jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: Will the Federal Open Market Committee decide to raise the interest rate on excess reserve balances at or before its scheduled September 2017 meeting?
The Interest on Excess Reserves (IOER), is the interest paid by the Federal Reserve Bank to its depository institutions on balances that exceed the reserves they are required to hold (Federal Reserve). The IOER is set by the Federal Open Market Comittee (FOMC) and detailed in the implementation notes of the monthly meeting (Federal Reserve). At the January 2017 meeting, the FOMC voted to maintain the interest rate paid on excess reserve balances at 0.75 percent (Federal Reserve). The September 2017 meeting is scheduled for 19-20 September.
Tags: Economic Policy, This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 15 March 2017 (Federa Reserve)., See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Question opened: 2017-02-24; closed: 2017-03-15
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Will Facebook add warning labels to news stories before July 2017?
The proliferation of "fake news" on Facebook during the US presidential election has led to criticism of the social media platform (NPR, Buzzfeed). CEO Mark Zuckerberg has laid out plans to combat misinformation, including the possibility of posting warning labels on stories (Facebook, USA Today). Facebook must implement a widespread, default feature that adds warning labels to news stories that are possibly false or misleading in order for this question to resolve as "yes".
Tags: Business, Technology, Society, This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 4 March 2017 (Buisness Insider, Forbes, USA Today)., See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Question opened: 2016-12-09; closed: 2017-03-04
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: What will be the valuation of Snap Inc following its initial public offering?
This question will be scored using our ordered categorical scoring rule.
Tags: Business, Technology, The parent company of the popular messaging app Snapchat has filed for an initial public offering to take place as early as March (WSJ, Business Insider, CNBC). Valuation will be based on the end-of-day share price of Snap Inc's first trading day. This question will be extended if the IPO does not occur before the question expires.
Question opened: 2017-02-03; closed: 2017-03-03
Options: Less than $20 billion, Between $20 billion and $30 billion, inclusive, More than $30 billion but less than $40 billion, $40 billion or more
Answer: Between $20 billion and $30 billion, inclusive
Question: Will SpaceX launch the Falcon Heavy rocket into low earth orbit before 1 March 2017?
Question opened: 2016-06-14; closed: 2017-03-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the 2016 industry-wide average cost of Li-on batteries used in battery-powered electric vehicles be less than $300 per kWh?
Question opened: 2016-04-22; closed: 2017-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Will the government of Afghanistan and the Afghan Taliban participate in official talks before 1 March 2017?
Question opened: 2016-06-21; closed: 2017-03-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be President of Syria before 1 March 2017?
Question opened: 2015-09-01; closed: 2017-03-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Who will win the 2017 Academy Award for Actor in a Leading Role?
The 89th Academy Awards® take place on Sunday, February 26.
Tags: Entertainment
Question opened: 2017-01-27; closed: 2017-02-27
Options: Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea), Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge), Ryan Gosling (La La Land), Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic), Denzel Washington (Fences)
Answer: Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
Question: Which film will win the 2017 Academy Award for Directing?
The 89th Academy Awards® take place on Sunday, February 26.
Tags: Entertainment
Question opened: 2017-01-27; closed: 2017-02-27
Options: Arrival (Denis Villeneuve), Hacksaw Ridge (Mel Gibson), La La Land (Damien Chazelle), Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan), Moonlight (Barry Jenkins)
Answer: La La Land (Damien Chazelle)
Question: Who will win the 2017 Academy Award for Actress in a Leading Role?
The 89th Academy Awards® take place on Sunday, February 26.
Tags: Entertainment
Question opened: 2017-01-27; closed: 2017-02-27
Options: Isabelle Huppert (Elle), Ruth Negga (Loving), Natalie Portman (Jackie), Emma Stone (La La Land), Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)
Answer: Emma Stone (La La Land)
Question: Who will win the 2017 Academy Award for Actress in a Supporting Role?
The 89th Academy Awards® take place on Sunday, February 26.
Tags: Entertainment
Question opened: 2017-01-27; closed: 2017-02-27
Options: Viola Davis (Fences), Naomie Harris (Moonlight), Nicole Kidman (Lion), Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures), Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
Answer: Viola Davis (Fences)
Question: Which film will win the 2017 Academy Award for Writing (Original Screenplay)?
The 89th Academy Awards® take place on Sunday, February 26.
Tags: Entertainment
Question opened: 2017-01-27; closed: 2017-02-27
Options: Hell or High Water, La La Land, The Lobster, Manchester by the Sea, 20th Century Women
Answer: Manchester by the Sea
Question: Which film will win the 2017 Academy Award for Documentary (Feature)?
The 89th Academy Awards® take place on Sunday, February 26.
Tags: Entertainment
Question opened: 2017-01-27; closed: 2017-02-27
Options: Fire at Sea, I Am Not Your Negro, Life, Animated, O.J.: Made in America, 13th
Answer: O.J.: Made in America
Question: Which film will win the 2017 Academy Award for Foreign Language Film?
The 89th Academy Awards® take place on Sunday, February 26.
Tags: Entertainment
Question opened: 2017-01-27; closed: 2017-02-27
Options: Land of Mine, A Man Called Ove, The Salesman, Tanna, Toni Erdmann
Answer: The Salesman
Question: Will annual sales of electric vehicles in China reach 500,000 in 2016?
Question opened: 2016-04-22; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Will a U.S. state enact a soda tax in 2017?
With the legal challenges of municipal soda taxes fading away (Philly.com, Reuters,  Chicago Tribune), some states are considering similar measures (NY Times, WBUR,  PennLive). The tax does not need to take effect for a "yes" resolution.
Tags: Business, Health, Economic Policy, This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 7 February 2017. Arkansas' governor signed into law an increased tax on soda (Ledger Enquirer, Arkansas Online)., See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Question opened: 2016-12-27; closed: 2017-02-07
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Will more than 1 million tourists visit Egypt in October 2016?
Question opened: 2016-09-13; closed: 2016-10-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Which team will win Super Bowl LI?
The New England Patriots won the Super Bowl (NFL).
Tags: Sports, The Atlanta Falcons will take on the New England Patriots in the NFL's Super Bowl LI on 5 February 2017 in Houston, Texas (NFL).
Question opened: 2017-01-24; closed: 2017-02-05
Options: Atlanta Falcons, New England Patriots
Answer: New England Patriots
Question: Will Venezuela or its state-owned oil company Petroleos de Venezuela SA (PDVSA) default on any of its foreign debt before 1 February 2017?
Question opened: 2016-03-15; closed: 2017-01-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Rex Tillerson be confirmed by the Senate as secretary of state before 30 April 2017?
President-elect Trump has announced ExxonMobil CEO Rex Tillerson as his pick for secretary of state. Tillerson's ties to Russia have led to criticism of his nomination by both Republicans and Democrats (Washington Post, Politico)."
Tags: Foreign Policy, US Politics, This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 1 February 2017 (NY Times)., See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Question opened: 2016-12-27; closed: 2017-02-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Before 30 April 2017, will the U.S. suspend immigration from any country designated as a state sponsor of terrorism or a terrorist safe haven?
Part of President-elect Trump's plan for his first 100 days in office calls for the suspension of "immigration from terror-prone regions where vetting cannot safely occur" (NPR , NY Times). The president has the power to suspend by proclamation entry of any particular class of citizens from designated countries (8 USC §1182(f)). The U.S. Department of State designates countries as "Terrorist Safe Havens" (U.S. Department of State ) and/or "State Sponsors of Terrorism" (U.S. Department of State).
Tags: Foreign Policy, US Politics, Security and Conflict, This question was resolves as "yes" with an end date of 27 January 2016 (US News, Yahoo! New, NY Times)., See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Question opened: 2016-12-27; closed: 2017-01-27
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Before 15 February 2017, will the United Kingdom's Supreme Court rule that an additional act of the U.K. Parliament is required to invoke Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty?
The United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union in a referendum in June 2016 and Prime Minister May has planned to begin that process by invoking Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty in March 2017, but a recent High Court ruling stipulated that the government could not do so without an additional act of Parliament (BBC, Wall Street Journal, Judiciary UK). The government appealed the High Court's ruling and the Supreme Court is now is expected to issue its decision in January (BBC, Washington Post). Rulings pertaining to the devolved parliaments of Wales, Northern Ireland, or Scotland will not affect the resolution of this question.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Non-US Politics, This question was closed as "Yes" with an end date of 23 January 2017. The Supreme Court ruled that an act of Parliament was required to invoke Article 50 (BBC, NY Times)., See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Question opened: 2017-01-11; closed: 2017-01-23
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: What will the European Central Bank (ECB) do with respect to the deposit rate at its January 2017 monetary-policy meeting?
The European Central Bank cut its deposit rate into negative territory for the first time in June 2014, meaning that commercial banks are charged for the privilege of depositing money overnight at the central bank. In October 2016 the ECB maintained the deposit rate at -0.40%, but Europe’s weak economic recovery has raised speculation about further decreases (European Central Bank, The World in 2017). The January meeting is scheduled for 19 January 2017. The Governing Council's Monetary Policy Decisions can be found here and historical data on ECB interest rates can be found here.
Tags: Economic Indicators, This question was closed on "Maintain" with an end date of 19 January 2017. (Wall Street Journal), See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Question opened: 2016-11-22; closed: 2017-01-19
Options: Raise, Maintain, Lower
Answer: Maintain
Question: Will the Trans-Pacific Partnership be ratified by Congress before 20 January 2017?
Question opened: 2016-10-14; closed: 2017-01-20
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the Deferred Action for Parents of Americans and Lawful Permanent Residents (DAPA) program be implemented prior to inauguration day?
Question opened: 2016-05-06; closed: 2017-01-20
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will a new Supreme Court Justice be appointed before 20 January 2017?
Question opened: 2016-03-01; closed: 2017-01-20
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Which team will win the 2017 College Football Playoff National Championship?
The College Football Playoff National Championship is scheduled to be held on 9 January 2017 in Tampa, FL (College Football Playoff, NY Times).
Tags: Sports, This question was closed with the correct answer "Clemson" with an end date of 9 January 2017. Clemson defeated Alabama in the 2017 College Football Playoff National Championship (ESPN)., See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Question opened: 2016-12-09; closed: 2017-01-09
Options: Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, Washington
Answer: Clemson
Question: Will there be any publicly disclosed cyber attacks on nuclear facilities before the end of 2016?
Question opened: 2016-01-19; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will an independent or third-party candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the U.S. presidential election?
Question opened: 2016-04-01; closed: 2016-11-08
Options: Yes, but Donald Trump will not be that independent/third party candidate or be among them, No, Yes, and Donald Trump will be that independent/third party candidate or will be among them
Answer: No
Question: As of 1 November 2016, how much money will the Center for Responsive Politics report that Donald Trump's campaign committee and outside groups have spent on his campaign?
Question opened: 2016-06-21; closed: 2016-10-31
Options: More than $1 billion, Less than $250 million, Between $250 million and $500 million, inclusive, More than $500 million but less than $750 million, $750 milion to $1 billion, inclusive
Answer: Between $250 million and $500 million, inclusive
Question: Will the EU lift visa requirements for Turkish citizens before the end of 2016?
Question opened: 2016-07-05; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will the end-of-day closing value for the British pound against the US dollar be on 30 December 2016?
Question opened: 2016-07-12; closed: 2016-12-30
Options: Less than 1.20, Between 1.20 and 1.30, inclusive, More than 1.30 but less than 1.40, Between 1.40 and 1.50, inclusive, More than 1.50
Answer: Between 1.20 and 1.30, inclusive
Question: Will local elections be held in the city of Donetsk before 1 January 2017?
Question opened: 2016-08-23; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, and the elections will be recognized by the government of Ukraine, Yes, but the elections will not be recognized by the government of Ukraine, No
Answer: No
Question: Will any member of China's Politburo resign, be suspended, or be removed from the Politburo in 2016?
Question opened: 2016-05-24; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Nawaz Sharif, whose family was recently implicated in the Panama Papers, cease to be Prime Minister of Pakistan in 2016?
Question opened: 2016-05-17; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Jacob Zuma cease to be president of South Africa before 1 January 2017?
Question opened: 2016-04-19; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the European Union suspend any of Poland's membership rights in 2016?
Question opened: 2016-04-05; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will negotiations on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) be completed in 2016?
Question opened: 2016-01-19; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will more than 1 million refugees and migrants arrive in Europe by sea in 2016?
Question opened: 2016-01-05; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will six party talks on North Korea's nuclear weapons program resume before 1 January 2017?
Question opened: 2015-12-22; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will anti-Islamic State forces retake Mosul before 1 January 2017?
Question opened: 2015-12-22; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Montenegro become a NATO member in 2016?
Question opened: 2015-12-15; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will either Turkey or Russia officially suspend or cancel the Akkuyu nuclear power plant project before the end of 2016?
Question opened: 2015-12-08; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Tesla Motors deliver more than 80,000 BEVs to customers in calendar year 2016?
Question opened: 2016-03-22; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Nissan sell more than 15,000 units of the LEAF in the US in 2016?
Question opened: 2016-06-14; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will any other US state adopt California’s Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) Mandate before 1 January 2017?
Question opened: 2016-03-22; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 2017, will Google announce that it will conduct public testing of its fully autonomous vehicles in a US city?
Question opened: 2016-09-16; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the book "Superforecasting" be listed as a New York Times bestseller between 7 October 2016 and 2 January 2017?
Question opened: 2016-10-07; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will negotiations on the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) be completed before 1 January 2017?
Question opened: 2015-09-08; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2017, will TIME magazine announce that they will no longer be publishing a weekly print edition in the US?
Question opened: 2015-12-08; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2017, will it be officially announced that Greece is leaving the eurozone?
Question opened: 2015-09-14; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the Democratic Republic of the Congo hold presidential elections in 2016?
Question opened: 2016-05-03; closed: 2016-12-31
Options: Yes, and Joseph Kabila Kabange will win, Yes, and Moise Katumbi Chapwe will win, Yes, but neither Kabila nor Katumbi will win, No
Answer: No
Question: Before the end of 2016, will a North American country, the EU, or an EU member state impose sanctions on another country in response to a cyber attack or cyber espionage?
Question opened: 2015-12-15; closed: 2016-12-30
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: When will Syrian government forces retake the city of Aleppo?
Question opened: 2016-08-31; closed: 2016-12-22
Options: Before 30 November 2016, Between 1 December 2016 and 31 May 2017, inclusive, Between 1 June 2017 and 30 November 2017, inclusive, Not before 30 November 2017
Answer: Between 1 December 2016 and 31 May 2017, inclusive
Question: Will Faraday Future, NextEV, or Atieva start taking orders for electric vehicles in 2016?
Question opened: 2016-05-17; closed: 2016-12-14
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: How many people will vote in the 2016 presidential election?
Question opened: 2016-09-02; closed: 2016-11-08
Options: Less than 113 million, Between 113 million and 135 million, inclusive, More than 135 million
Answer: More than 135 million
Question: Will the winner of the popular vote in the US presidential election also win the electoral college?
Question opened: 2016-06-21; closed: 2016-11-08
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Which presidential candidate will win Michigan?
Question opened: 2016-07-15; closed: 2016-11-08
Options: Someone else, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump
Answer: Donald Trump
Question: Who will Donald Trump announce as his choice for Secretary of State?
President-elect Donald Trump has yet to announce his pick for Secretary of State (Politico, ABC News, NY Times).
Tags: Foreign Policy, US Politics, This question was closed on  'Rex Tillerson' with an end date of 13 December 2016 (CNN, Newsweek)., See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
Question opened: 2016-12-09; closed: 2016-12-13
Options: John Bolton, Bob Corker, Rudy Giuliani, Dana Rohrabacher, Mitt Romney, Rex Tillerson, Someone else
Answer: Rex Tillerson
Question: Will The Birth of a Nation be nominated for a Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture - Drama?
The Birth of a Nation tells the story of Nat Turner, who led an uprising of slaves in Virginia in 1831 (Fox Searchlight Pictures, Rotten Tomatoes, IMDb). Nominations for the 74th Annual Golden Globe Awards will be announced on 12 December 2016 at 8:00am EST (Golden Globe Awards).
Tags: Entertainment, This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 11 December 2016. Birth of  Nation was not nominated for "Best Motion Picture". (LA Times), See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
Question opened: 2016-11-04; closed: 2016-12-11
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Who will win Austria's upcoming presidential election?
Question opened: 2016-08-09; closed: 2016-12-04
Options: Norbert Hofer, Alexander Van der Bellen, None of the above
Answer: Alexander Van der Bellen
Question: Will North Carolina Governor Pat McCrory (R) be re-elected this November?
Question opened: 2016-06-03; closed: 2016-11-08
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: How many worker protests will the China Labor Bulletin record from 1 May 2016 to 1 November 2016?
Question opened: 2016-04-19; closed: 2016-10-31
Options: Between 1,200 and 2,000, inclusive, Between 3,000 and 5,000, inclusive, More than 5,000, Fewer than 1,200, More than 2,000 but less than 3,000
Answer: Fewer than 1,200
Question: Will Turkey impose capital controls before 1 December 2016 ?
Question opened: 2015-11-24; closed: 2016-11-30
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will the settlement price of the January 2017 Dubai/Oman Crude Oil futures contract be on 30 November 2016?
Question opened: 2016-08-31; closed: 2016-11-30
Options: Less than $40, Between $40 and $50, inclusive, More than $50 but less than $60, $60 or more
Answer: Between $40 and $50, inclusive
Question: Will Alibaba's market capitalisation exceed Tencent's at any point between 23 November 2016 and 1 June 2017?
Alibaba, an e-commerce goliath, and Tencent, a gaming company best known for its messaging and payments app WeChat, are two of the most valuable technology companies in China (CNBC, The World in 2017). Bloomberg provides a daily snapshot of market-capitalisation figures in the list of financial indicators below their price graphs: Bloomberg: Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd, Bloomberg: Tencent Holdings Ltd.
Tags: Business, This question was closed with the correct answer 'Yes' with an end date of 28 November 2016. Alibaba’s market capitalisation exceeded Tencent’s on 28 November., See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
Question opened: 2016-11-22; closed: 2016-11-28
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Who will win Season 23 of Dancing with the Stars?
Season 23 of Dancing with the Stars continues on Monday nights on ABC.
Tags: Entertainment, This question was closed with the correct answer "Laurie Hernandez and Valentin Chmerkovskiy" with an end date of 22 November 2016 (ESPN, People, Entertainment Weekly)., See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
Question opened: 2016-11-04; closed: 2016-11-22
Options: Marilu Henner & Derek Hough, Laurie Hernandez & Valentin Chmerkovskiy, James Hinchcliffe & Sharna Burgess, Calvin Johnson Jr. & Lindsay Arnold, Terra Jolé & Sasha Farber, Jana Kramer & Gleb Savchenko
Answer: Laurie Hernandez & Valentin Chmerkovskiy
Question: (Conditional) If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination, which party will win the U.S. presidential election?
Question opened: 2016-02-24; closed: 2016-11-08
Options: Republican, Other, Democrat
Answer: Republican
Question: Will Senator Richard Burr (R-NC) be re-elected this November?
Question opened: 2016-09-30; closed: 2016-11-08
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Who will be elected senator from Nevada this November?
Question opened: 2016-09-30; closed: 2016-11-08
Options: Catherine Cortez Masto (D), Joe Heck (R), None of the above
Answer: Catherine Cortez Masto (D)
Question: Will the winner of the 2016 presidential election win the popular vote by 10 or more percentage points?
Question opened: 2016-09-02; closed: 2016-11-08
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Senator Pat Toomey (R-PA) be re-elected this November?
Question opened: 2016-08-12; closed: 2016-11-08
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Which presidential candidate will win Virginia?
Question opened: 2016-07-29; closed: 2016-11-08
Options: Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Someone else
Answer: Hillary Clinton