jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: Which country will win the most gold medals at the 2018 Winter Olympic Games?
The 2018 Olympic Games are being held in Pyeongchang, South Korea from 7 - 25 February (Olympic.org). The 2018 medal standings are being updated here. At the 2014 Winter Olympics, Russia, Norway, Canada, and the United States were the top four in the gold medal count; the Netherlands and Germany tied for fifth (Business Insider). In the event of a tie in the gold medal count, we will use the total number of medals to serve as a tiebreaker, followed by the total silver medals and then bronze medals, if needed.
Tags: Society, Sports
Question opened: 2018-02-15; closed: 2018-02-25
Options: Norway, Canada, United States, Netherlands, Germany, Another country
Answer: Norway
Question: Will Nathan Chen win a gold medal at the 2018 Winter Olympic Games?
Nathan Chen was the only undefeated individual skater in the world this season in individual competition and will compete for an individual medal on 16-17 February (Olympic.org). He "bombed in his Olympic debut Friday [9 February]" (USA Today).
Tags: Society, Sports
Question opened: 2018-02-15; closed: 2018-02-21
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will North Korea send an official athletic delegation to participate in the 2018 Winter Olympics in South Korea?
The Democratic People's Republic of Korea has athletes that could be eligible to participate (Korea Times, Reuters) in the 2018 Winter Olympics hosted by South Korea. However, North Korea has not yet announced whether it will send an athletic delegation to the event (Yonhap News).
Tags: Sports, Foreign Policy, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-12-12; closed: 2018-02-25
Options: Yes, and a North Korean athlete/team will win a medal, Yes, but a North Korean athlete/team will not win a medal, No
Answer: Yes, but a North Korean athlete/team will not win a medal
Question: What will be the 2017 industry-wide average cost of Li-ion batteries used in battery-powered electric vehicles?
This question will be resolved using the Mack Institute's analysis for 2017, which will replicate an approach published in a 2015 Nature Climate Change study.  In 2016, using a similar method, the Mack Institute found that the average price had declined to $282 per kWh (Mack Institute).  Lowering the cost of battery packs through R&D investments, manufacturing improvements, and economies of scale is a major consideration for bringing down the price of battery-powered electric vehicles (BEVs) and making them more competitive with gasoline-fueled internal combustion engines (Bloomberg, The Guardian).
Tags: Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2017-07-21; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Less than $215 kWh, Between $215 and $230 per kWh, inclusive, More than $230 but less than $245 per kWh, $245 per kWh or more
Answer: More than $230 but less than $245 per kWh
Question: As of 31 January 2018, what percent of funds of the Vanguard 500 Index Fund will be holdings of Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, or Alphabet?
Outcome will be determined by summing the % of funds from Apple Inc. (AAPL),  Microsoft Corp. (MSFT), Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), Facebook Inc. Class A (FB),  Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOG), and Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL)  on Vanguard's 500 Index Fund's Investor Share Page. Question will be suspended on 31 January 2018 and resolved when the relevant data is released.  Because the Vanguard 500 Index Fund tracks the S&P500, the percent of the funds for each company provides an indication of that company's global market share (Investopedia).
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2018-01-17; closed: 2018-02-01
Options: Less than 12.00%, Between 12.00% and 13.00%, inclusive, More than 13.00% but less than 14.00%, Between 14.00% and 15.00%, inclusive, More than 15.00%
Answer: More than 13.00% but less than 14.00%
Question: What will be the end-of-day closing value for the euro against the U.S. dollar on 15 February 2018?
Some worry the value of the dollar may fall in coming months as the Trump administration focuses on restructuring trade agreements (Reuters). Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2017-02-16; closed: 2018-02-15
Options: Less than $0.90, Between $0.90 and $1.00, inclusive, More than $1.00 but less than $1.10, Between $1.10 and $1.20, inclusive, More than $1.20
Answer: More than $1.20
Question: What will be the 12-month percentage change in the Core Consumer Price Index for January 2018?
The Core CPI is calculated by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and refers to the All items less food and energy category . The question will be suspended on 31 January 2018 and resolved when the data are first released.
Tags: Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2017-12-01; closed: 2018-02-02
Options: Less than 1.6%, Between 1.6% and 1.8%, inclusive, More than 1.8% but less than 2.0%, Between 2.0% and 2.2%, inclusive, More than 2.2%
Answer: Between 1.6% and 1.8%, inclusive
Question: Will Jacob Zuma cease to be president of South Africa before 1 July 2018?
A controversial cabinet reshuffling brings new protests for the South African President to step down (BBC, Al Jazeera, Reuters). In the event that Zuma reportedly disappears or flees the capital, a three-week waiting period will be observed, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of his disappearance or exodus. If Zuma returns in the interim, the question will remain open.
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-06-13; closed: 2018-02-14
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Before 1 July 2018, will Uber, or any of its subsidiaries, agree to a settlement or be found liable for trade secrets violations in the case brought by Waymo in the Northern District of California?
In February, Waymo, a subsidiary of Alphabet (Google's parent company), filed suit against Uber Technologies and some of its subsidiaries for stealing information related to autonomous vehicle development (The Atlantic). For more information on Waymo LLC v Uber Technologies, Inc. et all (3:2017cv00939), currently before Federal District Judge William Alsup, see: Waymo-Uber Complaint. Settlements reached that do not include an admission of liability will still resolve the question as "yes."  Subsequent appeals will not affect the resolution.
Tags: Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2017-07-21; closed: 2018-02-09
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: When will Nasser Zefzafi be released from prison?
The arrest of Nasser Zefzafi has become a flashpoint of recent protests in Morocco's Rif (Aljazeera, The Economist, Daily Star).
Tags: Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-08-01; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Before 1 October 2017, Between 1 October 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive, Not before 1 January 2018
Answer: Not before 1 January 2018
Question: Which team will win Super Bowl LII?
Super Bowl LII is scheduled for 4 February 2018 (NFL).
Tags: Sports, The Philadelphia Eagles won Super Bowl LII
Question opened: 2018-01-17; closed: 2018-02-05
Options: Jacksonville Jaguars, Minnesota Vikings, New England Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles
Answer: Philadelphia Eagles
Question: Who will win the special election for the Washington State Senate's 45th District?
A special election for the Washington State Senate's 45th district is attracting national attention as the next electoral flashpoint between Democrats and Republicans.  If Democrats win, they would gain total control of Washington's state government, making it the party's seventh state government trifecta in the country. (Politico, The Seattle Times)
Tags: US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2017-08-11; closed: 2017-11-08
Options: Manka Dhingra (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5%, Manka Dhingra (Democrat) by a margin of 5% or less, Jinyoung Lee Englund (Republican) by a margin of 5% or less, Jinyoung Lee Englund (Republican) by a margin greater than 5%, None of the above
Answer: Manka Dhingra (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5%
Question: How many refugees and migrants will arrive in Europe by sea in 2017?
Many migrants and refugees are still making the dangerous trip across the Mediterranean to Europe (Washington Post, World Health Organization Europe). This question will be resolved using the data available on (UNHCR's Emergency Response Page for the Mediterranean). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2017 and will be scored based on the data available on 31 January 2018.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-02-14; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Less than 100,000, Between 100,000 and 300,000, inclusive, More than 300,000 but less than 500,000, Between 500,000 and 750,000, inclusive, More than 750,000
Answer: Between 100,000 and 300,000, inclusive
Question: What will be the closing price of Bitcoin for 26 January 2018, according to CNBC?
The question will resolve based on the closing price reported at CNBC using the 1Y graph. The closing price can be found by hovering your cursor over the relevant date.
Tags: Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2017-10-27; closed: 2018-01-26
Options: Less than $1,000, Between $1,000 and $4,000, inclusive, More than $4,000 but less than $7,000, Between $7,000 and $10,000, inclusive, More than $10,000
Answer: More than $10,000
Question: What will be the daily closing spot price of Brent crude oil (USD per barrel) on 20 December 2017, according to the U.S. EIA?
This question will be resolved using the daily closing spot price for wholesale Brent crude oil reported by the Energy Information Administration.
Tags: Finance, Environment, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2017-12-13; closed: 2017-12-20
Options: Less than $60.00, Between $60.00 and $63.00, inclusive, More than $63.00 and less than $66.00, Between $66.00 and $69.00, inclusive, More than $69.00
Answer: More than $63.00 and less than $66.00
Question: Which team will win the 2017-18 College Football Playoff National Championship?
Four teams will compete for the College Football Playoff National Championship.  The two semifinal games will be played on 1 January 2018 and the championship game will be played on 8 January 2018.
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2017-12-08; closed: 2018-01-08
Options: Clemson, Oklahoma, Georgia, Alabama
Answer: Alabama
Question: Will Apple's end-of-day market capitalization exceed $1 trillion before 1 January 2018?
Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day "Market Cap" figure reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg)
Tags: Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2017-06-16; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: How many forecasters will join the Global Judgment Challenge on Good Judgment Open before 8 January, 2018?
Good Judgment Open's Global Judgment Challenge, sponsored by CNN's "Fareed Zakaria GPS," will be featured on the program twice, on 31 December 2017 and 7 January 2018 (Global Judgment Challenge, Fareed Zakaria GPS). "Fareed Zakaria GPS" was the second most popular cable news show on weekends in Q3 2017 (AdWeek)
Tags: Entertainment
Question opened: 2017-12-29; closed: 2018-01-08
Options: Fewer than 1,000, Between 1,000 and 2,000, inclusive, More than 2,000 but fewer than 3,000, Between 3,000 and 4,000, inclusive, More than 4,000
Answer: More than 2,000 but fewer than 3,000
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will Iran's monthly oil production exceed 4 million barrels per day?
Question opened: 2016-11-01; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Who will be elected governor of Virginia in November 2017?
The Virginia gubernatorial race will take place on 7 November 2017.  The campaign has drawn national attention and money, with both Democrats and Republicans viewing the contest as a referendum on President Trump (The Washington Post, The Washington Post, The Hill).
Tags: US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2017-08-11; closed: 2017-11-08
Options: Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5%, Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin of 5% or less, Ed Gillespie (Republican) by a margin of 5% or less, Ed Gillespie (Republican) by a margin greater than 5%, None of the above
Answer: Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5%
Question: Will an unmanned aerial vehicle be used by a non-governmental or intra-governmental organization to deliver humanitarian aid to a conflict zone in 2017?
The use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to deliver relief in humanitarian crises is the object of increasing attention, including several ongoing initiatives (Swiss Foundation for Mine Action, Handy Shipping Guide, The National, CNBC Africa). Humanitarian aid delivery to conflict zones has been impeded in places like Syria (Al Jazeera, The Guardian), Ukraine (BBC, Amnesty International), Burma (Time Magazine, Human Rights Watch), and South Sudan (NPR, US News).
Tags: Technology
Question opened: 2017-02-21; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?
In April 2017, Senate Republicans eliminated the filibuster for the confirmation of Justices of the Supreme Court by changing the rules so that debate on nominees could be ended with a simple majority vote rather than a three-fifths majority (Reuters). The removal of the filibuster to block legislation may be next (NY Times).
Tags: US Politics
Question opened: 2017-04-28; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will it be announced that Twitter Inc. is being acquired?
Twitter has been the target of acquisition rumors with possible suitors including Google and Salesforce (Redcode, CNBC).
Tags: Technology
Question opened: 2017-05-09; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Catalan pro-independence parties hold a majority of seats after the upcoming regional elections?
Examples of current and past pro-independence parties include the Catalan European Democratic Party (PDECat), the Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC),  the Popular Unity Candidacy (CUP),  Catalonia Yes (CatSi), and Democrats of Catalonia (DC). Regional elections are scheduled for 21 December 2017 (NY Times, Reuters).
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2017-12-21
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: What will be the short-term interest rate for Mexico (MEX) in December 2017?
This question will be resolved using monthly data reported by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Data is retrievable on the 'Short-term interest rates' table on the web site. The relevant country can be found in the HIGHLIGHTED COUNTRIES or LOCATION field, and the relevant time period can be found in the TIME field. Values will be rounded to the nearest one-hundredth. Question will be resolved when the data is released, likely the month after the period of interest.
Tags: Finance
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Less than 7.3, Between 7.3 and 7.5, inclusive, More than 7.5
Answer: More than 7.5
Question: What will be the short-term interest rate for Hungary (HUN) in December 2017?
This question will be resolved using monthly data reported by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OCED). Data is retrievable on the 'Short-term interest rates' table on the web site. The relevant country can be found in the HIGHLIGHTED COUNTRIES or LOCATION field, and the relevant time period can be found in the TIME field. Values will be rounded to the nearest one-hundredth. Question will be resolved when the data is released, likely the month after the period of interest.
Tags: Finance
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Less than 0.02, Between 0.02 and 0.30, inclusive, More than 0.30
Answer: Between 0.02 and 0.30, inclusive
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will the FCC cease to regulate broadband service providers as common carriers under Title II of the Communications Act?
Net neutrality made headlines in 2015 when the FCC issued rules that classified broadband service providers as common carriers under Title II of the Communications Act, which limited their ability to block or prioritize some content over others (NY Times). The FCC has decided to revisit the issue (NY Times) and invited interested parties to submit comments on the issue before a decision is made later this year (FCC, FCC, LA Times).
Tags: Technology, US Policy
Question opened: 2017-06-02; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration grant a waiver allowing Amazon to test its unmanned aerial vehicles?
Amazon completed its first drone delivery in the U.K., the debut of its unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) shipping service (The Guardian). U.S. commercial drone rules were finalized at the end of August 2016 (FAA). Among other things, they require operators to maintain visual line of site with the drones (FAA, Fortune). Since passing the regulation, U.S. regulators have been granting waivers for companies to test drone delivery (FAA). 7-Eleven, which became the first major company to use drones for deliveries in the U.S.,did so without a waiver because its drone operators maintained line of site for short range delivery (CNBC).
Tags: Technology
Question opened: 2017-01-06; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will SpaceX successfully relaunch an orbital-class booster within 24 hours of booster landing?
On 30 March 2017, SpaceX succesfully launched the first recycled orbital-class booster, marking the first time in the history of spaceflight that a single booster has been used on two separate missions (CNN, Ars Technica). Elon Musk has stated that his next goal is to turn the booster around for relaunch in 24 hours, a milestone he said could be accomplished before the end of the year (Reuters).  A relaunch that occurs within 24 hours of the booster landing, where the second stage of the rocket in the relaunch reaches low Earth orbit, will resolve this question as "Yes", regardless of whether the orbital-class booster lands after the second launch.
Tags: Technology
Question opened: 2017-04-14; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the end-of-day closing value of the Nikkei 225 Index on 29 December 2017?
Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2017-02-24; closed: 2017-11-29
Options: Less than 16,000, Between 16,000 and 18,000, inclusive, More than 18,000 but less than 20,000, Between 20,000 and 22,000, inclusive, More than 22,000
Answer: More than 22,000
Question: Will the S&P 500 fall 20% or more in 2017?
This question will close as "yes" if any end-of-day closing value of the S&P 500 is at least 20% lower than the highest recorded closing value of the index in 2017 up to that date. Outcome will be determined by comparing the end-of-day closing values reported by Bloomberg ( Bloomberg).
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2017-02-16; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will the end-of-day YTD return be for the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index on 29 December, 2017?
The outcome will be determined by the end-of-day "YTD Return" value reported by Bloomberg on 29 December, 2017.
Tags: Finance
Question opened: 2017-06-13; closed: 2017-12-29
Options: Less than -2.5%, Between -2.5% and 0.0%, inclusive, More than 0.0%, but less than +2.5%, Between +2.5% and +5.0%, inclusive, More than +5.0%
Answer: Between +2.5% and +5.0%, inclusive
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will Fitch, Moody's, or S&P cut the State of Illinois’ credit rating to junk status?
The question will close yes if Moody’s cuts its credit rating to Ba1, Fitch cuts its rating to BB+, or S&P cuts its rating to BB+ on any Illinois state general obligation bonds.  Despite passing a budget, the state of Illinois remains at risk of having its credit downgraded to junk status (Market Watch, Chicago Tribune).
Tags: Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2017-07-11; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: As of 30 November 2017, how many states, including D.C., will offer expanded Medicaid coverage to people meeting the Affordable Care Act's poverty requirements for expanded coverage?
The Affordable Care Act (ACA) allowed states to offer expanded Medicaid coverage to low-income people (Healthcare.gov). As of April 2017, thirty-one states and the District of Columbia are participating in the expansion program (NBC, Advisory Board, Forbes). States offering expanded Medicaid coverage under the ACA or a future program will count as long as the coverage is offered to those meeting the poverty requirements of ACA's expansion program.
Tags: US Politics
Question opened: 2017-04-28; closed: 2017-12-01
Options: Less than 32, 32, 33, 34, 35 or more
Answer: 32
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will the Chicago Board Options Exchange's CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) exceed 30?
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is a measure of the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options. Outcome will be determined based on the reported intraday values calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE).
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2017-06-13; closed: 2017-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 2018, will Tesla file for bankruptcy or begin restructuring its debt in a corporate workout?
Tesla has been faced with questions over its financial solvency over the years (Fortune,  SF Gate). Scrutiny increased with Tesla’s acquisition of SolarCity in 2016 (Bloomberg, Market Watch). Actions by Tesla or its wholly-owned subsidiaries, including SolarCity, will count, regardless of the country where the bankruptcy filing or corporate workout takes place. For more information on corporate workouts and bankruptcy proceedings see: FindLaw, Law 360
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2017-02-16; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2018, will South Korea file a World Trade Organization dispute against the United States related to solar panels?
South Korea has threatened to file a WTO complaint if the US imposes additional tariffs or import restrictions on solar panels (Reuters, Forbes). For more information on the dispute settlement process see: WTO.
Tags: Technology, Environment, Economic Policy
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the WHO confirm more than 10 cases of Marburg in 2017?
There have been confirmed cases of Marburg, a deadly virus similar to Ebola, for the first time since 2014 (World Health Organization, Time Magazine, CNN). Question will be resolved based on the latest WHO data available on 31 December 2017 (WHO).
Tags: Health
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2018-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Iran launch a medium,  intermediate, or intercontinental range ballistic missile or a satellite between 29 November 2017 and 29 December 2017?
The Trump administration declined to certify the Iranian nuclear deal, citing concerns about Iran's missile program (The Atlantic, Reuters).  Examples of previous launches include the September 2017 and March 2016 ballistic missile tests (CNN, BBC) and the July 2017 satellite launch (Reuters).  For more information on ballistic missiles of various ranges see Arms Control.
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2017-12-29
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 29 November 2017 and 29 December 2017, will Libya's Sharara oil field experience a production shutdown?
Libya's Sharara oil field, the country's largest, has been beset by production shutdowns (Al Arabiya, Reuters, Bloomberg).
Tags: Economic Indicators, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-11-29; closed: 2017-12-29
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No