RE Future Energy Mixture Mohamed Sherwali. Renewable Energy Authority of Libay ( REAOL) 1.Context Contact: Mohamed Sherwali [ msherwali@outlook.com] 5. Policy insights, conclusions and future work 3.Methods & Scenarios Reference Energy System 2.Aim • Libya relying on natural gas and oil to meet the electricity deman. • As there is no renewable is installed yet to the grid, it could be the situation in the future, therefore, the fossil fuel future scenario has been done • In order to reduce CO2 emission and include RE technologies in the power generation mixture as the government set a strategic plan to invest 6 GW in solar and wind technologies by 2035 (1), thus this scenarion has done to investigate CO2 reduction and the needed Dollar investmet • In this study, it has been compared the CO2 emissions and the needed investment between relying just on natural gas and oil to produce electricity in the future, with involving wind and solar technologies for the electricity generation mixture. • Hydro and geothermal sources were not considered as Libya has no potential for these technologies. • Second scenario is to invest about 6 GW in solar and wind by the end of 2035 and what would be the technology to invest more afte 2035 4.Results Country Flag Figure2. Libya Referenve Energy System. 6.References [ 1] The word bank, task D: Strategic Plan for Renewable Energy Development, Least Cost expansion Plan, 12th December, 2017 Mark Howells, Jairo Quiros-Tortos, Robbie Morrison et al. Energy system analytics and good governance -U4RIA goals of Energy Modelling for Policy Support, 10 March 2021, PREPRINT (Version 1) available at Research Square https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-311311/v1 Carla Cannone, Lucy Allington, Nicki de Wet et al. clicSAND for OSeMOSYS: a user- friendly interface using open-source optimisation software for energy system modelling analysis, 09 February 2022, PREPRINT (Version 1) available at Research Square https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1338761/v1 Lucy Allington, Carla Cannone et al. Selected ‘Starter kit’ energy system modelling data for selected countries in Africa, East Asia, and South America (#CCG, 2021), Data in Brief, Volume 42, 2022,108021, ISSN 2352-3409, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2022.108021. … • Is the investment in solar and wind technologies the optimal solution in order to reduce the relying on natural gas and oil to produce electricity? • Its clearly that Fossil fuel scenario is lower cost in term of future investment, on the other hand, the CO2 emissions is very high, as a result this scenario has negatively impact for the environment, also the consequences of future emission penalties • The Government plan to invest 6 GW in solar and wind technology by the end of 2035 is valid in order to reduce CO2 in a lower cost methodology. • Model results suggest to invest in wind technology after year 2035. • Future work: • More assesment for RE scenario. • Flixibilty anaylsis: the impact of the varaible energy to the national grid. • Net Zero scenario by 2070. Map of the country JOINT SUMMER SCHOOL ON MODELLING TOOLS FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT | 2022 Figure1. A Cost-benefit analysis of Policy, Programs and Projects (C3PO) that is Retrievable, Reusable, Repeatable, Reconstructible, Interoperable and Auditable (u4RIA)