[House Hearing, 115 Congress] [From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] THE FAILURES OF OBAMACARE: HARMFUL EFFECTS AND BROKEN PROMISES ======================================================================= HEARING before the COMMITTEE ON THE BUDGET HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED FIFTEENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION __________ HEARING HELD IN WASHINGTON, DC, JANUARY 24, 2017 __________ Serial No. 115-1 __________ Printed for the use of the Committee on the Budget [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Available on the Internet: www.gpo.gov/fdsys/browse/committee.action?chamber=house&committee=budget _________ U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING OFFICE 24-442 WASHINGTON : 2017 ____________________________________________________________________ For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Publishing Office, Internet:bookstore.gpo.gov. Phone:toll free (866)512-1800;DC area (202)512-1800 Fax:(202) 512-2104 Mail:Stop IDCC,Washington,DC 20402-001 COMMITTEE ON THE BUDGET DIANE BLACK, Tennessee, Interim Chairman TOM PRICE, M.D., Georgia JOHN A. YARMUTH, Kentucky, TODD ROKITA, Indiana Ranking Minority Member MARIO DIAZ-BALART, Florida BARBARA LEE, California TOM COLE, Oklahoma MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM, New Mexico TOM McCLINTOCK, California SETH MOULTON, Massachusetts DIANE BLACK, Tennessee HAKEEM S. JEFFRIES, New York ROB WOODALL, Georgia BRIAN HIGGINS, New York MARK SANFORD, South Carolina SUZAN K. DelBENE, Washington STEVE WOMACK, Arkansas DEBBIE WASSERMAN SCHULTZ, Florida DAVE BRAT, Virginia BRENDAN F. BOYLE, Pennsylvania GLENN GROTHMAN, Wisconsin RO KHANNA, California GARY PALMER, Alabama PRAMILA JAYAPAL, Washington BRUCE WESTERMAN, Arkansas SALUD O. CARBAJAL, California JIM RENACCI, Ohio BILL JOHNSON, Ohio JASON LEWIS, Minnesota JACK BERGMAN, Michigan JOHN J. FASO, New York LLOYD SMUCKER, Pennsylvania MATT GAETZ, Florida JODEY C. ARRINGTON, Texas A. DREW FERGUSON, Georgia Professional Staff Richard May, Staff Director Ellen Balis, Minority Staff Director C O N T E N T S ---------- Page Hearing held in Washington, D.C., January 24, 2017............... 1 Hon. Diane Black, Interim Chairman, Committee on the Budget.. 1 Prepared statement of.................................... 4 Hon. John A. Yarmuth, Ranking Member, Committee on the Budget 6 Prepared statement of.................................... 8 Grace-Marie Turner, President, Galen Institute............... 10 Prepared statement of.................................... 12 Robert A. Book, Ph.D., Senior Director, Health Systems Innovation Network, LLC............................................... 24 Prepared statement of.................................... 26 Dr. Book's response to questions submitted for the record 148 Linda J. Blumberg, Ph.D., Senior Fellow, The Urban Institute. 35 Prepared statement of.................................... 37 Letter submitted for the record.......................... 92 Edmund F. Haislmaier, Senior Research Fellow, The Heritage Foundation................................................. 95 Prepared statement of.................................... 97 Mr. Haislmaier's response to questions submitted for the record................................................. 150 Hon. Todd Rokita, Vice Chairman, Committee on the Budget, questions submitted for the record......................... 147 THE FAILURES OF OBAMACARE: HARMFUL EFFECTS AND BROKEN PROMISES ---------- JANUARY 24, 2017 TUESDAY, JANUARY 24, 2017 House of Representatives, Committee on the Budget, Washington, DC. The committee met, pursuant to call, at 10:00 a.m., in Room 1334, Longworth House Office Building, Hon. Diane Black [interim chair of the committee] presiding. Present: Representatives Black, Rokita, McClintock, Woodall, Sanford, Grothman, Palmer, Westerman, Johnson, Lewis, Bergman, Faso, Smucker, Gaetz, Arrington, Ferguson, Yarmuth, Lujan Grisham, Moulton, Higgins, DelBene, Wasserman Schultz, Boyle, Khanna, Jayapal, and Carbajal. Interim Chair Black. Welcome panelists. This hearing will focus on the failures of Obamacare, its harmful effects, and broken promises. We are having this hearing today to discuss the damage that Obamacare has done to patients, medicine, workers, and our economy. And after 6 years, no one can dispute that this law has been nothing but a series of broken promises. Patients have lost their doctors and their insurance plans, premiums and deductibles have skyrocketed, and small businesses have been forced to reduce their benefits and wages or put off hiring of new workers altogether. Obamacare was sold as a solution that would tackle one of the biggest problems in our healthcare system, the rising cost of insurance. In fact, President Obama promised this law would lower premiums by $2,500 a year for an average family. In reality, the complete opposite has been true. Average family premiums have risen by $4,300 and deductibles have risen by 60 percent in the employer-sponsored market. For working folks across the country, more money out of their paychecks just to pay for health care makes life much harder. And what are Americans getting in exchange for these higher costs? Well, not much. Twenty million Americans have said that Obamacare just is not worth the cost or the trouble, choosing to pay a fine or to file an exemption instead. And for those who do have insurance, access to care has not improved. So, while our friends on the other side of the aisle may claim that Obamacare is increasing the number of people covered, the question we would ask is what kind of care are they receiving? For those pushed into a broken Medicaid system who are having to navigate the complicated Obamacare bureaucracy, they are not receiving the very best health care our Nation has to offer. And as a nurse for over 40 years I know that we can do better. Now I am sure the Democrats will cite the CBO study from last week that discusses what happens to coverage numbers if we repeal Obamacare. But what the CBO study ignores is any potential Republican ideas to reform the health care and expand access. And access to quality care is what so many people in my home State of Tennessee are lacking under this law. Let me give you an example. In our State, 28,000 people lost their coverage on a single day when Access Tennessee, which is a program that helps those that are in the risk pool, lapsed after the Obama administration decreed that it ran afoul of the Federal Government's top down requirements. Yes, in one day 28,000 people lost their insurance. This happened despite President Obama's claim that, ``If you like your plan you can keep it.'' Now, premiums in our State are rising by an average of 63 percent, and three-fourths of our counties only have one coverage option to choose from on the Obamacare Exchange. In five other States around the county, Alabama, Alaska, Oklahoma, South Carolina, and Wyoming patients only have one insurer in the marketplace to choose from. And if you only have one choice, then you are probably not going to find a plan that best fits the unique needs of you and your family. And for folks not living in the city or suburbs, Obamacare has been especially harmful. Since 2010, eight rural hospitals have been forced to close, further restricting choice and access. But the good news is that it does not have to be this way. We do not have to accept Obamacare failures and broken promises. And that is why our House and Senate have worked together in this new Congress to pass a budget that begins the process to repeal Obamacare and stop the damage that it is causing. And in the coming weeks, we will consider legislation that will roll back some of the worst aspects of this law, and begin laying a foundation for a patient-centered healthcare system. And we already have great ideas to build on. My Tennessee colleague whom I am very proud of, Congressman Phil Roe, a physician, has introduced the American Health Care Reform Act. And Congressman Tom Price has offered the Empowering Patients First Act. And last year, our House Republicans put forward a better way, 37 pages of reform proposals that we will act on this year. So, we have got a lot of hard work ahead of us and today's hearing will be another critical step forward. And that is why I am glad that today we will welcome some witnesses and get their ideas for improving health care for the American people. First, we have Grace-Marie Turner who is the President of the Galen Institute. Next, we have Dr. Robert Book, a Senior Director of the Health Systems Innovation Network. We also have Edmund Haislmaier, a Senior Research Fellow in Health Policy Studies at the Heritage Foundation. And finally, we have Dr. Linda Blumberg, a Senior Fellow at Urban Institute's Health Policy Center. Thank you all for taking time out of your busy schedules today to join us for discussion. Everyone on this committee looks forward to your knowledge and insight on what we can do to improve America's healthcare system. We are committed to rolling back the damage caused by Obamacare to achieving true healthcare reform by bringing the best minds together, which we believe we have done today. And always remembering to put patients ahead of Washington's bureaucracy we will succeed. Thank you, and with that I yield to the ranking member, Mr. Yarmuth. [The prepared statement of Interim Chair Black follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Yarmuth. Thank you, Chairman Black. I want to join the chairman in welcoming our witnesses this morning. My Democratic colleagues and I are confused why the majority did not hold this hearing before rushing through a budget to repeal the Affordable Care Act and defund Planned Parenthood. However, we will use it as an opportunity to set the record straight about a number of things. The American people have made it clear they do not support repealing the Affordable Care Act. They rightly fear losing access to quality and affordable care, and know the consequences would be disastrous. Over the weekend, millions of people across the Nation rallied against the dangerous policies of the new administration, including threats to our health care. I know every one of my Democratic colleagues has heard from people whose lives have been transformed or saved because of the ACA. And there are hundreds of thousands of constituents in every Congressional district across the country who have benefitted from the law. Let me tell you about one of them, Steve Riggert, a constituent who recently wrote to me. Steve's daughter, Anna, was diagnosed with chronic pancreatitis at the age of 12 and has been hospitalized more than two-dozen times over the past 10 years for a variety of reasons. From the beginning, Steve knew that Anna's serious medical problems would make getting health insurance difficult once she transitioned out of her parents' policy. When the ACA was enacted, he was immensely relieved that she could always get coverage even though she had a pre- existing condition. But the Republican plan to repeal the ACA has now left Steve feeling, and these are his words, ``helpless,'' ``petrified,'' and ``literally losing sleep.'' At age 64 and recently diagnosed with pancreatic cancer himself, he fears that he will not be able to help his daughter. To quote his letter, ``Repeal of all aspects of the Affordable Care Act would place everything I have worked for and those I care about in jeopardy.'' Steve is one of many. There are a lot more. In fact, the Congressional Budget Office, as Chairman Black mentioned, estimates repealing the major coverage provisions will cause 32 million people to lose health insurance. In the individual market, eventually, three-quarters of the U.S. population will have no access to an insurer, and premiums will double. But that is just the beginning. Under a full repeal of the law, insurance companies will once again be able to deny coverage based on pre-existing medical conditions, people with job-based insurance will face annual and lifetime limits on coverage and copays for preventive services, and seniors in Medicare will pay more for prescription drugs. Hospitals caution that repeal will increase uncompensated care costs, likely leading to service cuts, layoffs, or higher prices for everyone. Outside experts say repeal will result in 3 million lost jobs in 2019 alone. Republican governors are pleading with the Republican Congressional leadership not to go through with this repeal. Despite these warnings and despite the grave consequences, here we are. I expect my Republican colleagues today, as Chairman Black's already done, will wave around bills and claim they have a plan to replace the ACA. They do not. The reality is that in nearly 7 years, Republicans have yet to introduce a single bill that has the support of the majority of their conference, or comes close to matching the ACA's record of success. We will hear a lot of ideas today from my colleagues on the other side of the aisle. And I would wager that at the end of the day, these ideas will also fail to garner the majority of their conference, or come close to a plan that matches the ACA's record of success. They will also not comprise a plan that any American citizen could infer how it will change their lives or affect their lives. I will keep an open mind. I will ask questions and I look forward to hearing more from our witnesses. And I yield back the balance of my time. [The prepared statement of Mr. Yarmuth follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Interim Chair Black. Thank you, Mr. Yarmuth. Panelists, the committee has received your written statements and they will be made part of the formal record hearing. You will each have 5 minutes to deliver your oral remarks. And Ms. Turner, you may begin when you are ready. STATEMENTS OF GRACE-MARIE TURNER, PRESIDENT, GALEN INSTITUTE; ROBERT A. BOOK, SENIOR DIRECTOR, HEALTH SYSTEMS INNOVATION NETWORK, LLC; LINDA J. BLUMBERG, SENIOR FELLOW, THE URBAN INSTITUTE, HEALTH POLICY CENTER; AND EDMUND F. HAISLMAIER, SENIOR RESEARCH FELLOW, HEALTH POLICY STUDIES, THE HERITAGE FOUNDATION STATEMENT OF GRACE-MARIE TURNER Ms. Turner. Thank you, Chairman Black, Ranking Member Yarmuth, and members of the committee for the opportunity to testify today on the impact of the Affordable Care Act. I plan to focus primarily on families, small businesses, and young people. While numbers of people have received health coverage through the Affordable Care Act, many more have felt personal harm. I know that you and many members of Congress, including the leadership, have provided assurances that those currently receiving coverage through the Affordable Care Act now, will have that coverage maintained as a safety net lifeboat while you build a bridge to new coverage that will protect people that are currently being harmed by the law, but also provide new patient-centered options for care and coverage. The cost of health care continue to be a primary concern. I rode with an Uber driver last week who said that he lives in Maryland and he has to work this second job to pay his $1,200 a month premium for himself, his wife, and his child. So, he says this is taking time away from my family, but I have to do it in order to provide them coverage. Many millions more are facing a similar fate and really are pleading for help. Young people have been particularly disadvantaged. The law requires that insurance companies charge them only 3 times less than older people. And this 3-to-1 age rating has meant that young people are required to pay 75 percent more for their coverage than someone just pre-Medicare age. The savings for somebody on Medicare or 64 years old, so just before Medicare, are only 13 percent. So what is happening is, young people are saying this just is not a good value. They are not purchasing from the coverage and they are not entering the pools that we need them in so that they can help balance out the risks. The ACA's employer mandate also is disadvantaging them and making it much harder to get that first real job, because it makes hiring them so much more costly. On families, NPR's Morning Edition had a self-employed consultant from Portland, Oregon saying he is just not going to buy health insurance in 2017 because his premium had shot up to $930 a month. A broker said, ``I have got clients saying the prices are nuts and I will not pay it. I will pay the penalty instead.'' The Congressional Budget Office had said, as you said, Madam Chairman, 21 million people would be enrolled in the exchanges as of this time and as of June 2016, but only about 10.5 million were. Many millions of people just do not see the value in this expensive coverage, particularly in the exchanges where premiums increased an average of 25 percent last year. In Kansas City, Warren Jones said that his coverage was $318 a month when he started under Obamacare in 2014. In 2017, his premium is going to be $716. So, it went up 46 percent. He said, ``My wages have not gone up close to that.'' In addition, many hundreds of thousands and millions of people lost the coverage they had now. But particularly egregious, I think, is those who were on the co-ops. The Congress provided $2.4 billion to provide the start-up funds for these cooperative health insurance plans. And all but five of them have failed, causing 800,000 people to suddenly lose their coverage because the plans were not able to, for a number of reasons, price their premiums properly. And then many millions of Americans have been impacted by the taxes; nearly two-dozen taxes, many of which go directly to the bottom line in increasing health insurance costs. Small businesses thought that they would be able to get relief, but the shop exchanges and small business tax credits that were supposed to help them were so complicated that they drew very little interest. And then, finally, on Medicaid. Brian Blase of the Mercatus Center said that in his research, 70 percent of Medicaid enrollees in the expansion were eligible for the program in pre-ACA rules. While many unintended consequences have resulted from the law, I think one of the saddest is how it has impacted vulnerable populations. Charles Blahous of Mercatus said that one of the results was to require the most sympathetic and vulnerable Medicaid populations, low income enrollees, pregnant women, children, et cetera to face more competition for health services from a marginally less vulnerable population--childless adults of somewhat higher income. A Louisiana Medicaid recipient told the New York Times, ``My Medicaid card is useless for me right now. It is a useless piece of plastic. I cannot find an orthopedic surgeon or a pain management doctor who will take Medicaid.'' President Trump's Executive Order ordered the bureaucracy to try to provide people some initial relief but, of course, only Congress can really act to change the underlying law. Thank you, Madam Chairman. I look forward to working with you, members of your committee and hopefully both sides of the aisle in coming up with options to solve these problems. [The prepared statement of Ms. Turner follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Interim Chair Black. Thank you, Ms. Turner. Dr. Book, you are recognized for 5 minutes. STATEMENT OF ROBERT A. BOOK Dr. Book. Thank you, Chairman Black, Ranking Member Yarmuth, and members of the committee. Thank you for the opportunity to share my research on the failures of the Affordable Care Act to achieve its goals. As well as the harmful and presumably unintended affects it has caused some reforms that can be enacted to make health care truly affordable for all Americans who seek it. Proponents of the ACA, both inside Congress and outside, promised that it would bring about lower health insurance premiums, better access to health care, lower healthcare costs for patients, lower total national health expenditures in part due to savings on administrative costs and non-profit co-ops, and most of all fewer Americans foregoing health care because they cannot afford to pay for it. In fact, the opposite has happened. Health insurance premiums have increased at record rates, especially but not only, for those who have to pay for their own coverage instead of getting it at work. More health plans than ever have narrow networks of providers limiting access to care in the name of saving money. Co-payments and deductibles are at all-time highs. And according to Gallup more Americans than ever say they have avoided or delayed obtaining health care because they cannot afford the cost. Clearly, having health coverage does not mean that one can actually obtain health care. In addition to paying record high premiums, families earning as little as $41,000 per year may have to spend as much as $14,300 out of pocket before obtaining any coverage for treatment of diseases or injuries. And even that coverage may be restricted to a very small network of providers. Despite all these factors making it more difficult for patients to access health care, total national spending on health care has continued to increase every year, both in dollars and as a percent of GDP. Administrative costs of insurance have increased as well, as the cost of establishing and operating the government-run exchanges vastly exceeded the savings to insurers by marketing through those exchanges. Most of the co-ops have shut down taking their taxpayer financed start-up loans with them. One reason the ACA was passed was that we were paying too much for health care and not getting enough in return. Clearly, we are paying even more and getting even less than ever before. The problems that plagued the healthcare system before the ACA are still with us, and a new layer of problems has been added. Another reason the ACA was passed was to save lives. Proponents said that thousands of people were dying due to a lack of health coverage. If that were true mortality rates should have decreased when the full provisions of the ACA came into effect; however, this has not happened. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recently reported that U.S. life expectancy dropped in 2015 for the first time since 1993. While this decrease might not be the fault of the ACA, there is certainly no increase in life expectancy or decrease of mortality, for which the ACA might take credit. Medicare beneficiaries face a separate set of new obstacles. For example, the ACA mandated a Federal program whose express purpose is to pay doctors and hospitals bonuses for providing less health care to seniors and the disabled. The canard heralded health insurance companies for decades that they are denying care to patients just to save money has now become the official policy of the Federal Government towards its own beneficiaries. And worse, they are co-opting providers of cures by paying them bonuses to deny care and say no. In addition, the promise of health coverage for all, even just coverage not care, has still not been achieved. On September 9, 2009 then-President Obama told a joint session of Congress that, ``There are now more than 30 million American citizens who cannot get coverage.'' The latest figures from the census bureau indicate that as of 2015 there were still 29 million uninsured. Due to a change in definitions, these numbers might not be directly comparable, but it is quite clear that the ACA's goal of achieving coverage for everyone is far from being achieved. Last week, CBO issued an alarmist report on a possible ACA repeal predicting, based on March 2016 data, that many people would lose coverage and premiums would increase if, as the report put it, portions of the ACA would be repealed. To get this result, the CBO assumed that all the ACA provisions that made coverage expensive and difficult to obtain, would remain in place, but that subsidies to pay for insurance in the individual mandate would be repealed. This is a straw person argument because it is not anyone's idea of how to reform health care. Furthermore, this report was based on data obtained before 2017 premiums and enrollment data were available. And, in fact, most of those premium increases they predicted have already occurred, even under the ACA. In order to make health care accessible and coverage affordable, it is necessary to eliminate those factors that artificially increase prices without improving care or benefitting patients. It is imperative to repeal provisions requiring people to purchase health plans that include costly coverage for services they do not want, will not need, or will not use. People should be permitted to purchase comprehensive coverage if they so choose, or basic coverage if they so choose. Furthermore, if subsidies are to be given, they should be structured in such a way to encourage health insurers to provide coverage for individual's pre-existing conditions by basing subsidies on health status rather than merely on income. Thank you very much and I look forward to your questions. [The prepared statement of Dr. Book follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Interim Chair Black. Thank you, Dr. Book. Dr. Blumberg, you are recognized for 5 minutes. STATEMENT OF LINDA BLUMBERG Dr. Blumberg. Chairman Black, Ranking Member Yarmuth, and members of the committee thank you for inviting me to testify today. The views that I express are mine alone and do not represent the views of the Urban Institute, its funders, or its sponsors. The ACA is an imperfect law, but it has generated substantial benefits since its full implementation in 2014. Including increasing insurance coverage by over 20 million people, improving access to care and affordability, prohibiting insurer discrimination against the sick, catalyzing insurance market price competition in many areas for the first time, lowering the growth in per capita healthcare spending, and doing all this with virtually no evidence of negative effects on employment. Our analysis and that of the CBO indicates that repeal of the ACA through the reconciliation process without a replacement plan would leave the U.S. Healthcare System worse off than would have been the case if the ACA was never passed. It would lead to an increase of 29.8 million uninsured in 2019, nearly doubling the uninsurance rate from 11 percent under the ACA to 21 percent. The non-group market would virtually collapse due to the loss of predominantly healthy enrollees when the individual mandate and financial assistance were eliminated, while the rules that prohibit insurer discrimination against those with health problems remained in place. Unsubsidized premiums would increase dramatically and three-fourths of the population would not have any insurer selling non-group coverage in their area. Over 10 years, there would be an increase of $1.1 trillion in uncompensated care that would be sought from healthcare providers due to the large increase in the uninsured. But there would be no obvious source to finance this additional care. Likely, it would result in much greater financial pressures on hospitals and other healthcare providers, and much more unmet medical need for households. This scenario is realistic since opponents of the ACA have not coalesced around a replacement policy. And doing so would require raising significant new revenues, making dramatic cuts in existing programs, or increasing the deficit while earning some Democratic votes, all of which are very politically challenging. Contrary to some public statements, non-group insurance markets under the ACA are not in a death spiral. Market experiences vary a lot across the country. About 40 percent of the population lives in areas where low cost silver premiums decreased or increased only modestly in 2017. But about 40 percent of the population does live in areas with 2017 premium increases of 20 percent or more; in most cases though, these increases represent adjustments to underpricing by insurers in the early years of reform. In these cases, high growth rates do not mean high premiums. In other cases though, premiums are high because of the market power of providers and/or insurers or adverse selection into the non-group market. However, policy strategies many of which have had bipartisan support in other context could be used to address these situations. And I will come back to that shortly. This evidence and still increasing enrollment show that it is simply not true the marketplaces are in a death spiral. However, a death spiral would occur under a repeal via reconciliation or by maintaining the ACA, but neglecting the important administrative tasks that are required for the system to continue to operate effectively. The replacement proposals delineated by members of Congress thus far fall firmly in the philosophical camp of reducing the sharing of healthcare risk, separating expenses of people with significant healthcare needs from those who are healthy. These approaches may well reduce premiums for those who are currently very healthy, but they all would reduce access to adequate and affordable medical care for people with greater needs. The proposals would also do much less for those with lower incomes. These strategies include such policies as expansion of health savings accounts, replacement of income-related tax credits and expanded Medicaid eligibility with age-related tax credits, sales of insurance across State lines, continuous coverage requirements, and traditional high-risk pools. Faced with a very challenging political reality, policy makers should consider fixing the major problems they have with the ACA rather than repealing it. The following policies would address critics' concerns and also strengthen the law. Replace the individual mandate with a modified version of the late enrollment penalties currently used in Medicare parts B and D. Eliminate the employer mandate. Replace the Cadillac tax with a cap on the tax exclusion for employer insurance with some adjustments. Improve affordability by increasing premiums and cost sharing assistance and extend an 8.5 percent of income premium cap to those with incomes above 400 percent of the poverty level. Doing this, would allow you to loosen the 3-to-1 age rating bans. Stabilize the marketplaces by taking steps to increase enrollment, including more outreach in enrollment assistance, and allowing states to expand Medicaid up to 100 percent of poverty instead of 138 percent. Address the effects of insurer and provider market power on non-group premiums by capping provider payment rates for non- group insurers just like the Medicare Advantage Program does. And create a permanent reinsurance program to protect non-group insurers from very high cost cases just as Medicare Part D and Medicare Advantage have. This approach would avoid the turmoil of repeal and replace for households, healthcare providers, insurers, and State governments, and would protect access to affordable adequate care for all individuals regardless of health status or income. Thank you very much. And I look forward to your questions. [The prepared statement of Dr. Blumberg follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Interim Chair Black. Thank you, Dr. Blumberg. Mr. Haislmaier, you are recognized for 5 minutes. STATEMENT OF EDMUND HAISLMAIER Mr. Haislmaier. Thank you, Madam Chairman and Mr. Yarmuth, ranking member. I have submitted, of course, testimony which I will briefly summarize. I am a senior research fellow in Health Policy at the Heritage Foundation and the testimony is my own and is not, and should not, be construed as an official position of the Heritage Foundation or anyone else. I am testifying in response to the committee's request to present the analysis of health insurance enrollment data that I have been conducting; basically looking at the areas that have been most affected by the key provisions of the Affordable Care Act. That would be the expansion of Medicaid and the introduction of subsidized coverage through the exchanges for the individual market and the related rules governing the individual and employer market, particularly the small employer market. I should note, very briefly, that this is data that I am using that is drawn from regulatory filings that insurers make in the case of the private market with State regulators. In the case of Medicaid, this is data reported by the states to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, which publishes it. That data is done periodically though in the case of the private market, quarterly in the case of the Medicaid data monthly though the best and most comprehensive is on an annual basis. When you look at the experience that we have seen in the first 2 years, 2014 and 2015, we saw a growth in the individual market from a base of 11.8 million people at the end of 2013, that was pre-ACA. We saw a growth to 17.7 million people in that market. In the employer coverage market, we saw two things fully insured, that is plans where the employer buys the coverage as a group policy from an insurer. Fully insured employer coverage declined from 60 million to 53 million. At the same time, self-insured employer coverage, and those tend to be larger employers, grew by 4 million. The net of those three interactions on the private market was a net increase over 2 years of 2.3 million people with private market coverage. In comparison, over the period, you saw an increase from 60.9 million to 72.7 million in total Medicaid enrollment. So what that leaves us with is a net growth of enrollment in those 2 years of 14 million of which almost 84 percent was in Medicaid. Now, when we turn to 2016, we do not have full year data yet for either of these programs. But we do have some initial data for the first three quarters. And what we see is a growth of a further 842,000 people in the individual market, a further decline of 1.1 million in the fully insured employer group market, a further increase of 776,000 roughly in the employer self-insured market, and a further 2 million increase in Medicaid enrollment. Again, these are preliminary figures. But it looks like by the end of 2015 we, 2016 sorry, we can reasonably project that over the course of the 3-year period, health insurance enrollment will have expanded by about 16.5 million individuals. Of which 13.8 million would be attributable to public coverage, Medicaid and CHIP, and the other 2.7 million to private coverage. What does all of this mean? In general, what it means is that the experience of the ACA appears to have had three significant effects. It has increased the number of people covered by individual market insurance. But a lot of that has been offset by a decline in employer provided insurance. And it has principally produced enrollment increases through an expansion of public programs, particularly Medicaid, and particularly in those states that adopted the ACA expansion to able-bodied adults. I will be happy, Madam Chairman, to answer any questions the committee may have. Thank you. [The prepared statement of Mr. Haislmaier follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Interim Chair Black. Thank you, Mr. Haislmaier, excuse me. We will now begin our question and answer session. I will start by, first of all, again thanking all the witnesses for being here and asking some questions. Again, by saying as a nurse for over 40 years, what I am really concerned about and as folks in my district call me and tell me the stories that are just so disheartening to me about their access to quality care and affordability. It really just bothers me terribly to know that there are some folks, as I said in my opening statements, that liked what they had and were not able to keep it. In particular, the high-risk patients in our State who were on a plan that the State had set up themselves and people were happy about it. And in one day, 28,000 people, with some pretty serious conditions, were out of care. But let me also go to some statistics. Let me first of all talk about the cost, the rising cost, because we hear this every day in our office; 25 percent average increase in premiums this year for millions of Americans that are trapped on the exchanges. There was a lady in Tennessee who runs a daycare center, and she was on the exchanges, and her deductible went from $2,000 to $9,000 this last year. There is no way someone running a daycare business can afford that. One trillion dollars in new taxes mostly falling on families and job creators have really hurt people in what they are able to do in their life besides just their health care. It really has hurt them. How about choice? Nearly one-third of the U.S. counties have only one insurer offering the exchange plans. In our State three-fourths of our State only has one option. That is not choice--that is a monopoly. We also see 4.7 million Americans kicked off of their healthcare plans by Obamacare. And finally, I think you mentioned it, Ms. Turner, is the fact of the failed Obamacare co-ops. We had a co-op in our State that went belly up and this is a cost to the taxpayers of $1.9 billion, billion dollars not million, forcing many of these patients to try to find new insurance. And if I could have the staff pull up slide number 5, this is particularly disturbing to me because, let's go back to the one with the hospitals, yeah there. Hospitals who have been forced to close under the Obamacare, these are rural hospitals; 50 percent of my district is rural. If you can look at Tennessee, you will see a number of Hs, hospitals who have closed in my district. Now, when that happens if someone has an emergency, such as a heart attack, they are about 40 minutes from the closest hospital because their small rural hospital has closed. This is devastating to communities not just for care that is provided, but also for recruiting businesses, because one of the things that new businesses will ask is, ``Where is your health care?'' They want to know that there is health care in that community. This has really been devastating and I think that we cannot discount these real stories that come to our office and just break my heart that that is what is occurring. So, let me ask you, Mr. Haislmaier, Obamacare really focused almost exclusively on coverage--we saw that as they were pushing people into the computer to sign up for that-- while neglecting the cost and the access of care. It was just, ``Let's get as many people signed up as we can so we can say that this program was successful.'' If health insurance does not cover the care you need, or if you cannot afford the deductibles that come with your plan, or you do not have access, then is not the number of people that are covered really meaningless? Mr. Haislmaier. Sorry, it is true that the authors of the legislation prioritized enrollment over cost control, which I think is one of the reasons the public was never sold on the bill, because most of the public wanted the reverse; they wanted cost control prioritized. In terms of the deductibles and the coverage, the argument had been made, indeed, by advocates of this law that insurance with high deductibles was of less value; some even called it junk insurance. The interesting thing is that that is what this law has produced. The reason for that is pretty straightforward. We saw that in other states that had adopted, in the 1990s, similar measures, and that is when the law limits what dials the insurers can turn, they reach for the only dials that are left. In this case, the only dials really left are to raise the deductibles as much as you can and/or to limit the networks, and that is what we have seen progressing in the last several years in plan design in the exchanges, yes. Interim Chair Black. Ms. Turner, you talked about some of young folks. I know that there are about 20 million Americans who have said that Obamacare just is not worth the cost; they have either paid the fine--which really is just almost funny to me where the whole idea of this is to make sure everybody has coverage, and what is more important is now you are paying fines for something you are not even going to get coverage on, and then there are another group of people that filed an exemption. So, we have got 20 million people out there who maybe would have had access to health care, potentially, insurance, but now the cost of it is so high that they neither have the access to the health care, nor do they have a dollar in their pocket because they are paying a fine. Could you talk a little bit about that? Ms. Turner. Well, as you say, Madam Chairman, it does really go against the purpose of the law and I know that many of the policy proposals that you and others have advocated would provide incentives for people to buy the coverage, and of course, the most important incentive is to make it more affordable. One of the reasons that the coverage is so expensive is not only because of the 3-to-1 age rating ban that is so disadvantageous as young people, but also because of the benefit requirements that are so much more generous than most people could afford. I think those are two specific things to look at in addition to the taxes that really go the underlying cost mechanism of the law. Getting the costs down would provide the incentive for people to purchase coverage. Interim Chair Black. I think it is interesting, when we talk about 20 million--and that number moves all over the place, but let's just use 20 million--that 20 million people have received insurance. We look at the other side; there are 20 million people who have not received it but either are exempt or who have paid the penalty. I do not know that we need to hurt one group to help the other. I think that we probably can get to the place where we have a true patient-centered care, and that we are helping everyone. I know, Dr. Book, I am going to just leave you about two and one-half minutes. But as we prepare legislation in this area that truly is patient- centered reform, what is the biggest lesson from the Obamacare experience that we can learn? And then, if you have a second to tell us if there is anything that you think we ought to take from it that would also help us to make sure that we take out what is good. Mr. Book. Thank you. I think the biggest thing to learn is that when Washington tells people what they need to buy, that does not necessarily make those people better off. The main reform I would suggest, though, one thing that we all want, is not to exclude people, make it impossible for people with preexisting conditions to get coverage. I myself had multiple preexisting conditions when I left my previous employer and had to go and buy my own insurance, and this was before the ACA reforms took effect. I had no problem getting insurance. I did have to pay for it, more than the average person, but I had no problem getting it, and that was under a law that was passed at least a decade before. On the other hand, now that Obamacare is in effect, I am paying two and one-half times as much for my premium and my deductible has gone from $2,400 to $7,000; my out-of-pocket is $13,000; and I am one of those people that was supposed to be helped by the bill as a self-employed person who pays for his own insurance and has preexisting conditions. I think we need to adjust the way we do subsidies. Right now, we subsidize insurance companies for covering people who have low incomes. There is nothing necessarily wrong with that, but people with low incomes are not necessarily the same as people with health problems. Obviously, there is overlap, but they are not all that well correlated. I think we need to incentivize companies to cover people who actually have adverse health status. We do that in the Medicare Advantage program using something called risk adjustment. There is a risk adjustment provision in the ACA, but it is completely different; it just moves money around between insurance companies without any reference to the health status compared to the underlying eligible population. If we did a risk adjustment that was based on the eligible population, I think we could solve the preexisting condition problem without forcing insurers to charge more to everybody else. That would be my primary suggestion. Interim Chair Black. Thank you very much. I now recognize the ranking member from Kentucky, Mr. Yarmuth, for any questions. Mr. Yarmuth. Thank you, Madam Chairman. Thank you all for your testimony. It occurs to me that what we have basically just heard, in the aggregate, is our biggest complaint and observation about this debate in recent weeks and months, and that is, we spent a lot of time hearing about the problems with the ACA and very little hearing about the alternatives, if I am going to characterize all the testimony. Now, Dr. Blumberg gave a number of suggestions; by the way, I would say, Dr. Blumberg, every one of those could be implemented by this Congress acting. And eliminating the employer mandate, for instance, could be done by this Congress. There has been no suggestion from the Republican side of doing that, and that is kind of where we have been over the last 6 or 7 years, is that while we have seen problems arise, Republicans have been unwilling to address problems. Instead, they have just said, ``Let's repeal it,'' and they have done that 65 times in the House. Anyway, Ms. Turner, in your testimony, I guess you could infer that you would recommend doing away with the employer mandate since you said that was a problem, but beyond that, you really do not offer any solutions. Dr. Book had seven pages of criticism of the ACA and identifying problems and then three paragraphs of solutions, one of which is two provisions to be repealed and then mentioning the question of the high-risk population which, I do not know, I would characterize it as just another form of a high-risk pool; you just change the mechanism for government financing of high-risk patients. And Mr. Haislmaier had no particular recommendations which probably makes sense since the Heritage Foundation was the originator of the idea of the Affordable Care Act, much of it. This is why we are so frustrated, because this Congress and this President have said, ``We are going to repeal it; that is first priority'' and really there are no ideas for replacing it. Now, I have my opinion about that and I have said it many times: There are only, in my opinion, two alternatives to the Affordable Care Act. One is to go back to where we were, where insurance companies decided who lived and died, and single- payer, Medicare for everyone. The other solutions that have all been proposed are just tweaks of the Affordable Care Act and that is why we keep saying there is no plan. There are ideas. Health savings accounts; that is an idea. Selling insurance across State lines is an idea. It is also allowed under the Affordable Care Act, but this is not a plan. That is, again, a lot of my frustration, but I am also frustrated about the way we talk about this and debate it, because we all have anecdotes. I mentioned an anecdote in my opening statement; the chairman has mentioned anecdotes. In my State, which has probably done the best job of expanding Medicaid of any State in the country, we have reduced the uninsured population by 60 percent; 440,000 people signed up for Medicaid as part of the expansion, and yes, some of them probably would have qualified before, but not all of them, by any stretch. We do not have any complaints about access to providers. As a matter of fact, if you look at virtually every category of care--preventive health, screenings, dental visits, vision visits, just about every one you can mention, we have had a more than 100 percent increase in that activity in our State, so our State is getting a lot healthier. It is also kind of frustrating--here where we tend to get in the weeds a lot--we hear the statistic all the time ``one- third of the counties in the United States have one provider.'' I would say one-third of the counties in the United States do not have enough people to support more than one provider. I mean, that has to be a factor in that statistic. But again, it sounds pretty doom-and-gloom. The Chairman mentioned 80 rural hospitals closing since 2010. We passed the Affordable Care Act in 2010; I would be interested in knowing how many of those hospitals have closed in the last 2 or 3 years because in my State of Kentucky, what we have heard is that rural hospitals have been saved by the ACA. As a matter of fact, we had a hospital in Morehead, Kentucky--not in my district--which was on the verge of bankruptcy. Because of the ACA and because the population that that hospital serviced was largely a very, very poor and unhealthy population, now they are getting compensated for the care they were not getting compensated for, and they have now built a big professional office building, the hospital is doing fine, and we hear that story time after time. So, again, we can all cite anecdotal situations that support our point of view, but we need to be balanced in that. I have a question, Dr. Blumberg. Several of the replacement plans that we have heard about--Dr. Price's and several others--seem to be at least focused on certain common elements, and one of them is a tax credit. In Dr. Price's plan, for instance, you can go out and buy insurance that provides tax credits that vary only by age, and it goes from $900 to $3,000 per person. Do you have any idea what kind of coverage in today's market you could buy for $900 to $3,000 a person? Ms. Blumberg. Well, we have recently done some estimates. What the goal was, was to construct a package; we assumed five- to-one age rating, as many of those looking for replacements are leaning that direction with the age rating. We tried to construct a package that would allow an individual of any age-- so, any adult from 18 to 64--to buy a particular package with the tax credit that was offered under the Price plan by the different age categories. The most generous plan that we were able to construct that brought in everybody of those ages with that amount of money was a plan that would require the individuals to spend the first $25,000 in health expenses, so a $25,000 deductible for a single; $50,000 for a family. We found that we had to take out coverage for drugs that were not generic, so only generic is covered. That excludes chemotherapy drugs; it excludes insulin--those are not generics--a number of other expensive drugs for chronic illnesses. We had to exclude coverage for outpatient mental health and substance use disorder treatment. We had to exclude physical therapy, occupational therapy, speech therapy, and rehabilitation care. Now, you could structure this somewhat differently, but you are bound and constrained by the math. So, you could provide some coverage up front and then far less at the back end. You could fill a little bit with which of the benefits that we included or excluded, but you are quite constrained by the amount of money. Mr. Yarmuth. So, let me get you to repeat that. We would be talking about $25,000 per insured in deductibles, $50,000 for a family, and elimination of a substantial amount of the coverage that a policy under the Affordable Care Act would provide? Ms. Blumberg. That is correct. Mr. Yarmuth. I appreciate that. One thing, while we are on the subject of costs, that I think we need to mention is that while costs have gone up--and by the way, the year before we passed the Affordable Care Act, I think insurance policies across the country, rates were going up 38 percent; I know they were in California, they were in Kentucky, they were in Connecticut; that was a strange number, but that 38 percent seemed to occur in a lot of places. After the Affordable Care Act has now been in effect for 5 or 6 years, we have seen the lowest rate of growth in insurance costs and in Medicare expenditures and in Medicaid that we have seen in modern history. Medicare, I think, is down to about 2 percent annual growth. Private insurance is around the 2 percent level. So, while, yes, costs are still going up in the system, the improvement has been rather dramatic. Is that your assessment as well, Dr. Blumberg? Ms. Blumberg. Yes, what we know is that per capita spending in national health expenditures has grown much more slowly than had been anticipated prior to implementation of the Affordable Care Act. Certainly, some of that is attributable to the Act itself and some of it is from other economic and structural changes, but that certainly is the case. Mr. Yarmuth. And finally, I think it is interesting that several of you said the ACA focused largely on coverage, which was certainly one of our goals, but the changes that were made, again, with protections for people who already have insurance, the changes in annual and lifetime limits, the removal of those limits, allowing young people to stay on their parents' insurance policy until 26, these had nothing to do with people who did not have coverage. This was people who already had coverage, and also the improvements we made in Medicare, reducing the costs of prescription drugs in Medicare, getting free preventive care, annual wellness visits. There were a lot of improvements that have been made for patients who already had care one way or another. Unfortunately, we did not talk about them, and that is the main reason, I think, that the Affordable Care Act has not been as popular over the last few years as it otherwise would be. Thank you very much, Madam Chairman. I yield back. Interim Chair Black. I thank the ranking member. I do feel that I do need to make a statement here. When we talk about these scenarios that we talk about, anecdotal scenarios, these are real people; 28,000 people in my State, who were sick people that were in a risk pool that liked it, lost their insurance in one day because it did not meet all the criteria that Washington said it needed to meet. I want to tell you, before I came here last week I got a call from one of my constituents who has lupus. She had lost her insurance when that day occurred. She is now on the exchanges. She is unable to use the doctor that she has used for years to control her lupus. There is only one provider of the insurance company in her area. So, now she lost her doctor; she cannot take the same medication that she was taking previously that helped control her condition for years; and now her costs have gone up to the point where she said, ``I have got to pay it; I cannot do anything else or I am not going to be able to function.'' These are very real faces that we are talking about. These are not stories that are made up. These are very real lives, and we have got to change that so that people can have their lives. With that, Mr. McClintock from California, you are recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. McClintock. Thank you, Madam Chairman. The thing about Obamacare is you really cannot spin one way or the other. To a greater or lesser extent, every family in America has had an up-close and personal experience with it. I think any politician that tries to convince them that their experience is different than what they know is going to look downright foolish. The polls tell us most Americans do not like it. This was a prominent issue in the last three congressional elections in which the Democrats lost a net of 67 U.S. House seats. This Congress has a mandate to deal with it to relieve families of its burdens, to fix the underlying issues that spawned it, and restore what was once the finest healthcare system in the world. There are basically two options that we have. One is to repeal it in its entirety and immediately replace it with the patient-centered free market reforms that the Chairman referenced earlier; restore to people the freedom to choose a plan that best meets their own family's needs from a vast market that is competing with each other to provide better services at lower prices and to, through the tax system, assure that every family has at least a basic plan within their financial reach. That is one option. There is another option that we seem to be pursuing, and this is what I want to drill down on in my questions, and that is to repeal parts of Obamacare with reconciliation and through administrative action, and then rely on follow-up legislation to finish the job. Reconciliation would bypass the 60-vote closure rule in the Senate; the follow-up legislation cannot, and that leads me to wonder, what is the market going to look like if Senate Democrats decide not to cooperate on the post- reconciliation fix? I would like to ask a series of yes/no questions of Dr. Blumberg and Mr. Haislmaier to see where the two sides agree and where they do not. Can reconciliation end the Obamacare subsidies and replace them with tax credits? Dr. Blumberg, yes or no? Ms. Blumberg. I know it can repeal the subsidies. I am not clear on the--replacing it. Mr. McClintock. Okay, Mr. Haislmaier. Mr. Haislmaier. I believe so. Mr. McClintock. Okay, so we generally agree on that. Can it zero out the taxes and the tax penalties that are used to enforce the individual mandate? Ms. Blumberg. That is my understanding, yes. Mr. McClintock. Mr. Haislmaier. Mr. Haislmaier. Mine as well. Mr. McClintock. Can it end the noncompliance penalties on businesses, return Medicaid to its pre-Obamacare condition? Ms. Blumberg. I believe that is the case, yes. Mr. McClintock. Mr. Haislmaier. Mr. Haislmaier. I believe so, yes. Mr. McClintock. Okay, now, HHS does have some latitude in redefining the mandates, does it not? Dr. Blumberg. Ms. Blumberg. There is some latitude, yes. Mr. McClintock. Right. Mr. Haislmaier. Mr. Haislmaier. HHS does have latitude, yes. Mr. McClintock. Okay. Is the HHS, though, still required to provide guidance consistent with benefits found in a typical policy? Dr. Blumberg. Ms. Blumberg. I am not sure I understand the question. Can you ask again? Mr. McClintock. Does not the underlying bill, or underlying law, require that the essential benefits match those found in a ``typical'' policy? Ms. Blumberg. That is right. There is some State flexibility on that. Mr. McClintock. Okay. Mr. Haislmaier. Mr. Haislmaier. They have such categories of benefits and within that HHS would have to work. Mr. McClintock. Is HHS still bound by the Administrator Procedures Act that forbids actions that are arbitrary or capricious? Ms. Blumberg. I am not familiar with that, so I cannot answer. Mr. McClintock. Mr. Haislmaier. Mr. Haislmaier. Yes. Mr. McClintock. Can reconciliation repeal the underlying law? Dr. Blumberg. Ms. Blumberg. I do not think reconciliation can repeal all the components of the law, no. Mr. McClintock. Mr. Haislmaier. Mr. Haislmaier. That is my understanding of Senate procedure as well. Mr. McClintock. Okay. Will noncompliant policies then still be illegal? Whether it is being enforced or not, will they still be illegal? Ms. Blumberg. Noncompliant plans are not illegal today, sir. There are many of them being sold. That is one of the problems in the State of Arizona, and why their premiums have gone up so much, because there are lots of noncompliant plans being sold. Mr. McClintock. Mr. Haislmaier. Mr. Haislmaier. Yes, there are noncompliant plans that are legal and will remain so. Mr. McClintock. Okay, now, is this because state governments are still the principal enforcement mechanism for Obamacare? Ms. Blumberg. It is because the Affordable Care Act regulated a certain category of non-group insurance coverage, but not those that remained outside. So, plans that do not cover you for an entire year are noncompliant plans and are out there. Mr. McClintock. Mr. Haislmaier. Mr. Haislmaier. Yes, there are certain underlying types of coverage that are exempt from the ACA. Mr. McClintock. In a post-reconciliation world, do state governments still have to approve any new plans? Dr. Blumberg. Ms. Blumberg. Right. The Department of Insurance and the State regulates what is offered there. Mr. McClintock. Mr. Haislmaier. Mr. Haislmaier. That is a matter of state law, yes. Mr. McClintock. Okay, now, final question, and this you can elaborate on, but you have about 5 seconds each to do it, and that is, in this post-reconciliation market then, do we run the risk of adverse selection being accelerated and States refusing to approve noncompliant plans or insurance companies refusing to issue them? Ms. Blumberg. There is a definite risk that non-group markets in general, for comprehensive coverage and other types of coverage most people like to purchase in the non-group market, would utterly collapse. Mr. McClintock. Mr. Haislmaier. Mr. Haislmaier. There is a slight risk of making the current adverse selection in the market marginally worse. There are things that HHS administratively can do to marginally decrease the adverse selection that is already occurring, so, on balance, it may be about where we are right now. Interim Chair Black. The gentleman's time is expired. The gentleman from New York, Mr. Higgins, is recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. Higgins. Thank you, Madam Chair. Now that the Affordable Care Act has been taken out of a political context, at least in terms of the calendar, it needs to be dealt with in a legislative context, and facts are very important in that regard. Medicare is where 55 million Americans get their health care. It costs $600 billion a year; it is 15 percent of the Federal budget. Before the enactment of Medicare in 1965, more than half of the senior citizens in this country did not have health insurance, the reason being is that for-profit insurance companies did not want to write a policy for people that were sick and therefore costly, so the American government had responded by establishing a Medicare program. We went from 56 percent of American seniors without health care to, today, 97 percent do have health care because of that program. But the cost of that program was not sustainable because between 1970 and 2010, Medicare per-person costs grew at an annual rate of 7.5 percent, about four times the rate of inflation. It was breaking businesses, it was breaking individuals, and the number of individuals that were filing for bankruptcy protection soared because of this. Today, because of the Affordable Care Act, annual per-person growth is at 1.4 percent, fully 6 percent less than it was prior to the enactment of the Affordable Care Act, and Medicare costs are lower per person today by over $1,300 per person than they were in 2010. When we set out to do healthcare reform, there were two objectives. One was to increase the number of people that did not have insurance. Individual mandate; why? Because the insurance model only works in health care if you have healthy payers who are paying for the cost of those that need it later in life, analogous, some people say, to car insurance. Twenty million more people have health insurance today, so that is a success. The other objective was bending the cost curve, as economists would call it, basically trying to reduce the annual growth of health care so that it does not exceed the rate of inflation. Because if it does, eventually, businesses go broke and individuals go broke. That is just how it works. I think on those two counts the Affordable Care Act has been a very positive thing. Before we consider repealing it or obliterating it, we ought to have an alternative that is constructive and based on fact. The individual mandate; again, a hallmark of healthcare reform. The idea, again, is to ensure that you have healthy payers that are paying into the system to pay for the cost of those who are older and need health care. Mr. Haislmaier, how long have you been at Heritage? Mr. Haislmaier. That is a trick question, because I left and came back, but I have been associated with it for about 30 years, of which I have been there about 15. Mr. Higgins. Thirty years? So, you were there in 1989? Mr. Haislmaier. Yes. Mr. Higgins. Did you contribute to a report that was sponsored by Heritage called ``A National Health System for America?'' Mr. Haislmaier. Yes. Mr. Higgins. And you collaborated with Stewart Butler? Mr. Haislmaier. Yes. Mr. Higgins. In that report, Mr. Butler said that, ``Many States now require passengers in automobiles to wear seatbelts for their own protection; many others require anybody driving a car to have liability insurance. But neither the Federal Government nor state requires all households to protect themselves from the potentially catastrophic costs of serious illness. Under the Heritage plan there would be such a requirement.'' That was the basis for the individual mandate. Do you still believe that the individual mandate should be a part of the healthcare system in America? Mr. Haislmaier. Well, it depends on how you define an individual mandate. Mr. Higgins. I think it is pretty clear here, sir. Mr. Haislmaier. Well, no, it is not, because you are assuming that it is a pay-or-play mandate. When we actually helped draft legislation, which we did in 1993 with the Nickles-Stearns bill, we said, look, if you did not have health insurance, you would lose your personal exemption on the tax code. Now, one might be able to characterize that as a mandate, but that is very different than the design in the ACA, which says, ``Buy a plan or we fine you.'' Mr. Higgins. Claiming back my time, because my time is expired, I would just say for the record that it is pretty clear here the origins of the individual mandate, and the sound reasoning behind it. That was embraced as a major piece of the Affordable Care Act. Interim Chair Black. The gentleman's time has expired. Mr. Higgins. I yield back. Interim Chair Black. The gentleman from Georgia, Mr. Woodall, is recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. Woodall. Thank you, Madam Chair. I am pleased to be back on the Budget Committee with you this cycle, but I will tell you, if we reclaim time that has already expired, then we see what the problems are we are going to face. Interim Chair Black. That is right. Mr. Woodall. So, I am going to try to balance this budget going forward. I am glad you all are here. Dr. Blumberg, I particularly appreciate the solutions that you added to the end of your testimony because I do think there is so much that we can do together. Mr. Haislmaier, they asked you how long you had been associated; here I was a staffer on the Hill when it was led by the great bipartisan Newt Gingrich from the State of Georgia, and of course, in those good bipartisan times, we passed healthcare reform. We abolished preexisting conditions for every single healthcare plan that the Federal Government had jurisdiction over. Every single one. You may think that that got jammed through with reconciliation. I happen to have those conference report numbers here. There was a conference report with that bill at that time, abolishing preexisting conditions. The vote in the Senate was 98-0 and the vote in the House was 421-2, with one of those great opponents of healthcare reform, Pete Stark, voting no at that time. Of course, Pete voted no because it did not go far enough, not because it got that done. I contrast that with what is going on right here. You suggested, Dr. Blumberg, that if we repealed the ACA today that we would be worse off than if the ACA had never passed. I want to stipulate that I believe that to be true. I think we have wasted so much time fighting about this that we could have dedicated to real, fundamental reform. You know how much time we have spent arguing about repealing preexisting conditions in the Federal healthcare market since 1996? Zero. Zero, and people are benefiting from it. We are wasting time and money here, and a repeal would not get that back. I think we have also threatened some of the underlying economics of the plan. I want to point to Mr. Haislmaier's testimony; he says this--reading glasses have come about since we have been fighting about the Affordable Care Act, too--he says, ``In general, enrollment that indicates that implementation of the ACA appears to have had three effects on health insurance coverage: an increase in individual market enrollment, an offset and decline in the fully ensured employer group plan enrollment, and a significant increase in Medicaid enrollment.'' Does anyone dispute the--Dr. Blumberg? Ms. Blumberg. Yes, I dispute his findings of his study. Mr. Woodall. You believe that we have not seen an increase in Medicaid? Ms. Blumberg. No, I know we have had an increase in Medicaid. Mr. Woodall. Do you believe we have not seen a decrease in employer coverage? Ms. Blumberg. Absolutely not. We have not seen any measurable decrease in employer-sponsored insurance, and we see that in multiple nationally representative surveys, both of employers and of households. Employer-sponsored insurance has remained incredibly stable since the implementation of the Act. Mr. Woodall. But the truth is, if you are going to spend $1 trillion on a program, it is really not surprising that we can tell stories of folks who have benefited, and I am glad. I say that sincerely; I am glad for folks who have found a benefit out of $1 trillion out of taxpayer money. What is shocking, is that we can spend $1 trillion and find folks who are worse off today than they would have been today before. The small groups that I experience in my district, those small family businesses that went out of their way to buy a more expensive plan because one secretary in that office had a special needs child and the entire office wanted to collaborate in order to get that child the plan that they needed, the care that they needed, and those days are behind us now. Those plans have gone away. That employer cannot afford to do that anymore because he has lost the choice in that marketplace. I think about the work that Ms. Turner has done. Yes, 75 percent higher rates for young people for a corresponding 12 percent decrease for 64-year-olds. And when those young people act based on their own economic self-interest--shocking that people still do that, but they do--then we see those elderly folks, those 64-and-under folks, disadvantaged in ways that they would not have been pre-the Affordable Care Act. It encourages me that I can read Ms. Turner's testimony and I can read Dr. Blumberg's testimony and I can see that we all agree that those three bands have failed. We all agree that that pricing structure has failed, and it can be on the short list of things that we begin to collaborate on. 421 to 2, 98 to 0, Republicans in the House, Republicans in the Senate, Democrats in the Senate, and Bill Clinton in the White House got this done, and shame on us for having started down this road. I hope we can do better in fixing it. I yield back. Interim Chair Black. The gentleman's time has expired. The gentlelady from Washington, Ms. DelBene, is recognized for 5 minutes. Ms. DelBene. Thank you, Chairman Black and thanks to all our witnesses for being here with us today. If you knew nothing else about the Affordable Care Act all you would need to do is read the title of today's hearing to understand that it's brazenly partisan. The majority wants to talk about the effects of the ACA, so let's talk about them. One effect is that people do not go bankrupt when they get sick anymore. That sounds like a pretty good outcome to me. More than 120 million Americans with pre-existing conditions are no longer denied coverage. Young adults can stay on their parents' plans until they are 26, and over 10 million seniors have received help with their prescription drug payments. And all insurance plans are required to cover preventative services at no cost. This is especially critical for women. Each year, this helps 55 million women save more than $1.4 billion on birth control. Many of my friends from across the aisle have said they want to keep the good parts and just get rid of the bad. So, what are we really doing here? For years, my colleagues and I have offered proposals to strengthen the ACA and were turned away each time. I have a bill to make it easier for small businesses to provide coverage for their workers, for instance, and yet folks do not want to talk about that. They just want to talk about repeal. So, now we know the effects of the ACA, which is the purpose of the hearing today. So, let's talk about the effects of repeal. You are going to hear a lot of numbers thrown around today, and it is easy to get lost in the statistics and forget that this is about people. What is important to remember is, repealing the ACA hurts real people across the country in profound ways. It means taking away health coverage for 30 million Americans, it means seniors will have to pay more for critical prescription drugs, and it means women will once again be denied coverage simply for being a woman. It also means a great deal to people like Sue Black. Sue is a public school teacher from my district who was diagnosed with stage four ovarian Cancer at the age of 47. Five years later, she received a short, but terrifying letter from her insurance company. In four sentences, it said she had exhausted three- quarters of her lifetime benefit limit. Thankfully, the Affordable Care Act banned lifetime caps on coverage. And she is not the only one. In the past few weeks, my office has been flooded with stories from constituents describing how the Affordable Care Act saved their life or the lives of their loved ones. And meanwhile, the Republican plan for health care in America is repeal the Affordable Care Act and then just trust us. I think our constituents deserve better than to have their health coverage taken away with no plan for what comes next. Ms. Blumberg, I wondered in your opinion, is there a segment of the population that would benefit from repealing the Affordable Care Act without a replacement plan in place? Ms. Blumberg. You know, folks who do not want to purchase health insurance coverage and are subject to a mandate penalty as a consequence of the Act--under that sort of repeal through reconciliation, they would have less penalty to pay. The problem is that there would be such a huge loss of insurance coverage for a much larger percentage of the population, the uncompensated care burdens would increase so much on healthcare providers and on state governments that I think that would be far outweighed. Otherwise, I cannot really come up with people who are going to be benefiting as a consequence. Ms. DelBene. And can you describe the effects on children if the Affordable Care Act were repealed? Ms. Blumberg. By our estimates, roughly 4 million children would lose health insurance coverage. Some of these children are covered with their families through the marketplaces with financial assistance. Others will lose their coverage, because what we know from a lot of experience with the Medicaid system and with the ACA is that when adults know that they can have assistance in getting coverage, they find out when they go to enroll that their children are eligible for CHIP as well. And so, if the parents know they cannot get coverage and they do not go seeking it, then their children will not end up getting insured as well. Ms. DelBene. Thank you. And we keep hearing from my colleagues on the other side of the aisle how the Affordable Care Act is going to collapse, but has not enrollment been growing, especially right now, and is not the real threat, right now, the promise of repeal? Ms. Blumberg. Absolutely. The repeal without replacement is a recipe for a death spiral. And right now, the Affordable Care Act, as I said, has some areas in which there have been high premiums and that we have some policy strategies that should be put in place to address them. But, by and large, it is being successful at increasing coverage, increasing access, and improving affordability. Ms. DelBene. Thank you. I yield back, Madam Chair. Interim Chair Black. The gentlelady's time is expired. The gentleman from Alabama, Mr. Palmer, is recognized for 5 minutes. Ms. Palmer. Thank you, Madam Chairman. I just want to share some information that I have gotten from some of my constituents. A doctor sent me some information that he saw a patient last week whose deductible was $9,000. Essentially, her insurance is basically catastrophic insurance. She probably has two patients a month who cannot schedule surgery, or they schedule and then cancel the surgery. And basically, because people cannot afford the deductibles they are not getting the health care that they need. It is impacting the quality of life, impacting their health. Here is another family that has gone through three or four different plans. Their premiums went from about $1,400 for a family of four to $2,100. When they take the out of network, their deductible is $13,700. Madam Chairman, the Affordable Care Act is an oxymoron. There is still over 28 million people who do not have health insurance, and most of them, according to the Kaiser Foundation, say it is because they cannot afford it. So, you have basically put one group into the Affordable Care Act, most of them are Medicaid. You have displaced people who had employer-provided plans, I think there are about 8 million of those. You have caused companies to not expand. I have information here from companies where they would not hire that 50th employee; as a matter of fact, one of these had 45 employees, they have cut back to 32 because of the premiums that they have to pay to provide health insurance for their employees. And Madam Chairman, it has had a terrible impact on employment. I do not know if our friends across the aisle are aware of this, but there is over 94 million able-bodied Americans who are out of the workforce, the highest number, I think, ever for the country. Prior to 2008, there were 100,000 more businesses starting up than were closing. These are mostly small businesses. According to a report from Gallup as of 2014, there are now 70,000 more businesses closing than starting up. You have people who had full-time jobs with good wages and health benefits that have been cut back to part-time. They are now having to work two part-time jobs at lower wages with no health insurance. You know, the best thing that I can say about the Affordable Care Act is that we now know what does not work. And I am confident that we can move forward with plans to replace it. Ms. Turner, you have worked in this area for years. We know, I think goes all the way back to the 1990s, that you have been involved in health care reform, are you confident that we can repeal this and replace it with something that we do not put millions of people out of the insurance market, we allow people to actually choose their doctor, choose their health insurance. Do you think we can do that? Ms. Turner. Absolutely. I agree with you, Mr. Palmer, that we have learned a lot about what does not work with this law, and I think that is a good foundation to figure out what we can do. And I know that many members actually have real legislation on both sides of the aisle and, certainly, the House spent a great deal of time developing the better-way plan that the chairman talked about. There are good ideas out there. They involve putting patients at the center, returning power to the states, to add resources to the States, to better organize their health insurance markets to be more responsive. But, yes, I am highly confident. Everybody talks about repeal and replace, not just repeal. Mr. Palmer. Dr. Book, you brought up the fact that life expectancy declined this past year for the first time in over two decades. I think, what was it, 12 or 13 million people were put into Medicaid, that gets counted among the number of people who received health insurance. Are you aware of the studies that show that people who are on Medicaid have poor health treatment outcomes than if they had no insurance at all? Can you comment on that? Mr. Book. Yes, I am familiar with that. There are multiple studies showing that people on Medicaid have worse health outcomes than people who are uninsured. It is hard to argue that Medicaid actually makes people sicker, but it is possible that people who are uninsured are either able to pay their own bills, able to obtain charity care, or perhaps, are simply healthier to begin with. But, certainly Medicaid does not have a very good record in terms of restoring people to health, making people live longer. People with Medicaid use emergency rooms more than the uninsured and more than people with insurance, and they have worse health outcomes than any other group. Interim Chair Black. The gentleman's time is expired. Mr. Palmer. Thank you, Madam Chairman. Interim Chair Black. The gentleman from California, Mr. Khanna, is now recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. Khanna. Thank you, Madam Chair, and thank you, Ranking Member Yarmuth for your leadership. It is an honor to be on this committee. Ms. Turner, on April 8, 2016, you were quoted in the New York Times as describing President Trump's proposals as ``sketchy and inadequate.'' You went on to say and I quote, ``He has to flesh out his proposals with much more detail if he hopes to persuade voters that he has a credible plan to replace Obamacare.'' Do you remember saying that? Ms. Turner. Yes, sir. Mr. Khanna. Do you still believe that? Ms. Turner. That was a very early preliminary list of seven points that he issued during the primary season. Mr. Khanna. Do you believe he has now articulated a comprehensive plan? Ms. Turner. He is working with members of Congress as, I think, is really a very appropriate and looking forward to---- Mr. Khanna. Can you point to any specific changes that he has offered, now different from your statement in April? Ms. Turner. Yes, he gave a major speech in Pennsylvania on November 1st, and outlined a very different and visionary kind of approach to health reform that would return much more power to the states, deregulate the market, give people many more choices of coverage than before---- Mr. Khanna. I thought he has been saying that since he announced. Was there any specific changes he has offered since your statement in April? Ms. Turner. He is working with members of Congress. He does not do, as I think, the Obama administration---- Mr. Khanna. Okay. If I can move on, President Trump also had called for removing barriers to imported drugs from other countries, same as, by the way, Senator Sanders. Now, you are opposed to the President's policy on that, correct? Ms. Turner. I believe that there is a great risk to the American people of imported drugs that we do not know the origin---- Mr. Khanna. So, you disagree with President Trump when it comes to imported drugs? Ms. Turner. Yes. Mr. Khanna. And you disagree with Bernie Sanders, and you are on the opposite end of what President Trump is proposing on that? Is that correct? Ms. Turner. I think that there are legitimate safety concerns that the Federal Government, including former FDA Commissioner Mark McClellan--cannot provide safe terms. Mr. Khanna. I picture that I am--I just want to be clear that you are on the--you disagree with President Trump when it comes to that? Ms. Turner. Yes. Mr. Khanna. And your op-eds consistently, as you disclosed to your credit, say that your organization is funded by the pharmaceutical industry--is that correct? Ms. Turner. No, that is not correct. We received some funding from the pharmaceutical industry, but we have brought broad funding from individuals inside and outside the health sector. Mr. Khanna. I respect that, but on all the op-eds it says you're partly funded from pharmaceutical industries. In your own McClatchy editorials. Ms. Turner. And so as--virtually every person in the think tank has some funding from pharmaceutical companies because they believe in innovation, as we do. Mr. Khanna. Can you disclose to this committee which pharmaceutical companies fund your organization and how much money you receive from them? Ms. Turner. Those--that list is really a proprietary information, it is basically how we--how we have special relationships with all of our donors inside and outside the health sector. Mr. Khanna. Ms. Turner, with due respect, when I have to disclose every financial interest, I have, my spouse has, because if I am going to articulate a viewpoint on something, the public has a right to know what financial interests I have. I would suggest, if you are giving testimony to the United States Congress, the public should have a right to know what financial interests your organization has. Ms. Turner. We disclosed those on an I-90 Form that we file with the Internal Revenue Service every year. The Congress has seen fit to allow the list of donors to remain private as proprietary information because it is basically our intellectual property. How do we get our funding? Mr. Khanna. So, you are unwilling to disclose which pharmaceutical companies are funding your organization or how much money you received from them? Ms. Turner. It would be unfair to them, because they are-- we receive funding from many other organizations, a great majority outside the pharmaceutical industry. Mr. Khanna. So the pharmaceutical funding is less than the majority? Ms. Turner. Oh, absolutely. Interim Chair Black. Mr. Khanna, that really is not the purpose of this hearing. I think the witness has already answered that she is following the law, if you would like to ask another question. I think we ought to stay on the topic of what we came here to do. Mr. Khanna. Well, Madam Chair, I think that the issue with the President has said that he is for the importation of drugs and that is an important point in this debate on health care. The witness is offering an opinion that is in opposition to the President of the United States. And I am trying to understand why she believes what she believes and if there are financial interests that may be coloring her opinion. Interim Chair Black. Mr. Khanna, I think the witness has, again, answered that she is following the law. Now, if there is a part of this that you would like to change the law, you certainly have the authority to be able to offer a bill. Mr. Khanna. And I think my time has expired. Interim Chair Black. Thank you. The gentleman from South Carolina, Mr. Sanford is recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. Sanford. Yeah, and given the last interchange, I think we should all be careful about judging each other's intent. I could list a long list of left-leaning organizations that do not disclose their funding sources, there are groups on the right. I think we need to be careful about that. And in that regard, I would give credit to my Democratic colleagues for what they have tried to do with Obamacare. I think that if you look at the actual intent of Obamacare, it was good. The idea was to help people with preexisting conditions, to look at how you deal with this. I remember there was a great movie years ago, Helen Hunt was in it and I cannot remember the name of the movie to save the life of me, but there was a great tag-line. This is back at the time that insurance companies were declining people, and she said something to the fact of, ``Well, my insurance company declined me.'' And the audience in the movie theater that I was in, I mean, they went nuts; I mean, the people literally started clapping spontaneously. So, I think that the intent of Obamacare was good, it was, ``How do we get our arms around this problem?'' The question has been in implementation. I think that that is was a lot of us struggled with from the Republican side, and I suspect many independents and Democrats, as well. And with that said, I guess I would say a couple of different things, you know, I think fundamentally we all recognize the fact that the marketplace likes a product that somebody else pays for. That in the history of mankind, there is almost unlimited demand for a product, in fact, that somebody else is paying for. And it has, to a degree, part of that fatal flaw built into it. I think that we have to recognize--the math certainly shows it--that sick people cost more than healthy people. And, you know, the fundamental problem of health care in general is, it is almost an 80/20 phenomenon; that wherein 20 percent of the folks are costing about 80 percent of what we deal with in health care. That is from the right or from the left. And as we age, we cost more. I mean, my sons are immortal, or pretty closely so. And as you look at large pools of population, those trends hold true, notwithstanding horrible illnesses that happen to young people. And what we have come up with in construct with Obamacare, is we are going to stick the young people with the bill. In essence, it is fundamentally flawed. This 3-to-1 ratio is mathematically incorrect. And there is some math built into this equation that just does not work. And so, a number of us are saying, ``Okay, the intent was good, but practically speaking, where do we go from here given the fatal flaws that are built into it mathematically?'' To my colleague, Mr. Palmer's, point, if you look at some of the outcomes, and I dealt with this for 8 years when I was governor as we were dealing with Medicaid, that, you know, there is just some fundamental flaws. We have a disease- treatment program, but we do not have much in the way of prevention. And so, I think we are all struggling with, ``Where do we go from here?'' Is there a different way of dealing with preexisting condition and high risk pools, and all the things that are talked about that perhaps you have seen at a different country, or something that really has worked well with an individual county or State? I just in a minute and 35 seconds that are left, I would be curious to hear any of your thoughts in terms of best practices that we can borrow as we all collectively struggle with this debate before us. Yes, ma'am. Ms. Turner. I would say that, you know, almost all industrialized countries have a single payer type system where--I agree with you. The fundamental problem with doing reform is this skewness of the distribution of health expenses. And so how do you share those expenses? And I think, you know, obviously, all the foreign single payer plans spread those costs broadly through the tax payer system. And, you know, here we are not in that place to be doing that, but I think, you know, we do not want to criticize the 3- to-1 age rating without recognizing that without a different mechanism, the people who are older adults who have more health problems would not be able to afford their coverage if we went to--I mean, I used to see 11-to-1 rating from some insurers in the old says. So, yeah. Mr. Sanford. See, I have 30 seconds. Ms. Turner. Okay. Mr. Sanford. I am going to reclaim it. It just seems to me on that very point that you raise--it is a legitimate point in terms of industrialized countries around the globe--that you have got three variables within health care though. You have got access, you have got costs, and you have got quality. And in as much as many of those countries have been able to spread access, it has been to the detriment of quality and cost. And so people do not go to Britain to do certain procedures. You are literally on a death list in Britain. And I think that those kind of societal questions are part of what we are struggling with. I am going to hand off to your colleague--go in the second you have got. Mr. Book. In 5 seconds, a lot of those single-payer countries have annual and lifetime limits on the services they can provide to a person and they have much higher death rates from serious disease like cancer, because they just do not treat them. Mr. Sanford. Thank you. Interim Chair Black. The gentlelady from Washington, Ms. Jayapal is recognized for 5 minutes. Ms. Jayapal. Thank you, Madam Chair. As this is my first hearing on the House Budget Committee, I just wanted to express my great appreciation to you and to our ranking member, Mr. Yarmuth, for your leadership and guidance. And I am looking forward to working with everyone on the committee. Madam Chair, last week over 2,000 people joined me in Seattle in support of the Affordable Care Act and demanded that it not be repealed without a replacement and that we in fact focus on expansion. I have heard from many who are seriously terrified that their health care will not only be stripped away, but that there is no replacement. Sally is a single, 80-year-old woman who told me that she would be severely affected if her Medicare benefits were cut. She worked for 30 years, was healthy until 3 years ago when she was diagnosed with a serious cancer. Medicare benefits covered much of her hospital and treatment costs which she could not have paid for on her own. She said, if Medicare is cut or reduced, ``I will be struggling to keep up with healthcare costs.'' Madam Chair, I agree with you that this is about real people. And this is just one story, I have heard hundreds. I would like us to consider the big picture in the State of Washington, my home State, a repeal of the ACA would mean three-quarters of a million people would lose their health care, almost 3 million people in Washington State with preexisting conditions would not be guaranteed coverage anymore. And speaking of preexisting conditions, being a woman, would once again be one of those preexisting conditions as we would have to pay out-of-pocket for cancer screening, PAP tests, and birth control. Our State benefited greatly from Medicaid expansion, 605,000 people gained coverage and would once again be without health care. And 55,000 young people in Washington State who are barely getting by, would once again be kicked off of their parents' health insurance. There are no winners with an Affordable Care Act repeal, Madam Chair. And that is why I hope, that forums like this can be focused on what we can do to make it better, but a replacement plan, which has not been offered, instead of nothing. I wanted to say, I come from the State Senate where--which is controlled by Republicans and the chair of the Healthcare Committee in the Washington State Senate, Senator Randi Becker recently said, ``This is not a partisan issue, this is a bi- partisan issue.'' She believes that any replacement should build or improve the reach of Medicaid expansion funds. In Washington, this represents about $3 billion and the majority of the funding received under the ACA. So, Dr. Blumberg, can you speak to specifically Medicaid expansion and the states across the country who have benefited from Medicaid expansion? Ms. Blumberg. Sure, there has been a big infusion of Federal dollars into the states that expanded Medicaid allowing them to make all individuals, regardless of their family situations, eligible up to 138 percent of the poverty level for the first time. This has done a lot to improve the financial situations of hospitals in those states relative to the states that did not expand, as my colleague Fred Blavin has shown in a recent JAMA article. This is big financial benefits. In addition, these are comprehensive benefits with no cost sharing, so it makes coverage and access to care incredibly affordable for the low-income population. Ms. Jayapal. Thank you. I appreciated the concern for fairness throughout everybody's statements and so--but I am trying to understand exactly what you do believe should be covered and some of the provisions of the Affordable Care Act. So, just yes or no answers, if you would for all of our testifiers. Do you believe that young adults should be able to stay on their parents' plan until they are 26? Ms. Turner. As long as the $1,200 costs---- Ms. Jayapal. Just a yes or no, Ms. Turner, thank you. Ms. Turner [continuing]. Is visible. Ms. Jayapal. Was that a yes? Ms. Turner. If they want to pay for it? Ms. Jayapal. So, that is a yes? Ms. Turner. If they want to pay for it, I guess. Ms. Jayapal. Dr. Book. Mr. Book. I think if employers want to offer that, it should be perfectly legal. Ms. Jayapal. Dr. Blumberg. Ms. Blumberg. I agree, it should stay. Ms. Jayapal. Dr. Haislmaier. Mr. Haislmaier. Irrelevant. Ms. Jayapal. Is that a---- Mr. Haislmaier. It is irrelevant under either ACA or the replacement, because they will be treated as their own household, anyway. Ms. Jayapal. Let me ask about seniors on Medicare, a critical part of the Affordable Care Act. Do you believe seniors on Medicare should be able to afford their medications and not fall into a prescription drug gap? Ms. Turner. Ms. Turner. Yes, but there are creative ways to do that. Ms. Jayapal. Dr. Book. Dr. Book. Mr. Book. Could you repeat the question? Ms. Jayapal. Do you believe that seniors on Medicare should be able to afford their medications? Mr. Book. I think everybody should be able to afford everything. Ms. Jayapal. Great, thank you. Dr. Blumberg. Ms. Blumberg. I agree. Ms. Jayapal. Dr. Haislmaier. Mr. Haislmaier. I mean, comprehensive---- Ms. Jayapal. Yes or no, Dr. Haislmaier. Mr. Haislmaier [continuing]. Drugs is fine, I mean that is---- Ms. Jayapal. Thank you. How about making sure that insurance companies cannot deny coverage because of a person's medical history? Ms. Turner. Ms. Turner. That was the case before, and will continue to be the case moving forward. Ms. Jayapal. So, that is a yes. Dr. Book. Mr. Book. That was the case since 1996 and the ACA should never be able to---- Ms. Jayapal. Dr. Blumberg. Ms. Blumberg. Yes, I agree, but that has not been the case, universally, by a long shot. Ms. Jayapal. Thank you. Can you say more about that, Dr. Blumberg? Ms. Blumberg. Yes. Interim Chair Black. Sorry, the gentlelady's time has expired. Ms. Jayapal. I yield back. Interim Chair Black. I apologize, but we have so many other members. So, I hate to cut you off, it is great conversation and thank you very much. Now, the gentleman from Arkansas, Mr. Westerman is recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. Westerman. Thank you Madam Chair and thank you to the panel for being here today. You know, it was mentioned that a lot of people want to keep the Affordable Care Act in place, they are fearful that it might go away, but I will remind the committee that millions of Americans were fearful that they might lose their doctor or their premiums would go up, but they were promised they could keep their doctor. They were told their premiums would go down by $2,500, but from the testimony here today, we have heard that there has been increased premium costs, there has been increased taxpayer costs, people indeed are seeing higher deductibles, they are seeing fewer benefits, they are seeing reduced access. There has been talk about Medicare and what might happen to Medicare, but I would also remind the committee that when the ACA was passed, that there were cuts to Medicare reimbursements in the Affordable Care Act to pay for Medicaid expansion and the exchange policies as much as or over $700 billion in those cuts to Medicare. I was visiting with a neurosurgeon from my State who has been affected by the cuts to Medicare. He explained it like this, certain surgery might take five steps to the surgery and Medicare pays for two of them. And he assured me that if there is anything he knows about how the Affordable Care Act was that whoever wrote it knew absolutely nothing about medical care. We have heard about the number of people who have benefited from the Affordable Care Act, there is really no consensus on that number from the panel. I believe there is consensus that most of the people that have benefited from the Affordable Care Act are in the Medicaid population. I know that was definitely true in my State. There is arguments about how many people could have already received Medicaid who have qualified for it, the woodwork effect, that actually signed up for Medicaid because of the expansion. And, you know, if we just take Dr. Blumberg's number of 20 million people who benefited from the Affordable Care Act, if we look at the population of our country that is 6.2 percent of our country. So, we could say 6.2 percent possibly got more because of the Affordable Care Act, but I think we failed to remember that 93.8 percent of Americans are getting less for more because of the Affordable Care Act. As a State legislator in Arkansas, I lived through the debate on Medicaid expansion, and our State did expand Medicaid. It was supposedly an innovative plan that did not expand a traditional Medicaid, but used Medicaid dollars that come from an apparently bottomless pit of money in D.C. to buy private health insurance. So, the 320,000 Arkansans that are now on Medicaid that were not before, have a very nice health insurance plan. They have got a Blue Cross plan that they pay nothing for, they do not have a deductible, and it pays the providers very well, but it comes at a tremendous cost. And now over a third of my State is receiving benefits through the Medicaid program. So, Mr. Haislmaier, I want to ask you a question on the Medicaid part, was the traditional Medicaid system for the aged, the blind, the disabled, was it having any problems before the Affordable Care Act? Mr. Haislmaier. Well, it depends on the State, but, yes, I mean, there were clearly problems in the program. Mr. Westerman. Yeah, I know from my experience there were huge problems in the Medicaid program. And the follow-up to that is, did the ACA do anything to address the underlying problems with Medicaid, or did it simply add a new layer of---- Mr. Haislmaier. It was mainly an expansion to it; it expanded to a new population. They did make some other changes to the program, but they were largely around the areas of eligibility. Mr. Westerman. So the 324,000 in my State, take away about 7 percent of that for the woodwork, were all able-bodied, working age adults that are not even part of the traditional Medicaid system, the aged, blind, the disabled. Do you believe the traditional Medicaid population across the country has suffered any damage because of the expansion for the able- bodied adults? Mr. Haislmaier. The problem with it is not just so much the expansion, that increases the caseload, but the problem is that there is a sort of inequity in basically the Federal Government paying the states more for people who need the program less, and paying them less for people who need the program more. I mean, my classic example with this---- Mr. Westerman. Do you think States need more flexibility to design their own Medicaid plans? Mr. Haislmaier. Well, in general, but I think also in particular with this population. I mean, one of the things we have learned both in terms of the Medicaid expansion and the subsidies for the very low income in the ACA is that these are people who will show up when they need medical care, but they are not going to stick with it afterwards. And you have to really direct them away from the emergency room. And Medicaid is not set up to do that. Interim Chair Black. The gentleman's time has expired. The gentlelady from Florida, Ms. Wasserman Schultz is recognized for 5 minutes. Ms. Wasserman Schultz. Thank you, Madam Chair, and congratulations to you, as well as to our ranking member. The chair noted that I served on the Budget Committee in the 112th Congress, but it appears that I have returned to the alternate facts committee, because that is what we have been subjected to throughout this hearing. Madam Chair, I respectfully want to share with you in case you are not aware, that I know you referenced 28,000 people in Tennessee supposedly, you know, losing coverage from TennCare which existed before the Affordable Care Act, but I wonder if it would surprise you to learn that 28 percent more Tennesseans gained coverage under the Affordable Care Act, that is 266,000 people in Tennessee who now have coverage which is a far sight better than the 28,000 you referenced who supposedly lost it. I am also confident, if you checked, you would probably see that most of those 28,000, if not all of them, were able to gain more affordable coverage under that Affordable Care Act. In my State, 1.3 million Floridians gained the coverage who did not have it before, the most in the country and I will note, something that we have not really talked about here-- let's focus for a moment on the fact that people with employer- based insurance would be gravely harmed from the significant benefits that they gained under the Affordable Care Act. The return of annual and lifetime coverage gaps, coverage limits, preventative care without a co-pay or a deductible like mammograms, colonoscopies, well-woman care, all of which made health care more affordable. By the way, the availability of birth control for free without a co-pay or deductible has contributed to a precipitous drop in the unwanted pregnancy rate. So, the majority of people who already had coverage before the Affordable Care Act will be significantly harmed by repeal. I want to note, also, that Dr. Book clearly referenced in one of his responses that he supports returning to ``health underwriting'' which was extremely dangerous and harmful and expensive, and contributed to death spirals when we had a purely private market-based system. Ms. Turner is clearly advocating returning to strict private market practices that were unaffordable and harmed millions of people. So, let's be very clear here, there has not been a replacement plan proposed and, respectfully, my colleagues on the aisle had 7 years to do that and still have not done it. We have millions of people who gained access to health care who did not have it before; millions of people who had healthcare coverage and got better coverage; millions of seniors who can have more affordable prescription drugs and, frankly, also have benefits like being able to go and get a check-up every year without a co-pay or deductible. Representing a State who has the largest percentage of seniors in the entire country, I can tell you that most of those folks were only able to go to the doctor when they were sick because they could not afford copays and deductibles on a well care visit for them, so we are keeping them healthier as a result. In my last--under 2 minutes, I want to ask Mr. Haislmaier, do you believe--and I would like, in the interest of time, just a yes or no answer--do you believe all Americans should have access to quality, affordable health care--all? Yes or no. Given the time constraints, again, please answer with a yes or no and can we agree that health care is a right and not a privilege? Mr. Haislmaier. That is the wrong question because---- Ms. Wasserman Schultz. Yes or no. You do not get to dictate---- Mr. Haislmaier. No, I am not going to answer yes or no on that because you are---- Ms. Wasserman Schultz. Clearly, because you probably do not think it is. Mr. Haislmaier [continuing]. Because you are--because all health care is not---- Ms. Wasserman Schultz. And before the ACA--if you will not answer my question, I do not---- Mr. Haislmaier. You know, facelifts are not a right. Ms. Wasserman Schultz. I guess, add. See, my name is on the door, so I get to ask the questions and decide which ones are right. Mr. Haislmaier. Okay, but you do not---- Ms. Wasserman Schultz. You clearly do not believe that health care is a right, not a privilege. None of the majority witnesses do. And before the ACA, there was no all-out band prohibiting discrimination against individuals with pre- existing conditions until age 26, correct? Mr. Haislmaier. No, that is not true. Ms. Wasserman Schultz. No, it is true. Mr. Haislmaier. No, the---- Ms. Wasserman Schultz. There is no question that you were-- an insurance company could drop people or deny them coverage-- -- Mr. Haislmaier. No, that is not true. Ms. Wasserman Schultz. Before the---- Mr. Haislmaier. The 19--Congresswoman, if you actually read the 1996 HIPAA Law, you would understand that, that is not true. Ms. Wasserman Schultz. That would be news to the thousands of people that I know in my district who were dropped or denied coverage. As a breast cancer survivor, I can tell you that I have spoken to many of my sister survivors who were dropped in the middle of their treatment by their insurance company and had to choose to---- Mr. Haislmaier. And that was illegal and they had recourse. Ms. Wasserman Schultz [continuing]. Between--excuse me, no, it was not illegal. It happened every day. Mr. Haislmaier. It was. Ms. Wasserman Schultz. And they had to choose between either the chemo or the radiation because they could not afford the copays or deductibles on both. That is the nightmare that the majority---- Mr. Book. The ACA does not require coverage for either. Ms. Wasserman Schultz. Excuse me, I have not asked you a question, Dr. Book. Madam Chair, if you could return a few seconds of my time because I keep getting interrupted, I would appreciate it. Interim Chair Black. I am proffering you 5 seconds. Ms. Wasserman Schultz. Thank you so much. At the end of the day, the majority is clearly proposing to repeal the Affordable Care Act without assuring us that we would have universal access to quality affordable coverage. That is unconscionable, unacceptable and we will not allow you to do it without a fight. Interim Chair Black. The lady's time is expired. I do want to recommend to my colleagues that keep saying there are not plans out there, there is a Ryan, Price, Sessions, Roe, and then there is the Better Way with Guiding Principles. With that, the gentleman from Ohio, Mr. Johnson is recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. Johnson. Thank you. Madam Chairman, I appreciate the opportunity and I appreciate our panel being here with us today. You know, we are holding this hearing today for one simple reason. Obamacare has failed and it has caused a series of very serious problems for the American people. I think we all remember the Democrat Minority Leader famously stating, ``We have to pass Obamacare to find out what is in it.'' Well, we have done that, or they did that and it is full of broken promises that are harming American individuals, families and businesses. Instead of reducing healthcare costs, Obamacare has driven up premiums and deductibles and millions of Americans have lost affordable quality healthcare plans and their choice of doctors in many cases. The average annual family premium in the employer-sponsored market has soared, totaling more than 18,000 annually, while deductibles for individual plans are up an average of 60 percent since 2010. At its core, the law did nothing to drive down the healthcare costs for the American people. During a time of economic recession and hardship, Obamacare employer mandate makes full-time workers more costly to hire, resulting in many cases in job reductions, lower wages, and reduced benefits. And these are just a few of Obamacare's harmful effects that we are exploring here during this hearing. And I have listened to some of the questions and comments by some of my colleagues on the other side of the aisle and I want to agree with one of the things they say. It is not about statistics, it is about people, but yet they cite statistics about coverage without acknowledging the fact that coverage does not necessarily mean affordable. Because I can tell you that in Appalachia, Ohio--along the Ohio River, there are thousands of people who, because of the high premiums and the high deductibles, they do not bother going to the doctor even though they might have coverage in the theoretical sense, or the technical sense, it is not affordable and it does not give them quality health care. So, Ms. Turner, under Obamacare, out-of-pocket costs, as I just mentioned for families and individuals, including the deductibles, are simply unaffordable and it constrains their budgets, so why in your view are costs so high? Ms. Turner. They are high primarily because the Federal Government decided it knew better than the American families to what needs to be covered in their health insurance policies. In addition, the Affordable Care Act included a trillion dollars in new and higher taxes, many of which get booked and built into the premiums, as well as rules and regulations that have discouraged the young people from entering. So, we, therefore, have many more young, older sick people in the pools not offset by the younger people who would otherwise be there to help lower premiums. Mr. Johnson. So, basically, you have got bureaucrats running our healthcare system instead of physicians and patients. Ms. Turner. Right, correct. Mr. Johnson. Dr. Book, what are the areas of spending in Obamacare with the greatest unforeseen cost overruns? Do you have some examples you can share with us quickly? Mr. Book. I would say the most unexpected thing from the standpoint of the proponents was the huge increases and deductibles and that was the result of a system that encourages sick people to sign up. It discourages healthy people to sign up especially if you are under 26. You know, why buy and exchange plan when you can get on your parents' plan. And then regulators try to crack down on premiums and they cannot cut covered services because there is a whole bunch of required covered services, so the only thing they have to do is increase deductibles. And what used to be a high deductible plan that qualified you for a tax break, if it was $2,400, it is now lower than any deductible you can find. Now, people are paying $9,000 for a deductible, which by the way, is double the statutory limit because the previous Administration issued a waiver allowing deductibles at the double the level the text of the ACA actually allows. Mr. Johnson. So, just one quick final question because I am out of time. So, has Obamacare successfully bent down the cost curve in healthcare spending? Mr. Book. No. In fact, during the last year that stat is available, costs went up 5 percent per capita. The 5-year average before was 2.9 percent. Mr. Johnson. Okay. Thank you, Madam Chair, I yield back. Interim Chair Black. Your time is expired. The gentleman from California, Mr. Carbajal, 5 minutes. Mr. Carbajal. Thank you, Chairman Black and thank you, Ranking Member Yarmuth and all my colleagues. I would like to thank all the witnesses that are here today, and I want to start by saying that, you know, the Affordable Care Act never purported to be perfect. So, it is important to recognize that as the baseline by which we are debating and discussing this. It did a lot of good. It continues to have some challenges, but it did a lot of good in attempting to fix a broken healthcare system that we all know we had and continue to have. We need to build on that. It has been three weeks since I was sworn in as a member of Congress. In this short time, I have seen the Republican majority take concrete action to begin dismantling the Affordable Care Act and I am deeply concerned about where we are headed. We have no substantive plans from the Republican majority to replace the ACA with a proposal that would match the benefits provided by the ACA. I would love any plans that have been proposed to become available so that I could see them first hand. Now, I want to be clear. I do not believe the Affordable Care Act is perfect. There are changes that can be made to make it better. I have heard from constituents who have greatly benefitted from the healthcare law and that is the reason I am here. I asked my constituents to share with me their stories about how a repeal would impact their lives. And I would like to share some of those stories with you, not statistics, but some of those stories. Jerry, a business owner in Los Osos in my district, lived without health insurance for years until the Affordable Care Act, hoping that their young son would not get sick or break a bone. Brian, in Santa Barbara, was uninsured for nearly 20 years because he could not afford health care coverage. The Medicaid expansion under the ACA allowed him to get covered. Just last year, Brian was diagnosed with a degenerative disc disease and without surgery covered by this medical expansion, he would have been left severely disabled. He told me the ACA quite literally saved his life. Elle Donna in Balboa Beach, donated her kidney the same year the Affordable Care Act was signed into law, in 2010. If not for the Affordable Care Act, her life-saving act would have prevented her from obtaining health insurance due to a new pre- existing health condition as a living donor. These are just a few of the stories that I have heard about tangible life-saving impacts the Affordable Care Act has had. I see I am running out of time. Dr. Blumberg, can you elaborate more on how repealing the Affordable Care Act would impact my home State, California? Ms. Blumberg. I do not have my California specific figures in front of me, Congressman, but as the largest State---- Mr. Carbajal. Let me ask you a second question then. What do the people losing coverage look like to you? Are they working families? Are they mostly poor or not? Ms. Blumberg. So, about over 80 percent of those who would lose coverage are in working families and the vast majority of those have at least one full-time worker in the household; 53 percent have incomes between 100 percent and 400 percent of the Federal poverty level. That is about $24,300 for a family of four as poverty. It has spread very broadly across the age distribution, contrary to some of the things we have heard. There has been--the biggest uptake in coverage that has been among young adults and 80 percent are people who have not obtained a college degree. Mr. Carbajal. Thank you. I come from a working family. My dad was a farm worker. I have seen people back home struggle to pay their medical bills when a family gets sick. It is imperative that we continue to work together providing affordable health care coverage for all, especially these working families that stand to lose the most from repeal. I yield back. Interim Chair Black. The gentleman yields back. The gentleman from Minnesota, Mr. Lewis, is recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. Lewis. Thank you, Madam Chair. For the record, anyone on the Panel can answer this, the HIPAA Law of 1996 does not allow or does cover by law, pre-existing conditions, employer- to-employer? Mr. Haislmaier. That is correct. Mr. Lewis. Oh, I just wanted to get that in for the record then. I do want to talk a little bit about what the ACA has done in Minnesota. Now, there is a lot of talk from the other side about how repeal would impact certain groups, but we know what the law has already done. In my home State of Minnesota, which is really at the epicenter of all this, the commerce commissioner there called it an emergency situation. Two years of back-to-back premium increases, 50 percent and 67 percent. A hundred thousand people being shoved into a default option. The governor, Governor Mark Dayton, whom we are all wishing well today, called the Affordable Care Act is, ``no longer affordable.'' It is an existential crisis in the State of Minnesota. So, we can talk all day long about what repeal and replace is going to look like, but we know what the current law looks like and it has been a disaster. One thousand counties in the United States have one insured to choose from. Now, I am going to focus a little bit about--on two things, one, employer coverage as well as what we call the age rating or the community rating in some circles. First of all, I believe Grace-Marie Turner has commented on the Affordable Act not just hitting the individual market, what we are hearing from the other side is, ``Well, gosh, you are just talking about 5 percent of the people in the individual market being hurt by all of this. It is no big deal, 95 percent of the people have coverage and their very healthy employer pool, but, in fact, the Affordable Care Act has really impacted employer coverage too, has it not? Ms. Turner. Absolutely, and as we heard earlier, the requirements of the law have significantly driven up costs and deductibles to the cost of the average family policy for employer is now $18,000 a year, more than the $4,000 higher than it was before, not the $2,500 savings that they were promised. Mr. Lewis. And Dr. Book, to your point, an acquaintance of mine was recently offered a plan, at work, again not the individual market, employer-based coverage, his deductible was $13,000. The family plan was well over $1,500 a month. This is living proof that health insurance is no longer health care. Mr. Book. Right, well, yes and that kind of deductible was unheard of before the ACA. Nobody had a $13,000 deductible before that. Mr. Lewis. It used to be in the market-based economy, it would work a little bit like the bond, 10-year bond. The interest rates go up, the bond goes down. Premiums go up, your co-pays and deductibles go down. Now, we are getting a massive hike in premiums along with massive hikes and co-pays, stricter drug formularies all sorts of things that were unheard of just a few years ago. Mr. Book. That is absolutely right. Mr. Lewis. Anybody else want to comment on that? Ms. Blumberg. I would like to comment. There was some turmoil in the early years of the ACA in Minnesota because of the problems with underpricing by the co-op and then the removal of the risk core where payments that were intended to pay and that was a congressional decision and that really financially harmed the market in Minnesota tremendously and I get that, but 380,000 people have gained insurance coverage through or at risk of losing their health insurance coverage through repeal. In Minnesota alone---- Mr. Lewis. I can tell you the insurance companies are more than making up for that underpricing early on. Ms. Blumberg. No, and I understand that. Mr. Lewis. I mean, it is 50 percent, 67 percent the last 2 years. Ms. Blumberg. And there are some strategies that we can discuss for stabilizing the market there and increasing competition within the framework of the Affordable Care Act. Mr. Lewis. I think it is just going to be, soon, one insurer left in MNsure, the State exchange. They are fleeing the State. Ms. Blumberg. But if you want to discuss it, I can give you some ideas of how you might increase competition. Mr. Lewis. I want to get one more question in for Mr. Haislmaier and that is, do you know of any economic model where freely floating prices are not a requirement for the proper allocation of assets? Mr. Haislmaier. No. Mr. Lewis. So, why are we putting price controls on the health insurance market that basically says, ``Well, gosh, the price has to be within a band for everybody,'' which is effectively jacked up premiums so high that we price young people out of the healthcare market. Mr. Haislmaier. Well, basically, that is a pricing convention and what you can do is you can sort of categorize them in bands. The problem there is, yes, you have compressed to the point where you have increased the costs for young adults---- Mr. Lewis. And priced them out of the market. Mr. Haislmaier. You have reduced them for older people and priced them out of the market. Yeah, it was one of the things that really even from the perspective of a supportive of this law did not make a lot of sense to start with because those are people who are most likely to be price sensitive about insurance. Mr. Lewis. I think Milton Friedman warned us about price controls at one point, right, in the surpluses and charges. All right, thank you. Madam chair, I yield back my time. Mr. Rokita [presiding]. Gentleman yields. Mr. Boyle is recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. Boyle. Thank you and thank you for recognizing me and I very much appreciate being on this committee. Regret that this morning it was service on my other committee has a hearing meeting at exactly same time, so trying to run back and forth to the two. I will have questions for Dr. Blumberg, but I first just want to reiterate something that I said on the House floor last week and go into a little more detail since I have more than a minute. It is interesting that about 16 years ago, I was sitting in a graduate school class at Harvard's Kennedy School and there was a fellow from the Heritage Foundation, Stuart Butler, saying that he had an idea that was an alternative to what was then characterized as ``Hillary Care'' before it was demonized Obamacare, it was first demonized as Hillary Care. And the alternative to a government-run, single-payer system, essentially Medicare for all, was the pool the uninsured together through a series of taxes and tax credits combined with a mandate to purchase insurance and banning a discrimination against those with pre-existing conditions. Pool these people together and instead of having a government provided single payer, we would instead pool them together and enable them to purchase private health insurance plans. In fact, that was the genesis of the bill that was introduced by then, Republican Senate leader Bob Doyle and 17 Republican senators in the mid-1990s. Fast forward two decades, we know it and the root of it is Obamacare and suddenly, it is an idea that is akin to socialism. So, if the other side really wants to repeal and replace what was the market solution to the Democratic plan of the 1990s and wants to instead repeal it and maybe replace it with a single-payer system or some sort of Medicare for all, I would be someone on this side of the aisle that would be interested in that sort of repeal and replace conversation. Now, let me address some of the rhetoric we have heard recently in the media because I am confused about it. We keep hearing that Obamacare is in a ``death spiral'' and that it will ``collapse under its own weight,'' but then I actually look at the facts and I see 22 million people who are insured. I see that in 2010, the percentage of Americans uninsured was approximately 16 percent. Today, it is one half of that, 8 percent. The lowest percentage in American history. So, Dr. Blumberg, could you rectify these clear discrepancies between the rhetoric of a ``death spiral'' and the actual facts? Ms. Blumberg. Sure. The Affordable Care Act markets are not in a death spiral. Coverage is increasing in them and there some--substantial percentage of the population lives in areas where there has been either modest increases in prices or actually, decreases and not--lowest options that are available there. So, there are some markets that have had bank percentage increases because they were correcting for earlier underpricing and then, there is a set of states that are having issues related to lack of competition and either their insurer or provider markets and adverse selection. And those are the markets that we should be addressing with policy, but we should not be presuming that this is one big market that is collapsing. That is absolutely not true. Mr. Boyle. Yeah, and I think a couple of those States are Minnesota, like we heard Arizona, I think is another one. They have their own unique challenges that are not necessarily representative of the Nation as a whole. Ms. Blumberg. That is correct. Mr. Boyle. I did want to--because I cited the figure of 22 million people that are now enrolled through the exchanges, but, in fact, if we were to repeal the Affordable Care Act, the number of people that would lose their health insurance is upwards of 30 million. Is that not correct, and can you expand upon that? Ms. Blumberg. Our estimate is that 29.8 million would lose their coverage in 2019 and that would be a consequence of repealing all the financial assistance and the individual mandate that bring in the healthy population into the pool while leaving in place the consumer protections that prohibit discrimination against the sect. Those two things going together end up not just eliminating the coverage for people who gained it under the law, but collapse the market for people that were buying with their own funds. Mr. Boyle. Okay and of course, finally, since I am down to 10 seconds, the 29.8 million figure does not even include the number of seniors in my districts that have gotten benefits such as, lower prescription drug costs because of other changes that came in with the Affordable Care Act. Ms. Blumberg. Right, because they would not become an insured. Mr. Rokita. The gentleman's time is expired. We will now hear from Mr. Bergman for 5 minutes. Mr. Bergman. First, thank you, Madam Chairman, for giving me the opportunity as a member of the new committee--Budget Committee to be here and ask questions today. As a new member, I came to Congress with a promise to my constituents of Michigan's First District to serve them and to make sure we are being responsible stewards of their hard-earned tax dollars. So, it is only fitting that we are here today to discuss the harmful effects of Obamacare. This law has raised taxes on families and small business, discouraged economic growth and job creation and has ultimately placed the government in the driver's seat for personal healthcare decisions. I am looking forward to working with my colleagues across the aisle, here in this committee, and in Congress in general on meaningful, real reform to our healthcare system. My first question for Ms. Turner. The authors of Obamacare tried to setup tools to help small business get access to health coverage, such as the small business tax credit, a special insurance exchange, known as the shop exchange. Are small businesses better off or worse off because of Obamacare? Ms. Turner. The polls that are taken by the National Federation of Independent Business and other organizations say absolutely not because their costs are still so high and they were very disappointed at the effect of the promise that they would have tax credits and relief which they have not seen and felt they had to jump through way too many bureaucratic hoops and the tax credits were far too restrictive to be of use to them. Mr. Bergman. Okay. Again, Ms. Turner, what are the lessons that we should take from our last 6 years of Obamacare to truly provide access of affordable health care for the small businesses? And my district has a tremendous number of small businesses. What are the lessons? Ms. Turner. The lessons are to listen to them; that they want to provide health insurance for their members. They cannot do it if the policies that they are required to offer are so extraordinarily full of benefits that the prices are prohibited. It hurts everyone to try to promise them everything and they cannot afford it. Mr. Bergman. Thank you. Dr. Book. Mr. Book. Yes. Mr. Bergman. As we prepare to legislate in this area to provide patient-centered healthcare reforms, what are the biggest lessons from the Obamacare experience that we should heed? Conversely, are there positive aspects of the healthcare law that have performed better than anticipated that we should be aware of? So, pros and cons. Mr. Book. So, I think the most important lesson is patients have a better idea of what type of coverage they want than people sitting here in Washington telling them what to want. People should have the right, if they wish, to buy a comprehensive healthcare plan that covers everything imaginable. If they wish to choose a more basic plan, that should be an option. If they wish to choose a more, you know, more catastrophic plan, which is with the $9,000 deductible, that should be an option as well. What they should not have to do is buy a comprehensive plan with a catastrophic deductible, which is basically the only option that people in the individual market have right now. I think the goal of allowing people to buy insurance without--even if they have pre-existing conditions is an admiral goal, is an important goal, it is an essential goal, however, the ACA went about this in a completely wrong way that left millions of people unable to afford coverage. It also left insurance companies not covering a lot of conditions. You know, in the first year of the ACA, there were actually fully compliant ACA health plans that did not cover cancer treatment at all because that was not one of the essential services required by law. I guess someone just forgot to list that. Mr. Bergman. Thank you. Mr. Book. Yeah, sorry. Mr. Bergman. Thank you. I want to get to--because I have about 30 seconds left. Mr. Haislmaier, can you explain the difference between subsidized and unsubsidized coverage and what that means for individuals who are purchasing coverage? Mr. Haislmaier. Well, the Affordable Care Act has a set of very general subsidies for people who meet income and other criteria and purchase through the Exchange. So, what I am talking about the market, those are the people I am referring to who are receiving subsidies, as subsidized enrollees. You could also refer to people who are on a public program as a subsidized enrollee. The other two are buying in the same market---- Mr. Rokita. The gentleman's time is expired. We will now hear from the gentleman from Massachusetts, Mr. Moulton, for 5 minutes. Mr. Moulton. Mr. Chairman, thank you. You know, there has been a lot of discussion here back and forth about conflicting ideas. Perhaps, alternative facts, but I just want to get down to some facts we can all agree on. Some simple things about the situation we find ourselves in now here in Congress. The first is that, Republicans have tried to repeal the ACA 65 times; 65 times, they have voted to repeal the ACA without a replacement. Not on the first try; not on the fourth try; not on the 12th try; not on the 65th try. I heard Madam Chairman discuss at length, her anecdotal evidence for places where Obamacare has come up short. Not once did I hear her propose an alternative. If we want to fix this, then let's propose a plan, and hope is not a plan. Ideas are not a plan. Second, we get lectured in this committee a lot by the other side of the aisle about fiscal discipline; about how if American families and small businesses can balance their checkbook, then Congress ought to be able to, too. And you know what? I agree with that. I strongly agree with that and yet, here we are where repealing the ACA without a replacement as the Republicans have already begun to do, would cost roughly $350 billion through 2027. In fact, it will be so bad for the deficit that Republicans had to repeal the rule that bans reconciliation from being used to increase deficits. They had to repeal that rule so that they can increase the deficit dramatically by repealing Obamacare. It is going to break our bank. The gentleman from California said, ``Is it not shocking that we have a trillion dollars spent on health care and yet there are some people who are left out?'' What is shocking to me is that you want to spend even more than that and yet leave 30 million people without health care. Now, the third thing that we can all agree on is that the Congressional Budget Office estimates that repealing the major coverage provisions of the Affordable Care Act will terminate coverage for--sorry, not 30, but 32 million people. I would just like to put that number in perspective. No, sorry, not the slide of the people who did not show up for the inauguration. Can you see the next slide? Yes, the Women's March, right. This Saturday, roughly 3 million Americans gathered in cities all over the country for the Women's March. The largest single day protest in American history. If you multiple that number by 10, that is how many Americans would lose their access to the affordable, quality care they receive from the ACA. We are just looking at Washington here. Three million Americans all over the country, multiply that by 10, that is now many people we are talking about losing their care. I am a veteran myself. I am particularly proud of the fact that between 2013 and 2015, the un-insurance rates for non-elderly veterans fell by an estimated 42 percent--42 percent and we are going to put a lot of those vets out in the street without health care if we follow through on this. Two leading doctors at Harvard Medical School have concluded that 43,000 people will be killed annually if the ACA is repealed without a replacement. And not just a replacement, but a comparable replacement, a comparable replacement. Madam Chairman lectured us on how we should govern by anecdote because she cited some people who are not happy with their current care. Those 43,000 people are not just anecdotes. They are people too, who will lose their care if this is repealed. For your Congressional district, that is about 1 in 17 people in your Congressional districts, that is what that will mean; who will die if this is gone. Thank you, Mr. Chair. I yield back. Mr. Rokita. Gentleman yields back. I will remind the gentleman that in 2015, when the Obamacare appeal got to the President's desk, had he signed it, the deficit could have nearly been erased because CBO scored that as a $500 billion savings. Gentleman from New York, Mr. Faso, is recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. Faso. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. A number of the witnesses have discussed the age banding, and we know that there are approximately 8 million people have chosen to not buy coverage either because they cannot afford it; they do not know enough about it; or, they have just simply decided it is a better deal for them to pay the penalty. I am wondering if--I know Ms. Turner and Dr. Blumberg have both referenced in their testimony the 3-to-1 ratio which is in statute as I understand it. What should--if the panel could each offer us--what should that ratio be if we are to amend that portion of the law? Ms. Turner. This would be a decision best left up to the States, but a 5-to-1 age band was previously considered a good standard, but it is something that is very difficult for the Federal Government to make one standard. Ms. Blumberg. From my perspective, you cannot change the-- you should not change the 3-to-1 age band to something broader unless we provide more financial protection for older adults because the point of putting those tighter age bands in was to make it so coverage was not excessively unaffordable for older adults paying for their full premium. So, if you can put in where consumer protections, financial protections, everyone over 400 percent of poverty pays only--no more than eight and one-half percent of their income for a standard policy. Then you can loosen to 5-to-1 because what you are doing is you are redistributing these very high costs that we accrue as we get older by income instead of by age--but for now I would not move up---- Mr. Faso. Thank you. Ms. Turner. But the effect has been to discourage young people to getting it and actually it harms older people now currently because the young people simply do not enroll because of this 3-to-1 band. Ms. Blumberg. It does not harm older people and I think you have far overstated the circumstances. Ms. Turner. But they are paying higher premiums. Ms. Blumberg. This is my turn now. You far overstated the circumstances because age is very inversely correlated with income. So actually, a very large percentage of our young adults are eligible for financial assistance, which caps what they have to pay relative to their income when they enroll through the marketplaces and that protects them. Our analyses found that there is no difference in coverage as a consequence of 3-to-1 versus 5-to-1. It is a matter of who is going to be a little more uninsured; older adults who need a lot more care or younger adults who need less. Mr. Faso. Thank you, Dr. Blumberg. Dr. Book, did you have something to add to that? Mr. Book. Yeah, thank you. To answer your first question, I would recommend not specifying that in that ratio in the statute. Prior to the ACA, some states did not have that in their State statutes either and the ratio was usually 5-to-1. We find with the ACA premiums even for older Americans have increased relative to what they were before. So, I do not think this 3-to-1 is necessarily saving them money, because they are paying more. Mr. Faso. Okay. Mr. Haislmaier, do you have something to add to that? Mr. Haislmaier. Congressman, yes. I can supply you with a study that was done by the American Academy of Actuaries that has looked at the relationship between age and health care expenditures. And basically, when you look at that, if you assume that there is a blended rate, meaning that you are not differentiating between men and women, because women tend to be more expensive younger and then that flips and men are more expensive when they are older, but if you assume a blended rate, then the approximately 5- to 6-to-1 range is the natural variation in health care spending. Mr. Faso. Thank you. One last question that the panel, if you could briefly answer since I have 1 minute and 19 seconds, the essential benefits, my understanding that is done through strictly regulation now at HHS. What changes would you recommend in that regard, Ms. Turner? Ms. Turner. There are 10 specified categories in the ACA. The HHS secretary has a broad license to redefine those and I think that is something that the American people would like to have looked at again so that they can have more flexibility. Mr. Faso. Dr. Book. Mr. Book. Yeah, I would like to say a word about preventative care, which is listed as a general category, but somehow, in reality, preventative care does not include anything that actually prevents you from getting sick. For example, high blood pressure medicine is not included, cholesterol medicine is not included, blood thinners for people who had strokes are not included. It just includes things like vaccines, screening tests, and contraception. So, a lot of the things that actually prevent people from getting sick and prevent people needing more expensive treatments are actually not counted as preventive care, according to the ACA and its regulations. Mr. Faso. Dr. Blumberg. Ms. Blumberg. One must remember before you remove something from an essential health benefit or remove all essential health benefit requirements, is that as soon as you take something out of that benefit package it is out of the sharing of healthcare risk across the population. Any individual who needs that particular type of care is going to have to pay for it completely out of their own funds, and this will make that unaffordable care, in many circumstances, for many individuals. Mr. Rokita. The gentleman's time has expired. Mr. Faso. Thank you, Mr. Chair. Mr. Rokita. The gentlelady from New Mexico, Ms. Lujan Grisham, is recognized for 5 minutes. Ms. Lujan Grisham. Thank you, Mr. Chair, and while I had not intended to have this be the focus of my question, and I hope I do not lose all my time as a result. What is really hard about these hearings is that both sides have a limited amount of time to shoot out their sound bite and these falsisms or truisms do not get us anywhere closer to dealing with real healthcare reform. For somebody who has worked in health care for more than 30 years--I remember HMOs and I remember Medicare Part D and the problems with formularies--I can tell you that insurance companies and pharmaceutical companies are not trying to make it affordable for anyone, and I know that we have had lots of debates that have been bipartisan in Congress about hospital costs, and I just am really struck by the conversation about what HIPAA does and does not do. Most people in Congress, I will bet, have no idea that it is a privacy portability law that made some changes to the prior COBRA protections, which basically means when you lose your job or change your job there ought to be some way to take that insurance protection with you. But what we do not talk about is it was the full cost and it is time limited out, and if you do not get into another group plan after 24 months and you do not know to appeal, and you do not have a lawyer or you do not have me, then you do not get an extension. And if you had cancer, you are in real trouble, which is why we have so many bankruptcies and why people are so frustrated because while somebody on my side of the aisle did not quite get that right, her point was it does not really work in the way that we thought it did and most high risk polls around the country did not provide subsidies, which meant you were still paying the full cost of your care when you were excluded by a pre-existing condition, which is why so many Americans are so frustrated and we in Congress are not dealing with the real perpetrators of cost. You want to talk to doctors, which I do nearly every month, bipartisan, all different practices and relationships. They do not want to work insurance companies, not worrying about bureaucrats nearly as much as they are worried about corporations that tell them what they can and cannot do. You want a patient-centered system, take out the people that I have no control over. I have access to my doctor, but I cannot deal with my insurance company or pharmaceutical company that will not put any of the drugs--Dr. Book, that you just mentioned--as preventative care. It is not the ACA. We do not allow any negotiations with any of those pharmaceutical companies and, until we start to do real work in that regard, then the issues that you have by both members of this committee, including the mother pregnant with twins, husband loses his job, without the ACA, no way--and they are born prematurely--can she deal with it with the ACA. Another one of my constituents because insurance companies and hospitals do all sorts of interesting things, including in hard to serve places like my State, but certainly not just like New Mexico, but all across the country. We do interesting things like this, so this hospital is in my network and this hospital does women's care, which means they do maternity care, which means they got to have a neonatal wing. But guess what, that hospital is going to contract out with a Florida company that is going to provide those neonatal services. Now, I do not have any access to that information. I choose a plan. I go to the hospital in my plan. I give birth to triplets, prematurely. Those triplets are very sick, one survives. No complaints about the quality of care by this neonatal team. Now you need specialty care for the twin that survives. It is severely disabled and guess what I got? I got a $30,000 bill just for the first couple of weeks in neonatal care. You know why? Because they were not part of that network, and the ACA did not prevent that, the ACA did not cause that. Insurance companies cause that. Now, I was able as a member of Congress to solve that problem. I have legislation, ladies and gentleman, that would prohibit that. I do not think it has ever gotten here, and anybody who wants to get on that bill call me after. There are plenty of problems with large corporations and hospitals who have created huge cost problems and practices in this country. The real, one of the real issues; it is not the only one; we do not embrace public health in this country. Every other country that deals with reasonable healthcare costs and you want to get to prevention, then let's do public health. So, my questions were, are there any proposals, to Linda Blumberg, that you have seen in Congress. I will not even pick on Republicans, because I know about the Health Savings Account and I know about privatizing Medicare that would actually reduce deductibles or out of pocket costs, which I would agree I would love to see those go down. Any? Ms. Blumberg. No. Ms. Lujan Grisham. Me either. Not for 30 years. Mr. Rokita. The gentlewoman's time has expired. We will hear from the gentleman from Pennsylvania. Thank you, Mr. Smucker, for 5 minutes. Mr. Smucker. Thank you, Mr. Chair. I would like to thank the panelists for being here today. You know, I think it is important we not lose sight of the goal that I think is shared by everyone up here today, both sides of the aisle, and that is, we want to ensure that individuals--Americans--have access to quality health care at a price they can afford. And I am looking forward to working with my colleagues on both sides of the aisle to design such a system, because we know ACA has not done that--has not worked--and granted there are some who have had access to health care for the first time through ACA. And we are not going to pull the rug out from under them. We want to ensure we have a system that gives them better coverage, better care, but what I have been hearing and I, of course, like so many others--I am a first-time freshman member--have come through a 12 months campaign primary in general and the Obamacare system has been top of the list in people's minds. And what I have heard from constituents in my district is what we have been talking about today. People have seen extraordinary increases. People who had health insurance before have seen extraordinary increases in the cost of their premiums, 25 percent average increase in premiums across the country. It is higher than that in my area. I have talked to people who have seen doubling of their premiums, and then I have heard of others who have lost their insurance altogether, who have been forced onto a plan that they did not want. So, clearly, what we have is not working. I think there are better solutions and I am looking forward to working with the college to achieve that. My background is small business owner. I have been a small business owner for 25 years prior to serving in the State Senate, and I have spoken to a lot of small business members over the last year as well. I will just share one brief story. A husband and wife team, who operated a small machine shop in Elizabethtown in the Lancaster County portion of my district, and they prided themselves--they have 10 to 15 employees, I forget the exact number--but have been in business for quite some time, have always prided themselves in creating a kind of family atmosphere among their employees. They see their employees as family. They have always provided quality health care, seen that as an important part of their pay and benefit package, and literally believed that they may not be able to do that any longer and were very, very worried, not only about how it would impact their business and their profitability, but how it would impact their employees and their employees' families. I think this is one of the impacts of the Affordable Care Act that we have to find better solutions to allow employers to continue to provide that kind of service to their employees that they think is very, very important. But I want to get back, and I have taken most of my time--but I do have a quick question and I think, Mr. Haislmaier, you had talked about self-insurance. As a business owner, myself, we were one of those businesses that were self-insured and we found it an effective way to control costs, because you created a partnership with your employees and with the company. You designed a system that worked for employees and then created incentives for control and costs and so on, and just recently I talked to a business owner who said over the last 5 years they have not had the kind of increases that many others have seen in health insurance, many other businesses have seen. And when I asked why, he said well, we are self-insured. So, we have had a very, very good experience with that. I think you mentioned that we have seen a slight increase in self-insurance after ACA and I guess I would be interested in learning more about that and whether you see this is as an important part of the solution. Mr. Haislmaier. Yeah, the most notable shift has been a significant drop off in fully insured employer plans, which is where you go and buy the coverage from an insurer on a group basis, and the insurer retains the risk. Those tend to be smaller and medium size businesses. Up until recently, the self-insured market has largely been large employers, but it is moving down the firm size scale. That is, by far, just to give you a relative concept, that has grown, but it has been a steady two percent sort of growth every year, but it is already from high base of about 100. It started out at about 100 million people in that. One of the reasons that--and I have been looking for this--I have not seen a significant acceleration in the data, but because of the ACA, if you get out from under---- Mr. Rokita. I am sorry, the gentleman's time is expired. The gentleman's time is expired. Mr. Gaetz of Florida, you are recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. Gaetz. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Hope is not a plan, was the admonishment we received from the gentleman from Massachusetts. It is perhaps also a fitting title for the obituary of the last 8 years. Time and again, we have heard our Democratic colleagues on this committee say, ``There is no replacement. There is no plan that Republicans have offered.'' And whether they are here with us or back in their offices admiring their names on the wall, I would suggest that they look at the legislation offered by Mr. Rokita, where he has said that we functionally block grant Medicaid to the states, then we can experience the great vibrance of a Federalist system, where best practices will be attempted and copied and sure, there will be some who miss the mark, but that is sort of the deal we get in a constitutional republic, and certainly join Mr. Rokita in attempting to advance those efforts. I want to, for a moment, speak about emergency room visits. There was a promise in Obamacare that we would see a reduction in emergency room visits, but I have noted a 2015 study from Northeastern University suggesting that emergency room visits post Obamacare in Illinois are up. Another 2015 survey from the American College of Emergency Room Physicians where three in four emergency room physicians are experiencing higher emergency room volume, not lower volume, following Obamacare. And a February 2016 study, from the Center of Disease Control, suggesting that there has really been no reduction in emergency room visits as a consequence of this law, and so I guess my question for Dr. Blumberg is, why has Obamacare failed to reduce the number of emergency room visits? Ms. Blumberg. Well, first of all, I think it is not fair to assume that any change in emergency room visits is inappropriate use. There are always provider shortage areas where people tended to use emergency room care more. Those provider shortage areas were prior to the ACA and they still exist. But in addition, when you see an increase under the Affordable Care Act, what you are doing is you are lowering the price of medical care to people. And so, people who could not afford necessarily to go and get an emergency room care when they needed emergency room care, now have financial access to do so. So, it is not necessarily just because you have seen an increase that that is an increase in inappropriate use. Mr. Gaetz. Reclaiming my time, I am glad you mentioned that. So, let's then turn to the State of California. The State that has perhaps most enthusiastically embraced the expansion of Medicaid, where currently one in every three Californians is on their Medicaid product--13 million people--across the board reductions in reimbursements to providers. We read in the Los Angeles Times the story of Kevin Hill, 58 years old. He was one of these Americans who was added to the Medicaid roles. He had to call 15 doctors in the Long Beach area. Either the doctors were not even answering the phones or they were not taking California Medicaid patients anymore because reimbursement rates were so low. And where did Mr. Hill end up? Back in the emergency room. So, I guess, you know, the question is if you have got a circumstance where you have got enrollment that is spiking beyond the ability to raise taxes to pay for it and reductions in what we pay providers, what is the hope looking forward? Ms. Blumberg. Well, we should not make public policies based on anecdote, and I do appreciate the story of your one constituent. But there are a lot of people who are getting Medicaid coverage now who have a usual source of care and we can demonstrate this through household surveys that never had a usual source of care before, and that is outside of---- Mr. Gaetz. Reclaiming my time. You know, it is sort of like shifting ground. When I state the statistics that indicate that there is rising participation in our emergency rooms, the statistics cannot be trusted. When we cite the individuals who cannot go and obtain care, then we cannot trust the anecdote. Ms. Blumberg. But I did say when you lower the price of medical care, more people have access to use it. But that does not mean we are not also increasing access to usual sources of care for people who are uninsured for the first time under the Medicaid program, because the evidence is very strong that we are. Mr. Gaetz. Well, then let me conclude my time with some bipartisan agreement with the gentlelady from New Mexico. I agree wholeheartedly with her statements that we have real cost problems and cost drivers. I think frequently aided by a hospital industrial complex and an insurance system that, for the most part, has been supportive of the Affordable Care Act and does not want its repeal, and so the very people that the Democrats on this committee criticize for being the drivers of cost are the very same entities that are bellied up to the trough draining resources away from those who are truly vulnerable. So, I join the bipartisan sentiment about trying to attack those cost drivers, but it seems as though focusing only on coverage, which is illusory, which does not lead to real care, it just leads to more folks in the emergency room. It is not the better way that we should all be pursuing. Mr. Rokita. I thank the gentleman. The gentleman yields back. The gentleman from Texas, Mr. Arrington, is recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. Arrington. Mr. Chairman, thank you, and I am honored to represent West Texas. I am honored to be on this committee and to the ranking member Mr. Yarmuth, I look forward to working you and our colleagues on the other side of the aisle. The jury is not out in West Texas on Obamacare. Never--and I have been around public policy and politics a long time--never has there been a greater disparity or irony between the title and intent of legislation and its outcomes for the American people. It is not affordable care. It is the Unaffordable Care Act. It is the Raise a Trillion Dollars in Tax on Americans Act. It is the Kill More Small Businesses and Jobs Act. It is Crush the American Economy When it is Coming Up for Air from the Recession Act. It is the Weaken the Medicare Act by taking $800 billion from that program. It is make it more difficult on middle class and working class families. Let me tell you something, in West Texas, we do not care about the names on the halls and walls of Congress. We care about the people that have their names on their shirts and on the back of their belts, and they are getting creamed. How serious is this that we act now? That we act swiftly and with confidence that this paradigm, that this top down government run, centrally planned, one size fits all health care has failed us? How urgent is it that we act? How serious is it that we act, Ms. Turner? Ms. Turner. Absolutely crucial, and a new system cannot be built on the wreckage of Obamacare. You have to repeal it first. That is why members of Congress could not pass or replace legislation because the President vetoed the repeal bill. Mr. Arrington. Other members of the panel? Mr. Book. It is clear that simply repealing the ACA will not bring back the system that was destroyed by the ACA. That previous system also had a lot of problems with it and this is an opportunity to create a more caring and more feasible and more affordable and more economically rational system in which people can actually obtain the care they need, instead of just obtaining their $9,000 deductibles. Mr. Arrington. See, I am just a freshman congressman, you know, and I am trying to make sense of all this and this alternate universe and facts that have been mentioned. And I see the American healthcare system as a patient on the operating table or in the emergency room bleeding out and we are expected to take an Ace bandage and an aspirin and somehow allow it to live to see another day. The people I represent do not believe that. I am not disparaging or questioning the intent. The intentions were to provide affordable care. The outcomes were that it did not, period. And it is only the responsible thing to do for those who lead our country and represent the good people of these United States to step in and do something, and provide solutions, real patient-centered solutions, market-oriented solutions, flexibility to States, empowerment of the patient, to actually be a consumer of health care and create real markets where health insurance companies are competing for our business, driving the cost down and quality up. Good old fashion free enterprise, American way. I come from middle America. I come from rural America, and as I said on the floor the other day, when America is sick and believe me, the folks in the 29 counties in Texas District 19 would reaffirm this statement. When America is sick, and they are sick from Obamacare, and they are sick of Obamacare, and they are sick of big government being thrust upon them as the solution for every problem that ails us. But when America is sick, rural America is in the ICU: small businesses, family farms, community banks, rural hospitals. Put the slide back up, please, if you would of the 80 rural hospitals that have gone away, 600 on the brink of going away. How are we going to bring the food, fuel, and fiber to America if we do not have health care infrastructure? But the $58 billion in additional regulatory cost, we cannot do it. So, if you want to feed and clothe the American people. Mr. Rokita. I thank the gentleman. The gentleman's time is expired. Now, I will hear from the gentleman from Georgia, Mr. Ferguson, for 5 minutes. Mr. Ferguson. Mr. Chairman, Ranking Member, thank you so much for the opportunity to address the panel. I thank you each for your time and thank you all for coming. I am going to start with a question and I do not mean to sound facetious, how many of you all sitting at that panel have delivered health care as a provider to someone in a rural community living below the poverty level. You have--in the last 24 months? Ms. Blumberg. Yeah, I am a volunteer for Remote Area Medical, so I work in Appalachia delivering care. Mr. Ferguson. Good, okay. So, a lot of the conversation that we will have, we will be able to connect with, okay. As I go through this, one of the things that I want to explore is the regulatory cost that has been added to health care delivery. Can you all explain to me, in the Affordable Care Act, how there is an intentional effort to lower regulatory cost in the delivery of health care? And I will start with Dr. Book. Mr. Book. Within the ACA? Within the ACA, I do not believe there is any attempt to do any of that. Mr. Ferguson. Okay, thank you. Would you all agree that there is increased regulatory cost as a result of the Affordable Care Act? Mr. Haislmaier, I will ask you that question. Mr. Haislmaier. Yes, so it is not evenly spread. I mean, certainly more in certain sectors than others, but yeah, it is a significant increased regulatory cost. Mr. Ferguson. With that increased regulatory cost, as a provider, this is something that I live with every single day. We are spending more and more time on regulation and less and less time on the most important part of health care delivery and that is the intimate conversation between a doctor and a patient. As I move forward every day with treatment with my patients, the single most important thing that I have to be able to do is to communicate in an effective way with my patient the value of the health care that is being delivered. And I do that every single day. What I have seen in recent times is we have less and less time to do that. Just because you have access to health insurance does not mean you have access to care. I am sure that has been said many, many times around here. It is true. Has the Affordable Care Act looked at the other barriers to access to care besides simply access to insurance? I will tell you in my practice I treat patients every single day from folks that are trying to figure out how to get their next meal to a family with unlimited needs. I do it every single day in my dental practice. There are a lot of other barriers to care for those that are caught in the cycle of poverty. Dr. Blumberg, you working in Appalachia can probably see that, too. Transportation issues, education issues, all of those types of things. So, a lot of times we are trying to solve a problem by providing an insurance product that really does not address the fundamental issues of access. We all assume that the number one reason that people do not receive care is because they do not have insurance. I will argue that that certainly can be an issue, but it is also not the only problem there. So, Ms. Turner, have you looked at the other issues surrounding the cycle of poverty and the access to care? Ms. Turner. We have particularly looked at how discouraged physicians are--all medical providers are--because of the regulations that you point out. They went to medical school to treat patients and they are forced to deal with so much bureaucracy that it is really discouraging and forcing them out of the practice of medicine--far too many of them--reducing the supply of people that are available and this is particularly acute in rural areas. So, yes, I am very concerned about this, I hope, unintended consequence of the regulation, overregulation of our health sector, but it is very real for patients. Mr. Ferguson. Okay, thank you. Dr. Book, Ms. Turner touched on something that I think is very important and that is the brain drain out of the healthcare industry. Can you make a quick comment on that? Do you see that trend continuing or do you see it reversing as a result of the Affordable Care Act? Mr. Book. We have seen increases in physicians retiring early. I know very few physicians who would tell their children to become physicians. Most of them tell them not to, avoid as much as possible. On the regulatory side, I have heard comments from physicians that now that their mandated to keep electronic medical records, it sounds like a great idea, but none of the systems talk to each other and it ends up just taking more time to accomplish the same thing they accomplished before. Mr. Ferguson. Dr. Book, I am going to reclaim my last 20 seconds. I hope that as we move forward with this and find solutions that we are able to truly drive the conversation back to the two most important people in the room, and that is the healthcare provider and the patient. That intimate conversation cannot be had by an insurance company or a government regulator. It has to be had between those two individuals. Thank you. Mr. Rokita. I thank the gentleman. The gentleman's time has expired. The gentleman from Wisconsin, Mr. Grothman, is recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. Grothman. We have a couple of questions. First thing, in general, I think one thing we have not touched upon is the degree to which Obamacare discourages work, discourages full time work, both because of, you know, discouraging hiring of full time employees and on an individual basis, cliffs where you can be substantially penalized for working overtime or getting a raise. I know one of the problems we have in our country is we are having a hard time getting the wages up on the middle class. I would like some of you to comment on the degree to which Obamacare, or the way it was set up, punishes people who want to work full time, sticks people in a situation in which maybe that have to go for two jobs into one job, as well as according to my account I talk to, forces people into a situation in which they have to make sure they do not make too much money. Ms. Turner. Well, one of the problems with the law is that it redefined a full-time work week as 30 hours, which very few employers felt the full-time work week was 30 hours, and I have talked to far too many, especially small business owners, who have said that what this means is that if they have more than 50 employees, and are therefore subject to this, that they have to reduce the hours and often reduce hiring. Mr. Grothman. Right. Have you heard stories, and my accountant has told me stories, of people--depending upon where the cliff is--of people saying, see, I can make more than $50,000 a year, I cannot make more than $60,000 a year, it is going to cost me $3,000 or $4,000? Could you tell me if you aware of those stories or elaborate the degree to which we are discouraging people from improving their income? I mean, after all, if you are going to make $90,000 a year, first of all, you have to make $60,000 a year. And if you tell people you cannot make $60,000 or can make $50,000, it kind of stunts your growth in your career. Any comments on that, Dr. Blumberg? Ms. Blumberg. The economic research is very strong that there has not been employment related negative effects as a consequence of the Affordable Care Act. There may have been a small increase in part time work that was voluntary, but not required, and there has been no impact except for possibly a positive small one as a consequence of the Medicaid expansion. Mr. Grothman. Dr. Blumberg, honestly, talk to some accountants and you will have no problem finding people who are refusing to make more money because if they make more money it is going to cost them $3,000 or $4,000 or $5,000. Ms. Blumberg. There may be people you can find like that, but they are more than offset by other individuals who are behaving differently. So, on that, there is strong evidence that there has not been a significant negative impact of the Affordable Care Act. Ms. Turner. It is very, very difficult to capture the opportunity cost and what did not happen to people who did not get jobs, the people who were not offered jobs, the companies that did not grow as a result of this mandate. Mr. Grothman. Okay, I will give you one more quick question. Our minute thing here is--oh, there we are. I am familiar with what goes on in the private sector and there are incredible things being done, a combination of self-insurance, a combination of HSAs together with funding the HSAs on the part of the employer, a combination of in employer clinics in which we are having substantial reductions in health care costs. And this is going on and is one of the major reasons why health care costs have not gone up more at this time. Could somebody comment on a combination of those three things in the way in which private sector employers are reducing costs? Mr. Haislmaier. Yeah, actually, if you do not mind congressman, I will speak to that. I think it is not just private sector employers, but unfortunately, Congressman Ferguson is not here, it is also some of the providers who are just redesigning it. I think this is one of the interesting unintended consequences of the ACA, is the ingenuity that it sparked in trying to get around the obstacles. For example, large employers are now moving towards to find contribution through private exchanges. The other thing that I find very interesting is providers moving to direct primary care where in they get rid of all the fee-for-service paperwork. They do not even take the private insurance. You just go to them for primary care and you buy it like Netflix or cable, $130 a month. I mean, two-thirds of those practices charge $135 a month and if you need a doctor, they are on retainer. Interestingly enough, you know, they come up with terminology. The ACA actually allows for, I do not know whether they envisioned it, that to be offered with a wraparound coverage---- Dr. Grothman. I am going to cut you off. I disagree that that is because of ACA. I think what is going on is there was a race between the private sector that was solving the medical crisis in this country and people who just wanted to throw in the towel. I think the innovation on the private sector would have happened with ACA or not, it is just that---- Mr. Rokita. The gentleman's time has expired. I thank the gentleman. The chair recognizes himself for 5 minutes. I did not get a chance to ask questions yet, so I want to first start off by saying I appreciate the discussion that has occurred here today. I especially appreciate the members of the Budget Committee here for the first time or on record, and I think they did an excellent job. I want to say, on the record, that I associate myself with the comments of Mr. Lewis, Mr. Bergman, Mr. Faso, Mr. Smucker, Mr. Gaetz, Mr. Arrington, and Mr. Ferguson. Excellent job. I look forward to working with you all. There was some discussion, especially from my friends on the other side of the aisle that we voted to repeal this insidious law over 60 times and then little to replace it with. Well, I think, Ms. Turner, you are right. We did not have a partner in the White House to help us accomplish that, but we made the case to the American people about how insidious the law was. It was built on lies. If you wanted your plan, you could keep it. If you wanted your doctor, you could keep it; all that nonsense. But our conference also has a replacement plan, and we have several plans from individual members, and none of those plans--in fact, you can find The Better Way Plan right here at better.gov. None of the plans are contradictory. It is not a matter of not knowing what we need to replace these things with, it is a matter of the overlapping of wills, getting it done in a way where the American people have a chance to see what could be. I do not have to remind this panel that back under Speaker Pelosi, we had to pass a bill in order to find out what was in it. I cannot think of a more backward or wrong way to legislate. We are going to take our time and we are going to make sure that we get this right with patient-centered health care that is consumer driven, that allows for competition in a healthy marketplace. I do have some questions. This is not speechifying on my behalf, Mr. Ranking Member--you love to hear me talk--I wanted to hear from Dr. Book and Mr. Haislmaier about a particular part of CBO. Of course, this panel has exclusive jurisdiction over the Congressional Budget Office, but they got Obamacare wrong. Dr. Book, we understand that it could be a difficult job scoring out major pieces of legislation, but can you tell us how the original CBO cost estimates have aligned with reality under current law? Mr. Book. Yeah, original CBO cost estimates forecast much lower costs than we have seen and many more people being covered. They originally forecast, for example, a decrease in the uninsured population to five percent. They forecast 30 million people covered in the exchanges. The true numbers are somewhere between 10 and 15 percent uninsured depending on how you count it and about 11 million people covering the exchange, and when they made their forecast on the repeal last week, they said that they counted as people losing their insurance, 7 million of the 18 million people covered in the exchanges. When, in fact, there is 11 million people covered to start with. It was a very optimistic forecast. I understand it is difficult to make forecasts. In general, I have a lot of respect for the people who work at the CBO. I cannot specifically say why they made those mistakes, because they do not really reveal their methods. Mr. Rokita. Thank you for that. In your work, do you see anything systemically errant about the way CBO has chartered or required to score major pieces of legislation? Anything you want to help with this--you do not have to say it now. If you want to get back with us later, that is fine, but we have oversight jurisdiction here and we have pledged to do budget process reform, and this was a major error. Mr. Book. Yes, it was and I would like to look into that and get back to you with some specifics. Mr. Rokita. Okay. Mr. Book. In general, they tend to assume that the world looks exactly the same as it does, except for minor changes, and that people are not going to react and change their behavior in response to a change in the law. But, of course, that is the whole purpose of the law. Ms. Blumberg. Could I comment, sir, on that? Mr. Rokita. No, I want to get to Mr. Haislmaier. Sorry for butchering your name earlier. In the last 59 seconds that we have, what is your account of this? Why did CBO's projections so grossly overestimate coverage gains on the ACA? Mr. Haislmaier. I think it is pretty clear that they overestimated the effect that the individual mandate would have on inducing people who were otherwise healthy and not qualifying for subsidies to get coverage, and I think they are still holding to that as well. There are some other minor things that--I mean I cannot fault them on the Medicaid numbers because the court case came in and they sort of changed things; however, in terms of the enrollment and Medicaid, they overestimated the attractiveness of the exchange to people who were not being subsidized. Interestingly, when you compare to the Office of the Actuary at CMS, they expected the Medicaid expansion to ramp up slowly. In fact, it came in quite quickly and they both underestimated the cost of that. Mr. Rokita. Thank you, and my time is expired. And now in closing, I would like to yield my closing time to the ranking member, my friend, Mr. Yarmuth for a thank you. Mr. Yarmuth. I thank the chairman. I just want to thank all the witnesses and these discussions have been going on for a long time, in many different forms, and sometimes it gets pretty heated up. I apologize for any of the heat that was directed at any of the witnesses, but I thank you for your testimony and your thoughts. Mr. Rokita. I thank the gentleman, and I thank the witnesses as well--Ms. Turner, Dr. Book, Dr. Blumberg, Mr. Haislmaier--for appearing before us today. Please be advised that members may submit written questions to be answered later in writing and those questions and your answers will be made part of the formal hearing record. And, again, Dr. Book, I would love to get your answers in writing, and anything you would like to add Mr. Haislmaier. Any members who wish to submit questions or any extraneous material for the record may do so within 7 days, and with that bit of business completed, I see no other business before the committee, and we remain adjourned. [Whereupon, at 1:10 p.m., the committee adjourned subject to the call of the chair.] ``Rep. Rokita submitted the following questions for the record.'' [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]