## 3 Results
### Accuracy of the Paramo Land Use Classification Algorithm and Future Land Use Prediction Model
Increasingly, the degradation of the \(\dot{\rm{param}}\)o ecosystem compared to the total area of the sub-basin is as follows: Alausi 1.1%, \(\dot{\rm{Guano}}\) 1.2%, \(\dot{\rm{Chambo}}\) 2.0%, \(\dot{\rm{Colta}}\) 3.2%, \(\dot{\rm{Penipe}}\) 4.3%, \(\dot{\rm{Guamote}}\) 6.8%, and \(\dot{\rm{Riobamba}}\) 9.6%. Riobamba and \(\dot{\rm{Guamote}}\) are the most degraded areas because they are located on the western edge of the \(\dot{\rm{Chambo}}\) sub-basin. Entry is easier due to their altitude, which has made it possible for production areas to grow. Forests and soil without vegetation have an important presence in these two sites. The use of the land for pasture is the main cause of the degradation of the \(\dot{\rm{param}}\)o, probably due to the price stability policies of the \(\dot{\rm{dairy}}\) industry [21]. Crops also represent one of the lands uses that has caused the greatest environmental impact on the resource, perhaps because the soils in the study area have the appropriate characteristics for the development of tubers. Tubers are one of the main foodstuffs consumed by the inhabitants of the area and of the country; therefore, many farmers base the exploitation of their land on this type of crop [1]. The bare soils become more visible in the period studied, the increase in coverage could be attributed to the abrupt changes in temperature characteristic of the place, these variations cause dryness in the soil, causing loss of vegetation. The dynamics of land use revealed the following. The pastures in 2000, 2010, and 2020 occupied 5.6%, 12.0%, and 17.9%, respectively, of the overall area of the sub-basin; it is estimated that by 2030, pasture areas will occupy 23.3% of the sub-basin. Pasture is the cover that has had the greatest impact on the natural resource; its gain from 2000 to 2010 was 7.0% and from 2010 to 2020 it was 10.8%; based on the future projection made in the study, its gain will increase by 13.0% by the year 2030. Crop cover in 2000 was 1.6% of the study area, in 2010 it was 3.6%, in 2020 it was 6.3% and by 2030 it will occupy 10.9% of the area. Crops have increased their land cover from 2000 to 2010 by 3.0% and from 2010 to 2020 by 5.2%; by 2030 their area will increase to 7.7%. Crops are replaced by pasture and the future projection is that they will continue to be replaced by this category. The loss of cropland from 2000 to 2010 was 0.9%, from 2010 to 2020 it was 2.6% and from 2020 to 2030 it is estimated to be 3.1%. The persistence of this type of land use within the study period will vary from 0.6% to 3.1%. Forest plantations occupied 0.3%, 0.6%, and 0.9% in 2000, 2010, and 2020, respectively; by 2030 they will occupy 1.0%. They will decrease from 2000 to 2030 by 1.4% and their coverage will increase by 2.1%, so it is believed that there will not be a considerable variation in this coverage in the future. The land uses by which the moorlands have been replaced in greater proportion are pastures. According to the changes in land cover, the persistence of forest soils is established in a range of 0.1% to 0.2% from 2000 to 2030. In 2000, bare soil was present in 0.3%, in 2010 it occupied 0.7%, in 2020 its area increased to 0.9% and it is estimated that by 2030 its coverage will increase to 1.1%. Its change could be \begin{table}
\begin{tabular}{c c c c c c} \hline
**Land Uses** & **2020** & & **2020–2030** & & **2030** \\ \hline  & **\%** & **Persistence \%** & **Gain \%** & **Loss \%** & **\%** \\ \hline Pr & 74.0 & 50.0 & 13.6 & 24.0 & 63.6 \\ \hline C & 6.3 & 3.2 & 7.8 & 3.1 & 11.0 \\ \hline Pz & 17.9 & 10.3 & 13.0 & 7.6 & 23.3 \\ \hline PF & 0.9 & 0.2 & 0.9 & 0.8 & 1.0 \\ \hline S & 1.0 & 0.4 & 0.8 & 0.6 & 1.2 \\ \hline  & 100 & & & & 100 \\ \hline \end{tabular}
\end{table} 
Table 9: Gains, losses, and persistence of land uses in the 2020–2030. attributed to the increase in temperature in the area, caused by the release of organic carbon into the atmosphere, as a result of the productive activities of the agro-perquarian activities.