# Spectrum Demand Forecasting for IoT Services
## 5 Study Case Implementation: Colombia
### Spectrum Forecasting: Scenarios' Definition  
The next step is the definition of the scenarios: a given location or coverage area and a specific frequency band where IoT services will contest for spectrum access. We have initially identified a set of places, locations, or areas where IoT services are offered or will be offered and are presented in the following list:  
* Home/Office: Residential and offices environments requiring mainly WLAN connectivity for Internet access.
* Hospital: Medical centers at all tiers.
* Industrial: Factories, warehouses, and freight ports (either terrestrial, maritime or aerial).
* Street: Urban public space where transport and mobility services will take place.
* Road: Rural roads and highways with services related to passenger and freight transportation.
* Urban: All urban space for smart city services non-related to mobility or transportation.  
\begin{table}
\begin{tabular}{l c c c c c} \hline \hline  & \multicolumn{3}{c}{**100\% Penetration**} & \multicolumn{3}{c}{**1 st Year Penetration**} \\ \hline
**Home/Office** & **Scenario** & **\# Dev/Gateway** & **\# Dev/ha** & **\# Dev/Gateway** & **\# Dev/ha** \\ \hline Home heatcare & 1 & 1 & 55 & 0.012 & 0.638 \\ Home hospitalization & 1 & 1 & 55 & 0.012 & 0.638 \\ Home automation & 2 & 3 & 165 & 0.035 & 1.914 \\ Gbit Multimedia & 3 & 2 & 220 & 0.023 & 2.552 \\ \hline
**Hospital** & & & & & \\ \hline Smart beds & 4, 5 & 10 & 51.064 & 0.116 & 0.592 \\ Vital signs monitoring & 4, 5 & 1 & 110 & 0.012 & 1.276 \\ \hline
**Industrial** & & & & & \\ \hline Machinery tracking & 6, 7 & 0.422 & 0.422 & 0.005 & 0.005 \\ Inventories & 6, 7 & 4.218 & 4.218 & 0.046 & 0.046 \\ \hline
**Street** & & & & & \\ \hline Traffic cameras and sensors & 9, 10 & 5 & 20 & 0.058 & 0.232 \\ Urban tolls & 8 & 1 & 1 & 0.012 & 0.012 \\ Smart cars & 9, 12 & 1.399 & 1.399 & 0.016 & 0.016 \\ Traffic lights & 8, 9 & 1 & 8 & 0.012 & 0.093 \\ Security cameras & 10 & 3 & 20 & 0.035 & 0.232 \\ \hline
**Road** & & & & & \\ \hline Freight tracking & 11 & 0.353 & 0.4 & 0.353 & 0.4 \\ Fleet tracking & 11, 12 & 0.833 & 0.8 & 0.010 & 0 \\ \hline
**Urban** & **Scenario** & **\# Dev/Gateway** & **\# Dev/ha** & **\# Dev/Gateway** & **\# Dev/ha** \\ \hline Smart metering & 13 & 47.980 & 47.980 & 0.557 & 0.557 \\ Smart lightning & 13 & 87.191 & 87.191 & 1.011 & 1.011 \\ Air and water monitoring & 13, 14 & 1 & 1 & 0.012 & 0.012 \\ Ambulance network & 13 & 0.013 & 0.013 & \(1.5\times 10^{-4}\) & \(1.5\times 10^{-4}\) \\ Street parking & 13 & 20 & 80 & 0.232 & 0.928 \\ \hline
**Rural** & & & & & \\ \hline Harvesting logistics & 14 & 0.011 & 0.011 & 0.011 & 0.011 \\ Employee tracking & 14 & 0.022 & 0.022 & 0.022 & 0.022 \\ Smart greenhouse & 14 & 0.011 & 0.011 & 0.011 & 0.011 \\ Environmental sensors & 14 & 1.526 & 1.526 & 1.526 & 1.526 \\ Cattle tracking & 14 & 1.650 & 1.650 & 0.019 & 0.019 \\ \hline \hline \end{tabular}
\end{table}
Table 2: IoT expected penetration per service (peak case).  
* Rural: All rural spaces where agriculture, livestock, and environmental services take place. Then, a list of IoT frequency bands was obtained from the list of technologies and standards, combined with bands available or proposed to be used in Colombia. These bands are the actual and future bands for IoT services: 400-700 MHz, 800-900 MHz, 2300 MHz, 2400-3700 MHz, 5800 MHz and any bands in the mmW range specially from 26 to 60 GHz.