Premise: Even if the head coupon issuer has fallen temporarily behind the curve, he can still ordinarily turn the situation around by issuing more coupons--that is, with a vigorous monetary expansion like the ones that ended the recessions of 1981-82 and 1990-91.

Hypothesis: Even if the person that gives the coupons is behind, he can usually fix it by giving fewer coupons.
Relation: contradiction