EUROPEAN COMMISSION Brussels, 7.11.2017 SWD(2017) 357 final COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT Technical Information Accompanying the document Report from the Commission to the European Parliament and the Council Two years after Paris - Progress towards meeting the EU's climate commitments



(required under Article 21 of Regulation (EU) No 525/2013 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 21 May 2013 on a mechanism for monitoring and reporting greenhouse gas emissions and for reporting other information at national and Union level relevant to climate change and repealing Decision No 280/2004/EC) {COM(2017) 646 final}



Source: 2017 EU greenhouse gas inventory (European Environment Agency). Figure 2: Historical change in EU-28 greenhouse gas emissions by sector. Source: 2017 EU greenhouse gas inventory (European Environment Agency). Figure 3: EU-28 GHG emissions per sector: historical data and projections (Mt. CO2-eq.). Source: 1990-2015 data based on 2017 EU greenhouse gas inventory (European Environment Agency), 2016 data based on 2017 approximated inventory (European Environment Agency), 2017-2035 data based on Member States' projections reviewed by the European Environment Agency. Figure 4: GHG emissions intensity in the EU and its Member States 1990, 2005 and 2016 (tonnes CO2-eq. per million Euro GDP), . Source: European Environment Agency. For 2016 approximated emissions data are used. Figure 5: GHG emissions per capita in the EU and its Member States, 1990, 2005 and 2016 (tonnes CO2-eq. per capita),. Source: 1990 and 2005 emissions from inventory data, 2016 emissions from approximated inventory data (European Environment Agency). Population data: Eurostat. Table 2: Emissions covered by the Kyoto Protocol 2nd commitment period (Mt. CO2-eq.). 1990 2005 2015 2020 Total GHG emissions 5,647 5,214 4,310 Of which domestic aviation 14 20 15 Projections as compilation of MS data, WEM scenario 4,068 -20% compared to Kyoto base year 4517 Table 3: Emissions covered by the Climate and Energy Package (Mt CO2-eq.). 1990 2005 2015 2020 Total GHG emissions 5,716 5,345 4,452 of which domestic aviation 14 20 15 of which international aviation 69 132 142 Projections as compilation of MS data, WEM scenario 4,213 -20 % compared to 1990 4,573





3.EU ETS emissions

Year

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016 Verified total emissions 1904 1867 1908 1814 1803 1750 Change to year x-1 -1.8% -2% 2.2% -4.9% -0.6% -2.9% Verified emissions from power sector 1.185 1.181 1.128 1.039 1.031 982 Change to year x-1 -0,3% -4,4% -7,9% -0,8% -4,8% Verified emissions from industrial installations 720 686 780 775 772 768 Change to year x-1 -4,6% 13,7% -0,7% -0,4% -0,5%

Real GDP growth rate EU28

1.7%

-0.5%

0.2%

1.7%

2.2%

1.9%



4.Member States' LULUCF accounting quantities Table 5: LULUCF accounting quantities (average annual values) estimated by JRC based on Member States' GHG Inventories under KP and under 529/2013. Member

State Accounting quantity, average annual values (Mt CO2/y), credits (-) and debits (+) Activities under KP Additional activities under 529/2013 Article 3.3 Article 3.4 total under KP AR D FM CM GM RV WDR CM GM Austria -2.0 0.5 -2.7 -4.2 -0.3 0.1 Belgium -0.4 1.3 -1.2 -0.3 0.0 0.1 Bulgaria -1.3 0.1 2.3 1.1 Croatia -0.2 0.1 -1.1 -1.3 -0.1 0.0 Cyprus 0.0 Czech Republic -0.5 0.2 -1.2 -1.6 -0.1 Denmark -0.3 0.1 -2.2 -1.8 0.3 -3.9 Estonia -0.2 0.2 -0.4 -0.4 0.0 -0.1 Finland -0.2 3.4 -2.5 0.7 -0.1 0.0 France -9.6 11.2 -7.5 -5.9 Germany -6.5 2.1 -32.3 1.9 -3.5 -38.3 Greece -0.1 0.0 -0.4 -0.5 2.0 0.0 Hungary -1.2 0.2 -2.0 -3.0 Ireland -3.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 -1.2 -4.4 Italy -8.3 2.0 -8.7 0.5 -0.7 -15.2 Latvia -0.1 1.7 2.7 4.4 -0.3 -0.8 Lithuania -0.3 0.2 -1.7 -1.8 -1.4 0.0 Luxemburg -0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.3 0.0 0.0 Malta 0.0 Netherlands -0.8 1.5 0.0 0.7 0.9 -1.4 Poland -2.8 0.3 -12.1 -14.6 0.8 -0.7 Portugal -3.5 2.1 -2.1 -3.0 -1.4 -7.9 Romania -0.3 8.1 -7.5 -1.2 -1.0 0.5 1.0 Slovakia -0.4 0.1 -2.6 -3.0 -0.1 0.0 Slovenia 0.5 -0.6 -0.1 Spain -12.1 0.6 -2.4 0.0 -14.0 Sweden -1.3 3.0 -2.5 -0.9 -0.9 0.1 Un. Kingdom -0.8 1.3 -3.2 -1.8 1.1 -3.4 EU -57.2 41.0 -92.0 -4.1 -5.5 -1.2 0.0 -119.0 0.9 -1.5 Iceland -0.6 0.0 0.2 -0.6 -1.0 EU + Iceland -57.8 41.0 -91.8 -4.1 -5.5 -1.9 0.0 -120.1 0.9 -1.5 AR: Afforestation/Reforestation, D: Deforestation, FM: Forest Management CM: Cropland Management, GM: Grazing land management, RV: Revegetation, WDR: Wetland Drainage and Rewetting. Numbers express the average annual values based on values reported during 2013-2015. For FM, estimates consider information on technical corrections to Forest Management Reference Levels and the impact of the cap. AR, D and FM are mandatory activities under the KP. Grey cells indicate the voluntary elected activities. Under 529/2013, some MS did not report yet complete information on CM and GM. Specifically, information on CM and GM is missing in BG, CY, FR, HU, MT and SI; CZ and ES did not provide information on the base year for GM. Grey cells are already reported under the KP. 5.Member States' progress towards Effort Sharing Decision targets Table 6: Member States' ESD targets and emissions relative to 2005 base year. Relative gap between emissions and targets.