page_title: Nate Silver
section_title: FiveThirtyEight blog
hierarchical_section_title: Nate Silver / Political analyst and blogger: 2008–present / FiveThirtyEight blog
caption_attribution_description: American statistician Nate Silver at SXSW in Austin, Texas USA on March 15, 2009.
context_page_description: Nathaniel Read Silver is an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseball and elections. He is the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight and a Special Correspondent for ABC News.
  Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA, a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball Prospectus from 2003 to 2009.
  Silver was named one of The World's 100 Most Influential People by Time in 2009 after an election forecasting system he developed successfully predicted the outcomes in 49 of the 50 states in the 2008 U.S. Presidential election. In the 2012 United States presidential election, the forecasting system correctly predicted the winner of all 50 states and the District of Columbia. However, under Silver's leadership the FiveThirtyEight polls both missed the rise and triumph of Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election according to Harvard Business School Digital Iniative.
  In 2010, the FiveThirtyEight blog was licensed for publication by The New York Times.
caption: Silver at SXSW in 2009
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