Kaye NikkiHon NIKKI KAYE (National—Auckland Central): Well this Estimates should actually not be called Tracks to the future"; it should be called "Back to the future". That's right because we have a Government that is more ideological than we have seen in decades.It is important that I set out the context of this Estimates with regard to former Governments. When we look at the previous Government—and Budgets don't lie—we were handed a decade of deficits. That's right. We had the Canterbury earthquakes. Now despite this we saw 10000 more jobs a month. The economy was growing. We saw Māori and Pasifika achievement rising. We saw a significant drop in crime. That's right; with the toughest fiscal circumstances in a generation this was a Government that left this Government with a growing economy and some social indicators improving.So what have we got here? We've got a Government—and ultimately Governments are kicked out when they lose the trust of the people. What have we seen over the last few weeks? We've seen major issues of trust and leadership and I would argue that this Budget sets out very clearly a few reasons why. The first reason is that in this Budget ultimately there is nothing for the economy. That's right; we've got an economy that is slowing despite the former Government having 10000 per month. The reason for that is—and the Government can't hide behind things like the international circumstances. It has to own up to these things. It has to own up to the fuel taxes: 24c. It has to own up to Draconian employment law. This Government has to own up to cancelled infrastructure projects.We can see that in this Budget. We can see that in the education infrastructure underspend. That's right; we've got tens of millions of dollars that the Government can't even spend on schools and classrooms. We can also see that in plummeting business confidence. I saw the other day in terms of Auckland business confidence a 25 point drop. So what we've got is a situation where New Zealanders are increasingly not trusting this Government on the economy because of their failed policies: increases in fuel taxes Draconian employment law the skates put on a number of infrastructure projects including roads and not even being able to deliver the basics around school property—that's new schools and new classrooms.The next reason why this Budget is a botched Budget and it is a failure is what I call false hope—false hope on the major flagship areas that this Government campaigned on. Firstly KiwiBuild: it was supposed to be 100000 houses. Literally a few hundred houses have been built and next minute it's cancelled. One of the biggest reasons why I saw that a group of young people did vote for this Government was on the principle that Jacinda Ardern was going to be Robin Hood and redistribute to the next generation. Well they choked on capital gains tax they've scrapped KiwiBuild—Dr Shane Reti: Fees-free.Hon NIKKI KAYE: —ultimately—and we're going to get to fees-free; I acknowledge my colleague Shane Reti—major flagship programmes false hope canned.Fees-free—let's talk about fees-free. Again massive PR campaign about how fees-free was actually going to mean free education for everyone. What we know with Labour is pretty much divide it by 10 and that's what you'll get and this is what we saw with fees-free. Miraculously they're not talking about the second and third year. Miraculously they're not now talking about actual take-up in participation to the extent that in this Budget a number of those funds that were allocated for fees-free have now been put into vocational reform which nobody agrees with. So again major flagship policies botched and canned.The next thing that is a hallmark of this Budget is a Government that can't be trusted not only because its flagship policies have failed and the economy is tanking but also because it can't fulfil its basic promises and it can't deliver. So if we take the education area—we've got 37 broken promises that have not been delivered and it's not OK Shane to say that this is because it was a decade of neglect. The reality is this Government was left with extraordinary circumstances in terms of the economy with growing surpluses and a growing economy. So the reality is that this is a Budget of broken promises whether it's the early childhood education ratios whether it's 100 percent qualified teachers whether it is actually the donations policy—again another example whereby Labour say one thing and promise parents that somehow donations are going to be scrapped then next minute it's deciles 1 to 7 and it's a very complicated policy and it won't actually cover all costs. Typical Labour—they break their promises and they can't be trusted. This is a Government that is the most flaky when it comes to policy and delivery. The reality is there are huge amount of slogans and there's enough in a line item to make sure they sprinkle a bit into communities so they hear the headline. But when it comes to actual delivery actual infrastructure be that road be that rail—under the last National Government actually in infrastructure let's take Auckland my electorate. The Victoria Park tunnel—talked about for decades but actually delivered under National. Electrification of rail was delivered—yes that is public transport—under National. The City Rail Link—put up again under National. This is a Government that is failing on infrastructure despite billions and billions left for them by the previous Government.I mean ultimately what New Zealanders are saying to me is that when it comes to this Budget and these estimates how could they be so incompetent? That's the feeling that I'm getting from New Zealanders. How could the Government be left an economy that was growing—strong business confidence social indicators heading in the right direction—be handed piles of cash in capital and operating areas and then somehow not even be able to deliver their basic promises but also see the country going backward from an economic perspective and also from a housing perspective? We've seen waiting lists increase in a number of areas. Learning support is one area which I'll be talking about shortly where again the promises don't match the delivery. So from National's perspective when we look through this Budget we put aside the PR spin and we say: is this a Government that can ultimately deliver or has a record of delivering their promises? The first answer to this question is no. Education is an example and you can go to Labour's report card online and see the 37 promises that haven't been delivered. The second question we ask is: on the major flagship areas like fees-free or KiwiBuild have they demonstrated that they can do the mahi and deliver major projects that are flagship that are crucial to why people voted for them? The answer is no to the extent—and we'll see it in the next Budget—that they're having to cancel programmes like KiwiBuild. Then the third question that we ultimately ask of them is: are they able to commit to their promises? This Budget in the area of education alone is a great example where they can't. So they've put a little bit of money around careers plans but actually the School Leavers' Toolkit—they promised $197 million in this Budget; there's a couple of million. Again donations reform—it was going to be all deciles but in this Budget it's deciles 1 to 7. Again when you look at the infrastructure spend—and we heard today the Minister was out there talking about the last National Government. The reality is we left them $4.85 billion in school infrastructure and in this Budget alone the Prime Minister and the Minister of Education are admitting they have 50 percent of the money that they need for growth.I mean ultimately Budgets are a window to the soul of a Government and in that window to the soul is etched what they see are their priorities but it is also etched whether they deliver on their promises. We would argue on this side of the House that not only have they provided false hope but they've botched all of the major flagship policies that they promised. They've left a litany of broken promises and I would argue that the emperor has no clothes."