jkeisling/hacker-news-corpus-2007-2022 huggingface dataset:
One of my responsibilities is to do post-outage reporting to estimate how much money we lost. Right now I use Holt-Winters to give a forecast starting just before the outage began. I then estimate the loss to be the difference between the forecast and the data points that fall outside of the forecast's confidence interval.

Is this a statistically valid method? I chose Holt-Winters because I'm inexperienced and it's appealingly intuitive. Should I be looking at anomaly detection methods instead? Would they be able to tell me what "normal" would have been for the duration of the anomaly?
I would expect that even if it wasn't mentioned, I mean it's a freaking internet access in a fast moving object 30,000 feet above ground! I don't like what Gogo just did, but kudos for undertaking this challenge. barnaby mentioned they have in-flight paid media services, of what sort/diversity/quality? I suppose it's a selection of movies stored on a server in the plane.
There is pretty much no reason to use <> except "that's what C++ did, because they didn't have any other symbols to spare".

If done correctly, (e. g. [] for types, () for values, and >/< for binary comparisons) this approach achieves a lot of consistency and simplicity.
More and more digital content consumption is happening on mobile devices. And Amazon can't sell on iOS devices because Apple locks out anyone who won't pay a 30% ransom.

You can't buy a book or rent an instant movie on an iPhone. It is a big weak spot.
You have a point here, he was just defending against others. But I meant my original comment in a broader sense, going to war in general.
Do you require a whole new device for frictionless shopping? I'm not so convinced that's the case.
Oh, I just want to write a short script to take my latest flickr uploads and send them to Instagram. I bet someone has already published some Python code, I'll look, thank you!
I wouldn't call PureScript a framework. It's a compile-to-JS language. It may be useful for people that already know Haskell pretty well, but I can't see why a Javascript developper would choose to use this language. It's a completely new syntax and way of thinking about programming, which you can't pick up in less than a couple of weeks at least, unless you are already familiar with a functionnal programming language.
Oh, Im not a native and I had no idea about the word "cuss" until now. Should I rename gitcuss to gitcussion or something else?
Purescript is a language, not a framework.
Exactly. The same old debate between statistical truth and deterministic uncertainty. What bothers me is that, meanwhile, the many people who have tried to get funding for years or even generations to study deep, complex mechanisms involved in DNA replication (on histones for example) didn't get much. Of course replication will eventually, on large numbers, begin to fail. Microprocessors do too. But would we say that when instructions get contaminated it's bad luck?
It makes you cautious. That's not a crime, is it?
> You seem to be equating nonbinary and transgender.

First, many nonbinary people identify as transgender. Second, anti-trans laws don't have very clear delineations on who they target, first of all because the legislation is written by clueless people who hardly have an idea or even care to have an idea what it means to be trans versus nonbinary.

But moreover it should be obvious by now that the current crop of anti-trans laws are just a backlash to the Obergefell decision in 2015, and it's not even intended to target specifically trans people. They are vice signals intended to put LGBTQIA people in general on notice as to the ideological posture of the state. They are not going to be very discriminate about targeting you if you're trans but leaving you alone if you're nonbinary. It's a distinction without a difference to them.

Anti trans laws are an admission that the anti-LGBTQIA movement lost a battle but intends to continue the war by moving over to a new letter of the acronym. We know this to be true because they're recycling all the same anti-gay rhetoric and tactics they used to use in the 90s against gay rights, but this time subbing in "trans", who appear to be targeted next because of their visibility in the community. There are no principles behind these arguments, because if there were they'd still be making the same arguments about gay people. They aren't making those arguments anymore because they know they lost those arguments culturally. But they still believe those things and want to keep saying them but this time directing their hate toward trans people.

And it's true Obergefell gave us same sex marriage, but since 2015 they have been vowing to erase that decision, and they've worked tirelessly to make that a reality. The Supreme Court is now exactly where the GOP have wanted it for a generation, and they are using it as they promised; abortion rights will be done this summer, and next on the chopping block is gay marriage as promised. They said they are going to do it, and it looks like they will. Right now it doesn't seem like there's a lot to stop them.

> we’re taking about legislation aren’t we? Not discrimination in general?

One last thing I'd like to point out, is that when lawmakers stand in the way of anti-discrimination laws because they want the discrimination to continue, this is a form of legalized discrimination. You don't need to make harassment and discrimination legal by passing a law saying it's okay, instead you keep it legal by preventing the passage of laws saying it's forbidden.
Yes, people who were wronged and are still alive should be compensated.

Punishing the son for the sins of the father is not healthy for society nor fair.
For this thread: praise, then acknowledgement of reality.
GREAT point. I thought that was just with my users.
From the article:

> It’s less of this generation of having Melrose Place parties and more watching Glee and then IMing or Facebooking or Tweeting.

It's sad that "this" generation, which is our generation, is less concerned about being social in person than online.
The author also makes an interesting point about consumerism: "... 'does it make them a consumer or a producer?' I have met electronics and computer geeks whose skills in their fields are awe inspiring. You give these people direction, and they will develop or build amazing things. Those people are producers. Unfortunately, most geeks are consumers. They spend an inordinate amount of money on their obsessions."
One of the defining articles on this exact topic was written by Doug Bowman back in 2003:

http://stopdesign.com/archive/2003/09/03/absolute.html
Let me make some ballpark guesses here: Adsense for blogs normally comes to around $0.10 - $1.10 CPM, so I assume your making it the region of $3 - $30.

If your affiliate ads are generating > $10 / CPM then you're home dry, your product will sell yourself. Less than $10 then you'll probably find it hard to compete against the major blog ad networks, however small-to-midtier blogs that use adsense may well be a good target market for you.
That is true for the US, not necessarily the rest of the world. Not disagreeing with your point, just want to help out anyone that would take away what you said as hard fact.
This is stupid. Just buy a taser or pepper spray if you really think you need it (you probably don't).
You never "win".

Having been in a hospital due to an accident, I would never want to put anyone else in there.

And if I was put there by someone else, I would probably have been obsessed with getting back at them.

So to "win" actually just means to "shift trauma around for a while".

I mean, just look at how popular this article is at the moment. There is a lot of latent resentment from being on the receiving end of violence. If you're on the end that's dishing it out, you're just putting other people where you used to be. And you know how that feels.

Also keep in mind that reading an article on fighting makes you about as good at fighting as reading an article on surgery makes you a surgeon. You're liable to make things even worse. If you REALLY want to know how to fight, practice some martial art that takes streetfighting seriously. It's remarkably easy to lose an eye or a testicle.

Additionally, you can't afford to trade 1-for-1 with a drunken asshole. It's like defensive driving -- some people are set on eventually making themselves smoking corpses in a burning wreck, so it's better to get out of the asshole's way than be that other party in the burning wreck.

Getting away from a bad situation IS self-defense.
OP here. No, but many years ago I did have what I think was called a "lower GI series", where they pump you full of barium and take X-rays of your digestive tract. Yeah, that was really pleasant. I think the idea was to look for blockages. There was no biopsy taken, ever.
yeah, wondering about this. Quite a few people (including myself) pointed it out. Please keep us updated and good luck.
I'm referring to using an officially mandated automated diagnosis system.
Nobody is going to pay for something they can get for free. You set an upper bound on the price when you gave your content away.

My guess is that the porn companies, which make you buy annoying subscriptions, make a lot more money that way than they would with some Google text ads. It's because they don't set the price at $0 and then ask for any amount of money. The set the price at $30 and ask for $30. Don't have $30? No soup for you.
> In other words, AT&T's towers are overwhelmed because AT&T didn't build enough capacity. That's not my fault and I shouldn't be paying for it.

Who exactly is supposed to pay for it, if not the people using it?
Hmm, well it's not possible to remove Sense and it continues to show active processes with the word sense in them even after I stopped using the various home screen stuff.
I'm pretty sure that all of those (plus mint.com, which started as mymint.com) had VC backing to help pay for the domain. If you want to go with that kind of domain name, it seems like getting VC is going to be a requirement.
“If anything, the existance of this site tells a lot about Mac users.”

How so? I’m a Mac user, they didn’t ask me whether their dating site is a good idea. The existence of this website tells you nothing about me (and, by inference, a lot of other Mac users).
Is there any intention of building this out into a broader music-making tool? I can think of a lot of ways this could be a great way for introducing people to music production in a simple, intuitive manner. It also helps that Madeon is behind this and his music is arguably some of the most creative and well thought out since the likes of Daft Punk
Yeah, I support full-drug legalization, but I don't think that pretending that locking up junkies currently does nothing positive for society will do us any favors. In the current system, they account for a large amount of property crime and even violent crime. Locking them up isn't pointless, even if it does nothing to cure their addiction it does stop them from robbing others to pay for their addiction (for as long as we keep them locked up anyway).

Now, I believe that full legalization will reduce or eliminate the harm to society caused by junkies, but that should be the talking point that is hammered on. Not "jailing junkies doesn't cure them".
The data gathered here: http://www.unodc.org/gsh/en/data.html don't particularly support this claim, at least with regard to homicide (I'm still looking for data on drug mortality).

Drug decriminalization policy was introduced in Portugal in 2000 and was legally in effect as of July 2001. It is reasonable to assume that police enforcement efforts of drug possession laws were scaled down over the first six months of 2001.

Two years later, the murder rate jumped from 1.1 per 100K population (110-120 murders per year) to 1.4 (140-150 murders per year), wobbled around a bit, peaking in 2007 at 1.8 (185 murders per year) after which it dropped back to the 1.1 - 1.2 range (110-130 murders per year) which is difficult to distinguish from the 2000-2002 value.

In the rest of Europe murders mostly declined over the same period, dropping by about a factor of two in Spain (1.4 to 0.8 murders per year) and either dropping slightly or remaining steady, except for Greece, which also saw a bit of bump mid-decade.

So on the face of it, the murder rate in Portugal did jump two years after the drug policy came into effect, and Greece-which saw no such change in policy--saw a similar bump that was unlikely to be caused by Portuguese drug policy.

Furthermore, without change in drug policy, the rate in Portugal has dropped back to what it was before, and is comfortably in the middle of the European range, from lows of 0.8 for places like Germany and Spain to highs of 1.9 in Belgium, with France and the UK both in the 1.1-1.2 range where Portugal currently sits.

So there is no strong case to be made on the raw statistics alone that changes in the murder rate in Portugal have been strongly influenced by changes in drug policy. It is clear that the murder rate in Portugal increased when most of the rest of Europe was decreasing, but so was the murder rate in Greece. Given the two countries have economic similarities (small nations on the European periphery) that suggests--but does nothing like prove--that economic factors might play a role in the murder rate.
I am not a researcher, but I would suggest that perhaps you would find that in the case where a crowd was being parsed in realtime (looking out for somebody so we can catch them before they leave the station for example), the "speed" dial would be turned up as high as necessary, but that the video stream would be stored and the data set reprocessed at a later time with it at a better setting (so you can still say "yes she was here at x time, though we missed her")

in other words, the bandwidth of the image recognition product is not the same as the bandwidth of the video storage.
Asking the question is significant because it bears directly on the question of resources, which tend to be finite. If legalization has the effect of dramatically reducing addiction rates, then its costs can be expected to drop over time as lives are improved and addiction rates drop. If the latter scenario is the case and addicts are becoming wards of the state, then costs cannot be expected to decrease over time, and addiction rates will not drop. How might other lives be improved with those resources?

In either case, it's important to know what effect the programs have actually had. Without that, it's impossible to assess programs. A program you cannot assess is one you cannot improve or learn from.

It also matters because costs must be balanced against benefits in making decisions. Thus is the bloody calculus of government.
We're getting rid of the $0.25 transfer fee and replacing it with 0.5% of funds paid out to managed accounts. We do more work (and incur more cost) if you're using managed accounts, so we think it makes sense.
If you're paying out on a $10,000 job, the fee is going from $0.25 to $50.00? Is there a way to keep the flat-fee pricing?
Ironically, this is exactly what I have at home, but not what I have at work. 30" monitors are "not approved" and SSDs are "not tested by the regulatory agencies".

(Actually, I have a 24" monitor at home. Holding off on the 30" until I implement better window management in Emacs.)
Davos every time. Look at the people who'll attend. The calibre is guaranteed to be higher.
Local advertising will be as big (if not bigger) than AdWords, ergo Groupon is the new Google. No wonder they turned them down.
Because those letters make things "sound" scientific.
I don't want to open a can of worms, but there's a hefty debate behind your insightful (but succinct) comment. I feel like a couple counterpoints to your statements are in order, though.

If the quality of life of the USSR increased, we need to ask two questions. Would it have increased more or less under a more liberal regime? How are you factoring in the murder of tens of millions of people? Even low end figures show that 5% of the peak Soviet population was slaughtered or imprisoned.

Regarding India's woes, systems of government/economy are in no way a panacea. Besides, India's economy was extremely communist, almost explicitly modeled after the USSR. India only turned to liberalizing their markets recently, even later than China.
all purchasers of the pants which size is 120% wider and 120-150% longer than wearer requires.
Remember the facebook world map? http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2002742

See the dark area in Russia? Vkontakte got to Russia first.
This one gives a score of 32, but I like it just for the sheer one-liner obsfucatedness:

:g/#/+1s/\v(.*)\n.*/\1\r\1
You can save yourself a minute and generate the test case boilerplate for your with https://github.com/cweill/gotests :)
BOTNS does not revel in graphic violence, in fact most of the violence in the story happens "off-screen" so to speak. It's also completely wrong to say that those themes are written as an end unto themselves, that reads to me like pretty much the exact opposite of the book. I'll presume you read it since you're offering such a strong critique, so I'd be curious to understand why you think this way.
> I've been editing a tutorial one of my coworkers wrote that targets new Python users on Windows. From my findings, the grass is not greener.

Maybe check the other other side (Linux) - I found the grass is greener there - at least for Python (and programming tools in general). I'm very comfortable on the command-line, and moving from a pure Linux environment to OS X & brew felt like a huge downgrade, followed by random annoyances that remind you you are using inferior, non-GNU utilities:

$ ls my_dir -l
ls: -l: No such directory

Really - Mac OS? I know its minor, but that's just user-hostile and it happens every few weeks; I can't get over it.
reading other comments it's not about latency its about signal propagation and interference.
>> Not only that I think anonymity is important. Without you could also just as easily be threatened or harassed by people online.

If someone threatens or harasses you online, and they are not anonymous you can take action. Like you say, both ways.

You can always have sites that drop your identity. It's technically easier to drop information than to verify it.
Each shift is a week long.

We're fortunate that our team has a European counterpart, so we don't have to respond at night. We do 9:30 am -> 9:30 pm, and there's 5 members in our rotation.
The way the parent comment is worded, he is actually advocating for not doing activities like running hot water heaters during peak load times.

I know many utilities in my area have a program you can sign up for where they will cycle through the registered AC units to balance out peak load in the summer. I'm not entirely sure how they manage that, I suppose they have to have some sort of sensor switch they install in your circuit.
What happened to "When have they been open about anything?"

Wonderful moving goal post here.
Have you considered bringing an AP closer to the client? Especially on 5GHz a good line-of-sight / line-of-reflection is very helpful, and some extra 10-20dB of signal should compensate for a lot of interference.

OFDM MU-MIMO AX 20000+ 1000$ routers with 20 antennas work better, but in an inconvenient location, when the noise floor is high, it has no chance to compete with a decent 2-antenna ac (or even n) AP with good signal propagation (same room vs. behind a wall somewhere).

And it would be helpful if you can agree with your neighbors to use narrow channels (less competition and unintended interference), decrease radiation power (less distortion => better signal) and if supported, increase minimum bitrate (faster communication => less jamming). Also, lower transmission power and faster SSID broadcasts help induce roaming, for when you have multiple APs.
Downvoters: Go ahead, but please do not delude yourself and think otherwise; for with every downvote you prove your propensity for violence. Feels good doesn't it to just click and see the text go lighter. You can't explain it anymore than those guys can explain the rush of holding a shot gun and contracting their finger repeatedly under the pretense of maintaining peace, or some other reason.
I would say that in my experience, account creation at online retailers (even Amazon) is very rarely something I've found useful for myself. It may well benefit the company.

I don't want my card details to be saved, and typing in my address and card number take less than a minute anyway. Newsletters almost universally go to spam because I'm not a landowner who has the disposable income to just buy arbitrary things that are advertised to me.

I think generally developers are aware of this, but they're chasing the few that do respond to such tactics.
How do we satisfy this desire?

Extreme sports, video games, and other entertainment.
I disagree. I think Scala suffers from Perlisms like being too succinct and more than one way of doing things (ex omitting dots and parens to invoke a method). There are newer alternative JVM languages that are more consistent and preferable to Java, so I disagree with your argument that those of us that prefer not to use Scala are Luddites.
RMS doesn't use credit cards and walks around town wearing a "Don't be tracked. Pay with cash" button. Even if Uber addressed every single point on his list, he still wouldn't use them.
> With real taxis, you can flag one on the street or phone in any fashion; you can pay cash; you can be anonymous.

And even with Uber around, you can still do that. No one's taken that choice away. Use Lyft/Uber if you're comfortable with it. If not, user a regular cab.
Google Ideas is essentially Google's division to collaborate with the state department.
I totally agree with this. Right now I am on break from school and I haven't taken my Adderall all break and I have had zero motivation to do anything. Before break started I had so many projects that I wanted to do, I have not started any of them.

Adderall really helps me, with everything. Helps me to get focused on something it doesn't matter what, once I am started I cannot be stopped, its awesome.
I believe vocabulary is one of the least important facets of writing. Prose is combinatorial. Even with a smattering of words, there are a near-infinite number of novel, expressive ways they can be combined.

It's rare that a great concept can't be expressed from the lack of a word or two. You almost always need full phrases and sentences to get an idea across anyway.

Also, vocabulary is one of the things most amenable to being improved during editors. I've heard of lots of famous others whose first drafts have "<better word here>" all of over the place. If you think there's a better word than springs to mind, finish your thought without it. Then, crack open your thesaurus later and come back and sprinkle some word seasoning in there.
Cool post. You don't need `python -m SimpleHTTPServer 8000` to test your page tough, just double-click on index.html :)
Interesting way to look at it. You could look at it another way and say what whatever they were doing before worked and got them this far. However, will what they are doing work for their continued future?
The NYT and WaPo editorials and analysis are the most milquetoast center-left opinions you can find. That's always been their position.

The difference is now they're coming after Silicon Valley, because they realize they've lost their attention and advertising monopoly. It's all very predicable and boring.

It's the same deal with Balaji. The only reason he cares is because the reporting might hurt a company he's invested in.

Follow the money. Always follow the money.
Great word. For those like me:

senescence (noun)
the condition or process of deterioration with age.
• loss of a cell's power of division and growth.
Would you like to actually engage with the content of the article?

Edit: my snark was unwarranted, as commenters helped me realize. Apologies.