jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: How many total Model 3 and Model Y vehicles will Tesla deliver to customers in 2020?
Question opened: 2020-06-05; closed: 2020-12-31
Options: Fewer than 250,000, Between 250,000 and 300,000, inclusive, More than 300,000 but fewer than 350,000, Between 350,000 and 400,000, inclusive, More than 400,000
Answer: More than 400,000
Question: Before 1 January 2021, will the European Union delay and/or relax the implementation and/or enforcement of any of its CO2 emission performance standards for new passenger cars and/or new light commercial vehicles?
Question opened: 2020-05-15; closed: 2020-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2021, will the Council of the European Union request the consent of the European Parliament to conclude a European Union-United Kingdom trade agreement?
The United Kingdom exited the European Union on 31 January 2020. The Withdrawal Agreement transition period ends on 31 December 2020, though there is provision for a possible extension (Europa). If a trade deal is not concluded by the end of the transition period, there are fears that the ensuing “hard Brexit” could cause significant economic harm (BBC, Institute for Government). For more information on the EU trade negotiation process, please see (note stage #23): https://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/2012/june/tradoc_149616.pdf. An example of the Council of the European Union requesting the consent of the European Parliament to conclude a trade agreement is the EU-Canada accord in 2016 (Europa).
Tags: Economic Policy, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-01-31; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Who will win the election for Iowa's 2nd Congressional District in 2020?
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Democrats hoping to maintain control after retaking the House in the 2018 midterm elections (270 To Win, Real Clear Politics).
Tags: US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2020-08-04; closed: 2020-11-03
Options: The Democratic Party candidate, The Republican Party candidate, Someone else
Answer: The Republican Party candidate
Question: What will be the value of Total Assets of the Federal Reserve as of Wednesday 30 December 2020?
Question opened: 2020-05-21; closed: 2020-12-30
Options: Less than $8 trillion, Between $8 trillion and $9 trillion, inclusive, More than $9 trillion but less than $10 trillion, Between $10 trillion and $11 trillion, inclusive, More than $11 trillion
Answer: Less than $8 trillion
Question: Before 1 January 2021, will federal criminal charges be filed against any of the Minneapolis police officers involved in the death of George Floyd?
Question opened: 2020-06-12; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Which NFL team's offense will average the most yards per game in the 2020 regular season?
The outcome will be determined using "NFL Stat Leaders 2020" data as reported by ESPN (ESPN). In the event of a tie, the team that scored the most points per game (PTS/G) will be considered to have averaged the most yards per game, followed by team record.
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2020-11-17; closed: 2021-01-03
Options: Arizona Cardinals, Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers, Seattle Seahawks, Another team
Answer: Kansas City Chiefs
Question: Which NFL quarterback will throw for the most touchdowns in the 2020 regular season?
The outcome will be determined using "NFL Player Passing Stats 2020" data as reported by ESPN (ESPN). In the event of a tie, the quarterback who threw for the most yards per game (YDS/G) will be considered to have thrown for the most touchdowns, followed by completion percentage (CMP%).
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2020-11-17; closed: 2021-01-03
Options: Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rogers, Russell Wilson, Another quarterback
Answer: Aaron Rogers
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi be re-elected as Speaker of the House of Representatives in the 117th Congress?
As hopes for a "blue wave" in the 2020 U.S. elections did not materialize and Democrats have lost several net seats in the House of Representatives, speculation abounds as to whether Speaker Pelosi will continue on in the role (Politico, CBS News, Newsweek). The House will elect its Speaker for the 117th Congress on or about 3 January 2021 (EveryCRSReport.com).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2020-11-13; closed: 2021-01-03
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, Tanzania, or Uganda in 2020?
The spread of desert locusts in East Africa is testing an already food-insecure region (BBC, Foreign Policy, Food and Agriculture Organization). For general information on how famines are declared, see: Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, NPR.
Tags: Health, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2020-03-13; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will legislation enabling the creation of federal safety standards for autonomous vehicles (AVs) become law before 1 January 2021?
Question opened: 2020-06-16; closed: 2020-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: When will the U.S. leveraged loan default rate reach or exceed 6.0% in the second half of 2020?
Question opened: 2020-06-26; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: July 2020 or August 2020, September 2020 or October 2020, November 2020 or December 2020, Not before January 2021
Answer: Not before January 2021
Question: Before 1 January 2021, will the Council of the European Union decide to impose an arms embargo against Turkey?
As Turkey continues to survey the Eastern Mediterranean for oil and gas over the strenuous objections of Greece and Cyprus, the European Union is considering a "less positive" response to Turkish actions -- though there are divisions among member states (European Council/Council of the European Union, National Herald, Greek City Times, European Commission). The European Council is next scheduled to meet on 10-11 December 2020 (European Council). Actions taken by individual member states would not count (Reuters).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-11-06; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 10 July and 31 December 2020, will a firm or paid backup driver operating a self-driving vehicle face criminal charges in relation to an accident involving a self-driving vehicle in the U.S.?
Legal liability for accidents involving self-driving vehicles and features allowing autonomous driving continue to evolve (Ars Technica, ABC News, NY Times, Centre for International Governance Innovation). The charges for a firm or backup driver are not required to be related to the same accident for resolving this question.This question is the shorter-term companion of question #1696. The questions are substantively the same, save for the relevant time period. While they are companions, they are independent questions and the resolution of one will not necessarily impact the other.
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2020-07-10; closed: 2020-12-31
Options: Yes, a firm, Yes, a paid backup driver, Yes, both, No
Answer: Yes, a paid backup driver
Question: How many public DC fast charge electric vehicle charging stations will be available in the United States by 31 December 2020?
The adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) is subject to a "chicken and egg" problem such that potential consumers are waiting for an extensive charging network and businesses are awaiting more electric cars on the roads to justify building more charging stations. This problem is especially relevant for DC fast charge stations that can fully charge the EV in less than 30 minutes (MY EV). The outcome will be determined using data from the U.S. Department of Energy's Alternative Fuels Data Center on 31 December 2020 at 5:00PM ET (Alternative Fuels Data Center). Data on public DC fast charge stations can be found by selecting the "Advanced Filters" tab.  First select "Location" on the left and set "Country" to be "United States" while keeping "State/Territory" to be "All." Then select "Fuel" on the left. Under "Filter by Fuel Type" select "Electric" and set "Charger types" to be only "DC Fast" while keeping "Connectors" and "Networks" to be "All."This question is the shorter-term companion of question #1678. The questions are substantively the same, save for the relevant time period. While they are companions, they are independent questions and the resolution of one will not necessarily impact the other.
Tags: Business, Technology, Environment
Question opened: 2020-07-02; closed: 2020-12-31
Options: Fewer than 3,900, Between 3,900 and 4,200, inclusive, More than 4,200 but fewer than 4,500, 4,500 or more
Answer: More than 4,200 but fewer than 4,500
Question: Will phase 4 of the HH Sheikh Mohammed Bin Rashid Solar Energy Park be operational before 1 January 2021?
Question opened: 2020-05-21; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2021, will the Barakah nuclear power plant begin to supply electricity to the United Arab Emirates (UAE) power grid?
Question opened: 2020-06-26; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2021, will Alassane Ouattara cease to be the president of Ivory Coast?
Protests over Ouattara's eligibility to run for re-election have plagued Ivory Coast (Reuters, Al Jazeera). Elections are scheduled for 31 October 2020 and if no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a second round will be held (Constituteproject.org).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-09-18; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Scott Morrison cease to be prime minister of Australia before 1 January 2021?
The Australian government's response to the bushfires in the country has eroded the standing of the prime minister (abc.net.eu, Guardian).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-02-14; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2021, who will be elected to be the next leader of Germany's Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party?
A race to succeed Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer began when she announced unexpectedly in February 2020 that she would step down as CDU party leader (BBC). A leadership vote is expected in December 2020 (Foreign Brief, Euractiv).
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-06-19; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Armin Laschet, Friedrich Merz, Norbert Röttgen, Someone else, A new leader will not be elected before 1 January 2021
Answer: A new leader will not be elected before 1 January 2021
Question: Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 1 January 2021?
Section 230 is a statute that shields social media companies from liability for content their users post (Council on Foreign Relations, FAS, §230). President Trump has threatened to veto a defense spending bill unless Section 230 is repealed (CNBC).
Tags: Business, Technology, US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2020-12-09; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 January 2021?
Nicolas Maduro remains in power despite increasing international pressure and domestic instability (CNBC, Global Risk Insights, CNN).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit
Question opened: 2020-06-04; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will pro-democracy candidates win a Legislative Council majority in Hong Kong's next legislative election?
Legislative elections are upcoming in Hong Kong on the heels of a new security law imposed by Beijing in late June (Hong Kong Free Press, South China Morning Post, The Hill, The Atlantic). Elections are scheduled for 6 September 2020. The outcome will be determined using credible international reporting (e.g., BBC).
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-07-17; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No, No election will be held in 2020
Answer: No election will be held in 2020
Question: Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be the prime minister of Israel before 1 January 2021?
Prime Minister Netanyahu faces an array of challenges, including criminal corruption charges and the third Knesset election within a year scheduled for 2 March 2020 (Times of Israel, Sydney Morning Herald).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-01-17; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2021, will it be announced that the fueling of the Vogtle nuclear reactor Unit 3 has begun?
Georgia's Vogtle Electric Generating Plant will become the country's largest nuclear power plant with the addition of new reactor Units 3 and 4, the first new nuclear power units built in the United States in decades (Daily Energy Insider, Georgia Power). The current goal is for Unit 3 to be in service towards the end of 2021, with an initial fuel load being a significant milestone towards meeting that goal (Southern Alliance for Clean Energy, Power Engineering, PR Newswire).
Tags: Business, Environment
Question opened: 2020-07-24; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the Council of the European Union make an Article 7.1 determination against Hungary before 31 December 2020?
Hungary's parliament passed emergency measures to allow the government to rule by decree during the coronavirus pandemic, a move being criticized by many as authoritarian (Politico.eu, The Atlantic). Hungary is currently facing Article 7 proceedings, which enables the Council of the European Union to determine whether a member state's actions risk a serious breach of the values of the Treaty of the European Union (Europa.eu, Deutsche Welle, Politico.eu).
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-04-17; closed: 2020-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2021, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea?
Regional tensions in the Middle East are running high since attacks against commercial vessels in the Gulf of Oman, the downing of a U.S. drone, and missile attacks on Saudi oil fields in 2019 (BBC, NBC News, Al Jazeera). The deaths of General Qasem Soleimani and others in a 3 January 2020 U.S. missile strike in Baghdad in the wake of attacks on the U.S. embassy in Iraq have further inflamed tensions, with Iran warning of retaliation (BBC, NBC News). A lethal confrontation is one that results in at least one fatality (total, not each) for the national military forces of either side. For the purposes of this question, Iran's national military forces include the Revolutionary Guard Corps and Law Enforcement Forces. A lethal confrontation taking place in Iranian airspace or international airspace over the sea would count.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2020-01-03; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2021, will Ali Khamenei cease to be the supreme leader of Iran and/or Hassan Rouhani cease to be the president of Iran?
Iran has been hit hard by the COVID-19 outbreak, with 9,000 cases reported as of 12 March 2020 (WHO). Already economically weakened and facing new challenges with the price of oil, there is speculation as to whether or not the current government can endure the outbreak (Atlantic, BBC, Washington Post).
Tags: Health, Leader Entry/Exit, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-03-13; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, only Ali Khamenei will cease to be supreme leader, Yes, only Hassan Rouhani will cease to be president, Yes, both Ali Khamenei and Hassan Rouhani will cease to hold their respective positions, with neither replacing the other, Yes, both Ali Khamenei and Hassan Rouhani will cease to hold their respective positions, with at least one replacing the other, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2021, will the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and/or People’s Armed Police (PAP) be mobilized in Hong Kong?
Protests in Hong Kong that began in June 2019 have evolved into broader anti-government protests (Reuters). Reports indicate that China's central government could mobilize PLA and/or PAP troops in Hong Kong (Reuters, Public Radio International, Foreign Policy). For the purposes of this question, "mobilized" means actively engaged in military or law enforcement actions against protesters within the territory of Hong Kong.
Tags: Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-01-24; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the closing price of Tesla stock on 31 December 2020?
Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2019-11-29; closed: 2020-12-31
Options: Less than $250.00, Between $250.00 and $300.00, inclusive, More than $300.00 but less than $350.00, Between $350.00 and $400.00, inclusive, More than $400.00
Answer: More than $400.00
Question: Will a piece of federal legislation providing for $250 billion or more of new fiscal stimulus become law in the U.S. before 1 January 2021?
In response to the economic consequences from the COVID-19 pandemic, policymakers have made efforts to stimulate the American economy (CNBC). Debate over another round of fiscal stimulus continues (CNBC, Washington Post). The outcome will be determined using the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget's covidmoneytracker.org interactive table by selecting legislation that becomes law during the question's open period (if any) and totaling the amount "ALLOWED" in the "Legislative" subtotal (COVID Money Tracker). Amounts in the "Administrative" and "Federal Reserve" subtotals would not count.
Tags: Business, Finance, Economic Policy, US Policy
Question opened: 2020-12-09; closed: 2020-12-28
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: What will Uber's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2020?
Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day "Market Cap" figure as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2019-11-08; closed: 2020-12-31
Options: Less than $35 billion, Between $35 billion and $50 billion, inclusive, More than $50 billion but less than $65 billion, Between $65 billion and $80 billion, inclusive, More than $80 billion
Answer: More than $80 billion
Question: When will AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. (AMC), the parent company of AMC Theatres, file for bankruptcy?
AMC, the world's largest movie theater chain, is struggling to overcome the financial impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic (Forbes, Variety).
Tags: Business, Health, Entertainment
Question opened: 2020-06-19; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Before 1 October 2020, Between 1 October 2020 and 31 December 2020, Not before 1 January 2021
Answer: Not before 1 January 2021
Question: What will be the closing yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury on 31 December 2020?
The yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury saw record lows in 2019 (CNBC, Investopedia). The outcome will be determined using data from Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
Tags: Finance
Question opened: 2019-11-08; closed: 2020-12-31
Options: Less than 2.00, Between 2.00 and 2.50, inclusive, More than 2.50 but less than 3.00, 3.00 or more
Answer: Less than 2.00
Question: Before 1 January 2021, will a date be set for a referendum on Scotland's status within the United Kingdom?
A change in Scotland's relationship with the United Kingdom is being discussed as a possible consequence of the Brexit process (BBC, Guardian). The referendum date is immaterial to the question. Whether the UK government sets or agrees to the referendum date or implements the result is immaterial to the question.
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-01-17; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Israel's Knesset pass a bill to annex and/or apply sovereignty over any West Bank territory before 1 January 2021?
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has indicated moving forward on promises of controversial plans of annexation, which would require Knesset support (Anadolu Agency, JPost, Guardian).
Tags: Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-06-19; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will President Trump and North Korea's Kim Jong Un meet before 1 January 2021?
Negotiations between the United States and North Korea during 2019 were inconclusive, and there are efforts to restart them in 2020 (CNN, Axios, Business Insider). For purposes of this question, the meeting must be in-person.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2020-01-17; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2021, will Apple officially announce a ridesharing partnership with a major automaker?
Question opened: 2020-05-22; closed: 2020-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2021, will Cruise Automation launch a commercial ride-hailing service open to the public in the U.S. which uses autonomous vehicles?
General Motors' subsidiary Cruise Automation had announced intentions to launch a ride-hailing service somewhere in the U.S. in 2019; however, the service was still under development at the beginning of 2020 (GMAuthority, USA Today). While the firm recently received a permit for testing from the state of California, technical and regulatory hurdles remain (Road Show, Reuters, Electronics 360). A service that operates along a fixed route and/or with backup drivers in the vehicles would not count.
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2020-04-02; closed: 2020-12-31
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaidó be detained or arrested by Venezuelan authorities before 1 January 2021?
Guaidó and his allies continue to face pressure from the Maduro government, including a threat by Venezuelan prosecutors to arrest Guaidó for "high treason" (Yahoo, Deutsche Welle, CBC). The duration of a detention or arrest is immaterial to the resolution of this question.
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-01-17; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 January 2021, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military or law enforcement forces of Iran and Saudi Arabia either in Iran or at sea?
A lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and Saudi Arabia is becoming an issue of increasing concern (BBC, CNN, NPR, CNN). A lethal confrontation is one that results in at least one fatality (total, not each) for the national military forces of either side. For the purposes of this question, Iran's national military forces include the Revolutionary Guard Corps. Saudi Arabia's military forces include the General Directorate of Border Guard. A lethal confrontation taking place in Iranian airspace or international airspace over the sea would count.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2020-01-17; closed: 2021-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: At close of business on 31 December 2020, will Apple be the most valuable publicly traded company in the world?
On 31 July 2020, Apple passed Saudi Aramco to become the world's most valuable publicly traded company (CNBC). The outcome will be determined using market capitalization data as provided by Bloomberg (Bloomberg, see "MARKET CAP"). For companies with shares denominated in a currency other than U.S. dollars, the relevant dollar exchange rate as of 31 December 2020 will be used to assess its value in dollars (Bloomberg (ARAMCO), Bloomberg (USD/SAR)).
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2020-08-14; closed: 2020-12-31
Options: Yes, the most valuable in the world, No, but the most valuable in the United States, No
Answer: Yes, the most valuable in the world