## 3 Results
### Selection of Climate Change Scenario for Application of Termination Criteria
\begin{table}
\begin{tabular}{c c c c c} \hline \hline \multirow{2}{*}{**Rank**} & \multicolumn{2}{c}{**Reliability (Time)**} & \multicolumn{2}{c}{**Reliability (Supply)**} \\ \cline{2-5}  & **RCP** & **Value** & **RCP** & **Value** \\ \hline
1 & MPI-ESM-MR(RCP4.5) & 99.477 & MPI-ESM-MR(RCP4.5) & 99.731 \\
2 & CanESM2(RCP8.5) & 99.407 & CanESM2(RCP8.5) & 99.697 \\
3 & MPI-ESM-LR(RCP4.5) & 98.896 & MPI-ESM-LR(RCP4.5) & 99.448 \\
4 & IPSL-CM5B-LR(RCP4.5) & 98.856 & IPSL-CM5B-LR(RCP4.5) & 99.422 \\
5 & BCC-CSM1-1(RCP8.5) & 98.722 & BCC-CSM1-1(RCP4.5) & 99.343 \\
6 & BCC-CSM1-1(RCP4.5) & 98.640 & BCC-CSM1-1(RCP8.5) & 99.334 \\
7 & MRI-CGCM3(RCP8.5) & 98.582 & MRI-CGCM3(RCP8.5) & 99.256 \\
8 & CESM1-BGC(RCP8.5) & 98.351 & CESM1-BGC(RCP8.5) & 99.157 \\
9 & MP-ESM-MR(RCP8.5) & 98.345 & MP-ESM-MR(RCP8.5) & 99.133 \\
10 & MRI-CGCM3(RCP4.5) & 98.284 & MRI-CGCM3(RCP4.5) & 99.104 \\
11 & CanESM2(RCP4.5) & 98.123 & CanESM2(RCP4.5) & 99.054 \\
12 & HadGEM2-CC(RCP8.5) & 97.810 & HadGEM2-CC(RCP8.5) & 98.908 \\
13 & CNRM-CM5(RCP4.5) & 97.648 & CESM1-CAM3(RCP4.5) & 98.773 \\
14 & HadGEM2-AO(RCP4.5) & 97.606 & CNRM-CM5(RCP4.5) & 98.744 \\
15 & CESM1-CAM5(RCP4.5) & 97.588 & HadGEM2-AO(RCP4.5) & 98.738 \\
16 & CNRM-CM5(RCP8.5) & 96.903 & CESM1-CAM5(RCP8.5) & 98.356 \\
17 & MIROC-ESM- & 96.754 & CNRM-CM5(RCP8.5) & 98.335 \\
18 & CESM1-CAM5(RCP8.5) & 96.739 & GFDL-ESM2M(RCP4.5) & 98.250 \\
19 & GFDL-ESM2M(RCP4.5) & 96.696 & CESM1-BGC(RCP4.5) & 98.188 \\  & & MIROC-ESM- & MIROC-ESM- & 98.156 \\
20 & CESM1-BGC(RCP4.5) & 96.623 & CHEM(RCP8.5) & 98.156 \\  & & MIROC-ESM- & MIROC-ESM- & 98.154 \\
21 & CHEM(RCP4.5) & 96.593 & CHEM(RCP4.5) & 98.154 \\  & & MPI-ESM- & MIROC-ESM- & 98.133 \\
22 & LR(RCP8.5)(RCP8.5) & 96.575 & MPI-ESM-LR(RCP8.5) & 98.133 \\
23 & HadGEM2-AO(RCP8.5) & 96.362 & HadGEM2-AO(RCP8.5) & 98.006 \\
24 & CMCC-CM8(RCP8.5) & 96.304 & CCSM4(RCP8.5) & 97.917 \\
25 & CCSM4(RCP8.5) & 96.127 & CMCC-CMS(RCP8.5) & 97.832 \\
26 & CCSM4(RCP4.5) & 95.410 & CCSM4(RCP4.5) & 97.510 \\
27 & NorESM1-M(RCP4.5) & 95.053 & NorESM1-M(RCP4.5) & 97.390 \\
28 & GFDL-ESM2M(RCP8.5) & 94.606 & GFDL-ESM2M(RCP8.5) & 97.136 \\
29 & IPSL-CM5B-LR(RCP8.5) & 94.533 & MIROC-ESM(RCP4.5) & 97.065 \\
30 & NorESM1-M(RCP8.5) & 94.415 & GFDL-ESM2G(RCP8.5) & 97.021 \\
31 & MIROC-ESM(RCP4.5) & 94.378 & NorESM1-M(RCR5.5) & 96.983 \\
32 & GFDL-ESM2G(RCP8.5) & 94.348 & IPSL-CM5B-LR(RCP8.5) & 96.972 \\
33 & GFDL-ESM2G(RCP4.5) & 94.238 & GFDL-ESM2G(RCP4.5) & 96.893 \\
34 & BCC-CSM1-1-M(RCP8.5) & 93.700 & BCC-CSM1-1-M(RCP8.5) & 96.637 \\
35 & BCC-CSM1-1-M(RCP4.5) & 93.146 & BCC-CSM1-1-M(RCP4.5) & 96.415 \\
36 & CMCC-CM(RCP4.5) & 92.988 & CMCC-CM(RCP4.5) & 96.298 \\
37 & HadGEM2-ES(RCP8.5) & 92.924 & HadGEM2-ES(RCP8.5) & 96.202 \\
38 & HadGEM2-CC(RCP4.5) & 92.465 & HadGEM2-CC(RCP4.5) & 95.871 \\
39 & MRICO5(RCP4.5) & 92.236 & MRICO5(RCP4.5) & 95.760 \\
40 & MRIO5(RCP8.5) & 91.841 & MRIO5(RCP8.5) & 95.571 \\
41 & FGOALS-a2(RCP8.5) & 91.783 & FGOALS-a2(RCP8.5) & 95.413 \\
42 & HadGEM2-ES(RCP4.5) & 91.607 & INM-CM4(RCP4.5) & 95.381 \\
43 & INM-CM4(RCP4.5) & 91.290 & HadGEM2-ES(RCP4.5) & 95.301 \\
44 & FGOALS-a2(RCP4.5) & 91.229 & IPSL-CM5A-LR(RCP4.5) & 95.171 \\
45 & IPSL-CM5A-LR(RCP4.5) & 90.749 & FGOALS-a2(RCP4.5) & 95.096 \\
46 & IPSL-CM5A-MR(RCP4.5) & 90.226 & IPSL-CM5A-MR(RCP4.5) & 94.709 \\
47 & IPSL-CM5A-LR(RCP8.5) & 90.156 & IPSL-CM5A-LR(RCP8.5) & 94.536 \\
48 & CMCC-CM(RCP8.5) & 89.191 & CMC-CM5 CMR(RCP8.5) & 94.304 \\
49 & MIROC-ESM(RCP8.5) & 88.166 & MIROC-ESM(RCP8.5) & 93.269 \\
50 & INM-CM4(RCP8.5) & 87.442 & INM-CM4(RCP8.5) & 93.111 \\
51 & IPSL-CM5A-MR(RCP8.5) & 86.043 & IPSL-CM5A-MR(RCP8.5) & 91.881 \\
52 & CMCC-CMS(RCP4.5) & 65.612 & CMCC-CMS(RCP4.5) & 79.911 \\ \hline \hline \end{tabular}
\end{table} 
Table 4: Termination criteria for each RCP, reliability time, and reliability supply.