## 4 Empirical Analysis
### Forecast Analysis
#### 4.2.2 Analysis of the Forecast Results of Guizhou Province and Its Cities (Prefectures)  
Based on the change of the index of each city (prefecture) in Guizhou province over the years, the \(ARIMA\) model was used to forecast nine regions, such as Guiyang City, Zunyi City, and Qiannan Prefecture. At the same time, two cities in the central region and the eastern region (Wuhan City and Shanghai City) were selected as the reference points for comparison with the western region. In the prediction process, the related process of \"model application verification\" in the Guizhou province mentioned above was adopted to build the prediction models for each city and each city (prefecture) in Guizhou province. Figures 9 and 10 show the prediction results. \begin{table}
\begin{tabular}{c c} \hline \hline
**Test Statistic** & \(-5.912054\) \\ \(p\)**-value** & \(2.624777\times 10^{-7}\) \\
**Number of Observations Used** & \(81\) \\
**Critical Value (1\%)** & \(-3.513790\) \\
**Critical Value (5\%)** & \(-2.897943\) \\
**Critical Value (10\%)** & \(-2.586191\) \\ \hline \hline \end{tabular}
\end{table} 
Table 1: Unit root test results of second-order difference data. Figure 8: Fit diagram of the original value and predicted value of attention to “AI + education” in Guizhou province in a period. As can be seen from Figure 9, the \"AI + education\" index of all cities (prefectures) in Guizhou province will maintain a trend of continuous growth in the next 3-5 years, which reflects that the public's attention to the information related to the integrated development of \"AI + education\" continues to rise, and there is still a great space for development in the optimization and reform of the education model. (1) The index trend of Guiyang City remains stable and fluctuating, while the index of Zunyi City is rising year by year. It may catch up with Guiyang City in 2025. (2) The indexes of Bijie, Qiannan, and Southeast Guizhou are increasing year by year with a large rate of increase. The indexes of Bijie,  
Figure 10: Forecast trend of “AI + education” attention in other cities. Figure 9: Forecast trend of “AI + education” attention in the cities (prefectures) of Guizhou province. Qiannan, and Southeast Guizhou are likely to exceed 200 at the beginning of 2024, an increase of about 42% compared with the current situation. (3) The indexes of Tongren, Anshun, Southwest Guizhou, and Liupanshui show a gradual growth trend, which is in line with the changing trend of attention in recent years, and develops relatively slowly. As can be seen from Figure 10, there is a partial gap between the development of \"artificial intelligence + education\" in Guiyang and Zunyi and cities in the central and eastern regions. The century-old plan is based on education. To promote the economic development of the western ethnic minority areas, priority must be given to the development of education to promote the deep integration of big data and the real economy and narrow the development gap between ethnic minority areas and Han ethnic areas or areas with developed education [20]. For the capital of Guizhou province and its second-largest city Zunyi, there is a certain gap between its development and that of some developed cities. According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, from 2015 to 2019, the investment growth rate of national financial education funds in Guizhou province was 13.6%, 18.9%, 10.8%, 9.9%, and 9.4%, respectively, and the investment of funds in recent years has slowed down year by year [32]. Therefore, the government should appropriately increase the proportion of education investment in the Guizhou region, as the policy is greatly inclined to this region. Pair assistance between cities will be carried out, and east-west university student exchange programs will be established to facilitate the integrated development of education and technology industries in the western region, based on resource sharing, complementary advantages, and industrial links between the east and the west.