Abstract P2-11-16: Computerized Measurements of Nuclear Morphology Features, Mitosis Rate, and Tubule Formation from H&E Images Predicts Disease-Free Survival in Patients with HR+ & LN+ Invasive Breast Cancer from SWOG S8814 (2023)

Abstract Background: Lymph node (LN) involvement is a strong indicator of poor prognosis for breast cancer (BC), with adjuvant chemotherapy remaining fundamental to management of these patients. SWOG S8814 was a Phase III randomized trial of postmenopausal patients with pathologic LN-positive BC who were hormone receptor positive (HR+). The objectives of the clinical trial were to compare disease free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) of 1) these postoperative patients treated with a combination of cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, fluorouracil (CAF) plus tamoxifen versus tamoxifen alone; and 2) patients treated with CAF followed by tamoxifen versus CAF plus concurrent tamoxifen. In this study we sought to evaluate the potential of applying computational image analysis on whole slide images (WSI) for predicting DFS and OS in SWOG S8814. Methods: A cohort of 135 patients (N=53 DFS event) diagnosed with HR+ &amp; LN+ BC from clinical trial ECOG 2197 was utilized as training set D1. Validation set D2 comprised 630 patients (N=260 DFS event, N=195 death) with HR+&amp; LN+ BC from SWOG S8814. Three deep learning models were employed to respectively detect nuclei, mitosis, and tubules in WSIs. Subsequently, a total of 1,810 features relating to nuclear morphology (e.g., spatial distribution, shape, texture, orientation), mitotic activity (e.g., mitosis hotspot, mitotic rates) and tubule formation (e.g., tubular nuclei distribution, ratio of tubule to non-tubule area) were extracted from each WSI. A lasso regularized Cox regression model (IbRiS) was trained on D1 to respectively identify four features from each of the feature categories (nuclei morphology, mitotic activity, and tubule formation) most strongly associated with DFS, a continuous risk score based on the selected features was then constructed. An optimal risk threshold was identified on D1 to dichotomize the risk scores into high vs. low risk of recurrence categories. Blinded validation of the machine learning model on SWOG S8814 using Cox regression was performed by SWOG to evaluate its performance in terms of DFS and OS. Results: In D2, patients identified as high risk of recurrence by IbRiS had a significantly worse prognosis in terms of DFS with hazard ratio=1.30 (p=0.039, 95% CI=1.01-1.66). IbRiS was also found to be significantly prognostic of OS with hazard ratio=1.38 (p=0.026, 95% CI=1.04-1.83). IbRiS was however, neither prognostic of DFS (HR = 1.20; 95% CI 0.93-1.54) nor OS (HR = 1.28; 95% CI 0.96-1.71) in multivariable analysis adjusting for treatment, tumor size, and number of positive nodes. IbRiS was also not a significant predictor of chemotherapy benefit (DFS p=0.45; OS p=0.25). Conclusion: We developed a prognostic model (IbRiS) based on the combined features of nuclear morphology, mitosis count, and tubule formation that can help further risk stratify HR+ &amp; LN+ BC patients by only using H&amp;E slides. Citation Format: Yuli Chen, William E. Barlow, Haojia Li, Cheng Lu, Andrew Janowczyk, German Corredor, Shridar Ganesan, Michael Feldman, Pingfu Fu, Hannah Gilmore, Kathy S. Albain, Lajos Pusztai, James Rae, Daniel Hayes, Andrew K. Godwin, Alastair M. Thompson, Anant Madabhushi. Computerized Measurements of Nuclear Morphology Features, Mitosis Rate, and Tubule Formation from H&amp;E Images Predicts Disease-Free Survival in Patients with HR+ &amp; LN+ Invasive Breast Cancer from SWOG S8814 [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2022 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2022 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(5 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-11-16.