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DENPASAR  Indonesia (Reuters) - Indonesia raised its warning for  Baliâs Mount Agung volcano  to the top level four alert on Monday  closed the holiday islandâs airport and told residents around the mountain to immediately evacuate  warning of an âimminentâ risk of a larger eruption.
A Balinese man sits as Mount Agung volcano erupts at Lempuyang Temple in Karangasem  Bali  Indonesia November 27  2017. REUTERS/Johannes P. Christo
Baliâs airport was closed for 24 hours from Monday morning  disrupting 445 flights and some 59 000 passengers  due to the eruption and the presence of volcanic ash from  Agung   but local officials said the closure could be extended.
âThe potential for a larger eruption is imminent â it said  referring to the visible glow of magma at Agungâs peak overnight.
Residents were warned to âimmediately evacuateâ a danger zone that circles Agung in a radius of 8-10 km (5-6 miles).
 Agung  rises majestically over eastern Bali to a height of just over 3 000 metres (9 800 feet). Eastern Bali is relatively undeveloped  with traditional rice paddies doting the landscape and the occasional budget resort  unlike the heavily populated southern tourist hub of Kuta-Seminyak-Nusa Dua.
 Agung âs last eruption in 1963 left more than 1 000 people dead and razed several villages.
Analysis suggested the threat should not be as great this time because âenergy at  Mount Agungâs  magma chamber is not as bigâ and with the ash column only around a quarter as high so far as the 20 km (12 miles) reached in 1963  said Sutopo.
Tourism business has slumped in Bali since September when  Agung âs volcanic tremors began to increase.
 Mount Agung volcano  is seen erupting from Lempuyang Temple in Karangasem  Bali  Indonesia November 27  2017. REUTERS/Johannes P. Christo
According to the Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre in nearby Darwin  Australia  there is âash confirmed on the ground at Denpasar Airportâ as well as ash at FL300 (which refers to flight level at 30 000 feet) in the vicinity of  the volcano .
Baliâs I Gusti Ngurah Rai airport  which is about 60 km (40 miles) from  the volcano   will be closed for 24 hours  according to its operator. A total of 445 flights - 196 international and 249 domestic - and 59 000 passengers had been affected.
Farmers tend their crops as Mount Agung erupts in the background in Amed  Karangasem Regency  Bali  Indonesia  November 27  2017. REUTERS/Nyimas Laula
The alert level on  Agung  had been raised to the maximum in September  but was lowered in October when seismic activity calmed. However  volcanologists now say the volcano has entered a new phase with magma now visible at  Agung âs peak  meaning a greater risk of a larger eruption.
Agung

Could a small force of American soldiers have prevented Iraq from sliding back into chaos , as Governor Bush claims ? 
The exchange started like this : at the end of Jeb Bush 's town-hall meeting in Reno , Nevada , on Wednesday , a college student named Ivy Ziedrich stood up and said that she had heard Bush blame the growth of ISIS on President Obama , in particular on his decision to withdraw American troops from Iraq in 2011 . 
The origins of ISIS , Ziedrich said , lay in the decision by Bush 's brother , in 2003 , to disband the Iraqi Army following the toppling of Saddam Hussein 's government . 
Wow ," Bush said . 
Here is what happened : In 2003 , the U.S. military , on orders of President Bush , invaded Iraq , and nineteen days later threw out Saddam 's government . 
Historians -- along with Governor Bush and Ivy Ziedrich -- will be arguing about the question for a long time . 
"All right ," Bush said . 
Bush Administration officials involved in the decision -- like Paul Bremer and Walter Slocombe -- argued that they were effectively ratifying the reality that the Iraqi Army had already disintegrated . 
But the Bush White House went ahead . 
While it 's true that George W. Bush took actions that helped enable the creation of the Iraqi insurgency , and that some leaders of the insurgency formed ISIS , it 's not true that he "created" ISIS . 
And there 's a good argument to be made that an insurgency would have formed following the invasion of Iraq even if President Bush had kept the Iraqi Army together . 
Indeed , by 2011 the situation in Iraq -- as former Governor Bush said -- was relatively stable . 
But let 's get to Governor Bush 's assertion -- that Iraq went down the tubes because of President Obama 's decision to pull out all American forces , and that Obama could easily have left behind a residual force that would have kept the peace . 
"When we left Iraq , security had been arranged ," Bush said . 
A few days after that , President Bush or someone in his Administration decreed the dissolution of the Iraqi Army . 
Bush did n't like it : he offered a retort and then left the stage . 
So , on this , Governor Bush is n't entirely accurate , but makes a good point : the Obama Administration might have been able to keep some forces in Iraq if it had really tried .
George W Bush

âShe was the most radiant woman I ever met â  Mr. Hurst  wrote of Ms. Parker after the shooting. âAnd for some reason she loved me back.â
 Mr. Hurst  was the only House candidate in Virginia who was endorsed by the advocacy group Everytown for Gun Safety. But  he  chose not to make gun control a key campaign issue even as  he  ran against Mr. Yost  a three-term incumbent with an A rating from  the N.R.A. Mr. Hurst  focused instead on mental health  as well as issues like health care and education funding.
 Mr. Hurst  described  himself  as a gun owner and supporter of the Second Amendment  but said that  he  was intent on trying âto reduce gun homicides  suicides and accidental deaths.â
The victory came on a banner night for Virginia Democrats. Lt. Gov. Ralph S. Northam soundly defeated the Republican nominee  Ed Gillespie  to win the governorship. And  Mr. Hurst  was one of at least 14 Democrats to retake what had formerly been Republican seats  putting the party in contention to retake the House of Delegates for the first time in more than 15 years.
Asked if he thought the results were a rebuke to President Trump   Mr. Hurst  paused to consider.
âI still think politics is local â  he  said. âBut I think there are many people who got active and started organizing who were trying to send a message as a sign of resistance against President Trump and his administration.â
Ms. Parkerâs parents  Andy and Barbara  attended Mr. Hurstâs victory celebration Tuesday evening at a Hyatt in Blacksburg  Va.  along with a crowd of about 100.
He said that if his daughter had been alive  she would have been by  Mr. Hurst âs side  making sure  he  followed through on  his  campaign promises.
 Mr. Hurst  had insisted from the beginning of  his  campaign that  he  was not trying to earn sympathy votes and did not want peopleâs pity  even as  he  explained that Ms. Parkerâs death had been instrumental in  his  decision to change careers.  He  said that  he  hoped  his  victory would show people that âanyone can turn tragedy into triumph.â
âItâs not what happens on our worst day that defines us â  he  said. âItâs what we do in response to it.â

Hurst