jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: Which team will win the 2022 NBA Finals?
The 2021-22 NBA Finals is scheduled to conclude no later than 19 June 2022 (Sporting News, NBA).
Tags: Business, Sports
Question opened: 2021-11-05; closed: 2022-06-17
Options: Atlanta Hawks, Brooklyn Nets, Dallas Mavericks, Denver Nuggets, Golden State Warriors, Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Lakers, Miami Heat, Milwaukee Bucks, Philadelphia 76ers, Phoenix Suns, Utah Jazz, Another team
Answer: Golden State Warriors
Question: What will be the closing price of wheat in the US on 15 June 2022?
Agricultural commodity prices have been rising, and war in Ukraine and sanctions on Russia, both large wheat producers, may impact production (CNBC, ABC News). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by CNBC (CNBC). Wheat is priced per 5,000 bushels (CME).
Tags: Business, Society, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2022-02-25; closed: 2022-06-15
Options: Less than 700.00, Between 700.00 and 825.00, inclusive, More than 825.00 but less than 950.00, Between 950.00 and 1,075.00, inclusive, More than 1,075.00 but less than 1,200.00, inclusive, 1,200.00 or more
Answer: Between 950.00 and 1,075.00, inclusive
Question: At close of business on 15 June 2022, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 4 May 2022?
The US federal funds rate is the interest rate charged for overnight lending among financial institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve and sets the base rate for borrowing costs across the financial system (Federal Reserve). The target range for the federal funds rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Its May meeting is scheduled for 14-15 June 2022.
Tags: Finance, Economic Policy
Question opened: 2022-01-28; closed: 2022-06-15
Options: Lower, Same, Higher
Answer: Higher
Question: What will be the percentage change in the producer price index for writing and printing papers for May 2022 as compared to May 2021?
The question will be suspended on 31 May 2022 and the outcome determined using data as first provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for "Writing and printing papers" (Commodity code 0913-01) in May 2022, expected in June 2022 (BLS - PPI). For May 2021, the percentage change from May 2020 was 3.2% (BLS - PPI Detailed Report May 2021, see page 49). For historical data, visit https://www.bls.gov/ppi/. Under "PPI Databases," select "ONE SCREEN" from "Commodity Data including 'Headline' FD-ID indexes." For "1 Select a Group," select "09 Pulp, paper, and allied products." For "2 Select one or more Items," find and select "091301 Writing and printing papers." For "3 Select Seasonal Adjustment," leave only "Not Seasonally Adjusted" checked, then click "Get Data."
Tags: Business, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2021-06-24; closed: 2022-06-01
Options: Less than 1.0%, Between 1.0% and 2.5%, inclusive, More than 2.5% but less than 4.0%, Between 4.0% and 5.5%, inclusive, More than 5.5%
Answer: More than 5.5%
Question: What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for Jurassic World Dominion, according to Box Office Mojo?
Originally scheduled for release in 2021, Jurassic World Dominion is the third film in the current series (Total Film). The outcome will determined using data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the weekend of 10-12 June 2022 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released in theaters on 10 June 2022.
Tags: Business, Society, Entertainment
Question opened: 2022-03-18; closed: 2022-06-10
Options: Less than $100 million, Between $100 million and $150 million, inclusive, More than $150 million but less than $200 million, Between $200 million and $250 million, inclusive, More than $250 million
Answer: Between $100 million and $150 million, inclusive
Question: Between 4 February 2022 and 4 June 2022, what will be the highest seven-day average for daily new COVID-19 cases in New Zealand?
While New Zealand has fared relatively well in the COVID-19 pandemic, the rise of the Omicron variant has brought a new wave (Guardian, New Zealand Herald, covid19.govt.nz). The outcome will be determined using 7-day rolling average data as reported by Our World in Data (Our World in Data, parameters set in link ('New Zealand' selected on the left side, Metric set to 'Confirmed cases,' Interval set to '7-day rolling average,' and the 'Relative to Population' box unchecked)). Data for specific dates will not be evaluated for resolution until at least seven calendar days later (e.g., data for 1 March 2022 would not be evaluated until 8 March 2022). If the named sourced changes the way it presents the data, we will make the appropriate modifications to the resolution instructions.
Tags: Technology, Society, Health
Question opened: 2022-02-04; closed: 2022-06-04
Options: Less than 2,000, Between 2,000 and 5,000, inclusive, More than 5,000 but less that 10,000, Between 10,000 and 20,000, inclusive, More than 20,000 but less than 40,000, 40,000 or more
Answer: More than 20,000 but less than 40,000
Question: Between 8 March 2022 and 7 June 2022, will President Biden's approval rating fall below 38.5%?
The outcome will be determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). The question would close as of the day for which a daily estimate figure is below 38.5%, but only after confirming the daily estimate figure at least three days later.
Tags: Open
Question opened: 2022-03-15; closed: 2022-06-08
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the European Central Bank (ECB) announce it will discontinue its monthly net asset purchases under its Asset purchase program (APP) before 10 June 2022?
On 10 March 2022, the ECB announced it would end APP in the third quarter of 2022 if certain conditions were met (ECB - Monetary policy decisions 10 March 2022, CNBC). The outcome will be determined using press releases from the ECB on "Monetary policy decisions" (ECB - Press Releases). In its 10 March 2022 statement, the ECB stated that "Monthly net purchases under the APP will amount to €40 billion in April, €30 billion in May and €20 billion in June. The calibration of net purchases for the third quarter will be data-dependent and reflect its evolving assessment of the outlook. If the incoming data support the expectation that the medium-term inflation outlook will not weaken even after the end of its net asset purchases, the Governing Council will conclude net purchases under the APP in the third quarter." (ECB - Monetary policy decisions 10 March 2022). The date the bond buying would conclude is immaterial, as the question would close upon the announcement that the Governing Council has decided it will conclude the APP (e.g., the ECB announced in December 2021 that it would discontinue its Pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP) at the end of March 2022 (ECB - Monetary policy decisions 16 December 2021, Politico)). Conditional announcements (e.g., "If the incoming data support the expectation that the medium-term inflation outlook will not weaken even after the end of its net asset purchases") would not count. The ECB meeting calendar may be found here: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html.
Tags: Finance, Economic Policy, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-03-25; closed: 2022-06-09
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Will the Conservative Party hold a vote of no confidence in Boris Johnson in 2022?
Prime Minister Johnson is facing pushback from within his own Conservative Party in the wake of various scandals, including challenges to his leadership of the party (Sky News, France 24). If 15% of the Conservative Party members in parliament submit letters of no confidence to the "1922 Committee," a party leadership vote would be triggered (Sky News).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-02-04; closed: 2022-06-06
Options: Yes, and it will pass, Yes, but it will not pass, No
Answer: Yes, but it will not pass
Question: In its 2022 report, will the Board of Trustees for Medicare project the year of asset depletion of the Hospital Insurance trust fund ("HI," aka Medicare Part A) to be 2025 or before?
The Boards of Trustees for Medicare (also Boards) report annually to the Congress on the financial operations and actuarial status of the program (Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services). The board of trustees is expected to issue its 2022 report in the spring or summer of 2022. In its 2021 report, the board projected the year of asset depletion of the Hospital Insurance trust fund to be 2025 (Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services - 2021 Trustee Report, see page 6 in the report).
Tags: Health, US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2021-10-01; closed: 2022-06-02
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Rafael Nadal win the 2022 Men's French Open?
The 2022 French Open is scheduled for 16 May through 5 June 2022 (French Open).
Tags: Open
Question opened: 2022-03-15; closed: 2022-06-05
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: What percentage of Germany's population will be fully vaccinated against COVID-19 as of 1 June 2022?
As Germany faces record high number of COVID-19 infections, vaccination numbers have been object of special attention (Deutsche Welle, Guardian, Deutsche Welle). The question will be suspended on 31 May 2022 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Our World in Data for the "People fully vaccinated" metric, relative to population, as displayed here at approximately 5:00PM ET on 3 June 2022: https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations?country=DEU. For example, Germany's share of the population fully vaccinated against COVID-19 as of 14 November 2021 was 66.94%.
Tags: Society, Health, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2021-11-19; closed: 2022-06-01
Options: Less than 70.00%, Between 70.00% and 75.00%, inclusive, More than 75.00% but less than 80.00%, Between 80.00% and 85.00%, inclusive, More than 85.00%
Answer: More than 75.00% but less than 80.00%
Question: What will Russian President Vladimir Putin's approval rating be in May 2022, according to the Levada Center?
The outcome determined using data as first reported by the Levada Center for May 2022 (Levada, see "Putin's Approval Rating"). Russian President Vladimir Putin had an approval rating of 71% in February 2022, according to the Levada Center (see "Do you approve the activities of V. Putin as the President (Prime Minister) of Russia?" here: https://www.levada.ru/en/2022/02/18/approval-of-institutions-the-state-of-affairs-in-the-country-trust-in-politicians-2/).
Tags: Society, Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-03-11; closed: 2022-05-01
Options: Less than 40.0%, Between 40.0% and 50.0%, inclusive, More than 50.0% but less than 60.0%, Between 60.0% and 70.0%, inclusive, More than 70.0% but less than 80.0%, Between 80.0% and 90.0%, inclusive, More than 90.0%
Answer: Between 80.0% and 90.0%, inclusive
Question: Will the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for Top Gun: Maverick reach or exceed $45 million, according to Box Office Mojo?
Top Gun: Maverick is the first sequel to the 1986 blockbuster Top Gun (IMDb). The question will be suspended on 27 May 2022 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the Memorial Day weekend of 27-30 May 2022 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released in theaters on 27 May 2022.
Tags: Business, Entertainment
Question opened: 2022-04-29; closed: 2022-05-28
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: What will be Facebook's end-of-day market capitalization on 31 May 2022?
Facebook has come under renewed scrutiny with the leak of thousands of internal corporate documents (NPR). The outcome will be determined by the end-of-day "Market Cap" figure as reported by CNBC (CNBC).
Tags: Business, Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2021-10-07; closed: 2022-05-31
Options: Less than $600 billion, Between $600 billion and $850 billion, inclusive, More than $850 billion but less than $1.10 trillion, Between $1.10 trillion and $1.35 trillion, inclusive, More than $1.35 trillion
Answer: Less than $600 billion
Question: Between 2 May 2022 and 27 May 2022, will the 7-day moving average of new daily cases of COVID-19 in the US reach or exceed 120,000?
The US saw a rise in COVID cases in April 2022 (Axios). The question will be suspended on 27 May 2022 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the CDC (CDC COVID Data Tracker). Data for specific dates will not be evaluated for resolution until at least four calendar days later (e.g., data for 10 May 2022 would not be evaluated until 14 May 2022).
Tags: Health
Question opened: 2022-04-29; closed: 2022-05-28
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Emirates airline revenues for FY 2021-22 reach at least 75% of FY 2019-20 revenues, or AED 68,979 million?
The COVID-19 pandemic hit airlines particularly hard, with Emirates airline's total revenue for the fiscal/financial year (FY) 2020-21 declining 66% to AED 30.9 billion, or US$ 8.4 billion (Emirates, Emirates - 2021 Annual Report). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2022 and the outcome determined using data reported in Emirates Group's (the airline's parent company) annual report for FY 2021-22, expected in the summer of 2022 (Emirates Group). Emirate Group's FY 2021-22 runs from 1 April 2021 to 31 March 2022. For FY 2019-20, Emirates airline reported revenue of AED 91,972 million (Emirates - 2021 Annual Report, see "Revenue and other operating income" on page 188).
Tags: Business
Question opened: 2021-09-24; closed: 2022-04-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will a team from England win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League Final?
The 2021-22 UEFA Champions League Final is scheduled for 28 May 2022 (UEFA).
Tags: Open
Question opened: 2022-03-15; closed: 2022-05-28
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the closing value of the Turkish lira against the US dollar on 26 May 2022?
The Turkish lira hit record lows in November 2021 amid President Erdogan's economic policies and growing influence over the country's central bank (Deutsche Welle, Al Jazeera). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
Tags: Business, Finance, Economic Policy, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2021-11-26; closed: 2022-05-26
Options: Lower than 8.00, Between 8.00 and 10.00, inclusive, Higher than 10.00 but lower than 12.00, Between 12.00 and 14.00, inclusive, Higher than 14.00 but lower than 16.00, 16.00 or higher
Answer: 16.00 or higher
Question: Between 8 March 2022 and 25 May 2022, will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) screen 2.4 million or more travelers in a single day?
The outcome will be determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA).
Tags: Open
Question opened: 2022-03-15; closed: 2022-05-26
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Who will win the Republican primary for governor of Georgia in 2022?
Incumbent Governor Brian Kemp, former US Senator David Perdue, and others are battling for the Republican nomination for governor (Ballotpedia, 270 to Win). The primary election is scheduled for 24 May 2022, with a primary runoff set for 21 June 2022, if needed (Georgia Secretary of State).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2022-02-04; closed: 2022-05-24
Options: Brian Kemp, David Perdue, Someone else
Answer: Brian Kemp
Question: Will President Volodymyr Zelensky either flee Ukraine or cease to be its president before 25 May 2022?
As Russia invades Ukraine beyond the Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics in eastern Ukraine, there is speculation as to how far Russia is willing to go (BBC, NPR). Whether or not Zelensky has fled Ukraine will be determined using credible open source media reporting.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Leader Entry/Exit, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2022-02-24; closed: 2022-05-25
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will a Boeing Starliner spacecraft successfully dock with the International Space Station (ISS) before 15 June 2022?
After Boeing's first attempt to get its new spacecraft to dock with the ISS failed, the company is planning another attempt in May 2022 (Economist, Spaceflight Now, Space).
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2022-03-18; closed: 2022-05-21
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Between 8 March 2022 and 20 May 2022, will shares of Meta (fka Facebook) close above $238.00 per share?
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by CNBC (CNBC). The threshold would not be changed in the event of a stock split (Investopedia).
Tags: Open
Question opened: 2022-03-15; closed: 2022-05-20
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the annual rate of inflation for the eurozone reach or exceed 7.0% in April 2022 (2022M04)?
The question will be suspended on 30 April 2022 and the outcome determined using the annual rate of change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) as first reported by Eurostat for "Euro area - 19 countries (from 2015)" (Eurostat).
Tags: Open
Question opened: 2022-03-15; closed: 2022-05-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Which of the following songs will rank highest on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of 21 May 2022?
The question will be suspended on 16 May 2022 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Billboard for the "Week of May 21, 2022," expected on Tuesday 17 May 2022 (Billboard). "Ranking highest" means ranking highest among the five songs and does not necessarily mean ranking first overall.
Tags: Business, Entertainment
Question opened: 2022-04-29; closed: 2022-05-17
Options: As It Was, Harry Styles, Enemy, Imagine Dragons X JID, First Class, Jack Harlow, Heat Waves, Glass Animals, Stay, The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber
Answer: First Class, Jack Harlow
Question: Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 15 May 2022?
The Protocol is an agreement made during Brexit negotiations intended to avoid a "hard border" between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland, in which Article 16 governs either party taking unilateral action (BBC). The question would close upon the UK or EU notifying the Joint Committee under the terms of Annex 7 of the Protocol (Protocol on Ireland/Northern Ireland).
Tags: Open
Question opened: 2022-03-15; closed: 2022-05-15
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: When will Lebanon next hold parliamentary elections?
Lebanese parliamentary elections are due in the spring of 2022, though political and economic circumstances have raised fears that they may be postponed (Economist, Al Jazeera, The National).
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2021-11-19; closed: 2022-05-15
Options: Before 1 April 2022, Between 1 April 2022 and 31 May 2022, Not before 1 June 2022
Answer: Between 1 April 2022 and 31 May 2022
Question: Who will win the 2022 presidential election in the Philippines?
Various familiar names are in the race to be the next president of the Philippines, scheduled for 9 May 2022 (Economist, Bloomberg, NPR).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2021-12-03; closed: 2022-05-09
Options: Christopher "Bong" Go, Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr., Francisco "Isko" Moreno, Manny "PacMan" Pacquiao, Maria "Leni" Robredo, Another candidate
Answer: Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr.
Question: Which political party will win the most seats in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?
The next Northern Ireland Assembly election is scheduled for 5 May 2022 (Economist, Atlantic, Belfast Telegraph, Northern Ireland Act 1998). If the election date is changed, the question's suspend date will be moved to the day before the new election date. If there is a tie for most seats, the question will be resolved in favor of the party with the most first preference votes (e.g., NI Assembly, see Table 5.1).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict, Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2021-12-03; closed: 2022-05-05
Options: Democratic Unionist Party, Sinn Féin, Another party
Answer: Sinn Féin
Question: How many total deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the US will be reported as of 1 May 2022?
The rise of the Omicron variant is raising concerns about COVID-19 in the US over the winter (USA Today, CNN). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the CDC (CDC, parameters are set with the link). The data for 1 May 2022 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 6 May 2022. If the named sourced changes the way it presents the data, we will make the appropriate modifications to the resolution instructions.
Tags: Technology, Society, Health, US Policy
Question opened: 2021-12-23; closed: 2022-05-01
Options: Fewer than 900,000, Between 900,000 and 975,000, inclusive, More than 975,000 but fewer than 1,050,000, Between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000, inclusive, More than 1,125,000 but fewer than 1,200,000, Between 1,200,000 and 1,275,000 inclusive, More than 1,275,000
Answer: More than 975,000 but fewer than 1,050,000
Question: Will the FAO Food Price Index for April 2022 reach or exceed 150.0?
The question will be suspended on 30 April 2022 and the outcome determined using data as provided by the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (FAO, see table near bottom of page). The value for April 2021 was 122.1.
Tags: Open
Question opened: 2022-03-15; closed: 2022-05-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: At close of business on 4 May 2022, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 16 March 2022?
The US federal funds rate is the interest rate charged for overnight lending among financial institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve and sets the base rate for borrowing costs across the financial system (Federal Reserve). The target range for the federal funds rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Its May meeting is scheduled for 3-4 May 2022.
Tags: Finance, Economic Policy
Question opened: 2021-12-17; closed: 2022-05-04
Options: Lower, Same, Higher
Answer: Higher
Question: What will be the closing price for aluminum per metric ton (MT) on 29 April 2022?
Aluminum prices have risen dramatically in 2021, with pressures from both supply and demand sides (Yahoo, Capital.com). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by Bloomberg for the three-month futures contract on the London Metal Exchange (Bloomberg, London Metal Exchange).
Tags: Business, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2021-10-29; closed: 2022-04-29
Options: Lower than $2,000, Between $2,000 and $2,300, inclusive, Higher than $2,300 but lower than $2,600, Between $2,600 and $2,900, inclusive, Higher than $2,900 but lower than $3,200, $3,200 or higher
Answer: Higher than $2,900 but lower than $3,200
Question: How many public Level 2 and DC Fast electric vehicle charging stations will be available in the US as of 29 April 2022?
Focus is being directed at electric vehicle charging infrastructure in the US (The Hill). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the US Department of Energy's Alternative Fuels Data Center on 29 April 2022 at approximately 5:00PM ET (Alternative Fueling Station Locator, parameters are set with the link). Data on public Level 2 and DC Fast charge stations can be found by selecting the "Advanced Filters" tab.  First select "Location" on the left and set "Country" to be "United States" while keeping "State/Territory" to be "All." Then select "Fuel" on the left. Under "Filter by Fuel Type," select "Electric" and set "Charger types" to both "Level 2" and "DC Fast" while keeping "Connectors" and "Networks" to be "All."
Tags: Business, Technology, Environment
Question opened: 2021-10-29; closed: 2022-04-29
Options: Fewer than 49,000, Between 49,000 and 53,000, inclusive, More than 53,000 but fewer than 57,000, Between 57,000 and 61,000, inclusive, More than 61,000
Answer: Fewer than 49,000