McKelvie IanIAN McKELVIE (National—Rangitīkei): Madam Speaker thank you. I came to the House this afternoon with a preconceived idea of what I was going to talk about but having listened to a bit of what's going on and thinking about life as you do I thought I'd talk about something a little different. But it certainly relates to the Budget and where we're at with COVID-19. I think that one of the things we seldom think of is—I'm almost of the generation that we shut the country down to save frankly and I'm not sure why. But the issue I've got with it is that I've spent a lifetime and I'm sure hundreds and thousands of people like me have spent a lifetime working for future generations of New Zealanders. We don't really work for ourselves because we had the start in life we had and whatever we made of it we made of it. But we spend our lives working for the future generations of New Zealanders. And the thing that most concerns us and I think it certainly concerns me is: who's going to pay the bill? The funny thing or the sad thing about it is that the very people that we set out to save in the process of shutting the country down—and I've got no question that that was probably necessary—are never going to pay the bill. I think that one of the things that is most concerning for many New Zealanders of my age and older is that they've seen this before and they worry about who's going to pay the bill to fix these things.I think that's why we have such a concern about what we spend our money on and how we spend it in the course of the recovery. So it's one of those unintended consequences that I'm sure was never really—and we certainly probably didn't have time to think about that. But it is an issue that I think is very important and it's very important to the older people of New Zealand—many of whom probably were saved by the actions of the Government—and I don't think it's something that we've given enough credit to in this House. There's no question that the volatility and uncertainty caused by where we find our economy where many many of our constituents and people in New Zealand find themselves in a place they never expected to be—and I think that's one of the things that we're going to have to manage very carefully as we move forward from here. I think that because of the volatility uncertainty and the unintended consequences actually of a lot of what's happened we need to be extraordinarily agile in our response to some of these things and we need to move very quickly.There's simple things like you would have never expected that out of the shutdown of the—well basically the world economy—you'd end up with a surplus of potatoes in the world for example. So you've got this massive glut of potatoes which was something you would have never thought of. Our fishing industry: half of it has done OK out of the business; half of it has basically shut down because the fish and chip shops were shut. So these are the unintended consequences and things that are going to put pressure on small sectors of our economy. So you look at the fishing industry for example and you think it's OK but there's a small sector—and not such a small sector of it—that's been hugely hit by the challenges of this.The other thing about the potato challenge of course is that we may well end up with no potatoes being planted in New Zealand. If the glut of potato products arrives in New Zealand—because they'll ship them around the world as quick as they can—you may well find we have no potatoes planted and the unintended consequence of that is that the price of potatoes in a year's time will be massive; we might end up in the Irish famine.So I think that as we move to recover from this situation we find ourselves in the Government needs to be extraordinarily careful how they load costs on industry and business and how they manage the process of change—because I don't question that change is necessary and there's never been a good crisis when there wasn't huge opportunity. There'll be huge opportunity for our food producers for example to change the way they do things to improve the way they do things and to create new products and I think that's exciting. But if more and more costs are loaded on to those food producers it's going to be very difficult for them to progress that in the short term.I think the same thing applies interestingly to our forestry. So we talk about the billion trees and the need to plant trees. At the same time we're putting legislation into the House under urgency which impacts on the profitability and the incentive to plant trees frankly for a lot of tree growers because they'll be concerned about the sort of impact that could have on them. So there are a whole lot of things that I think we need to consider very carefully. The last thing I want to very briefly mention is the racing industry which was probably one of the industries most seriously damaged by the shutdown because the whole of the industry shut down and so there was no activity at all no income coming into it and 16000-odd people out of work—well not out of work but unable to work. That's a massive impact. I think that there are industries like that that have had this massive impact and that need all the support they can get to get them going again because they are an equally important part of the New Zealand economy as any other industry of $1.6 billion to $2 billion. So I think that the message I bring with this speech is that we need to be extraordinarily careful where we load costs on how we manage the recovery and how we look after small sectors of our bigger sectors who have got into trouble when the bigger sector looks OK. Thank you Madam Speaker.