6%
 0.5%
 0%
 2.5%
  LH2
 2012.01.13–14
 966
 20%
 17%
 0%
 '''23.5%'''
 2%
 14%
 3%
 '''30%'''
 8.5%
 0%
 0.5%
 1.5%
  Ipsos
 2012.01.13–14
 949
 20%
 18%
 0.5%
 '''23%'''
 3%
 14%
 3%
 '''29%'''
 7.5%
 0%
 1%
 0.5%
  BVA 
 2012.01.18–19
 974
 8%
 18%
 1.5%
 '''23%'''
 1.5%
 13%
 4%
 '''30%'''
 7%
 0%
 0.5%
 1.5%
  CSA 
 2012.01.23–24
 898
 16%
 17%
 –
 '''25%'''
 1%
 15%
 2%
 '''31%'''
 9%
 –
 –
 –
  Opinion Way
 2012.01.23–25
 1,087
 6%
 17%
 1%
 '''24%'''
 1%
 14%
 3%
 '''27.5%'''
 8%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 3.5%
  Ifop
 2012.01.29–30
 1,387
 –
 19%
 0.5%
 '''24.5%'''
 1%
 11.5%
 3%
 '''31%'''
 7.5%
 0%
 0.5%
 1%
  TNS-sofres
 2012.01.30
 1,000
 21%
 16%
 0.5%
 '''26%'''
 1.5%
 12%
 3%
 '''31.5%'''
 9%
 0%
 0%
 0.5%
  BVA 
 2012.01.30–31
 1,448
 6%
 15%
 1%
 '''25%'''
 2%
 12%
 3%
 '''34%'''
 8%
 0%
 0%
 0%
  LH2
 2012.02.03-04
 955
 21%
 15%
 0%
 '''25.5%'''
 1.5%
 12%
 3%
 '''34%'''
 7.5%
 0%
 1%
 0.5%
  BVA 
 2012.02.03-04
 968
 9%
 16%
 0%
 '''26%'''
 1%
 14%
 2%
 '''34%'''
 7%
 0%
 0%
 0%
  Ipsos
 2012.02.03-04
 953
 16%
 16%
 0%
 '''25%'''
 2%
 12.5%
 2%
 '''32%'''
 8.5%
 0.5%
 1%
 –
  CSA
 2012.02.06-07
 869
 16%
 17.5%
 1%
 '''26%'''
 1%
 13%
 2%
 '''30%'''
 8%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Opinion Way
 2012.02.06–08
 1,346
 14%
 18%
 1%
 '''25.5%'''
 1%
 13%
 3%
 '''29%'''
 7%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 2%
  Ifop
 2012.02.09–12
 1,723
 –
 17.5%
 0.5%
 '''25%'''
 2%
 12.5%
 3%
 '''30%'''
 8.5%
 0%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Harris 
 2012.02.09–13
 954
 –
 20%
 1%
 '''24%'''
 1%
 13%
 4%
 '''28%'''
 8%
 0%
 0%
 1%
  BVA 
 2012.02.15–16
 949
 4%
 15%
 1%
 '''26%'''
 2%
 13%
 3%
 '''31%'''
 9%
 0%
 0%
 0%
  LH2
 2012.02.17–18
 967
 18%
 14%
 0.5%
 '''26%'''
 1.5%
 13%
 3%
 '''32%'''
 8%
 0%
 1%
 1%
  Opinion Way
 2012.02.17–18
 975
 12%
 16.5%
 1.5%
 '''27%'''
 2%
 13%
 2%
 '''29%'''
 8%
 0%
 0.5%
 1%
  Ipsos
 2012.02.17–18
 969
 14%
 16%
 0.5%
 '''25%'''
 1.5%
 11%
 3%
 '''32%'''
 9%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 1%
  CSA 
 2012.02.20
 891
 17%
 17%
 1.5%
 '''27%'''
 2%
 11%
 3%
 '''28%'''
 9%
 0%
 0.5%
 1%
  Ipsos
 2012.02.24–25
 959
 11%
 16%
 1%
 '''27%'''
 1%
 11.5%
 2.5%
 '''31.5%'''
 9%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Ifop
 2012.02.23–26
 1,723
 –
 17%
 1%
 '''27%'''
 1%
 12.5%
 3%
 '''28.5%'''
 8.5%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  TNS-sofres
 2012.02.27
 1,000
 22%
 17%
 0%
 '''28%'''
 1%
 10.5%
 2.5%
 '''30%'''
 9.5%
 0%
 0%
 1.5%
  LH2
 2012.03.02-03
 971
 20%
 15%
 0.5%
 '''23%'''
 1%
 15%
 4.5%
 '''30.5%'''
 8.5%
 1%
 1%
 0%
  BVA 
 2012.03.02-03
 963
 11%
 14%
 1%
 '''25%'''
 2%
 13%
 2%
 '''33%'''
 8%
 1%
 1%
 0%
  Ipsos
 2012.03.02-03
 966
 13%
 17.5%
 1%
 '''25%'''
 1.5%
 12.5%
 2%
 '''29.5%'''
 9.5%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Harris 
 2012.03.01–05
 975
 –
 17%
 1%
 '''25%'''
 1.5%
 13%
 3%
 '''27%'''
 8%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  CSA 
 2012.03.05
 888
 17%
 15%
 0%
 '''28%'''
 1.5%
 13%
 2%
 '''30%'''
 10%
 0%
 0%
 0.5%
  Opinion Way
 2012.03.05–07
 1,221
 11%
 17%
 1%
 '''26%'''
 1.5%
 13%
 3%
 '''29%'''
 8%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Ifop
 2012.03.11–12
 1,638
 –
 16%
 1%
 '''28.5%'''
 1%
 13%
 2.5%
 '''27%'''
 10%
 0%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  TNS-sofres
 2012.03.12
 1,000
 20%
 16%
 1%
 '''26%'''
 1.5%
 11.5%
 3%
 '''30%'''
 10%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 0%
  CSA 
 2012.03.12–13
 861
 14%
 16%
 1%
 '''28%'''
 1%
 13%
 1%
 '''28%'''
 11%
 0%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Opinion Way
 2012.03.14–15
 1,183
 9%
 16%
 1%
 '''27.5%'''
 1%
 13%
 2%
 '''27.5%'''
 10%
 1%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Ifop
 2012.03.16–17
 961
 –
 17.5%
 0.5%
 '''27.5%'''
 –
 13%
 2.5%
 '''27%'''
 11%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 0%
  LH2
 2012.03.16–17
 962
 19%
 14.5%
 0.5%
 '''27.5%'''
 –
 12.5%
 2.5%
 '''30.5%'''
 11%
 1%
 0%
 0%
  Ipsos
 2012.03.16–17
 950
 16%
 15%
 1.5%
 '''27.5%'''
 –
 13%
 2%
 '''28.5%'''
 11.5%
 0.5%
 0.5%
 0%
  Harris 
 2012.03.15–19
 1,097
 –
 16%
 1%
 '''27%'''
 –
 12%
 3%
 '''28%'''
 11%
 1%
 0.5%
 0.5%
=== 2012년3월19일-4월22일 ===
 조사출처
 조사일
 표본
 기권/무효
 르펜FN
 뒤퐁애냥DLR
 사르코지UMP
 셰미나드SP
 바이루MoDem
 졸리EELV
 올랑드PS
 멜라숑FDG
 푸투NPA
 아르토LO
  CSA 
 2012.03.19–20
 888
 10%
 13.5%
 0.5%
 '''30%'''
 0%
 13%
 2%
 '''28%'''
 13%
 0%
 0%
  BVA 
 2012.03.21–22
 926
 4%
 13%
 1.5%
 '''28%'''
 0%
 12%
 2%
 '''29.5%'''
 14%
 0%
 0%
  Ipsos
 2012.03.23–24
 978
 12%
 16%
 1%
 '''27.5%'''
 0%
 11.5%
 2%
 '''28%'''
 13%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Harris 
 2012.03.22–26
 1,231
 –
 16%
 1%
 '''28%'''
 0%
 11%
 3%
 '''27%'''
 13%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Opinion Way
 2012.03.26–27
 1,148
 9%
 17%
 1%
 '''28%'''
 0.5%
 12%
 2%
 '''27%'''
 11%
 0.5%
 1%
  TNS-sofres
 2012.03.26–27
 1,000
 22%
 15%
 1%
 '''29%'''
 0.5%
 10%
 2%
 '''28%'''
 13.5%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  CSA 
 2012.03.26–27
 876
 14%
 15%
 0.5%
 '''30%'''
 0%
 12.5%
 2.5%
 '''26%'''
 12.5%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  BVA 
 2012.03.29–31
 2,555
 7%
 15%
 1%
 '''27%'''
 0%
 11%
 2%
 '''28%'''
 14%
 1%
 1%
  LH2
 2012.03.30–31
 973
 17%
 13.5%
 0.5%
 '''27.5%'''
 0%
 12%
 2%
 '''28.5%'''
 15%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Ipsos
 2012.03.30–31
 881
 11%
 14%
 1%
 '''29.5%'''
 0%
 10%
 2%
 '''27.5%'''
 14.5%
 0.5%
 1%
  Harris 
 2012.3.29-4.2
 1,059
 –
 16%
 1%
 '''29%'''
 0%
 10%
 3%
 '''26%'''
 14%
 0.5%
 0%
  CSA 
 2012.04.02–03
 884
 –
 13%
 0.5%
 '''30%'''
 0%
 10%
 1.5%
 '''29%'''
 15%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Opinion Way
 2012.04.03–04
 969
 9%
 16%
 1%
 '''28.5%'''
 0%
 11%
 2%
 '''26%'''
 14%
 1%
 0.5%
  Harris 
 2012.04.03–06
 1,033
 –
 16%
 1%
 '''28%'''
 0%
 10%
 3%
 '''27%'''
 13%
 1%
 1%
  Ifop
 2012.04.05–07
 1,869
 –
 16.5%
 1%
 '''28.5%'''
 0%
 9.5%
 2.5%
 '''27%'''
 14%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Ipsos
 2012.04.06–07
 955
 10%
 15%
 1%
 '''29%'''
 0%
 9.5%
 1.5%
 '''28.5%'''
 14.5%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  Opinion Way
 2012.04.10–11
 1,007
 12%
 16%
 2%
 '''28%'''
 0%
 10%
 2.5%
 '''27%'''
 13%
 1%
 1%
  CSA 
 2012.04.10–11
 1,013
 –
 15%
 1%
 '''26%'''
 0.5%
 11%
 1.5%
 '''27%'''
 17%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  BVA 
 2012.04.11–12
 885
 4%
 15%
 0.5%
 '''27%'''
 0.5%
 11%
 2%
 '''30%'''
 13%
 0.5%
 0.5%
  TNS-sofres
 2012.04.11–12
 1,000
 27%
 16%
 1%
 '''26%'''
 0%
 9%
 2.5%
 '''28%'''
 16%
 0.5%
 1%
 Ifop
 2012.04.12–15
 1,808
 –
 15.5%
 1%
 '''27%'''
 0%
 9.5%
 3%
 '''28%'''
 14.5%
 1%
 0.5%
 Harris 
 2012.04.12–16
 991
 –
 17%
 1.5%
 '''28%'''
 0%
 11%
 2%
 '''27%'''
 12%
 1%
 0.5%
 Ipsos
 2012.04.13–14
 894
 14%
 15.5%
 1%
 '''27%'''
 0.5%
 10%
 2.5%
 '''27%'''
 14.5%
 1%
 1%
 CSA 
 2012.04.16–17
 886
 –
 17%
 1.5%
 '''24%'''
 0%
 10%
 2%
 '''29%'''
 15%
 1%
 0.5%
 BVA 
 2012.04.16–17
 1,181
 –
 14%
 1%
 '''27.5%'''
 0%
 12%
 2%
 '''29.5%'''
 13%
 1%
 0%
 Opinion Way
 2012.04.16–17
 1,002
 8 %
 16%
 1.5%
 '''27.5%'''
 0%
 10%
 2%
 '''27.5%'''
 13%
 2%
 0.5%
 LH2
 2012.04.17–18
 956
 28 %
 15.5%
 1.5%
 '''26.5%'''
 0%
 10%
 2.5%
 '''27%'''
 15%
 1%
 1%
  Ifop
 2012.04.17–20
 2,592
 –
 16%
 1.5%
 '''27%'''
 0%
 10.5%
 3%
 '''27%'''
 13.5%
 1%
 0.5%
 CSA 
 2012.04.18-19
 1,005
 –
 16%
 1.5%
 '''25%'''
 0%
 10.5%
 2%
 '''28%'''
 14.5%
 1.5%
 1%
 BVA 
 2012.04.18-19
 2,161
 5%
 14%
 2%
 '''26.5%'''
 0%
 10%
 2%
 '''30%'''
 14%
 1.5%
 0%
 Ipsos
 2012.04.18-19
 1,021
 14%
 16%
 1.5%
 '''25.5%'''
 0.5%
 10%
 2%
 '''29%'''
 14%
 1.5%
 0%
 Harris 
 2012.04.18-19
 1,068
 –
 16%
 2%
 '''26.5%'''
 0%
 11%
 3%
 '''27.5%'''
 12%
 1.5%
 0.5%
 TNS-sofres
 2012.04.18-19
 1,000
 –
 17%
 2%
 '''27%'''
 0%
 10%
 3%
 '''27%'''
 13%
 1%
 0%
 '''1차 투표 결과'''
 '''2012.04.22'''
 –
 20.53%
 17.90%
 1.79%
 '''27.18%'''
 0.25%
 9.13%
 2.31%
 '''28.63%'''
 11.11%
 1.15%
 0.56%
여론조사기관은 2012년 프랑스 대통령선 선거 주요 후보 또는 후보 예상자간 결선투표 가상대결 여론조사를 실시한 바 있다. 가상 대결이 이루어진 주요 후보군에는 현직 대통령 사르코지와 사회당 후보 올랑드, 국민전선의 마린 르 펜이 들어 있었다. 그 외에 사회당 후보로 올랑드가 확정된 2011년 11월 이전 조사에는 사회당 당수인 마르틴 오브리도 조사 후보군에 들어갔다. 결선투표에 올라간 올랑드와 사르코지간의 여론조사는 2012년 4월 22일 1차 투표 이전과 이후로 구분해서 정리했다.
=== 사르코지 대 올랑드 ===
==== 1차 투표 이후 ====
 조사출처
 조사일
 표본크기
 기권/무효
 사르코지UMP
 올랑드PS
  Ifop
 2012.04.22
 1,004
 –
 45.5 %
 '''54.5 %'''
  Ipsos
 2012.04.22
 1,090
 15 %
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  CSA 
 2012.04.22
 1,009
 –
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  OpinionWay
 2012.04.22
 7,900
 -
 46 %
'''54 %'''
  BVA 
 2012.04.22
 678
 10 %
 47 %
 '''53 %'''
  Harris 
 2012.04.22
 1,088
 –
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  OpinionWay
 2012.04.23-24
 1,227
 15%
 46 %
'''54 %'''
  TNS-sofres
 2012.04.24-25
 1,000
 27 %
 45 %
'''55 %'''
 CSA 
 2012.04.24-25
 1,009
 -
 46 %
'''54 %'''
 BVA 
2012.04.24-25
 1,467
 -
 45.5 %
'''54.5 %'''
  Ifop
 2012.04.25
 1,507
 –
 45 %
 '''55 %'''
 Harris 
 2012.04.25-26
 1,032
 -
 45 %
'''55 %'''
  LH2
 2012.04.27-28
 958
 –
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  Ipsos
2012.04.27-28
 988
 -
 47 %
'''53 %'''
  Ifop
2012.04.27-28
 958
 -
 46 %
'''54 %'''
  BVA
 2012.4.30-5.1
 1,414
 -
 46.5 %
'''53.5 %'''
==== 1차 투표 이전 ====
1차 투표 이전 여론조사
 조사출처
 조사일
 표본크기
 기권/무효
 니콜라 사르코지UMP
 프랑수아 올랑드PS
  CSA
 2009.11.04–05
 910
 40 %
 '''57 %'''
 43 %
  TNS Sofres
 2010.08.20–21
 1,000
 19 %
 '''50 %'''
 '''50 %'''
  Ifop
 2010.11.18–19
 811
 –
 47 %
 '''53 %'''
  TNS Sofres
 2010.11.19–20
 1,000
 24 %
 45 %
 '''55 %'''
  CSA
 2011.01.17–18
 847
 –
 45 %
 '''55 %'''
  CSA
 2011.02.14–15
 1,005
 –
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  TNS Sofres
 2011.02.18–19
 1,000
 22 %
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  Ifop
 2011.04.20–21
 917
 –
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  LH2
 2011.05.06–07
 565
 14 %
 40 %
 '''60 %'''
  BVA
 2011.05.20–21
 960
 19 %
 38 %
 '''62 %'''
  TNS Sofres
 2011.05.20–21
 1,013
 15 %
 42 %
 '''58 %'''
  Harris Interactive 
 2011.06.03–05
 1,449
 –
 40 %
 '''60 %'''
  LH2
 2011.07.08–09
 957
 7 %
 40 %
 '''60 %'''
  BVA 
 2011.07.08–09
 782
 –
 42 %
 '''58 %'''
  Ifop
 2011.07.19–21
 1,002
 –
 43 %
 '''57 %'''
  Ifop
 2011.8.30-9.2
 1,918
 –
 41 %
 '''59 %'''
  LH2
 2011.09.02–03
 818
 –
 43 %
 '''57 %'''
  LH2
 2011.9.30-10.1
 975
 –
 40 %
 '''60 %'''
  CSA
 2011.10.17
 1,010
 –
 38 %
 '''62 %'''
  BVA 
 2011.10.17–18
 950
 –
 36 %
 '''64 %'''
  Ifop
 2011.10.18–20
 941
 –
 40 %
 '''60 %'''
  LH2
 2011.10.21–22
 975
 –
 40 %
 '''60 %'''
  Ipsos
 2011.11.28–29
 970
 15%
 38 %
 '''62 %'''
  BVA
 2011.11.04–05
 973
 –
 39 %
 '''61 %'''
  Ipsos
 2011.12.02–03
 955
 –
 40 %
 '''60 %'''
  CSA
 2011.12.12–13
 1,006
 25 %
 42 %
 '''58 %'''
  Ifop
 2012.01.04–06
 1,163
 –
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  BVA
 2012.01.06–07
 973
 24 %
 43 %
 '''57 %'''
  CSA 
 2012.01.09–10
 1,005
 15 %
 43 %
 '''57 %'''
  Opinion Way 
 2012.01.10–11
 1,060
 28 %
 45 %
 '''55 %'''
  Ifop 
 2012.01.11–13
 1,550
 –
 43 %
 '''57 %'''
  LH2
 2012.01.13–14
 966
 22 %
 43 %
 '''57 %'''
  Ipsos
 2012.01.13–14
 949
 –
 41 %
 '''59 %'''
  BVA 
 2012.01.18–19
 974
 19 %
 43 %
 '''57 %'''
  CSA 
 2012.01.23–24
 898
 19 %
 40 %
 '''60 %'''
  Opinion Way
 2012.01.23–25
 1,087
 23 %
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  Ifop
 2012.01.29–30
 1,387
 –
 42 %
 '''58 %'''
  TNS-sofres
 2012.01.30
 1,000
 21 %
 42 %
 '''58 %'''
  BVA 
 2012.01.30–31
 1,448
 15 %
 43 %
 '''57 %'''
  LH2
 2012.02.03–04
 955
 22 %
 43 %
 '''57 %'''
  BVA 
 2012.02.03–04
 968
 14 %
 42 %
 '''58 %'''
  Ipsos
 2012.02.03–04
 953
 –
 41 %
 '''59 %'''
  CSA
 2012.02.06–07
 869
 19 %
 40 %
 '''60 %'''
  Opinion Way
 2012.02.06–08
 1,346
 14 %
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  Ifop
 2012.02.09–12
 1,723
 –
 42.5 %
 '''57.5 %'''
  Harris Interactive 
 2012.02.9–13
 954
 –
 43 %
 '''57 %'''
  BVA 
 2012.02.15–16
 949
 15 %
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  LH2
 2012.02.17–18
 967
 25 %
 45 %
 '''55 %'''
  Opinion Way
 2012.02.17–18
 975
 25 %
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  Ipsos
 2012.02.17–18
 969
 21 %
 41 %
 '''59 %'''
  CSA 
 2012.02.20
 891
 19 %
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  Ipsos
 2012.02.24–25
 959
 16 %
 42 %
 '''58 %'''
  Ifop
 2012.02.23–26
 1,723
 –
 43.5 %
 '''56.5 %'''
  TNS-sofres
 2012.02.28
 1,000
 25 %
 43 %
 '''57 %'''
  LH2
 2012.03.02–03
 971
 –
 42 %
 '''58 %'''
  BVA 
 2012.03.02–03
 963
 –
 41 %
 '''59 %'''
  Ipsos
 2012.03.02–03
 966
 20 %
 42 %
 '''58 %'''
  Harris Interactive 
 2012.03.01–05
 975
 –
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  CSA 
 2012.03.05
 888
 19 %
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  Opinion Way
 2012.03.05–07
 1,221
 24 %
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  Ifop
 2012.03.11–12
 1,638
 –
 45.5 %
 '''54.5 %'''
  TNS-sofres
 2012.03.12
 1,000
 24 %
 42 %
 '''58 %'''
  CSA 
 2012.03.12–13
 861
 17 %
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  Opinion Way
 2012.03.14–15
 1,183
 20 %
 45 %
 '''55 %'''
  Ifop
 2012.03.16–17
 961
 –
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  LH2
 2012.03.16–17
 962
 22 %
 45 %
 '''55 %'''
  Ipsos
 2012.03.16–17
 950
 17 %
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  Harris Interactive 
 2012.03.15–19
 1,097
 –
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  CSA 
 2012.03.19–20
 888
 16 %
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  BVA 
 2012.03.21–22
 926
 12%
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  Ipsos
 2012.03.23–24
 978
 19 %
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  Harris Interactive 
 2012.03.22–26
 1,231
 –
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  Opinion Way
 2012.03.26–27
 1,148
 19 %
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  TNS-sofres
 2012.03.26–27
 1,000
 22 %
 45 %
 '''55 %'''
  CSA 
 2012.03.26–27
 876
 19 %
 47 %
 '''53 %'''
  LH2
 2012.03.30–31
 973
 21 %
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  Ipsos
 2012.03.30–31
 881
 17 %
 45 %
 '''55 %'''
  Harris Interactive 
 2012.3.29-.4.2
 1,059
 –
 47 %
 '''53 %'''
  CSA 
 2012.04.02–03
 884
 –
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  Opinion Way
 2012.04.03–04
 969
 21 %
 47 %
 '''53 %'''
  Harris Interactive 
 2012.04.03-06
 1,033
 –
 47 %
 '''53 %'''
  Ifop
 2012.04.05–07
 1,869
 –
 47 %
 '''53 %'''
  Ipsos
 2012.04.06–07
 955
 14 %
 45 %
 '''55 %'''
  Opinion Way
 2012.04.10–12
 1,007
 21%
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  CSA 
 2012.04.10–11
 1,013
 –
 43 %
 '''57 %'''
  BVA 
 2012.04.11–12
 885
 14%
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  TNS-sofres
 2012.04.11–12
 1,000
 23 %
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  Ipsos
 2012.04.13–14
 894
 18 %
 44 %
'''56 %'''
  Ifop
 2012.04.12–15
 1,808
 -
 44.5 %
'''55.5 %'''
  Harris Interactive 
 2012.04.12–16
 991
 -
 47 %
'''53 %'''
  CSA 
 2012.04.16–17
 886
 -
 42%
'''58 %'''
  BVA 
 2012.04.16–17
 1,161
 14%
 44 %
'''56 %'''
  Opinion Way
 2012.04.16–17
 1,002
 20 %
 45 %
'''55 %'''
  LH2
 2012.04.17–18
 956
 23 %
 44 %
'''56 %'''
  Ifop
 2012.04.17–20
 2,592
 –
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  CSA 
 2012.04.18–19
 1,005
 -
 43 %
'''57 %'''
  BVA 
 2012.04.18–19
 2,161
 -
 43 %
 
'''57 %'''
  Ipsos
 2012.04.18–19
 1,021
 -
 44 %
'''56 %'''
  Harris Interactive 
 2012.04.18–19
 1,068
 -
 46 %
'''54 %'''
  TNS-sofres
 2012.04.18–19
 1,000
 -
 45 %
'''55 %'''
 조사출처
 조사일
 표본크기
 기권/무효
 니콜라 사르코지UMP
 프랑수아 올랑드PS
=== 사르코지 대 오브리 ===
가상대결: 사르코지 vs. 오브리
 조사출처
 조사일
 표본크기
 기권/무효
 니콜라 사르코지UMP
 마르틴 오브리PS
  CSA
 2009.11.04–05
 910
 39 %
 '''53 %'''
 47 %
  CSA
 2010.02.02–03
 802
 30 %
 '''52 %'''
 48 %
  CSA
 2010.03.24–25
 843
 34 %
 48 %
 '''52 %'''
  CSA
 2010.05.19–20
 779
 35 %
 49 %
 '''51 %'''
  CSA
 2010.07.07–08
 809
 37 %
 48 %
 '''52 %'''
  TNS Sofres
 2010.08.20–21
 1,000
 19 %
 47 %
 '''53 %'''
  Harris Interactive 
 2010.11.09–10
 910
 –
 49 %
 '''51 %'''
  Ifop 
 2010.11.18–19
 811
 –
 48 %
 '''52 %'''
  TNS Sofres
 2010.11.19–20
 1,000
 22 %
 45 %
 '''55 %'''
  BVA
 2011.01.14–15
 971
 –
 43 %
 '''57 %'''
  CSA
 2011.01.17–18
 847
 –
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
 CSA
 2011.02.14–15
 1,005
 –
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  TNS Sofres
 2011.02.18–19
 1,000
 23 %
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  Opinion Way
 2011.04.06–07
 991
 30 %
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  Ifop
 2011.04.20–21
 917
 –
 45 %
 '''55 %'''
  LH2
 2011.05.06–07
 565
 16 %
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  BVA
 2011.05.20–21
 960
 19 %
 41 %
 '''59 %'''
  TNS Sofres
 2011.05.20–21
 1,013
 14 %
 44 %
 '''56 %'''
  Harris Interactive 
 2011.06.03–05
 1,449
 –
 42 %
 '''58 %'''
  LH2
 2011.07.08–09
 957
 5 %
 42 %
 '''58 %'''
  BVA 
 2011.07.08–09
 782
 –
 42 %
 '''58 %'''
  Ifop
 2011.07.19–21
 1,002
 –
 47 %
 '''53 %'''
  Ifop
 2011.8.30-9.2
 1,918
 –
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  LH2
 2011.09.02–03
 818
 –
 46 %
 '''54 %'''
  LH2
 2011.9.30-10.1
 975
 –
 43 %
 '''57 %'''
=== 사르코지 대 르펜 ===
가상대결: 사르코지 vs. 르펜
 조사출처
 조사일
 표본크기
 기권/무효
 니콜라 사르코지UMP
 마린 르 펜FN
  Opinion Way
 2011.04.06–07
 991
 41 %
 '''63 %'''
 37 %
  Ifop
 2011.04.20–21
 917
 –
 '''73 %'''
 27 %
  LH2
 2011.05.06–07
 565
 23 %
 '''74 %'''
 26 %
  Harris Interactive 
 2011.06.03–05
 1,449
 –
 '''63 %'''
 37 %
=== 르펜 대 오브리 ===
가상대결: 오브리 vs. 르펜
 조사출처
 조사일
 표본크기
 기권/무효
 마르틴 오브리PS
 마린 르 펜FN
  Opinion Way
 2011.04.06–07
 991
 28 %
 '''63 %'''
 37 %
  Ifop
 2011.04.20–21
 917
 –
 '''69 %'''
 31 %
  LH2
 2011.05.06–07
 565
 16 %
 '''71 %'''
 29 %
=== 르펜 대 올랑드 ===
가상대결: 올랑드 vs. 르펜
 조사출처
 조사일
 표본크기
 기권/무효
 프랑스아 올랑드PS
 마린 르 펜FN
  Ifop
 2011.04.20–21
 917
 –
 '''72 %'''
 28 %
  LH2
 2011.05.06–07
 565
 13 %
 '''76 %'''
 24 %
* 2012년 프랑스 대통령 선거
분류:프랑스의 대통령 선거
대통령 선거
프랑스 대통령