# Evaluation and Prediction of Higher Education System Based on AHP-TOPSIS and LSTM Neural Network
## 4 Higher Education Prediction Model
### Circumstance Setting
#### 4.5.2 Circumstances with Policies
In the \"World Bank East Asia and Pacific Economic Update--Spring 2022\" [28] released on 4 April 2022, it is estimated that the total number of poor people in China in 2022 is 153 million, and the poverty rate comes to 10.83%. Although the number of poor people in China has decreased rapidly in recent years, it is undeniable that due to China's huge population base, the poor population will still hinder China's educational development. If we want to popularize higher education, we must strongly develop the economy and minimize the development differences between regions. Therefore, the first priority is to reduce poverty in poor areas and thus the proportion of the poor population while targeting the national economy for better GDP. In addition, it is important to improve basic education, particularly in those disadvantaged provinces. The more developed the basic education, the better the source of higher education for students. _(2) Increase investment in universities and build a good foundation for schools_: Universities are the foundation of higher education. Increasing investment in universities helps improve school environment and scientific research, which lead future universities to accommodate and train more outstanding talents and thus, in turn, build a good foundation for universities. * 2023-2027: Innovation model _(1) Educate the capabilities of innovation and emphasize research talents_: China's technological innovation has been a weakness, so universities should focus on training some research talents and improve students' innovative capabilities. With the implementation of the policy from 2019 to 2023, the proportion of undergraduate students is expected to increase, as is the proportion of master's and doctoral students through the cultivation of innovative research talents. Transforming undergraduates into high-quality and large-volume master's and doctoral students is also a way to increase research talents to some degree. _(2) School and enterprise developing together to explore entrepreneurial talents_: Entrepreneurial talents are also necessary. We can innovate the school training system and cooperate with large enterprises, enhance the capabilities of innovation and entrepreneurship and promote the transformation of industrial innovation at the same time. * 2028-2033: Key scientific research _Absorb high-quality talents and search for technological innovation_. At this stage, we need to focus on scientific research, introduce more excellent young scholars and teachers and reduce the ratio of students to teachers to ensure quality of teaching. By increasing investment in scientific research, we enhance the scientific research capabilities of colleges and research institutes and boost the output of papers and patents. * 2034-2038: Internationalization _Broaden international horizon and improve treatment of international students_. When the foundation of China's higher education system develops, it becomes more attractive to top international talents and thus they are more inclined to study in China. If China further improves services for foreign students, the proportion of foreign students would rise even further, making the education system more open and diverse. * Improvement of the Model After the policy's formulation, we need to quantify the impact of the policy on all aspects of higher education and add it to the model. However, due to the lack of training set data, we refer to the econometric model of the impact of policy factors on China's higher education investment proposed by [PERSON] et al. [29] and obtain constructive conclusions in this paper. In their paper, they made a quantitative analysis of the degree to which China's education policy factors affected higher education investment from 1985 to 2007. The results of the model show that under the condition of determining the level of economic development, the impact of education policy on higher education investment is positive.