jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: What will be the end-of-day closing value for the U.S. dollar against the Russian ruble on 23 August 2019?
Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg.
Tags: Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2019-06-21; closed: 2019-08-22
Options: Less than 58.0000, Between 58.0000 and 62.0000, inclusive, More than 62.0000 but less than 66.0000, Between 66.0000 and 70.0000, inclusive, More than 70.0000
Answer: Between 66.0000 and 70.0000, inclusive
Question: Before 22 August 2019, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea?
Regional tensions have increased with attacks against commercial vessels in the Gulf of Oman and the recent downing of a U.S. drone (BBC, Reuters, NBC). The U.S. has accused Iran of being behind the vessel attacks on 13 June, though Iran denies involvement (DW, NBC). A lethal confrontation is one that results in at least one fatality (total, not each) for the national military forces of either side. For the purposes of this question, Iran's national military forces include the Revolutionary Guard Corps and Law Enforcement Forces.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2019-06-21; closed: 2019-08-21
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 17 August 2019, will retirement savings legislation known as the SECURE Act become law?
In May 2019, the U.S. House of Representatives overwhelmingly passed the Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement Act of 2019, also known as the SECURE Act (H.R. 1994), intended to bring changes to the U.S. retirement system (WSJ, CNBC, congress.gov). Senate leaders sought to quickly pass the bill, but the move was procedurally blocked by Senators objecting to the House's removal of some provisions (Investment News, Pensions & Investments). An amended version of the SECURE Act becoming law would count.
Tags: Economic Policy, US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2019-06-21; closed: 2019-08-16
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 5 August 2019, will the president submit to Congress a bill for implementation of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA)?
In November 2018, U.S. President Donald Trump, Mexican President Enrique Pe–a Nieto, and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau signed the USMCA, a trade deal intended to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) (Economist, NPR, USTR). In order to be ratified under a process known as Trade Promotion Authority, the president submitting a bill for implementation starts the clock on a timeline in which Congress must vote on the USMCA (WSJ, FAS, Politico, Senate.gov).
Tags: Economic Policy, Foreign Policy
Question opened: 2019-07-05; closed: 2019-08-04
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the domestic box office gross in the opening week for Quentin Tarantino's Once Upon a Time In Hollywood, according to Box Office Mojo?
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is the latest film from director Quentin Tarantino (IMDB, Box Office Pro, Digital Trends). The film is scheduled to be released on 26 July 2019, and the outcome will be determined with "Weekly Box Office" data for the week of 26 July to 1 August as reported by Box Office Mojo (Box Office Mojo).
Tags: Entertainment
Question opened: 2019-07-05; closed: 2019-07-25
Options: Less than $20,000,000, Between $20,000,000 and $40,000,000, inclusive, More than $40,000,000 but less than $60,000,000, Between $60,000,000 and $80,000,000, inclusive, More than $80,000,000
Answer: More than $40,000,000 but less than $60,000,000
Question: Before 1 October 2019, will Ricardo Rosselló cease to be the governor of Puerto Rico?
Following several arrests including former commonwealth officials in the wake of a fraud investigation, there have been calls on Governor Ricardo Rosselló to resign (CBS News, Reuters, ABC News, El Nuevo Dia).
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-07-19; closed: 2019-08-02
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: On 1 August 2019, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be higher, the same, or lower than it was on 31 January 2019?
Question opened: 2019-02-01; closed: 2019-08-01
Options: Higher, Same, Lower
Answer: Lower
Question: Before 1 August 2019, will Citgo Petroleum Corporation or any of its wholly-owned subsidiaries (Citgo) file for bankruptcy protection in the United States?
While Citgo, owned by Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA, is distancing itself from PDVSA on many levels in an effort to avoid U.S. sanctions, the firm faces other obstacles CNBC, U.S Treasury, Reuters, Wall Street Journal ). There has been speculation that Citgo may file for bankruptcy protection, which the company has denied (Yahoo, Reuters).
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2019-03-01; closed: 2019-08-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 August 2019, will Facebook announce that Mark Zuckerberg will cease to be the company's sole Chairman or CEO?
Mark Zuckerberg, as Facebook's sole Chairman and CEO, has been under pressure as the company's business practices face greater scrutiny (Reuters, NY Times, Axios). Zuckerberg, who owns a majority of voting shares of the company, has resisted calls for a change in governance (CNBC). An announced leave of absence or addition of either a co-chairman or co-CEO would count.
Tags: Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2018-12-07; closed: 2019-08-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Which of the following US stock market indexes will perform worst between 31 January 2019 and 31 July 2019?
S&P 500 (Bloomberg): 2,704.10
Tags: Finance, Outcome will be determined using data from Bloomberg, by dividing the end-of-day closing values for 31 July 2019 by the end-of-day closing values for 31 January 2019, which were:, DJIA (Bloomberg): 24,999.67, NASDAQ Composite (Bloomberg): 7,281.74, Russell 2000 (Bloomberg): 1,499.42
Question opened: 2019-02-01; closed: 2019-07-31
Options: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), NASDAQ Composite, Russell 2000, S&P 500
Answer: Russell 2000
Question: Before 27 July 2019, how many candidates who participate at the first Democratic presidential primary debates scheduled for 26-27 June will cease to be candidates?
Twenty candidates are scheduled to appear in the debates, ten on 26 June and the other ten on 27 June (NBC). Examples of what will count for resolution of this question include an official announcement that a candidate no longer seeks the Democratic Party nomination for president or that a candidate is suspending his or her campaign.
Tags: US Politics
Question opened: 2019-06-21; closed: 2019-07-26
Options: Zero, One or two, Three or four, Five or more
Answer: One or two
Question: Before 1 October 2019, will Robert Mueller testify in person before Congress?
Since announcing his resignation as Special Council on 29 May, members of Congress continue to call for Mueller to testify before Congress about matters surrounding his "Report on the Investigation into Russian Interference in the 2016 Presidential Election" (The Economist, The Hill, The Washington Times, Fox News, The Washington Times). Testifying in person before any House, Senate, or joint committee (publicly or otherwise) would count toward resolution.
Tags: US Politics
Question opened: 2019-06-21; closed: 2019-07-24
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Before 1 November 2019, will Moody's downgrade The Boeing Company's long-term credit rating and/or change its outlook to negative?
After two crashes of Boeing 737 MAX-8s, the global fleet of 737 MAX aircraft was grounded while investigations proceeded (https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-47553174). Boeing later announced that it would cut 737 MAX production in April. In this context, Moody's stated that "'cash flow pressures will mount' if the fleet is grounded longer than four months" (https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/04/08/boeing-stock-slips-after-max-production-cut/, https://www.reuters.com/article/boeing-rating-moodys/moodys-says-ethiopia-crash-wont-affect-boeing-rating-at-this-time-idUSL8N2114XH, https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-assigns-A2-ratings-to-Boeings-new-unsecured-notes--PR_399888 (scrolling down and clicking "I Agree" required).
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2019-05-03; closed: 2019-07-22
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Which team will win the Men's International Cricket Council (ICC) Cricket World Cup 2019?
Question opened: 2019-05-03; closed: 2019-07-14
Options: Afghanistan, Australia, Bangladesh, England, India, New Zealand, Pakistan, South Africa, Sri Lanka, West Indies
Answer: England
Question: Before 1 July 2019, will AT&T, Sprint, T-Mobile, or Verizon offer 5G smartphones to US customers?
The development of 5G capabilities for smartphones is a step on the way to advanced use of cellular communications in autonomous vehicles (Reuters, Tom's Guide, Digital Trends). Smartphones with physical 5G add-on capabilities (e.g., Verizon's Moto Z3) will not count unless the required physical add-ons are also offered. For the purposes of this question, should the merger between Sprint and T-Mobile close the companies will continue to be counted separately.
Tags: Technology
Question opened: 2019-02-15; closed: 2019-06-28
Options: No, Yes, 1 of the companies, Yes, 2 of the companies, Yes, 3 of the companies, Yes, all 4 of the companies
Answer: Yes, all 4 of the companies
Question: Before 1 July 2019, will Daniel Ortega cease to be president of Nicaragua?
Protests in response to government pension reforms have expanded to focus on Ortega, including calls for him to step down (The Washington Post, Reuters, ABC News).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Leader Entry/Exit
Question opened: 2018-08-15; closed: 2019-06-30
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will there be a new prime minister of the United Kingdom before 1 July 2019?
UK prime minister Theresa May faces a number of leadership challenges as she attempts to navigate Brexit (BBC, Politico)
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2018-12-21; closed: 2019-07-01
Options: Yes, someone from the Conservative Party, Yes, someone from the Labour Party, Yes, someone from a party other than the Labour or Conservative Parties, No
Answer: No
Question: Which major stock exchange index among the four "Asian Tiger" economies will perform best between 10 January 2019 and 28 June 2019?
Taiwan's Stock Exchange Weighted Index (Bloomberg): 9,720.69
Tags: Finance, Foreign Policy, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan have become known as the four "Asian Tigers" (iDeals Virtual Data Room, South China Morning Post, Investopedia). Outcome will be determined using data from Bloomberg, by dividing the end-of-day closing values for 28 June 2019 by the end-of-day closing values for 10 January 2019, which were:, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (Bloomberg): 26,521.43, Singapore's Straits Times Index (Bloomberg): 3,183.51, South Korea's KOSPI (Bloomberg): 2,063.28
Question opened: 2019-01-11; closed: 2019-06-28
Options: Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index, Singapore's Straits Times Index, South Korea's KOSPI, Taiwan's Stock Exchange Weighted Index
Answer: Taiwan's Stock Exchange Weighted Index
Question: Will the Supreme Court rule that any part of either North Carolina's or Maryland's congressional district maps is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander?
In the cases of Rucho v. Common Cause and Lamone v. Benisek, separate district court panels declared congressional district maps in North Carolina and Maryland to be unconstitutional (SCOTUSBlog, SCOTUSBlog). The Supreme Court agreed to hear appeals for these cases, and oral arguments in both are scheduled for 26 March 2019 (The Economist, The Baltimore Sun). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down both decisions in its current term, but if it does not decide at least one case, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: Society, US Politics, US Policy
Question opened: 2019-02-08; closed: 2019-06-27
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: In Tennessee Wine & Spirits Retailers Association v. Blair, will the Supreme Court rule that Tennessee's residency requirements for issuing liquor licenses are unconstitutional?
In February 2018, the Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit affirmed a district court's ruling that Tennessee's minimum residency requirements for retail or wholesale liquor license applicants violated the dormant Commerce Clause of the Constitution by  discriminating against out-of-state individuals and entities (SCOTUSBlog). A Tennessee association of retailers appealed to the Supreme Court, arguing that the state's requirements are permissible under the Twenty-first Amendment, which repealed Prohibition (Oyez). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2018 term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: Society, US Policy
Question opened: 2018-12-07; closed: 2019-06-26
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Will Robert Mueller cease to be Special Counsel before 1 January 2020?
Robert Mueller was appointed to serve as Special Counsel to investigate Russian interference with the 2016 presidential election and related matters by Acting Attorney General Rod Rosenstein in May 2017 (U.S Department of Justice, Time Magazine).
Tags: Society, US Politics
Question opened: 2019-01-04; closed: 2019-05-29
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: In Gundy v. United States, will the Supreme Court rule that Congress' delegation of authority to the attorney general in the federal Sex Offender Registration and Notification Act (SORNA) violates the nondelegation doctrine?
In 2016, Herman Gundy was convicted of violating SORNA for failing to register as a sex offender in New York (SCOTUSBlog). His underlying conviction requiring registration was in 2005, before the enactment of SORNA (Office of Sex Offender Sentencing, Monitoring, Apprehending, Registering, and Tracking). On appeal, Gundy argues that the section of SORNA granting the attorney general the authority to "prescribe rules" that apply to him was an unconstitutional delegation of legislative power to the executive branch (SCOTUSBlog). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2018 term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: US Policy
Question opened: 2018-09-21; closed: 2019-06-20
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: In Gamble v. United States, will the Supreme Court overrule the "separate sovereign" exception to the Double Jeopardy Clause?
Question opened: 2018-10-12; closed: 2019-06-17
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: In Manhattan Community Access Corp. v. Halleck, will the Supreme Court rule that the Manhattan Neighborhood Network is a public forum for First Amendment purposes?
A suit over First Amendment rights violations was dismissed by the district court, concluding that First Amendment protections do not apply to Manhattan Neighborhood Network because it is not a public forum and its employees are not state actors (Reuters, Oyez, SCOTUSBlog). The appeals court reversed in part, ruling that public access TV channels in Manhattan are public forums and the case should proceed (SCOTUSBlog). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
Tags: Society
Question opened: 2019-01-11; closed: 2019-06-17
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Which team will win the 2019 NBA Finals?
The NBA Finals are scheduled to begin on 30 May 2019 (NBA).
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2019-04-17; closed: 2019-06-13
Options: The Western Conference Champion, The Eastern Conference Champion
Answer: The Eastern Conference Champion
Question: Before 31 August 2019, will the weekly average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances in the U.S. fall below 4.30%?
Question opened: 2019-05-17; closed: 2019-06-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Will voter turnout for the 2019 European Parliament elections set a record low?
Pivotal elections to the European Parliament are scheduled for May 2019, and Brussels is working to increase turnout -- in 2014 the final figure was a record-low 42.61% (Bloomberg, Politico). This question will be suspended the day before the election and closed based on the turnout figures available on the European Parliament website at the time of the first sitting of the newly-elected Parliament; for more information on turnout in past elections see The European Parliament and select "Turnout," "By year," and "European Union."
Tags: Society, Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-01-25; closed: 2019-05-23
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: On 24 May 2019, will the FTSE 100 Index closing value be higher than it was on 4 April 2019?
Outcome will be determined using data from Bloomberg. The FTSE 100 Index closed at 7,401.94 on 4 April 2019.
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2019-04-05; closed: 2019-05-24
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the closing price of Bitcoin on 31 May 2019, according to CNBC?
Outcome will be determined by the closing price reported by CNBC, using the 1Y graph (CNBC). The closing price can be found by hovering your cursor over the relevant date.
Tags: Finance, Economic Indicators
Question opened: 2019-01-11; closed: 2019-05-30
Options: Less than $1,000, Between $1,000 and $3,000, inclusive, More than $3,000 but less than $5,000, Between $5,000 and $7,000, inclusive, More than $7,000
Answer: More than $7,000
Question: How many media outlets will be on the Russian Ministry of Justice's list of media designated as foreign agents on 1 June 2019?
The list of media outlets designated as foreign agents can be found here. In November 2017, Russia passed a law which allows the government to designate media outlets receiving funding from abroad as "foreign agents" and subject designated entities to additional requirements or sanctions (Reuters). The following month, nine entities were designated as foreign agents, including Voice of America and Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (Reuters). The designation of individual journalists as foreign agents will not count (e.g., Radio Free Europe).
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2018-04-11; closed: 2019-06-01
Options: Less than 3, 3 to 7, inclusive, 8 to 10, inclusive, 11 to 20, inclusive, More than 20
Answer: 8 to 10, inclusive
Question: Will Narendra Modi be appointed to a second consecutive term as prime minister of India after the 2019 general elections?
Narendra Modi, the leader of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), has served as prime minister of India since 2014 (The Economist, Inter-Parliamentary Union). General elections for the Lok Sabha are due to be held in April and May 2019 (Aljazeera). If no prime minister has been appointed by 1 October 2019, the question will be closed as no.
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2018-12-21; closed: 2019-05-25
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: In France's elections for the European Parliament, will the National Rally list receive more votes than the La République En Marche list?
After the "Yellow Vests" protests, the 2019 European Parliament elections are seen as a key barometer for French politics and for populism in Europe more broadly (The Economist, The Economist, Gouvernement.fr).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2019-04-26; closed: 2019-05-26
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: If the UK participates in European Parliament elections, what percentage of votes will the Change UK Party win?
The UK's participation in the 2019 European Parliament election is required under the latest extension to the Brexit process (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-47826886, https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-47946256, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-extension-text/text-eu-agreement-to-extend-brexit-idUSKCN1RN01E).
Tags: Business, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-05-03; closed: 2019-05-23
Options: Less than 5.00%, Between 5.00% and 10.00%, inclusive, Between 10.00% and 15.00%, Between 15.00% and 20.00%, inclusive, More than 20.00%
Answer: Less than 5.00%
Question: If the UK participates in European Parliament elections, what percentage of votes will the Brexit Party win?
The UK's participation in the 2019 European Parliament election is required under the latest extension to the Brexit process (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-47826886, https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-47946256, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-extension-text/text-eu-agreement-to-extend-brexit-idUSKCN1RN01E).
Tags: Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2019-05-03; closed: 2019-05-23
Options: Less than 20.00%, Between 20.00% and 25.00%, inclusive, Between 25.00% and 30.00%, Between 30.00% and 35.00%, inclusive, More than 35.00%
Answer: Between 30.00% and 35.00%, inclusive
Question: Which team will win the 2019 NBA Western Conference Championship?
The NBA playoffs began on 15 April 2019 (NBA).
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2019-04-17; closed: 2019-05-20
Options: Golden State Warriors, Denver Nuggets, Portland Trail Blazers, Houston Rockets, Utah Jazz, Oklahoma City Thunder, San Antonio Spurs, Los Angeles Clippers
Answer: Golden State Warriors
Question: Which team will win the 2019 NBA Eastern Conference Championship?
The NBA playoffs began on 15 April 2019 (NBA).
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2019-04-17; closed: 2019-05-25
Options: Milwaukee Bucks, Toronto Raptors, Philadelphia 76ers, Boston Celtics, Indiana Pacers, Brooklyn Nets, Orlando Magic, Detroit Pistons
Answer: Toronto Raptors
Question: Who will be the last character shown sitting on the Iron Throne in the series Game of Thrones?
Should the series finale be aired after 19 May, the closing date will be extended to that later date. Should two or more characters be somehow depicted as the last to sit on the Iron Throne simultaneously, the question will close as None of the Above. Flashbacks will not count.
Tags: Entertainment
Question opened: 2019-05-03; closed: 2019-05-19
Options: Cersei Lannister, Jaime Lannister, Tyrion Lannister, Jon Snow/Aegon Targaryen, Daenerys Targaryen, None of the Above
Answer: Cersei Lannister
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Myanmar engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Myanmar?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Nigeria engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Nigeria?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali?
Question opened: 2018-04-02; closed: 2018-07-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No