I fail to see how  Im willing to bet you arent is in anyway relevant to establish Crichtons presumed qualification but maybe Im quaint that way And Im sure you have something better to offer than scientific consensus when we decide wether to inoculate or not how to build a bridge or how to compute the trajectory of a bullet However going with scientific consensus has served the rest of us better than the other methods tried No science never offers absolute guarantees not can it ever prove anything true in the mathematical sense But overall it is nearly always less wrong than nearly all of the alternative opinions freely provided by cranks cooks and the average Joe Thats why we do science