Authors: Nayem Ahmed | Ramadan Ahmed | Samin Rhythm | Andrés Felipe Baena Velásquez | Cătălin Teodoriu
Source: Metals (article, 2025-10-10)
Field: Materials Science — Metals and Alloys

Experimental and Machine Learning-Based Assessment of Fatigue Crack Growth in API X60 Steel Under Hydrogen–Natural Gas Blending Conditions Hydrogen-assisted fatigue cracking presents a critical challenge to the structural integrity of legacy carbon steel natural gas pipelines being repurposed for hydrogen transport, posing a major barrier to the deployment of hydrogen infrastructure. This study systematically evaluates the fatigue crack growth (FCG) behavior of API 5L X60 pipeline steel under varying hydrogen–natural gas (H2–NG) blending conditions to assess its suitability for long-term hydrogen service. Experiments are conducted using a custom-designed autoclave to replicate field-relevant environmental conditions. Gas mixtures range from 0% to 100% hydrogen by volume, with tests performed at a constant pressure of 6.9 MPa and a temperature of 25 °C. A fixed loading frequency of 8.8 Hz and load ratio (R) of 0.60 ± 0.1 are applied to simulate operational fatigue loading. The test matrix is designed to capture FCG behavior across a broad range of stress intensity factor values (ΔK), spanning from near-threshold to moderate levels consistent with real-world pipeline pressure fluctuations. The results demonstrate a clear correlation between increasing hydrogen concentration and elevated FCG rates. Notably, at 100% hydrogen, API X60 specimens exhibit crack propagation rates up to two orders of magnitude higher than those in 0% hydrogen (natural gas) conditions, particularly within the Paris regime. In the lower threshold region (ΔK ≈ 10 MPa·√m), the FCG rate (da/dN) increased nonlinearly with hydrogen concentration, indicating early crack activation and reduced crack initiation resistance. In the upper Paris regime (ΔK ≈ 20 MPa·√m), da/dNs remained significantly elevated but exhibited signs of saturation, suggesting a potential limiting effect of hydrogen concentration on crack propagation kinetics. Fatigue life declined substantially with hydrogen addition, decreasing by ~33% at 50% H2 and more than 55% in pure hydrogen. To complement the experimental investigation and enable predictive capability, a modular machine learning (ML) framework was developed and validated. The framework integrates sequential models for predicting hydrogen-induced reduction of area (RA), fracture toughness (FT), and FCG rate (da/dN), using CatBoost regression algorithms. This approach allows upstream degradation effects to be propagated through nested model layers, enhancing predictive accuracy. The ML models accurately captured nonlinear trends in fatigue behavior across varying hydrogen concentrations and environmental conditions, offering a transferable tool for integrity assessment of hydrogen-compatible pipeline steels. These findings confirm that even low-to-moderate hydrogen blends significantly reduce fatigue resistance, underscoring the importance of data-driven approaches in guiding material selection and infrastructure retrofitting for future hydrogen energy systems. Hydrogen ; Paris' law ; Cracking ; Autoclave ; Hydrogen embrittlement ; Fracture mechanics ; Stress (linguistics) ; Stress intensity factor ; Natural gas Hydrogen embrittlement and corrosion behaviors in metals ; Fatigue and fracture mechanics ; Microstructure and Mechanical Properties of Steels