jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: How many total Model 3 and Model Y vehicles will Tesla deliver to customers in 2021 and 2022?
Adding to ongoing Model 3 car deliveries, Tesla began Model Y SUV deliveries ahead of schedule during the first quarter of 2020 (Reuters). Combined deliveries of Model 3 and Model Y vehicles during Q1 2020 totaled 76,266 (Tesla). The outcome will be determined using Tesla's official quarterly updates once available, typically found here https://ir.tesla.com/financial-information/quarterly-results.This question is the longer-term companion of question #1646. The questions are substantively the same, save for the relevant time period. While they are companions, they are independent questions and the resolution of one will not necessarily impact the other.
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2020-06-05; closed: 2021-07-01
Options: Fewer than 700,000, Between 700,000 and 1,200,000, inclusive, More than 1,200,000 but fewer than 1,700,000, Between 1,700,000 and 2,200,000, inclusive, More than 2,200,000
Answer: Between 1,700,000 and 2,200,000, inclusive
Question: Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will the European Union delay and/or relax the implementation and/or enforcement of any of its CO2 emission performance standards for new passenger cars and/or new light commercial vehicles?
Due to impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, the auto industry in the EU is seeking relief from CO2 emission performance standards regulations (European Automobile Manufacturers Association, Europa, Electrive). For more information on EU CO2 emission performance standards, see REGULATION (EU) 2019/631, particularly Article 4 and the annexes. The date a change would take effect is immaterial to the resolution of this question.This question is the longer-term companion of question #1619. The questions are substantively the same, save for the relevant time period. While they are companions, they are independent questions and the resolution of one will not necessarily impact the other.
Tags: Business, Technology, Environment
Question opened: 2020-05-15; closed: 2021-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will US holiday season retail sales be for 2022 relative to the 2021 holiday season?
As high inflation and inventory issues persist in the US, retail sales are being closely watched (NASDAQ, Axios, FRED, Investopedia). The outcome will be determined using seasonally adjusted "Retail Trade and Food Services, ex Auto and Gas" data from the US Census Bureau for November and December 2022 relative to the same period in 2021, expected to be released in January 2023 (US Census Bureau). To retrieve the data, under the "Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report" section, select "Time Series/Trend Charts: Create your own customizable time series." Do the following in each of the five options: (1) select "Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services," (2) set Start at 2021 and End at 2022, (3) select "44W72: Retail Trade and Food Services, ex Auto and Gas," (4) select "Sales - Monthly," (5) select "U.S. Total," and leave only "Seasonally Adjusted" checked. As of 29 June 2022, the Bureau reported combined sales for November and December 2021 of 923,537 (millions of dollars).
Tags: Business, Society, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2022-07-01; closed: 2023-01-01
Options: Lower by 5.0% or more, Lower by more than 2.5% but less than 5.0%, Lower by between 0.0% and 2.5%, inclusive, Higher by more than 0.0% but less than 2.5%, Higher by between 2.5% and 5.0%, inclusive, Higher by more than 5.0% but less than 7.5%, Higher by 7.5% or more
Answer: Higher by more than 5.0% but less than 7.5%
Question: What will be the percentage increase in the producer price index (PPI) for "Self-Service Storage and Miniwarehouses" for December 2022 as compared to December 2021?
The market for self-storage space is continuing to expand, even in the face of rising inflation across the economy (REjournals). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and the outcome determined using data as first provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for "Self-Service Storage and Miniwarehouses, Gross Rents" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in January 2023 (FRED).
Tags: Business, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2022-03-30; closed: 2023-01-01
Options: Less than 5.0%, Between 5.0% and 8.0%, inclusive, More than 8.0% but less than 12.0%, Between 12.0% and 15.0%, inclusive, More than 15.0%
Answer: Between 12.0% and 15.0%, inclusive
Question: Will the annual rate of inflation in the European Union reach or exceed 4.0% in December 2022?
Inflation is rising around the world, and the European Union is no exception (IMF, National World). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and the outcome determined using the annual rate of change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), data used to measure consumer price inflation in the EU, as first reported by Eurostat for "European Union - 27 countries (from 2020)" (Eurostat). As of the launch of this question, the annual rate of change for November 2021 (2021M11) was 5.2%.
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-02-25; closed: 2023-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter of 2022?
As China continues to deal with COVID outbreaks and a distressed property market, its economic growth has slowed (CNBC, Al Jazeera, Guardian). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from China's National Bureau of Statistics as first reported by Trading Economics, expected in January 2023 (Trading Economics).
Tags: Business, Economic Policy, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2022-08-26; closed: 2023-01-01
Options: Less than 0.0%, Between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive, More than 2.0% but less than 4.0%, Between 4.0% and 6.0%, inclusive, More than 6.0% but less than 8.0%, 8.0% or more
Answer: More than 2.0% but less than 4.0%
Question: How many business applications will be made in the US in 2022?
Despite the COVID-19 pandemic, a record number of business applications were made in 2020 (CBS News, Bloomberg, Economic Innovation Group). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and outcome determined using data as reported by the US Census Bureau (Census Bureau, parameters are set with the link, Census Bureau - Business Formation Statistics Methodology).
Tags: Business, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2021-09-17; closed: 2023-01-01
Options: Fewer than 4.2 million, Between 4.2 million and 4.8 million, inclusive, More than 4.8 million but fewer than 5.4 million, Between 5.4 million and 6.0 million, inclusive, More than 6.0 million
Answer: More than 4.8 million but fewer than 5.4 million
Question: Before 15 January 2023, will federal legislation that would force the social media app TikTok to cease operating in the US become law?
Amid continuing concerns that TikTok could be used by the Chinese government to spy on Americans, a bill was introduced in Congress that would effectively ban the app from being used in the US (US News & World Report, Rubio.Senate.gov, The Week). The date the legislation would take effect would be immaterial, and the exact duration of TikTok not being able to operate in the US would be immaterial. The legislation need not explicitly name TikTok to count so long as the legislation's applicability to TikTok is clear.
Tags: Business, Society, Entertainment, Foreign Policy, US Politics, Security and Conflict, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-12-16; closed: 2023-01-15
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December 2022?
US inflation hit multi-decade highs in early 2022, due to various factors including monetary policy, supply chain issues, and consequences from Russia's invasion of Ukraine (AP, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and the outcome determined using the 12-month percentage change as first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for "All items" in January 2023 (BLS). For December 2021, the change was 7.0%.
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators, US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-04-15; closed: 2023-01-01
Options: Lower than 3.5%, Between 3.5% and 5.0%, inclusive, Higher than 5.0% but lower than 6.5%, Between 6.5% and 8.0%, inclusive, Higher than 8.0% but lower than 9.5%, 9.5% or higher
Answer: Between 6.5% and 8.0%, inclusive
Question: Before 1 January 2023, how many major automakers will sell a self-driving passenger vehicle manufactured without a steering wheel?
Many automakers are planning to unveil more autonomous vehicles in the coming years (NHTSA, U.S. News). For the purposes of this question, "major automakers" refers to any of the 50 motor vehicle manufacturers included by the International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers in its 2017 list (OICA). This question will be suspended on 30 June 2021. Vehicles on sale solely for fixed routes (e.g., shuttles) would not count. Presales would not count.
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2020-05-22; closed: 2021-07-01
Options: 0, 1, 2, 3 or more
Answer: 0
Question: Before 1 January 2023, will a ride-hailing service open to the public which uses autonomous vehicles be launched and/or tested on public roads in Dubai?
Dubai aims to be a leading location in the deployment of autonomous vehicles and has an agreement with Cruise for the deployment of a ride-hailing service by 2023, though testing may start sooner (Khaleej Times, CNBC, Khaleej Times). Testing must include members of the public as passengers to count. A service that operates along a fixed route (e.g., shuttles) would not count. A service involving back-up drivers present in the vehicle would not count, but a service involving remote back-up operators would count. A qualifying service which requires rider prescreening or registration before use would count, and payment for service is not required.
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2021-10-01; closed: 2023-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Which team will win the 2023 College Football Playoff national championship?
The two semifinal games are scheduled for 31 December 2021, and the national championship game is scheduled for 9  January 2022 in Inglewood, California (NCAA).
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2022-12-09; closed: 2023-01-09
Options: Georgia Bulldogs, Michigan Wolverines, Ohio State Buckeyes, Texas Christian University (TCU) Horned Frogs
Answer: Georgia Bulldogs
Question: Will Greece or Turkey publicly accuse the other of using a weapon against its national military, militia, and/or law enforcement forces before 29 April 2023?
Tensions are high between the historical rivals and NATO members over various territorial claims in the Aegean and Mediterranean Seas (Voice of America, Al Jazeera, Yahoo News). For the purposes of this question, drones may be considered part of "forces" if so claimed by the accusing party's forces. Accusations of "warning shots" being fired would count. An accusation of a vessel or aircraft deliberately ramming another would count, but accidental collisions would not. Cyberattacks would not count. Both the accused use and the accusation must occur during the question's open period to count.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-10-28; closed: 2023-01-05
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: How many Cybertrucks will Tesla deliver to customers in 2022?
Tesla recently announced it will manufacture the Cybertruck at its new factory location in Austin, TX (Digital Trends, The Verge, Teslarati, Inverse). The outcome will be determined using Tesla's official quarterly updates once available, typically found here: https://ir.tesla.com/financial-information/quarterly-results.
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2020-08-21; closed: 2021-07-01
Options: Fewer than 25,000, Between 25,000 and 100,000, inclusive, More than 100,000 but fewer than 175,000, Between 175,000 and 250,000, inclusive, More than 250,000
Answer: Fewer than 25,000
Question: Before 1 January 2023, how many major automakers will debut a passenger vehicle powered by a solid-state battery?
Recent advances in battery technology, particularly solid-state batteries, could give rise to a new generation of electric vehicles (Car and Driver, Electrek. Some companies have announced plans to debut such vehicles, even if not necessarily for mass production yet (Road/Show, Digital Trends). For examples of vehicle debuts, see: CNBC, Axios. For the purposes of this question, "major automakers" refers to any of the 50 motor vehicle manufacturers included by the International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers in its 2017 list (OICA). A vehicle would not need to be solely powered by solid-state batteries to count.
Tags: Business, Technology, Environment
Question opened: 2020-08-14; closed: 2021-07-01
Options: 0, 1 or 2, 3 or 4, 5 or 6, 7 or more
Answer: 0
Question: Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon or a subsidiary use a Zoox autonomous vehicle to deliver a package and/or for a public ride-hailing service?
In late June 2020, Amazon acquired self-driving technology company Zoox for approximately $1.3 billion (CNBC, Forbes). While Amazon has framed the acquisition as a move into ride-hailing, there is speculation that the move could lead to greater automation of package deliveries (Amazon, India Times, Forbes). An autonomous vehicle with a backup driver would count for resolution. A public ride-hailing service does not need to involve payment to count for resolution.
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2020-08-14; closed: 2021-07-01
Options: Yes, only to deliver a package but not for a public ride-hailing service, Yes, only a for public ride-hailing service but not to deliver a package, Yes, both to deliver a package and for a public ride-hailing service, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will legislation enabling the creation of federal safety standards for autonomous vehicles (AVs) become law?
Congress has yet to adopt legislation to create federal safety standards for the testing and/or use of AVs (The Hill, Federation of American Scientists, Congress.gov (House Bill), Congress.gov (Senate Bill)). Legislators are renewing efforts the 116th Congress, though the COVID-19 pandemic has acted as a "bump in the road" (The Hill, Legal Reader). The date the law and/or standards would take effect is immaterial.This question is the longer-term companion of question #1658. The questions are substantively the same, save for the relevant time period. If the shorter-term question closes Yes, then this longer-term question will be voided.
Tags: Technology, US Politics
Question opened: 2020-06-16; closed: 2021-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will a firm or paid backup driver operating a self-driving vehicle face criminal charges in relation to an accident involving a self-driving vehicle in the U.S.?
Legal liability for accidents involving self-driving vehicles and features allowing autonomous driving continue to evolve (Ars Technica, ABC News, NY Times, Centre for International Governance Innovation). The charges for a firm or backup driver are not required to be related to the same accident for resolving this question.This question is the longer-term companion of question #1695. The questions are substantively the same, save for the relevant time period. While they are companions, they are independent questions and the resolution of one will not necessarily impact the other.
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2020-07-10; closed: 2021-07-01
Options: Yes, a firm, Yes, a paid backup driver, Yes, both, No
Answer: No
Question: Will single-use plastic bags be banned in all of the UAE before 8 January 2023?
Abu Dhabi and Dubai, the two largest of the emirates that make up the UAE, have considered bans on various single-use plastic products, including bags (Gulf Business, Arabian Business, Euronews). A ban imposed either by the UAE government or all seven individual emirate governments would count. The ban must take effect during the question's open period to count. A ban with limited exceptions (e.g., medical uses) would count.
Tags: Business, Environment, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2021-09-24; closed: 2023-01-08
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 July 2023, will the People's Republic of China (PRC) cease to require travelers from outside of China to quarantine?
While Hong Kong lifted its compulsory quarantine requirement for travelers outside of China in September 2022, such requirements remain for travelers to the PRC mainland (Government of Hong Kong, US Embassy in China, US News & World Report, CNN). For the purposes of this question, "outside of China" means anywhere other than the Chinese mainland, Hong Kong, Macao, or Taiwan. The general removal of the requirements with exceptions would count so long as travel from at least six G7 nations is permitted without quarantine (Canada G7). An announcement that the PRC will cease to require travelers from outside of China to quarantine at some future date after 30 June 2023 would not count.
Tags: Business, Society, Health, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-11-04; closed: 2023-01-07
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Who will next be elected Speaker of the US House of Representatives?
As of late afternoon on 4 January 2023, the House of Representatives has held six votes to elect a Speaker of the House, which is necessary before other House business may proceed (BBC, The Hill). If a Speaker of the House is elected on 4 January 2023 (PT), the question will be voided.
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, US Politics
Question opened: 2023-01-05; closed: 2023-01-07
Options: Hakeem Jeffries, Jim Jordan, Kevin McCarthy, Steve Scalise, Someone else, No one will be elected Speaker of the House of Representatives before 21 January 2023
Answer: Kevin McCarthy
Question: Which NFL team will win the AFC North division in the 2022 season?
The outcome will be determined using the division standings as reported by the NFL (NFL).
Tags: Business, Sports, Entertainment
Question opened: 2022-09-02; closed: 2023-01-06
Options: Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Pittsburgh Steelers
Answer: Cincinnati Bengals
Question: Between 18 March 2022 and 30 December 2022, what will be the highest four-week average of US field production of crude oil?
Oil prices have seen new multiyear highs amid Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which may incentivize US producers to increase production (The Hill, Valley News Live). The outcome will be determined using the "4-Week Avg U.S. Field Production of Crude Oil" data (which is displayed in thousands of barrels per day) as reported by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) (EIA). A weekly figure must have its "End Date" between 18 March 2022 and 30 December 2022 to count. On 16 February 2022, before Russia's invasion, the EIA forecasted domestic production would increase to 12.0 million barrels per day in 2022 (EIA - Today in Energy).
Tags: Business, Technology, US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-03-11; closed: 2022-12-31
Options: Less than 11,800 thousand b/d, Between 11,800 and 12,200 thousand b/d, inclusive, More than 12,200 but less than 12,600 thousand b/d, Between 12,600 and 13,000 thousand b/d, inclusive, More than 13,000 thousand b/d but less than 13,400 thousand b/d, 13,400 thousand b/d or more
Answer: Between 11,800 and 12,200 thousand b/d, inclusive
Question: How many Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) will be registered in the UK in 2022, according to the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT)?
The outcome will be determined using the "Year to date" data table for all of 2022 from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders report released in January 2023, typically on the fourth working day of the month (SMMT - Car Registrations, SMMT). For example, as of November 2021, 163,022 Battery Electric Vehicles were registered in the UK in 2021 (SMMT - News 6 December 2021).
Tags: Business, Technology, Environment
Question opened: 2021-12-13; closed: 2023-01-01
Options: Fewer than 150,000, Between 150,000 and 200,000, inclusive, More than 200,000 but fewer than 250,000, Between 250,000 and 300,000, inclusive, More than 300,000 but fewer than 350,000, 350,000 or more
Answer: Between 250,000 and 300,000, inclusive
Question: Between 16 September 2022 and 31 December 2022, will anti-government protests in Iran result in 1,000 or more protester fatalities, according to Iran Human Rights?
Widespread protests have broken out in Iran after a woman who was arrested for breaking hijab rules died in police custody (NPR, Al-Monitor, CBS News). Fatalities must occur during the question's duration to qualify, though not necessarily at the same time. As of 12 October 2022, Iran Human Rights reported that 201 protesters had been killed (Iran Human Rights). The outcome will be determined using available information no later than 4 January 2023.
Tags: Society, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2022-10-14; closed: 2023-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: At close of business on 30 December 2022, will Apple be the most valuable publicly traded company in the world?
On 31 July 2020, Apple passed Saudi Aramco to become the world's most valuable publicly traded company, though Microsoft briefly held the title in 2021 (CNBC, US News & World Report). The outcome will be determined using market capitalization data as provided by the Companies Market Cap website on 30 December 2022 at approximately 5:00PM ET (Companies Market Cap).
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2022-01-28; closed: 2022-12-30
Options: Yes, the most valuable in the world, No, but the most valuable in the United States, No
Answer: Yes, the most valuable in the world
Question: Will Apple's end-of-day closing market capitalization reach or exceed $3 trillion before 31 December 2022?
Apple, one of the largest publicly traded companies in the world, briefly hit $3 trillion in market capitalization in January 2022 during intraday trading, but has never closed at that level (CNBC, Investopedia - Market Capitalization). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Companies Market Cap website (Companies Market Cap).
Tags: Business, Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2022-08-19; closed: 2022-12-30
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: At close of business on 31 December 2022, what will be the upper limit of the US federal funds target range?
The Federal Reserve has begun tightening monetary policy as the US faces historic levels of inflation (CNBC). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED) (FRED, Federal Reserve). As of Friday 27 May 2022, the upper limit of the US federal funds target range was 1.00%.
Tags: Business, Finance, Economic Policy, US Policy
Question opened: 2022-05-27; closed: 2022-12-31
Options: Lower than 1.75, Between 1.75 and 2.25, inclusive, Higher than 2.25 but lower than 3.25, Between 3.25 and 3.75, inclusive, Higher than 3.75
Answer: Higher than 3.75
Question: Between 30 October 2021 and 31 December 2022, will the Council of the European Union impose new restrictive measures (sanctions) on China over human rights violations and abuses in Xinjiang?
On 22 March 2021, the Council imposed restrictive measures against four Chinese officials and one Chinese entity for human rights abuses in Xinjiang, the first such sanctions since the Tiananmen Square crackdown in 1989 (BBC, Reuters, EUR-Lex, European Commission). The imposition of  restrictive measures against additional Chinese entities and Chinese individuals  under the existing restrictive measures regulation would count.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2021-10-29; closed: 2023-01-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No