Patent ID: 11386376

Abstract:
A risk parsing device provides risk splitting and loss event diversification for a multi-risk forecast systems capturing multiple loss aggregation under complex environmental conditions based on the occurrence of defined loss events. The loss events are triggered by one or more involved causing units and affected units, wherein the loss events evolve from one or multiple risk accumulating sources. Risk events related loss measures can be scattered over multiple causing units or multiple related clash events. The multi-risk forecast system provides loss-generating processes and events, wherein the inventive risk splitter is a technical core element to generate an event-related loss distribution mirroring cause-effect chains induced by the risk events which extend over space and time. The risk splitter module allows automated splitting of the risk based on risk exposed, causing unit characteristics and risk exposed affected units' characteristics. The causing unit characteristics comprises for each causing unit assigned activity characteristic parameters and participation characteristic parameters of said causing unit defining for a specific causing unit a specific set of executable activity link members and market share driving participation probabilities. The causing unit characteristics comprises quota parameters defining affected populations of affected units with incidence and defining refined effect types.