## Appendix B Spearman Correlation Values, Oxford Government Responses
** & & & \\ \hline \multirow{2}{*}{**Oxford Government Response**} & \multicolumn{3}{c}{**Correlations with New Cases**} \\ \cline{2-4}  & **First Wave** & **Second Wave** & **Third Wave** \\ \hline \multirow{2}{*}{School closing} & \(2.717\) & \(0.152\) & \(1.020\) \\ France & \(0.564\) & \(0.307\) & \(-0.447\) \\ Germany & \(0.637\) & \(0.130\) & \\ Italy & \(0.355\) & \(-0.413\) & \(0.462\) \\ United Kingdom & \(0.628\) & \(0.128\) & \(0.495\) \\ USA & \(0.533\) & & \(0.510\) \\ \hline \multirow{2}{*}{Workplaces closing} & \(3.251\) & \(1.509\) & \(0.462\) \\ France & \(0.658\) & \(0.664\) & \(0.381\) \\ Germany & \(0.382\) & \(0.343\) & \(-0.393\) \\ Italy & \(0.580\) & \(0.624\) & \(0.507\) \\ United Kingdom & \(0.903\) & \(0.228\) & \(-0.175\) \\ USA & \(0.728\) & \(-0.350\) & \(0.142\) \\ \hline \hline \multirow{2}{*}{Cancel public events} & \(2.556\) & \(0.436\) & \(0.234\) \\ France & \(0.323\) & \(0.436\) & \\ Germany & \(0.601\) & & \\ Italy & \(0.358\) & & \\ United Kingdom & \(0.629\) & & \\ USA & \(0.648\) & & \\ \hline \hline \multirow{2}{*}{Restrictions on gatherings} & \(2.995\) & \(1.408\) & \(0.432\) \\ France & \(0.461\) & & \\ Germany & \(0.486\) & \(0.381\) & \\ Italy & \(0.678\) & \(0.843\) & \\ United Kingdom & \(0.596\) & & \(0.006\) \\ USA & \(0.774\) & & \(0.426\) \\ USA & \(0.741\) & & \\ \hline \hline \multirow{2}{*}{Public transport closing} & \(2.538\) & \(1.286\) & \\ France & \(0.437\) & & \\ Germany & \(0.511\) & & \\ Germany & \(0.758\) & \(0.775\) & \\ United Kingdom & \(0.629\) & & \\ USA & \(0.714\) & & \\ \hline \hline \multicolumn{2}{l}{Stay at home requirements} & \multirow{2}{*}{\(3.658\)} & \(2.462\) & \(0.398\) \\ France & \(0.604\) & \(0.646\) & \\ Italy & \(0.769\) & \(0.678\) & \\ United Kingdom & \(0.711\) & \(0.815\) & \\ USA & \(0.878\) & \(0.402\) & \(-0.168\) \\ USA & \(0.696\) & \(-0.079\) & \(0.566\) \\ \hline \hline \multicolumn{2}{l}{Restriction on internal movement} & \multirow{2}{*}{\(3.125\)} & \(0.445\) & \(-0.049\) \\ France & \(0.506\) & \(0.132\) & \(0.187\) \\ Italy & \(0.461\) & \(0.068\) & \(-0.407\) \\ United Kingdom & \(0.702\) & \(0.815\) & \\ USA & \(0.725\) & \(-0.057\) & \\ USA & \(0.731\) & & \(0.171\) \\ \hline \hline \multicolumn{2}{l}{International travel control} & \(1.295\) & & \(-0.268\) \\ France & \(0.490\) & & \\ Germany & \(0.823\) & & \\ Italy & \(-0.146\) & & \\ United Kingdom & \(-0.352\) & & \(-0.268\) \\ USA & \(0.480\) & & \\ \hline \hline  
**(a) Air Traffic Data. New Cases Endpoint. ** \begin{tabular}{l l l l} \hline
**Air Traffic Data** & **Correlations with New Cases** & & \\ \cline{2-4}  & **First Wave** & **Second Wave** & **Third Wave** \\ \hline Departure flight & \(-2.557\) & \(-2.537\) & \(0.287\) \\ France & \(-0.509\) & \(-0.589\) & \(-0.150\) \\ Germany & \(-0.556\) & \(-0.588\) & \(0.233\) \\ Italy & \(-0.681\) & \(-0.642\) & \(0.006\) \\ United Kingdom & \(-0.881\) & \(-0.718\) & \(0.198\) \\ \hline Arrival flight & \(-2.564\) & \(-2.528\) & \(0.102\) \\ France & \(-0.516\) & \(-0.603\) & \(-0.171\) \\ Germany & \(-0.555\) & \(-0.584\) & \(0.135\) \\ Italy & \(-0.677\) & \(-0.636\) & \(-0.052\) \\ United Kingdom & \(-0.816\) & \(-0.705\) & \(0.190\) \\ \hline Total flight & \(-2.564\) & \(-2.534\) & \(0.109\) \\ France & \(-0.514\) & \(-0.596\) & \(-0.160\) \\ Germany & \(-0.556\) & \(-0.585\) & \(0.135\) \\ Italy & \(-0.679\) & \(-0.640\) & \(-0.061\) \\ United Kingdom & \(-0.815\) & \(-0.713\) & \(0.195\) \\ \hline \end{tabular}   
**(d) Air Traffic Data. Deaths Endpoint. **