jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of Congo?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Turkey engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Turkey?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Bangladesh engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Bangladesh?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Iraq engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Iraq?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from the Philippines engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Philippines?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from South Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in South Sudan?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Will Tyrion Lannister and Bronn of Blackwater survive the series Game of Thrones?
Should the series finale be aired after 19 May, the closing date will be extended to that later date.
Tags: Entertainment
Question opened: 2019-05-03; closed: 2019-05-19
Options: Tyrion Lannister only, Bronn of Blackwater only, Both will survive, Neither will survive
Answer: Both will survive
Question: In the series Game of Thrones, will Brienne of Tarth marry?
Should the series finale be aired after 19 May, the closing date will be extended to that later date.
Tags: Entertainment
Question opened: 2019-05-03; closed: 2019-05-19
Options: Yes, Jaime Lannister, Yes, Tormund Giantsbane, Yes, Sandor "the Hound" Clegane, Yes, someone else, No
Answer: No
Question: What percentage of votes will the African National Congress win in South Africa's next election for the National Assembly?
The African National Congress has been the governing party in South Africa since 1994, and incumbent president Cyril Ramaphosa hopes to consolidate his authority via the upcoming general elections scheduled for 8 May 2019 (The Economist, Council on Foreign Relations, Independent Online).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-03-22; closed: 2019-05-08
Options: Less than 50.00%, Between 50.00% and 60.00%, inclusive, More than 60.00%
Answer: Between 50.00% and 60.00%, inclusive
Question: What will be Uber's end-of-day market capitalization on the day of its initial public offering?
While Uber's potential IPO might be one of the largest ever, the company's present and future performance are sources of uncertainty for investors, market watchers and other interested observers (Fortune, Financial Times, Bloomberg).Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day Market Capitalization figure reported by Bloomberg.
Tags: Business, Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2018-11-30; closed: 2019-05-10
Options: Less than $40 billion, Between $40 billion and $70 billion, inclusive, More than $70 billion but less than $100 billion, Between $100 billion and $130 billion, inclusive, More than $130 billion, Uber will not have an IPO before 1 October 2019
Answer: Between $40 billion and $70 billion, inclusive
Question: When will a date for general elections in Denmark be announced?
Question opened: 2019-02-08; closed: 2019-05-07
Options: Before 1 April 2019, Between 1 April and 15 May 2019, After 15 May 2019
Answer: Between 1 April and 15 May 2019
Question: Between 15 February 2019 and 31 October 2019, which company from among Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft will first reach an end-of-day  market capitalization of $1 trillion?
After Apple and Amazon each crossed the trillion-dollar threshold in 2018, tech companies have seen declines in their market capitalization (Financial Times, CNBC). Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day "Market Cap" reported by Bloomberg for Alphabet (Bloomberg), Amazon (Bloomberg), Apple (Bloomberg), and Microsoft (Bloomberg). If two or more companies reach an end-of-day market capitalization of $1 trillion on the same day, the question will resolve on the company with the higher market capitalization.
Tags: Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2019-02-15; closed: 2019-04-30
Options: Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, None of the above
Answer: Microsoft
Question: Who will win Ukraine's 2019 presidential election?
Presidential elections in Ukraine are currently scheduled for 31 March 2019 with a runoff to be held 21 April 2019 if needed (Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, The Economist, Bloomberg).
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-02-22; closed: 2019-04-21
Options: Petro Poroshenko, Yulia Tymoshenko, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, None of the above
Answer: Volodymyr Zelenskiy
Question: What will be the all-time count of pro-Kremlin disinformation cases identified by the European Union External Action Service's East StratCom Task Force as of 18 April 2019?
Allegations of Russian disinformation have been on the rise in Europe, the US, and beyond (The Economist, The Independent, NATO). This question will be resolved using the all-time count of disinformation cases identified by the European Union's East StratCom Task Force at the bottom of this page, by moving the slider all the way to the right: here. The all-time count of disinformation cases on 18 April 2018 was 3946. The website was started in November 2015, and an analysis of the data indicates that there were 2023 cases in 2016 and 1321 cases in 2017.
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2018-04-18; closed: 2019-04-18
Options: Less than 4300, Between 4300 and 4900, inclusive, More than 4900 but less than 5500, Between 5500 and 6300, inclusive, More than 6300
Answer: More than 4900 but less than 5500
Question: Before 1 April 2019, how many countries will formally progress in the NATO accession process?
Formal progression in the NATO accession process consists of a country: reaching a new stage of any of the seven stages listed under the accession process section (NATO); receiving an invitation to participate in a Membership Action Plan (NATO); or entering into Intensified Dialogue (Project Gutenberg). Countries will only be counted once.
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2018-04-18; closed: 2019-04-01
Options: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 or more
Answer: 1
Question: Before 30 March 2019, what will happen next with regard to the UK's notification of Article 50?
In March 2017, the UK triggered Article 50, which set off a two-year countdown before the UK officially leaves the EU on 29 March 2019 (EUR-Lex). The process for extending the deadline is included in Article 50 and the European Court of Justice has recently ruled that the UK can also revoke its notification (BBC).
Tags: Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2018-12-21; closed: 2019-03-30
Options: It will be revoked by the UK, It will be extended by the UK and the European Council, Neither of the above will occur and the UK will leave the EU
Answer: It will be extended by the UK and the European Council
Question: What will be the closing value for the pound against the euro on 1 April 2019?
The Brexit process introduces uncertainty for the pound (CNBC). Outcome will be determined by the closing value reported by Bloomberg.
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2019-01-24; closed: 2019-04-01
Options: Below €1.00, Between €1.00 and €1.10, inclusive, More than €1.10 but less than €1.20, Between €1.20 and €1.30, inclusive, More than €1.30
Answer: More than €1.10 but less than €1.20
Question: What will be the Bank of England's Bank Rate on 1 April 2019?
The UK is scheduled to leave the EU on 29 March 2019, putting a spotlight on the Bank of England's benchmark interest rate, known as the "Bank Rate" (BBC). The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets the Bank Rate, and held it at 0.75% at its September 2018 meeting (The Bank of England,  The Bank of England). Future MPC meeting dates can be found here. This question will be resolved based on the Bank Rate at the end of the day on 1 April 2019.
Tags: Finance, Economic Policy, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2018-11-02; closed: 2019-04-01
Options: Less than 0.26%, Between 0.26% and 0.50%, inclusive, More than 0.50% but less than 0.76%, Between 0.76% and 1.00%, inclusive, More than 1.00%
Answer: More than 0.50% but less than 0.76%
Question: Will the UK hold a referendum vote on its relationship with the EU or a snap general election before 29 March 2019?
Brexit developments have intensified as the official leave date nears (The Economist, The Financial Times, The Guardian).
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2018-11-30; closed: 2019-03-29
Options: No, Yes, only a snap general election, Yes, only a referendum on its relationship with the EU, Yes, both
Answer: No
Question: In Air and Liquid Systems Corp. v. Devries, will the Supreme Court rule that Air and Liquid Systems Corp. can be held liable for negligence in exposing service members to asbestos?
In 2014, the widows of US naval servicemen who died of cancer allegedly caused by exposure to asbestos lost a civil suit against Air and Liquid Systems Corp. (Court House News). The Third Circuit reversed that decision, ruling that the company could be held liable for negligence even though their products were not manufactured with asbestos (Oyez). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2018 term (SCOTUSBlog), but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: US Policy
Question opened: 2018-09-21; closed: 2019-03-19
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: In Madison v. Alabama, will the Supreme Court rule that the State of Alabama may not execute Vernon Madison?
In 1985, Vernon Madison was first convicted of capital murder in state court (Newsweek). A series of strokes has since left him without any memory of the crime, and his counsel is arguing that executing a person for a crime they cannot remember violates the Eighth Amendment's prohibition against cruel and unusual punishment (SCOTUSBlog, Oyez). If the Supreme Court decides to vacate and remand the case for further proceedings, the question will resolve as yes. The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2018 term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: US Policy
Question opened: 2018-09-21; closed: 2019-02-27
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Who will win the 2019 Academy Award for Actress in a Leading Role?
The 91st Academy Awards are scheduled to take place Sunday 24 February 2019 (Oscars 2019). In the event of a tie, the question will close based on the film with the higher box office gross per Box Office Mojo.
Tags: Entertainment
Question opened: 2019-02-08; closed: 2019-02-24
Options: Yalitza Aparicio (Roma), Glenn Close (The Wife), Olivia Colman (The Favourite), Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born), Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Answer: Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
Question: Who will win the 2019 Academy Award for Actor in a Leading Role?
The 91st Academy Awards are scheduled to take place Sunday 24 February 2019 (Oscars 2019). In the event of a tie, the question will close based on the film with the higher box office gross per Box Office Mojo.
Tags: Society, Entertainment
Question opened: 2019-02-08; closed: 2019-02-24
Options: Christian Bale (Vice), Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born), Willem Dafoe (At Eternity's Gate), Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody), Viggo Mortensen (Green Book)
Answer: Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)
Question: Which film will win the 2019 Academy Award for Directing?
The 91st Academy Awards are scheduled to take place Sunday 24 February 2019 (Oscars 2019). In the event of a tie, the question will close based on the film with the higher box office gross per Box Office Mojo.
Tags: Society, Entertainment
Question opened: 2019-02-08; closed: 2019-02-24
Options: BlacKkKlansman (Spike Lee), Cold War (Pawel Pawlikowski), The Favourite (Yorgos Lanthimos), Roma (Alfonso Cuarón), Vice (Adam McKay)
Answer: Roma (Alfonso Cuarón)
Question: Which film will win the 2019 Academy Award for Best Picture?
The 91st Academy Awards are scheduled to take place Sunday 24 February 2019 (Oscars 2019). In the event of a tie, the question will close based on the film with the higher box office gross per Box Office Mojo.
Tags: Society, Entertainment
Question opened: 2019-02-08; closed: 2019-02-24
Options: Black Panther, BlacKkKlansman, Bohemian Rhapsody, The Favourite, Green Book, Roma, A Star Is Born, Vice
Answer: Green Book
Question: In Timbs v. Indiana, will the Supreme Court rule that the Excessive Fines Clause of the Eighth Amendment applies to states?
In 2015, Tyson Timbs pleaded guilty to felony charges in an Indiana court, after which the State sought to make Timbs forfeit his vehicle (The Indianapolis Star, Oyez, SCOTUSBlog). A trial court ruled such a forfeiture violated the Eighth Amendment’s prohibition against imposing excessive fines. The Indiana Supreme Court then reversed the ruling, stating that the U.S. Supreme Court had never “incorporated” the Excessive Fines Clause of the Eighth Amendment, and Timbs appealed (Cornell Law). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: Society, US Policy
Question opened: 2018-11-09; closed: 2019-02-20
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: How many total "Southwest Family Unit Subject and Unaccompanied Alien Children Apprehensions" will U.S. Customs and Border Protection report for the El Centro and San Diego sectors in January 2019?
Outcome will be determined by data reported in the table "Southwest Family Unit Subject and Unaccompanied Alien Children Apprehensions Fiscal Year 2019 - By Month" located here, by adding up the numbers in the "Total Apprehensions" column for El Centro and San Diego on the tab that should be called "FY19 January." For example, the figure for FY19 November was 7,764 total apprehensions. This question will be suspended on 31 January 2019 and will close when data for January are released.
Tags: US Politics, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2018-12-21; closed: 2019-02-01
Options: Less than 6,000, Between 6,000 and 6,999, inclusive, Between 7,000 and 7,999, inclusive, Between 8,000 and 8,999, inclusive, 9,000 or more
Answer: Between 6,000 and 6,999, inclusive
Question: Which NFL team will win Super Bowl LIII?
Super Bowl LIII is scheduled for Sunday 3 February in Atlanta (NFL).
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2019-01-28; closed: 2019-02-04
Options: Los Angeles Rams, New England Patriots
Answer: New England Patriots
Question: Will President Trump and Colin Kaepernick meet face-to-face before Super Bowl LIII?
Question opened: 2018-10-12; closed: 2019-02-03
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will California's Pacific Gas and Electric Company file for bankruptcy before 1 November 2019?
PG&E is reportedly considering filing for bankruptcy protection after a series of wildfires in California (CBS, Bloomberg, CBS).
Tags: Finance, Society
Question opened: 2018-12-21; closed: 2019-01-29
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Which NFL team will win the AFC Championship?
Schedules and matchups may be found here: NFL.com.
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2019-01-04; closed: 2019-01-21
Options: Kansas City Chiefs, New England Patriots, Houston Texans, Baltimore Ravens, Los Angeles Chargers, Indianapolis Colts
Answer: New England Patriots
Question: What will be the percent change in the U.S. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) for the 12 months ending in December 2018?
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) over the past 12 months is reported monthly for all items, before seasonal adjustment, via a press release found under "Consumer Price Index Summary", and for the past 20 years on this graph by selecting "All items". In September 2018, the CPI-U all items index over the last 12 months increased 2.3 percent (The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)). This question will be suspended on 31 December 2018 and closed when the relevant data are first released, scheduled for the first half of January 2019 (BLS, BLS).
Tags: Finance, Society, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2018-11-02; closed: 2019-01-01
Options: Less than 2.0%, Between 2.0% and 2.2%, inclusive, Between 2.3% and 2.5%, inclusive, Between 2.6% and 2.8%, inclusive, More than 2.8%
Answer: Less than 2.0%
Question: What will the Bureau of Labor Statistics report the U.S. civilian unemployment rate (U3) to be for the month of December 2018?
Outcome will be determined by the official civilian unemployment rate (U3) reported for the month of December 2018 by the U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics. This question will be suspended on 31 December 2018 and resolved when the data are first released, typically in January.
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2018-11-02; closed: 2019-01-01
Options: Less than 3.4%, Between 3.4% and 3.5%, inclusive, More than 3.5% but less than 3.7%, Between 3.7% and 3.9%, inclusive, 4.0% or more
Answer: Between 3.7% and 3.9%, inclusive
Question: On 3 January 2019, how many U.S. senators will be women?
In the current 115th United States Congress, 23 of 100 senators are women (ABC News). The number of women filing Senate candidacies ahead of the 2018 midterms could be record-setting (New Yorker, Center for American Women and Politics, Inside Elections).
Tags: US Politics
Question opened: 2018-05-23; closed: 2019-01-03
Options: 19 or fewer, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25 or more
Answer: 25 or more
Question: Between 30 November 2018 and 30 September 2019, which country will next land on the moon?
Question opened: 2018-11-30; closed: 2019-01-02
Options: China, India, Israel, Another country, No country will land on the moon in this timeframe
Answer: China
Question: Before 1 January 2019, will any other EU member state schedule a referendum on leaving the EU or the eurozone?
After the victory of the "leave" campaign in the United Kingdom's 2016 referendum, there have been calls from factions within other EU member states to leave the eurozone or the European Union.
Tags: Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2017-12-15; closed: 2019-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States before 1 January 2019?
A lethal confrontation is one that results in at least one fatality for the national military forces of either side. For the purposes of this question, Iran's national military forces include the Revolutionary Guard Corps, including Quds and Basij (The Iran Primer, Council on Foreign Relations, Middle East Institute).
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-12-15; closed: 2019-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be president of Syria before 1 January 2019?
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad still holds power despite a civil war that has lasted years and caused much destruction (BBC, CNN).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2017-12-15; closed: 2019-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will there be a lethal confrontation in the South or East China Sea between the military forces, militia, or law enforcement personnel of China and another country before 1 January 2019?
A lethal confrontation is one that results in one fatality for the military forces, militia, or law enforcement of either side. China has been using People's Liberation Army, Navy, and Air Force, militia, and law enforcement to further its claims in both the South and East China Seas, and some have been posing as fishermen (South China Morning Post, Reuters, The Guardian, Center for Strategic and International Studies, The Diplomat).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-12-15; closed: 2019-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: How many land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) will North Korea launch between 14 July 2017 and 31 December 2018?
Question opened: 2017-07-14; closed: 2019-01-01
Options: 0, 1, 2-3, 4-5, 6 or more
Answer: 2-3
Question: Will the World Health Organization or the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention declare an influenza pandemic before 2019?
There are concerns about a pandemic caused by the spread of avian flu (NY Times). Both the CDC (CDC, CDC) and the WHO (WHO) actively monitor influenza viruses and manage pandemic declaration.
Tags: Health
Question opened: 2017-04-18; closed: 2019-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 2019, will the President, Vice President, White House Press Secretary, White House Chief of Staff, or Attorney General name a suspected author of the New York Times "Resistance" op-ed?
On 5 September 2018, the New York Times published an op-ed from an anonymous writer cited as a senior official in the Trump administration (NY Times). Validation and/or acknowledgment by the suspected author is not required for resolution. Twitter communication will count. If the identity of the author is revealed first (e.g., by the New York Times or the author coming forward) the question will close as no.
Tags: US Politics
Question opened: 2018-09-14; closed: 2019-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the yield curve for 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasuries invert before 2019?
For the past several years, the spread between yields on 2-year Treasuries and 10-year Treasuries has been closing (Investopedia). When interest rates on longer term debt drop below rates on shorter term debt, the yield curve is said to invert, which historically has been a bad omen for economic growth (CNBC). This question will resolve as "yes" if the Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rate provided by the U.S. Department of the Treasury shows the value in the "2 Yr" column exceeds that in the "10 Yr" column on any one day (The U.S. Department of the Treasury).
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2018-11-02; closed: 2019-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2019, will either house of Congress pass a bill that would limit the president's authority to impose tariffs?
Question opened: 2018-03-21; closed: 2019-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2019, will Robert Mueller cease to be Special Counsel?
Robert Mueller was appointed to serve as Special Counsel to investigate Russian interference with the 2016 presidential election and related matters by Acting Attorney General Rod Rosenstein in May 2017 (U.S Department of Justice).
Tags: US Politics
Question opened: 2018-04-13; closed: 2019-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the closing spot price for an ounce of gold against the US dollar on 28 December 2018?
Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg.
Tags: Finance
Question opened: 2018-11-16; closed: 2018-12-28
Options: Less than $1,150, Between $1,150 and $1,200, inclusive, More than $1,200 but less than $1,250, Between $1,250 and $1,300, inclusive, More than $1,300
Answer: Between $1,250 and $1,300, inclusive