## Appendix B Spearman Correlation Values, Oxford Government Responses
\begin{tabular}{l l l l} \hline
**Air Traffic Data** & **Correlations with New Deaths** & & \\ \cline{2-4}  & **First Wave** & **Second Wave** & **Third Wave** \\ \hline Departure flight & \(-3.459\) & \(-3.270\) & \(-0.281\) \\ France & \(-0.851\) & \(-0.781\) & \(0.302\) \\ Germany & \(-0.859\) & \(-0.797\) & \(-0.122\) \\ Italy & \(-0.848\) & \(-0.820\) & \(-0.239\) \\ United Kingdom & \(-0.901\) & \(-0.872\) & \(-0.222\) \\ \hline Arrival flight & \(-3.459\) & \(-3.255\) & \(-0.111\) \\ France & \(-0.855\) & \(-0.783\) & \(0.305\) \\ Germany & \(-0.854\) & \(-0.792\) & \(0.054\) \\ Italy & \(-0.847\) & \(-0.819\) & \(-0.242\) \\ United Kingdom & \(-0.903\) & \(-0.861\) & \(-0.228\) \\ \hline Total flight & \(-3.462\) & \(-3.264\) & \(-0.116\) \\ France & \(-0.854\) & \(-0.782\) & \(0.306\) \\ Germany & \(-0.857\) & \(-0.794\) & \(0.054\) \\ Italy & \(-0.848\) & \(-0.820\) & \(-0.253\) \\ United Kingdom & \(-0.903\) & \(-0.868\) & \(-0.223\) \\ \hline \end{tabular}   
**(e) Hospital and Infections. New Cases Endpoint. ** \begin{tabular}{l l l l} \hline
**Hospital and Infections** & **Correlations with New Cases** & & \\ \cline{2-4}  & **First Wave** & **Second Wave** & **Third Wave** \\ \hline Current intensive care & \(1.134\) & \(1.617\) & \(0.852\) \\ France & \(0.376\) & \(0.779\) & \(0.438\) \\ Italy & \(0.758\) & \(0.838\) & \(0.414\) \\ \hline New deceased & \(4.015\) & \(3.579\) & \(1.688\) \\ France & \(0.664\) & \(0.721\) & \(-0.136\) \\ Germany & \(0.754\) & \(0.808\) & \(0.004\) \\ Italy & \(0.870\) & \(0.804\) & \(0.281\) \\ United Kingdom & \(0.914\) & \(0.826\) & \(0.855\) \\ USA & \(0.813\) & \(0.420\) & \(0.684\) \\ \hline New recovered & \(-0.037\) & \(1.436\) & \(0.675\) \\ France & \(0.390\) & \(0.713\) & \(0.499\) \\ Italy & \(0.353\) & \(0.723\) & \(0.176\) \\ \hline New tested & \(-0.655\) & \(2.203\) & \(0.935\) \\ France & \(-0.344\) & \(0.396\) & \(0.029\) \\ Italy & \(-0.037\) & \(0.758\) & \(0.814\) \\ United Kingdom & \(-0.575\) & \(0.718\) & \(-0.485\) \\ USA & \(0.301\) & \(0.331\) & \(0.577\) \\ \hline \end{tabular}   
Appendix D Summary Results on Feature Ranking Analysis: (a) the New Confirmed Cases vs. (b) the New Deaths \begin{tabular}{l c c c} \hline \hline
**Target: New Confirmed per 100.000** \\ \hline
**Feature** & **Global Ranking Score** & **Times in First 5 Positions** \\ \hline School closing & 25 & 4 \\ Workplaces closing & 32 & 3 \\ Workplaces & 35 & 2 \\ Parks & 40 & 2 \\ Residential & 42 & 2 \\ Retail and recreation & 42 & 2 \\ Debt relief & 45 & 0 \\ Walking & 50 & 0 \\ Contact tracing & 53 & 0 \\ Grocery and pharmacy & 56 & 1 \\ Restriction on internal movement & 58 & 2 \\ Facial coverings & 59 & 1 \\ Transit & 61 & 0 \\ Emergency investments in healthcare & 62 & 1 \\ Stay at home requirements & 64 & 1 \\ Transit station & 65 & 0 \\ Driving & 84 & 1 \\ Income support & 85 & 1 \\ Public transport closing & 85 & 0 \\ Testing policy & 85 & 1 \\ Fiscal measures & 87 & 0 \\ International travel control & 89 & 0 \\ Cancel public events & 96 & 0 \\ Restriction on gatherings & 99 & 0 \\ International support & 108 & 0 \\ Investments in vaccines & 116 & 0 \\ Vaccination policy & 118 & 1 \\ Public information campaigns & 123 & 0 \\ \hline \hline \end{tabular}