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DOCUMENTS "COM"
COM(77)395
Vol.1977/0129

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COMMISSION OFTHEEUROPEAN COMMUNITIES
COM(77)395 final
Brussels.29july1977
$
SECOND REPORT
OCTTHEACHIEVEMENT OFCOMMUNITY
ENERGYPOLICYOBJECTIVES FOR1985
à*\%Y\
I*•"*J (^ v*Ji-lvi%*IqfeàA<r%riv\ ^J
^<2/£1
C0M(77)395final

SUMMARY
I.INTRODUCTION
II.MAINFEATURES
III.CONCLUSIONS
***
Annex1Draftresolution
Annex2Factualanalysis ofMemberStates'energyforecasts for1985
Annex3Energybalances (1973,1976,1980,1985)andmaintrends,
intheCommunity andinthevarious MemberStates
Annex4Energyinvestments intheCommunity from1976-1985»

SECOND REPORT ONTHEACHIEVEMENT OP
COMMUNITY ENERGY "POLICYOBJECTIVES FORI985
(Examination ofMemberStates'EnergyProgrammes )
INTRODUCTION
1.InitsResolution of17December 1974concerning Community energypolicy
objectivesfor1985^,theCouncilrequested
-MemberStatestotakeaccountoftheseobjectives whenframingtheir
energypolicies }
-theCommission tosubmitregularreportsontheprogress madetowards
achieving theobjectives .
Thisreport,whichfollowsthatpresented bytheCommission atthe
2)beginning of1976,isbasedonMemberStates'energyprogrammes as
drawnupmidwaythroughthefirsthalfof1977*
2.Themainaimsofthereportaretohighlight anyshortcomings ofnational
programmes inrespectofprogress towardstheobjectives ,torevealthose
areasofcommoninterest whereadvantage couldbetakenforcommon
benefit,andtoindicate thosesectorswhereCommunity actioncouldhelp
intheachievement oftheobjectives .
Therearethreeimportant aspectswhichtheCommission wouldhaveliked
toconsider inthisreportbutonwhichthemajority ofMemberStateswere
unabletosupplyforecasts ,viz.
a)theexpectedeffectofenergyconservation policies :somecountries
havesetthemselves fairlyprecisetargetswhileothershavemerely
drawnupestimates inwhichthiseffectisonlyapproximately quantified
b)thebuild-upofintra-Community tradeinenergy:ithasnotbeen
possible togiveabreakdown offutureimportsandexportsaccording to
whethertheiroriginordestination isinsideoroutsidetheCommunity ,
although theincrease oftradebetween Membercountries canleadto
greatersolidarity andreducethelevelofdependence onenergyimported
fromnon-member countries :
1)OJNoC153of9July1975»P-2
2)COM(76)9 ,basedonthenational programmes drawnupattheendof1975•

-2-
c)thelonger-term prospects for1990 :there islittle possibility of
significantly altering thetrend between nowand1985 andhenceforward
itwill benecessary tostudy longer-term options .Tomake upforthis
shortcoming ,Commission staff have worked outvarious possible
scenarios forthe later period .
The Commission will investigate these three aspects further with the
representatives oftheMember States .
3.This report compares thesituation forecast bytheMember States for1985
with both theobjective setin1974 andthe situation described inthe
1976 report .
Thecomparison ismade overall fortheentire Community :detailed
information foreach Member country isgiven inAnnex 3.
Theonly objective used forcomparison purposes isthat of50$dependence
onimported energy :even by1976 itwasrealized that the4<$level of
dependence wasvirtually unattainable ^.
4.Theeconomic assumptions onwhich thenational programmes arebased prompt
twocomments :Fortheperiod 1976-80 ,theGDPgrowth rate used inthe
forecasts isinline with the assumptions made inthe "fourth medium-term
2)economic policy programme " including theassumption that oilprices will
follow thegeneral movement inprices .
5.For1985 ithemain conclusions -which involve certain changes inMember
States' programmes -are asfollows :
a)Three main objectives :
-Oil imports should not exceed 500m.tons .
-The share ofoilingross energy consumption should be
significantly reduced .
-TheCommunity 'sdependence onimported energy should be
limited to5C$ .
b)Basic policies :
-Themaintenance andintensification ofpolicies fortherational use
ofenergy .
-Continuing effort tocarry outnuclear programmes .
-Community oilproduction ofatleast 140m.tons .
-Increased consumption ofnatural gas <10-25 Mtoe )inplace ofextra
oil consumption .-Increased consumption (byabout 20tftoe )ofimported andCommunity
coal inpower stations ,inview ofthe likely nuclear situation .
(1)Seedoc .C0M(76)9 andC0M(76)508 final "Energy dependance "istheratio between net
energy imports (excluding nuclear fuels )andthetotal consumption ofenergy .
(2)See0JN)C12of17January 1977 .

-3-
6.Adraft Resolution onthemain conclusions tobedrawn from this report
isgiven atAnnex 1.
7.Three further Annexes complete this document :
Annex 2Factual analysis ofMember States' energy -
forecasts for1985 .
Annex 3Energy balances (1973 ,1976 ,1980 ,1985 )oftheCommunity
and the Member States .
Annex 4Community energy investments ,I976-I985 .

-4-
II.MAIMFEATURES
1.Itisnownearlyfouryearssinceoilpricesquadrupled ,and"the
Community'senergypolicyisstillunclear.Alookattheenergy
programmes oftheMemberStatesasplannedfortheperiodto1985
illustrates "boththestrengths andtheweaknesses .
-Theweaknesses arewellknownandarecharacterized bytheinadequate
exploitation ofthepossibilities andtheexisting orpotential
commoninterests withintheCommunity :thenuclearalternative is
beingdeveloped alongdifferent lines,thedevelopment ofindigenous
resources (oil,naturalgas,coal)doesnotalwaystakeaccountof
thepotential ofintra-Community tradeandthecallonexternal
suppliesbasically reflects thesumofnational requirements ,without
therebeingatrulyCommunity approach whichwouldstrengthen the
overallnegotiating position oftheMemberStates.
Table1illustrates thissituation andshowsthatthecurrentfore­
castsofdomestic energyproduction arebelowtheestimates madeat
theendof1975-Thedropisapproximately lCffoandisproportional
totheexpectedfallindemand.
Table1-Supplystructure in1985(Mtoe)
Objectives
December 1974National
(end1975)
(COM/76h)programmes
mid-1977
Internal production 800 670-745 609-674
Imports 650 720-685 673-608
Grossconsumption 1450 1390-1430 1282
Thereareconsiderable difficulties hampering theadoption ofmeasures
bywhichtheCommunity couldhelpallorsomeoftheMemberStatesto
achievetheobjectives ,becausethetemptation toseeknational
solutions tothedifficulties causedbydevelopments ontheworld
energymarketissogreat.
Andyet,whatevertheconstraints imposedonindividual countries ,
solidarity ofinterestinthefaceofadifficult future-bothas
regardsenergyandtheeconomyingeneral–makesajointeffortmore
necessary thanever.
Mtoe=milliontonnesoilequivalent .

-5-
-Thenegativetrends,howeverregrettable ,mustnotmaskthebasic
issue,viz.thewillofallMemberStates,asdisplayed invarying
degreesandinvaryingwaysbytheirprogrammes ,toreducetheir
dependence onimportedenergy(particularly oil),andtomakebetter
useofenergy,whichhasnowbecomerareandcostly.Tothisextent,
national programmes donotdepartfromthebasicprinciples adoptedby
theCommunity in1974andhaveresulted inconcrete measures involving
aconsiderable financial commitment (seeTable2).
InalltheMemberStatesthepublicauthorities areawareoftheneed
tosaveenergyandexpectthatthemeasures theyhavetakenorintend
totakewillleadtosubstantial results .Anextraeffortmustbe
madeinordertogaugemoreaccurately therealimpactofthemeasures
takenorcontemplated inthisfield.
2.Although thecontribution ofimportedoiltoenergysupplieswillbe
lowerin1985thanitistoday,itwillstillbeakeyfactorinthe
energybalance ,asTable2shows.
Alltherecentanalyses offuturetrendsontheworldoilmarketpoint
totherisksofconsiderable pricerisesandthephysical limitations
onsupplies whichwouldbeoccasioned byasustained highlevelof
demand.Accordingly ,netimportsintotheCommunity shouldnotexceed
500Mtoeor10millionbarrelsperdayin1985.Thisfigureshouldbe
regarded asacompulsory targetandformthebasisoftheCommunity's
energystrategy .

-6-
Table2-1976situation ,Community objectives for1985
andprospectsfornationalprogrammes (mtoe
1976Estimate
Internai
productionNet
importsConsumption
i%
Solidfuels
Oil
Naturalgas
Hydro&geothermal
Nuclear184
22
144
25
21
I23
520
12
1207
542
156
26
2122
58
16
2
2
Total 396 556 952 100
% 42 58 100
1985Objectives (CouncilResolution of17December 1974)
Internai
productionNet
importsConsumption *
Solidfuels
Oil
Naturalgas
Hydro&geothermal
Nuclear210
180
175
45
19040
515
95250
695
270
45
19017
49
18
3
13
Total 800 650 1450 100
1o55 45 100
1985National programmes (mid-1977 )
Internai
productionNet
importsConsumption %
Solidfuels
Oil
Naturalgas
Hydro&geothermal
Nuclear1
184 !
110-160
143-158
31
14036
555-490
79
4220
665-650
221-237
35
14017
52-51
17-18
3
11
Total(rounded) 609-674 673-608 1282 100
47.5-52.6 52.5-47.4 100
*Roundedto5C%intheResolution of17December 1974*

Thetargetlimitofnetoilimportsof500m.tons,togetherwiththe
primenecessity tolimitenergydependence to50$and-thecommitment to
reducethecontribution ofoilingrossenergyconsumption to50fo(which
coincides bothwiththeobjective laiddownin1974andthenational
estimates madeattheendof1975)»wouldproducethefollowing energy
supplystructure in1985:
grossenergyconsumption :1280Mtoe
5Ofoimportedenergyi.e. 640Mtoe
(ofwhichoil= 500Mtoe)v
indigenous energy5O?0i.e.640Mtoe oil:640Mtoe
(ofwhichoil= 140Mtoe)^^ *'e*
Inthelightoftheseobjectives andofthecurrentforecasts madebythe
authorities intheMemberStatesthetwobasicproblems inquantitative
termstobefacedbetween nowandI985concernnuclearenergyandoil.
(A)Inthenuclearsectorthesituationisworrying ,asisshownbyTable3:-
Table3-Nuclearenergy:objectives ,forecasts andprogrammes for1985
Installed
capacity (GWe)Objectives
(Dec.1974)Forecasts
1975/1976
(COM/76/9)Forecasts
mid-1976National
programmes
1977
160 150to160 125 102.5
'Production (Mtoe)190 182-I89 140
ThedelaysovertheLastyearinnuclearDroarammes whilebeinaDartly
duetoincreasing publicdoubtsisalsoattributable tothelowerarowth
prospects inelectricity demand.Nevertheless,upto1985andbeyond
thiswouldleadtoahigherconsumption ofpetroleum products (and,toa
lesserofnaturalgas)inpowerstations,contrarytotheaimsofthe
1
Directives adopted bytheCouncilin1975(1).
Itseemshoweverthateventhisfigureof102.5GWefor1985iscertainly
optimistic ;currentforecasts suggestthatinstalled nuclearpowerin
1985willbenomorethan90GWe(i.e.approximately 120Mtoe(2)and
20Mtoelessthantheforecasts emerging fromthe1977national
programmes .
1)CouncilDirectives No'75/404and405»QJNoC178of9July1975*
2)Seedocument C0M(77)199final.

-8-
Thisadditional shortfall of20Mtoeneededtoproduceelectricity
should,undernocircumstances ,bemadeup'byincreasing oilimports ;
otherwise thepriorityobjective oflimitingnetoilimportsin1985to
amaximumof500Mtoewillbejeopardized .
Thepotential forincreasing theuseofsolidfuelsinconventional
powerstations whichexistsinsomeMemberStatesshouldbefullyexploited ,
andbyallpossible meansincreased .
Theuseofcoalalonetomakeupthe20Mtoedeficitinnuclear power
stationswillincrease thetotalconsumption ofsolidfuelsfrom220to
240Mtoe(from315"to345Mtce),whichisratherlessthanthe1974
objective but20Mtoe(approx.30Mtce)morethancurrentforecasts
(seeTable4)*
Table4-Consumption ofsolidfuelsin1985(coal,browncoalandpeat)
Objectives forNational programmes Assuming need
19761985 1976) 1977tomakeup
(December 1974)COM(76)9 nuclearshort-I
Ifall
Mtoe 207 250 243 220 240
Mtoe 295 355 347 315 345
Itisdifficult toimagine howsuchanincrease intheconsumption ofsolid
fuelscouldbemetbyCommunity production saidbyimportsrespectively .An
initialestimate mightputthebreakdown in1985asfollows:
-Community productions I85-205Mtoe(265-290Mtce)insteadof184.2
Mtoe(263Mtce)innational programmes ;
-Imports:35~55Mtoe(50-80Mtce)insteadof35*8Mtoe(51Mtce)in
national programmes .
Obviously suchanincrease insolidfuelconsumption couldleadtoserious
problems ofthermalpowerstationcapacity andtodifficulties ,ongroundsof
cost,inmarketing Community coalinthenon-producing MemberStates.These
difficulties mustbeassessed ,however ,inthelightoftheever-increasing
problemsthatwilloccurifnoactionistakentostemtherisingimports
ofoil.
(B)ThewilltoreducetheshareofoilintheCommunity'sgrossenergy
consumption to5C^inI985presupposes thatbythisdatetheamountof
oilconsumedwillnotexceed640Mtoe(500Mtoeimported and140Mtoe
Community production )whichrepresents areduction ofbetween10and25
Mtoeagainstcurrentforecasts byMemberStatesofbetween650and
665Mtoe).
*Including 30Mtoe(=43Mtce)ofbrowncoal.

Therearetwowaysofhittingthistarget,viz.
(i)Toconsumelessheavyfueloilinthepowerstationsandto
makeupthe10to25Mtoewithcoal(Community orimported).
Thissolution seemsscarcelyrealistic since,inviewofthenuclear
energysituation(see Aabove),thiswouldrequireanadditional increase
incoalproduction andimports,whichisnotfeasibleeitheron
groundsofcostorbecauseofthenewinfrastructure whichwouldbe
needed .
(ii)Tousenaturalgasinsteadofoiltomakeupthe10to25Mtoein
1985intheindustrial anddomesticsectors.Thissolution seems
morereasonable :itpresupposes thatin1985thegrossconsumption
ofnaturalgaswillbe245Mtoe,whichinturnimplies:
a)Community production of150to160Mtoe(forecasts oftheMember
States:143-158Mtoe);
b)netimportsofbetween85and95Mtoe,(forecasts ofMemberStates:
79Mtoe).
Table5showstheCommunity'sprimaryenergysupplysituation in1985on
threedistinct hypotheses :
A.Theobjectives adoptedin1974»
B.MemberStates'currentforecasts asgivenintheirrespective programmes .
C.ThetargetswhichtheCommunity shouldreachinordertoproducean
energybalancebythisdatewhichisinlinewiththepolitical will
reflected bytheapproval oftheobjectives in1974iandwhichis
compatible withitsowninterests andwiththeforeseeable situation on
theworldenergymarket(seeparagraph 3).Thisbalancewilldepend
uponfurtherreliance oncoalandnaturalgastocompensate forthe
shortfall arisingfromtheneedtoreduceoilconsumption andfromthe
delaystonuclearprogrammes .

-10-
Table5-Community primaryenergysupply-1985
A » I
Objective
(Dec.1974)National
Programmes (1977)Proposed supply -
patternDifference
between
CandB
Mtoe Mtoe %
iMtoe Mtoe
Solidfuels 250 17220 17240 18.5 +20
Oil 695 49665-650 52640 50 -10-25
Naturalgas 270 18221-236 17245 19 +25-10
Nuclear 190 13140 11120 9-5 -20
Hydroandothers 45 335 335 3
Total
Grossconsumption 1450 100
I1280 1001280 100 0
Importedoil 515 36555-490 43-38500 39-55+10
5.Onlyafewgovernments werea"bletosupplyestimates for1990.Commission
staffhave,however,prepared variousscenarios toinvestigate thepossible
trendbetween nowand1990.
Table6showstwoextremecasesfromamongthesescenarios together withan
extrapolation basedonthenational programmes .
Table6-Indicators for1990
1985 1990
Objective
(Dec.1974)National programmes
(endI975)(mid-1977Extrême cases
1 2Extrapolation
fromnational
programmes
Grossconsumption
(Mtoe) 1450 1390-1430 1280 1610 1160 1500
Averageannual
energygrowthrate
-period
-w(73-85)
3.5(74-85)
3.0-3.25(76-85)
3.3(76-90)
4.0(76-90 ;
1.75(86-90)
3
Dependence Ofo)
-Totalimports
-Importedoil*45
3552-48
41-3851-52
43-3862
5034
2552-57
42-48
*roundedto50fointheResolution of17December 1974*

-11-
Scenario 1depictsadevelopment withoutmajorconstraints inwhichthe
rateofgrowthindemandwouldbefairlyhigh,producing alevelof
external dependence similartothatof1973.
Scenario 2represents aminimumhypothesis whichisapparently satisfactory
fromthepointsofviewofenergyconservation andexternal energy
dependence ,butwhichmightbeaccompanied byinsuperable difficulties
regarding international tradeandeconomic andsocialstability .
Extrapolation fromthenational programmes (whichshouldnotbeconsidered
aprobability anymorethanthetwoscenarios )showsthattheproblemof
oildependence couldrecurafter1985fevenifthispointispassed
satisfactorily .Also,beforedefining anenergystrategyfor1990(an
absolutenecessity intheshortterm)weshouldconcentrate onwhatcan
bedonebetween nowand1985-whichistheaimofthisreport.

-12-
III.CONCLUSIONS
Theexamination ofnational programmes inthelightoftheCommunity's
energypolicyobjectives leadstothefollowing conclusions whichcould
influence theCouncil'sworkprogramme for1978s
a)Theenergyconservation effortmustbemaintained andsteppedupso
thatthepresent1985demandforecast (1280Mtoe)isnotexceeded .
Overshooting thisfigurewouldleadtoanincreased callonimported
energy,especially oil,andbelikelytoleadtoseriouspriceor
supplydifficulties .
b)Therestrictions ontheuseofheavyfuelinconventional power
stations mustbetightened .
Asolutiontothisproblemrequires actioninthefollowing fields:
-implementation ofnuclearprogrammes (see(d)below);
-energypricingpolicy;
-reduction oftheproportion ofheavyfractions inrefinery
production bybuilding crackingplants;
-promoting theconstruction ofnewsolid-fuel powerstations ;
-encouraging theuseofcoalinexisting powerstations .
c)Itisvitalthatnuclearprogrammes moveaheadwithoutfurther
delaystoavoidtherisksofincreasing oilconsumption in1985
andofaggravating thesituation inthelongerterm.
Theproblems tobeovercome ariseinvariousfields.TheCommission
hassenttotheCouncil (orwilldosoverysoon)communications and
proposals onthefollowing mainquestions :
-sitingofnuclear powerstations ;
-supplyofnuclearfuels;
-reprocessing ;
-disposal ofnuclearwaste;
-fastbreeder reactors .
TheCommission isalsotolaunchanopendebateproviding thepublic
withaccesstofullandobjective information onthequestions raised
bythe.useofnuclearenergy.

-13-
d)Thepartplayed "bycoalinthefuturesuppliesforpowerstations
shouldbeenlarged byimplementing aneffective coalsupply
strategy ,especially astheneedtohaverecourse tocoalwillbe
feltmoreacutelyafter1985.Therearetwobasicoptionsopen
forthisstrategy :eithertoacceptasupplysituation basedonthe
bestuseofCommunity resources withimportsfromnon-member countries
regarded asmoreorlesscomplementary ;ortorelymoreandmoreon
importsandacceptareduction inthecontribution madebyCommunity
coal.Acarefully balanced choicemustbemadebetweenthesetwo
possibilities .
e)In1985theCommunity shouldproduceaminimumof140Mtoeofoil
and160Mtoeofnaturalgas.Theseoutputfiguresshouldbe
compatible withtherequirements ofarational management ofresources ;
ifnecessary ,helpshouldbegiventoachievethesetargetsbymeans
ofsuitable Community measures .
f)AnincreaseinenergytradewithintheCommunity wouldmakefor
improvedoverallsecurity ofsupply,whileimproving theconditions
underwhichcertainresources areexploited (e.g.betterutilization
ofproduction capacities ).Thisraisesthequestions ofinfra­
structure development (e.g.interconnection ofgasandelectricity
networks),theeconomicconditions forsuchtrade(price;long-term
contracts )andinsomecases,theproblemofstimulating investment .
g)Importsofnaturalgaswillnotreachthedesiredlevelunless
certainconditions arefulfilled ,viz.
-encouraging thecreation ofpurchasing consortia ;
-settinguptheinfrastructure forgasgathering ,transmission and
delivery ;
-safetyofinstallations forthereception andstorageofliquefied
naturalgas.
h)Externally ,theeffortsdeployedtoimprovetheCommunity'srelations
withitsenergysuppliers mustbecontinued .Particular attention
mustbegiventothepossibility ofincreasing importsofoiland
naturalgasfromNorway.Paralleltothis,anyinternalmeasures
takenbytheCommunity willonlybeeffectiveifthereiscooperation
withtheotherconsumers ,betheyindustrialized ordeveloping

-14-
countries .
i)1985isalreadycloseathand,andtheCommunity musttherefore
definelonger-term energypolicyguidelines :1990provides am
initialreference pointtowhichmorethoughtshouldbegiven.With
thistime-scale itisstillpossible ,byadopting vigorous measures •
withoutdelay,topreventtheworrying trendsdiscernible froma
studyofnational programmes for1985(e.g.thedelayovernuclear
power)frombecoming worse.
Witheightyearstorunbefore1985theseobjectives andguidelines are
attainable andreasonable .TheCommunity canfulfilthisprogramme
andthusdemonstrate itsabilitytoreactinapractical waytothe
changestriggered bynewdevelopments intheworldenergysituation .
ItisfortheCouncilunequivocally toconfirmthisapproach ,forMember
Statesandindustrial operators tocontinuetoworktowardsthisend,
andofpublicopiniontounderstand andaccepttherequirements ofthis
policy(mainlywithregardtotherationalutilization ofenergyandto
prices).

Annex 1
DraftCouncil Resolution
TheCounciloftheEuropean Communities ,
HavingregardtoareportfromtheCommission totheCouncil onthe
fulfilment ofthe1985objectives ofCommunity energypolicy,
HavingregardtotheCouncil'sadoption on17December 1974ofa
resolution ontheobjectives ofCommunity energypolicy;
1.Reaffirms itsdesire
a)toreduceto50$byI985theCommunity'sexternalenergydependence ;
b)toreducesignificantly by1985theshareofoilinCommunity energy
consumption .
2.Approves theobjective oflimiting theCommunity'snetoilimportsto
amaximumbyI985of500m.tons(10mbd).
3.Requests MemberStatesaswellasenergyproducers andconsumers in
theCommunity toworkwithinthefollowing basicframework upto1985s
a)Community demand:
theefforts madeontherational useofenergymustbeintensified
andsofarasispossible sectoral objectives shouldberapidly
established .
b)Community energyproduction :
-coalproduction mustreachabout175Mtoe(250Mtceandtheuse
ofthisproduction inpowerstations mustbeencouraged ,
particularly tocompensate forthedelayinnuclearprogrammes .
-oilandnaturalgasproduction mustreachlevelsofatleast
140Mtoeand160Mtoerespectively .
c)Community energyimports:
amoreambitious policyshouldbeadoptedtowardscoalandnatural
gasimportsthanthatenvisaged inthepresentforecasts byMember
States.

-2-
4.Recallsthatinsofarastheecological andsecurity problems of
nuclearenergyaresatisfactorily resolved ,programmes forthe
installation ofelectricity generating capacity shouldbebased-
otherthanwheresolidfuelsaretobeused-onlarge-scale nuclear
powerstations ,toavoidincreased useofhydrocarbons ,particularly
ofoil.
5-Emphasizes theimportance ofresearch intonewenergysources

Annex2
FACTUAL COMMUNITY-BASED ANALYSIS OPMEMBERSTATES' ENERGY FORECASTS
UPTO1985*
1.Energydemand
1.1Energydemandandeconomic growth
1973-1976 I 1985
1974
objectives :
period
1973-1985Earlier
forecasts
(COM(76)9 )
period
1973-1985Current
forecasts
period
1976-1985
GDPgrowth (%) 5-54-3 4.03.2-3.5 4.2
Growthofenergy
consumption (%) 5-94.7 3.53.0-3.25 3-3
Energy/GDPelasticity 1.07 1.09 0.8750.925 0.785
Totalgrossenergy
consumption (internal
consumption +bunkers)
inMtoe 973.9952.9 14501388/1431 1282
Twobasiccomments mustbemadeaboutthistable:
.a)Thesignificant reduction for1985ingrossenergyconsumption
betweenthe1974estimates andthepresentestimates istheresult
oftwodistinct factors :
-theeconomiccrisisof1974and1975
-theimprovement between nowand1985*according toMember
States'forecasts ,oftheenergy/GDPelasticity coefficient .
b)Animprovement intheenergy/GDPelasticity coefficient implies
inpractical termsthateachMemberStatewillmaintain orstep
upitseffortsinenergyconservation neededtoachieveitsstated
forecasts .
*ThisanalysisisbasedontheMemberStates'estimates giveninAnnex3.

-2-
1.2 Share ofelectricity inoverall energy demand
1973 1976 1985
Targets set
in1974Previous
forecasts
(COM !76)9 )Current
forecasts
Electricity demand
(gross TWh )1039 1119 2250 1910-1960 1865
Annual electricity
growth rate (%)
Proportion ofenergy -
demand covered by
electricity (%)7-7
25.66-9
28.27.5 (1975-85 )
356.2-6.5
(1975-85 )
326.0 (1975-85 )
34-6
Proportion ofenergy
demand covered by
nuclear energy (%) 1.2 2.1 13 13 11.3
Thecurrent forecasts ofgrowth inelectricity demand areclosely
comparable with those made bytheMember States in1975 *Although
theproportion ofelectricity from nuclear power stations inover­
allenergy requirements will notreach theobjectives orthe
previous forecasts ,thecurrent forecasts ofelectricity 'sshare of
themarket arevirtually thesame asthetarget setinDecember
1974

-3-
2.ENERGY PRODUCTION
2.1Solidfuels(hardcoalandbrowncoal)
1973 1976 1985
Objeetive
(1974)Previous
forecasts
(COM(76)9 )Current
forecasts
1.Hardcoal
Mtoe
Mtoe175
250156
223.3180
255161-166
230-237154.2
220
2.Browncoal
andpeat
Mtoe
Mtoe25
3527.7
39-630
4330
4330
43
3.Solidfuels
Mtoe
Mtoe200
285183.7
262.9210
298191-196
273-280I84.2
263
Thistablepromptsthefollowing comments :
a)thesituationissatisfactory forbrowncoalandpeat;
b)forhardcoalthesituationisslowlybutsteadilydeteriorating ,
andthisisworrying .Extraoutputin1985ofapproximately 20Mtoe
(comparedwithcurrentforecasts )ispossiblebecausethecapacity
exists,butthispresupposes firmandswiftcommitments totakethis
coal,principally forpowerstations ;
c)anincreaseintheproduction ofcoalforconsumption inpower
stations raisesthreespecific problems :
1.theunitcostsofproduction
2.thecostofthenecessary infrastructure
3.competition withcoalimported atspotpriceswhichare
currently veryadvantageous .

-4-
2.2Oil
1973 1976 1985
Targetset
inDecember
1974Previous
forecasts
(CCM(76)9 )Current
forecasts
Production (Mtoe)11.8 22.4 180 111-161 111-161
Unlessnewandmajordiscoveries aremadeintheNorthSeathere
seemslittlelikelihood atpresentthattheproduction targetof
180Mtoecanbereachedin1985.
Ontheotherhand,theCommunity should
-produceatleast140Mtoein1985-anaverageoftheMemberStates'
forecasts andinlinewiththemajority ofestimates madebythe
industry ;
-strive,withtheaidofappropriate Community measures (e.g.loans,
loanguarantees ,long-term contracts ,m.s.p.)toraisetheproduction
levelto160mtoe,i.e.theupperlimitoftherangeofMemberStates'
forecasts .
RefiningisanotherbasicproblemonwhichtheCouncilhasalready
received aCommunication fromtheCommission .Inthisfieldthe
Commission wouldlikeMemberStatestoclarifytheirthinking onfore­
castsofimportsandexportsoffinished products in1980and1985.

-5-
2.3Natural gas
197319761985
Objectives
(1974)Previous
forecasts
(COM(76)9 )Current
forecasts
Production (Mtoe)114.3 143.7 175 150-I65142.8-157.8
Aswithoil,theproduction targetsetin1974of175Mtoenowseems
unattainable unlessnewandmajordiscoveries aremade.
Ontheotherhand,iftherightactionistaken(e.g.agasgathering
pipeline intheNorthSea,acoherentpricingpolicyattheproduction
andfinalconsumption stagesinordertostimulate investment ),the
Community shouldbeinapositiontoproducebetween150and160Mtoe
Hofnaturalgasin19&5*
*ForNorwegian gastoo.

-6-
2.4Nuclearenergy
197319761985
ιObjectives
(1974)Previous
forecasts
(COM(76)9 )Current
forecasts
Installed capacity
(GWe) 12.318.3 160 150-160 102.5
JProduction (Mtoe)14 21 190 182-189 140
Inasectorwhere,againstabackground ofknowndifficulties ,the
declineinprospects hasbeenmostmarked,themainconclusions to
bedrawnfromanassessment ofnational programmes areasfollows:
a)aninstalled capacityin1985greaterthan102.5GWeisnolonger
possible ;
b)evenaninstalled capacityin1985of102.5GWemayproveoptimistic :
latestCommissionestimatesarebasedonafigureof90GWe^j
c)atalleventstheCommunity'seffortmustaimedat:
-using,providing anddeploying allthenecessary financial means
toensurethatthereisnoinvestment bottleneck inthissector;
-increasing theextentandclarityofinformation aboutnuclear
power.
2.5Newsourcesofenergy
Despitetheeffortsalready made,MemberStates'forecasts showthatthe
impactofnewenergysourcesby1985willbenomorethanmarginal .It
isnonetheless essential ,asfarasbothresearch anddemonstration
projects areconcerned ,thattheeffortsdevotedtotheseresources
(i.e.solar,geothermal ,windenergyetc.),whosedevelopment isvital
forthefuture,bemaintained andincreased ineachMemberStateand
atCommunity level.
1)cf.C0M(77)199 finalof27May1977-

-7-
3.NET ENERGY IMPORTS
3.1 Solid fuies (hard coal )
1973 1976 1985
Objectives
(1974 )Previous
forecasts
COM(76)9 )Current
forecasts
Mtoe 22 23.3 40 47-52 35.8
Mtce 31 33* 57 67-74 51
Current forecasts inthis area arefarlower than those oflast year .
This trend should obviously "becorrected .Itisvital that the
Community should ,inkeeping with the solution totheproblems of
Community coal (see2.1),take thenecessary steps forimporting
between 35an(i55Mtoe ofcoal (i.e. 50to80Mtce )in1985 onthe
basis oflong-term contracts ,themain aimbeing tocushion the impact
(see2.4)offurther set-backs inthenuclear programmes (i.e. 90GWe
instead of102.5 ).
*42Mtce accordmg toCommission estimates .

-8-
3.2Oil
1973
l1976 1985
Objective
(1974)Previous
forecasts
(COM(76)9 )Current
forecasts
Mtoe 580.9 520.1 515 573-544554.6-489.6
Thecurrentforecasts ofnetoilimports (including importsfrom
Norway)in1985areonaveragefairlyclosetothetargetsetin1974
and.totheactualfiguresfor1976.Butweshouldnotbebeguiled by
this,however ,sincetherearetwobasicfactorsinvolved .,viz.
theappreciable dropingrossenergyconsumption in1985inrelation
tothetargetsetin1974andmoreparticularly themarketpenetration
ofCommunity oil.
Inotherwords,thistrendintheforecasts ofnetoilimportsison
thewholenotsomucharesultofafirmresolvetolimitsuchimports
astheindirect consequence offorecasts relatingtoeconomic growth,
therationalutilization ofenergyandthegrowthofsupplies inthe
otherenergysectors .
Agreatereffortmusttherefore bemadeinfuture:inviewofworld
oilsupplyprospects ,theCommunity shouldensurethatin1985itdoes
notexceedanetimportfigureof500milliontonsofoil(10mbd).
Thislimitonnetimportsshouldbereflected in1985targetsfor
eachMemberStateandbebackedupbyintermediate targets (eachyear
oreverytwoyears).

-9-
3.3 Natural gas
1973 1976 1985
Object ives
(1974 )Previous
forecasts
(COM(76)9 )Current
forecasts
Mtoe 3-6 12.6 95 94 78.7
Member States' current forecasts inthis field aresignificantly lower
than those oflast year ,which were inline with thetarget setin1974 -
Nevertheless ,theforecasts aremore areflection oftheuncertainty of
thegascompanies intheface ofthemovement ofnatural gasprices on
theworld market than ofdifficulties over supply ,where theprospects
arestill hopeful (Algeria ,Norway ,Nigeria andpossibly Canada ).
Subject tocertain measures being taken (see2.3andincentives forthe
establishement ofCommunity consortia ),itistherefore necessary to
reactivate Community policy inthis field with aview toimporting
between 85and95million toeofnatural gasin1985 .Inthis context ,
the question ofLPGmust betaken into account .

-10-
4.STRUCTURE OFELECTRICITY GENERATION
InTWh(andas 1973 1976
I1985
Previous
forecasts
(COM(76)9 )Current ^\forecasts '
Hydroand
geothermal 112(109)114(10.2)143(7-0) 159(8.00
Nuclear 59(5-7 93(8.4860(42.C) 636(32.0)
Conventional
powerstations 860(83.4)907(814)1062(52.0)1195(60.0)
ofwhich:
hardcoal 326(31.6)363(32.6)417(20.2) 454(22.8)
Ibrowncoal 80(7-7)107(9-6)101(4-9) 100(5-0)
fueloil 326(31.6)268(24.0)34916-9)484(24.3)
naturalgas96(9-3)136(12.2)1507-3 121(6.1)
others 32(3.2)33(3.0)451-7 36(1.8
Total 1031(100)1114(100)2065(100) 1990(100)
Ifcurrentforecasts arecompared withthoseoflastyearthefollowing
factsortrendsemergefromthistable:
a)Theexpecteddelayinthenuclearprogrammes would,asexpected ,beoffset
byanincrease inconventional fossilfuelcapacity .
b)Thisincreaseinconventional fossilfuelcapacity wouldbeachievedlargely
byincreasing theamountoffueloilburnedinpowerstations (from349
TWhto484TWh);thisishardlycompatible withDirective 75/405onthe
limitation oftheuseofoilinpowerstations .
c)Howeverregrettable itmaybe,thislattertrendispartlyinevitable to
theextentthatcoal(Community andimported )alonewillnotbeenoughto
compensate forthepresentdelayinthenuclearprogramme .Itshouldbe
emphasized thattheforecast of454TWhgenerated in1985fromcoal-fired
powerstations impliesacoalconsumption of150Mtce.
1)The1985sharesofdifferent fuelsin.conventional powerstationsare
basedonforecasts byCommission staff.

-11-
(d)Itisvital that anyfurther delay innuclear programmes (seeSection 2.4)
should notbecompensated bypetroleum products butbyCommunity and
imported coal .
5.INVESTMENT
Thefollowing table compares theinvestment forecasts made last year
(COM/ENER(76)l5 )ajidthis year bytheMember States fortheperiod 1976-85
(i.e. at31December 1976 prices andexchange rates fortheCommunity ;the
figures foreach Member State areshown inAnnex 4).
Investments 197° -1985
Last year 'sforecasts Current forecasts
Absolute figures
(1000million
EUA)%Absolute figures
(1000million
EUA )%
Solid fuels 11.43 5 13.30 6
Hydrocarbons 83.84 32 83.03 36
Nuclear 75-49 29 55.52 24
Non-nuclear 24.62 10 20.17 9
Transport anddistribu­
tion ofelectricity 59-61 24 56.00 25
Total 254.99 100 228.02 100
Value asa%ofGDP 1.8 1.5
Despite theshortcomings ofthese statistics andalthough the investment
forecasts forenergy conservation arenot shown ,three basic conclusions can
bedrawn :
a)inrelative terms ,themost significant change isthedrop inexpenditure
onnuclear power (from 29to24$)andthecorresponding increase inthat
onhydrocarbon fuels (32to36$);
b)inabsolute terms ,theinvestment forecasts made this year are27000
million EQAlower than last year 's,andthis drop ischiefly attributable
totheslowdown inthenuclear programme ,i.e. adrop of20000million
EUAs

-12-
c)the10$reduction inforecast investment isconsistent with acorrespond­
ingdrop ingross energy consumption forecasts for I985 .
Taken overall ,energy investment inrelation toCommunity GDPwill have
fallen sharply (from 1.8$ to1.5$ )»which isaworrying trend :arelative
decline inenergy investment runs therisk ofbeing reflected inincreased
imports ofenergy andindisequilibria onthebalance ofpayments current
account ,with unfortunate consequences foreconomic growth .
Whilst notdenying thefreedom ofchoice ofinvestors andthefact that ,as
farasenergy isconcerned ,they areoperating indifferent sectors ,itis
therefore desirable that theCommunity andtheMember States give thought to
thebest ways oftransferring monies notinvested innuclear power asaresult
oftheslowdown innuclear programme toother sectors ,themost important of
which iscertainly energy conservation .
6.ENERGY STRUCTURE
1973 1976 1985
% 1974
objectivesPrevxous
forecasts
(COM(76)9 )Current
forecasts
Solid fuels 22.6 22.5 17.0 17.5 -17 17.2
Oil 61.4 55-3 49-0 49.5 51.9 -50.1
Natural gas 11.6 I6.9 18.0 17.5 -18 17.2 -18.4
Nuclear 1.4 2.3 13.0 13 10.8
IHydro3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 3-0
ITotal
I100 100 100 100 100
Acomparison ofcurrent forecasts ,last year 'sforecasts andthose implied
bytheCouncil Regulation ofDecember 1974 shows that theenergy structure
will remain fairly stable upto1985 *Theonly notable change isthefall
ofmore than twopercentage points ofthenuclear sector ,andthecorrespond­
ingrise intheshare ofoilwhich ,onpresent forecasts ,will still account
formore than 5C$oftheCommunity 'senergy supplies in1985 .

-13-
eennowand1985theshareofoilmustbereduced (bysubstitution of
naturalgas);thisinturnimpliesthatanyfurtherreduction inthe
contribution ofnuclearpowermustbeoffsetbyacorresponding increase
intheuseofsolidfuelsinpowerstations .
7.ENERGY DEPENDENCE
1973 1976 1985
I
IITargetsetm
December 1974Previous
forecasts
(COM(76)9)Current
forecasts
1.Grossenergy
consumption
(Mtoe)973-9 952.9 1450 1388-1431 1282
2.Netimports
(Mtoe) 608.6 556.8 650 720-686672.7-607.7
ofwhich:
Isolidfuels 22 23.3 40.0 52-4735-8
oil
naturalgas580.9
3.6520.1
12.2515.0
95573-544
94554.6-489.6
78.7
electricity 2.1 1.2 1 3.6
3.%external
dependence61 58 "50"
(actually 45)52-4852.5-47.4
Inthiscontexttheobjective nottoallowtheCommunity 1sexternal
energydependence inI985toexceed mustbereaffirmed .Onthebasis
ofthedevelopments outlinedaboveandfollowingcertainadjustments this
objective canandmustbeachieved .

ANNEX3
ENERGYBALANCES ANDMAINTRENDS(1973,1976,1980,I985)
FORTHECOMMUNITY ANDTHEMEMBER STATES
(Comparison betweenMemberStates *presentprospects
andthosesetoutinthefirstreportontheachieve­
mentofthe1985objectives (COM(76)9)).

1985
Programmes nationaux (actuels )
enMio tepCorob .
solidesPetrol® Gas naturelEnergie
nucléairoHydro »,
+autreoΤΟΤΑΙ »
Production
intérieure
Belgique ^,9 6,5 0,6
Êanr.ark 0,5 2,5 1,2
i/eutschland 88,0 5,0 16,0 ^3,5 M
France 7,«» 0,9 5,1 56,0 1«f,3
Ireland 1.» I 1,2 .0,2
Italia 1,5 5,0 15,0 15,5 11,2
Luxembourg 1,0 0,0
moderland 1,5 68,0 2,3■ -
tnited Kingdom 81,0 100 à150 35à50 1*4,0 1,0
COMMUNAUTE 110,9 à160,9 ~1^2,8à157,81!HÔ,Ô ~ 31,312,0
*».?
156|5
8V
• -1i?
71,«„231 a296
609,2 à671*,2
2.ImnorteitjoRS I
netteG
Belgique 6,5 33,6 12,5mm -0,6 52,0
Danmark 3,6 13,1 16,7
Deutschlnnd -12,5 157,0 *♦5,0 5,0 m.5
;rance 16,6 126,1 28,9 -1,3 170,3
Ireland 0,6 9,9 10,5
-talia 13,7 131,9 19,7 165,3
Luxembourg 2,0 2,5 0,5 0,5 5,5
Nederland 6,3 61,5 -36,9 >0.9
United Kingdom -1,0 19à-«*6 9,0 27a-38
COMMUNAUTE H
I3578 """55^,6 itë9~6 j 78,7 f 376""672-,?à607,7
3.Consommation I
brute
Belgique 11. 33,6 12,5 6,5 bk.O
Danmark 3,6 13,6 2,5 1,2 20,9
Dsutschland 75,5 162,0 61,0 ^3,5 9,0 351,0
irance 2H,0 127,0 3^,0 56,0 13,0 25^,0
Ireland 2,0 9,9 1,2 . 0,2 13,3
Italia 15,2 13^,9 3S7 15,5 11,2 211,5
Luxembourg 2,0 2,5 0,5 1,0 0,5 6,5
Nederland 6,3 63,0 31.1 2,3 102,7
United Kingdom 80,0I■119à10^j^à59L_1'°-J258,0
COMMUNAUTE 220,0 665,5 à-650,5 221,5 à236,5 140,0 3^,9[*J
k1.231,9
(*)soit consommation intérieure t(1.237,3 Hiotep)+soutoa (^,6 Miotep)
13/5/77

COMMUNAUTE
Tableau no:nvifrat jfentre
Exn.rr.on Pro ;*.r«rc:v*
Aoîî.nux
#deft r>v•Oirvar.Mcs nftxonnux T>r c j-;
.(actuels ). (cfrC0K/7TΛ')
enmio tep1976 19E0 itVJ&5^ ! "•973 n^cc ■5935 ΐ
I1*Product5.cn irt^râcureI
i
ICombustibles eolidec 183,7 185,6 184,2 200,1 198 191 à196 •
Petrole 22,4106,5à126,5TD,9à 160.9I
I11,8 112à142 111 à161
Gaz naturel 1 143,7U&7à154,7 h't^iBà 157,8I114,3 159à164 150à165 ;
IEnergie nucléaire •21,5 51,2 140,0 I14,1 64 182à189 !
I 1
JKydr.,...etautres j24,8 30,1 51,3 25,0 30 34 •
jTOTAL 396,1 I52^1 à54S,1b09^à67'*,2 J365,3 I563à598 !668à7^5 i
» ../
2»Iri^ortMions nettes»
i
i
jCombustibles solides 23,3 31,4 . 35,8 22,0 42,0 52à47 :
IPétrole 520,1 495,6àW,6554,6à48?,6580,9 517 à493 573à5lik :
Gaz naturel JL 12,2 47,0 78,7 3,6 59 94 j
IElectricité 1,2 3,3 3,6 2,1 2i.
1•
*»
jTOTAL –556,81 I577 ,3à552,3 672,7360*27 ΓP6o8,6 ||_620à£96 ]720à686 •
3»Consommation brute 2.«
.
JCombustibles solides 207,0 217,0 220,0 l222,1I240 *S243 ;
IPétrole 542,5 6CS,1à 597,1 p65,5à65q5592,7 629 à blh h705 •
i •
IGaznaturel – 155,9 19&,7à201,7 £21,5423.6,5 !I
I |117,9I218à223 244 à259 :
JEnergie nucléaire 21,5 51,2 .I140,0 !1^,1 64 182à1S9 .
Hydr ».... etautreo 26,0 33,4 34.9 27,1 32 35 i
1
TOTAL _J I952.9I 1.100,4 1.281,9 Q973,9 1.183 à1.194 1.388a 1.431'
4»Structure en# 1985 1985I
!
Produc­
tionlnpor -
tatior.s !Conaon - i
™.ation IProduc­
tionI:•!por­
tat.ion«5Cov.r.or - .
rciirr.
ICombustibles solides ^ 14,4 2,8 I17,2 13,8413,7 !3,7à 3,2 i17,5416,9 ;
JPétrole 8,6àl2,5 43,3à38,2 5l,9à50,7 8,0411,3 41,3à38,3 '♦9,3 ;
JGaznaturel 11,'à12,3 6,1 17,2418 ,I0,8àn,5 6,8à 6,6 17,6àl8,i ;
JElectricité13,4 0,3 13,7 15,5415,6 0,1 15,6415,7
t
1
ITOTAL R7,5à52,6 52,5à4.7,4 100,0□1^87^51,9 51,9à47,9 100,0
_1gaznaturel exprime enPCI Zycompris lesvariations desstocks
consommation intérieure :(usages nonénergétiques compris )+soutes
.4estimations desservices delaCommission pour laBelgiquo ,en1980 •

EUROPEAN COMMUNITY
Vîje–
600–
500–
400–
300-
200-
100–
0–
tflflfini
80
60
40
20
0INTERNAL PRODUCTION OFENERGY
MΊΤ
••
o••••!–I
!LJ
^11
*■ »!- '*η\1 Ι
SOLIOFUELSJ
tfl(OrsflOO*Or-CMCO-í J?cococococo(s,r^. ^51enoíenencr>enC7>ooígj2^►middleofrange
Production
netimporfs
IIII
L-CHANGES INNETIMPORTOEPENDENC EIN7.-600-
–500
–wo-700Mtoe
–300–
-200–
I–100-
t–4–I1–0--
ir>nationalpro-
°°grammeof&july19755ggrammeofS»
il0
-20
-Il«
Il»
Il'"A

EUROPEAN COMMUNlTVl "* : s..
UOOMtoe– 1 EE3–UOOM/I-
toe
1300- • I–1300–
ENERGYGROSSCONSUMPTION (bunkersincluded ) >
1200– -""~––1200–Ji
1100– --–1100–ji
'__P!« ij-ta I =#P*=]E3 1*1 – 11**- caB «w»-** II ■■-■'f-~soo~l!_^N:*.VIXM U-t---" •__ann_iI-„Η ί. ΉΗ-ιE3kds*•#Jpj•u•-r'• • k>-Hk:- -:r>-'•ttW••••••••-•••.• o
III- I
300-JL,–î!~ *♦–•*–*•–*•–.* |' •*––301-nir« » © ao *% !I •ΗΗΗΗΗΗηγΤ -π-τ1-+4-τι---π ΓΗΜΗuuuuuuu unun™„u\\ mi^
SI1MMMII3MMMMM M i
„r-iL.JLJLJLJS,JLJLJLJl,JLJ L_J_ 1*1Iip-iQ-J
♦middteofrange __nationalnrn-t–>locor~~ooenca,–ojro«a-ir>co o* lonauanaipru-es
UDUD"3"5"5 ^t to. S2grammes ofenenenenenen01enenenenen en j»iutv1975
220ιιιι\ιΊΜΙ IΤI" I " 'ΙΪ3220
200 : 1- il–200
1E0 :.ul'X'^^1 1–180'
* ■"
150 : ^ ^^ 11–1S0
* ■-–" "7*V'«
140 U ,y/. ^J 'r"
M–,J
M '■

BELGIQUE
Tableau comparatif entre
examen Prorra rr.mes nationaux
des T)rorrar.r.e5 nationaux Ρrecc dents
(actuels ) (efrCOK/76/9)
enmio tep1976 1980*^ 1985 1973 1980 1985
π:Production intérieure
Combustibles solides 4,810 *»9 5,6 5,0 5,0
Petrole
Gaznaturel (1) 0,059 0,0
Energie nucléaire 2,435 6.5 0,0 «♦,0 11,0
I Hydr .,... etautres 0,091 0,6 0,1
r...TOTAL 7.375 12,0Π 5iZ 9,0 16,0
1 u .
Ir.rort ntions net tes
Combustibles solides 4,832 6,5 6,1 6,0 6,0
Petrole 26,299(5 ) 33,6(5 ) 30,7 29,3 31,5
Gaznaturel (1) 8,761 12,5 7,3 13,0 20,0
Electricité -0,977 -0,6 . -0,2r TOTALl38,915(2 ) 52,0 [ |<3,9(2)'•8,3 57,5 H
M.– «P. » .•-«-. t
3.Consommation brute (5)*
i
i
Combustibles solides .9,642 11,4 11,7 11,0 11,0
Petrole 26,299 33;6 30,7 29,3 31,5
Gaznaturel (1) 8,800 12,5 . 7,3 13,0 20,0
Energie nucléaire
Hydr ., etautres1,549 6,5 -0,1 •4,011,0
r_TOTAL .|46.290 64,0Π 49,6 57,3 73,5 .
4.Structure en% 1985 π1985
Produc­
tionImpor­
tâtions_Consom­
mationProduc­
tionImpor­
tationsConsorr -
nntior !Γ Combustibles solides 7,6 10,2 17,8Π 6,8 8.2 15,θ]
PetroleI mm52,5 52,5■■ 42,8 42,8
IGaa naturel 19,5 19,5 27,2 '27,2 I
I_Electricité 11,1 -0,910,2 15,0 ^:5:U
L_TOTAL 18.7 81.3 100,0 □21.8 78.2 100.0
(1)gaznature !converti auPCI (2)ycompris leovariationo deactocks
j3)consommation intérieure (usages nonénergétiques' compris )+soutes
(4)information nonreçue (5)soutes noncommuniquées telles ontétéeetimées
parlesservices delaDGEnergie à3,5Miotepen1985 (2,8Kiotepen1976 )

BELGIQUE
PROOUCT IONINTERIEURE D'ENERGIE
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.PUEnergienucléaireIJHouille
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EVOLUTION OUDEGRE0EDEPENDANCE £NERGETIQUE EN%Lui–Hbmiotep
-u
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-10
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-4
-2
-0g-,projectionnation­alaiedejuillet1975
ppplil
~Production ! 1liiiiiiil
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i
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t I0■
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80
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70miotepCONSOMMATION BRUTED'ENERGIE IBELGIQUE | –70miotep
(soutescomprises )
60-r^rr––– : . -60energienucleaire . ■–Ex
EUDGaznaturel |
50_JH1Pétrole vLDCombustibles solides p™Fil)rri "",«û*0T® __-–rrtrr–;p|^
» l-H^~~ -.HH"
•-■ΗΜΗΗμ ΗΗΗΗΗΗ.. -41ΗΝ
petrol® ^II
2HIIHI1HIIH HHHHHHHH -II1Hhn
.1!!!!ii - •
1fiI111 combustibles solides I]
0uJftj»-lfjiHn.J* *"1fry-jP.*--J-- ^''fl
S £projectionnation-o.oicocncooio-).OTcd a> Qlcdcjuillet1975
"■iiriIiil IIIIil IIìIiJ•
,«0 PRODUITINTERIEURBRUTINDICE1970=180 L„.-– 150
CONSOMMATION BRUTE0'ENERGIE ''■ 0
uo––––– 140
120 L-–■– VVilW* 120
^100 : – 100
>0-""->■< : ; 1 80
–III
10 11 '–1 IIIIIIIIIso

Tableau comparatif entre.DANMARK
Examen » PropranmRS nationaux
dee T3rorrar .:ses nationaux preccdents
(actuels ) tcfr CCiV7 'V?)
enraio tep1976 1980 1985 1973 1920 1985
/ '
!Production intérieure
ICombustibles solides
IPétrole0.177 0,60 0,5 0,07 0,60 0,50
IGaznaturel«w
•»2,5-••
IEnergie nucléaire 1.2 ••
Hydr .,•••etautres 0,006 0,00 -
|TOTAL j0.183 0.60 b.2M 0.07 0.60 I
2*InPortntions nettes
ICombustibles solides •3,053 3,63 3,6 2,27 2,50 3,10
Petrole 16,551 18,2^13,1 17,98 19,30 22,20
IGaznaturel•» •• ••
IElectricité 0,281 «• I-0,0U •a
fTOTAL ia*8S5.(1)21.87 *<\Ju2 □2Γ).ΖΌ
J»Consomption brute (2> α
ICombustibles solides3,053 3,63 3,6 2,27 2,50 3,10
IPétrole16,728 13,6 18,05 19,90 22,70
IGaznaturel
mm2,5* ••
IEnergie nucléaire1,2
Hydr *,».•etautres 0,287 -0,0't
ITOTAL |!29.P68 .-22Λ7 ,20 .q□20,28 22 .bO 25.80Π
I*»•Structure en%1985 . π 1985J
Produc - Impor - *Consom -
tion tations mation πProduc - Inpor - Cor.ss.r .-
tion tatiors notiars
Combustibles solides
Pétrole
*'Gaz naturel
Electricité
TOTAL '17,2 17|2
'62,765,1
12.0 - 12,0
5,7 5,7,
–•mm mm mm mm mm mm mm mm mm mm mm,m»«
20.1 79.9' 100.012,0 12,0
1,9 86,1 .88,0
•• •• ••
•• – m
U2 Qfi.1 100.0
(1)ycompris lesvariations desstocks
(2)cons »int*(us*nonénergétiques compris )+soutes
••information nonreçue ■

DANMARK
INTERNAL PRODUCTION OFENERGY
[JNUCLEARENERGY
□0IL
QsOUOFUELS
IMtoe
3-
2-
1-
0– _E3_a\
_L_ïioiI-4Mtoe
-3
-2
-1
n.
ir>cococo
«*cnencoco
co
en€T>O«–col rs
enenen****en ,,LT>corxr>o)enooc)CD en
100
60
60
(0
20
SI
.NIΕΤ
Ι'!λΡ0RTS.lonationalprogrammes
o>ofjuly1975To
20
(I
8§
10
M
CHARGES INNETIMPORTDEPENDENCE .IN/.
» »

PANMARK ' NLI "
22MTOE _ H22MTOEENERGY GROSS CONSUMPTION I^":^ E5R-
: = ΙΙ -"«Ο,Ν,' -4520Ρ3 Μ '.·Ν·-Τ"1RA»™«O.OTBS RALJJ.*U\U!UN_=J.1 -S.KC_M-N-N-RETI -RM : ^
E3SOLIDFUELS K •I. •FW%UJ . I
ΓΠ Γ·1 ·Μ · .· ·Μ ·Μ · II•JM L* • •KL •• • I•• I I I
•J • ••M • I•MM •• I••• • L# • •K •• © •• •
17-·Η·–·Η*,Η® .–·Η·Η·Η4–·–ΚΗ· Ι-Π Μ2H:-N-:N-N:N>N: -N-:N:-N-N%N: -N%M N •.
«-.:Η:.Η:ΗΗ:Η.·Η·ΗΉ·Ή·Η:Η· . :·ΗΗ
•MMLIL*:• •™H -• ••: II···· ·· ®®®Φ·· Ι , · Β8-·–·–·–·–Β–Β–Β–·–Β–Φ–·–« ·– -8·®·® :·Β®®·©·® Ι ··®· ···®.·®Φ·· %Γ_*_· ·° .<* · Φ® · Φ®_· I . -Κ« ···*··· ΟΦΦ·· I 1 Λ• • ••K_K •• I•TOM • I
,. Ϋ,ΗΟ Ν.Ο Μ.Υ,-Π . Η -.Μ Μ( – -NmNNNNRRMR RRRRR F»EIS I INR
0L,LUUULLIJ_U_U ULIJU U U - FCJJLL *TOCOR^OOCNOT –CNJFO^TOOD O LO NATIONAL PROGROMMESco <J=> u=>cocor -^t^f~ - r-»p».t -.p^ ao °S ,..... ,£,caCR>EN Cri*en en CR>en EN CR>en en er* ? Co EN OFJULY IY/B
180 1 I I I I I I I I I I I L 1180
160–Μ–Η–––^-Η-––Κ :7– ΙΕΟ
140 . K–^ H0
120 H–H„NFT - ; 120
«MSS – I–R"^-I'8-''–
100 KJ – - : =-^^ 100
" CBOSSL«IW°CWMP™

Tableau comparatif entreDEUToCHLAtiD
axanen
desproçrairjes nationaux
(actuels ).
1976 1980 1985
cnmiotcpProrrarm c/snationaux
précédents
(cfrCC!:/70/?)
1973 1980 1985
1.Production intérieure
I■Combustibles solides 86.8 88 88 92.0 91 88
IPétrole 5.6 5 5 6,7 6"«si
Gaz-naturel 15.0 16 16 15,3 ;•}18 U9_...
IEnergienucléaire 5,019,5Ό,5 2.7 «28 57
Hvdr.,...etautres 3,0 h k H.0 !»
ITOTAL __J115.k1^2.5156.5 Iul120.7 T+7 123.J
2»Irnort^tions nettes
Combustibles solides -12,5-13(1)-12,5 -8,8 -h
IPetrole 150 157 T»3,1 15«t 171
IGaznaturel 23,035,5 «♦5 12,2 -Η3 52
jElectricité 0,5'3,5 5 2,H1 1
rTOTAL 1^5.8(1)176.0 19^.5GT<8.q(1)1942Ί6η
3.Consorrcntion brute(2)
Combustibles solides 7^,3 75 75,5 83,2 87 8^
Pétrole 1«t0,k;155 162 1^9,8 160 176
Gaznaturel 38,051,5 ,61. 27,5 61 71
IEnergienucléaire •5,019,5 H3,5 2,7 28 57
Hydr.,...etautres 3,57,5 9 6, 5__JLJ
ITOTAL |261.2 308.5-J£iJn269.6 12+1
I*4.Structureen% 1985 Π»
1985
Produc­
tionImpor-
tationsConsom­
mationProduc­
tionInpor-
tationsConsart-
moti5n
ICombustibles solides 25,1-3,521,6 22,k-1,021Λ
Petrole '1.*M,7h6,1 1,3 ^3,5 M»,8
Gaznaturel f,612,8 17,'♦\8 13,2 18,0
IElectricité13,5 1\9L15,5 0,3_15,8
TOTAL H,6 100.0uH.O 56.0100,0|
(1)ycomprislesvariations destocks
(2)consommation intérieure (usagesnoninercétiques compris)+soutes

IbOMtoe
150–
HO–
130-1-B.R.DEUTSCHLAND173-
INTERNAL PRODUCTION OFENERGY
"MStS_r=^=i Rnl_rt_KLm =_SJ^aJTitTtMTLF 11fV._.. >A ..0®,,«. O(___"0•""0•"1I.«._HO– r-^ ;î-.'p^^• •.cJ •.J•• ,.•inn > •©–- d–1•«-1»••■–•1UU. _£|-1rir-?• –j;^^~ii-:-,-"1- 4
su-:-f-H"•i~ri
7°-|-i-|.–|-[ t--■
-:11M ; ;; iEO-THHHH HH-HHHH
s*_;-|U-|ULj;_hUj■:r-1h.-ini"trHi■i
31-;-IHH--•-:HHRIHHHHHHHHHH RHLH:HH-HHHHHH r
Q rj^ fctf.Jfcuti-i LV,_4
ur>co ooo>op.pgro-jtlocornCOCO'COCOt**»t-*» f"»t*-*fNhsoCTcnu)o">.cnct)cdo)oicn0">
WU «•«•••!•«» «f»•*» •••••••»••♦ ••• ••• •83ipiüüiRüÜ0SÜPÜüÜiÜCSiÜTÜ iílíjl
••• ••«i*»•>••••••««•(••• iat *•»• •
θθ*·*■'·*·***™· '~»"·"·ί*^·"· Α|■'·*·' <*|*1|Τ*1»"·'"■**|~
4«·««Ι···Ι«|Γ*»·ιι«· >***, ··· «·· <♦··I··
20–– ί
NET IMP0RTS
n –:–L–LNATURAL GAS
::oil_"•i
-tl:
S0LI0FUELS
L.--150Mtoe
"150
*.fU0
-130
-120
"-110
-100
-90
-flO
-70
-60
r50
Uo
ko
-20•
-10
■0
co
cr>in
GOnationalprogrammes
S'ofju!y1975
To"
CHANGES INNETIMPORTDEPENDENCE ,IN%20-
40
60
90
100

380–MtoeB>R>DEUTSCHLAND I 393--^--380Mtoe
360- 1 » –I–360
ENERGYGROSSCONSUMPTION --Rih"0
320" ^",–320
300- s ––300Îio- £*L-i"" –M»
260- §3B- I 260
2M- es ! –2*0
99n– p^lf*q«3iltsJ•L-Ij––:*• – »–220rr^I4Ko•® -w-il •"u
160–·*–·–*·–·*–·–·.–I*– –·.'"1 I –ΙίΟΜ-·*–·*-*»–· *–·.–·.–·*–.*–.·–·*-.*–·. Ι ·.––«0
120–•–•–-*.h 1° -•-*j •-–120••••* ©■• ••••^ i' aloo–"–•-•–t-r~•–r.–#–•–•–#J II •––ioo
80- l–I r*~~–80
60– l|• ] j ■60«4-HN--------»»i«<« i Hk.
g f-.d t-J II fc-iL_l–lo
coct>C3«–evipi^u<(o cs ir»."otionotprogrammes
J«u3a3cotor -;P^i -»r^t -^r=;r~; ço co-i i,.!»1Q7CÍSO)oooeneneno>oenoen en o>J^iy
1607–^– ––– : :– –-^4i60
5
H0 \.■---" ■"-***'no
λ···-"- ι·-.ν*·
120 1 – ; "
60 1

FRANCE
Tableau comparatif entre
Examen Prorroir.noa nntionaux
des Brorrar.cos nationaux précédents
(actuels ) (Cf .rcuyvc -./?)
enmio tep1976 1980 1985I1973 198019S5J
1.Production intérieure
Combustibles solides 15,7 12,0
*J7,*» 17,2 15,0 11,0
Petrole 1.9 1,1* 0,9 1,9 1,3 1,0
Gaz naturel 5,9. 6,3 5,1 6,** 7,0 6,0
Energie nucléaire 3,5 15,056,0 3,3 15,6 60,0 .
Hvdr .,... etautres 10,9 13,71^,3 I 10,7 13,5-:?i°_J
rTOTAL . _j 2Zl2 Qh2 M 52J + 95,0 J
Ι{·2.Inrortfttiors nettes
Combustibles solides 13,6 16,0 16,6 I 11,5 17,0 19,0
Petrole .117,^ 133,1 126,1 127,2 131,0 113,0
Gaz naturel 11,2 18,1V"28,9 7,319,0 31,0
Electricité O.k -0,6 -1,3 -0,6
Γ_TOTAL j1^2,6(1 )166.6 170.3 Γ1^5.5 (1)I2Z1O 163.0
3.Consorrr.ation brute (2)
Combustibles solides 29,3 28,0 24,0 28,7 32,0 30,0
Petrole 119,3 13^,5 127,0 129,1 132,3 114,0
Gaz naturel 17,1 2b%k •"3^,0 ■ 13,7 26,0 37,0
Energie nucléaire 3,515,0 56,0 j 3,3 .15,6 60,0
L_liydr .,••• etautres 11,3 13,1 13,0L10,1 13,5 ._1z.*°J
TOTAL |I180.5 215.0 25A,o 185.0 mJt 258.0
1
Structure en% 1985 1985
Produc - Impor -Concom -ΠIProduc - Inpor - Consor .- I
|tion tûtions mation IJ Itjon tat 1or.n rrïti on
Combustibles solides .2,9 6,5 9,^π *S3 7.» 11,7
Petrole 0,tf ^9,6 50,0 0,^ ^3,8 *t<«,2
Gaz naturel 2,0 11,If 13,^ 2,3 12,0 1**,3
L_Electricité 27,7 -0,5 27,2 I 29,8 M
L_TOTAL L2x2 67.Q 100.0 M 26,8 –&i»2 iÇOJ ?
(1)ycompris lesvariations desstocks
(2)consommation (usages nonénergétiques Compris )+soutes

FRANCE
90-miotepPRODUCTION INTERIEURE D*ENERGIE
90miotep
80-
70-
60-
50–t-~-
3®~R^-3-g-l-l-N-l-l-!irrw•••.uuuuii umimbtte
•I4f •;•| 1>-•••«••
■_ODU■_}
■;m.I.• •
xulEt_^a L'.^J tuj *J.i '-t_j ,v_~i i.^.5gMii*lw-3I^v3fe Iivl^ ^-3L^-.Jlv>aL.i
wco ooo)o«-cmr) lnto(OtnU3m#r>fs «s.txfs,fxr-s(
Cnct>o>cr>a)encr>cr>cr>o>ct>en/
//
FT////
//
///
I
:iT
'ENERGIENUCLEAIRE |
I
|7--
-PETROLE _J--–-
COMBUSTIBLES SOLIDES la80
~70
~60
-50
"(0
~30
-20
~10
oo
an
100
80
60
(0
20Production
i'iHWHHtii.il ;
Importations nettesu->projection nationale
en.dejuillet1975
"10
28
(0
60
80
EVOLUTION DUDEGREDEDEPENDANCE ENERGETIQUE EN7.

.FRANCE I :' :
"260–miotep . I–|260miotep
Sw- CONSOMMATION BRUTED'ENERGIE(soutescomprises )
220– r"" ––220
I1-
20°- .^«τι πΓ"200
i!o–. ' ■m-ia– il r-–™
_ " ! .ΤΗ-μ-r-i==^••••JT• M ••
120-•_• n .•Hh™E3rasr • •
100- U%U.' •L_L«L_L*U .-LJ..PETROLE \HM«0
•rjKr.pju•nL*♦w• •«- K!K-H.'H-«.hr.K -hf. L*Hh«r.u.uu.«u.-wJJJ-P.u-u.• l-uu.
Κ··■»···«···· I ·
s FnHMWMk»JW• 4-J feJh-rinRhnjihnHTi ffnJ 11~Litn
totor~~.coctoo«–cnico into o tr>.projectionnationals
40COCOtoCO fs,fs,f"N GO CO•.....cncocnenoï o">o*cncncno cn cr>ÖCJUlllet19/b
200-r ~1 200
180 ci»l«^^ 180
,60 = ^ 160
KO &?^y–'
nn ~eaz-

Tableau comparatif entreIRELAND
Examen Prorrftr.r.fts nationaux
dos prorrarr.rrcs nationaux procodcnts
.(açtuels ) (cfrcc::/7>/9)
enmio tep1976 1980 1985 1973 19tO,
1985
1.Production intérieure
ICombustibles solides1,200 1,^80 1,*H0 1,020 1,250 1,360
IPétrole
IGaznaturel1,160 1,160 1,100 1,100
IEnergie nucléaire••
IHydr .,...etautres 0,172 0,182 0,182 l 0,170 0,160 0,160J
ITOTAL |I1,372 2.822 2.75 ?L Ii.iqo LJi'-aJ
r:Imortations nettes
Combustibles solides O.'HO 0,600 0.620 0,?10 0,630 0.630
Petrole (1) 5,2T »6,128 9,862 5,620 b.'tOO 8,C00
Goz naturel
Electricité0,010 - I
TOTAL ■ I 6.728 10.482 fj 6.V *0^ 7.010 8.610 I
Λ
3.Consor .rr.ntion brute (3)i
Combustibles solides 1,610 2,080 2,030
I1,730 1,880 2,010'
Petrole 5,21*t 6,126 9,862 5,620 6,400 8,coo
Gaa naturel 1,160 .••1,160 1,100 1,100
Energie nucléaire - mm ..
L_Hydr .,»•» etautres 0,172 0,1820,182L0,180 0,160 0,16°J
TOTAL 6.926 9.550 13..23LJ 7.5^0 Q.5iiO 11--?70
h.Structure en% 1985 Π 1985
Produc­
tion .1Impor -
tationsConsom­
mâtionProduc -
tionImpor­
tât 3orsConr ,or-
rot i■>n
Combustibles solides 10,6 ^,7 15,3π12,2 5,6 17,8
Petrole71»,5 7^,5 71,0 71,0
Gaz naturel8,8 8,8 9,8 9,8
IElectricité i1,1» 1,«t .M
ITOTAL J20.8 79.2 . 100.0 □,2?Λ JLUi ico.o
(1)soutes noncommuniquées telles ontétéestimées parleBservices delaDGEnergie
à0,1miotep (2)ycompris lesvariations desstocks
(3)cons .intér .(us.-.cpp.énerg .compris )+soutes

(-)
IRELAND
INTERNAL PRODUCTION OFENERGY
^HYDRO-ELECTRIC &OTHERS
£3NATURALGAS
OSOLIDFUELS
4–Mtoe
mm7777]ΠποirSolidfuels
U->COp*>COenCD•– CVJ<nintOtOCD C*-».f*-»c)cncr>cncr>cr>cr>cnLOtO
CT)CDOCD00
CT)
100
80
60
40
20
CHANGES INNETIMPORTDEPENDENCE .IN%oπ
yυπ–IMtoe
-2
0
}gnationalprogrammes
ofjuly1975
H!production]}!
.lUlliUit.il iai((i111/1El
1ϋ
Wf^
Netimports*20
40
60
80
100

IRELAND
^HYDRO-ELECTRICIOTHERS
^NATURALGAS
Non
t3S0LI0FUELSrj
EZν– 9
7771 * 9O
rTZΓ·ΊΡ'za « » ao
1–1«1–1•I–-I LJLJ
«•i
Ο
•II*
οMlJS#4Jηr–nu-■•L[•
r–ir ι i 9 VΠl
IΠr
LJyuLLJLL.LJ
LT>CO com CD OJ
COcoco COtor»-.
encr>en
r–■OT»enenenenPF
LDr-«
enenco
en
220
200
180
160
110
120
100
10I-HU­<>X',
LJ
so1idfuels
C3
CD
en
'W••\«
s
Ί,ν'·12Mtoe
-10«
-Β
~6
~k
-2
0
Jgnationalprogrammes
®2ofJuly1975
220
200
180

IÏÂLIA
Table auconpcra tifentr e
Exan-.on Proprpr-Tr.os nationo'j ?:
des propre r.".?5 nationaux précédents
(actuels ) (cfr CC,"./?6/9)
ennio tep1976 19oO 1985 1973 19t0 1925 !
1
I1*Production intérieureι
ICombustibles solides1,2 1,2 0,3 0,3 0,3
Pétrole 1.1 3,0 3,0 1,1 3,0 3,0
IGaznaturel12,9 1*+,0 15,0 12,8 17.0 22,0
IEnergie nucléaire 0,8 2,0 15,5 0,7 2,0 ;29,0-35,6
IHydr .,...etautres 11,1 LJ2?i _LJlL .11,612,1-12,3 !
TOTAL 25^6 21^3 k£_2I?k-nLiu L
2mImportations nettes
• Combustibles solides10,1 i11,5 . 13,7 ! 7,7 12,7 12,7
jPetrole 96,7 11'»,5 j131,9 101,6 109,9-'20,9m9,5-155 ,6
» Gaz naturel !9,0 12,7 19,7 1,716,2 19,0
i tiectricite 0,2 0,2.........-
|TOTAL • I116,0(1 )138,7 MA5.J 111 .2(1) 1151,^-187.3
1
3*Consommation brute (2)
Combustibles solides 11,3 12,7 15,2 8,013,0•13,0
Pétrole 97,8 117,5 13^,9 102,7 ΤΕ,9-123,9 1225-158.6
IGoznaturel 21,9 26,7. 3^,7 . T+,5 33,2 *H,0
IEnergie nucléaire 0,8 2,0 15,5 0,7 2,0 29,0-35,6
Hydr .,... etautres 11,1 9,311,6 12,1-12,3
TOTAL 1^1,6 |Γ170,0 211,5 π135.2 ||l72,7-l£'3,7 [?17,6-2jO,5
H.Structure en%' 1985 1985J
Produc -|Inpor - IConsoni -ΠProduc - Ir.por -IConsom -I
tion tntions mation tion tatior.s r.-ition
Combustibles solides 0,7 6,5 7,2π 0,1 >,9-^,9 6,0-5,0
JPétrole 1Λ 62,U 63,8 1,^-1,2 A9-59,7 56,3-60,9
I Gaznaturel7,1 9,3 16,k10,1-8,k5,7-7,3 18,8-15,7
Electricité 12,6 12,6 18,9-18, 18,9-18 ,M
jTOTAL . I21.8 I78,2 ,|100.0J?0,g-28,lj 59.5-71.9 100.0
(1)ycompris lesvariations destocks
(2)cons .int»(us*nonénerg *compris )+soutes

ITALIA
50miotep–PRODUCTION INTERIEURE D'ENERGIE
40-FCSJHYORAULIQUE ♦AUTRES
40–i–i
1JEHERCIENUCLEAIRE
EJGAZNATURAL
30-&ETR0LE
QCOMBUSTIBLES SOLIDES
20-
10–J366,4
TT
^MWfâRMv.iK:Jv.IV.r~i t– r u•~<f.oiw>°ï••<..r._d r•««^ Τ77I#9«ΕΒ*Β·Ο«IΒΒΒ|Λ·<IΒΟ·[%Β]ΓΟ«]–τ»βο0οββ<ο'°V®Γ·βι\°<β°Λ °°*Γ.··γ%ο]{·»ι•VI· »··»°··*· ρ»ι«♦<«ογ®.ι Γβ·ι*· 9α Λ9ββ<1«(£·βΟα<θ«·Ο ΟΛ«Ιο1Ι*,Ί···>βο··.«·ββ·ΓββοI «·»·°€,«[*°ά1·®«|··λ9°Λ·2·βI® °ζ®■Μ5ϋ•V·.·..··.··.%·1·Λ «β»ι ··Ν.4Γ.··Η
>°*ο-ί-1»··/*Γ«βο0®1"ίβ" *·*Γ·β1Γ*1ο Ο |*^ Ο"Ε 99 »ξ9θ]ΚΟ-ώ-Ι
o•TUIPG^ BJLISAAAA
IT)ODfsCOO)Or–CMfrj |_otDcococotocor-* r*-«r-«-r-%r-^ c–.
encdenenenocx>o">ctícoenenhydraulique
R
gaznaturel
-netToTe"Μ
HD••
••
•ι–50miotep
40
-30
-20
-10
0
C3
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en
100
80
60
40
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EVOLUTION DUDEGREDEDEPENDANCE ENERGETIQUE EN%Jgprojection nation­alaiedejuillet1975
i0
20
40
60
60
100

ITALIA |
zooiniotepCONSOMMATION BRUTE0"ENERGIE(soutescomprises]
100-^^HYDRAULIQUE *AUTRES
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180
160
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combustibles solidesU£-200miotep
-180
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-120
-100
-80
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C'-
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oiedejuillet1975
m180
160
rcy-

LUXEMBOURG }
Tableau comparatif entre
Sxanion Prorrar.r.cn nationau x ■
dc3 prorçrar-.cs nationaux prcc'.'dcr.tu
(actuels ) (cfrCC?V?6 /9) '
enmio tep 11976 1960 ( 1985 ( 1973 19c0 19£5
Γ
r:Production intérieure> I
Combustibles solides
Petrole m
Gaz naturel
Energie nucléaire 1,0 0,97L Hydr ., ...etautres 0,02 0,0 0,02 0,01 0,01
ΓTOTAL 0.02 0.0 IlQL 0.02 0.01 0^91
[7 Inrortfiti ons nettes*
Combustibles solides 1,90 2,5 2,0 2,50 2,33 2,10
Petrole 1,45 2,0 2,5 1,68 2,00 2,52
Gaz naturel 0,41 0,5- 0,5 0,22 0,35 0,35 I
Electricité 0,86 1,0 0,5 0,67 0,7k:I
[TOTAL -J ^,62(2 )6,0 ■5.5 IΓ 5.07(2 )5.42 V9Z_]
3.Conson -Tiation brute (3)
Combustibles solides 1,90 2,5 2,0 2,50 2,33 - 2,10
Petrole 1,45 2,0 2,5 1,68 2,00 2,52
Gaz naturel 0,41 0,5 , ••0,5 .. 0,22 0,35 0,35
Energie nucléaire 1,0 0,97
Hydr .,...etautres 0,88 1,0 0,5 0,69 0,75_^JL_TOTALIM*! 6.0 6,5U 5*09 5.93 I
Structure en% 1985 _1985
Produc - Impor -
tion tationsConsom­
mationProduc - Impor -
tion tationsConsom -1
nition
Combustibles solides 30,8 30,8Π 35,3 35,3 I
Petrole 38Λ 38,It 42,3 42,3
Gaz naturel 7,7 7,7 5,9 5,9
L_Electricité 15,^ 7,7 23,1 16,5tm16,5 |
L_TOTAL 15.4 8^.6 100.0 u 16,5 JiJ5 1PP.0 I
(1)estimation desservices delaCommission
(2)ycompris lesvariations desstocks
(3)consommation intérieure (usages nonénergétiques compris )

LUXEMBOURG
PR0DUCT10N INTERIEURE 0'ENERGIE
into
CO*CO
enen
100
80
60
(0
20
0énergienucléaire-imiotep
-0
to
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CO
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rvrxoocr>en-J­r-^
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entr>
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en
Importations nettesd'energie
i io
20
(0
60
60
100
EVOLUTION OUDEGREDEDEPENDANCE ENERGETIQUE EN%
«
»

LUXEMBOURG
CONSOMMATION BRUTED'ENERGIE
6miotep~. _ n6miotepg) L_L-^l^l~T>Lucl!*!rLmF=^1ISâH~rrr~r""_–'""""LJ~TCAZ_NATUREL ><–
ι-^^τ3-θ4^ή ::ϊ^ή^γ·> -&-θ'ί... :·ημ<
*3ramRKM:c-•:••m^-^-Η-^-^ΙΗ-::-:: κπγ3nhnnnnnnn 1:~hH""" i-----mi-•
1-HWMMMW-1---- COMBUSTIBLES SOLIDESM-JL-im nn
0LJl.il.*JLJLJl.JkJLJLJLJLJ LJ LJ1I.iotor -^eocr>c=»r -cviro~3'ir>to <=> ir>proiectionnationaleco-cotoascor^r^r^r^r^r^r ^ oo .co ..enenenenenenenenenenenen cr> enQCjuillct1975
160||| I|j||j!,, 1 1160
U0 ; a<r^'-1uo« :Ur^^^hr^''

NEBERLAKD
Tableau comparatif entre
Examen Programmes nationau *
desprogrammes nationaux précédente *
(actuels) ; (çfrCOK/76/9)
cnmiotep II1976 1980 19«5y1973 1980
h-Production intérieure :!
Combustibles solides . M 1,2 !"•
Petrole 1,6 1,5 1,5 1,6 1,6 1,6
Gaznaturel 7M 77,2 68,0 5M 80,6 67,0
Energienucléaire 0,80,8 2,3 0,2 0,8 5,5
Hydr.,...et-autres
r-TOTAL Γ77.3 79.5 7*1.*8n57.a83,0"~7«,Τ I
•1
Importations nettes
Combustibles solides 2,9 5,1 &,3 2,0 5,1 7,2
I
\Pétrole 36,7 Vt,161,5 39,7 55,0 70,0
f
!Gaznaturel -h1.2-39,8-36,9-25,7 -38,1
r
ί
IElectricité -0,3
F"TOTAL ~ 9A~"30.9~π15,7(2)"17,2'~39,1Ί
CorwsorcniHtion bruto(3)
Combustibles solides 2,9 5,1 6,3 3,2 5,1 7,2
Petrole 38,3 •♦5,663,0 «♦1,356,6 71,6 !
Gaznaturel 33,7 37,^31,1 29,1 37,7-28,9
Energienucléaire 0,8 0,8 2,3 0,20,8 5,5
Hydr.,...etautres -0,3
TOTAL lI75.7 88,9~~*102,-7□~73.5~100,2 113.2 ί
Ik*Structure en% 1985 n 1985
Produc-Impor-Consom-
tion tation3 mationProduc-Impor-Consorc-
tiontations mation
Combustibles solides
Pétrole
Gaznaturel
Electricité
TOTAL6,1 6,1
1,559,9 61,4
66,2-35,930,3
2,2 -2,2
6?.?3o7l "Ïoô.ô~6%k6tk
1Λ 61,963,3
59,3-33,8 25,5
*♦,8-4,8
65.53C5"0Ô,Ô"
(2)ycomprislesvariations des6tocko
(3)consommation intérieure t(usagesnonénergétiques compris)♦soutes

NEDERLAND
p_;]NATURALGAS
risOLIO FUELS1INTERNALPRODUCTION OFENERGY
J Gnuclear energv
?80-Mtoerin01L
70-
60-
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100
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orts
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ofjuly1975
~i0T
20
40
60
00
100

NEDERLAND I
iooMto2ENERGYGROSSCONSUMPTION (bunkersincluded) fen
90-„ - P=r L>ÂMh90IINUCLEARENERGY nuclear-''II h'A
80-7E... I! :::H4-BO,
L^£jNATURALCAS p==-S™1 E3tin~i I!^'SHI70
60-OS0LI°FÜELS r..<–i:°"J–[":"*•]–t:•*–L:>1naturalgasIj" \•rir~60
«;η- ρη^ν·ι^.:ϊΐ^»^ίϊμ -ί:.·4-ί··.Μ·..·ι ί-η ·μμ5οsu~ D<n^ri^nv::rT'Vrív.rt :-ry.w _^ *nr3U ^ρ.·Ι··Ρ.νι··.ΚΜΓΓ.1·.ΊΙϊ.· .II Ι·
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0^LJL_JLJtJILJkJI.Tir-i -coalL.J LJL-l0
t_r>cor-.cocoo,–«virola-Loto 0 s2nationalprogrammeslOCOtocotDr^tN.^r ^ co 22..1ft,ècr>enenenencr>enen•cr>enenen co pfjuiY197b
1B01 1 1 1r 1 1 1 1 1 1f–I 1 1 1m II180Λ>·'·
160 : 1 1' 1160
H0 : ~~7Z~
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100– ^ 1
so^

UNITED KING 1)0-1
Tableau comparatif entre
Exanen ProfrrGrrnes nn.ti onaux
des pror r.ir-os natîonaux pr(-codcr.ts
Cactiiols ) (cfrCC'.:/7b/n)
1976 196Ο 1985 1973 19ÊO 1985
enmio tep
1#Production intérieure
ICombustibles solides 7h 78 81 82,8 85 85à9C
IPétrole 12 95à115 100à150 0Λ 100 u1;J0 100 à150
IGaznaturel 35 35àl>035à50 2H,9I35à^0 35à5C
IEnergie nucléaire 9 11 14 7,2 Tf 19
IHydr .,...etautres 1 1 1,0 1IJ I
lTOTAL I 131 220 à2^3 231 à296UL. l2ili2Z0j IPkO ?.-T>l
2»Ir.rortatior.s nettes
Combustibles solides 0 -1 -2,2 5aO
IPétrole 85 -2à-2719à 113 , 10à-25 35à-30
IGaznaturel 1 8 9 0,7 10 10
IElectricité 0 -
ITOTAL " .8g 6À-1927è-38U 111.9 LêP.A.ri ?Lioi^sd
■»
J#Contornata onbrute
Combustibles solides 73 78 80 80.6 85 - 90 .
Pétrole 9793à88119 à104 113,8 110 à105 135 à120
IGaznaturel 36 ^3à.*8Wà59 25,6 45à50 <♦5à60
Enerrie nucléaire 9 11 1* 7.2 Tt 19
Hydr .,... etautres 1 1 1 _J.__1_J
ITOTAL |I216I!226 II258UI2?8,3 ]255I2<?0J
M-.Structure en 55 1985 1985
Produc - Impor - 1Consorr -ΠProduc - IIrcror - IC0r.sc.7 - I
l tion tatior.s !mation tion Itatiors |nation
jCombustibles solides 31.^31,4 -0,^ 31,0 29,3à31,0 1,7 31,0
IPétrole38,7à58,1 7,^-17,8 H^là'iO .3pH,5â51,7 12,0à-1Q3 5à1»1,3
Gaz naturel 13,6α19Λ 3,5 17,1à22,9 12,1à17,3 3,5 15.6a 20,£
IElectricité5,8 M 5,8L -i'±J
|TOTAL 89.11*1.7I.100.0 1u82.8^106.91 17.2à-6.9100.0 !

rINTERNAL PRODUCTION OFENERGY
220-
200-pgHYDRO-ELECTRIC♦OTHERS□NUCLEAR ENERGY
10fl-E3KATURALGAS
_non
160OSOLIDFUELS250-Mioe–UNITED KINGDOM-Γ"Ι–1–Τ-^ϋΜτδίΙρ
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60::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::ij;:-:-'-?:j:':jM:::::::::::::::::::::::::: 'H–w
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20 1-j1 ^ : !I80
aLcHAKGES INNETIMPORTDEPENDENCE IH7. r–..__L\F^ioo i-CHAKGES INHETIMPORTDEPENDENCE .INV.

UNITED KINGDOM
EhYORO -ELECTRIC.OTHERS
ENERGYGROSSCONSUMPTION (bunkersincluded !
EJOÏL
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"coHSUMPTlW♦0.9°/.july19751,
1FHlBO
1^7H0
– I'120

OéDenses^'investissements danslesecteurdel'énergie (1976-1985 ;
MrdUCE
mrôI' I N ΒUK Irl. DKEUR
Γ7Ϊ7(2)*K1)(2>I(1)!(2)IΙα; '(1)(2)CD <2>C1)(2)(1)(2?(1)(2)I(1)UiU
!Combust,sol*.π6>966,960,53 j0,30 0,01 0,080,073,805,90„060,06 11,4313,30
IHydrocarbures 19,2919,2914,3012,555,997,588,478,871,761,2732,9431,70,680,390,4.11,3883,8483,03
Nueléaire 0,600,6023,8423,8417,8713,12 I15,569,«51,601,635,002,759,813,40,38 0,830,7375,4955,52
I
Nonnucléaire 2,312,310,812,105,294,501,951,800,600,6612,907,90,120,550640,3524,6220,17
Transp.S22.2022.209.198.45!8,677,556,225,053,763,328,698,50,540,61 10,340,3259,6156,00
Idistr.d'élec.LJ
Total 0,600,6074,674,6^2,736,5235,5129,0918,1417,3511,208,0768,1457,4,,781,6l|2,222,78254..99(228,02
Sources(1)Prévision desdépenses'd'investissementsau1.1.76pourlapériode1976-1985
COM/ENER(76)15.Rapportsurlesinvestissements énergétiques danslesecteurdel'énergie.
(Prixettauxdechangeau31.12.1976 ).
(2)Prévision desdépensesd'investissements au1.1.77pourlapériode1976-1985
Enquête 1977:Examendesprogrammes nationaux .
(prixettauxdechangeau31.12.1976 )
*Estimation inchangé ?parrapportauCOM/ENER(76)15.
t*
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mx
m