Question: What year did this British Conservative politician die, whose death indirectly caused the Paisley by-election 1948?

full_context: Document 1: Birmingham Edgbaston by-election, 1940: The Birmingham Edgbaston by-election, 1940 was a parliamentary by-election held for the British House of Commons constituency of Birmingham Edgbaston on 18 December 1940. The seat had become vacant when Neville Chamberlain, the constituency's Conservative Party Member of Parliament had died from stomach cancer on 9 November. Chamberlain had been Prime Minister until May 1940, and had held the Edgbaston seat since the 1929 general election.
Document 2: Paisley by-election, 1920: The Paisley by-election, 1920 was a parliamentary by-election held on 12 February 1920 for the British House of Commons constituency of Paisley in Scotland. It was caused by the death of the constituency's sitting Liberal Member of Parliament (MP) Sir John Mills McCallum.
Document 3: Paisley by-election, 1948: The Paisley by-election, 1948 was a parliamentary by-election held on 18 February 1948 for the British House of Commons constituency of Paisley in Scotland. it was indirectly caused by the death of former Conservative Prime Minister Stanley Baldwin which had the effect of elevating his son, the sitting Labour MP Oliver Baldwin, Viscount Corvedale, to become Earl Baldwin of Bewdley.
Document 4: Paisley by-election, 1884: The Paisley by-election, 1884 was a parliamentary by-election held on 15 February 1884 for the British House of Commons constituency of Paisley in Scotland. It was caused by the resignation of the constituency's sitting Liberal Member of Parliament William Holms who had held the seat since the general election of 1880 when he was returned unopposed.
Document 5: Anthony Eden: Robert Anthony Eden, 1st Earl of Avon, (12 June 1897 – 14 January 1977) was a British Conservative politician who served three periods as Foreign Secretary and then a relatively brief term as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from 1955 to 1957.
Document 6: Neville Chamberlain: Arthur Neville Chamberlain, ( ; 18 March 1869 – 9 November 1940) was a British Conservative politician who served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from May 1937 to May 1940. Chamberlain is best known for his appeasement foreign policy, and in particular for his signing of the Munich Agreement in 1938, conceding the German-speaking Sudetenland region of Czechoslovakia to Germany. However, when Adolf Hitler later invaded Poland, the UK declared war on Germany on 3 September 1939, and Chamberlain led Britain through the first eight months of World War II.
Document 7: Paisley by-election, 1891: The Paisley by-election, 1891 was a parliamentary by-election held on 1 June 1891 for the British House of Commons constituency of Paisley in Scotland. It was caused by the death of the constituency's sitting Liberal Member of Parliament William Boyle Barbour who had held the seat since the 1885 general election.
Document 8: Lucy Baldwin: Lucy Baldwin, Countess Baldwin of Bewdley, GBE, DGStJ (née Ridsdale; 19 June 1869 – 17 June 1945) was an English writer and activist for maternity health. From 1892 until her death in 1945, she was the wife of Stanley Baldwin, three-time Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. She was invested as a Dame of Grace, Order of Saint John of Jerusalem and a Dame Grand Cross, Order of the British Empire, and styled as Countess Baldwin of Bewdley on 8 June 1937.
Document 9: National Government (1935–1937): The National Government of 1935–1937 was formed by Stanley Baldwin on his reappointment as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by King George V in June 1935. It consisted of two ministries: the third Baldwin ministry and the fourth Baldwin ministry.
Document 10: Paisley by-election, 1961: The Paisley by-election, 1961 was a parliamentary by-election held on 20 April 1961 for the British House of Commons constituency of Paisley in Scotland.
Document 11: Stanley Baldwin: Stanley Baldwin, 1st Earl Baldwin of Bewdley, (3 August 186714 December 1947) was a British Conservative politician who dominated the government in his country between the two world wars. Three times Prime Minister, he is the only premier to have served under three monarchs (George V, Edward VIII and George VI).
Document 12: Rise of Neville Chamberlain: The early life, business career and political rise of Neville Chamberlain culminated on 28 May 1937, when he was summoned to Buckingham Palace to "kiss hands" and accept the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. Chamberlain had long been regarded as Prime Minister Stanley Baldwin's political heir, and when Baldwin announced his retirement, Chamberlain was seen as the only possible successor.
Document 13: National Government (1937–1939): The National Government of 1937–1939 was formed by Neville Chamberlain on his appointment as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by King George VI. He succeeded Stanley Baldwin, who announced his resignation following the coronation of the King and Queen in May 1937.
Document 14: Second Baldwin ministry: Stanley Baldwin of the Conservative Party formed the second Baldwin ministry upon his reappointment as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by King George V after the 1924 general election. His second ministry ended following the so-called "Flapper Election" of May 1929.
Document 15: Earl Baldwin of Bewdley: Earl Baldwin of Bewdley is a title in the Peerage of the United Kingdom. It was created in 1937 for the Conservative politician Stanley Baldwin. He was Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from 1923 to 1924, from 1924 to 1929 and from 1935 to 1937. Baldwin was made Viscount Corvedale, of Corvedale in the County of Salop, at the same time he was given the earldom.
ground_truth: 1947