jijivski/goodjudge huggingface dataset:
Question: How many U.S. states will have a 1.0 or greater effective reproduction number (Rt) for COVID-19 as of 31 December 2020?
The Rt is "the average number of people who become infected by an infectious person" (Rt.live). The outcome will be determined by the latest Rt COVID-19 data for states with an Rt estimate of 1.0 or greater as of 31 December 2020 at https://rt.live. As of 8 October 2020, 38 states were at or above a 1.0 estimate. For the purposes of this question, the District of Columbia is considered a state.
Tags: Health
Question opened: 2020-10-09; closed: 2020-12-31
Options: 24 or fewer, Between 25 and 30, Between 31 and 36, Between 37 and 42, 43 or more
Answer: Between 31 and 36
Question: Before 26 December 2020, will the Australian government accuse the Chinese government, by name, of being behind the "copy-paste compromises" cyberattacks?
Question opened: 2020-06-26; closed: 2020-12-26
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: When will a commercial flight of a Boeing 737 MAX aircraft next take off in the United States?
After two fatal crashes in five months, regulators around the world grounded Boeing's 737 MAX aircraft in March 2019 pending further investigations (NPR). While U.S., EU, and Canadian regulators have completed test flights key for recertification, it is not known when commercial flights will resume (ABC News, CNN, FAA).
Tags: Business, Technology
Question opened: 2020-10-09; closed: 2020-12-29
Options: Before 31 December 2020, Between 1 January 2021 and 31 March 2021, Not before 1 April 2021
Answer: Before 31 December 2020
Question: Which NFL team will win the NFC West division in the 2020 season?
The outcome will be determined using the division standings as reported by the NFL (NFL).
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2020-09-15; closed: 2020-12-28
Options: Arizona Cardinals, Los Angeles Rams, San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks, Another outcome
Answer: Seattle Seahawks
Question: Which NFL team will win the AFC North division in the 2020 season?
The outcome will be determined using the division standings as reported by the NFL (NFL).
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2020-10-16; closed: 2020-12-27
Options: Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Pittsburgh Steelers, Another outcome
Answer: Pittsburgh Steelers
Question: Which NFL team will win the NFC South division in the 2020 season?
The outcome will be determined using the division standings as reported by the NFL (NFL).
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2020-09-15; closed: 2020-12-26
Options: Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, New Orleans Saints, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Another outcome
Answer: New Orleans Saints
Question: How many seats will the New Patriotic Party win in Ghana's 2020 parliamentary elections?
Ghana's parliamentary elections are scheduled for late 2020, with all 275 seats up for election (Africa Center). The New Patriotic Party won 169 seats in the 2016 election, with the National Democratic Congress securing the remaining 106 (Peace FM Online).
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-04-10; closed: 2020-12-07
Options: A majority of seats, A plurality of seats, but not a majority, Neither a majority nor a plurality, Parliamentary elections in Ghana will not take place in 2020
Answer: Neither a majority nor a plurality
Question: At close of business on 16 December 2020, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 5 November 2020?
The U.S. federal funds rate is the interest rate charged for overnight lending among financial institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve and sets the base rate for borrowing costs across the financial system (Federal Reserve). The target range for the federal funds rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Its December meeting is scheduled for 15-16 December 2020.
Tags: Finance, Economic Policy
Question opened: 2020-07-31; closed: 2020-12-16
Options: Lower, Same, Higher
Answer: Same
Question: Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of Taiwan and the People's Republic of China before 15 December 2020?
Question opened: 2020-05-08; closed: 2020-12-15
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 14 December 2020, will the U.S. Supreme Court hear oral arguments in a case related to any state’s 2020 presidential election results?
Following this year’s presidential election, the Trump campaign has filed suit over the treatment of mail-in ballots for several states (AP, The Hill). Presidential electors are scheduled to meet and vote in their respective states on 14 December 2020 (Congressional Research Service).
Tags: US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2020-11-06; closed: 2020-12-14
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will the UN Security Council or UN General Assembly vote on a resolution concerning outer space before 1 May 2021?
The UN has addressed issues regarding outer space at a variety of levels over the years (UN (Outer Space), UN Office for Outer Space Affairs, UN).  China and others have different views on how to create new international law governing outer space (Diplomat, UN, Kyodo News).
Tags: Technology, Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2020-09-25; closed: 2020-12-07
Options: Yes, and China will vote for it, Yes, and China will abstain or be absent from voting, Yes, and China will vote against it, No
Answer: Yes, and China will vote for it
Question: How many total cases of COVID-19 will the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC) report for Canada as of 31 December 2020?
As of 6 October 2020, PHAC reported 171,323 confirmed cases for Canada (PHAC). The outcome will be determined based on data provided by PHAC "as of" 31 December 2020 and inclusive of cases reported before this question's launch.
Tags: Health
Question opened: 2020-10-08; closed: 2020-12-08
Options: Fewer than 256,985, Between 256,985 and 342,646 cases, inclusive, More than 342,646 but fewer than 428,308 cases, 428,308 or more cases
Answer: 428,308 or more cases
Question: Will the Washington Football Team (fka Washington Redskins) win five or more regular season games in the 2020 NFL season?
The outcome will be determined using team record data as reported by the NFL (NFL). Ties would be counted as 1/2 of a win (NFL).
Tags: Sports
Question opened: 2020-11-09; closed: 2020-12-08
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: What will be Airbnb's end-of-day market capitalization on its first day of public trading?
Airbnb confidentially filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for an eventual IPO (CNBC, Reuters, Bloomberg). The outcome will be determined by the end-of-day market capitalization figure reported by Bloomberg. Whether Airbnb goes public via an IPO, direct listing, or a merger with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) would be immaterial (Investopedia (IPO v. Direct Listing), Investopedia (SPACs)).
Tags: Business, Finance, Technology
Question opened: 2020-08-28; closed: 2020-12-04
Options: Less than $15 billion, Between $15 billion and $25 billion, inclusive, More than $25 billion but less than $35 billion, $35 billion or more, Airbnb will not trade publicly before 4 December 2020
Answer: Airbnb will not trade publicly before 4 December 2020
Question: What will be the Estimated CO2 (carbon dioxide) Daily Global Seasonal Cycle value for 1 December 2020, according to NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory?
Carbon dioxide emissions were again the highest in modern times in 2019 (Scientific American, Phys.org). The outcome will be determined using the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA's) Earth System Research Laboratory data, which can be retrieved from (NOAA) by selecting the "Estimated Global Trend daily values" file. The relevant value will be reported in the 'cycle' column for 1 December 2020.
Tags: Environment
Question opened: 2019-12-20; closed: 2020-12-01
Options: Less than 412.00 ppm, Between 412.00 ppm and 414.00 ppm, inclusive, More than 414.00 ppm but less than 416.00 ppm, 416.00 ppm or more
Answer: More than 414.00 ppm but less than 416.00 ppm
Question: Who will win the election for California's 25th Congressional District in 2020?
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Democrats hoping to maintain control after retaking the House in the 2018 midterm elections (270 To Win, Real Clear Politics).
Tags: US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2020-08-04; closed: 2020-11-03
Options: The Democratic Party candidate, The Republican Party candidate, Someone else
Answer: The Republican Party candidate
Question: When will the 7-day rolling average of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in New York City (NYC) next reach or exceed 1,500?
The outcome will be determined using data provided by the NYC Department of Health's COVID-19 data page at https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page. Under the graph for "Daily Counts," select "7-day average cases." The 7-day rolling average of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in NYC last reached 1,500 on 5 May 2020. This question would resolve as of the date for which 1,500 or more cases are reported irrespective of the date when that data for that date are updated. Resolution for this question will be entered no later than 7 March 2021.
Tags: Health
Question opened: 2020-10-09; closed: 2020-11-21
Options: Before 1 November 2020, Between 1 November 2020 and 30 November 2020, Between 1 December 2020 and 31 December 2020, Between 1 January 2021 and 31 January 2021, Not before 1 February 2021
Answer: Between 1 November 2020 and 30 November 2020
Question: Will Paulo Guedes cease to be Brazil's Minister of the Economy before 1 December 2020?
Question opened: 2020-05-08; closed: 2020-12-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Before 1 December 2020, will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia?
Mohammed bin Salman has continued to consolidate power in the Kingdom since becoming Crown Prince in 2017, but continues to face scrutiny over the 2018 murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi (Deutsche Welle, Al Jazeera, Eurasian Times). In the past the Crown Prince has temporarily taken on the title of Vice Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques when the King has been unavailable; this would not count as ceasing to be Crown Prince.
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-09-15; closed: 2020-12-01
Options: Yes, by becoming the King of Saudi Arabia, Yes, without becoming the King of Saudi Arabia, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 15 May 2020 and 30 November 2020, will any Group III U.S. air carrier file for bankruptcy?
Question opened: 2020-05-15; closed: 2020-12-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Between 15 September 2020 and 30 November 2020, will a country cease to formally recognize Taiwan?
In recent decades, many countries have ceased to recognize the Republic of China (ROC), commonly known as Taiwan, in favor of recognition of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). A handful of countries continue to recognize the ROC (Taiwan Ministry of Foreign Affairs). Two countries in Oceania, the Solomon Islands and Kiribati, were the countries to most recently cease to recognize the ROC (Newsweek).
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2020-09-15; closed: 2020-12-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will Iraq hold parliamentary elections before 1 December 2020?
In another attempt to quell unrest, on 9 November Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi called for a new electoral law and other reforms (Voice of America, Reuters, Al Jazeera, PMO.iq [in Arabic]).
Tags: Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2019-11-15; closed: 2020-12-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Will North Korea launch an ICBM with a length of at least 20 meters before 1 December 2020?
On 10 October 2020 while celebrating the 75th anniversary of the founding of the Workers' Party of Korea, North Korea revealed a ballistic missile estimated to be larger than the Hwasong-15 (38 North, BBC, Arms Control Wonk). The Hwasong-15 is estimated to have a length between 21 and 22.5 meters (CSIS). For the purposes of this question, the length of a launched missile will be determined using data and reporting provided by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). If an estimated range is provided, the high end of the range will be used to determine if the launch qualifies. For the purposes of this question, an ICBM will be deemed to have launched if there is credible reporting that the missile left the ground. An otherwise qualifying missile launch would count irrespective of the missile being purportedly configured to act as a space launch vehicle.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2020-11-09; closed: 2020-12-01
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: On 29 November 2020, how many Learners will be "already enrolled" for the Coursera online course “Finding Purpose and Meaning In Life: Living for What Matters Most?"
Coursera is a massive open online course (MOOC) provider for distance learning (Coursera). The course “Finding Purpose and Meaning In Life: Living for What Matters Most” is offered through Coursera by the University of Michigan (Coursera - Course Website). The outcome will be determined using data provided on the course website as of approximately 5:00PM ET on 29 November 2020. As of 1 November 2020, Learners totaled 79,211. As of 16 November 2020, Learners totaled 85,057.
Tags: Business, Society
Question opened: 2020-11-17; closed: 2020-11-29
Options: Fewer than 87,000, Between 87,000 and 89,000, inclusive, More than 89,000 but fewer than 91,000, Between 91,000 and 94,000, inclusive, More than 94,000
Answer: Between 87,000 and 89,000, inclusive
Question: How many countries other than the U.S. and Brazil will have more than one million total confirmed cases of COVID-19 as of 31 December 2020?
The outcome will be determined based on data provided by the World Health Organization for 31 December 2020 (WHO Situation Reports, WHO).
Tags: Health
Question opened: 2020-06-19; closed: 2020-11-27
Options: 0 or 1, 2 or 3, 4, 5, or 6, 7, 8, or 9, 10 or more
Answer: 10 or more
Question: Between 25 July 2020 and 25 November 2020, will a lethal confrontation in Libya result in five or more fatalities for Egyptian armed forces?
On 20 July 2020, Egypt's parliament unanimously approved a troop deployment to a "western front," which some have interpreted to refer to Libya (Al Jazeera, Anadolu Agency). A lethal confrontation in Libyan airspace or territorial waters would count.
Tags: Foreign Policy, Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2020-07-24; closed: 2020-11-26
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the price of Bitcoin on 20 November 2020?
The outcome will be determined using the last price dated in calendar 20 November 2020 (PT) as reported by Coindesk (Coindesk).
Tags: Finance, Technology, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2020-10-15; closed: 2020-11-20
Options: Less than $9,600.00, Between $9,600.00 and $10,800.00, inclusive, More than $10,800.00 but less than $12,000.00, Between $12,000.00 and $13,200.00, inclusive, More than $13,200.00
Answer: More than $13,200.00
Question: What will be the closing price of Tesla stock on 20 November 2020?
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
Tags: Business, Technology, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2020-10-15; closed: 2020-11-20
Options: Less than $400.00, Between $400.00 and $440.00, inclusive, More than $440.00 but less than $480.00, Between $480.00 and $520.00, inclusive, More than $520.00
Answer: Between $480.00 and $520.00, inclusive
Question: What will be the closing value of the NASDAQ Composite Index on 20 November 2020?
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
Tags: Business, Finance, US Politics
Question opened: 2020-10-15; closed: 2020-11-20
Options: Less than 10,600.00, Between 10,600.00 and 11,400.00, inclusive, More than 11,400.00 but less than 12,200.00, Between 12,200.00 and 13,000.00, inclusive, More than 13,000.00
Answer: More than 11,400.00 but less than 12,200.00
Question: Which presidential candidate will win Pennsylvania?
Question opened: 2020-05-29; closed: 2020-11-03
Options: The Democratic Party candidate, The Republican Party candidate, Someone else
Answer: The Democratic Party candidate
Question: Which presidential candidate will win Wisconsin?
The 2020 race for the White House will be decided in battleground states (Real Clear Politics, Electoral Vote Map). The outcome will be determined based on which candidate wins the popular vote in the state.
Tags: Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2020-06-19; closed: 2020-11-03
Options: The Democratic Party candidate, The Republican Party candidate, Someone else
Answer: The Democratic Party candidate
Question: Which presidential candidate will win Arizona?
Question opened: 2020-06-04; closed: 2020-11-03
Options: The Democratic Party candidate, The Republican Party candidate, Someone else
Answer: The Democratic Party candidate
Question: Who will win the election for Georgia's 7th Congressional District in 2020?
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Democrats hoping to maintain control after retaking the House in the 2018 midterm elections (270 To Win, Real Clear Politics).
Tags: US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2020-08-04; closed: 2020-11-03
Options: The Democratic Party candidate, The Republican Party candidate, Someone else
Answer: The Democratic Party candidate
Question: Who will win the U.S. Senate election for Michigan in 2020?
Question opened: 2020-05-27; closed: 2020-11-03
Options: The Democratic Party candidate, The Republican Party candidate, Someone else
Answer: The Democratic Party candidate
Question: Will the Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) win more total Assembly seats in Myanmar's 2020 election than it did in the 2015 election?
While the National League for Democracy is expected to again win by a wide margin, the impact the USDP might make is unknown (Al Jazeera, Myanmar Times). The USDP won 41 total seats in Myanmar's bicameral Assembly of the Union in the 2015 election, 11 seats in the House of Nationalities and 30 seats in the House of Representatives (BBC). The election is scheduled for 8 November 2020.
Tags: Elections and Referenda, Non-US Politics
Question opened: 2020-07-17; closed: 2020-11-08
Options: Yes, No, No election will be held in 2020
Answer: No
Question: How many total major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2020 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has forecasted that the 2020 hurricane season, which runs from 1 June 2020 to 30 November 2020, will be busier than average (NOAA). The outcome will be determined using categorizations provided by the National Hurricane Center (National Hurricane Center, National Hurricane Center - Reports).
Tags: Environment
Question opened: 2020-06-05; closed: 2020-11-16
Options: 2 or fewer, 3, 4, 5, 6 or more
Answer: 6 or more
Question: Who will win the U.S. Senate election for Arizona in 2020?
While Republicans control the U.S. Senate going into the 2020 elections, the GOP is defending 23 seats while Democrats are defending only 12 this November (270 To Win, The Hill).
Tags: Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2020-05-01; closed: 2020-11-03
Options: The Democratic Party candidate, The Republican Party candidate, Someone else
Answer: The Democratic Party candidate
Question: Who will win the election for New York's 11th Congressional District in 2020?
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Democrats hoping to maintain control after retaking the House in the 2018 midterm elections (270 To Win, Real Clear Politics).
Tags: US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2020-08-11; closed: 2020-11-03
Options: The Democratic Party candidate, The Republican Party candidate, Someone else
Answer: The Republican Party candidate
Question: What will be the end-of-day closing value for the U.S. dollar against the Chinese yuan on 13 November 2020?
Question opened: 2020-05-29; closed: 2020-11-13
Options: CNY 6.0000 or less, Between CNY 6.0000 and CNY 7.0000, Between CNY 7.0000 and CNY 8.0000, inclusive, More than CNY 8.0000
Answer: Between CNY 6.0000 and CNY 7.0000
Question: Before 14 November 2020, will there be a lethal confrontation in Lebanon or Israel between the armed forces of Hezbollah and those of Israel?
Tensions between Lebanon and Israel have flared recently (Anadolu Agency, Arab News). A lethal confrontation is one that results in one fatality for the forces of either side. A lethal confrontation in the airspace or territorial waters of either country would count.
Tags: Security and Conflict
Question opened: 2020-08-14; closed: 2020-11-14
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 13 November 2020 relative to its closing value on 2 November 2020?
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
Tags: Business, Finance, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2020-10-15; closed: 2020-11-13
Options: Lower by more than 12%, Lower by between 4% and 12%, inclusive, Between lower by less than 4% and higher by less than 4%, Higher by between 4% and 12%, inclusive, Higher by more than 12%
Answer: Higher by between 4% and 12%, inclusive
Question: Who will win the election for Texas' 24th Congressional District in 2020?
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Democrats hoping to maintain control after retaking the House in the 2018 midterm elections (270 To Win, Real Clear Politics).
Tags: US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2020-08-11; closed: 2020-11-03
Options: The Democratic Party candidate, The Republican Party candidate, Someone else
Answer: The Republican Party candidate
Question: Before 11 November 2020, will Alexander Lukashenko cease to be the president of Belarus?
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, often called "Europe's Last Dictator," reported won the 9 August 2020 presidential election by a wide margin, but accusations of vote-rigging have turned to violent protests in the country (NPR, BBC, Atlantic Council).
Tags: Leader Entry/Exit
Question opened: 2020-08-11; closed: 2020-11-11
Options: Yes, No
Answer: No
Question: Who will win the U.S. Senate election for North Carolina in 2020?
Question opened: 2020-05-08; closed: 2020-11-03
Options: The Democratic Party candidate, The Republican Party candidate, Someone else
Answer: The Republican Party candidate
Question: For any seven consecutive day period between 9 October and 31 December 2020, will there be fewer than 2,000 deaths of COVID-19 in the Brazil?
The outcome of this question will be determined using data for Brazil States reported by the World Health Organization between 9 October 2020 and 31 December 2020 (WHO COVID-19 Dashboard (Brazil)). For the seven consecutive day period from 22 September 2020 and 28 September 2020 (using daily numbers), WHO reported 4,874 deaths. Deaths data for days prior to 9 October 2020 are immaterial to the resolution of this question. The data provided on the WHO Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Dashboard at approximately 5:00PM ET each day will now be used to resolve this question.
Tags: Health
Question opened: 2020-10-09; closed: 2020-11-08
Options: Yes, No
Answer: Yes
Question: Who will win the 2020 United States presidential election?
The 2020 United States presidential election is scheduled for Tuesday 3 November 2020 (CNN, Ballotpedia, BBC).
Tags: US Politics, Elections and Referenda
Question opened: 2020-01-17; closed: 2020-11-03
Options: The Democratic Party nominee, The Republican Party nominee, Another candidate
Answer: The Democratic Party nominee