Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis
"This book is a significant contribution to the exploration of the basic issues and constitutes an important addition to the technical literature addressing uncertainty."   Joseph Fragola, IEEE Spectrum"Uncertainty is a risk analysis textbook that Granger Morgan and Max Henrion have written to serve as a basic text for students as well as a reference work for practitioners and researchers.  Uncertainty succeeds both in providing an excellent basis for policy analysis and in drawing upon a variety of case studies that will be of interest to risk researchers."   Journal of Economic Literature"...a significant contribution to the exploration of the basic issues and constitutes an important addition to the technical literature addressing uncertainty."   Joseph Fragola, IEEE Spectrum