Patent ID: 11835677

Abstract:
Methods and systems for generating a multi-model ensemble of global climate simulation data from a plurality of pre-existing global climate simulation model (GCM) datasets, are disclosed. The methods and systems perform steps of computing a GCM dataset validation measure based on at least one sample statistic for at least one climate variable from the pre-existing GCM dataset; selecting a validated subset of the plurality of pre-existing GCM datasets; selecting a subset of GCM datasets; generating one or more candidate ensembles of GCM datasets; computing an ensemble forecast skill score for each candidate ensemble of GCM datasets; generating the multi-model ensemble of GCM datasets by selecting a candidate ensemble of GCM datasets with a best ensemble forecast skill score; and training the NN-based climate forecasting model using the multi-model ensemble of GCM datasets. Embodiments of the present invention enable accurate climate forecasting without the need to run new dynamical global climate simulations on supercomputers.