# Three-Year Follow-Up Assessment of Anthropogenic Contamination in the Nichupe Lagoon
###### Abstract  
Tourism still represents a means of generating revenues in the coastal areas in the Mexican Caribbean, despite the growing concern about the social and environmental impacts. The Nichupe Lagoon System (NLS), the most representative lagoon of Quintana Roo State for being in the middle of Cancun's hotel development, has experienced a continuous drop-off in its water quality due to several factors, including dredging and wastewater discharges from different anthropogenic activities, which modify the flux of nutrients, increase the number of pathogenic microorganisms, and promote physicochemical changes in this ecosystem. Three sampling campaigns (2018, 2019, and 2020) were carried out in the NLS in August, which is the month of greatest tourist occupancy. To evidence the presence of anthropogenic wastewater in the NLS, the caffeine tracer was used, and to determine the water quality, 43 sampling stations were monitored for \"in situ\" physicochemical parameters (salinity and dissolved oxygen), and water samples were collected for the quantification of nutrients (NO2\({}^{-}\) + NO3\({}_{-}\), NH4\({}^{+}\), SRP and SRSi) and chlorophyll-a (Chl-a). For data analysis, the lagoon was subdivided into five zones (ZI, ZII, ZIII, ZIV, and ZV). Caffeine spatial and time variation evidence (1) the presence of anthropogenic wastewater in all areas of the NLS probably resulting from the tourist activity, and (2) wastewater presence is directly influenced by the coupling of the hydrological changes driven by anomalous rain events and the number of tourists. This same tendency was observed for nutrients that increased from 2018 to 2019 and the trophic state changed from oligotrophic to hypertrophic in all areas, as a result of previous anomalous precipitations in 2018, followed by normal precipitations in 2019. From 2019 to 2020, the nutrients decreased due to the drop in tourism due to COVID-19, promoting fewer nutrients in the lagoon, but, also coupled with an anomalous precipitation event (Cristobal storm), resulted in a dilution phenomenon and an oligotrophic state. The cluster analysis indicated that the least similar zones in the lagoon were the ZI and ZV due to their geomorphology that restricts the connection with the rest of the system. Principal component analysis revealed that wastewater presence evidenced by the caffeine tracer had a positive association with dissolved oxygen and chlorophyll-a, indicating that the arrival of nutrients from wastewater amongst other sources promotes algal growth, but this could develop into an eutrophic or hypertrophic state under normal precipitation conditions as seen in 2019. This study shows the relevance of monitoring in time of vulnerable karstic systems that could be affected by anthropogenic contamination from wastewater inputs, stressing the urgent need for efficient wastewater treatment in the area. The tourist industry in coastal karstic Lagoons such as the NLS must have a Wastewater Treatment Program as a compensation measure for the anthropic pressure that is negatively changing the water quality of this highly relevant socio-environmental system.  
###### Abstract  
The long-term monitoring programs in the United States of America are the first to provide a new and more accurate control of the health of the ecosystem. The main aim of this work is to provide a new and accurate control of the health of the ecosystem.  
keywords: anthropogenic wastewater; caffeine; coastal tropical lagoon; natural protected area; non-regulated urban development; water pollution +
Footnote †: journal: Scientific Computing