jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: How many viewers will tune in to watch Sunday Night Football on 29 October 2017?
NOTE: This is an experimental short-term question intended to serve as 'forecasting fodder.' The idea is to give forecasters a way to get scored quickly on questions that demand difficult, multifaceted analysis.  Sunday Night Football viewership in any given week may be influenced by long-term trends (e.g. a move to streaming services), or circumstances specific to game day (who is playing, what competing programming will air), among other factors.
Tags: Society, Sports, This question will be resolved using Nielsen's Fast National Ratings data as reported on The Futon Critic in the "Sunday's Broadcast Ratings" summary of 29 October 2017., Fast National Ratings are typically reported on the Monday following Sunday programming. This season's Fast National viewership numbers for Sunday Night Football are as follows:, 10 September 2017: 21.559 million viewers (The Futon Critic), 17 September 2017: 18.460 million viewers (The Futon Critic), 24 September 2017: 14.537 million viewers (The Futon Critic), 1 October 2017: 14.009 million viewers (The Futon Critic), 8 October 2017: 14.853 million viewers (The Futon Critic), 15 October 2017: 14.423 million viewers (The Futon Critic), 22 October 2017: 16.741 million viewers (The Futon Critic)
Question opened: 2017-10-27; closed: 2017-10-30
Options: Fewer than 14.5 million, Between 14.5 million and 15 million, inclusive, More than 15 million but less than 15.5 million, Between 15.5 million and 16 million, inclusive, More than 16 million
Answer: Fewer than 14.5 million
Question: Will FEWS NET publish a Food Security Alert with "famine" and "Yemen" in its headline between 9 August 2017 and 25 October 2017?
Question opened: 2017-08-09; closed: 2017-10-25
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party win in the upcoming election for Japan's House of Representatives?
Question opened: 2017-10-18; closed: 2017-10-21
Options: Less than 232, 232 - 275, 276 - 285, 286 - 310, More than 310
Answer: 276 - 285
Question: Will Geert Wilders become prime minister of the Netherlands after the March 2017 elections?
The Netherlands is scheduled to hold parliamentary elections on 15 March 2017 and Geert Wilders, the head of the Freedom Party (PVV), has been ahead in the polls (Express UK). If no government is formed after the March elections and subsequent elections are scheduled, the question will resolve as "no."
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-01-10; closed: 2017-03-15
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: How many Senate seats will Cambiemos hold after Argentina's parliamentary elections?
While Argentine President Macri's ruling Cambiemos ('Let's Change') coalition had a strong showing in August's primaries, ex-President Christine Fernandez de Kirchner's declared run for a Senate seat casts uncertainty over competing economic reform agendas (Bloomberg, Business Insider, FX Street).  Argentina's parliamentary elections are scheduled for 22 October 2017.
Tags: Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2017-10-10; closed: 2017-10-22
Options: A majority, A plurality, but not a majority, Less than a plurality
Answer: A plurality, but not a majority
Question: Before 1 April 2018, will India announce that it has begun, or will begin, new construction that dams any part of the of the Indus, Jhelum, or Chenab rivers, or their upper tributaries?
UPDATE: GJ is looking into the specifications of the Ganderbal Project (Hydroworld, HCC)  to confirm if all requirements of the forecasting question have or have not been met.
Tags: Health, Environment, Building dams across the Indus, Jhelum, and Chenab rivers -- whose headwaters are controlled by India but whose downstream flow is allocated to Pakistan by the Indus Water Treaty -- could increase tensions between the two countries over water (Foreign Policy, Hindustan Times, New Delhi Times).
Question opened: 2017-04-11; closed: 2017-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: What will the monthly Period-over-Period change in the consumer price index (CPI) be for the United Kingdom in September 2017?
This question will be resolved using data from the International Monetary Fund, and can be found after ensuring the country of interest is selected from the Country drop down menu, and 'Consumer Price Index, All Items' is selected from the Indicator drop down menu. The relevant row is: '[Country of Interest], Consumer Price Index, All Items,' and the relevant column will be '2017 [Month of Interest].' Question will be resolved based on initially reported values expected to be published the first week of the following month.
Tags: Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2017-09-06; closed: 2017-09-30
Options: Less than .01, Between .01 and .17, inclusive, More than .17 but less than .30, Between .30 and .46, inclusive, More than .46
Answer: More than .17 but less than .30
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will Venezuela hold gubernatorial elections?
Delayed gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held in October (Miami Herald, NPR, Telesur).  In 2012, the United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) won 20 of the 23 governorships.  Opposition parties have decided to participate in the elections but face obstacles  (The Christian Science Monitor, Reuters).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-09-19; closed: 2017-10-15
Options: Yes, and the PSUV will win more than 20 governorships, Yes, and the PSUV will win between 15 and 20 governorships, inclusive, Yes, and the PSUV will win more than 10 but less than 15 governorships, Yes, and the PSUV will win 10 or fewer governorships, No
Answer: Yes, and the PSUV will win between 15 and 20 governorships, inclusive
Question: Will the Political Instability Task Force (PITF) Worldwide Atrocities Dataset record an event perpetrated by a non-state actor in Honduras (HND) that starts between 1 September 2017 and 30 September 2017?
The question will resolve as "yes" if the PITF Worldwide Atrocities Dataset records any event with a start date (Start Day, Start Month, Start Year) in the period of interest, inclusive, for which 'Event Location: Country' is the country of interest, and 'Perpetrators: Perp State Role' is: Multiple Perpetrators (Non-State); Non-State, Internal, No State Sanction; Transnational, Non-State; or Unknown/Unclear/Other. Question will be suspended on the last day of the period of interest and resolved when the data is released, typically in the middle of the next month via the .zip file which begins with January 2016.
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-08-23; closed: 2017-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: How many battle deaths will ACLED record in Kenya in September 2017?
Question opened: 2017-09-06; closed: 2017-09-30
Options: Less than 6, Between 6 and 15, inclusive, More than 15
Answer: Between 6 and 15, inclusive
Question: How many battle deaths will ACLED record in Algeria in September 2017?
Question opened: 2017-09-06; closed: 2017-09-30
Options: Less than 5, Between 5 and 10, inclusive, More than 10
Answer: Less than 5
Question: How much crude oil will Libya produce in September 2017?
Question opened: 2017-08-16; closed: 2017-09-30
Options: Less than 967.33, Between 967.33 and 1093.53, inclusive, More than 1093.53 but less than 1202.22, Between 1202.22 and 1328.41, inclusive, More than 1328.41
Answer: Less than 967.33
Question: When will the FARC register a new political party?
The historic Colombia-FARC peace agreement stipulated that the FARC could register as a political party once disarmament was complete (United Press International, Colombia Reports 1/10/2017 , Colombia Reports 6/8/2017 , Reuters). The FARC has said it is committed to forming a political party, a process which could involve Voices of Peace and Reconciliation or the establishment of a new organization (Telesur, Fox News).
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-06-13; closed: 2017-10-09
Options: Before 30 September 2017, Between 1 October and 31 December 2017, inclusive, Not before 1 January 2018
Answer: Between 1 October and 31 December 2017, inclusive
Question: Will the Political Instability Task Force (PITF) Worldwide Atrocities Dataset record an event perpetrated by a non-state actor in Israel that starts between 9 August 2017 and 31 August 2017, inclusive?
Question opened: 2017-08-09; closed: 2017-09-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will China begin land reclamation activity at Scarborough Shoal or in the Macclesfield Bank before 1 October 2017?
Question opened: 2016-10-04; closed: 2017-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 October 2017, will the FDA approve the sale of a gene-therapy treatment for inherited diseases?
Congress passed the 21st Century Cures Act in December 2016, meant to accelerate the discovery, development, and delivery of new cures (US Congress). Spark Therapeutics could become the first company to receive FDA approval to sell a gene-therapy treatment in the U.S. (The Economist, Technology Review, FDA Cellular Gene Therapy Products, Nature Journal, FDA Development Approval Process).
Tags: Technology, Health
Question opened: 2017-01-24; closed: 2017-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the U.S. Department of Justice approve AT&T's bid for Time Warner before 1 October 2017?
The regulatory decision over AT&T's bid for Time Warner awaits the new administration (The Economist, WSJ, Business Insider and CNBC). For more information on the Department of Justice's role in merger approval see: Benton.
Tags: Business
Question opened: 2017-02-07; closed: 2017-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Canada legalise recreational marijuana nationally before 1 October 2017?
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has promised to legalise recreational marijuana (The World in 2017, Vox). The health minister has indicated that a bill will be introduced in the spring of 2017. For more information on Canada's legislative process see Queen's University Library.
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2016-11-22; closed: 2017-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Vladimir Putin or Donald Trump host the other for an official bilateral visit before 1 October 2017?
Joint attendance at multilateral meetings will not count. President-elect Trump has repeatedly praised Vladimir Putin (The World in 2017, Time, CBS News). President Obama's 2009 visit to Moscow is an example of an official bilateral visit (NY Times).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Clarification issued 12/12/2016: The question was updated to ask about an official bilateral visit.
Question opened: 2016-11-22; closed: 2017-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 October 2017, will one day of protests in Venezuela result in more than 25 fatalities?
Protests in Venezuela have become increasingly violent, with fatalities suffered by supporters of both sides, bystanders and members of the security forces (Reuters, Reuters).
Tags: Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-07-25; closed: 2017-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: When will Kim Jong-un cease to be supreme leader of North Korea?
Question opened: 2016-10-18; closed: 2017-10-01
Options: Before 1 January 2017, Between 1 January 2017 and 31 March 2017, Between 1 April 2017 and 30 June 2017, inclusive, Between 1 July 2017 and 30 September 2017, inclusive, Not before 1 October 2017
Answer: Not before 1 October 2017
Question: Will anyone other than Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi be proclaimed caliph before 1 October 2017?
A global coalition of forces continues to hammer at the Islamic State and its leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi (Economist, Reuters).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-02-14; closed: 2017-10-01
Options: Yes, while Baghdadi is alive, Yes, after Baghdadi's death, No
Answer: No
Question: Will six party talks on North Korea's nuclear weapons program resume before 1 October 2017?
The six party talks are a series of negotiations on dismantling North Korea's nuclear weapons program, involving North Korea, South Korea, China, Japan, Russia, and the U.S. (Council on Foreign Relations, The Economist). Talks stalled in 2008 (Arms Control Association). China has expressed recent interest in resuming talks (Xin Hua, Reuters).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-03-07; closed: 2017-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: When will another round of in-person Korean family reunions take place?
Question opened: 2016-10-18; closed: 2017-10-01
Options: Before 1 January 2017, Between 1 January 2017 and 31 March 2017, inclusive, Between 1 April 2017 and 30 June 2017, inclusive, Between 1 July 2017 and 30 September 2017, inclusive, Not before 1 October 2017
Answer: Not before 1 October 2017
Question: Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution concerning the Democratic People's Republic of Korea between 7 September 2017 and 4 October 2017?
Question opened: 2017-09-06; closed: 2017-09-11
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: What will the monthly Period-over-Period change in the consumer price index (CPI) be for Estonia in August 2017?
This question will be resolved using data from the International Monetary Fund, and can be found after adding “Estonia” from the Country drop down menu, and "Consumer Price Index, All Items" from the Indicator drop down menu. The relevant row is: “Estonia, Consumer Price Index, All Items,” and the relevant column will be "2017M08.” Question will be suspended on 31 August 2017 and resolved based on initially reported values for August expected to published the first week of September 2017.
Tags: Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2017-08-16; closed: 2017-09-01
Options: Less than -.38, Between -.38 and -.14, inclusive, More than -.14 but less than .06, Between .06 and .30, inclusive, Greater than .30
Answer: Greater than .30
Question: What will the short-term interest rate be for Ireland (IRL) in August 2017?
This question will be resolved using monthly data reported by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in which HIGHLIGHTED COUNTRIES OR LOCATION is 'Ireland (IRL)' and TIME is 'August 2017'. Values will be rounded to the nearest one-hundredth. Question will be suspended on 31 August 2017 and resolved when the August data is released, likely in September.
Tags: Finance
Question opened: 2017-08-16; closed: 2017-09-01
Options: Less than -1.76, Between -1.76 and -0.76, inclusive, More than -0.76 but less than 0.10, Between 0.10 and 1.10, inclusive, More than 1.10
Answer: More than -0.76 but less than 0.10
Question: At their 130th Session, where will the International Olympic Committee decide to hold the 2024 and 2028 Olympics?
The International Olympic Committee will announce the host city for the 2024 Summer Olympic games in September 2017 at its 130th Session (The International Olympic Committee, NY Times, The Economist).
Tags: Sports, The IOC officially announced Paris will host the 2024 Olympics and Los Angeles will host in 2028 (Olympic Games). This question was closed as "a) Paris in 2024, Los Angeles in 2028", with an end date of 13 September.
Question opened: 2017-06-27; closed: 2017-09-13
Options: Paris in 2024, Los Angeles in 2028, Los Angeles in 2024, Paris in 2028, Paris in 2024, but Los Angeles not selected for 2028, Los Angeles in 2024, but Paris not selected for 2028,, None of the above
Answer: Paris in 2024, Los Angeles in 2028
Question: What proportion of seats will the MPLA win in Angola's upcoming parliamentary elections?
Angola's president of over 30 years, Jose Eduardo dos Santos, announced that he will step down as president before the 2017 elections, creating uncertainty over whether the MPLA will maintain its dominant role in Angolan politics (Deutsche Welle, World Politics Review, News24).
Tags: Elections and Referenda, MPLA won 150 of 220 seats. This question was closed as “a) majority” with an end date of 26 August 2017. (Africa News)
Question opened: 2017-06-20; closed: 2017-08-26
Options: A majority, A plurality, but not a majority, Not a plurality
Answer: A majority
Question: Before 7 September 2017, will Colin Kaepernick be signed by an NFL team?
Question opened: 2017-08-25; closed: 2017-09-07
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: When will North Korea next conduct a nuclear test?
Question opened: 2016-09-20; closed: 2017-09-02
Options: Before 1 January 2017, Between 1 January 2017 and 30 June 2017, inclusive, Between 1 July 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive, Not before 1 January 2018
Answer: Between 1 July 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive
Question: From March through August 2017, how many months will see Macau's monthly gross gaming revenues exceeding 2016 monthly revenues by 10% or more?
Gaming revenues fell precipitously in 2014 and 2015 as President Xi Jinping's anti-graft campaign deterred Chinese high-rollers from flaunting their wealth in Macau's casinos, but have started to climb again (The Economist, Bloomberg, Business Times). The question will be resolved according to official data provided by the Macau Gaming Inspection and Co-ordination Bureau here.
Tags: Business, March through August gross revenues exceeded 2016 revenues by 10% or more. This question closed with an answer of "d) all 6 months", with and end date of 1 September 2017.  (Macau Gaming Inspection and Co-ordination Bureau)
Question opened: 2017-03-21; closed: 2017-09-01
Options: 0-1 months, 2-3 months, 4-5 months, All 6 months
Answer: All 6 months
Question: Will Uhuru Kenyatta win Kenya’s August 2017 presidential election?
Uhuru Kenyatta will seek re-election in August 2017 (The Economist, Bloomberg). In the event that a run-off election is required, the end date of the question will be extended.
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-04-04; closed: 2017-08-08
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Before 1 August 2017, will the US president sign legislation that eliminates or caps the tax exemption on municipal bond interest?
Under present federal income tax law, the interest received from municipal bonds is free from federal income taxes (The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association). The Republican-controlled Congress has put tax reform high on the agenda and may try to eliminate or cap the tax exemptions on municipal bonds (Bloomberg, Bloomberg, The Hill).
Tags: Finance, US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2017-04-11; closed: 2017-08-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 October 2017, will the Mauritanian government hold a referendum to alter the nation's constitution?
A referendum vote aimed at changing Mauritania’s constitution, originally scheduled for July 2017, has been postponed to August (World Politics Review, North AfricaPost, Africa News, News 24). If the referendum includes multiple amendments to the constitution, passage of any of them would resolve the question as "Yes, it will pass."
Tags: Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2017-07-14; closed: 2017-08-05
Options: Yes, and it will pass, Yes, but it will not pass, No
Answer: Yes, and it will pass
Question: What will be the official U.S. civilian unemployment rate for the month of July 2017?
Outcome will be determined by the official civilian unemployment rate (U3) reported for the month of July 2017, published by the Department of Labor on 4 August 2017 (Bureau of Labor Statistics). For more information on U3, see: Investopedia.
Tags: Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2017-04-11; closed: 2017-08-01
Options: Less than 4.0%, Between 4.0 and 4.5%, inclusive, More than 4.5% but less than 5.0%, 5.0% or more
Answer: Between 4.0 and 4.5%, inclusive
Question: What will Gallup report President Trump's approval rating to be on 1 August 2017?
Outcome will be determined by the "Gallup Daily" Trump job approval rating (Gallup). Question will be suspended on 1 August 2017 and closed when the data are released the following day.
Tags: US Politics
Question opened: 2017-04-28; closed: 2017-08-01
Options: Less than 30%, Between 30% and 40%, inclusive, More than 40% but less than 50%, Between 50% and 60%, inclusive, More than 60%
Answer: Between 30% and 40%, inclusive
Question: When will a nominee for FBI director be confirmed by the U.S. Senate?
Donald Trump has yet to announce his choice to replace James Comey as the director of the FBI. The next FBI director will need to be confirmed by the U.S. Senate. The current acting replacement, Andrew G. McCabe, would also face a confirmation vote if nominated (The Hill).
Tags: US Politics
Question opened: 2017-05-19; closed: 2017-07-31
Options: Before 1 July 2017, Between 1 July 2017 and 31 July 2017, inclusive, Not before 1 August 2017
Answer: Not before 1 August 2017
Question: Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan cease to be President of Turkey before 1 August 2017?
Question opened: 2016-08-02; closed: 2017-08-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will China officially declare an air-defense identification zone (ADIZ) over any part of the South China Sea before 1 August 2017?
After the International Court of Arbitration ruled against China's territorial claims in a landmark case in June 2016, China stated that it has a right to set up an ADIZ in the South China Sea (CNN, US Naval Institute). An extension of the existing East China Sea ADIZ to cover part of the South China Sea would count. For more information on air defence identification zones and the conflict in the South China Sea, see VOA, National Interest, Financial Times, Foreign Affairs.
Tags: Foreign Policy
Question opened: 2017-03-16; closed: 2017-08-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the U.S. real quarter-on-quarter GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2017?
Question opened: 2017-04-18; closed: 2017-06-30
Options: Less than 1%, Between 1% and 2%, inclusive, More than 2% but less than 3%, 3% or more
Answer: More than 2% but less than 3%
Question: Will Saudi Arabia's holdings of US treasury securities dip below $50 billion before 1 June 2017?
Saudi Arabia warned of economic fallout from the Justice Against Sponsors of Terrorism Act, which Congress passed over the president's veto on September 28, 2016 (NY Times, Salon, Washington Post).  The treasury holdings of foreign countries, including Saudi Arabia, are tracked by the Department of Treasury on a monthly basis: US Department of the Treasury. The government of Saudi Arabia held $93 billion in Treasury holdings in August 2016. If the question has not already resolved, it will be suspended on 31 May 2017 and closed when the May data are released, typically in mid July.
Tags: Foreign Policy
Question opened: 2016-11-08; closed: 2017-06-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 September 2017, will the European Stability Mechanism approve the release of a third tranche of funds from the third economic adjustment programme for Greece?
The third economic adjustment programme for Greece started in August 2015 (The European Council). Two tranches of funds have been released, with the release of the third tranche currently under negotiation (BBC, Investing.com, Financial Times, Reuters). The question will resolve as "yes" when the release of the next tranche of loans to Greece is approved, regardless of the amount. Approval to extend the review process or delay the approval decision, without accompanying approval to release additional monies, will not resolve the question as "yes."
Tags: Finance, Economic Policy
Question opened: 2017-04-04; closed: 2017-07-07
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: When will anti-Islamic State forces retake Mosul?
Despite fierce resistance, Islamic State militants have reportedly been losing ground and equipment in Mosul since Iraqi government forces and US-led air forces launched a major campaign to recapture the city in October 2016 (Iraqi News, The Guardian, Asia Times, Politico).
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-02-21; closed: 2017-07-10
Options: Before 1 April 2017, Between 1 April 2017 and 30 June 2017, inclusive, Between 1 July 2017 and 30 September 2017, inclusive, Between 1 October 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive, Not before 1 January 2018.
Answer: Between 1 July 2017 and 30 September 2017, inclusive