jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will a Chinese government entity or state owned enterprise take a stake in Youku Tudou, Tencent, or Weibo?
China has proposed investing in web giants Tencent Holdings Ltd, Weibo Corp, and Youku Tudou, a platform owned by Alibaba Group Holding (Wall Street Journal, Wall Street Journal).
Tags: Finance, Technology, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Mahmoud Abbas visit Gaza before 1 January 2018?
On 12 October 2017, Hamas and Fatah signed a unity agreement which outlined terms for Hamas to transfer control of Gaza to the Palestinian Authority (CNN, NY Times). Palestinian Authority Prime Minister Rami Hamdallah made a visit to Gaza in advance of the deal (Aljazeera).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-11-08; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will Transport for London (TfL) issue a license for Uber?
In September 2017, Transport for London (TfL; London's transport authority) rejected Uber's application for a new license. Talks between Uber and TfL are ongoing (Evening Standard, The Independent).
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-10-25; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the "comfort women" statue be removed from outside the Japanese Consulate in Busan before 1 January 2018?
The "comfort women" statue in front of the Japanese Consulate in Busan, erected in December 2016, was opposed by Japan as a violation of the 2015 agreement settling the issue (CNN, NY Times). South Korea's president has criticized that agreement and observers worry that the rekindling of the "comfort women" issue may complicate South Korean and Japanese cooperation (Nikkei, NY Times).
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-10-25; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 25 October and 31 December 2017, will North Korea launch an SLBM?
North Korea's submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) program is continuing to advance (Reuters, The Telegraph, The Diplomat). The launch must be conducted from a submarine. Barge tests and land based tests of SLBMs won't count.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-10-25; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 29 December 2017, will it be announced that Chinese troops are deploying to the disputed border region between Eritrea and Djibouti?
As aggression escalates in the Djibouti-Eritrea conflict over the Dumeria Mountain and Island, China has offered to assist in mediation or peacekeeping if requested (Ventures Africa, Yahoo! News, South China Morning Post, News.com).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-09-13; closed: 2017-12-29
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 27 December 2017, will Poland, Estonia, Latvia, or Lithuania accuse Russia of intervening militarily in its territory without permission?
If the relevant governments are overthrown during an invasion, an announcement by a third party government accusing Russia of invasion will count. Examples of past accusations of Russian military intervention include Georgia's claim that Russia invaded its territory in August of 2008 (Belfast Telegraph), Ukraine's claim the Russia invaded Crimea in February 2014 (Sputnik News), Ukraine's condemnation of illegal Russian fighters in Eastern Ukraine in June 2014 (Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine), and Ukraine's statement in August 2014 that Russia military forces had crossed the border and were actively engaged in fighting (The Guardian).
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-10-11; closed: 2017-12-27
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 29 November 2017 and 29 December 2017, will Saudi Arabia announce it is increasing the domestic price of gasoline or diesel?
Saudi Arabia continues to hint at a possible domestic fuel price increase in 2017, but has not yet made a change (Reuters). Raising the price of any octane level will count.
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2017-12-29
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 2018, will Russia officially announce that it is suspending its participation in or withdrawing from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty?
Question opened: 2016-06-14; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 2018, will Russia officially announce that it is suspending its participation in or withdrawing from the New START treaty?
Question opened: 2016-06-14; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: How many countries will have a manned, fixed-wing, military aircraft downed in the CENTCOM area of responsibility before 2018?
For CENTCOM area of responsibility, visit: Centcom. Examples include, but are not limited to: The Telegraph, BBC, Aljazeera, Gulf News.
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-05-23; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: 0, 1, 2 or 3, 4 or 5, More than 5
Answer: 1
Question: Between 6 December and 31 December 2017, will there be an attack on the drone base near Agadez, Niger?
There are concerns that the U.S. drone base near Agadez, Niger may draw the attention of violent extremists (Washington Post).
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-12-06; closed: 2017-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 29 November 2017 and 29 December 2017, will there be an attack by non-state actors on a civilian sea vessel which results in at least three fatalities?
Examples of civilian sea vessels include, but are not limited to, cruise liners, fishing boats, and merchant ships (e.g., oil tankers). Recent studies indicate that civilian vessels are increasingly vulnerable to attacks by non-state actors (Maritime Executive, Marine Insight,BBC).
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2017-12-29
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will Qatar announce that it will cease to export natural gas to any country?
If the diplomatic crisis between Qatar and its neighbors escalates, the supply and distribution of Qatari natural gas could be disrupted (Bloomberg, Zawya, Bloomberg).
Tags: Economic Indicators, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2017-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: How many total civilian deaths for December 2017 will the Syrian Network for Human Rights (SNHR) report?
Question will be resolved using the Syrian Network for Human Rights (SNHR) monthly report for December. Monthly reports are posted here and are typically updated within a few days of the following month. The SNHR monthly report will be treated as the official resolution source even if other authorities offer conflicting numbers.
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Less than 800, Between 800 to 900, inclusive, More than 900 but less than 950, Between 950 to 1,000, inclusive, More than 1,000
Answer: Less than 800
Question: Will the new Zimbabwean government offer opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai or ex-Finance Minister Tendai Biti a position in the post-coup government cabinet before 31 December 2017?
Former Prime Minister Tsvangirai returned to Zimbabwe after President Mugabe was put under house arrest (BBC, Daily Express). Former Finance Minister Tendai Biti has discussed means of improving the economy under the new government (News 24). Question will resolve as "yes" if the new Zimbabwean government announces or confirms media reports that either Morgan Tsvangirai or Tendai Biti was offered a position in the new Zimbabwean cabinet.
Tags: Security and Conflict, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2017-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: When will Pierre Nkurunziza cease to be president of Burundi?
Question opened: 2016-08-23; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Before 1 January 2017, Between 1 January 2017 and 30 June 2017, inclusive, Between 1 July 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive, Not before 1 January 2018
Answer: Not before 1 January 2018
Question: Before 2018, will Russia and Cuba announce the reopening of the Lourdes Signals Intelligence Center?
Russia may be looking to expand the number of military facilities it has abroad, and rumors have circulated since 2014 that Russia and Cuba have discussed reopening the Lourdes Signals Intelligence Center, which was closed in 2001 (RT, Sputnik, Stratfor, Indian Express).
Tags: Foreign Policy
Question opened: 2016-12-20; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 1 January 2018?
Article 4 was invoked by Turkey in 2015 in response to developments in Syria and by Poland in 2014 in response to developments in Ukraine (Economist, NATO, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty). Article 5 has been invoked once, by the United States in response to a terrorist attack in 2001 (NATO).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-02-14; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the World Trade Organization's Iran Working Party meet before 1 January 2018?
The first step in the WTO accession process is the establishment of a Working Party. Iran's Working Party was established in 2005 but has yet to meet (Al-Monitor, World Trade Organization).
Tags: Economic Policy, Foreign Policy
Question opened: 2016-12-06; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will negotiations on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) be completed in 2017?
RCEP is a regional trade agreement between Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) members and their free trade agreement partners (Asia Regional Integration Center, South China Morning Post). Countries participating in the trade initiative failed to conclude a deal in 2016 but have indicated a work plan for 2017 is forthcoming (International Centre for Trade and Sustainable Development, The Star). A "yes" resolution requires that the negotiators reach an agreement. Ratification by the parties to the agreement is not required.
Tags: Economic Policy
Question opened: 2017-01-24; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will India and Pakistan both attend a South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) summit before 1 January 2018?
Both countries must attend the same summit to resolve this question. The South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation is an intergovernmental group made up of the countries of South Asia (SAARC). India recently said it will boycott the SAARC summit scheduled to be held in Pakistan this month (The Indian Express). This influenced other countries in South Asia to boycott as well (The Indian Express).
Tags: Foreign Policy
Question opened: 2016-11-15; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Saudi Arabia list shares of Saudi Aramco in an initial public offering before 1 January 2018?
Question opened: 2016-05-17; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will Yemen's Houthi rebels sign a peace agreement that includes provisions about the establishment or recognition of a single, national government?
Question opened: 2016-10-11; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will casualties from the Turkey-PKK conflict exceed 125 in any month from August through November 2017, according to the International Crisis Group?
The last ceasefire between Turkey and the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) broke down in 2015, and thousands have been killed since (Council on Foreign Relations). This question will be resolved using data from the International Crisis Group's "Casualties of the Conflict" table, for the months from August through November (inclusive) (Crisis Group).  If the threshold has not been reached before, the question will be suspended on 30 November 2017 and then resolved on 29 December 2017, to allow ICG to collect and code reports from late November.
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-08-22; closed: 2017-12-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Thailand hold general elections before 1 January 2018?
Question opened: 2016-10-04; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Syria hold UN-backed elections before 1 January 2018?
Question opened: 2016-01-20; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: When will the next Italian general election occur?
Although the next general election is not due until 2018, outgoing Prime Minister Mateo Renzi's failed constitutional referendum has set off a political crisis in Italy which may lead to early elections (The Economist, CNBC, Reuters).
Tags: Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2017-01-10; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Before 1 April 2017, Between 1 April 2017 and 30 June 2017, inclusive, Between 1 July 2017 and 30 September 2017, inclusive, Between 1 October 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive, Not before 1 January 2018
Answer: Not before 1 January 2018
Question: Before 2018, will it be officially announced that any state is withdrawing from the Schengen agreement?
Question opened: 2016-05-03; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: When will Iraq's Mosul Dam collapse?
Question opened: 2016-07-19; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Before 1 January 2017, Between 1 January 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive, Not before 1 January 2018
Answer: Not before 1 January 2018
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will the Moroccan government and the Polisario Front participate in official negotiations over Western Sahara?
Renewed tensions between Morocco and the Polisario Front in the Western Sahara (The Economist, NY Times) has led to a push for negotiations (News 24, The United Nations).
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-10-17; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: When will it be announced that Qatar is withdrawing from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)?
Tensions between Qatar and other GCC states have come to a head, with a number of GCC members breaking off diplomatic relations (Huffington Post, The Atlantic, CSIS, CNN, Washington Post).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-07-18; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Before 1 October 2017, Between 1 October 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive, Not before 1 January 2018
Answer: Not before 1 January 2018
Question: Before 2018, will there be a lethal attack on a US military vessel in the Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, Persian Gulf, or Gulf of Oman?
For the purposes of this question, a lethal attack is one that results in one US fatality. In recent months, the US Navy has had hostile encounters with Iranian naval forces (Newsweek, CNN, The Guardian), and has been attacked by Houthi rebels firing missiles from Yemen (San Diego Union Tribune).
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-05-23; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the end-of-day closing value for the British pound against the US dollar on 29 December 2017?
Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg here.
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2017-11-14; closed: 2017-12-29
Options: Less than $1.25, More than $1.30 but less than $1.35, Between $1.35 and $1.40, inclusive, More than $1.40, Between $1.25 and $1.30, inclusive
Answer: Between $1.35 and $1.40, inclusive
Question: Will the UN declare a famine in any part of Somalia in 2017?
In February 2017, the UN declared that parts of South Sudan were experiencing a famine (Voa News), and other countries in Africa, including Somalia, are facing the possibility of famine in the near future (Famine Early Warning System, Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN, Reuters). For general information on how famines are declared, see: NPR, BBC. Both the declaration and the famine need to occur in 2017.
Tags: Health, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-08-22; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will the UN Security Council hold an emergency meeting in response to new suspected use of chemical weapons in Syria?
The Syrian regime has been accused of using chemical weapons against their own people (Arms Control Association). The April 2017 sarin gas attack on a hospital in Idlib province prompted an an emergency meeting of the UN Security Council (Aljazeera, ABC).
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-06-06; closed: 2017-12-30
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: As of 28 December 2017, how many cholera deaths will the Humanitarian Data Exchange record in Yemen?
The WHO has reported that a cholera outbreak in Yemen has surged since the end of April (Reuters, Financial Times, CNN, The Guardian). Outcome will be determined by data from the Humanitarian Data Exchange (HDX), which provides a cumulative count of Yemen's cholera deaths since 27 April 2017, using WHO data. The relevant data can be found by downloading the "Yemen Cholera Outbreak Epidemiology Data," looking at the most recent entry in the "Deaths" column of the "Data_Country_Level" tab. If HDX stops tracking cholera cases in Yemen, the question will resolve based on the final available HDX numbers.
Tags: Health, Environment
Question opened: 2017-11-07; closed: 2017-12-28
Options: Less than 2,300, Between 2,300 and 2,500, inclusive, More than 2,500 but less than 3,000, 3,000 or more
Answer: Less than 2,300
Question: How many cases of MERS-CoV in humans will EMPRES-i record in Saudi Arabia between 1 December 2017 and 15 December 2017?
EMPRES Global Animal Disease Information System (EMPRES-i) is the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) of the United Nation's global web-based tool for animal disease surveillance. To access the data from http://empres-i.fao.org: click on the map; click Advanced Search in the top right corner; set OBSERVATION DATES to cover the relevant time period, check MERS-CoV from DISEASE LIST; check Saudi Arabia under Asia from ADMINISTRATIVE UNITS; check human from ANIMALS AFFECTED; click Find; then export to CSV. Outcome will be determined by the sum of the values reported in the "humansAffected" column. Question will be suspended on the last day of the period of interest and resolved based on data posted 15 days from the end of the period.
Tags: Health
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2017-12-16
Options: None, Between 1 and 8, inclusive, More than 8
Answer: None
Question: Before 27 December 2017, will Algeria, Morocco, or Tunisia issue sharia-compliant government bonds?
As North African states struggle with declining revenues, a number are considering issuing sharia compliant non-interest bonds to attract more investors (Reuters, Gulf Times, Reuters).
Tags: Economic Policy
Question opened: 2017-10-11; closed: 2017-12-27
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 27 December 2017, will Brazil's Chamber of Deputies vote to send Brazil's President Michel Temer to a Supreme Court or Senate trial?
According to the constitution of Brazil, a two-thirds vote is required for the Chamber of Deputies to authorize a trial by the Supreme Court or the Senate. For more information see  Title IV, Chapter II, Section III, Article 86 of Brazil's Constitution . After surviving a Chamber of Deputies vote on authorization of a Supreme Court trial in August 2017, Brazilian President Michel Temer faces a new set of corruption charges (BBC, Reuters, Bloomberg, LA Times).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Leader Entry/Exit
Question opened: 2017-10-11; closed: 2017-12-27
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the daily closing price of gold on 27 December 2017 in USD?
This question will be resolved using the last daily London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) Gold Price USD (PM) for the date of interest. The relevant data is available by selecting 'Table' and referring to the 'PM' column under 'USD.' Question will be suspended on the day before the date of interest and resolved the day after the date of interest.
Tags: Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2017-12-20; closed: 2017-12-27
Options: Less than $1,200, Between $1,200 and $1,230, inclusive, More than $1,230 but less than  $1,255, Between $1,255 and $1,285, inclusive, More than $1,285
Answer: Between $1,255 and $1,285, inclusive
Question: Before 31 December 2017, will President Trump sign legislation removing the ACA's individual mandate to purchase health insurance?
The individual mandate is a part of the Affordable Care Act (ACA, or Obamacare) that requires most Americans to have health insurance or pay a penalty. In May 2017, the House passed a bill to “repeal and replace” the ACA with a provision that would end the individual mandate. The issue has moved to the Senate (Fox News, Vox).  The passage of legislation which limits enforcement (e.g by removing the penalty or prohibiting the use of federal funds to enforce the provisions of the individual mandate) would resolve the question as "yes" (Cornell Law).
Tags: Health, US Policy
Question opened: 2017-07-14; closed: 2017-12-22
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: In the week following Chile's presidential election, will the end of day closing for the Santiago Stock Exchange drop below 5,000?
Outcome will be determined by Bloomberg.  The Chilean presidential election is scheduled for 19 November 2017, with a run-off scheduled for 17 December 2017 if no candidate wins a majority of the votes in the first round.  The week following the election is defined as the five trading days after the election takes place. If the first round determines the election, the relevant trading days are 20-24 November, inclusive. If the second round takes place, the relevant trading days are 18-22 December, inclusive. Markets have responded positively to Sebastian Pinera's presidential candidacy and his pro-growth platform (Reuters, Reuters, Reuters).
Tags: Finance, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2017-10-10; closed: 2017-12-23
Options: Yes, if Sebastian Pinera wins Chile's presidential election, Yes, if Sebastian Pinera does NOT win Chile's presidential election, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 16 February 2018, will President Trump sign legislation that reduces the top marginal federal corporate tax rate?
The top marginal federal corporate tax rate is currently 35% (Cornell Law, CNBC, Harvard Business Review). The date that any change to the marginal rate would take effect is immaterial to the resolution of this question.
Tags: Finance, Economic Policy
Question opened: 2017-11-17; closed: 2017-12-22
Options: Yes, to a rate of 20% or less, Yes, to a rate greater than 20% but less than 25%, Yes, to a rate of 25% or greater, No
Answer: Yes, to a rate greater than 20% but less than 25%
Question: How many influenza positive viruses will FluNet record for Iran (Islamic Republic of) between 27 November 2017 and 3 December 2017 (epidemiological week 48)?
FluNet is the World Health Organization's global web-based tool for influenza virological surveillance. Relevant data can be accessed via FluNet functions, 'Download influenza laboratory surveillance data from any week' here. Select by: 'Country, area or territory'; Filter by: the country of interest; set the time period to cover the epidemiological-week(s) of interest; and then click 'Display report.' This question will be resolved using the value or sum of values reported in 'Total number of influenza positive viruses' or 'ALL_INF' for all reporting weeks within the period of interest. Question will be suspended on the last day of the period of interest and resolved when data for the period of interest is released.
Tags: Health
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2017-12-18
Options: Less than 7, Between 7 and 18, inclusive, More than 18 but less than 41, Between 41 and 108, inclusive, More than 108
Answer: More than 18 but less than 41