2021 Canadian federal election

The **2021 Canadian federal election** took place on September 20, 2021 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 44th Parliament of Canada.

The latest date of the vote was scheduled for October 16, 2023, which is determined by the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act, which requires federal elections to be held on the third Monday in October in the fourth calendar year after the polling day of the previous election.

However, on August 15, 2021, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau requested a dissolution of parliament from Governor General Mary Simon.  On September 20, Trudeau and the Liberal Party was projected to have won 155 seats, allowing them to form a minority government.

## Opinion polling

|style="width:105px" rowspan="2"|Polling firm|style="width:105px" rowspan="2"|Last date of polling|rowspan="2"|Link|class="unsortable" style="width:40px"|CPC|class="unsortable" style="width:40px"|LPC|class="unsortable" style="width:40px"|NDP|class="unsortable" style="width:40px"|BQ|class="unsortable" style="width:40px"|GPC|class="unsortable" style="width:40px"|PPC|rowspan="2" style="width:40px" class="unsortable"|Other|rowspan="2"|Margin of error|rowspan="2"|Sample size|rowspan="2"|Polling method|rowspan="2"|Lead|
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
|Forum Research||PDF|**31**|28|19|7|8|5|3|±3 pp|1,203|IVR|**3**|||||||||||||||
|Mainstreet Research||Twitter|30.1|**33.1**|19.1|5.9|3.9|5.6|2.2||1,331|IVR|**3.0**|||||||||||||||

## Leadership polls

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on who would make the best Prime Minister:

### October 2020 – present

|rowspan="2"|Polling firm|rowspan="2"|Last date of polling|rowspan="2"|Link|class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"|Justin Trudeau|class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"|Erin O'Toole|class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"|Jagmeet Singh|class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"|Yves-François Blanchet|class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"|Annamie Paul|class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"|Maxime Bernier|rowspan="2"|Unsure|rowspan="2"||rowspan="2"|Lead|
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
|Nanos Research||PDF||**36.3**|20.8|12.6|5.2|5.3|5.2|14.6|±3.1 pp||**15.5**|||||||||||
|Innovative Research|May 5, 2021|HTML||**44**|20|23|2|4|6||||**21**|||||||||||
|Ipsos||HTML||**42**|25|17|8|7|||±3.5 pp||**17**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**40.1**|18.9|13.2|2.3|4.1|2.9|18.5|±3.1 pp||**21.2**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**38.9**|19.3|13.7|2.2|4.7|3.2|18.0|±3.1 pp||**19.6**|||||||||||
|Research Co.||PDF||**40**|15|12|3|2|2|25|±3.1 pp||**25**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**36.7**|22.0|14.4|3.7|5.6|3.4|14.2|±3.1 pp||**14.7**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**34.0**|24.5|15.2|4.2|4.6|4.1|14.2|±3.1 pp||**9.5**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**38.1**|24.7|13.5|5.4|4.6|4.1|9.6|±3.1 pp||**13.4**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**38.5**|23.9|13.3|4.6|4.2|3.2|12.3|±3.1 pp||**14.6**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**39.3**|20.3|13.1|3.2|3.9|2.4|17.7|±3.1 pp||**19.0**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**38.2**|21.1|13.2|3.6|2.2|2.2|19.6|±3.1 pp||**17.1**|||||||||||
|Research Co.||PDF||**39**|22|13|3|2|2||±3.1 pp||**17**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**37.5**|19.7|13.5|3.9|3.2|2.3|19.9|±3.1 pp||**17.8**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**38.5**|20.3|14.5|3.4|1.8|2.0|19.5|±3.1 pp||**18.2**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**39.0**|20.1|12.7|2.8|2.5|1.9|21.0|±3.1 pp||**18.9**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**37.7**|21.6|12.6|2.9|2.7|2.1|20.5|±3.1 pp||**16.1**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**38.5**|23.0|11.1|1.9|2.9|2.5|20.1|±3.1 pp||**15.0**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**37.1**|22.5|11.6|2.8|4.0|2.1|19.7|±3.1 pp||**14.6**|||||||||||

### August 2020 – October 2020

|rowspan="2"|Polling firm|rowspan="2"|Last date of polling|rowspan="2"|Link|class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"|Justin Trudeau|class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"|Erin O'Toole|class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"|Jagmeet Singh|class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"|Yves-François Blanchet|class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"|Elizabeth May|class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"|Maxime Bernier|rowspan="2"|Unsure|rowspan="2"||rowspan="2"|Lead|
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
|Nanos Research||PDF||**35.6**|22.8|13.2|3.1|3.3|2.1|19.9|±3.1 pp||**12.8**|||||||||||
|Nanos Research||PDF||**34.4**|20.2|15.2|4.2|4.0|1.5|20.5|±3.1 pp||**14.2**|||||||||||

## Infobox (election)

- **election name**: 2021 Canadian federal election
- **country**: Canada
- **type**: parliamentary
- **party colour**: no
- **party name**: no
- **ongoing**: no
- **previous election**: 2019 Canadian federal election
- **previous year**: 2019
- **previous mps**: List of House members of the 43rd Parliament of Canada
- **next year**: 2025 Canadian federal election, 2025
- **seats for election**: 338 seats in the House of Commons of Canada, House of Commons
- **majority seats**: 170
- **opinion polls**: Opinion polling for the 2021 Canadian federal election
- **leader1**: Justin Trudeau
- **leader since1**: 2013 Liberal Party of Canada leadership election, April 14, 2013
- **leaders seat1**: Papineau (electoral district), Papineau
- **last election1**: 157 seats, 33.12%
- **seats before1**: 155
- **seats1**: **160**
- **seat change1**: 5
- **popular vote1**: 5,556,629
- **percentage1**: 32.62%
- **leader2**: Erin O'Toole
- **leader since2**: 2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election, August 24, 2020
- **leaders seat2**: Durham (electoral district), Durham
- **last election2**: 121 seats, 34.34%
- **seats before2**: 119
- **seats2**: 119
- **popular vote2**: **5,747,410**
- **percentage2**: **33.74%**
- **leader3**: Yves-François Blanchet
- **leaders seat3**: Beloeil—Chambly
- **leader since3**: 2019 Bloc Québécois leadership election, January 17, 2019
- **last election3**: 32 seats, 7.63%
- **seats before3**: 32
- **seats3**: 32
- **popular vote3**: 1,301,615
- **percentage3**: 7.64%
- **leader4**: Jagmeet Singh
- **leaders seat4**: Burnaby South
- **leader since4**: 2017 New Democratic Party leadership election, October 1, 2017
- **last election4**: 24 seats, 15.98%
- **seats before4**: 24
- **seats4**: 25
- **seat change4**: 1
- **popular vote4**: 3,036,348
- **percentage4**: 17.82%
- **leader5**: Annamie Paul
- **leader since5**: 2020 Green Party of Canada leadership election, October 3, 2020
- **leaders seat5**: _Ran in Toronto Centre (defeated)_
- **last election5**: 3 seats, 6.55%
- **seats before5**: 2
- **seats5**: 2
- **popular vote5**: 396,988
- **percentage5**: 2.33%
- **leader6**: Maxime Bernier
- **leader since6**: People's Party of Canada#Formation, September 14, 2018
- **leaders seat6**: _Ran in Beauce (electoral district), Beauce (lost)_
- **last election6**: 0 seats, 1.62%
- **seats before6**: 0
- **seats6**: 0
- **popular vote6**: 840,993
- **percentage6**: 4.94%
- **swing6**: 3.4percentage point, pp
- **1data6**: 170
- **map image**: Canada Election 2021 Results Map.svg
- **map caption**: Map showing seats won by each party, shaded by margin
- **title**: Prime Minister
- **posttitle**: Prime Minister after election
- **before election**: Justin Trudeau
- **after election**: Justin Trudeau