Start moving to real makefile
Cleaning
Whoops - mistake in equation
Edits to supp.tex
Add to supp caption
Edit abstract
Add some early code playing with prob. of decline
Edit a comment
Comment out faint lines in half of plot
Revert "Start moving to real makefile"

This reverts commit 4c0f15964e0441a4b70b303478f9e13593072a16.

Conflicts:
	analysis/1-compile-models.R