jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: In National Institute of Family and Life Advocates v. Becerra, will the Supreme Court rule that any state-licensed healthcare providers were improperly denied an injunction over California's Reproductive FACT Act?
In 2016, the National Institute of Family and Life Advocates (NIFLA) challenged the constitutionality of California's FACT Act's requirement that licensed healthcare providers post notices about the availability of state abortion programs, asking for a preliminary injunction of the law. That injunction was denied; a decision which was upheld by the US Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit (Oyez) (SCOTUSblog). NIFLA is challenging this ruling in the Supreme Court (SCOTUS Blog) (Roll Call). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: Society, Health
Question opened: 2018-03-14; closed: 2018-06-26
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: In Trump v. Hawaii, will the Supreme Court rule on whether the September 2017 Presidential Proclamation on immigration violates or likely violates the Establishment Clause of the Constitution?
Question opened: 2018-04-04; closed: 2018-06-26
Options: Yes, and will rule that it does, Yes, and will rule that it does not, No
Answer: Yes, and will rule that it does not
Question: What will be the closing spot price for Brent crude oil on 22 June 2018?
Oil prices have recently been on an upward trajectory, in part over geopolitics in the Middle East (Financial Times). Outcome will be determined by the daily closing spot price for wholesale Brent crude oil reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration. For historical prices on a slight delay, see: EIA, tick the box for 'Brent - Europe' and click 'Graph' to generate.
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2018-05-16; closed: 2018-06-21
Options: Less than $70 per barrel, Between $70 and $75 per barrel, inclusive, More than $75 but less than $80 per barrel, Between $80 and $85 per barrel, inclusive, More than $85 per barrel
Answer: Between $70 and $75 per barrel, inclusive
Question: What will be the closing value for the Bovespa Stock Market Index on 22 June 2018?
Brazil's economy is facing increasing headwinds (Reuters, Financial Times). This question will be resolved using the closing value reported by Bloomberg for 22 June 2018.
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2018-05-09; closed: 2018-06-22
Options: Less than 70,000, Between 70,000 and 80,000 inclusive, More than 80,000 but less than 90,000, Between 90,000 and 100,000 inclusive, 100,000 or more
Answer: Between 70,000 and 80,000 inclusive
Question: In Carpenter v. United States, will the Supreme Court rule that investigators' warrantless use of Timothy Carpenter's cellphone records was unconstitutional?
In 2016, U.S. Court of Appeals for the 6th Circuit ruled that prosecutors legally used historical cellular phone location records obtained without a warrant to convict two men, Timothy Carpenter and Timothy Sanders, of armed robbery. Those men contend that the seizure of those records without a warrant was unconstitutional. The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: Society, US Policy
Question opened: 2017-11-03; closed: 2018-06-22
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: In Dalmazzi v. United States, will the Supreme Court rule that Judge Martin Mitchell was disqualified to rule on Nicole Dalmazzi's appeal before the Air Force Court of Criminal Appeals?
In 2016, the US Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces dismissed (SCOTUS Blog) Nicole DalmazziÍs objections to Judge Martin Mitchell serving as an appellate military judge on the Air Force Court of Criminal Appeals (AFCCA) while  also serving as a military judge on the United States Court of Military Commission Review (USCMCR). Dalmazzi claimed that Judge MitchellÍs appointment to the USCMCR disqualified him to serve as an appellate judge on the AFCCA due to the statutory ban on dual-officeholding by civil servants (SCOTUS Blog, SCOTUS Blog). Dalmazzi also claims that simultaneous service on both the AFCCA and the USCMCR violates the Appointments Clause of the US constitution. The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: Society, US Policy
Question opened: 2018-01-16; closed: 2018-06-22
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: In South Dakota v. Wayfair, Inc., will the Supreme Court rule that a state may impose sales taxes on retail sales by firms that do not have a physical presence in the state?
Currently, under the Supreme Court’s decision in Quill Corp. v. North Dakota , states and their political subdivisions are not permitted to impose sales taxes on sales made by firms that do not have a physical presence within their jurisdiction (Cornell Law). This decision has prevented state and local governments from imposing sales taxes on Internet sales (Reuters). The state of South Dakota is asking the Supreme Court to revisit its decision in Quill (SCOTUS Blog, Bloomberg BNA, E-Commerce Times).  The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: Society, US Policy
Question opened: 2018-03-14; closed: 2018-06-21
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: In Gill v. Whitford, will the Supreme Court rule that any part of Wisconsin's redistricting plan is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander?
In November 2016, the District Court for the Western District of Wisconsin ruled 2-1 that the state legislature's redistricting plan was unconstitutional (Reuters, NBC News, SCOTUS Blog). The Supreme Court agreed in July 2017 to hear an appeal (NY Times).  Oral arguments are currently scheduled to be heard on 3 October 2017.
Tags: US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2017-09-01; closed: 2018-06-20
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will the closing price of the Brazilian real-to-US dollar exchange rate be on 15 June 2018?
This question will be resolved using the closing price reported by Bloomberg for 15 June 2018.
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2018-05-09; closed: 2018-06-15
Options: Less than 3.3000, Between 3.3000 and 3.6000, inclusive, More than 3.6000
Answer: More than 3.6000
Question: In Minnesota Voters Alliance v. Mansky, will the Supreme Court rule that the state's ban on political apparel at polling places is facially unconstitutional?
Last year, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 8th Circuit ruled that Minnesota Statute ¤ 211B.11, banning political apparel at the polling place, did not violate the federal constitution (SCOTUS Blog, The Office of the Revisor of Statutes, Minnesota). Plaintiffs appealed to the Supreme Court, asserting that the law violates First Amendment protections for free speech. A Supreme Court ruling that the state's ban on political apparel at polling places is as-applied unconstitutional will not count. For more information on what constitutes a "facial" challenge like the one in this case, as opposed to an "as-applied" challenge, see here. The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: Society, US Policy
Question opened: 2018-02-28; closed: 2018-06-14
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Will President Trump and North Korea's Kim Jong Un meet before 1 July 2018?
Question opened: 2018-03-21; closed: 2018-06-11
Options: Yes, in North Korea (excluding the DMZ), Yes, in South Korea (excluding the DMZ), Yes, in the Korean Demilitarized Zone (DMZ), Yes, in the United States, Yes, in China, Yes, in Russia, Yes, in Mongolia, Yes, in Switzerland, Yes, in Sweden, Yes, in international waters, Yes, somewhere not listed above, No
Answer: Yes, somewhere not listed above
Question: In Husted v. A. Philip Randolph Institute, will the Supreme Court rule that Ohio's supplemental process for voter registration list-maintenance is legal?
In 2016, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 6th Circuit ruled that the state of Ohio's supplemental process  for purging the names of inactive voters from its rolls was illegal because it violated the National Voter Registration Act of 1993 and the Help America Vote Act of 2002. The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no. Rulings about the content of confirmation notices will not affect the resolution of the question.
Tags: Society, US Policy
Question opened: 2017-11-03; closed: 2018-06-11
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: What will be the closing price of Bitcoin on 8 June 2018, according to CNBC?
The question will be resolved based on the closing price reported at CNBC using the 1Y graph. The closing price can be found by hovering your cursor over the relevant date.
Tags: Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2018-05-09; closed: 2018-06-08
Options: Less than $8,000, Between $8,000 and $9,000, inclusive, More than $9,000 but less than $10,000, Between $10,000 and $11,000, inclusive, $11,000 or more
Answer: Less than $8,000
Question: What will be the yield spread between the US 10 Year Treasury and the US 3 Month Treasury on 1 June 2018?
Outcome will be determined by the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity percentage given by FRED.
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2018-05-09; closed: 2018-06-01
Options: Less than 0.90, Between 0.90 and 1.10, inclusive, More than 1.10 but less than 1.30, Between 1.30 and 1.50, inclusive, More than 1.50
Answer: Between 0.90 and 1.10, inclusive
Question: In Masterpiece Cakeshop, Ltd. v. Colorado Civil Rights Commission, will the Supreme Court rule that the application of a Colorado anti-discrimination law to compel Jack Phillips to make a cake for a same-sex wedding violates any of his First Amendment rights?
In 2015, the Colorado Court of Appeals ruled that Jack Phillips, owner of Masterpiece Cakeshop, Ltd, violated the Colorado Anti-Discrimination Act by refusing to make a cake for the wedding of a local gay couple. Phillips refused because of his religious beliefs regarding same-sex marriage.  The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: Society, US Policy
Question opened: 2017-11-03; closed: 2018-06-04
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Before 2 June 2018, will the Trump administration exempt Mexico from steel tariffs set to be imposed on 1 June 2018?
Question opened: 2018-05-16; closed: 2018-06-01
Options: Yes, permanently, Yes, temporarily, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 15 August 2017 and 1 June 2018, how many European Union countries will announce the opening of an embassy in Libya?
For the purposes of this question, the EU Delegation to Libya will count. The EU is actively monitoring the Libyan security situation and some countries are considering opening their embassies (Euractiv, European External Action Service, Press TV, CNN).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2017-08-15; closed: 2018-06-01
Options: 0, 1-2, 3-4, more than 4
Answer: 0
Question: In US v. California, will the District Court grant any preliminary injunctions against enforcement of California's “sanctuary laws"?
Question opened: 2018-03-21; closed: 2018-06-01
Options: Yes, against Assembly Bill 450 only, Yes, against Senate Bill 54 only, Yes, against Assembly Bill 103 only, Yes, against two or more of the bills, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 October 2018, will a referendum repealing or amending Ireland's 'right-to-life' Eighth Amendment pass?
There is growing discussion regarding the repeal of Ireland's Eighth Amendment, which bans most abortions (Irish Statute Book, Irish Times). Prior to the referendum, the government will publish a bill outlining the exact text of the referendum (Irish Times, BBC).
Tags: Society, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2018-03-07; closed: 2018-05-25
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: In Murphy v. NCAA, will the Supreme Court rule that Congress cannot prohibit New Jersey from amending or repealing its existing prohibitions on sports gambling?
In 2016, the US Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit ruled that the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act (PASPA) prohibited the state of New Jersey from repealing certain laws regarding sports gambling (The Chicago Tribune). New Jersey appealed that decision to the Supreme Court, arguing that Congress does not have the authority to prohibit amendment or repeal of those laws (SCOTUSBlog, The Washington Post). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: Society, US Policy, By a count of 7-2, the question closed with "Yes" with an end date of 14 May., (SCOTUS)
Question opened: 2017-12-08; closed: 2018-05-14
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Who will win the Republican Party primary for the Indiana U.S. Senate race in 2018?
The 2018 Indiana U.S. Senate race was described by Politico as being "the GOPÍs best opportunity to seize a Senate seat from Democrats" (Politico). The Republican primary is expected to be especially competitive and contentious (The Washington Post).
Tags: US Politics
Question opened: 2018-03-14; closed: 2018-05-08
Options: Luke Messer, Todd Rokita, Mike Braun, None of the above
Answer: Mike Braun
Question: Before 1 May 2018, will a ballistic missile defense system shoot at a North Korean missile launch?
In recent months, North Korea has increased the pace of its ballistic missile testing program. In response, many of its neighbors have invested in ballistic missile defense (New York Times, USNI, SCMP, The Diplomat).
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-10-24; closed: 2018-05-01
Options: Yes, and the North Korean missile flight path will be interrupted, Yes, but the North Korean missile flight path will NOT be interrupted, No
Answer: No
Question: In Jesner v. Arab Bank, PLC, will the Supreme Court rule that aliens can sue a corporation under the Alien Tort Statute?
In 2015, U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit ruled that the US Alien Tort Statute (ATS) did not permit lawsuits against corporations. In this case, Joseph Jesner and other plaintiffs filed suit against a Jordanian bank for its accused role in terrorist incidents outside of the United States. The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: Society, US Policy
Question opened: 2017-11-03; closed: 2018-04-24
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Kim Jong-un and Moon Jae-in meet before 1 November 2018?
South Korean President Moon Jae-in has said that he would be willing to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un (The Guardian, NY Times, CNN, Straits Times).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-10-24; closed: 2018-04-26
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: In United States v. Microsoft Corp, will the Supreme Court rule that the government can use a warrant to compel the disclosure of records stored outside of the United States?
In 2016, the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit ruled that Microsoft did not have to comply with a warrant for records stored outside of the US, and the government appealed (SCOUTS Blog, Reuters).  The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: Society, US Policy
Question opened: 2017-12-01; closed: 2018-04-17
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Alexei Navalny be imprisoned or placed under house arrest between 10 January 2018 and 8 April 2018?
Navalny has been incarcerated many times for reasons ranging from unauthorized protests to embezzlement (Deutsche Welle, Bloomberg). Although the Central Election Committee of the Russian Federation has barred him from running in the upcoming presidential elections, Navalny has continued to express his political aspirations (The Economist, The Economist).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2018-01-10; closed: 2018-04-06
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 October 2018, will the water ministers of Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan meet to resume technical negotiations over the Renaissance Dam?
Water ministers refer to Egypt's Minister of Water Resources and Irrigation, Ethiopia's Minister of Water Irrigation and Electricity, and Sudan's Minister of Electricity and Water Resources. Construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), located in Ethiopia, is more than halfway complete. However, ongoing technical negotiations between Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan have hit a roadblock as Egypt has concerns over its downstream access to Nile water (Arab News, Stratfor, Global Construction Review).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2018-02-07; closed: 2018-04-05
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Before 1 April 2018, will President Trump sign legislation protecting DACA participants from deportation?
On September 5, Attorney General Jeff Sessions announced that no new applications under the Obama Administration-era Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program will be processed, and that renewals for those already granted permits under the program will be granted through the next six months (Chicago Sun Times, CNN). President Trump has called on Congress to pass legislation to codify the program before those six months end (Bloomberg). Legal protections of any duration will count.
Tags: US Policy
Question opened: 2017-10-20; closed: 2018-04-01
Options: Yes, and that legislation will apply to all DACA participants, Yes, but that legislation will not apply to all DACA participants, No
Answer: No
Question: On 30 March 2018, how many GitHub forks will Baidu's Apollo autonomous driving software have?
In July 2017, the Chinese web services company Baidu released "Apollo," an open source autonomous driving operating system (Apollo, Fossbytes). Apollo is available on a GitHub repository, where developers can download the code, modify it, and suggest changes to Baidu. Developers who want to contribute to the Apollo source code must "fork" the repository.  For more information on GitHub "forks," visit GitHub's tutorial on the topic. This question will be resolved using Apollo's GitHub repository, which provides an ongoing tally of "forks" in the top right corner.
Tags: Technology
Question opened: 2017-09-08; closed: 2018-03-30
Options: Less than 1,750, Between 1,750 and 2,000, inclusive, Between 2,001 and 3,000, inclusive, More than 3,000
Answer: Between 2,001 and 3,000, inclusive
Question: Which team will win the 2018 NCAA Division I Women's Basketball Championship?
The 2018 NCAA Division I Women's Basketball Championship will be held on 1 April 2018 (NCAA). The names of the regional champions will be substituted in once known.
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2018-03-14; closed: 2018-04-01
Options: A team from the Albany region, A team from the Kansas City region, A team from the Spokane region, A team from the Lexington region
Answer: A team from the Spokane region
Question: Before 1 April 2018, will General Motors test an autonomous vehicle in New York City?
Cruise Automation, the self-driving unit of General Motors, recently announced its intention to test autonomous Chevy Bolts in New York City a high regulation, high density location. Tests conducted with backup drivers or engineers in the car will count.
Tags: Technology, Society
Question opened: 2017-11-17; closed: 2018-04-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Iran execute and/or sponsor a low or higher level cyber attack against networks owned by a US entity between 19 September 2017 and 30 November 2017?
At least part of the attack must occur during the question's open period.  The question will be suspended on 30 November 2017 and resolved on 31 January 2018 to allow for delayed reporting. The following levels of cyber attack will all count:  Low-Level Cyber Attacks create temporary and/or localized disruption of services that are dependent on networked infrastructure but do not threaten the core functionality of critical infrastructure targets. For example, a series of distributed denial of service (DDoS) attacks against banking websites-while widespread-would cause only temporary disruption of Internet access to customer's bank accounts.  They would not affect customer account balances or other banking services such as ATM withdrawals, nor would they disrupt the larger financial system, although the affected banks would incur losses because of the mitigation and other costs.Moderate-Level Cyber Attacks create localized, nonpersistent disruption to core functionality of critical services and functions but do not generate substantive systemic or national-level effects. For example, a cyber-attack that disrupted a single power plant for a couple of hours-equivalent to a temporary local power outage from a snow storm-would qualify as a moderate-level cyber attack.  High-Level Cyber Attacks disrupt critical infrastructure services and generate substantive systemic or national-level effects over an extended period of time. For example, a cyber attack that reduced oil pipeline transport across a key region and resulted in a spike in national oil prices over the course of a month would qualify as a high-level cyber attack. Catastrophic Cyber Attacks affect the fundamental viability of core government, military, or economic services or functions; or cause significant loss of life or widespread property damage. For example, a cyber attack against critical infrastructures that caused an economic depression would qualify as a catastrophic cyber attack. A US entity can be governmental, commercial, academic, nonprofit or an individual. For the question to resolve as 'yes', the government of Iran must sponsor or execute the attack.  Outcome will be determined by credible open source cybersecurity industry analysis or media reporting (e.g., Crowdstrike, FireEye, ThreatConnect, Symantec, McAfee, Reuters, BBC, AP).
Tags: Technology, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-09-19; closed: 2017-11-30
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between September 2017 and February 2018, how many people will be killed by sectarian actors in Nigeria?
Nigeria is facing increasing sectarian violence, even outside of violence attributed to Boko Haram (All Africa, Daily Post, Premium Times, IRIN). Outcome will be determined by the deaths attributed to "Sectarian Actor" on "Graph 2: Deaths by Perpetrator" on the Council on Foreign Relations Nigeria Security Tracker. The total for September through and February can be found by setting the start period at August 2017 and the end period at February 2018.
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2017-09-12; closed: 2018-02-28
Options: Less than 500, 500-750, inclusive, More than 750 but less than 1,000, 1,000 or more
Answer: 500-750, inclusive
Question: Which film will win the 2018 Academy Award® for Best Picture?
The Academy Awards® take place on March 4th (The Oscars). To enable night of forecasting,  this question will remain open through the end of March 4th. Forecasts made through roughly 15 minutes prior to the award announcement will be scored.
Tags: Society, Entertainment
Question opened: 2018-01-31; closed: 2018-03-05
Options: Call Me by Your Name, Darkest Hour, Dunkirk, Get Out, Lady Bird, Phantom Thread, The Post, The Shape of Water, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Answer: The Shape of Water
Question: Will Rachel Morrison win the 2018 Academy Award® for Best Cinematography?
Rachel Morrison is the first woman to be nominated for an Academy Award® for Best Cinematography (The Oscars, Variety). To enable night of forecasting,  this question will remain open through the end of March 4th. Forecasts made through roughly 15 minutes prior to the award announcement will be scored.
Tags: Society, Entertainment
Question opened: 2018-01-31; closed: 2018-03-05
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No