ENH: Silence test output

A simple patch that makes minimal changes to tests that silences almost all output.
Most fixes were simply changing options to not output (e.g. disp=False), and a few
others trapped errors.

A new class was introduced in tools/testing.py that allows general output in a test
to be silenced.  It would be preferred for code to only raise warnings and not simply
print, so that the warning could be captured instead.
ENH: Converted parallel message to warning

parallel_funciton was printing a warning, but not raising one.  Converted to
a ModuleNotAvailableWarning.

Removed the 'catch all' class that was trapping this test.  Catching all text is
generally a bad idea.
ENH: Separated warnings from other code into a new file

sm_exceptions.py now holds all custom warnings and errors. ConvergenceWarning
was moved to this new module, and imports were corrected.
BUG: Correct derivative for exponential transform.
Merge pull request #1540 from jseabold/fix-1539

BUG: Correct derivative for exponential transform.
Merge pull request #1507 from bashtage/silence-tests

CLN: Silence test output
ENH: Avoid RuntimeWarning when hessian unused
TST: Remove unnecessary test.
Merge pull request #1543 from jseabold/tst-fix-warning

TST: Suppress RuntimeWarning for L-BFGS-B
ENH: Unit Root Tests

Introduces 4 new unit root tests and provides a class for Augmented Dickey Fuller testing.
The four new tests are:
  - PhillipsPerron
  - KPSS
  - Variance Ratio
  - DF-GLS

These have all been included in unitroot.py, and the afduller function has been moved from
tsatools to unitroot, and is now just a wrapper around the ADF class.

The critical value and p-value lookup codes have also been consolidated into untiroot.py.
Critical value and p-value lookup information for DFGLS and KPSS is not readily available
in published form, and so simulations were performed to generate these using 100,000,000
replications using a methodology similar to MacKinnon (2010).  All critical value data
has been consolidated into tsa/critical_values.

A cov_nw function was added to tsa/stattools which computes Newey-West covariance.

Also includes substantial improvements to tsatools, including numerous bug fixes.   The
code that handled recarrays has been improved to now handle pandas dataframes.  Numerous
doc strings where improved.  Test coverage was also substantially increased.

string_types was added to the compatibility library to address the difference between basestring
in Python 2 and str in Python 3.

Moved coint to a new file coinegration.py which will, in the long term, be expanded to include
other tests for cointegration.
Changed h0 and hA to null_hypothesis and alternative_hypothesis

Provides a __str__ and __repr__, as well as a _repr_html_ for IPython, for unit
root tests to improve interactive behavior

Refactored valid_trends to remove redundant code
Documentation improvements
Refactored method used for valid_trends
Improved summary
Fixed test failures on 2.6 by skipping those with assert_raises

asset_raises uses an improved version form unittest in Python 2.7, and does not work
correctly in 2.6
Returned a test that was wrongly disabled.
Provided a basic method to call adfuller and coint from tsatools.py
Fix for conda 3.4 changes