jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: What will be the Bank of England's Bank Rate at close of business on 15 December 2022?
As the UK grapples with inflation like much of the world, the Bank of England increased its benchmark Bank Rate by 0.5% in August 2022, the largest increase since 1997 (CNBC, Guardian). The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets the Bank Rate, and raised it to 1.75% at its August 2022 meeting (Bank of England - Bank Rate, Bank of England - August 2022 MPC Minutes). The MPC is scheduled to meet on 15 September 2022, 3 November 2022, and 15 December 2022 (Bank of England - MPC Schedule).
Tags: Finance, Economic Policy, Economic Indicators, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-08-19; closed: 2022-12-15
Options: Less than 2.00%, Between 2.00% and 2.25%, inclusive, More than 2.25% but less than 3.00%, Between 3.00% and 3.25%, inclusive, More than 3.25%
Answer: More than 3.25%
Question: How far will France advance in the FIFA World Cup 2022?
The 2022 Men's FIFA World Cup is scheduled to take place in Qatar from 21 November 2022 to 18 December 2022, where France will try for its second consecutive championship (FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022). Thirty-two teams will qualify to compete, with France in Group D (FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 - Final Draw/Groups, FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 - Match Schedule). If the 2022 World Cup is canceled or postponed beyond 2022, the question would be voided.
Tags: Business, Sports, Entertainment
Question opened: 2022-06-03; closed: 2022-12-14
Options: Group Stage, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semi-finals (3rd or 4th Place), Finals (1st or 2nd Place)
Answer: Finals (1st or 2nd Place)
Question: At close of business on 14 December 2022, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 2 November 2022?
The US federal funds rate is the interest rate charged for overnight lending among financial institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve and sets the base rate for borrowing costs across the financial system (Federal Reserve). The target range for the federal funds rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Its December meeting is scheduled for 13-14 December 2022.
Tags: Business, Economic Policy, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-07-29; closed: 2022-12-14
Options: Lower, Same, Higher
Answer: Higher
Question: What will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for "Food" in November 2022?
Food prices in the US and around the world are rising quickly due to various factors, including Russia's invasion of Ukraine (NY Post, USDA Economic Research Service). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2022 and the outcome determined using the 12-month percentage change as first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for "Food," expected in December 2022 (BLS, select "Food"). For November 2021, the change was 6.1%.
Tags: Business, Society, Economic Indicators, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2022-05-27; closed: 2022-12-01
Options: Less than 5.0%, Between 5.0% and 7.5%, inclusive, More than 7.5% but less than 10.0%, Between 10.0% and 12.5%, inclusive, More than 12.5% but less than 15.0%, 15.0% or more
Answer: Between 10.0% and 12.5%, inclusive
Question: Before 11 March 2023, will American basketball player Brittney Griner leave Russia?
Amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, the US is reportedly negotiating for the release of Brittney Griner and other Americans imprisoned in Russia (ABC News, ESPN).
Tags: Foreign Policy, US Politics, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-11-11; closed: 2022-12-08
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Will Pedro Castillo cease to be the president of the Peru before 1 January 2024?
Left-wing President José Pedro Castillo Terrones won a close election in 2021 and has faced various challenges while in office (AP, US News & World Report, Voice of America).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-11-11; closed: 2022-12-07
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Who will win the US Senate election for Georgia in 2022?
With the US Senate evenly divided going into the 2022 elections, the GOP is defending 20 seats while Democrats are defending 14 this November (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2022-03-18; closed: 2022-12-06
Options: The Democratic Party candidate, The Republican Party candidate, Someone else
Answer: The Democratic Party candidate
Question: How far will the United States advance in the FIFA World Cup 2022?
The 2022 Men's FIFA World Cup is scheduled to take place in Qatar from 21 November 2022 to 18 December 2022 (FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022). Thirty-two teams will qualify to compete, with the US in Group B (FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 - Final Draw/Groups, FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 - Match Schedule). If the 2022 World Cup is canceled or postponed beyond 2022, the question would be voided.
Tags: Business, Sports, Entertainment
Question opened: 2022-05-13; closed: 2022-12-03
Options: Group Stage, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semi-finals (3rd or 4th Place), Finals (1st or 2nd Place)
Answer: Round of 16
Question: What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 2 December 2022, according to CoinMarketCap?
The cryptocurrency market has been hit hard in the second quarter of 2022 (NPR, CNBC). The outcome will be determined using the last value dated 2 December 2022 (PT) as reported by CoinMarketCap under "Total Cryptocurrency Market Cap" (CoinMarketCap, set "Zoom" to "7d").
Tags: Business, Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2022-06-24; closed: 2022-12-02
Options: Less than $400 billion, Between $400 billion and $800 billion, inclusive, More than $800 billion but less than $1.2 trillion, Between $1.2 trillion and $1.6 trillion, inclusive, More than $1.6 trillion but less than $2.0 trillion, Between $2.0 trillion and $2.4 trillion, inclusive, More than $2.4 trillion
Answer: More than $800 billion but less than $1.2 trillion
Question: What will be the value of the Green Markets Weekly North American Fertilizer Price Index for the week from 2 December 2022?
Fertilizer costs in the US have skyrocketed to historic highs in recent months (Farm Bureau, CNBC, Bloomberg). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by Green Markets (Green Markets).
Tags: Business, Society, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2022-04-01; closed: 2022-12-02
Options: Less than 700.00, Between 700.00 and 900.00, inclusive, More than 900.00 but less than 1,100.00, Between 1,100.00 and 1,300.00, inclusive, More than 1,300.00 but less than 1,500.00, Between 1,500.00 and 1,700.00, inclusive, More than 1,700.00
Answer: Between 700.00 and 900.00, inclusive
Question: How many total hurricanes will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2022 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?
Researchers at Colorado State University have predicted an "above-normal" Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from 1 June 2022 to 30 November 2022  (NPR, CSU Tropical Weather & Climate Research). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2022 and the outcome determined using categorizations provided by the National Hurricane Center no later than 16 December 2022 (National Hurricane Center, National Hurricane Center - Reports).
Tags: Environment
Question opened: 2022-05-06; closed: 2022-12-01
Options: 3 or fewer, Between 4 and 6, Between 7 and 9, Between 10 and 12, Between 13 and 15, 16 or more
Answer: Between 7 and 9
Question: Between 29 April 2022 and 30 November 2022, will North Korea detonate a nuclear device?
After launching an ICBM for the first time since 2017, there are concerns that North Korea may test another nuclear weapon (AP, CNN). North Korea's most recent nuclear detonation was in 2017 (BBC).
Tags: Technology, Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2022-04-29; closed: 2022-12-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 1 December 2022?
The Protocol is an agreement made during Brexit negotiations intended to avoid a "hard border" between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland, in which Article 16 governs either party taking unilateral action (BBC, CNBC, Guardian). The question would close upon the UK or EU notifying the Joint Committee under the terms of Annex 7 of the Protocol (Protocol on Ireland/Northern Ireland).
Tags: Business, Economic Policy, Foreign Policy, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-08-26; closed: 2022-12-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 December 2022, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea?
Tensions between the US and Iran remain high (NBC News, Guardian). A lethal confrontation is one that results in at least one fatality (total, not each) for the national military forces of either side. For the purposes of this question, Iran's national military forces include the Revolutionary Guard Corps and Law Enforcement Forces. A lethal confrontation taking place in Iranian airspace or international airspace over the sea would count.
Tags: Foreign Policy, US Politics, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-01-21; closed: 2022-12-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 30 November 2022?
A slew of factors, including inflation, interest rates, and the war in Ukraine, have pushed equities down from record highs at the beginning of the year (Investing.com, CNBC). The outcome will be determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED).
Tags: Business, Finance, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-04-15; closed: 2022-11-30
Options: Less than 3,900, Between 3,900 and 4,175, inclusive, More than 4,175 but less than 4,450, Between 4,450 and 4,725, inclusive, More than 4,725 but less than 5,000, 5,000 or more
Answer: Between 3,900 and 4,175, inclusive
Question: Will the spread between US high-yield corporate bonds and US Treasuries reach or exceed 8.50% before 1 December 2022?
As central banks increase interest rates amid recession fears, borrowing costs for "high-yield" bonds (aka junk bonds) could continue to rise (NASDAQ, Yahoo!, Investopedia). The outcome will be determined using Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database for "ICE BofA US High Yield Index Option-Adjusted Spread" (FRED). For 29 June 2022, the spread was 5.62%.
Tags: Business, Finance, Society, Economic Indicators, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-07-01; closed: 2022-12-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the price of Bitcoin on 30 November 2022?
The outcome will be determined using the last price dated 30 November 2022 (PT) as reported by Coindesk.
Tags: Business, Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2021-11-23; closed: 2022-11-30
Options: Less than $30,000.00, Between $30,000.00 and $50,000.00, inclusive, More than $50,000.00 but less than $70,000.00, Between $70,000.00 and $90,000.00, inclusive, More than $90,000.00 but less than $110,000.00, $110,000.00 or more
Answer: Less than $30,000.00
Question: Before 1 December 2022, will the Women's Tennis Association (WTA) announce the lifting of its suspension of WTA tournaments in China and Hong Kong?
After tennis star Peng Shuai accused a high-ranking Chinese political official of sexual assault on social media and was subsequently hidden from public view, the WTA announced the immediate suspension of all WTA tournaments in China, including Hong Kong, in concern for her safety (NPR, WTA, ESPN). When the lifting of the suspension would take effect is immaterial, and a partial lifting would count. For the purposes of this question, Macau is considered a part of China.
Tags: Business, Society, Sports, Foreign Policy
Question opened: 2021-12-17; closed: 2022-12-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?
Talks between Russia and Ukraine are underway (CNBC, AP). A signed or announced agreement must be acknowledged by both Russia and Ukraine to count. The Ukrainian government as recognized by the European Union must be party to the agreement to count. An armistice or a ceasefire of indefinite duration would count and must include the whole of Ukraine. Time-limited agreements (e.g., 72-hour ceasefire) would not count. The date an agreement would take effect is immaterial.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-03-18; closed: 2022-12-01
Options: Before 1 June 2022, Between 1 June 2022 and 31 July 2022, Between 1 August 2022 and 30 September 2022, Between 1 October 2022 and 30 November 2022, Not before 1 December 2022
Answer: Not before 1 December 2022
Question: What percentage of the vote will the Republican candidate win in the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election?
The incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott is set to face Democratic former US Representative Beto O'Rourke in the 2022 gubernatorial election (The Hill, Texas Tribune, FiveThirtyEight).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2022-07-29; closed: 2022-11-09
Options: 50.0% or less and will not win the election, 50.0% or less but will win the election, More than 50.0% but less than 55.0%, 55.0% or more
Answer: More than 50.0% but less than 55.0%
Question: Which of the following major cryptocurrencies will perform best between 19 May 2022 and 29 November 2022?
In the event of an apparent tie, the question will close on the cryptocurrency with the larger market cap.
Tags: Business, Finance, Technology, The outcome will be determined by data from CoinDesk, using the "1y" chart, by dividing the price dated 29 November 2022 (PT) by the price dated 19 May 2022 (PT), which can be found here:, Bitcoin (CoinDesk - Bitcoin): $30,280.67, Cardano (Ada) (CoinDesk - Ada): $0.532500, Ethereum (CoinDesk - Ethereum): $2,017.27, Solana (CoinDesk - Solana): $52.12, XRP (Ripple) (CoinDesk - XRP): $0.414390
Question opened: 2022-05-20; closed: 2022-11-29
Options: Bitcoin, Cardano (Ada), Ethereum, Solana, XRP (Ripple)
Answer: XRP (Ripple)
Question: How many total confirmed cases of monkeypox will be reported in the US through 18 November 2022?
On 4 August 2022, the US declared the ongoing outbreak of monkeypox infections a public health emergency (NPR). The question will be suspended on 18 November 2022 and the outcome determined using data as first reported by Our World in Data through and including 18 November 2022 (Our World in Data). As of 17 August 2022, there were 13,452 confirmed cases of monkeypox in the US.
Tags: Society, Health, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-08-19; closed: 2022-11-19
Options: Fewer than 25,000, Between 25,000 and 40,000, inclusive, More than 40,000 but fewer than 55,000, Between 55,000 and 70,000, inclusive, More than 70,000 but fewer than 85,000, Between 85,000 and 100,000 inclusive, More than 100,000 but fewer than 115,000, Between 115,000 and 130,000, inclusive, More than 130,000
Answer: Between 25,000 and 40,000, inclusive
Question: What will be the total number of new cases of COVID-19 in the US between 24 October 2022 and 23 November 2022?
The question will be suspended on 23 November 2022 and the outcome determined using COVID-19 confirmed cases data as recorded in the Johns Hopkins University (JHU) CSSE GitHub data repository for 24 October 2022 through and including 23 November 2022 (https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/blob/master/csse_covid_19_data/csse_covid_19_time_series/time_series_covid19_confirmed_US.csv, right-click on the “Download” button for options to save the text file of data to your computer). The total will be calculated by taking the sum of the 23 October 2022 column and subtracting it from the sum of the 23 November 2022 column, inclusive of all rows. The data will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 28 November 2022. As of the launch of this question, the total number of new cases of COVID-19 between 24 October 2021 and 23 November 2021 was reported as 2,513,325. If the named source changes the way it presents the data, we will make the appropriate modifications to the resolution instructions.
Tags: Technology, Society, Health
Question opened: 2022-10-24; closed: 2022-11-24
Options: Fewer than 500,000, Between 500,000 and 1,000,000, inclusive, More than 1,000,000 but fewer than 1,500,000, Between 1,500,000 and 2,250,000, inclusive, More than 2,250,000 but fewer than 3,250,000, Between 3,250,000 and 4,750,000, inclusive, More than 4,750,000 but fewer than 6,500,000, 6,500,000 or more
Answer: More than 1,000,000 but fewer than 1,500,000
Question: How many cumulative confirmed cases of monkeypox will be reported in the world as of 20 November 2022?
Since early May 2022, monkeypox infections spread beyond the west and central African countries where it is endemic (Pan American Health Organization, CNBC, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 20 November 2022 and the outcome determined using data through and including 20 November 2022 as first reported by Our World in Data (OWiD) (OWiD). As of 5 October 2022, there were 70,993 cumulative confirmed cases of monkeypox in the world.
Tags: Society, Health
Question opened: 2022-10-10; closed: 2022-11-21
Options: Fewer than 76,000, Between 76,000 and 88,000, inclusive, More than 88,000 but fewer than 100,000, Between 100,000 and 112,000, inclusive, More than 112,000 but fewer than 124,000, 124,000 or more
Answer: Between 76,000 and 88,000, inclusive
Question: Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel the People's Republic of China (PRC) and those of any other country before 28 November 2022?
China is dealing with tensions with various countries, including India, Japan, Taiwan, and the US (US News & World Report, Voice of America, Council on Foreign Relations). A lethal confrontation is one that results in at least one fatality (total, not each) for the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement of either side. For the purposes of this question, Taiwan is considered another country.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2022-09-12; closed: 2022-11-28
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the market capitalization of the stablecoin Tether on 27 November 2022?
In the wake of the collapse of the stablecoin TerraUSD, which was intended to be pegged to the US dollar, the largest stablecoin by market capitalization, Tether, has been hit with volatility and withdrawals (CoinDesk, CNBC). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by CoinMarketCap under "Historical Data" for Tether (USDT) for 27 November 2022 (CoinMarketCap, see "Market Cap").
Tags: Business, Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2022-05-27; closed: 2022-11-27
Options: Less than $40 billion, Between $40 billion and $50 billion, inclusive, More than $50 billion but less than $60 billion, Between $60 billion and $70 billion, inclusive, More than $70 billion but less than $80 billion, Between $80 billion and $90 billion, inclusive, More than $90 billion but less than $100 billion, $100 billion or more
Answer: Between $60 billion and $70 billion, inclusive
Question: Will the city council building in Kherson, Ukraine, be under Ukrainian control on 25 November 2022, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
Fighting has been reported near the Ukrainian city of Kherson in the south of the country, which is currently under Russian occupation (AP, Politico, Al Jazeera). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by the Institute for the Study of War's (ISW's) interactive map of Russia's invasion of Ukraine (ISW). The address is Ushakova Avenue, 37, Kherson (Ushakova prospekt 37, Kherson, Khersonska oblast, UKR), to which you can zoom on the interactive map by clicking the search button on the upper left of the screen and entering the address. Whether the building is damaged or destroyed would be immaterial.
Tags: Society, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2022-10-24; closed: 2022-11-25
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Will President Volodymyr Zelensky either flee Ukraine or cease to be its president before 25 November 2022?
Ukrainian forces have blunted Russian ambitions in its invasion of Ukraine, but the war in the country continues (CNN, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Newsweek). Whether or not Zelensky has fled Ukraine will be determined using credible open source media reporting.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Leader Entry/Exit, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2022-04-15; closed: 2022-11-25
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: How many thousand tonnes (kt) of paper and paperboard will be produced globally in 2021?
Paper and paperboard products include newsprint, copy paper, and newspapers; multiple factors have been influencing paper production in recent years (Fastmarkets, Fisher International). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2021 and the outcome determined using data published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO.org). The most recent report can be obtained by selecting "Pulp and paper capacities, 2019-2024." The relevant data can be found in the table titled "PAPER AND PAPERBOARD (4)" on page 68 under the "Total Product" column. In 2019, the total reported production was 333,726 thousand tonnes (kt).
Tags: Business, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2021-06-24; closed: 2022-01-01
Options: Fewer than 320,000 kt, Between 320,000 kt and 340,000 kt, inclusive, More than 340,000 kt but fewer than 360,000 kt, 360,000 kt or more
Answer: More than 340,000 kt but fewer than 360,000 kt
Question: Will former Governor Sarah Palin win the general election for Alaska's At Large Congressional District in 2022?
All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Democrats fighting to maintain control of the closely divided House (270 to Win, Ballotpedia). The outcome of the 2022 special election for the At Large House seat is immaterial.
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2022-08-19; closed: 2022-11-09
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the pause on US federal student loan repayment be extended before 1 January 2023?
As President Biden's loan forgiveness plan faces major headwinds in the courts, there is speculation that there may be a new extension of the federal student loan repayment pause, scheduled to end on 31 December 2022, which has been in effect since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic (US Dept. of Education, CBS News, CNBC).
Tags: Finance, Society, US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-11-18; closed: 2022-11-22
Options: Yes, through 30 June 2023 or earlier, Yes, through 1 July 2023 or later, No
Answer: Yes, through 30 June 2023 or earlier
Question: What will be the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the US for the week ending 21 November 2022?
Gasoline prices have fallen considerably from their June 2022 peak, but supply pressures remain (Axios, CNN, NASDAQ). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) for "Weekly U.S. All Grades All Formulations Retail Gasoline Prices" (EIA, see table).
Tags: Business, Society, Economic Indicators, Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2022-09-26; closed: 2022-11-21
Options: Less than 3.000, Between 3.000 and 3.350, inclusive, More than 3.350 but less than 3.700, Between 3.700 and 4.050, inclusive, More than 4.050 but less than 4.400, Between 4.400 and 4.750, inclusive, More than 4.7500
Answer: Between 3.700 and 4.050, inclusive