jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: Who will be elected governor of Mississippi in the 2019 gubernatorial election?
The Mississippi gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on 5 November 2019. Democratic nominee Jim Hood is running against Republican nominee Tate Reeves (RealClearPolitics).
Tags: US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2019-08-30; closed: 2019-11-05
Options: Jim Hood (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5.00% of the total vote, Jim Hood (Democrat) by a margin of 5.00% or less of the total vote, Tate Reeves (Republican) by a margin of 5.00% or less of the total vote, Tate Reeves (Republican) by a margin greater than 5.00% of the total vote, None of the above
Answer: Tate Reeves (Republican) by a margin greater than 5.00% of the total vote
Question: What will be the closing value for the pound against the euro on 1 November 2019?
The Brexit process introduces uncertainty for the pound (BBC, Reuters). Outcome will be determined by the closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
Tags: Finance, Economic Policy, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2019-06-07; closed: 2019-10-31
Options: Below 1.00, Between 1.00 and 1.10, inclusive, More than 1.10 but less than 1.20, Between 1.20 and 1.30, inclusive, More than 1.30
Answer: More than 1.10 but less than 1.20
Question: Which team will win the 2019 Rugby World Cup?
The 2019 Rugby World Cup final is scheduled for 2 November 2019 in Yokohama, Japan (Rugby World Cup, Telegraph, Super Sport, Guardian).
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2019-10-22; closed: 2019-11-02
Options: England, New Zealand, South Africa, Wales
Answer: South Africa
Question: Before 1 November 2019, will the U.S. Congress ratify the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA)?
On 30 November 2018, President Donald Trump, Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto, and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau signed the USMCA, a trade deal intended to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) (https://www.npr.org/2018/11/30/672150010/usmca-trump-signs-new-trade-agreement-with-mexico-and-canada, https://ustr.gov/trade-agreements/free-trade-agreements/united-states-mexico-canada-agreement/agreement-between). The legislatures of all three nations must ratify the deal before taking effect. President Trump wants the agreement ratified this summer, but the deal faces detractors in Congress (https://www.politico.com/story/2019/04/18/nafta-boost-economy-1367825, https://www.cnbc.com/2019/03/29/trumps-nafta-usmca-trade-deal-faces-bipartisan-roadblock-in-congress.html, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trade-canada/mexico-says-it-is-close-to-us-metals-tariff-deal-waiting-for-canada-idUSKCN1SL240). For the purposes of this question, the USMCA will be deemed ratified upon final passage by both houses of Congress.
Tags: Finance, Economic Policy
Question opened: 2019-05-17; closed: 2019-10-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 11 September 2019 and 31 October 2019, what will be the widest closing spread of the yield on 10-year Treasurys below the yield on 2-year Treasurys?
When interest rates on longer term debt drop below rates on shorter term debt, the yield curve is said to invert, which has often historically been a signal of an approaching recession (Investopedia, CNBC, Reuters). The outcome will be determined using Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rate data provided by the U.S. Department of the Treasury by comparing the value in the "2 Yr" column with the value in the "10 Yr" column for each day (U.S. Department of the Treasury).
Tags: Finance
Question opened: 2019-09-11; closed: 2019-11-01
Options: The 10 yr yield will not close at or lower than the 2 yr yield, The 10 Yr yield closing between .01 and .10 lower than the 2 Yr yield, inclusive, The 10 Yr yield closing more than .10 lower than the 2 Yr yield
Answer: The 10 yr yield will not close at or lower than the 2 yr yield
Question: Will the United Kingdom (UK) leave the European Union (EU) on or before 31 October 2019?
After agreeing to an extension of the two-year Article 50 period in both March and April 2019, the UK is currently scheduled to leave the EU no later than 31 October 2019, though political battles over Brexit continue in the House of Commons (Europa, BBC).
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-09-11; closed: 2019-10-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 November 2019, will Judy Shelton and/or Christopher Waller be confirmed by the Senate for the Federal Reserve Board?
After two earlier prospective Fed picks dropped out of contention, President Trump announced his intention to nominate economists Judy Shelton and Christopher Waller to fill vacancies on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors (BBC, The Hill, Roll Call).
Tags: US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2019-07-19; closed: 2019-10-31
Options: Yes, only Judy Shelton, Yes, only Christopher Waller, Yes, the Senate will confirm both, No, the Senate will confirm neither
Answer: No, the Senate will confirm neither
Question: What will be the closing value of the S&P/TSX Composite Index on 31 October 2019?
Outcome will be determined by the closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
Tags: Finance
Question opened: 2019-04-19; closed: 2019-10-31
Options: Less than 15,000.00, Between 15,000.00 and 16,000.00, inclusive, More than 16,000.00 but less than 17,000.00, Between 17,000.00 and 18,000.00, inclusive, More than 18,000.00
Answer: More than 16,000.00 but less than 17,000.00
Question: When will Denmark approve the construction of Nord Stream 2 through its territorial waters or Exclusive Economic Zone?
Denmark is the last country still to complete its national permit procedure for the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline (Euractiv, The Economist, Nord Stream 2, Reuters)..
Tags: Foreign Policy, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-02-22; closed: 2019-10-30
Options: Before 1 June 2019, Between 1 June and 31 August 2019, inclusive, Between 1 September and 30 November 2019, inclusive, Not before 1 December 2019
Answer: Between 1 September and 30 November 2019, inclusive
Question: Between 3 May 2019 and 1 November 2019, which of the following will happen first in relation to the Brexit process?
After an initial extension to 12 April, Brexit has been postponed to 31 October,  increasing uncertainty around what will happen next in the process (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46393399, https://www.consilium.europa.eu/media/39042/10-euco-art50-conclusions-en.pdf,https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-32810887). For more on the November 2018 Withdrawal Agreement, please see: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-46237012 and https://ec.europa.eu/commission/sites/beta-political/files/draft_withdrawal_agreement_0.pdf.
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-05-03; closed: 2019-10-28
Options: The UK will leave the EU with the November 2018 Withdrawal Agreement in place, The UK will leave the EU with a new or renegotiated version of a Withdrawal Agreement in place, The UK will leave the EU without a Withdrawal Agreement in place, The UK will revoke Article 50, The UK's Article 50 period will be extended beyond 31 October 2019, The UK will set a date for a General Election, The UK will set a date for a referendum on Brexit
Answer: The UK's Article 50 period will be extended beyond 31 October 2019
Question: Will Justin Trudeau cease to be prime minister of Canada after the next federal election?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held on 21 October 2019 (CTV News, Maclean's). The question will close as "no" if, once the election outcome is known, Trudeau retains the prime ministership.
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-01-18; closed: 2019-10-22
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will the Italy-Germany 10-year bond spread be on 20 October 2019?
Projections of an expanding Italian budget deficit will likely see tensions continue between Brussels and Rome (CNBC, Financial Times, Reuters, Bloomberg, Reuters). Eurozone member states must submit their Draft Budget Plans for the following year by 15 October (EC). The question will be resolved using "Spread vs bund" as reported by the Financial Times on Sunday 20 October 2019 (Financial Times).
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2019-06-07; closed: 2019-10-19
Options: Less than 2.30, Between 2.30 and 2.70, inclusive, More than 2.70 but less than 3.10, Between 3.10 and 3.50, inclusive, More than 3.50
Answer: Less than 2.30
Question: Between 20 September 2019 and 15 October 2019, how many candidates for the Democratic nomination for president of the United States will cease to be candidates?
As of 20 September 2019, the 19 Democratic candidates relevant to this question are: Michael Bennet, Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Steve Bullock, Pete Buttigieg, Julián Castro, John Delaney, Tulsi Gabbard, Kamala Harris, Amy Klobuchar, Wayne Messam, Beto O’Rourke, Tim Ryan, Bernie Sanders, Joe Sestak, Tom Steyer, Elizabeth Warren, Marianne Williamson, and Andrew Yang (NY Times). Examples of what will count for resolution of this question include an official announcement that a candidate no longer seeks the Democratic Party nomination for president or that a candidate is suspending his or her campaign.
Tags: US Politics
Question opened: 2019-09-20; closed: 2019-10-16
Options: None, One or two, Three or four, Five or more
Answer: None
Question: Will legislation permitting electric utilities to recover 2018 wildfire liability debt costs by charging customers become law in California before 14 October 2019?
In September 2018, California Governor Jerry Brown signed legislation permitting electric utilities like Pacific Gas & Electric to pay for wildfire liabilities with bonds and higher rates charged to customers (U.S News, California Legislative Information). The law applies to fires that started in 2017 or in 2019 and beyond, but not fires started in 2018 (NY Times). Whether California will extend that option to liabilities for 2018 wildfires is the subject of much political speculation (LA Times, SF Chronicle, The Wall Street Journal).
Tags: Society, Environment, US Policy
Question opened: 2019-03-15; closed: 2019-10-15
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the domestic box office gross in the opening week for Warner Bros.' Joker, according to Box Office Mojo?
Joker, starring Joaquin Phoenix in the title role, is the latest film based on DC Comics' characters (IMDB, BoxOfficeMojo, GameSpot). The film is scheduled to be released on 4 October 2019, and the outcome will be determined with "Weekly Box Office" data for the week of 4 October to 10 October 2019 as reported by Box Office Mojo (BoxOfficeMojo).
Tags: Entertainment
Question opened: 2019-08-23; closed: 2019-10-04
Options: Less than $70,000,000, Between $70,000,000 and $90,000,000, inclusive, More than $90,000,000 but less than $110,000,000, Between $110,000,000 and $130,000,000, inclusive, More than $130,000,000
Answer: More than $130,000,000
Question: Who will the European Council appoint as the next European Central Bank (ECB) president?
Current ECB President Mario Draghi's term ends this fall (The Economist, Bloomberg, The Financial Times). The ECB president is appointed by the European Council, acting by a qualified majority (The European Central Bank, The European Council).
Tags: Finance, Economic Policy
Question opened: 2019-01-25; closed: 2019-10-01
Options: Someone from Finland, Someone from France, Someone from Germany, Someone from Ireland, Someone else, No appointment will be made before 1 October 2019
Answer: No appointment will be made before 1 October 2019
Question: What percentage of the vote will the Austrian People's Party (ÖVP) win in the next Austrian parliamentary elections?
The ÖVP led parliamentary elections in 2017, and went on to form a government with the Freedom Party of Austria (FPO) (CNBC, Austrian Embassy, Austrian Embassy, Reuters). However, a corruption scandal hit the FPO, leading to a government collapse and the calling of snap elections (France24, BBC, France24).
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-06-28; closed: 2019-09-28
Options: Less than 32.00%, Between 32.00% and 36.00%, inclusive, More than 36.00% but less than 40.00%, Between 40.00% and 44.00%, inclusive, More than 44.00%
Answer: More than 36.00% but less than 40.00%
Question: On 1 October 2019, how many countries will be on Russia's food embargo list?
Russia embargoed food imports from the United States, EU member states, Canada, Australia, and Norway in August 2014 as retaliation for Western sanctions imposed after Russia's annexation of Crimea (European Commission). Iceland, Albania, Montenegro, Liechtenstein, and Ukraine were later added to the list (Yahoo). The embargo on these 37 countries was last extended through 31 December 2018 (Radio Free Europe). Since 2014, certain products have been exempted from the embargo (USDA Foreign Agricultural Services), but the list of covered countries has only expanded.
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2018-04-11; closed: 2019-10-01
Options: 0, Between 1 and 31, inclusive, Between 32 and 35, inclusive, 36, 37 or more
Answer: 37 or more
Question: Before 1 October 2019, will nuclear experts from the IAEA, the CTBTO, the UN, United States, or South Korea visit North Korea’s Yongbyon nuclear facility?
The future of the Yongbyon nuclear site -- and potential inspections by experts from  the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban-Treaty Organization (CTBTO), or others -- is part of ongoing negotiations with North Korea (The Economist, Nuclear Threat Initiative, The Washington Post).
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2019-02-22; closed: 2019-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 October 2019, will the OSCE verify that separatist forces have withdrawn all of their heavy weaponry in accordance with the Minsk II Peace Agreement?
For the specific heavy weaponry withdrawal requirements see Annex 1, No. 2 of the Minsk II Agreement. The OSCE has established a Special Monitoring Mission in Ukraine and one of its tasks is monitoring Minsk II compliance (Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe, Reuters).
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2018-04-18; closed: 2019-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Kim Jong Un visit Seoul before 1 October 2019?
No North Korean Supreme Leader has visited Seoul before, and such a visit could signal a significant step for the bilateral relationship (The Economist, NPR, NY Times).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-03-22; closed: 2019-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will China's National People's Congress or its Standing Committee pass a property tax law before 1 October 2019?
China's National People's Congress Standing Committee has initiated the legislative process to codify property taxes into law, with large implications for China's $44 trillion real estate market (The Economist, NPC Observer, Global Times, SCMP).
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2018-12-21; closed: 2019-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 October 2019, will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia?
Mohammed bin Salman has moved to consolidate power in the Kingdom, but has recently been under scrutiny for the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi (The Economist, The Guardian). In the past the Crown Prince has temporarily taken on the title of Vice Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques when the King has been unavailable; this will not count as ceasing to be Crown Prince.
Tags: Society, Leader Entry/Exit
Question opened: 2018-11-30; closed: 2019-10-01
Options: Yes, by becoming the King of Saudi Arabia, Yes, without becoming the King of Saudi Arabia, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Hassan Rouhani cease to be president of Iran before 1 October 2019?
Over the past year Iran has experienced economic crisis and domestic demonstrations, including some calling for President Rouhani's ouster (The Economist, CNBC, Foreign Policy, Voice of America).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-03-22; closed: 2019-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 October 2019, will the U.S. House of Representatives pass an article of impeachment against President Trump?
There has been a push among some Democrats to impeach President Trump (The Economist, BBC, Fortune, The Washington Post).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, US Politics
Question opened: 2018-11-30; closed: 2019-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Bristol-Myers Squibb Corp.’s acquisition of Celgene Corp. close before 1 October 2019?
On 3 January 2019, pharmaceutical company Bristol-Myers Squibb Corp. announced its planned $74 billion acquisition of biotechnology firm Celgene Corporation, expected by the third quarter of 2019 (CNBC, U.S Securities and Exchange Commission).
Tags: Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2019-02-15; closed: 2019-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will formal negotiations between Russia and the United States on a new nuclear arms control treaty or an extension/modification of an existing nuclear arms control treaty begin before 1 October 2019?
The New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) between Russia and the United States entered into force on 5 February 2011, and is scheduled to remain in force for ten years. There is an option to extend it for up to five years upon the agreement of both parties, or a new deal could be negotiated (Reuters, Federation of American Scientists,  The Washington Post).
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2018-04-18; closed: 2019-10-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 November 2019, will the British oil tanker Stena Impero be released from Iranian custody?
Iranian forces seized the British-flagged Stena Impero on 19 July 2019, stoking tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, a strategically crucial waterway for oil & gas markets (BBC, Time, BBC, EIA). The Iranian government claims the ship was seized due to a collision with a fishing vessel, though the seizure has also been seen as retaliation for British actions (LA Times, Reuters). The release of the Stena Impero crew from Iranian custody is immaterial to the resolution of the question.
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2019-08-09; closed: 2019-09-26
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: What will be Peloton Interactive, Inc.'s (Peloton) end-of-day market capitalization on the day of its initial public offering (IPO)?
Peloton Interactive Inc., a home exercise firm, publicly filed for an IPO in August 2019 (Peloton, SEC, Fortune, CNBC, IG). The outcome of this question will be determined by the end-of-day Market Capitalization figure reported by Bloomberg.
Tags: Business, Finance
Question opened: 2019-09-06; closed: 2019-09-26
Options: Less than $4.0 billion, Between $4.0 billion and $6.5 billion, inclusive, More than $6.5 billion but less than $9.0 billion, $9.0 billion or more, Peloton will not have an IPO before 30 November 2019
Answer: More than $6.5 billion but less than $9.0 billion
Question: Before 1 October 2019, will Margaret Atwood's book "The Testaments" be #1 on any weekly New York Times Best Sellers list?
Margaret Atwood's The Testaments, the sequel to The Handmaid's Tale, is scheduled to be released on 10 September 2019 (CBC). This question will resolve as "Yes" if the book is listed on any weekly New York Times Best Sellers list published online (New York Times).
Tags: Society, Entertainment
Question opened: 2019-08-02; closed: 2019-09-24
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Will a member of the Likud Party be the first person invited to form a government after the next Israeli general election?
After the April 2019 elections, Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud Party failed to form a government and the Knesset voted for an unprecedented second election in the same year (Reuters, AP News, Knesset.gov). The elections are scheduled for 17 September 2019, with Netanyahu's political future in the balance (Times of Israel, Foreign Policy).
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-07-19; closed: 2019-09-16
Options: Yes, Benjamin Netanyahu, Yes, someone other than Benjamin Netanyahu, No
Answer: Yes, Benjamin Netanyahu
Question: On 25 September 2019, what will be Venezuela's annual inflation rate according to Bloomberg's Cafe Con Leche Index?
Venezuela has been experiencing hyperinflation (The Economist, BBC).  The question will be resolved using Bloomberg's "Cafe Con Leche Index" (Bloomberg).  The inflation rate can be retrieved by selecting "1 YEAR" and observing the number under "Annual Inflation Rate" on the right.
Tags: Finance, Economic Policy, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2019-05-24; closed: 2019-09-24
Options: Less than 50,000%, Between 50,000% and 100,000%, inclusive, Between 100,000% and  200,000%, Between 200,000% and 500,000%, inclusive, More than 500,000%
Answer: Less than 50,000%
Question: Between 2 August 2019 and 31 October 2019, will the United Auto Workers (UAW) union go on strike against General Motors (GM)?
On 16 July 2019, the UAW (officially the "International Union, United Automobile, Aerospace and Agricultural Implement Workers of America") and GM formally kicked off negotiations on a new collective bargaining agreement (CNBC). The current contract is set to expire on 14 September 2019, and both sides are prepared for a contentious fight (UAW, Nashville Post, Detroit News, AP). For the purposes of this question, a strike need not include all GM employees represented by the UAW, but must have been be approved by the UAW International Executive Board and/or International President per Article 50 of the UAW constitution (UAW Constitution, GM Authority Blog).
Tags: Economic Policy
Question opened: 2019-08-02; closed: 2019-09-16
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Before 12 September 2019, how many candidates who participated at the second Democratic presidential primary debates on 30-31 July will cease to be candidates?
Twenty candidates appeared in the second set of debates, ten on 30 July and the other ten on 31 July (CNN). Examples of what will count for resolution of this question include an official announcement that a candidate no longer seeks the Democratic Party nomination for president or that a candidate is suspending his or her campaign.
Tags: Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2019-08-02; closed: 2019-09-12
Options: Zero, One or two, Three or four, Five or more
Answer: Three or four
Question: Between 9 August 2019 and 8 September 2019, will anti-government protests in Russia result in five or more fatalities?
Russia has seen growing protests over the disqualification of several opposition candidates from local Moscow elections scheduled for 8 September (Time, Washington Post). Despite thousands of detentions and arrests since late July, protest organizers continue to rally for support (RFERL, Moscow Times, Carnegie Moscow Center). Fatalities must all occur during the question's duration to qualify.
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-08-09; closed: 2019-09-09
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the closing yield for 10-year U.S. Treasuries on 31 August 2019?
The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries, a major benchmark for interest rates, recently fell below 2.00% in intraday trading for the first time since the 2016 presidential election (CNBC, Market Watch). This question will resolve using data from the U.S. Department of the Treasury from the "10 Yr" column, found here.
Tags: Economic Policy, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2019-06-21; closed: 2019-08-30
Options: Less than 1.70, Between 1.70 and 1.90, inclusive, More than 1.90 but less than 2.10, Between 2.10 and 2.30, inclusive, More than 2.30
Answer: Less than 1.70
Question: What will be the closing value for the Dow Jones Transportation Average on 30 August 2019?
The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) represents the stock performance of 20 of the largest companies in the U.S. transport industry (Investopedia). Outcome will be determined using the closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
Tags: Finance
Question opened: 2019-04-19; closed: 2019-08-30
Options: Less than 10,000.00, Between 10,000.00 and 11,000.00, inclusive, More than 11,000.00 but less than 12,000.00, 12,000.00 or more
Answer: Between 10,000.00 and 11,000.00, inclusive