jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: How many job openings in the US will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for July 2022?
Labor shortages continue throughout the US, with the number of job openings above 10 million for the third consecutive month in August 2021 (FOX Business, AP). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2022 and the outcome determined using data as first released by the BLS for July 2022, expected in September 2022 (BLS - JOLTS). For July 2021, the number of job openings for "Total US" was 11,098 (in thousands) (JOLTS - August 2021, see Table A). For historical data, visit: https://www.bls.gov/jlt/. Under "JOLTS Databases," select "ONE SCREEN" from "Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)." For "1 Select one or more Industries," select "Total nonfarm." For "2 Select one or more States or Regions," find and select "Total US." For "3 Select one or more Areas," select "All Areas." For "4 Select one or more Data Elements," find and select "Job openings." For "5 Select one or more Size Classes," find and select "All size classes." For "6 Select Rate and/or Level," leave only "Level - In Thousands" checked. For "7 Select Seasonal Adjustment," leave only "Seasonally Adjusted" checked, then click "Get Data."
Tags: Business, Society, Economic Policy, US Policy
Question opened: 2021-10-22; closed: 2022-08-01
Options: Fewer than 6 million, Between 6 million and 7 million, inclusive, More than 7 million but fewer than 8 million, Between 8 million and 9 million, inclusive, More than 9 million but fewer than 10 million, Between 10 million and 11 million, inclusive, More than 11 million
Answer: More than 11 million
Question: What will be Twitter's end-of-day market capitalization on 26 August 2022?
Elon Musk caused a stir by announcing that he had bought 9.2% of all outstanding shares of Twitter, leading to speculation that he may be planning a move to change the organization (The Verge, NBC News). The outcome will be determined by the end-of-day "Market Cap" figure as reported by CNBC after the NYSE closes on Friday 26 August 2022 (CNBC).
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2022-04-15; closed: 2022-08-26
Options: Less than $24 billion, Between $24 billion and $32 billion, inclusive, More than $32 billion but less than $40 billion, Between $40 billion and $48 billion, inclusive, More than $48 billion but less than $56 billion, Between $56 billion and $64 billion, inclusive, More than $64 billion, Twitter will cease to be a publicly traded company on or before 26 August 2022
Answer: Between $24 billion and $32 billion, inclusive
Question: What will be the closing price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 26 August 2022, according to Bloomberg?
As the world looks to alternative fuels, oil prices remain key to the energy industry (Economist). The outcome will be determined using the closing price per barrel as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
Tags: Business, Technology, Economic Indicators, US Politics, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-01-21; closed: 2022-08-26
Options: Less than $55.00, Between $55.00 and $70.00, inclusive, More than $70.00 but less than $85.00, Between $85.00 and $100.00, inclusive, More than $100.00 but less than $115.00, $115.00 or more
Answer: Between $85.00 and $100.00, inclusive
Question: What will be the value of the Green Markets Weekly North American Fertilizer Price Index for the week from 26 August 2022?
Fertilizer costs in the US have skyrocketed to historic highs in recent months (Farm Bureau, Texas Farm Bureau, Bloomberg). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by Green Markets (Green Markets).
Tags: Business, Society, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2022-02-11; closed: 2022-08-26
Options: Less than 600.00, Between 600.00 and 800.00, inclusive, More than 800.00 but less than 1,000.00, Between 1,000.00 and 1,200.00, inclusive, More than 1,200.00
Answer: More than 800.00 but less than 1,000.00
Question: Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 20 August 2022?
The Protocol is an agreement made during Brexit negotiations intended to avoid a "hard border" between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland, in which Article 16 governs either party taking unilateral action (BBC, CNBC, Guardian). The question would close upon the UK or EU notifying the Joint Committee under the terms of Annex 7 of the Protocol (Protocol on Ireland/Northern Ireland).
Tags: Business, Economic Policy, Foreign Policy, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-05-20; closed: 2022-08-20
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the price of bitcoin on 20 August 2022?
The outcome will be determined using the last price dated for 20 August 2022 (PT) as reported by CoinDesk (CoinDesk, chart set to "1M" and the "chart switch" toggle left at the default "Close," not "OHLC").
Tags: Business, Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2022-05-20; closed: 2022-08-20
Options: Less than 14,000.00, Between 14,000.00 and 22,000.00, inclusive, More than 22,000.00 but less than 30,000.00, Between 30,000.00 and 38,000.00, inclusive, More than 38,000.00 but less than 46,000.00, Between 46,000.00 and 54,000.00, inclusive, More than 54,000.00 but less than 62,000.00, 62,000.00 or more
Answer: Between 14,000.00 and 22,000.00, inclusive
Question: Who will win the Republican primary for Wyoming's US House seat in 2022?
Incumbent Rep. Liz Cheney is facing opposition from within the Republican Party over her work with the House committee investigating the 6 January 2021 Capitol riot and her opposition to former President Trump (Ballotpedia, The Hill, Newsweek). The Wyoming GOP Primary is scheduled for 16 August 2022 (WY Secretary of State).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2022-02-18; closed: 2022-08-16
Options: Liz Cheney, Harriet Hageman, Someone else
Answer: Harriet Hageman
Question: Will US federal legislation providing for new tax credits for the purchase of electric vehicles (EVs) become law before 19 August 2022?
New EV tax credits are included with President Biden's Build Back Better Act, which stalled in the Senate in late 2021 (CNBC, cnet). Legislation expanding existing tax credit programs would count. Tax credits for plug-in hybrid-electric vehicles (PHEVs) would also count (Department of Energy).
Tags: Business, Technology, US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-02-18; closed: 2022-08-16
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: As of the end of 2021, will total connected capacity of solar panels installed through the Shams Dubai program reach or exceed 400 MW?
Shams Dubai is the Dubai Electricity & Water Authority's (DEWA’s) first smart initiative to connect solar energy to buildings, a part of the Distributed Renewable Resources Generation program (Shams Dubai). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2021 and the outcome be determined using data as reported by DEWA (DEWA). For 2020, total DEWA reported 261.9 MW of Connected Capacity at Year End (DEWA - 2020 Sustainability Report, see page 58).
Tags: Technology, Environment
Question opened: 2021-09-30; closed: 2022-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Who will win the next Kenyan presidential election?
Kenyans are preparing for what is expected to be a competitive presidential race in 2022 (Economist, Council on Foreign Relations). The next presidential election is scheduled for 9 August 2022 (Economist). The question would close upon officially announced results of the general election, irrespective of judicial intervention ordering a revote as took place in 2019 (BBC).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-02-18; closed: 2022-08-09
Options: Raila Odinga, William Ruto, Someone else
Answer: William Ruto
Question: What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 11 August 2022, according to CoinMarketCap?
The cryptocurrency market has seen significant volatility (Economist). The outcome will be determined using the last value dated 11 August 2022 (PT) as reported by CoinMarketCap under "Total Cryptocurrency Market Cap" with "Zoom" set to "7d" the morning of 12 August 2022 (CoinMarketCap).
Tags: Business, Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2021-11-12; closed: 2022-08-11
Options: Less than $1.0 trillion, Between $1.0 trillion and $2.0 trillion, inclusive, More than $2.0 trillion but less than $3.0 trillion, Between $3.0 trillion and $4.0 trillion, inclusive, More than $4.0 trillion but less than $5.0 trillion, $5.0 trillion or more
Answer: Between $1.0 trillion and $2.0 trillion, inclusive
Question: What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 31 July 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight?
The outcome will be determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of 24 February 2022, Biden's approval rating was 42.1%. The data for 31 July 2022 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 5 August 2022.
Tags: US Politics
Question opened: 2022-03-04; closed: 2022-07-31
Options: Lower than 35.0%, Between 35.0% and 40.0%, inclusive, Higher than 40.0% but lower than 45.0%, Between 45.0% and 50.0%, inclusive, Higher than 50.0%
Answer: Between 35.0% and 40.0%, inclusive
Question: Before 5 August 2022, will a NATO member state accuse Russia of using a chemical or biological weapon in Ukraine?
The US has alleged that Russia is considering the use of chemical and biological weapons in Ukraine (France 24). As of launch, there were 30 NATO member states (NATO). The use of chemical or biological agents confined to an individual or small group of individuals in noncombat situations would not count (e.g., Sergei and Yulia Skripal, Alexander Litvinenko, Viktor Yushchenko, Roman Abramovich (Daily Mail, BBC). Ukraine includes the boundaries generally recognized by the international community, including Donbas and Crimea. Accusations about incidents prior to Russia's invasion of Ukraine would be immaterial.
Tags: Technology, Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2022-04-01; closed: 2022-08-05
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 4 February 2022 and 4 August 2022, will anti-government protests in Russia result in ten or more fatalities?
Russia has seen widespread protests in the wake of its invasion of Ukraine (AP, Moscow Times). Fatalities must occur during the question's duration to qualify, though not necessarily at the same time. If there is clear and credible evidence that the death of a detained protester is due to an injury incurred during a protest, only then would the death of such a prisoner count.
Tags: Society, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-03-04; closed: 2022-08-05
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 5 August 2022, will Russia detonate a nuclear device outside of Russian territory or airspace?
Soon after invading Ukraine, Russia put its nuclear forces on "special alert" (BBC, AP). A radiological device (aka "dirty bomb") would not count (Mass.gov).
Tags: Technology, Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2022-03-04; closed: 2022-08-05
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the total number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Taiwan as of 31 July 2022?
After remaining relatively COVID-free for most of the pandemic, an outbreak has hit Taiwan hard since April 2022 (AP, Focus Taiwan). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2022 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Our World in Data (OWiD) at approximately 5:00PM ET on 3 August 2022 (Our World in Data, parameters set in link).
Tags: Society, Health
Question opened: 2022-06-28; closed: 2022-08-01
Options: Fewer than 3.8 million, Between 3.8 million and 4.3 million, inclusive, More than 4.3 million but fewer than 4.8 million, Between 4.8 million and 5.3 million, inclusive, More than 5.3 million but fewer than 5.8 million, Between 5.8 million and 6.3 million, inclusive, More than 6.3 million
Answer: More than 4.3 million but fewer than 4.8 million
Question: What will be the closing yield for the US 10-Year Treasury on 1 August 2022?
The yield on a 10-Year Treasury bond is closely watched for a number of reasons (Investopedia). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) (FRED). As of 22 June 2022, the yield was 3.16%.
Tags: Business, Finance, Economic Policy, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-06-28; closed: 2022-08-01
Options: Less than 2.60, Between 2.60 and 3.00, inclusive, More than 3.00 but less than 3.40, Between 3.40 and 3.80, inclusive, More than 3.80 but less than 4.20, 4.20 or higher
Answer: Between 2.60 and 3.00, inclusive
Question: Will new episodes of Joe Rogan's podcast, The Joe Rogan Experience, cease to be carried on Spotify before 2 August 2022?
Digital streaming service Spotify has faced criticism over things said by Joe Rogan on his popular podcast (The Hill, NPR, FOX Business, BBC). A change to the name of the podcast alone would be immaterial. The removal of individual episodes from Spotify would be immaterial.
Tags: Business, Technology, Society, Entertainment
Question opened: 2022-02-11; closed: 2022-08-02
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: When will Speaker Nancy Pelosi officially announce that she will visit or has visited Taiwan?
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi was expected to visit Taiwan in April 2022, but the visit was canceled (Guardian, Politico). A new potential visit has raised concerns about the Chinese reaction to it (CNN, Politico). An official announcement from her office would count. If Pelosi officially announces that she has visited Taiwan or is in Taiwan, presence in the country must take place in 2022 to count.
Tags: Foreign Policy, US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-07-23; closed: 2022-08-02
Options: Before 28 July 2022, Between 28 July and 31 August 2022, Between 1 September and 31 October 2022, Between 1 November and 31 December 2022, Not before 1 January 2023
Answer: Between 28 July and 31 August 2022
Question: What will be the daily reported natural gas in storage in the EU for 31 July 2022?
As the war in Ukraine continues, Russian deliveries of natural gas to Europe have been reduced, with the EU fearing further cuts as it tries to increase storage for the coming winter (ABC News, AP). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2022 and the outcome determined using "Gas in storage TWh" data as first reported by Gas Infrastructure Europe (Gas Infrastructure Europe, in the row for "EU" and under the "View" column at the very end, the relevant data can be viewed by selecting the first icon for "Historical data"). Whether the data reported are Confirmed or Estimated is immaterial. "TWh" means "Terawatt hour" (Statistics Finland).
Tags: Business, Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-06-28; closed: 2022-08-01
Options: Less than 650.0 TWh, Between 650.0 TWh and 700.0 TWh, inclusive, More than 700.0 TWh but less than 750.0 TWh, Between 750.0 TWh and 800.0 TWh, inclusive, More than 800.0 TWh
Answer: Between 750.0 TWh and 800.0 TWh, inclusive
Question: How many games will the Baltimore Orioles have won in the 2022 MLB season as of 1 August 2022?
The question will be suspended on 31 July 2022. The Orioles had 35 wins as of 30 June 2022, and they are scheduled to play the Texas Rangers on 1 August 2022 (ESPN). For the purposes of this question, a game that commences on 1 August 2022 will count toward the total regardless of when that game ends unless play is postponed to a subsequent day.
Tags: Business, Sports, Entertainment
Question opened: 2022-07-01; closed: 2022-08-01
Options: Fewer than 41, Between 41 and 46, Between 47 and 52, Between 53 and 58, More than 58
Answer: Between 47 and 52
Question: Will Russia officially recognize Transnistria (Pridnestrovskaia Moldavskaia Republic) in Moldova as an independent state before 1 August 2022?
On 21 February 2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin recognized the Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics in Ukraine as independent states, triggering international condemnation (BBC, NPR). As Russia pushes forces into Ukraine, there is speculation that Putin may recognize Transnistria, a breakaway region in eastern Moldova on Ukraine's western border, which already hosts Russian peacekeepers (Britannica, New Eastern Europe, Al Jazeera, G4 Media [in Romanian]).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-02-24; closed: 2022-08-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 worldwide will be reported as of 28 July 2022?
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by WHO (WHO). The data for 28 July 2022 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 29 July 2022.
Tags: Technology, Society, Health
Question opened: 2021-11-12; closed: 2022-07-28
Options: Fewer than 6.0 million, Between 6.0 million and 6.5 million, inclusive, More than 6.5 million but fewer than 7.0 million, Between 7.0 million and 7.5 million, inclusive, More than 7.5 million but fewer than 8.0 million, 8.0 million or more
Answer: Between 6.0 million and 6.5 million, inclusive
Question: At close of business on 27 July 2022, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 15 June 2022?
The US federal funds rate is the interest rate charged for overnight lending among financial institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve and sets the base rate for borrowing costs across the financial system (Federal Reserve). The target range for the federal funds rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Its July meeting is scheduled for 26-27 July 2022.
Tags: Business, Economic Policy, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-03-18; closed: 2022-07-27
Options: Lower, Same, Higher
Answer: Higher
Question: Will Tunisia hold a constitutional referendum before 1 August 2022?
On 13 December 2021, Tunisian President Kais Saied announced that the country would hold a referendum on a new constitution on 25 July 2022, exactly one year after he froze parliament and took over political control of the country (Economist, France 24, Brookings Institution). A referendum on either a new constitution or amendments to the existing constitution would count.
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2021-12-17; closed: 2022-07-25
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Between April 2022 and June 2023, when will Japan's Consumer Price Index all items less fresh food (CPI ex FF) exceed 2.0% for three consecutive months?
On 28 April 2022, the Bank of Japan released a statement saying, among other things, that it "will continue expanding the monetary base until the year-on-year rate of increase in the observed consumer price index (CPI, all items less fresh food) exceeds 2 percent and stays above the target in a stable manner" (Bank of Japan - Monetary Policy Releases 2022, Bank of Japan - Statement on Monetary Policy 28 April 2022). The outcome will be determined using data from the Statistics Bureau of Japan as reported by e-Stat (e-Stat - CPI). For February 2022, Japan's year-over-year CPI ex FF was 0.6% (e-Stat - CPI March 2022, download Table number "1-1, Subgroup Index for Japan" for "Monthly" and see sheet "am01-1 (3)" for  "Monthly, % Change over the year." The relevant data are under "All items, less fresh food." The question could close as of the first day after the third consecutive month of CPI ex FF above 2.0%. The previous 12 months of data are also available at Trading Economics (Trading Economics).
Tags: Society, Economic Policy, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2022-05-13; closed: 2022-07-01
Options: Before September 2022, Between September 2022 and January 2023, Between February 2023 and June 2023, Not before July 2023
Answer: Before September 2022
Question: When will the European Central Bank (ECB) next announce that it will raise its deposit facility interest rate?
As inflation rages globally, there is speculation that the ECB could raise interest rates as soon as this year (US News & World Report, NASDAQ). The outcome will be determined using press releases from the ECB on "Monetary policy decisions" (ECB - Press Releases). As of the launch of this question, the ECB's "Deposit facility" rate was -0.5% (ECB - Key ECB Interest Rates). The ECB meeting calendar may be found here: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html. The question would close as of the date of the announcement, not the date the raise would take effect (e.g., ECB - Press Release 10 March 2016).
Tags: Business, Finance, Economic Policy, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-03-25; closed: 2022-07-21
Options: Before 1 July 2022, Between 1 July 2022 and 30 September 2022, Between 1 October 2022 and 31 December 2022, Not before 1 January 2023
Answer: Between 1 July 2022 and 30 September 2022
Question: As of 15 July 2022, how many refugees will have fled Ukraine since 24 February 2022, according to UNHCR?
Millions of Ukrainians have fled their country since Russia invaded in February 2022, with millions more internally displaced (BBC, UNHCR - Ukraine situation: Flash Update #7). The question will be suspended on 15 July 2022 and the outcome determined using data as provided by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) agency on 19 July 2022 (UNHCR - Ukraine Refugee Situation).
Tags: Society, Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2022-04-15; closed: 2022-07-15
Options: Fewer than 6.4 million, Between 6.4 million and 7.6 million, inclusive, More than 7.6 million but fewer than 8.8 million, Between 8.8 million and 10.0 million, More than 10.0 million but fewer than 11.2 million, Between 11.2 million and 12.4 million, inclusive, More than 12.4 million
Answer: Between 8.8 million and 10.0 million
Question: Between 29 April 2022 and 1 December 2022, will the United States launch either an ICBM or a submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) with an estimated range of at least 10,000 km?
After the US delayed then canceled an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) test amid Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Russia subsequently tested a new ICBM of its own (US News & World Report, Space.com). For the purposes of this question, the estimated range of a launched ICBM or SLBM will be determined using data and reporting provided by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), then open source reporting if needed (CSIS). If an estimate provided is a range (e.g., between 9,000km and 11,000km), the high end of the range will be used to determine if the launch qualifies. A missile will be deemed to have launched if there is credible reporting that the ICBM left the ground or SLBM cleared the water and its first stage ignited.
Tags: Technology, Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-04-29; closed: 2022-07-18
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: How many total Southwest Land Border Encounters will be reported in the US from April 2022 through June 2022 by US Customs and Border Protection (CBP)?
The flow of people illegally crossing the US border with Mexico remains a hot political issue (Economist, ABC 15, Pew Research). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2022 and the outcome determined using data as reported by CBP for the months of April, May, and June 2022 (US Customs and Border Protection). For April 2021, CBP reported a total of 178,795 encounters in the US southwest.
Tags: Society, US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-02-18; closed: 2022-07-01
Options: Fewer than 250,000, Between 250,000 and 400,000, inclusive, More than 400,000 but fewer than 550,000, Between 550,000 and 700,000, inclusive, More than 700,000
Answer: Between 550,000 and 700,000, inclusive