In 2004, consolidated revenues from continuing operations increased 5% to $10.2 billion, mainly due to the weakening of the U.S. dollar against foreign currencies. Our organic revenue growth (which adjusts revenue growth for the effects of foreign exchange and other factors) was flat for the year.
•a $180 million provision for settlements with the New York AG and other regulatory authorities and a $40 million provision for costs and payments to settle the Daniel class action lawsuit,
underwriting, and wholesale brokerage where we act as the agent for carriers. In addition, this includes compensation for specific services as is customary in some markets outside the United States.
•To accept only a specific fee to be paid by the client, a specific percentage commission on premium to be paid by an insurer set at the time of purchase, renewal, placement or servicing of an insurance policy, or a combination of both.
•Not to request or accept from any insurer any promise or commitment for the use of our services, including reinsurance brokerage, conditioned upon any arrangement to provide preferential treatment for any insurer.
•decrease in our estimated discount rate would increase our estimated 2005 pension expense by approximately $38 million and the estimated 2005 postretirement medical benefit expense by $0.5 million and
For the 2004 valuation year, the major U.K. pension plans have a combined deferred loss (from asset and liability experience) of $1,500 million that has not yet been recognized through income in the financial statements. We amortize the accumulated loss outside of a corridor over 17 years; this corridor is defined as 10% of the greater of the fair value of plan assets or the projected benefit obligation. For 2005, the estimated amortization amount to be recognized in expense is $67 million. To the extent not offset by future gains, the incremental amortization as calculated above will continue to affect future pension expense in a similar manner until fully amortized.
Cash flow requirements are also sensitive to assumptions, however the assumptions used for funding the U.K. plans are changed infrequently. Under current rules and assumptions, we anticipate U.K. funding requirements of $152 million in both 2005 and 2006. These contributions reflect minimum funding requirements plus other amounts agreed to with the trustees of the U.K. plans.
•increase in our estimated long-term rate of return on plan assets would decrease the estimated 2005 pension expense by approximately $4 million.
We have reflected the impact of the March 2005 New York AG and other regulatory authorities settlement in our December 31, 2004 financial statements. The settlement amount is fixed and determinable, therefore the liability was discounted to the net present value of the payments based on our incremental borrowing rate in accordance with APB 21. The $10 million difference between the settlement amount of $190 million and the $180 million liability recorded in our balance sheet as of December 31, 2004 represents the discount. This discount will increase our expenses in future years as it is amortized into expense.
In addition to the New York AG and other regulatory authorities settlement accrual, we have also accrued $40 million for costs and payments to settle the Daniel class action lawsuit.
Goodwill is not amortized but is tested for impairment at least annually, and more frequently if there are indicators of impairment or whenever business circumstances indicate that the carrying value of goodwill may not be recoverable. Impairment reviews are performed at the reporting unit level. If the fair value of a reporting unit is determined to be less than the carrying value of the reporting unit, we would complete further analysis to determine whether there was an impairment loss. No further analysis was required in 2004 or 2003. We base our determinations of fair value on estimates and assumptions related to the amount and timing of future cash flows and future interest rates. Different estimates or assumptions could produce different results. We included the estimated effects of the regulatory investigations and the termination of contingent commission arrangements in our 2004 impairment test.
U.S. consolidated revenue, which represents 52% of total revenue, increased $50 million or 1% in 2004 compared to 2003. The low revenue growth reflects the softer U.S. retail market that began late in 2003 after a two-year rapid increase in premiums following the September 11 tragedy and lower contingent commission revenue. Additionally, the November 2004 sale of Cambridge resulted in a $19 million loss of revenue in 2004 as compared to 2003.
The 6% increase in benefits to policyholders was driven by the combination of growth in underwriting revenue, the change in an insurance program for a specialty accident and health line, and foreign exchange rates. In 2003, expenses increased due to higher claims for National Program Services, Inc. (NPS) of $79 million (see the Consolidated Results for 2003 Compared to 2002 section below for more information).
•certain insurance underwriting subsidiaries acquired with Alexander and Alexander Services, Inc. (A&A), where we are paying off these subsidiaries' liabilities over several years, and
•lower impairment write-downs in 2003 of $36 million compared with $130 million in 2002. 2002 impairment write-downs included a $51 million cumulative adjustment related to prior reporting periods,
General expenses in 2002 included $50 million of costs from the planned divestiture of the insurance underwriting segment and a credit of $6 million, reflecting the reversal of termination benefits that we incurred as part of our business transformation plan.
The effective tax rate was 37% in both 2003 and 2002. The overall effective tax rates are higher than the U.S. federal statutory rate primarily because of state income tax provisions.
(1)Intersegment revenues of $72 million and $68 million were included in 2004 and 2003, respectively. See Note 15 to the consolidated financial statements for further information. Risk and Insurance Brokerage Services
After the attacks of September 11, 2001, premium rates saw an unprecedented increase. Since late 2003, however, premiums in the property and casualty marketplace have declined. The downward rate trend varies by line of business, area of the world, and when each line of business began its downward trend. This trend may inhibit brokers' ability to grow revenues.
•the income we earn on investments, which is heavily influenced by short-term interest rates.
•provides wholesale brokerage, managing underwriting and premium finance services to independent agents and brokers as well as corporate clients;
Pretax income was $105 million. In 2004, pretax margins in this segment were 8.4%, down from 9.3% in 2003. The decline was caused by a $27 million provision allocation for settlements resulting from the investigation by the New York AG and other regulatory authorities, a $6 million accrual for costs and payments to settle the Daniel class action lawsuit, and a $2 million reduction of contingent commission revenue. The legal accruals and loss of contingent commission revenue were partially offset by:
•implemented a "back-to-basics" strategy in 2003 which focused on products and regions with predictable cash flows and the best return on investment;
•invested assets and related investment income not directly required to support the risk and insurance brokerage services and consulting businesses and
•periodically review securities with material unrealized losses and evaluate them for other-than-temporary impairments,
These revenue and expense comparisons contributed to the overall Corporate and Other pretax loss of $108 million in 2004 versus a pretax loss of $23 million in 2003.
Other assets decreased $223 million from December 31, 2003. Other assets are comprised principally of prepaid premiums related to reinsurance and prepaid pension assets. The decrease from year-end 2003 is due to:
•Moody's affirmed its ratings for Aon and changed their outlook from negative to stable.
No. 140. These premium-financing securitizations are accomplished by using special purpose entities which are considered QSPEs pursuant to Statement No. 140 and FIN 46, and commercial paper multi-seller, non-qualified bank conduit SPEs. Statement No. 140 provides that a QSPE should not be consolidated in the financial statements of a transferor or its affiliates (Aon's subsidiaries).
Endurance warrants: Fair value is determined with the assistance of an independent third party using the Black-Scholes pricing model.
In 1996 and 1997, Aon recorded restructuring liabilities as a result of the acquisition of Alexander & Alexander Services, Inc. (A&A) and Bain Hogg. The remaining liability of $33 million is for lease abandonments and other exit costs, and is being paid out over several years as planned.
for €250 million. At December 31, 2004, Aon had borrowed €250 million ($334 million) under the five year portion of the facility, which is classified as notes payable in the consolidated statements of financial position. At December 31, 2003, Aon had borrowed €38 million ($48 million) under the 364-day portion of the facility, which is included in short-term borrowings in the consolidated statements of financial position. The 364-day portion of the facility expired in 2004 and was not renewed. In February 2005, Aon replaced this facility with a new €650 million multi-currency revolving loan credit facility. The new facility includes a €325 million three-year revolving loan facility and a €325 million five-year revolving loan facility. Commitment fees of 20 and 22 basis points are payable on the unused portion of the three-and five-year facility, respectively. Aon has guaranteed the obligations of its subsidiaries with respect to this new facility.
Generally, the capital and surplus of Aon's insurance subsidiaries available for transfer to the parent company is limited to the amount that the insurance subsidiaries' statutory capital and surplus exceeds minimum statutory capital requirements; however, payments of the amounts as dividends in excess of $284 million may be subject to approval by regulatory authorities. See Note 8 for possible tax effects of distributions made out of untaxed earnings.
In 1999, Aon's U.K. pension plans became closed to new employees. All new employees became participants in a defined contribution plan. The provisions for the defined contribution plan were $20 million, $19 million and $14 million in 2004, 2003 and 2002, respectively.
The range of weighted-average assumptions used to determine the international net periodic benefit costs for 2004, 2003 and 2002 are as follows:
The investment policies for international plans are established by the local pension plan trustees and seek to maintain the plans' ability to meet liabilities and to comply with local minimum funding requirements. Plan assets are invested, within asset allocation ranges as shown above, in diversified portfolios that provide adequate levels of return at an acceptable level of risk. The investment policies are reviewed at least annually, and revised, as deemed appropriate to ensure that the objectives are being met.
Aon issued fixed-rate notes in May 2000. Aon purchased options on interest rate swaps to hedge against a change in interest rates prior to the issuance of the fixed-rate notes. These options qualified as a hedge of an anticipated transaction under pre-Statement No. 133 accounting guidance and related gains were deferred and are being amortized as an offset to interest expense over the remaining life of the notes. Upon the adoption of Statement No. 133, pretax deferred gains of $5 million were reclassified to OCI. At December 31, 2004, $1 million remains in OCI, of which all is expected to offset interest expense in 2005.
(2)Certain prior years' amounts have been reclassified to conform to the 2004 presentation.