ARCHIVES HISTORIQUES
DELACOMMISSION
COLLECTION RELIEEDES
DOCUMENTS "COM"
COM(76)406
Vol.1976/0122

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p.1),telquemodifiéparlerèglement (CE,Euratom) n°1700/2003 du22septembre 2003
(JOL243du27.9.2003, p.1),cedossierestouvertaupublic.Lecaséchéant,lesdocuments
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Community andtheEuropean AtomicEnergyCommunity (OJL43,15.2.1983, p.1),as
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COMMISSION OFTHEEUROPEAN COMMUNITIES
COM(76)406 final.
Brussels ,26July1976.
IMPORTS OPCRUDEOILINTOTHECOMMUNITY
Reportonestimated importlevelsduring
thefirsthalfof1976submitted by
membercountries inaccordance with
CouncilRegulation (EEC)No1055/72
(submitted totheCouncilbytheCommission )
.-\
/
f
COM(76)406final.

IMPORTS OPCRUDEOILINTOTHECOMMUNITY
Reportonestimated importlevelsduring
thefirsthalfof1976submitted by
membercountries inaccordance with
CouncilRegulation (SSG)No1055/72
1.Forecasts ofproposed importsforthefirsthalfof197°havenowbeen
received fromallCommunity countries .Thisreportmustberegarded
asaninterimreportandtheconclusions willbetakenintoaccountin
amoredetailed reportwhenactualimportfiguresforthesecondhalf
of1975areknown.
2.TableAshowsthatestimates ofimportsintotheCommunity bycountry
forthefirsthalfof1976showanincreaseof6.4$comparedwiththe
actualimportsforthefirsthalfof1975•Eachindividual member
country (apartfromIrelandandItalywhichshowasmalldecrease )
showsvaryingincreases intheestimated importsforthefirsthalfof
1976comparedwiththefirsthalfof1975»rangingfrom19#1$for
Belgiumto2.7$forDenmark.Itappearsthattheoveralldependence •
onOAFECandOPECsuppliesisexpected tochangelittleinthefirst
halfof1976whencompared withthesituation inthefirsthalfof
1975-Inthefirsthalfof1975OAFECcountries supplied64.7$of
totalimports (144.1milliontons)andOPECcountries supplied 91•3$
ofthetotal(203.2milliontons);forthefirsthalfof1976estimates
showthatOAPECcountries willsupply66.3$oftotalimports (156.7
milliontons)andOPECcountries 91•5$oftotal(216.6milliontons).
3.TableA1showsthatforecasts ofimportsforthefirsthalfof1976are
slightly lowerthantheforecastforthesecondhalfof1975•The
1975figuresshow90.1$dependence onOPECforsupplies ,butforOAPEC
sources,thefigureis60.9$whichshowsasmallfallcomparedwith
firsthalf1976,buthereseasonal movements shouldbetakeninto
account .
4.TableBshowsthattotalimportsfromMiddleEastsourceswillriseby
5.6$,comparing thefirsthalvesof1975and.1976.Notableherearethe
largeincreases of'proposedimportsfromAbuDhabi(+55.6$)andIraq
(PersianGulf+93.1$ )andKuwait'sdecline(–27.3$.
./•

OverallAftfiesttt ,supplies ftreeScpaetedto3?ieelay10.9%(Algeria ,
LibyaandNigeria,increases of13.4%,13.2$and.10.8%respectively ).
Thesefiguresalsoconfirmthetrendtowardslightercrudes,already
evidentfromrefining runs,inspiteofthemarkedincrease in
marketprices,particularly oftheAfricancrudes.
5.TableCshowsthepatternofsupplybyproducing countries inthe
firsthalfof1976onapercentage basis.Therewaslittlechange
ascompared withthefirsthalfof1975;"themostsignificant changes
herearethatKuwait'sshareinfirsthalf1976isexpectedtobe
5.7%asagainst8.4%infirsthalf1975;thefiguresforIraqare
8.3%and6.1%,respectively .
6.Conclusione
Itseems,asmentioned above,tnatcrudeimportsareexpectedto
increaseinthefirsthalfof.1976byabout6.4%,thisfigureisin
linewiththeestimated +2%increaseinconsumption forecastfor1976
andalsotherundownofstocksduring1975(currently estimated ata
Community figureof15milliontons).

TABLEAU A
IW0RTAT1CNS DEPETROLE PENDANTLESIETIISEMESTRES
1973ET197»,ISEMESTRE1975ETPREVISIONS PlURLE
1SEMESTRE1S76PARORIGINE
PAYSImportations
Isemestre1973Importations
Ilsemestre 1£73Importations
Isemestre 1S74Importations
Ilsemestre 1Ç74IreportâtIor,s j
Isenestrs1975 |Prévisicnô
Isemestre 1S76
OAPEC OPEC TOTAL OAPEC OPEC TOTALOAPEC OPEC TOIALOAPEC OPEC TOTAL OAPEC OPEC3
TOTAL ,I
,t-.PEC OTEC TOTAL
BELGIQUE 12.717.017.811.616.016.9 9.512.012.810.313.914.7 8.811.412.6 9.813.915.0
DANEMARK 3.04.65.02.24.4 2.2 4.24.51.44.24.51.53.53.71.63.63.8
DEUTSCHLAfJD 37.350.153.8 36.149.553.333.7 45.8 51.134.448.454.3 25.336.942.726.741.246.5
FRANCE 46.559.164.346.158.363.250.9 59.163.545.356.861.034.245.349.241.350.454.6
IRLANDE 0.81.31.30.81.31.31.1 =1.31.30.81.21.20.91.31.30.81.11.1
ITALIE 41.148.953.639.346.451.2 35.6 42.445.633.139.944.733.839.243.633.137.942.7
NEDERLAND 23.636.037.219.934.334.7 0.333.033.19.831.331.412.826.026.416.426.727.8
U.K. 35.453.356.5 38.654.458.944.3 54.156.133.447.248.626.839.643.027.041.845.3
C.E.E. 200.4270.3289.6194.6264.8284.2177.7 252.1 268.1168.52-2.9 25C.4144.1203.2–-yt
222.5156.7 216.6235.8

TABLEAU A1
PREVISIONS D'IMPORTATIONS PSPETROLE
BRUTPOURLE2eSEMESTRE 1975ETLE
leSEMESTRE 1976
!Previsions
-2esemestre
I1975 Previsions
! I1esemestre 1976
PAYS 1OAPEC OPEC TOTAL OAPEC OPEC TOTAL
Belgique 9.2 13.9 14.4 9.8 13.9 .15-0
Danemark 1.3 3.1 3.7 1.6 3.6 3.8
Deutschland 26.2 42.3 49.4 26.7 41.2 46.5
Prance '35.6 50.2 54.3 41.3 50.4 54.6
Irlande 0.9 1.2 1.2 0.8 1.1 1.1
It'alie 33.8 39.4 43.6 33.1 37.9 42.7
PaysBas ;15.0 31.0 31.4 16.4 26.7 27.8
U.K. 25.4 39.0 46.4 27.0 41.8 45-3
C.E.E. 148.9 220.1 244.4 156.7 .216.6 236.8

TABLEAU B
OMGINED'IMPORTATIONS DEPETROLEBRUT
POURLES1eSEMESTRES1973,1874,1975
ETPREVISIONS POURLE2eSEMESTRE1575
ETLE1eSEMESTRE1976AVECINDEXAU
1sSEMESTRE1973
(1,000t)
PAYSD'ORIGINE
|AbuDhabi
ArableSe'oudite
ArableSe'oudite
Irak
Irak
Iran
Koveit
Oman
QatarG.P.
MED.
G.P.
«ED.IMPORTATIONS
1esem1973PREVISIONS
1esem1974
14.964
64.702
5.349
7.830
10.648
41.567
34.228
2.008
7.794100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
10014.280
74.658
3.101
9.298
8.528
45.827
23.985
2.052
6.834S6.4
115.4
57.9
118.7
80.1
109.2
70.1
102.7
87.71esem1575 2esem1975
9.546
69.958
88
8.520
5.141
39.290
18.709
1.936
6.12463.8
108.1
1.7
108.8
48.3
93.6
54.6
96.4
78.614.364
69.145
178
8.358
5.030
47.816
17.104
1.285
6.0531esem1976
1*
96.0
106.9
3.3
106.7
47.2
114.0
50.0
64.0
77.714.853 99.2
72.472 112.1
16.448 ι210.1
2.950 27.7
39.991 95.3
13.598 39.7
1.362 67.8
6.656 85.4
MOYENORIENT
Algérie
Egypte
Gabon/Zatre
Lfbie
Nigerie
Tunisie
AFRIQUE189.480 100188.573 99.5159.322
15.885
947
2.229
34.791
20.872
396100
100
100
100
100
10012.083
329
3.932
24.585
24.827
48076.1
34.7
176.4
71.5
118.9
121.28.849
732
1.887
16.696
16.444
847
75.120 100 66.236 88.2 45.455 "84.1
55.7
77.3
84.6
47.9
78.8
213.9169.333
60.59.601
785
1.968
17.972
18.631
65989.4168.330 88.8
60.4
82.9
88.3
51.7
89.3
166.4
49.616 66.110.031
1.090
1.434
18.904
18.223
769
50.45163.1
115.1
64.3
54.3
87.3
194.1
67.2
NORVEGE535100 23243.4 1.323 247.3 3.614 675.6 3.363628.6
U.R.S.S.
VENEZUELA
DIVERS6.257 100 3.903
C.E.E.5.458 100 4.077
5.401 100
282.251 1005.C5862.9 4.651 74.3 6.092 97.45.7G4 92.1
74.73.65066.9I4.312 79.0 2.644 48.4
93.6 8.075
268.07994.9222.476149.5 111.ffic204.25.260
78.8243.997 86.5236.832116.3
83.9
Index,1ersemestre1973«100.

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IITiooris 7.5 9.2'/
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100.0 100.0 100.0