Time the Markets: Using Technical Analysis to Interpret Economic Data, Revised Edition
“It’s about time someone wrote this book. Kirkpatrick brings a unique perspective to the topic and bridges many gaps. Not only does he unite technical and fundamental analysis, but also academia and the real world. It is not often we find a book steeped in both the theoretical and the actual. Kirkpatrick has found what truly works when it comes to making money in the stock market.” –Michael Kahn, CMT, Editor, “Quick Takes Pro” Market Letter, and Columnist, Barron’s Online “Contains a wealth of wisdom. There are pearls scattered all throughout the book.” –Richard J. Bauer, CFA, Ph.D., Professor of Finance, St. Mary’s University, San Antonio, Texas; Author ofGenetic Algorithms and Investment Strategiesand coauthor ofTechnical Market Indicators “Whether you are a fundamental analyst wanting to integrate technical analysis into investment decisions or a technical analyst interested in using economic data, this book is a must read. In an organized, easy-to-follow presentation, Kirkpatrick shows you not only what to do, but how and why to do it. This is your opportunity to learn from a master!” –Julie Dahlquist, Ph.D., CMT, Senior Lecturer, University of Texas at San Antonio, and Editor,Journal of Technical Analysis “Understanding and using fundamental information is a problem for most traders and technically oriented analysts, but Kirkpatrick has cut through the confusion to give all of us a tested, systematic way of really improving our investment performance. Everyone should re-examine their system to incorporate these findings.” –Bruce M. Kamich, CMT, Adjunct Professor of Finance at Baruch College and President of the Market Technicians Association Educational Foundation “This is the logical next step for technical analysis: trading signals based on fundamental economic variables. Kirkpatrick inspires confidence by walking the reader carefully through exactly what he’s doing, including some fairly sophisticated data analysis techniques. The book resonates with his intelligence, honesty, and down-home charm.”–Carol L. Osler, Associate Professor of Finance, Brandeis University Stock investors who time markets based on business cycles can earn enormous profits, while others continue to swim upstream against rushing currents. InTime the Markets, Charles D. Kirkpatrick, II, offers a systematic, practical, and accessible methodology for identifying probable shifts in business cycles. Overcoming the divide between fundamental and technical analysis, Kirkpatrick tests twenty-five publicly available economic indicators and identifies only three that, taken together, usually signal major market movements. You’ll learn which fundamental, economic, monetary, sentiment, and price data indicators work best–and which to avoid as redundant, time consuming, and only marginally helpful. Kirkpatrick explains why market timing is crucial to reducing risk, reviews evidence about whether markets can be timed, and presents methods for neutralizing the risks of market decline. Next, he introduces easy-to-use technical methods for establishing where trends and oscillations are beginning or ending. Finally, he walks through tests of economic indicators to determine when markets are most likely to change direction–so you can ride the waves in rising markets and step aside when they plummet. •Beyond the flawed Efficient Markets HypothesisWhy market data shows that markets can be timed •What you need to know about trends, momentum, and cyclesA quick technical analysis primer for long-term investors •Timing systems that work: building, testing, and using themCompiling your data and transforming it into usable insights