Bennett David; Rurawhe AdrianHon DAVID BENNETT (National—Hamilton East): Thank you Mr Assistant Speaker and welcome to the new year. I just want to follow on from the Prime Minister's speech where the Prime Minister made it very clear to New Zealanders what they should expect over the next year. That was a clear expectation that by the end of the year New Zealanders will be in a much worse position. By the end of the year more New Zealanders will be out of work. By the end of the year more New Zealand businesses will struggle to provide the base for this economy going forward. And by the end of the year this Government will not be delivering the services that New Zealanders expect. We know what is happening with this plan that we're getting from the Government. New Zealanders will struggle it will stifle our economy and that will stunt the growth that this country has had in the past and the costs will be out of control and there will be no accountability for them.Let's take the sectors that are big parts of our community. Education—what's it going to be like by the end of the year? Well schools that currently have their own boards of trustees will be told that they can no longer have their own boards of trustees but have to be managed by a central economy—basically out of a central office. That means that schools like Hamilton Boys' High in Hamilton that have done exceptionally well over many years will now have the rules and regulations of their school dictated to them by a central body set up by the Minister. That's what it will mean for parents and students. There will be no accountability. By the end of the year the parents won't know how their children are achieving at school. They will be just left in the lurch of pretending that every school is perfect every teacher is perfect and there is no need for any accountability in our system. That is what is going to happen in education by the end of the year.By the end of the year in somewhere like Wintec in Hamilton our polytechnic it will now be run out of the central office probably based in Wellington—as if we need more bureaucrats in Wellington—and by the end of the year that organisation will have lost control of its future as well and will be dictated to by some central body.What will happen in health? By the end of the year there will be fewer operations done. There will be fewer healthcare operations done in our major centres because all the money that goes into health will be spent on trying to keep alive the growing costs of wages that the Government will find it has to pay to fill in the bureaucracy that it will create within our health system.What's going to happen in our economy? By the end of the year we will be less than a 2 percent growth economy. The last quarter put us at 0.3 percent. That is simply not good enough for New Zealand in the modern world. We're not talking about a world where 3 percent is a great target that we should aspire to; we need to be pumping at 3 to 3.5 percent to deliver in this part of the world like our neighbours Australia and America do and in Asia it's 7 to 8 percent. By the end of the year we will be under 2 percent and that will have a direct impact on all New Zealanders' lives.By the end of the year there will be more New Zealanders unemployed. At the end of last year it was 3.9 percent reflecting the good economic conditions that the previous Government had set up. It's already at 4.3 percent now. It'll be close to 5 percent by the end of the year. That's what it means for New Zealanders who will be out of work because of the policies of the other side of the House.By the end of year house prices will be down in our major cities by 10 to 15 percent. In Auckland you can guarantee that house prices will be down by 10 percent and that will happen under this Government to New Zealand house owners who have spent their lives buying their homes getting their mortgages—be prepared for a 10 percent reduction in the value of your house. And what does that mean if there is low equity in that property? It means that you are in a very vulnerable position especially if there is higher unemployment and people lose jobs or lose the ability to have that employment. That combined with lower house prices puts the financial viability of more New Zealanders at risk.But by the end of the year they will also know that if they ever did make any money on their house or any other business asset they'd have to pay it in a capital gains tax. OK a capital gains tax probably will exempt the family home but it's definitely going to cover their assets their businesses and any investments that they make and any second house they have or any investment they have. So by the end of the year New Zealanders will be under no doubt that they are going to be paying more tax. That is without doubt.By the end of the year migrants will know that they're not welcome in this country. For all the rhetoric on the other side of House—and we've got the Chinese New Year celebration coming up in half an hour in this House and all the Labour MPs will be there saying how welcoming they are—remember in our migrant communities that the other side of House has cut immigration in half. They want to cut it further. They don't want to give people the ability—Michael Wood: Not so good at maths are we?Hon DAVID BENNETT: Is that wrong? No it's not. They have cut it and they want to cut it further and they are doing that through students who want to come to New Zealand. They are hurting people who want to have that long-term ability to come to New Zealand. I challenge the other side of House to show that the stats are different from that because immigration has dropped.By the end of the year New Zealanders will know what it means to offend the Chinese Government. There are ways and means of proving that you have an external foreign policy and it is not set by having some loose cannon that goes around the world and thinks that he is bigger than any country and bigger than any Government. We will see the impact of his arrogance in the effect that this economy will find from having poorer relations with China. There will be no advancement of our free-trade agreement putting us behind our competitors. There will be cases where our exports are stopped at the border and there will be instances where New Zealanders aren't given the treatment and the respect they deserve because our Government hasn't delivered on the international stage.By the end of the year you can guarantee that investor confidence will be the lowest in the last decade—not only the lowest in the last two years that we've seen recently but it will be lower than that. Talk to anybody that's in the business community—they're shutting up shop now. There's no point in investing in New Zealand. They're reducing their asset base and they're making sure that they're ready to come back into the market in two or five years or whenever they want to come back in.By the end of the year farmers will know what environmental taxes are. There will be such big taxes coming to farmers on their environment and especially in the dairy and the sheep and beef industries that that will have long-term effects on the New Zealand economy. It will dictate the ability of investment of those farmers and will hurt New Zealand growth in the future.But there may be some good points. By the end of the year we will know that there are at least 47 KiwiBuild homes that will be built. We might get to 50 or we might even get to 60 but as has been said today they are consented and we can all live in a consented house can't we?By the end of the year there may be more jobs in the Provincial Growth Fund than 54 jobs. There may even be three figures and he may get to a hundred jobs by the end of the year in the Provincial Growth Fund. [Interruption] Well I don't know. Well we're certainly going to get over a hundred jobs in Wellington in bureaucracy but whether we actually get that in real jobs—that'll be another question.By the end of the year another $1 billion of land will be sold to overseas investors. The Green Party said they were going to stop those sales. They clocked up the $1 billion just before Christmas and there'll be another $1 billion this year as we wait for the Labour Party and the Greens to agree on what to do.By the end of the year another thousand prisoners will be on our streets. They will be released under the programmes that the Government's doing now where the Government is directly indicating to the courts and they are directly indicating to the Parole Board what should be the number of prisoners. They are reducing the prison population through their actions.By the end of the year there may be some transport options that still are in progress. You know we may still see work on the Waikato Expressway but for the poor people of South Auckland by the end of the year the finish of the Southern Motorway will not be complete. They will have not completed the Southern Motorway extension by the end of this year when it was supposed to be finished last year. But we do have hope of some glorious train that's going to run underground which now is at $6 billion not $4 billion—$6 billion is the cost of the train from Auckland Central to Māngere.By the end of the year we can all stand up and say that that doesn't matter. All those things don't matter because we live in a kind caring compassionate world; we don't need to worry about these things. That is the year ahead for New Zealanders.ASSISTANT SPEAKER (Adrian Rurawhe): I understand this is a split call. I call Rino Tirikatene—five minutes.