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Q: Hide caption Diane Askwyth leads cheers as protesters make their way to  Sam Boyd Stadium  for the Women's March "Power to the Polls" voter registration tour launch on Sunday  in Las Vegas  Nev. Previous Next Sam Morris/Getty Images
Hide caption Protesters carry signs as they make their way to  Sam Boyd Stadium  on Sunday. Previous Next Sam Morris/Getty Images
Hide caption An attendee holds a sign during the Women's March "Power to the Polls" voter registration tour launch at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas. Previous Next Ethan Miller/Getty Images
Sunday's event was not a march  organizers say  but a rally  beginning at 10 a.m. local time inside  the Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas . Officials tell Fadel that although the venue can hold 40 000  they expected roughly 17 000. The organizers say they are less concerned with crowd size than with spreading their message. Nearly two hours after doors opened  Fadel estimated that thousands â many in the movement's trademark pussyhats â had filed into  the stadium  under clear skies.

A: Sam Boyd
****
Q: This week  one of IRIBâs popular nightly talk shows was dedicated to the protests. The Channel Two show featured Ahmad Amirabadi Farahani  a conservative MP  and  Reza Seraj   introduced as an âexpert on strategic questions and a university professor.â
 Seraj  is well-known to many Iranian activists  although not exactly in those terms. Many of the thousands who have gone through the notorious interrogations blindfolded in Tehranâs Evin Prison remember his voice as an âexpert interrogator.â He is known for meting out psychological torture rather than physical torture by flaunting his supposed knowledge of the intricate webs of espionage with which any given activist is allegedly involved.
Born in the southwestern city of Ahvaz in 1966   Seraj  has cut  his  teeth in different wings of the IRGC  especially its autonomous volunteer paramilitary  the Basij. One story alleges that in 1988  the then-21-year-old Seraj galvanized a group of angry Basijis to stop a speech by Ali Khameneiâwho was president at the timeâto soldiers on the frontlines of the war with Iraq. Back then  President Khamenei was engaged in a power struggle with Prime Minister Mir-Hossein Mousavi  who was regarded as being more revolutionary and closer to the founder of the Islamic Republic  Ayatollah Khomeini.
As it turned out  two decades later  in 2009   Seraj  played a lead role in defending Khamenei  by then the supreme leader  harassing and torturing supporters of Mousavi  who was by that time the leader of the Green Movement that threatened Khamenei.
â 'The Americans  the Israelis and the Saudis had a strategic operational plan that was to be put in action next year '  Seraj  said  'but some factors led them into hastening  it .' â
 Seraj  headed the student organization of Basij from 2008 to 2010 and was lauded by the pro-IRGC Fars News Agency as a transformative Basiji figure. In the years since  he has become known for working with outlets like Fars and the state broadcaster to defend the regime and spin tales of foreign espionage.
His real identity didnât remain hidden for long. Ali Afshari  the student activist who was driven to exile after bouts of prison and torture in Iran  recalled  Seraj  very well in an interview he gave to the New Haven-based Iran Human Rights Documentation Center.
âWhen I gave up  they had taken my blindfold [off] and I could see my interrogator â Afshari said. âHe introduced himself as Alavi but I later found out that his name was Seraj. He sometimes writes for Fars now and is the head of student Basij. I complained to the judge and asked for a different interrogator.  Seraj  used to tell me that it was  he  who told the judge what to do  not the other way around.â
Adding more to spice up the story  Amirabadi claimed that part of the U.S. plan was to bring the forces of ISIS to Iranian territory  but this had been thwarted by the Quds Force (a part of the IRGC which is not supposed to operate on Iranian territory) and the Unknown Soldiers of the Twelfth Imam (the name used for the forces of Iranâs ministry of intelligence.)  Seraj  quickly agreed with this claim.
According to  Seraj   now that the Americansâ âPlan Aâ had been defeated  they had resorted to âPlan B â which had been started by U.S. Ambassador Nikki Haleyâs calling on the United Nations Security Council to meet about Iran.
âTheir plan is to lead Iran to miscalculation and to change its behavior according to what U.S. and the European countries want â  Seraj  said. âThey had designed a game of dominoes. The Americans were to threaten us with leaving the JCPOA [nuclear agreement] and ramping up the sanctions while the Europeans were to play the good cop.â
Confirming "the Conspiracy" and Worries for Whatâs  Next
Seraj  doesnât officially speak for the IRGC so someone unfamiliar with  his  significance might dismiss  his  elaborate theory as the thoughts of one man. But Iranian Chief Prosecutor Mohammad Jafar Montazeri has given a version of events that coincides very closely with Serajâs.
Montazeri then gave numerous details to back up the story put forth by  Seraj  and Amirabadiâand added some new claims. The cities of Herat in Afghanistan and Erbil in Iraqi Kurdistan had been picked as centers of operation  he said  and ISIS forces were to come to Iran from there. He also claimed that Michael DâAndreaâwho was revealed in U.S. media reports back in June as the newly appointed head of the CIAâs Iran Mission Centerâhad organized the protests  a claim previously made by some pro-government Turkish newspapers (these reports were so inaccurate they had mistakenly published photographs of U.S. actors instead of DâAndrea.)
The Green Movement of 2009 was followed by Stalinesque show trials during which the accused confessed to involvement in elaborate espionage plans.  Seraj  is known to have played a role in concocting those fantasy plans. So  now  many worry that a similar fate awaits more than 1 500 people who have been arrested over the last few days.

A: Reza Seraj
****
Q: It was a gamble  but polling suggested it might be working. His opponent  Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam  saw his lead over Gillespie erode over the past few weeks.  Trump  weighed in for Gillespie in a series of tweets and with automated Election Day phone calls encouraging turnout.
.@EdWGillespie will totally turn around the high crime and poor economic performance of VA. MS-13 and crime will be gone. Vote today  ASAP! — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 7  2017
 Trump  wasted no time in distancing  himself  from Gillespie  enjoying the spaciousness of  his  now-280-character tweets.
Ed Gillespie worked hard but did not embrace me or what I stand for. Don’t forget  Republicans won 4 out of 4 House seats  and with the economy doing record numbers  we will continue to win  even bigger than before! —  Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 8   2017
We’ve noted before that  Trump  has an insurance premium against any calls for  his  impeachment.  His  popularity with Republicans has slipped since the beginning of  his  presidency  but  he ’s still very popular with them  particularly more conservative members of  his  party. (Per Gallup  more than 9 in 10 conservative Republicans approve of  Trump .) Because Republican Party primaries see an overrepresentation of conservatives  that meant that Republicans eager to win reelection to Congress were less likely to turn on the president.
 Trump’s  tweet distancing  himself  from Gillespie sugarcoats the election in a way that may make  Trump  feel better but probably isn’t fooling anyone on Capitol Hill.  His  claim that the GOP won four of four federal races misses a few important points. The first is that those races were in Republican-held districts. The second is that the Democrats saw big gains in most of those races relative to past elections. The third is that the figure is actually four of five;  Trump  likes to ignore a race in California won by the Democrats.
But it also does something very dangerous for  Trump  right now. It shows  yet again  that  he  isn’t loyal to  his  political partners.
We’ve seen this before. When  Trump  backed the House effort to repeal and replace Obamacare (having no plan of  his  own)   he  responded to  its  passage by declaring the bill to be “mean” — as though  he  hadn’t previously claimed it was nearly without flaws. (It was health care  not immigration  that was the big issue in Virginia  according to exit polls. Northam won among voters concerned about health care by a more than 3-to-1 margin.) Even before Election Day in Alabama earlier this year   Trump  began to distance  himself  from  his  preferred candidate Republican Senate primary  Luther Strange  hinting that  he  had perhaps made a mistake — a shift that was certainly informed by polls showing a likely Strange loss. When that happened   Trump  deleted some of  his  tweets of endorsement.
Strange’s campaign  unlike Gillespie’s  didn’t embrace Trumpist politics such as the threat of the gang MS-13.  He  tried to win as a more typical establishment conservative  to no avail. Gillespie tried to more directly embrace  Trump  politics — and lost badly. And then saw  Trump  turn on him.
Think of the message that  Trump  has sent to Republicans. Stand with him on policy and have him bad-mouth what you passed. Embrace his endorsement and see a loss followed by  Trump  playing down his support. Embrace his endorsement and his politics  and see a loss followed by actual criticism. These are all one-offs — but politics generally suffers from a small sample size from which to draw conclusions  and no one spends more time trying to draw conclusions than politicians.
Bannon’s track record in electoral politics? He helped  Trump  lose the popular vote and win the electoral college in 2016. He embraced Luther Strange’s opponent after Strange was trailing. And now he watched the “Trump-Stewart talking points” lead nowhere.
On its home page  Breitbart also championed  Trump ’s argument that Gillespie should have embraced him more robustly. That’s a flawed theory.  Trump  is very unpopular in Virginia  and Northam won among those who disapprove of  Trump  by a 7-to-1 margin  according to preliminary exit polls. A third of voters said their vote in the race was meant to send a message of opposition to  Trump  — twice as many as said it was a message of support.
What’s more   Trump  made  his  feelings clear. Those who wanted to vote for  Trump’s  candidate knew who that candidate was. As in Alabama  voters went in another direction.
It’s critical to remember that Democrats were supposed to win this race  albeit not necessarily by as wide a margin as they did. Democrats hold the governor’s mansion and Hillary Clinton won by five points last year.  Trump  could have congratulated Gillespie on a hard-fought race and noted the uphill battle. Instead   he  decided to try to spin the loss to  his  advantage.
It’s unlikely that many Republicans worried about next November will be convinced by  Trump ’s argument. Instead  they’re likely to take another lesson:  Trump  can’t deliver a victory for you when you’re trailing  and neither can Trumpism. (In fact  there’s every reason to think that  Trump  was the liability that  his  poll numbers would suggest  with Gillespie doing fine in western Virginia but getting beaten badly in more-Democratic Northern Virginia.) Nor will  Trump  stand with you should things go south.
If  next summer  the question of  Trump ’s fate as president is raised  how might Republicans in center-right districts be expected to evaluate that decision?

A:
Donald J. Trump
****