jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: Between 3 February 2023 and 30 June 2023, how will the Russell 1000 Growth Index (Growth Index) perform as compared to the Russell 1000 Value Index (Value Index)?
The question will be suspended on 29 June 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance - Russell 1000 Growth, Google Finance - Russell 1000 Value). The closing values of each index for 30 June 2023 will be divided by their respective closing values for 3 February 2023 to determine the performance, or percentage change. The difference in percentage points of each calculation will determine the resolution. In the event of an exact tie, the index with the greater percentage increase at any point between the close on 3 February 2023 to the close on 30 June 2023 would be deemed the outperformer.This question is part of the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details.
Tags: Business, Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2023-02-03; closed: 2023-06-30
Options: The Growth Index will outperform the Value Index by 3.0 percentage points or more, The Growth Index will outperform the Value Index by less than 3.0 percentage points, The Value Index will outperform the Growth Index by less than 3.0 percentage points, The Value Index will outperform the Growth Index by 3.0 percentage points or more
Answer: The Growth Index will outperform the Value Index by 3.0 percentage points or more
Question: What will be the closing value of the Dubai Financial Market General Index (DFMGI) on 30 June 2023?
The DFMGI is an index showing general market performance of the Dubai Financial Market (DFM). The question will be suspended on 29 June 2023 and the outcome determined using DFMGI data as reported by the DFM (DFM - Indicies, see charting tool, DFM - About). The closing value on 21 November 2022 was 3,339.25.
Tags: Business, Finance
Question opened: 2022-11-25; closed: 2023-06-29
Options: Less than 2,750, Between 2,750 and 3,000, inclusive, More than 3,000 but less than 3,250, Between 3,250 and 3,500, inclusive, More than 3,500 but less than 3,750, Between 3,750 and 4,000, inclusive, More than 4,000
Answer: Between 3,750 and 4,000, inclusive
Question: In Biden v. Nebraska, will the Supreme Court rule that any of the Respondents in the case has Article III standing to challenge the Biden administration's student loan forgiveness program?
After President Biden announced in August 2022 his plan to forgive up to $20,000 of federal student loan debt, various groups filed lawsuits to stop it, including the states of Nebraska, Missouri, Arkansas, Iowa, Kansas, and South Carolina (Respondents) (Whitehouse.gov, Lincoln Journal Star). Respondents were granted an injunction to prevent the plan from proceeding, eventually leading to the Supreme Court to agree to hear the case on its merits this term (CNBC, CNET, SCOTUSblog). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2022 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No."
Tags: Finance, US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-12-16; closed: 2023-06-30
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: What will be Nike's sales in Greater China in its 2023 fiscal year (FY2023)?
Nike's sales, or revenues, have generally recovered from the worst of COVID, except for Greater China (CNBC, Retail Dive). The question will be suspended on 31 May 2023 and the outcome determined using data from Nike's 2023 Annual Report (Nike - Investor Reports). In FY2022, Nike reported total sales of $7,547 million, or $7.547 billion. (Nike - 2022 Form 10-K, see page 39 of the report). Nike's FY2023 runs from 1 June 2022 to 31 May 2023, and "Greater China" includes mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan (CNBC).
Tags: Business, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-10-04; closed: 2023-06-01
Options: Less than $7.0 billion, Between $7.0 billion and $7.5 billion, inclusive, More than $7.5 billion but less than $8.0 billion, Between $8.0 billion and $8.5 billion, inclusive, More than $8.5 billion
Answer: Between $7.0 billion and $7.5 billion, inclusive
Question: What will be Vietnam's annual GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2023?
Like much of the rest of the world, Vietnam is dealing with various obstacles to economic growth (VN Express, VietNamNet). The question will be suspended on 28 June 2023 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the General Statistics Office of Vietnam as first reported by Trading Economics, expected on or about 29 June 2023 (Trading Economics).This question is part of the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details.
Tags: Business, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2023-04-07; closed: 2023-06-29
Options: Higher by less than 1.0%, Higher by between 1.0% and 2.0%, inclusive, Higher by more than 2.0% but less than 3.0%, Higher by between 3.0% and 4.0%, inclusive, Higher by more than 4.0% but less than 5.0%, Higher by 5.0% or more
Answer: Higher by more than 4.0% but less than 5.0%
Question: In Moore v. Harper, will the Supreme Court rule that the North Carolina courts did not have the legal authority to strike down the NC General Assembly's congressional districting maps?
In February 2022, the NC Supreme Court struck down congressional district maps approved by the state General Assembly as "illegal partisan gerrymanders" (Politico, NC Supreme Court Decision). NC House Speaker Tim Moore appealed, asserting that the federal constitution vests the legislature with the sole authority to regulate federal elections (Oyez, SCOTUSblog). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2022 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No."
Tags: US Politics, Elections and Referenda, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-09-02; closed: 2023-06-27
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: How many hectares (ha) will be consumed by wildfires in Canada in 2023?
Canada has already seen a devastating start to the wildfire season in 2023 (NASDAQ, CTV, CBC). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using data as first released by the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre (CIFFC) in its "Canada Report" for 2023, expected in early 2024 (CIFFC - Annual Reports). In 2022, wildland fires consumed 1,656,504 hectares in Canada (CIFFC - Canada Report 2022, see page 15). A "hectare" is a metric unit of measure for area equivalent to 2.471 acres (Britannica - Hectare). Additional periodic data are available from CIFFC (CIFFC National Fire Situation Report).
Tags: Society, Environment
Question opened: 2023-05-26; closed: 2023-06-26
Options: Fewer than 3.00 million, Between 3.00 million and 3.75 million, inclusive, More than 3.75 million but fewer than 4.50 million, Between 4.50 million and 5.25 million, inclusive, More than 5.25 million but fewer than 6.00 million, Between 6.00 million and 6.75 million, inclusive, More than 6.75 million but fewer than 7.50 million, 7.50 million or more
Answer: 7.50 million or more
Question: Which country will win the 2023 UEFA Nations League Final?
Fifty-five countries competed in the UEFA Nations League tournament, which will end in games among the four League A group winners in the Netherlands (UEFA - Nations League Finals). The third UEFA Nations League Final is scheduled for 18 June 2023 (UEFA).
Tags: Business, Sports, Entertainment
Question opened: 2023-04-13; closed: 2023-06-18
Options: Croatia, Italy, Netherlands, Spain
Answer: Spain
Question: What will be the closing value of the S&P Regional Banks Select Industry Index on 16 June 2023?
The banking sector was hit hard by the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in early March 2023, though intervention by the FDIC and Federal Reserve at least initially calmed the situation (CNBC, CNN). The question will be suspended on 15 June 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set chart to "1M").
Tags: Business, Finance, Society, US Policy
Question opened: 2023-03-17; closed: 2023-06-16
Options: Less than 1,200.00, Between 1,200.00 and 1,350.00, inclusive, More than 1,350.00 but less than 1,500.00, Between 1,500.00 and 1,650.00, inclusive, More than 1,650.00 but less than 1,800.00, Between 1,800.00 and 1,950.00, inclusive, More than 1,950.00
Answer: Between 1,200.00 and 1,350.00, inclusive
Question: At close of business on 14 June 2023, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 3 May 2023?
The US federal funds rate is the interest rate charged for overnight lending among financial institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve and sets the base rate for borrowing costs across the financial system (Federal Reserve). The target range for the federal funds rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Its June meeting is scheduled for 13-14 June 2023.
Tags: Business, Economic Policy, US Policy
Question opened: 2023-02-03; closed: 2023-06-14
Options: Lower, Same, Higher
Answer: Same
Question: How many worker actions will the China Labour Bulletin (CLB) report between 1 December 2022 and 31 May 2023?
The CLB is an NGO that, among other things, tracks worker incidents in the People's Republic of China (CLB). The question will be suspended on 31 May 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the CLB in its Strike Map (CLB - Strike Map). To download the data, select the relevant ranges for "Date," and "All" for location and industry. Data will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 14 June 2023. CLB reported 530 worker actions between 1 December 2021 and 31 May 2022.
Tags: Business, Society, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-12-02; closed: 2023-06-01
Options: Fewer than 300, Between 300 and 500, inclusive, More than 500 but fewer than 700, Between 700 and 900, inclusive, More than 900 but fewer than 1,100, 1,100 or more
Answer: More than 500 but fewer than 700
Question: Which NHL team will win the 2023 Stanley Cup Final?
The 2023 Stanley Cup Final is scheduled for June 2023 (NHL).
Tags: Sports, Entertainment
Question opened: 2022-10-28; closed: 2023-06-14
Options: Boston Bruins, Calgary Flames, Carolina Hurricanes, Colorado Avalanche, Edmonton Oilers, Florida Panthers, Minnesota Wild, New York Rangers, Pittsburgh Penguins, Tampa Bay Lightning, Toronto Maple Leafs, Vegas Golden Knights, Another team
Answer: Vegas Golden Knights
Question: What will be the unadjusted percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI)  for coffee in May 2023 as compared to May 2022?
The question will be suspended on 31 May 2023 and the outcome determined using "Unadjusted percent change/May 2022 - May 2023" data as first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, expected in June 2023 (BLS - CPI, BLS - CPI Release Archive). For May 2022, the BLS reported an unadjusted annual percentage change for coffee of 15.3% (BLS - CPI May 2022, see Table 2 for "Coffee").
Tags: Business, Society, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2022-06-17; closed: 2023-06-01
Options: Down by more than 3.0%, Down by between 0.0% and 3.0%, inclusive, Up by more than 0.0% but less than 3.0%, Up by between 3.0% and 6.0%, inclusive, Up by more than 6.0% but less than 9.0%, Up by between 9.0% and 12.0%, inclusive, Up by more than 12.0%
Answer: Up by between 3.0% and 6.0%, inclusive
Question: Which team will win the 2023 NBA Finals?
The 2022-23 NBA Finals is scheduled to conclude no later than 18 June 2023 (NBA - Key Dates, NBA - Standings).This question is part of the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details.
Tags: Business, Sports, Entertainment
Question opened: 2023-02-03; closed: 2023-06-13
Options: Boston Celtics, Brooklyn Nets, Denver Nuggets, Memphis Grizzlies, Milwaukee Bucks, Another team
Answer: Denver Nuggets
Question: Which team will win the 2023 NBA Finals?
The 2022-23 NBA Finals is scheduled to conclude no later than 18 June 2023 (NBA - Key Dates, NBA - Standings).
Tags: Business, Sports, Entertainment
Question opened: 2022-10-21; closed: 2023-06-13
Options: Boston Celtics, Brooklyn Nets, Dallas Mavericks, Denver Nuggets, Golden State Warriors, Los Angeles Clippers, Memphis Grizzlies, Miami Heat, Milwaukee Bucks, Philadelphia 76ers, Phoenix Suns, Another team
Answer: Denver Nuggets
Question: When will North Korea next launch an ICBM with an estimated range of at least 10,000 km?
North Korea has launched two ICBMs thus far in 2023, one of which came as the leaders of South Korea and Japan held their first bilateral meeting in over a decade (BBC, NPR, AP). For the purposes of this question, ambiguous reporting regarding the estimated range of a launched ICBM will be ultimately decided using data and reporting provided by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). If an estimate provided is a range (e.g., between 9,000km and 11,000km), the high end of the range will be used to determine if the launch qualifies. An ICBM will be deemed to have launched if there is credible reporting that the missile left the ground. An otherwise qualifying missile launch would count irrespective of the missile being purportedly configured to act as a space launch vehicle. A submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) would not count.
Tags: Technology, Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2023-03-17; closed: 2023-06-12
Options: Before 16 June 2023, Between 16 June 2023 and 15 September 2023, Not before 16 September 2023
Answer: Before 16 June 2023
Question: Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces and/or law enforcement of Russia and those of a NATO member state resulting in at least three fatalities before 12 June 2023?
As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, NATO continues to support the country's defense without direct involvement (The Hill, Axios, Unian [in Ukrainian]). A qualifying lethal confrontation is one that results at least three fatalities (total, not each) for the national military forces and/or law enforcement of either side. As of launch, there were 30 NATO member states (NATO). For the purposes of this question, members of armed forces fighting without command authorization are not considered "national military forces and/or law enforcement" (e.g., AP, BBC).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2022-11-11; closed: 2023-06-12
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Which football (soccer) club will win the 2022-23 UEFA Champions League final?
The 2022-23 UEFA Champions League final is scheduled to be played at Atatürk Olympic Stadium in Istanbul, Turkey, on 10 June 2023 (UEFA - News, UEFA - Clubs).
Tags: Sports, Entertainment
Question opened: 2022-09-16; closed: 2023-06-10
Options: Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester City, Paris SG, Real Madrid, Tottenham, Another football club
Answer: Manchester City
Question: Between 9 December 2022 and 9 June 2023, will North Korea detonate a nuclear device?
Amid an increase in ballistic missile tests in 2022, there are concerns that North Korea may test another nuclear weapon (Vox, Voice of America). North Korea's most recent nuclear detonation was in 2017 (BBC).
Tags: Technology, Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-12-09; closed: 2023-06-10
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 24 February 2023 and 25 August 2023, will former President Donald Trump be criminally charged with or indicted for a federal and/or state crime in the US?
Former President Trump is currently under investigation by various US jurisdictions (Vox, AP, USA Today). Any criminal charge or indictment under seal would only count upon the unsealing of the charge or indictment during the question's open period (Cornell, see Definition (1), Legal Beagle). Contempt charges or citations imposed by a judge or judicial officer alone would not count (Cornell).
Tags: Business, US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2023-02-24; closed: 2023-06-09
Options: Yes, a federal crime only, Yes, a state crime only, Yes, both a federal crime and a state crime, No
Answer: Yes, both a federal crime and a state crime
Question: What will be Ukraine's annual rate of inflation in May 2023?
As Ukraine continues to fight against Russia's invasion, the country is also battle wartime inflation (US News & World Report, Deutsche Welle). The outcome will be determined using annual consumer price data from the State Statistics Service of Ukraine as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics). For historical data, visit https://ukrstat.gov.ua/. On the page, click "ENG" in the upper right corner, then click "Statistical information" on the blue ribbon near the top, then click "Prices" under Economic statistics, and then click "Consumer price indices for goods and services (to corresponding month of previous year)" under "Consumer price indices." As of 30 September 2022, Ukraine's annual rate of inflation for May 2022 was 18.0%.
Tags: Society, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-09-30; closed: 2023-06-01
Options: Lower than 10.0%, Between 10.0% and 16.0%, inclusive, Higher than 16.0% but lower than 22.0%, Between 22.0% and 28.0%, inclusive, Higher than 28.0% but lower than 34.0%, Between 34.0% and 40.0%, inclusive, More than 40.0%
Answer: Between 10.0% and 16.0%, inclusive
Question: Will the Bank of Canada's policy interest rate target exceed 4.75% before 8 June 2023?
The Bank of Canada, the country's central bank, sets a target interest rate for overnight lending to banks that influences interest rates, including the prime rate, throughout the Canadian economy (Investopedia, Bank of Canada). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Bank of Canada (Bank of Canada - Policy Interest Rate). At its 7 December 2022 meeting, the Bank of Canada raised its policy interest rate target to 4.25% (Bank of Canada - 7 December 2022 Release, CBC). The question will close on the date of the announcement, rather than the date on which an increase would take effect.
Tags: Business, Finance, Society, Economic Policy, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-12-09; closed: 2023-06-07
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the percentage change in real GDP for the European Union in the first quarter of 2023 as compared to the fourth quarter of 2022?
The EU is facing a bevy of challenges to its economic health in the near term (NASDAQ, CNBC, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2023 and the outcome determined using data from Eurostat for real GDP as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) upon the release of the final estimate for the first quarter of 2023, called the "GDP main aggregates and employment estimates for the first quarter of 2023," expected in early June 2023 (FRED). The value for the first quarter of 2023 (Q1 2023) will be divided by the value for the fourth quarter of 2022 (Q4 2022) to determine the rate of real GDP growth, which can be done on the FRED page by 1) clicking "EDIT GRAPH," and 2) changing "Units:" to "Percent Change."
Tags: Business, Society, Economic Indicators, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-10-07; closed: 2023-04-01
Options: Lower by 2.0% or more, Lower by between 1.0% and 2.0%, inclusive, Lower by more than 0.0% but less than 1.0%, Higher by between 0.0% and 1.0%, inclusive, Higher by more than 1.0% but less than 2.0%, Higher by 2.0% or more
Answer: Higher by between 0.0% and 1.0%, inclusive
Question: When will Elon Musk cease to be Twitter's sole CEO?
Musk has been the sole CEO of Twitter since its acquisition and is seeking out a replacement (CNBC, The Verge). The addition of a co-CEO would count. The appointment of house pets, livestock, fantasy characters, or other non-natural persons would not count (e.g., Twitter).
Tags: Business, Technology, Leader Entry/Exit
Question opened: 2023-02-17; closed: 2023-06-05
Options: Before 1 August 2023, Between 1 August 2023 and 31 December 2023, Not before 1 January 2024
Answer: Before 1 August 2023
Question: Will the spread between US high-yield corporate bonds and US Treasuries reach or exceed 6.50% before 3 June 2023?
With the fallout from bank failures being felt throughout the financial system, borrowing costs for "high-yield" bonds (aka junk bonds) jumped in mid-March 2023 (US News & World Report, Yahoo Finance, Investopedia). The outcome will be determined using Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database for "ICE BofA US High Yield Index Option-Adjusted Spread" (FRED). For 16 March 2023, the spread was 4.93%.
Tags: Business, Finance, Economic Indicators, US Policy
Question opened: 2023-03-17; closed: 2023-06-03
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the Morena party candidate win the 2023 gubernatorial election in Mexico state (Estado de México)?
Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador's party, Morena, hopes to add the State of Mexico to its list of governorships when voters go to the polls on 4 June 2023 (Economist, CNN Mexico Report, BNamericas).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2023-02-10; closed: 2023-06-04
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: When will the US next raise, suspend, and/or abolish its debt ceiling?
After the contentious fight within the Republican Party to elect a Speaker of the House, there are concerns that a major political fight over the US debt ceiling looms (US News, Guardian, CNN). The public debt ceiling (aka public debt limit) is a statutory limit on how much debt the US government may issue, with limited exceptions (Investopedia - Debt Ceiling, Congressional Research Service). As of 16 December 2021, the ceiling was set to its current level of $31,381,462,788,891.71 (US Treasury). Select "Published Reports" in the "Preview & Download" section, select "Previous" under “Select Report Date," and then set the year to "2022" and month to "Dec." The value will be in footnote 5.
Tags: Finance, Economic Policy, US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2023-01-13; closed: 2023-06-03
Options: Before 1 May 2023, Between 1 May 2023 and 31 August 2023, Between 1 September 2023 and 31 December 2023, Not before 1 January 2024
Answer: Between 1 May 2023 and 31 August 2023
Question: How many of Ballotpedia's "noteworthy" candidates will have registered with the FEC to run for US president in 2024 as of 31 May 2023?
With the first presidential primaries less than a year away, the field of candidates is expected to grow in the coming months (The Hill, The Conversation). The question will be suspended on 30 May 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Ballotpedia and the Federal Election Commission (FEC) (Ballotpedia, Federal Election Commission). The list of noteworthy candidates on Ballotpedia will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 31 May 2023. That list will be checked for registrations dated no later than 31 May 2023 as reported on 2 June 2023 by the FEC.This question is part of the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details.
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2023-03-03; closed: 2023-05-31
Options: 6 or fewer, Between 7 and 9, Between 10 and 12, Between 13 and 15, 16 or more
Answer: Between 10 and 12
Question: How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen in May 2023?
Total air passenger traffic in the US is close to recovering to pre-pandemic levels (Aviation Week). The outcome will be determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA).
Tags: Business, Society, Entertainment
Question opened: 2023-04-28; closed: 2023-05-30
Options: Fewer than 68 million, Between 68 million and 71 million, inclusive, More than 71 million but fewer than 74 million, Between 74 million and 77 million, inclusive, More than 77 million but fewer than 80 million, 80 million or more
Answer: Between 74 million and 77 million, inclusive