# Earthquake Prediction for the Duzce Province in the Marmara Region Using Artificial Intelligence
## 5 Results and Discussion
\begin{table}
\begin{tabular}{c c c c c c c} \hline \hline
**Date** & **Depth** & **Magnitude** & **Average** & **Probability** & **Prediction** \\  & **(km)** & **(M \(\geq\) 3)** & **Magnitude** & **(M \(\geq\) 3)** & **(\%)** & **(M)** \\ \hline
18 August 1999 & 14 & 4.3 & & & & \\
18 August 1999 & 5 & 4.3 & & & & \\
18 August 1999 & 5 & 4.0 & & & & \\
18 August 1999 & 9 & 4.0 & & & & \\
18 August 1999 & 8 & 4.0 & 4.2 & 74.0 & 4.6 \\
18 August 1999 & 11 & 4.4 & & & & \\
18 August 1999 & 9 & 4.2 & & & & \\
18 August 1999 & 1 & 4.0 & & & & \\
18 August 1999 & 24 & 4.1 & & & & \\ \hline \hline \end{tabular}
\end{table} 
Table 6: Actual and estimated magnitude data for 18 August 1999. \begin{table}
\begin{tabular}{c c c c c c} \hline \hline
**Date** & **Depth** & **Magnitude** & **Average** & **Probability** & **Prediction** \\  & **(km)** & **(M \(\geq\) 3)** & **Magnitude** & **(\%)** & **(M)** \\ \hline
17 August 1999 & 18 & 7.4 & & & & \\
17 August 1999 & 15 & 5.5 & & & & \\
17 August 1999 & 5 & 4.3 & & & & \\
17 August 1999 & 16 & 5.0 & & & & \\
17 August 1999 & 16 & 4.5 & & & & \\
17 August 1999 & 17 & 4.4 & 4.7 & 74.3 & 6.8 \\
17 August 1999 & 10 & 4.1 & & & & \\
17 August 1999 & 11 & 4.0 & & & \begin{table}
\begin{tabular}{c c c c c c c} \hline \hline
**Date** & **Depth** & **Magnitude** & **Average** & **Probability** & **Prediction** \\  & **(km)** & **(M \(\geq\) 3)** & **Magnitude** & **(M \(\geq\) 3)** & **(\%)** & **(M)** \\ \hline
19 August 1999 & 10 & 3.0 & & & & \\
19 August 1999 & 3 & 3.1 & & & & \\
19 August 1999 & 6 & 4.8 & & & & \\
19 August 1999 & 12 & 4.5 & & & & \\
19 August 1999 & 14 & 4.0 & & & & \\
19 August 1999 & 11 & 5.0 & 3.9 & 72.2 & 3.4 \\
19 August 1999 & 12 & 4.3 & & & & \\
19 August 1999 & 9 & 3.5 & & & & \\
19 August 1999 & 28 & 3.2 & & & & \\ \hline \end{tabular}
\end{table} 
Table 7: Actual and estimated magnitude data for 19 August 1999. \begin{table}
\begin{tabular}{c c c c c c} \hline \hline
**Date** & **Depth** & **Magnitude** & **Average** & **Probability** & **Prediction** \\  & **(km)** & **(M \(\geq\) 3)** & **Magnitude** & **(\%)** & **(M)** \\ \hline
20 August 1999 & 11 & 4.3 & & & \\
20 August 1999 & 5 & 3.3 & & & \\
20 August 1999 & 14 & 3.5 & & & \\
20 August 1999 & 8 & 4.6 & & & \\
20 August 1999 & 17 & 4.6 & & & \\
20 August 1999 & 12 & 3.8 & & & \\
20 August 1999 & 7 & 4.4 & 3.9 & 70.4 & 3.4 \\
20 August 1999 & 5 & 3.5 & & & \\
20 August 1999 & 9 & 3.2 & & & \\
20 August 1999 & 16 & 4.4 & & & \\
20 August 1999 & 21 & 3.0 & & & \\
20 August 1999 & 8 & 3.8 & & & \\
20 August 1999 & 9 & 4.3 & & & \\
20 August 1999 & 1 & 4.1 & & & \\ \hline \hline \end{tabular}
\end{table} 
Table 8: Actual and estimated magnitude data for 20 August 1999. \begin{table}
\begin{tabular}{c c c c c c} \hline \hline
**Date** & **Depth** & **Magnitude** & **Average** & **Probability** & **Prediction** \\  & **(km)** & **(M \(\geq\) 3)** & **Magnitude** & **(\%)** & **(M)** \\ \hline
21 August 1999 & 8 & 3.4 & & & \\
21 August 1999 & 8 & 4.1 & & & \\
21 August 1999 & 7 & 3.3 & & & \\
21 August 1999 & 1 & 4.1 & 3.7 & 71.5 & 3.2 \\
21 August 1999 & 1 & 3.4 & & & \\
21 August 1999 & 23 & 4.0 & & & \\ \hline \hline \end{tabular}
\end{table} 
Table 9: Actual and estimated magnitude data for 21 August 1999. \begin{table}
\begin{tabular}{c c c c c c c} \hline \hline
**Date** & **Depth** & **Magnitude** & **Average** & **Probability** & **Prediction** \\  & **(km)** & **(M \(\geq\) 3)** & **Magnitude** & **(M \(\geq\) 3)** & **(\%)** & **Prediction** \\ \hline
25 August 1999 & 1 & 3.1 & & & \\
25 August 1999 & 1 & 3.5 & & & \\
25 August 1999 & 14 & 3.5 & & & \\
25 August 1999 & 12 & 3.8 & & & \\
25 August 1999 & 7 & 3.3 & 3.4 & 70.1 & 2.8 \\
25 August 1999 & 14 & 3.2 & & & \\
25 August 1999 & 13 & 3.7 & & & \\
25 August 1999 & 5 & 3.1 & & & \\
25 August 1999 & 5 & 3.3 & & & \\ \hline \hline \end{tabular}
\end{table} 
Table 13: Actual and estimated magnitude data for 25 August 1999.