ARCHIVES HISTORIQUES
DELACOMMISSION
COLLECTION RELIEE DES
DOCUMENTS "COM"
COM (81)60
Vol.1981/0018

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COMMISSION OFTHE EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES
COM (81)60final
Brussels /20th February 1981
THE ENERGY SITUATION INTHE COMMUNITY
SITUATION 1980
OUTLOOK 1981
(Report from the <Commission totheCouncil )
Or.
r0M(81 )60final

GeryiGo
CONTENTS
Page
Summary 5
Oil 6
Naturalgas......... . 12
Coal 14
Electricity 15
NuclearFuels.. 19
Annexes. 20

(ThetextofthisreportgenerallyreferstotheCommunityofNine.
However,varioustablesintheannexesprovidedataforthe
CommunityofNineorTen(includingGreece)asindicated.All
estimatesfor1980arepreliminary andprovisional).
SUMMARY
Theestimatedinlanddemandforenergyatabout932milliontons
ofoilequivalentin1980showedamarkeddeclineof4.0%as
comparedwiththepreviousyear,reflectingprincipally the
economicrecession-GDPgrowthintheCommunitybeingestimated
atonly1.3%.However,somepartofthedeclineindemandcanbe
attributedtoeffortstoreduceoilconsumption andtopromote
energysavings.Thedemandforoilinparticularfellback
significantly by7.6%;andnaturalgasconsumptionalsodeclined
by1.4%.Thedemandforcoalfellslightly.However,the
supplyofnuclearenergyisestimatedtohaveincreasedbyabout
15%,reflectingmainlytheexpansionoftheFrenchnuclear
programme.
5

Withtheeconomicoutlookfor1981indicatingevenLowergrowthof
0.6%intheCommunity'sGDP,totalinlandenergydemandis
expectedtodeclinemarginally.However,oilconsumptionis
expectedtofallbyafurther2.7%,whilstnaturalgasdemandis
expectedtoremainataboutthesamelevel.Amodestincreaseis
anticipatedforcoalconsumption,upby1.2%.Againthesupply
ofnuclearenergyisexpectedtorisenotablybyover20%asmore
nuclearplantscomeintooperation.
Oil'sshareoftotalenergyrequirements (includingbunkers)
declinedin1980toabout53%ascomparedwith55$in.1979;itis
expectedtofallfurtherin-1981toabout52%.Thecostofnet
importsin1980wasoftheorderof105billion*dollarsagainst
75billiondollarsin1979,andisexpectedtobehigherin1981,
evenifdemandfallsfurther.
0IL:
(i)The_worldsituation
Themostimportantdevelopmentaffectingtheoilindustryin1980
wasthevirtualcessationofexportsfromIraqandIranwhich
followedtheoutbreakofwarbetweenthetwocountrieson
26September1980.
Thelossof4millionbarrelsperday(Mb/d),equivalentto200
milliontonnesperyear(Mt/y),hasbeenpartlycompensated by
additionalproductionplacedonthemarketbyanumberofother
producingcountries,bywithdrawals fromstocks,whichwere
Billioninthisreportisequivalenttoonethousandmillion.

exceptionally highatthebeginningofOctober,andbya
sustainedandsignificantfallinconsumption inalmostallthe
industrialised countries.
ThedataavailablefortheOECDcountries (whichrepresentnearly
80%ofworldconsumptionoutsidethecentrallyplannedeconomies)
suggestthattheirconsumptionfellin1980byabout120million
tonnes,or2.4millionbarrelsperday,adeclineofnearly6%.
Thisfallindemand,combinedwithaslightincreaseinOECD
production andalowerstock-build thanin1979,ledtoa
reductionofsome150milliontonnes(3millionbarrelsperday)
inimports(Annex2,Table2).
OECDstocksroseduringthefirstninemonthsof1980toreachan
estimated490milliontonnesby1October,equivalentto95days
averageconsumption,comparedto430milliontonnesand400million
tonnesatthesamedatein1979and1978respectively .Since
October,stocksareestimatedtohavefallen,followingthe
reductioninOPECexports,atabouttwicethenormalseasonalrate.
Thesituationattheendof1980wasstillveryuncertainand
furtherstockwithdrawals aretobeexpectedparticularly to
rectifytheregionalimbalances whichstillremain.
Furtherpriceincreasesduring1980broughttheofficialpriceof
34°APIArabianLight,whichnowrepresents aminimumOPECprice,
to32dollarsperbarrelasfrom1November.Theprogression was
asfollows:
7

Effectivedate Officiaiprice
i1July1979 $18perbarrel
1November1979 $24perbarrel
1January1980 -$26perbarrel
1May1980 $28perbarrel
1August1980 $30perbarrel
1November198Q $32perbarrel
OPECfailed,however,tore-establish auniformpricingsystem
basedontheofficialpriceofArabianLightand,throughoutthe
year,mostotherproducersfixedtheirofficialpricesatlevels
equivalenttobetween2and7dollarsperbarrelaboveit.The
agreementmadeatBaliinDecembersimilarlypermitsMemberStates
toaligntheirpricesuponavalueforArabianLightanywherein"
therangeof32and36dollarsperbarrelsubjecttoanabsolute
ceilingof41dollarsperbarrelforthehighestqualitycrude.
Spotprices,andpremiaappliedbycertainproducersonterm
contracts,variedgreatlyduringtheyear.Spotprices,which
wereasmuchas10dollarsperbarrelaboveofficialpricesat
timesinthefirstquarter,hadfallensharplybythethird
quarter,withtheresultthataveragec.i.f.pricespaidbysome
importingcountriesactuallyfell.Inthefourthquarter,
however,reducedsupplyforcedpremiaandspotdifferentials
sharplyhigher.
■■\
<ii)Ihe_Çommunity situation
Inlandoilconsumption intheCommunityisestimatedtohave#
fallenby7.6%in1980to485milliontonnes(9.7millionb/d),40
8

milliontons(0.8millionb/d)below1979(Annex2,Table1).
Thelevelofoildemandin1981isveryuncertainbutonthe
assumptionofevenlowereconomicgrowth;itcouldbereduced
furthertoabout472milliontons.However/dependingonprice
movements,theseverityofthewinterandotherfactors,oil
consumption mayreachahigherlevelofaround490milliontons.
Thetrendinconsumption in1980variedconsiderably amongthe
MemberStates,dependingmainlyuponthescopeforsubstituting
otherfuelsforheavyfueloil,fromaslightincreaseinItalyto
afallof15-20%inDenmark,wheretheswitchtootherenergy
forms,andparticularly tocoal,inpowerstationscontinues.
Individualproductsalsoshowedgreatdifferences ;motorgasoline
consumption increasedslightlyintheCommunityandinallMember
StatesexceptBelgiumandDenmark;gas/dieselandfueloildemand
fellsharplyeverywhereexceptinItaly.
Theimprovement intheexternalbalanceofproductstradetonear
equilibrium in1979gavewaytonetCommunityimportsof12millio«
tonsinJanuary/August1980.Thecommissioning ofnewexport
capacityoverseas,particularly inAlgeria,andtheavailability
forseveralmonthsoninternational marketsofproductsat
relatively lowprices,wereimportantfactors.Therewerevery
markedshiftsintheexternaltradingpowitionofcertainMember
States.Italy,anetexporterof15milliontonsin1979,
9

imported anet 3million tons inJanuary /August 1980 ;Belgium by
contrast increased herexports by20%inthefirst eight months of
1980 toachieve asurplus of6.5million tons compared to4
million tons for the whole of1979 . •
Community refineries treated 10.5% less crude inJanuary /August
1980 asaresult ofthefall indemand and the greater reliance on
product imports ;utilization ofdistillation capacity
consequently fell toabout 66% from 73%in1979 .Inthe last
quarter ,however ,closure ofrefineries inIran andIraq ledtoan
improvement inthe Community trading balance and anincrease inthe
loading ofrefineries . >
Community indigenous crude oil production waslittle changed in
1980 andisexpected toreach 95million tons in1981,
representing 18%ofCommunity supply CEUR-10 ). The increase in
production isdue,nottothe commissioning ofany major field ,
butprincipally totheinstallation ofathird platform onthe
Ninian field andthelifting ,following the completion ofanatural
gaspipeline ,ofrestrictions imposed onBrent output toreduce -
flaring .
The combination oflower consumption andstock-build with higher
indigenous production reduced net imports bythe Community toan
estimated 424million tons in1980,10.8% below 1979'stotal of
<475million tons,andwell below the agreed limit of472million
tons . Afurther significant fall ispossible in1981if
\

consumption proves tobeatthe lower endofthe probable range .
The cost ofnet imports in1980 wasofthe order of105billion
dollars against 75billion dollars in1979,and isexpected tobe
higher in1981,even ifdemand falls further .
Inspite ofits high dependence onimports from Iraq and Iran
(about 12%),the Community has been able tocope during 1980 with
the supply difficulties following the outbreak ofwar inthe
Middle East,thanks tothe high level ofstocks andthe
significant reduction inconsumption . Forecasts for 1981 are
rendered difficult bythe many uncertainties that remain inthe
world oilsituation . Further stock withdrawals will certainly be
necessary ,especially inthefirst quarter ,tosatisfy the
estimated requirements ofthe Community .
ByJuly 1980 average prices before tax inthe Community forall
products and based together had increased byabout 50dollars per
ton,roughly inline with crude oil import prices ,andthereafter
changed little despite considerable ,mainly seasonal ,movements in
theprices ofindividual products (Annex 2,Table 3). By
contrast ,spot prices rose sharply inthe last quarter ,following
the outbreak ofwarinthe Gulf (Annex 2,Table 4),toreach an
average level of25dollars per ton higher than inJuly,butstill
below the level ofDecember 1979 .
11

NATURAL GAS
• 's
Preliminary estimates show that natural gas consumption inthe
Community in1980 ofabout 170 Mtoe was marginally below the
level ofconsumption in1979 .Nevertheless this represents an
increase inthe share ofnatural gas inprimary energy to18.2% .
Despite milder weather conditions ,consumption increased in
Italy (5%),andfell only slightly inthe Federal Republic of
Germany . .However ,substantial falls inconsumption are
estimated for the Netherlands (-8%),the United Kingdom (-4%)and
/
France (-44). The severe recession inthe UKhad anadverse
effect ondemand . The French market wasaffected bya
disruption ofLNG shipments from Algeria .
The Netherlands accounted for about ahalf ofthe gas produced
within the Community ,andnearly 57%ofthis gas was delivered to
other continental members ofthe Community . However ,itis
expected that these quantities will decline sothat only about
onehalf ofDutch production will beexported in1981 . Indeed
thepolicy ofamore selective utilization ofthe country 'sgas
resources isreflected intheproduction figures ,which continue
todecline from their peak in1976 .
Production for the whole Community isestimated tobeabout 6%
lower in1980 than in1979,despite asmall increase inItalian
production . Both the Federal Republic ofGermany and the UK
reported adecline inproduction ,although their output is
forecast torecover in1981 .Whilst accounting for less than 1%
12

ofCommunityproduction,theoutputfromtheIrishKinsalefield
hasdoubtedandwouldmakeasignificantcontribution toIrishgas
supplies.
Importsofnaturalgasfromthirdcountriescontinuedtogrowand
nowaccountforaboutonequarterofCommunitysupplies.The
proportion wouldhavebeenhigherhaditnotbeenforthe
reductionofLN6suppliestoFrancefromAlgeria.
Norwayremainedthe,leadingexporterofnaturalgastothe
Communityandaccountedforabouthalftheimportsfromthird
countries.TheUSSRsuppliedoverathirdofimportsand
AlgeriaandLibyaaccountedfortheremainder.'Themajor
importingcountriesweretheFederalRepublicofGermanyandthe
UnitedKingdom,whilstsubstantialquantities werealsoimported
byFranceandItaly.BoththeNetherlands andBelgiumalsotook
someNorwegiangas.
Finalgasconsumptionforenergypurposesshowedvaryingtrendsas
betweentheMemberStates.Inparticular,theUKreporteda
dramaticfallinindustrialsales,reflectingthedeepening
recession,whilstdomesticsalesremainedatvirtuallythesame
level.Thetrendofreducedsalesintheindustrialsectorhas
beenrepeatedinmostcountries,forexample,withdeclining
salesinthesteelindustryandpartlyexplainsthegrowing
proportion -ofsalestodomesticconsumers.Thequantitiesofgas
consumedforelectricity generationremainatanunsatisfactory
highlevel,althoughthereareconsiderable variationsbetweenthe
MemberStates.
13

Forecastsfor1981indicatesomefurtherdeclineofproduction
levels,althoughtheUKanticipates a5%increaseinproduction.
Consumptionisexpectedtoremainataboutthesamelevelin1981.
Importsof-gasnevertheless areexpectedtoincrease,providing
27%oftotalrequirements .
C0AL_
Theconsumption ofcoalintheCommunityin1980isestimatedat
some309milliontonnes(190Mtoe)andin1981atabout31£
milliontonnes<192Mtoe)ascomparedwith310milliontonnes(191
Mtoe)in1979.Moreover,theconsumption ofligniteandpeatis
estimatedat141miIliontonnesin1980and144milliontonnesin
1981(29Mtoe)asagainst141milliontonnesin1979.
Thegrowthofconsumptionismoremarkedintheelectricity
generationsector(1979:176milliontonnes;1980:181million
tonnes;1981:185milliontonnes);-aslightdecreaseof
consumptionistakingplaceintheUnitedKingdom(atabout90
milliontonnes)andalevellinginFrance(atabout25million
tonnes)whilstintheFederalRepublicofGermanyconsumption
couldriseby10%overtwoyearsandexceed48milliontonnes(not
includinglignite)„
Theconsumptionofcokeshowed .a'slightdecline;ascomparedwith
68milliontonnesin1979,itshouldreach64milliontonnesin
1980andremainataboutthislevelin1981.However,aslight
growthofspecificcokeconsumption inblastfurnacesin1981could
14

offsetadeclineintheproductionofpigiron.Forother
consumptionsectorsasawhole,therearenosignificant changes
tobenoted.
Communityproductionofcoalin1980reached243milliontonnes,a
growthof4milliontonnesascomparedwith1979.Thislevelof
production maybemaintainedin1981.Importsofcoalfrom
thirdcountriesreachedsome72-74milliontonnesin1980as
against59milliontonnesin1979andcouldfurtherincreasein
1981.
StocksofcoalandcokeintheCommunityhavebeenrundownvery
markedlyin1979andatthebeginningof1980,buttheyhavesince
beenpartlyrebuilt.
Thepriceofimportedcoalfromthirdcountriesintothe
Communitycontinuestorise.Forcokingcoal,theaveragec.i.f.
valuerosefrom65.3dollarspertonnein1979to70dollarsper
tonneasat1October1980(+5%);forsteamcoal,the
corresponding figuresare37.9dollarspertonneand52.2dollars
pertonneforthethirdquarterof1980(+38%).Thesefigures
donotincludethesupplementary costsarisingfromthedelayof
vesselsinthecongestedportsandtherisingpriceofbunker
fuels.Importedcoalmaintainsaconsiderable priceadvantagein
relationtothecostsofmostCommunityproduction .
ELECTRICITY
In1980netelectricity consumption intheCommunityisestimated
tohaveincreasedbyonlyabout1%tosome1,200TWh(Annex4,
Table1).
15

Duringthefirsteightmonthsoftheyearconsumption wasinfact.
LowerinfiveMemberStates(Belgium,Denmark,Germany,Irelandthe
theUnitedKingdom)thaninthecorresponding periodof1979.In
thetatterpartoftheyearadverseweathercausedadditional ,
sales.Thesharpestfallinconsumption in1980wastobefound
intheUnitedKingdomwhereconsumptionisestimatedtohave
fallenbyabout,3.5%.
InallMemberStatesthedepressedstateoftheeconomywas
evidentinthedemandforelectricity ;salestoindustrywere
significantly belowearlierexpectations ;domesticuseof
electricity wasinmostcountriesnotsoseverelyaffectedbut
therewasevidenceofsomegrowingsaturationofelectricalgoods,
themorerationaluseofenergyanddiscouragement ofdemandowing
tomarkedlyhighertariffs.
Thelargestincreasesinelectricity consumption in1980werein
France(estimatedat5.3%,or3%ifsalestoEurodifareexcluded)
andItaly(4%).
"J ^ •
InspiteofthelowforecastsforthegrowthoftheCommunity
economyin1981,electricity consumptionisexpectedtoincrease
duringtheyearbyabout3-3.5%.Highersalesareanticipated in
allMemberStates,excepttheUnitedKingdomwheredemandmayprove
tobesimilartothatin1980. ,.
(n)EJ.eçtricit^production
Netproductionofelectricity intheCommunityincreasedbyabout
1.5%in1980ascomparedwith1979(Annex4,Table2).*Production
atoil-firedpowerstationswascutbacksharplywhereverpractical
16

owingtoitshighcost.Inthefirstsevenmonthsof1980
consumption ofoilinpublicsupplypowerstationswas12.5%less
thaninthecorresponding periodof1979;thisreflectedthe
trendanticipated for1980asawhole.
Coalconsumption inpowerstationsincreasedbyabout4%,and
majorincreasesinoutputfromcoal-firedplanttookplacein
Denmark,ItalyandtheNetherlands .Useofnaturalgasinpower
stationsisestimatedtohavefallenbyabout8%fromthe1979
level;outputfromplantsusingnaturalgaswasreducedinall
MemberStatesexceptIrelandwhichhadcommissioned newgas-fired
plantin1979.
Hydro-electric plantin1980isestimatedtohaveaccountedfor
some12%ofelectricity production,andwasslightlyhigherthan
in1979;ifnormalweatherisexperienced in1981,asmall
reductioninhydro-electri cityoutputcanbeanticipated .
Theshareofnuclearandsolidfuelsinenergyinputsfor
electricity productionreachednearly63%in1980ascomparedwith
60%in1979andisexpectedtorisefurthertoabout64%in1981
(Annex4,Table3).
(iii)Nuclear_enerc¡y
During1980sevennuclearreactorswerelinkedtothegridin
France,increasingoperatingnuclearcapacitywithinthe
Communityasawholefrom26.2GWeto32.6GWe.ThesenewFrench
pressurised waterreactorplants,whichareat-Dampierre,
Gravelines andTricastin,haveanetcapacityof6,420MWe.
17

Theeconomicsofproductionofbase-Loadelectricity atnuclear
powerstationscontinuedtobeparticularly favourablein
comparisontocostsatcoal-firedstationsandevenmoresoto
thoseatoil-firedpowerstations,wherefuelcostsrosetoeven
higherlevels.Sotheprospectsfor1981wherenewnuclearplant
shouldbecommissioned inFrance,GermanyandtheUnitedKingdom
areencouraging .
InitialoperationofnuclearplantintheCommunityin1981is
expected:
(i)inGermany,wherea1,230MWpressurised waterreactoris
nearingcompletionatGrafenrheinfeld ;
(ii)inFrance/whereadditionalpressurised water,reactorunits
amountingto7,220MWnetareduetobecommissioned at
Blayais,Dampierre,Gravelines,St-Laurent Band
Tricastin; –
(iii)intheUnitedKingdom,wherenewadvancedgas-cooledreactor
plantatDungeness B,HartlepoolandHeyshamofuptosome
2,450MWnetmaybesynchronised tothegrid.
ProductionofelectricityatnuclearstationsintheCommunity
shouldthusincreasebyabout21%from147TWhin1980to179TWh
in1981.
Nuclearenergy'sshareoftotalprimaryenergyrequirements
increasedto4.6%in1980andisexpectedtoreach5.6%in1981.
18
\

NUCLEAR FUELS
Inview oftherelatively slow nuclear development inmost ofthe
Member States ofthe Community ,the requirements fornatural
uranium resulting from contracts for enrichment services gowell
beyond the real needs ofthe reactors .
Onthe supply side,newpossibilities ofsupply inAustralia ,
Canada and the United States may beadded toexisting resources
(andoften are assured bylong-term contracts ).
The excess ofsupply inrelation todemand reduces the risks of
supply interruptions and evidence ofthis issliown bythefall in
spot prices . This isimportant forthe Community which depends
onimports for 80%ofits uranium requirements .Nevertheless ,
prices paid within the Community for term contracts remain firm .
Contractual activity ispractically limited tothenatural uranium
sector .
Inthe enrichment field ,the Community partners have used the
flexibility ofthe contractual arrangements toreduce their
commitments with respect totheir suppliers . Atthe same time,
some are "engaged innegotiations envisaging the cessation of
enrichment services outside the Community .
The dependence onthird countries for lowenriched uranium has
fallen yearly with the coming into operation ofCommunity
installations ,but the Community remains dependent onthe United
States for the whole ofitshighly enriched uranium .
19

1Table 1:Inland consumption ofprimary energy intheCommunity (EUR-9 )
19782 1979219803 19813
Estimates Forecasts
Mtoe % Mtoe % Mtoe % Mtoe'/.
Hard coal 175.5 19.0 191.6 19.7 190.0 20.4 192.0 20.6
Lignite 26.8 2.9 29.0 3.0 29.0 3.1 ' 29.6 3.2
Oil 512.7 55.4 525.0 54.1 485.0 52.0 472.0 50.8
Natural gas 160.6 17.4 172.4 17.8 170.0 18.3 170.0 18.3
Nuclear energy 33.9 3.7 37.2 3.8 42.8 4.6 51.9 5.6
Hydro ,geothermal andothers 14.9 1.6 15.1 1.6 15.1 . 1.6 14.1 1.5
TOTAL 924.5 100.0 970.3 100.0 931.9 100.0 929.6 100.0
^Final energy balances (according toEurostat methodology )
^Source :Statistical Office oftheEuropean Communities ,Luxembourg
Source :Commission Services
rvj
1Table la:Inland consumption ofprimary energy intheCommunity (EUR-10 )
19783 197931980 4 '
Estimates1981^
Forecasts
MtoeI
X Mtoe % Mtoe % Mtoe %
Hard coal ■
Lignite
Oil
Natural gas
Nuclear energy
Hydro ,geothermal andothers\
175.7
29.9
524.0
160.6
33.9
15.218.7 ,
3.2
55.8
17.1
3.6
1.6*,192.1
32.1
536.5
172.4 -
37.2
15.419.5
3.2
54.4
17.5
3.8
1.6190.6
32.3
496.7
170.0
42.8
15.420.1
3.4 '
52.4
17.9
4.6
1.6.193.0
33.1
483.9
170.0
51.9
14.420.4
3.5
51.1
18.0
5.5
1.5
\TOTAL - 939.3 100.0 ; 985.7 100.0 947.8 100.0 1 946.3 100.0
2Final energy balances (according toEurostat methodology )
^Including Greece -
^Source :Statistical Office oftheEuropean Communities /LuxembourgSource :Commission Services

ANNEX 1(cont .)
Table 2: Percentage variation inGDP and energy consumption (EUR-9 )
1979 --19781980-1979
(estimates )1981-1980
(forecasts )
Gross Domestic Product +3.4 +1.3 +0.6
Energy inland consumption
ofwhich :+4.9 -4.0 -0.3
-Oil ,+2.4 -7.6 -2.7
-Solid fuels +9.0 -0.7 +1.2
-Natural gas +7.4 -1.4-
-Nuclear energy+9.7 +15.0 +21.3
-Hydro ,geothermal and
others+1.3 -6.6
21

Table 3: Energy supply inthe Community (EUR-9 )
(Mtoe )
Solid fuels ,
Oil ,
Natural gas
,Primary electricity ,etc. .197R 1 19'f1198Ω (p«;1 •imates ) 1981 (forecast s)
Produc­
tionNet 2importsProduc -
tionNet 2import sProduc -
tionNet 2importsProduc -
tiontet 2imports
174.9
64.1 *
133.1
47.725.0
472.1
29.7
1.1177.1
89.3 *
137.5
50.933.3
474.7
36.2
1.4180.5
90.0
129.0
56.745.0
423.5
41.0
1.2181.0
95.0
124.0
65.050.0
403.5
46.0
1.0
TOTAL ' ' 419.8 i527.9 454.7 545.6 456.2 510.7 465.0 500.5
1
^Source :Statistical Office oftheEuropean CommunitiesImports minus exports
*Including primary petroleum products
Table 3a: Energy supply inthe Community (EUR-10 )
(Mtoe )
Solid fuels
OiI
Natural gas
Primary electricity «etc.1978 1 19"rø1 1980 (esitimates ) 1981 (forecasts )
3roduc -
tionNet 2imports3roduc -
tionNet 2importsProduc­
tionNet 2importsProduc­
tionYet 2imports
177.9
64.1*
133.1
48.0-25.2
'484.2
29.7
1.1180.2
89.3 *
137.5
51.133.8
487.7
36.2
1.4183.8
90.0
•129.0
56.945.6
437.2
41.0
I· 2
 184.5
95.5
124.0
65.351.0
415.9
46.Ò
'-1.0
.TOTAL .
-423.1 540.2 458.1 559.1 459.7 525.0 469.3 513.9
1-' N .
^Source :Statistical Office oftheEuropean Communities-Imports minus exports '
""including Greece
♦Including primary petroleum products

ANNEX 2
Table 1: OiLconsumption ,production and imports (EUR-9 )
(MiIlions oftons )1979 1979 /80
τ1980
(estimates )1980 /81
°f1981
Consumpt ion
Inland * 525.0 -7.6 485.0 -2,7 472.Ò
Bunkers 26.5- 26.5■- 26.5
Total 551.5 -7.3 511.5 -2.5 498.5
Production 87.3 +3.0 90.0 +.5.6 95.0
Stock change +10.5 +2.0
Net imports 474.7 -10.8 423.5 -4.7 403.5
♦Including refining fuel and loss
Table 1a: Oilconsumption ,production and imports (EUR-10 )
(MiIlions oftons ) 19791979 /80
%1980
(estimates )1980 /81
%1981
Consumption
Inland * 536.5 -7.4 496.7 -2.7 483.3
Bunkers 27.5- 27.5-.27.5
Total 564.0 -7.1 524.2 -2.6 510.8
Production 87.3 +3.0 90.0 +6.1 95.5
Stock change +11.0 +2.0-
Net imports 487.7 -10.6 436.2 -4.8 415.3
 Including refining fuel and loss
Source :Eurostat (IEA for Greece )and Commission estimates
23

ANNEX 2(cont .)
Table 2: EUR-10 ,USA,.Japan andtotal OECD :
Estimated oil consumption ,production and imports 1979-81
(MiIlions oftons ) , •19791979 /80
%-1980
(estimates )1980 /81
%1981
Γ
Consumptionr
EUR-10 564.0 "7-1 524.2 2.6 .510.8
USA 884.5 -7.4 818.9 817.9 '
Japan 264.8 -5.4 250.7"- · 249.9
Other OECD 289.3
ι290.9 +2.7 298.9
Total OECD 2002.6 -5.9 1884.7 -0.4 1877.5
Production .
.« . .
EUR-10 -87.3 +3.0 / ;90.0 +6.1 95.5
USA 484.0' j.. 486.0 -2.3 475.0
Japan 0.5'- ■• 0.5 0.5
Other OECD 131.2 +6.3 139.4 139.3
Total OECD 703.0 +1.8 . 715.9 -0.8 710.3
Stock changes
EUR-10 +11.0 +2.0
USA +11.2 +4.9Net import requi remenl
Japan + ■7.0· ; +0.9 (incl .stock changes )
Other OECD +3.7
,+6.8
• EUR-10 415.3
Total OECD +32.9 +14.6*USA 342.9
Imports (net)
'EUR-10 487.7 .-10.6' 436.2Japan ;
Other 0ECD249.4
159.6
USA 411.7 .-18.0 \,337.8Total 0ECD 1167.2
Japan 271.3 -7.4 ' .251.1
Other OECD 161.8. 158.3
Total OECD 1332.5 '-11.2 1183.4
Sources :EEC: Eûrostat and Commission estimâtes
Other countries :IEA/GB(80 )63-Secretariat estimates based on
.information available at3November 1980
24

ANNEX 2(cont .)
Table 3: Average EEC consumer prices excluding taxes
$/tonne
12/1979 7/1980 12/1980Index 12/1980
(12/79 =100 )
Premium motor gasoline 390 483 460 118
Domestic heating oil (gasoil ) 300 370 357 119
Residual fuel 3% S 168 191 213 127
Average all products 247 301 299 121
 Estimated foryield ofArabian Light 34° API onatmospheric distillation
Table 3a:Average barge prices f.o.b .Rotterdam
$/tonne
12/1979 7/1980 12/1980Index 12/1980
(12/79 =100 )
Premium motor gasoline
Regular motor gasoline
Naphtha
jet kerosene
Gasoi I
Residual fuel419.50
404.50
393.50
.419.00
348.50
192.50361.51
351.51
298.63
337.84
305.58
168.90377
357
328
364
294
22990
88
83
87
.84
119
 
Average ,279 240 265 95
 Estimated foryield onatmospheric distillation ofArabian Light . The increase
inprices issomewhat less during 1980ifthe average isweighted according tothe
pattern ofconsumption inthe Community
25

ANNEX 2(cont .)
Table 4: Average CIFprices ofcrude oil imported into Member States
$/tonne
•/
Β ,DK D F IRL . I NL UK EEC
1978 Q3 100.55 100.95 102.55 104.70 102.15 97.60 101.45 101.20 101.55
Q4 104.65 104.40 105.30 106.45 104.10 99.70 103.80 103.75 104.05
1979 Q1 110.25 113.40 113.40 111.30 111.00 107.20 112.60 111.40 111.10
Q2 124.90 136.50 139.30 128.35 124.90 125.35 130.20 133.65 131.10
Q3 150.75 168.15 167.65 159.90 151.20 156.10 161.85 163.35 161.50
IQ4 168.53 185.63 192.08 181.35 173.33 173.40 181.50 180.38 181.50
>1980 Q1 209.85 239.40 239.25 229.73 214.05 221.25 226.50 230.85 229.20
Û2 228.53 249.60 251.33 242.85 233.25 234.00 240.45- 242.03
Q3 253.69 257.87 249.53 235.61 241.05 248.84 251.56 '249.94
t
Table 4a;CIF costs crude oiI(basis :fourth quarter 1978 =100)
Indices calculated onthe basis ofthe value converted
into national currencies
Β DK D F IRL I NL ' UK EEC
1979 Q2 122.00 134.60 132.70 122.60 118.50 126.70 127.30 122.80 126.40,'
Q3 141.64 161.84 154.93 147.90 139.00 153.60 153.10 139.40 149.45
Q4 155.55 180.45 172.65 164 „22156.84 171.48 168.45 159.35 166.99
•1980 Q1 194.88 243.62 215.05 208.11 186.67 219.90 209.53 195.87 209.42
G2 214.43 258.76 231.01 223.40 216.60 239.98 226.68 208.68 227.22
Q3 262.39 234.78 228.80 216.93 249.07 232.11 20ό .02231.01
26

ANNEX 3
Table 1: Summary ofcoal supply situation inthe Community (EUR-9 )
(Mt)
-Change Gross
Production Imports Exports % inland
(c) consumption
1979 :Coal 238.7 59.0 1.8 +14.5 310.4
Coke 67.3 1.0 8.4 +8.2 68.2
Lignite +peat 137.9 1.6- +1.5 141.0
1980 :Coal 243.0 72.0 1.2 -4.3 309.5
(a) ..Coke 66.4 1.0 4.1 +0.5 63.8
Lignite +peat 140.0 1.5- 140.5
1981 :Coal 242.3 78.3 1.0 -6.2 313.4
(b) Coke 66.0 0.5 2.5- 64.0
Lignite +peat 142.0 1.5- - 143.5
(a)Provisional data
(b)Forecasts <
(c)Including statistical variations ,products from recuperation andproduction
ofsmall mines
Table 2: CIFprice ofCommunity coal imports
($/mt)
Date Coking coal Quarter Steam coal
1979 : 1January 64.95 I 34.9
1April 64.85 II 36.3
1July 66.05 III 38.3
'1October 66.30 IV 42
1980 : 1January 68.50 I 46.4
1April 69 II 48.5
1July 69.20 III 52.2
1October 69.95 IV
♦Estimate

Table 1:.Netconsumption of .electrical energy (including losses )
CTWh )
Year EUR-9
1979 1186.3
1980 ,1200.6
.1981 1242.8
Variations :•
1980 /79 +1.2%
1981 /80 '+3.5%
Table 2: .Netproduction ofelectrical enercjy -
EUR-9 TotalShare byenergy source
Hydro -
electri cGeo­
thermalNuclearConven .,
thermalCoal LignitePetrol ,
productsNatural
gasDeriv.ga ;
Sothers
Netproduction :
1979 >
1980 ' ■-
1981 .TWh - ■ TWh
1179.0
1196.3
1242.4140.7
143.1
136.42.4
2.5
'2.7127.6
147.3
179.3908.3
903.3
924.1383.6
404.2
412.392.4
95.2
98.5276.7
257.9
265.8127.0
11?.2
118.1N28.6
28.8
29.4
Variations :
1980 /79
1981 /80 '.■-% ' %
+1.5
+3.9+1.7
-4.7 "+4.0
+8.0+15.5
+21.7-0.5
+2.3+5.4
+2.0+3.0
+3.4-6.8
+3.1-7.7
+0.7+0.2
+1.9
Share intotal :
1979 ; ,
1980
'1981 .% %
100
'100
.100.12.0
12.0
11.00.2
0.2
0.2-10.8 .
12.3
14.477.0
75.5
74.432.5
33.8
33.2.7-8
8.0
7.923.5
21.5
21.4'10.8
9.8
9.52.4
2.4
2.4
mx
Table 3:Share ofnuclear andsolid fuels inenergy inputs forelectricity production
% EUR-9 D F I NL Β L UK IRL DK
1979 60.1 .72.6 . 56.0 11.9 13.5 51.7 43.7 81.5 25.3 62.8
'1980 ■■■ '". 62.8 74.3 60.7 14.2 19.5 52.6 44.6 85.7 22.4 79.0
1981 63.9 74.0 66.3 15.8 : ν23.6 56.3 43.7 85.5 22.9 79.8
t 1 >