seasonality.R: playing with seasonality and monthly return distributions
recession data from http://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/15398/constructing-a-naive-recession-forecast
mv data/Modified NBER Recession Data.csv data/FRED/recession-data-modified.csv
add data/FRED/USREC.csv
seasonality.R: correct plots of monthly log returns
seasonality.R: add lag-1 plot
seasonality.R: add comments
seasonality.R: tweak stl plots and add some periodic analysis comments
WIP seasonality.R: have a go at showing the trend's evolution
ts-cross-validate.R: initial commit
recession-predicter-naive.R: initial commit