Principles of Business Forecasting
1. Forecasting, the Why and How. 2. Basic Tools for Forecasting. 3. Forecasting Trends: Exponential Smoothing. 4. Seasonal Series: Forecasting and Decomposition. 5. State-Space Models for Time Series. 6. Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Models. 7. Simple Linear Regression for Forecasting. 8. Multiple Regression for Time Series. 9. Model Building. 10. Advanced Methods of Forecasting. 11. Judgment-Based Forecasts. 12. Putting Forecasting Methods to Work. 13. Forecasting in Practice. Appendix A: Basic Statistical Concepts (online only). Appendix B: Glossary (online only). Appendix C: Forecasting Software (online only). Index.--This text refers to thePaperbackedition.