Don't crash when pg_xlog is empty and pg_basebackup -x is used

The backup will not work (without a logarchive, and that's the whole
point of -x) in this case, this patch just changes it to throw an
error instead of crashing when this happens.

Noticed and diagnosed by TAKATSUKA Haruka
Account better for planning cost when choosing whether to use custom plans.

The previous coding in plancache.c essentially used 10% of the estimated
runtime as its cost estimate for planning.  This can be pretty bogus,
especially when the estimated runtime is very small, such as in a simple
expression plan created by plpgsql, or a simple INSERT ... VALUES.

While we don't have a really good handle on how planning time compares
to runtime, it seems reasonable to use an estimate based on the number of
relations referenced in the query, with a rather large multiplier.  This
patch uses 1000 * cpu_operator_cost * (nrelations + 1), so that even a
trivial query will be charged 1000 * cpu_operator_cost for planning.
This should address the problem reported by Marc Cousin and others that
9.2 and up prefer custom plans in cases where the planning time greatly
exceeds what can be saved.