Premise: i guess we're um uh we're we're experiencing uh what to me i guess is a surprisingly mild uh winter uh  we've had a lot more warm weather than usual and we haven't had any ice storms uh usually we have at least one um course i've only lived here three years but uh but that in still in that three years you could always count on at least one ice storm

Hypothesis: We did have an ice storm this winter.
Relation: contradiction