++++

REVISION OF THE REPORT ON THE OUTLOOK FOR THE COMMUNITY COAL MARKET IN 1981

CONTENTS

I . SUMMARY*3*

II . THE ECONOMIC SITUATION IN THE COMMUNITY*3*

III . COAL DEMAND BY SECTOR*4*

1 . STEEL INDUSTRY*4*

2 . POWER STATIONS*4*

3 . OTHER INDUSTRIES AND*4*

4 . DOMESTIC SECTOR*4*

IV . COMMUNITY COAL PRODUCTION*5*

1 . PRODUCTION STATISTICS*5*

3 . DEVELOPMENT IN PRODUCTION CAPACITY*5*

V . COAL PRICES*5*

1 . DEVELOPMENT OF LIST PRICES*5*

2 . COKING COAL*5*

3 . STEAM COAL*5*

VI . COKE*6*

1 . COKING CAPACITY*6*

2 . COKE PRODUCTION AND COAL SUPPLIES TO COKING PLANTS*6*

VII . TRADE IN COAL AND COKE*6*

1 . INTRA-COMMUNITY TRADE*6*

2 . TRADE WITH THIRD COUNTRIES*6*

( A ) IMPORTS*6*

VIII . COAL AND COKE STOCKS*7*

TABLES

ANNEX I*SOME STATISTICS FOR GREECE*8*

TABLE 4 A*STEEL PRODUCTION IN THE FIRST HALF YEAR*8*

TABLE 4 B*PRODUCTION OF PIG IRON IN THE FIRST HALF YEAR*9*

TABLE 8 A*GROSS ELECTRICITY GENERATION*9*

TABLE 11*HARD COAL PRODUCTION*10*

TABLE 13 AND 14*PERSONNEL EMPLOYED UNDERGROUND AND OUTPUT PER MAN/HOUR*10*

TABLE 19 A AND B*LISTED PITHEAD PRICES FOR COMMUNITY COAL AT 1 JULY 1980 , 15 JANUARY AND 1 JULY 1981*11*

TABLE 22*COKE OVEN COKE PRODUCTION*13*

TABLE 26*IMPORTS OF COAL FROM THIRD COUNTRIES*13*

THIS IS A FOLLOW UP TO THE REPORT ON THE COMMUNITY COAL MARKET IN 1980 AND THE OUTLOOK FOR 1981 COMPILED AT THE BEGINNING OF THIS YEAR , AND CALLED HEREAFTER THE ORIGINAL REPORT ( 1 ) .

IT AMENDS AN NUMBER OF PASSAGES OF THE REPORT IN THE LIGHT OF DEVELOPMENTS IN THE FIRST SIX MONTHS OR RECENT ESTIMATES FOR THE WHOLE OF 1981 .

THE NUMBERING OF THE TEXT AND TABLES IS AS IN THE ORIGINAL REPORT . THE FIGURES IN THE TABLES RELATE TO THE FIRST SIX MONTHS OF THIS YEAR AND THE CORRESPONDING PERIODS OF 1979 AND 1980 , AND REFER GENERALLY TO THE NINE .

A SPECIAL ANNEX ( I ) GIVES A BRIEF OUTLINE OF THE MINING AND IRON AND STEEL INDUSTRIES IN GREECE FOR THE PERIOD 1976 TO 1980 .

( 1 ) OJ NO C 123 , 25 . 5 . 1981 .

I . SUMMARY

DURING THE FIRST SIX MONTHS OF 1981 , AND NO DOUBT FOR THE YEAR AS A WHOLE , COAL DEMAND IN THE COMMUNITY WAS AND WILL BE SLIGHTLY DOWN ON THAT FOR THE CORRESPONDING PERIOD OF 1980 . THE DOWNTURN IS , HOWEVER , LIKELY TO BE LESS THAN THAT FOR OTHER FORMS OF PRIMARY ENERGY , WITH THE EXCEPTION OF LIGNITE , CONSUMPTION OF WHICH IS HOLDING UP .

THIS TREND IS MAINLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE PERSISTANT WEAKNESS OF THE ECONOMIC ACTIVITY IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR . CONSEQUENTLY , THE LEVEL OF - PARTICULARLY COAL-BASED - ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION HAS BEEN LOWER THAN EXPECTED . THERE HAS BEEN NO IMPROVEMENT IN STEEL PRODUCTION . THERE IS STILL LITTLE SHIFT FROM OIL TO COAL IN OTHER INDUSTRIES AND LARGE ( CENTRAL ) HEATING SYSTEMS . INDIVIDUAL DOMESTIC CONSUMERS ARE REDUCING THEIR HEATING REQUIREMENTS IN RESPONSE TO PRICE INCREASES .

ON THE SUPPLY SIDE , THERE WAS A SLIGHT DECLINE IN COMMUNITY PRODUCTION IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ALTHOUGH IT HAD TO FILL A NUMBER OF GAPS IN SUPPLY FROM THIRD COUNTRIES . BUILD-UP OF PRODUCERS' STOCKS HAS BEEN HELD IN CHECK BY THE INCREASE OF INTRA-COMMUNITY TRADE AND EXPORTS OF COMMUNITY COAL TO THIRD COUNTRIES .

II . THE ECONOMIC SITUATION IN THE COMMUNITY

AS FORECAST IN THE ORIGINAL REPORT THE COMMUNITY ECONOMY IN THE MIDDLE OF 1981 WAS BEGINNING TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF RECOVERY ; THERE WERE INDICATIONS OF AN IMPROVEMENT IN THE EUROPEAN BUSINESS CYCLE AND AN EASING OF WORLD OIL MARKET PRESSURES . IT SEEMS FAIRLY CERTAIN THAT INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION REACHED ITS LOW POINT IN THE EARLY MONTHS OF THE YEAR , AFTER DECLINING FOR SOME 15 MONTHS , BUT SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINS AS TO THE TIMING AND SIZE OF AN EVENTUAL RECOVERY . FOR 1981 AS A WHOLE , GDP VOLUME IS EXPECTED TO HAVE DECLINED BY ABOUT 0,5 % , WITH AN IMPROVING SECOND HALF LEADING TO AN EXPANSION OF ABOUT 2 % IN 1982 . THIS IS UNLIKELY TO BE SUFFICIENT TO HALT , THE RISE IN UNEMPLOYMENT - ALREADY 8,3 % OF THE CIVILIAN LABOUR FORCE IN AUGUST 1981 - BUT SOME SLOW-DOWN IN THE RATE OF INCREASE SHOULD NEVERTHELESS OCCUR AND UNEMPLOYMENT COULD BE JUST UNDER 9 % .

ON THE NEGATIVE SIDE , THE COMMUNITY ECONOMY HAS SUFFERED FROM HIGHER INTEREST RATES AND THE GENERAL INTERNATIONAL MONETARY INSTABILITY , WITH A SHARP DEPRECIATION OF THE ECU OVER THE LAST 12 MONTHS . IN TIME , THIS DEPRECIATION SHOULD LEAD TO AN EXPANSION OF EUROPEAN EXPORTS .

THIS DEPRECIATION OF THE ECU MEANS THAT EUROPE IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING A WAVE OF IMPORT PRICE INCREASES AS SEVERE AS IN 1980 WHEN OIL PRICES WERE THE MAIN CAUSE . THIS IS SERIOUSLY RETARDING PROGRESS IN REDUCING INFLATION . THE AVERAGE CONSUMER PRICE RISE IS NOW EXPECTED TO BE 11,5 % IN 1981 AND COULD WELL BE STILL AS HIGH AS 10,5 % IN 1982 .

III . COAL DEMAND BY SECTOR

1 . STEEL INDUSTRY

( TABLES 4 A AND 4 B )

COMMISSION DECISION NO 1831/81/ECSC OF 24 JUNE 1981 INTRODUCED A MONITORING SYSTEM AND NEW SYSTEM OF PRODUCTION QUOTAS FOR CERTAIN PRODUCTS FOR STEEL FIRMS ( 1 ) . THIS HAS BEEN SUPPLEMENTED BY COMMISSION DECISIONS NO 1832/81/ECSC TO NO 1836/81/ECSC OF 3 JULY 1981 ( 2 ) .

IN THE FIRST SIX MONTHS , STEEL PRODUCTION FELL BY 7,5 % ( AROUND 5 MILLION TONNES ) AND PIG IRON PRODUCTION BY 6 % ( 2,8 MILLION TONNES ) COMPARED WITH THE SAME PERIOD OF THE PRECEDING YEAR ( SEE TABLE 4 ) . FOR THE YEAR AS A WHOLE , STEEL PRODUCTION COULD REACH 125 MILLION TONNES AND CONSEQUENTLY THE FIGURE OF 51,3 MILLION TONNES FOR COKE CONSUMPTION IN THIS SECTOR IS STILL VALID .

2 . POWER STATIONS

THE INCREASE IN ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION FORECAST FOR 1981 ( 3,9 % COMPARED WITH 1980 ) WILL CERTAINLY NOT BE REALIZED . A VERY SLIGHT INCREASE OR STAGNATION OR EVEN A DECLINE IN CONSUMPTION IS EXPECTED PARTICULARLY SINCE AN EFFECT OF A RECESSION IS OFTEN A REDUCTION IN THE USE OF EQUIPMENT WHICH CONSUMES LARGE AMOUNTS OF ELECTRICITY AND THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT IT MAY BE REPLACED BY MORE ECONOMICAL FACILITIES .

COAL CONSUMPTION IN POWER STATIONS MAY CONSEQUENTLY DROP SLIGHTLY IN ABSOLUTE TERMS IN 1981 BUT BY NO MEANS TO THE SAME EXTENT AS OIL OR NATURAL GAS CONSUMPTION , WHICH FELL BY 10 AND 16 % RESPECTIVELY IN THE FIRST HALF OF 1981 . IN THE UNITED KINGDOM , CONSUMPTION OF PRIMARY ENERGIES OTHER THAN COAL HAS ALREADY FALLEN TO A MINIMUM OWING TO PRICE RELATIVITIES , SO THAT COAL CONSUMPTION IN POWER STATIONS BEARS THE BRUNT OF ANY DECLINE IN ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION . IN FRANCE IT HAS BEEN HIT BY THE INCREASE IN NUCLEAR ENERGY PRODUCTION WHICH NOW ACCOUNTS FOR MORE THAN 40 % OF THE ELECTRICITY GENERATED . COAL CONSUMPTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY IN THE FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY AND BELGIUM .

3 . OTHER INDUSTRIES

AND

4 . DOMESTIC SECTOR

SUPPLIES TO THE INDUSTRIAL SECTOR BARELY MAINTAINED THEIR ESTIMATED LEVEL OF 14 MILLION TONNES . THERE IS , HOWEVER , A TREND TOWARDS THE CONVERSION OF INDUSTRIAL INSTALLATIONS FROM OIL TO COAL , PARTICULARLY IN SECTORS USING FURNACES AND KILNS ( CEMENT AND BRICK INDUSTRIES , ETC . ) BUT , AS YET , THIS IS LIMITED IN SECTORS USING BOILERS .

CONVERSION AID HAS ALREADY BEEN INTRODUCED , PARTICULARLY IN FRANCE , IRELAND , GERMANY AND THE UNITED KINGDOM . IT SHOULD BE POSSIBLE TO EVALUATE THE FIRST EFFECTS OF THESE MEASURES BY THE END OF THE YEAR .

IS SHOULD BE NOTED THAT IN FRANCE THERE ARE PLANS FOR A FAIRLY LARGE NUMBER OF COAL-FIRED PLANTS WHICH WILL SUPPLY HEAT TO BOTH INDUSTRY AND HOMES .

TO FACILITATE SUPPLIES TO CONSUMERS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM BEFORE NEW PRODUCTION UNITS IN WALES ARE READY , THE COMMISSION HAS EXTENDED THE MIXED SYSTEM OF IMPORTS AUTHORIZED IN 1980 FOR ONE MORE YEAR IN RESPECT OF 0,1 MILLION TONNES ADMINISTERED JOINTLY BY THE PRODUCERS AND THE TRADE .

THE INCREASE IN PRICE OF HIGH-GRADE COALS , CAUSED PARTICULARLY BY THE REDUCTION IN DELIVERIES FROM THE SOVIET UNION , IS RESULTING IN DECREASED CONSUMPTION , AND THE PROBLEM OF FINDING OTHER GRADES RAISES DIFFERENT PROBLEMS .

( 1 ) OJ NO L 180 , 1 . 7 . 1981 , P . 1 .

( 2 ) OJ NO L 184 , 4 . 7 . 1981 , P . 1 .

IV . COMMUNITY COAL PRODUCTION

( TABLE 11 )

1 . PRODUCTION STATISTICS

COMMUNITY COAL PRODUCTION AGAIN FELL SLIGHTLY IN 1981 . DURING THE FIRST SIX MONTHS OF THE YEAR IT STOOD AT 125 MILLION TONNES COMPARED WITH 126 IN THE PRECEDING YEAR .

COMMUNITY COAL PRODUCTION FOR THE YEAR AS A WHOLE MAY BE 244 MILLION TONNES , 3 MILLION TONNES LOWER THAN IN 1980 . OPENCAST PRODUCTION IN THE UNITED KINGDOM , WHICH WAS VERY HIGH TOWARDS THE END OF 1980 , WAS LIMITED AS A RESULT OF THE GENERAL ECONOMIC SITUATION AND THE HIGH LEVEL OF STOCKS .

3 . DEVELOPMENT IN PRODUCTION CAPACITY

A RATIONALIZATION PROGRAMME AIMING AT THE CLOSURE OF A NUMBER OF MARGINAL PITS WAS OPPOSED BY THE MINERS . IN RESPONSE TO THESE REACTIONS , THE UNITED KINGDOM GOVERNMENT GRANTED FRESH AIDS , ENABLING THESE MINES TO BE KEPT OPEN .

1981 WILL BE THE FIRST IN 10 YEARS THAT COAL PRODUCTION WILL NOT FALL IN FRANCE . AN ENERGY POLICY DEBATE BY PARLIAMENT IS SCHEDULED FOR THE AUTUMN .

IN BELGIUM A NATIONAL SOCIETY FOR THE FINANCING OF THE COAL INDUSTRY WAS ESTABLISHED BY ROYAL DECISION OF 29 JUNE 1981 .

V . COAL PRICES

( TABLES 19 A AND 19 B )

1 . DEVELOPMENT OF LIST PRICES

SINCE THE PUBLICATION OF THE ORIGINAL REPORT THE LIST PRICES FOR COMMUNITY COAL HAVE CHANGES AS FOLLOWS :

- BELGIUM :

INCREASE FROM 3 TO 8 % IN MAY 1981 .

- FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY

INCREASE FROM 5 TO 8 % FOR INDUSTRIAL COAL IN MARCH 1981 AND FROM 2 TO 8 % FOR HOUSEHOLD COAL IN APRIL 1981 .

- FRANCE :

INCREASE ON 1 JANUARY 1981 FROM 27 TO 43 % FOR POWER-STATION COAL , WHOSE PRICES HAD BEEN STABLE FOR A YEAR , INCREASE FROM 11 TO 16 % FOR INDUSTRIAL COAL IN FEBRUARY AND FROM 14 TO 27 % FOR HOUSEHOLD COAL IN APRIL 1981 .

- ITALY :

INCREASE IN THE PRICES FROM 21 TO 25 % IN THE FIRST HALF-YEAR .

THE RATE OF INCREASE IN 1981 IS ALMOST THE SAME AS FOR 1980 .

2 . COKING COAL

THE GUIDE PRICE MEAN VALUE CIF ARA CALCULATED BY THE COMMISSION FOR COKING COAL IMPORTED FROM THE USA AND AUSTRALIA - MOVED FROM US DOLLARS 75,70 ON 1 JANUARY 1981 TO DOLLARS 84,35 ON 1 JULY , OF WHICH DOLLARS 17,30 REPRESENT ATLANTIC FREIGHT AND DEMURRAGE .

THE LIST FOR COMMUNITY COKING COAL LAY IN THE RANGE DOLLARS 72 TO DOLLARS 102 ON 1 JULY 1981 .

3 . STEAM COAL

THE MEAN PRICE IN US DOLLARS , CIF ARA , FOR STEAM COAL IMPORTED FROM THIRD COUNTRIES FOR ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION HAS GONE FROM DOLLARS 69 IN THE FIRST QUARTER OF 1981 TO DOLLARS 73 DURING THE SECOND QUARTER OF 1981 , A PERIOD DURING WHICH THE GUIDE PRICE OF COMMUNITY COAL LAY IN THE RANGE DOLLARS 84 TO DOLLARS 100 INSTEAD OF DOLLARS 109 TO DOLLARS 125 AT THE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR ( 1 ) .

THE NOTICEABLE REDUCTION IN THE DEVIATION BETWEEN THE PRICES OF COMMUNITY COAL AND THOSE OF THIRD-COUNTRIES COAL RESULTS MAINLY FROM THE STRONG INCREASE IN THE VALUE OF THE US DOLLAR IN RELATION TO COMMUNITY CURRENCIES DURING THE FIRST HALF-YEAR 1981 , AS MAY BE SEEN FROM THE FOLLOWING TABLE :

1 US DOLLAR - *BFRS*DKR*DM*FF*LIT*FL*POUND*ECU*

3 JANUARY 1980*27,77*5,328*1,7055*4,005*799,40*1,888*0,4456*0,70*

1 JULY 1980*28,28*5,471*1,764*4,09*841,50*1,9324*0,4240*0,70*

5 JANUARY 1981*31,43*6,005*1,9517*4,521*928,50*2,121*0,416*0,76*

1 JULY 1981*41,31*7,921*2,5215*6,02*1 256,32*2,8032*0,548*0,95*

( 1 ) PRICES ON THE BASIS 1 TONNE = 29,3 GJ .

VI . COKE

1 . COKING CAPACITY

CURRENT CAPACITY ( 79 MILLION TONNES PER YEAR INCLUDING SEMI-COKE ) COVERS THE REQUIREMENTS OF OTHER INDUSTRIES , IN ADDITION TO THE DOMESTIC SECTOR AND EXPORTS TO THIRD COUNTRIES , THE REQUIREMENTS OF THE STEEL INDUSTRY AS LONG AS NOT MORE THAN 80 % OF PIGIRON PRODUCTION CAPACITY ( AROUND 137 MILLION TONNES ) IS USED . THE PRESENT LEVEL BEING 65 % , THE COVERAGE SEAMS TO BE ADEQUATE . BUT ONE HAS TO COUNT WITH THE AGE OF THE COKERIES OF WHICH MORE THAN 45 % ARE OVER 25 YEARS OLD , WHICH IN TURN WILL BRING SOME REPLACEMENT PROBLEMS .

2 . COKE PRODUCTION AND COAL SUPPLIES TO COKING PLANTS

FOR THE FIVE FIRST MONTHS OF THE YEAR COKE PRODUCTION WAS 7 % LESS THAN THE LEVEL IN THE SAME PERIOD IN 1980 . IF THIS TREND PERSISTS , COKE PRODUCTION COULD BE 4 MILLION TONNES LESS THAN ESTIMATED AT THE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR AND COAL CONSUMPTION IN COKING PLANTS MAY FALL BY SOME 5,2 MILLION TONNES .

VII : TRADE IN COAL AND COKE

1 . INTRA-COMMUNITY TRADE

THE MOST STRIKING FEATURE IS THE UNITED KINGDOM'S SHARE OF INTRA-COMMUNITY TRADE IN COAL ( 3,7 MILLION TONNES OR 36 % IN THE FIRST HALF OF 1981 COMPARED WITH 13 % IN 1980 ) .

THE FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY CONTINUES TO HEAD THE LIST WITH 5,2 MILLION TONNES IN THE FIRST HALF OF 1981 ( ESTIMATED ) , ALTHOUGH 0,5 MILLION TONNES LESS THAN IN THE FIRST HALF OF 1980 .

DELIVERIES OF COMMUNITY COAL IN THE FIRST HALF OF 1981 ROSE IN SEVERAL COUNTRIES , ABOVE ALL IN DENMARK ( 0,9 MILLION TONNES AND AN ESTIMATED 2,5 MILLION TONNES FOR THE YEAR AS A WHOLE ) AND IN THE FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY . IN BOTH CASES IT WAS STEAM COAL FROM THE UNITED KINGDOM . INTRA-COMMUNITY TRADE IN COKE HAS FOLLOWED THE EXPECTED PATTERN WITH THE FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY EXPORTING 80 % OF THE TONNAGE IN QUESTION .

2 . TRADE WITH THIRD COUNTRIES

( A ) IMPORTS ( TABLE 26 )

TOTAL IMPORTS FROM THIRD COUNTRIES IN THE FIRST HALF OF 1981 WERE ABOUT 36 MILLION TONNES , THE LEVEL ALREADY ATTAINED IN BOTH HALVES OF 1980 . THE INCREASE IN PURCHASES BY ITALY ( 1 MILLION TONNES ) AND THE FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY ( 0,8 MILLION TONNES ) HAS BEEN OFFSET BY A DROP IN THE UNITED KINGDOM ( 1,2 MILLION TONNES ) AND DENMARK ( 0,6 MILLION TONNES ) .

AS FOR THE SUPPLIERS , THE UNITED STATES' SHARE ROSE FROM 33 % IN THE FIRST HALF AND 42 % IN THE SECOND HALF OF 1980 , TO 45 % IN THE FIRST HALF OF 1981 ( OVER 16 MILLION TONNES ) . THE LEVEL OF SUPPLIES FROM CANADA , AUSTRALIA AND SOUTH AFRICA REMAINED STABLE ( TOTAL OF 14 MILLION TONNES ) . SUPPLIES FROM POLAND AND THE SOVIET UNION AMOUNTED TO 3,7 MILLION TONNES COMPARED WITH 9,5 MILLION TONNES IN THE FRIST SIX MONTHS AND 6,3 MILLION TONNES IN THE SECOND HALF OF 1980 .

IN THE UNITED STATES , THERE WAS A 72-DAY STRIKE IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR IN THE UNIONIZED MINES , PREDOMINANTLY IN THE EAST WHICH SUPPLIES MOST OF THE COAL EXPORTED TO THE COMMUNITY . DELIVERIES OF COKING COAL WERE REDUCED BUT STEAM COAL SUPPLIES VIRTUALLY TRIPLED COMPARED WITH THE FIRST HALF OF 1980 .

THE AMERICAN MINES AFFECTED BY THE STRIKE ARE WORKING THROUGHOUT THE SUMMER . THE RAILWAYS , WHICH ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR CARRYING THE COAL FROM THE MINES TO THE PORTS AND FOR LOADING THE SHIPS , ARE MAKING GRADUAL TECHNICAL IMPROVEMENTS THROUGHOUT THE OPERATION TO INCREASE HANDLING CAPACITY . THEY ARE ALTERING THE RULES FOR REGISTERING SHIPS TO AVOID WAITING BEFORE LOADING OR TO REDUCE IT AS FAR AS POSSIBLE ; THIS WILL REDUCE DEMURRAGE AND HENCE FAVOURABLY AFFECT THE PRICE CIF EUROPE OF AMERICAN COAL . MEDIUM-TERM FORECASTS FOR TRADE IN COAL BETWEEN THE UNITED STATES AND THE COMMUNITY STILL REMAIN UNCERTAIN .

IN THE LONGER TERM THE AMERICAN AUTHORITIES INTEND TO INITIATE PROCEDURES TO ALLOW THE DEEPENING OF PORTS TO TAKE DEEP-DRAUGHT BULK CARRIERS .

SIMILAR PROBLEMS ARE BEING EXPERIENCED IN VARIOUS REGIONS OF THE COMMUNITY . IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT UNITED KINGDOM PRODUCERS ARE STUDYING A PROGRAMME OF PORT WORKS WITH VARIOUS AUTHORITIES TO RAISE UNITED KINGDOM COAL EXPORTS FROM THEIR PRESENT LEVEL OF 8 TO 10 MILLION TONNES EXPECTED THIS YEAR TO 15 MILLION TONNES BY 1985 .

THE SITUATION IN POLAND IS CONTINUING TO AFFECT COAL EXPORTS . THE EXTENT OF THE PROBLEM CAN BE ILLUSTRATED BY THREE FIGURES . DURING THE FIRST HALF OF 1980 POLAND EXPORTED 8,3 MILLION TONNES TO THE COMMUNITY , 4,8 MILLION TONNES IN THE SECOND HALF OF 1980 AND ONLY 3,2 MILLION TONNES IN THE FIRST SIX MONTHS OF THIS YEAR ( 40 % OF THE FIRST AMOUNT ) .

VIII . COAL AND COKE STOCKS

PRODUCERS' COAL STOCKS ( IN COAL EQUIVALENT ) STOOD AT 51 MILLION TONNES AT 31 DECEMBER 1980 AND GREW TO 56 MILLION TONNES AT THE END OF MAY 1981 . THIS WAS APPROXIMATELY THE FORCASTED INCREASE , WHICH WAS PARTICULARLY MARKED IN THE UNITED KINGDOM DESPITE A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN SUPPLIES TO OTHER ECSC COUNTRIES . THE TOTAL ALSO INCLUDES GERMANY'S FEDERAL RESERVE ( AROUND 7 MILLION TONNES * AND 3 MILLION TONNES COKE ) .

PRODUCERS' STOCKS OF COKE VIRTUALLY REMAINED THE SAME DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR .

ANNEX I

SOME STATISTICS FOR GREECE

( LIGNITE - COAL - COKE - IRON AND STEEL INDUSTRY )

* ( 1 000 TONNES ) *

*1976*1977*1978*1979*1980*

LIGNITE PRODUCTION*22 569*23 572*21 815*22 997*22 641*

COAL IMPORTS*570*483*349*628*532*

STEEL PRODUCTION*715*916*936*950 ( 1)*950 ( 1 )*

PIG IRON PRODUCTION*550*550*600*600*600*

CONSUMPTION OF COAL IN COKERIES*463*360*212*378*384*

CONSUMPTION OF COKE IN THE STEEL INDUSTRIES*335*269*207*275*242*

CONSUMPTION OF LIGNITE IN POWER PLANTS*20 073*21 820*19 830*20 607*20 503*

( 1 ) ESTIMATIONS .

SOURCE : EUROSTAT .

TABLE 4 A

STEEL PRODUCTION IN THE FIRST HALF-YEAR

( 1 000 TONNES )

*1980*1981*DIFFERENCES*

***TONNES* % *

BELGIUM*7 267*6 136* - 1 131* - 15*

DENMARK*461*292* - 169* - 37*

FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY*23 078*20 777* - 2 301* - 10*

FRANCE*13 094*11 022* - 2 072* - 16*

IRELAND* - *5* + 5* - *

ITALY*14 070*12 634* - 1 436* - 10*

LUXEMBOURG*2 593*1 961* - 632* - 24*

NETHERLANDS*2 879*2 802* - 77* - 3*

UNITED KINGDOM*5 008 ( 1)*7 661* + 2 653* + 53*

COMMUNITY*68 450*63 290* - 5 160* - 7*

( 1 ) STRIKE IN THE STEEL INDUSTRY .

TABLE 4 B

PRODUCTION OF PIG IRON IN THE FIRST HALF-YEAR

( 1 000 TONNES )

*1980*1981*DIFFERENCES*

***TONNES* % *

BELGIUM*5 855*4 861* - 994* - 17*

DENMARK* - * - * - * - *

FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY*17 844*15 984* - 1 860* - 10*

FRANCE*10 834*8 966* - 1 868* - 17*

IRELAND* - * - * - * - *

ITALY*6 174*6 305* + 131* + 2*

LUXEMBOURG*1 995*1 505* - 490* - 25*

NETHERLANDS*2 396*2 393* - 3* - *

UNITED KINGDOM*2 458 ( 1)*4 739* + 2 281* + 93*

COMMUNITY*47 556*44 753* - 2 803* - 6*

( 1 ) STRIKE IN THE STEEL INDUSTRY .

TABLE 8 A

GROSS ELECTRICITY GENERATION

( TWB )

*JANUARY TO JUNE*ORIGINAL FORECAST 1981*DIFFERENCE IN % 1981/80*

*1980*1981***

BELGIUM*27,7*25,6*56,5* - 8*

DENMARK*12,9*9,3*25,7* - 28*

FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY*188,9*186,7*390,5* - 1*

FRANCE*130,7*140,7*275,0* + 8*

IRELAND*5,6*5,5*11,5* - 2*

ITALY*94,2*91,7*198,1* - 3*

LUXEMBOURG*0,6*0,6*1,3* - *

NETHERLANDS*32,9*32,1*66,5* - 2*

UNITED KINGDOM*150,2*143,7*289,0* - 4*

COMMUNITY*643,5*635,9*1 314,1* - 1*

DIFFERENCES DUE TO ROUNDING OFF .

TABLE 11

HARD COAL PRODUCTION

( 1 000 TONNES )

*1*2*3*4*DIFFERENCE 2-1*DIFFERENCE 3-2*

*JANUARY TO JUNE 1979*JANUARY TO JUNE 1980*JANUARY TO JUNE 1981*ORIGINAL FORECAST 1981*TONNES* % *TONNES* % *

BELGIUM*3 320*3 325*3 309*6 250* + 5* - * - 16* - *

FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY*47 745*47 496*47 591*93 575* - 249* - * + 95* - *

( NATIONALE REIHE ) * ( 43 990 ) * ( 43 800 ) * ( 43 700 ) * ( 86 200 ) * ( - 190 ) * - * ( - 100 ) * - *

FRANCE*10 332*10 094*10 153*17 450* - 238* - 2* + 59* - *

IRELAND*34*32*30*60* - 2* - 6* - 2* - 6*

UNITED KINGDOM*61 293*65 568*64 332*125 000* + 4 275* + 7* - 1 236* - 2*

COMMUNITY*122 724*126 515*125 415*242 335* + 3 791* + 3* - 1 100* - 1*

TABLE 13 AND 14

PERSONNEL EMPLOYED UNDERGROUND AND OUTPUT PER MAN/HOUR

*END JUNE*DIFFERENCES*

*1980*1981*ABSOLUTE* % *

PERSONNEL ( 1 000 S ) *****

BELGIUM*16,0*16,3* + 0,3* + 2*

FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY*122,3*123,2* + 0,9* + 1*

FRANCE*30,2*28,8* - 1,4* - 5*

IRELAND*0,3*0,3* - * - *

UNITED KINGDOM*185,0*179,0* - 6,0* - 3*

COMMUNITY*353,8*347,6* - 6,2* - 2*

OUTPUT ( IN KG ) *****

BELGIUM*274*280* + 6* + 2*

FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY*530*526* - 4* - 1*

FRANCE*368*374* + 6* + 2*

IRELAND* - * - * - * - *

UNITED KINGDOM*372*388* + 16* + 4*

COMMUNITY*416*427* + 11* + 3*

TABLES 19 A - 19 B : SEE O.J .

TABLE 22

COKE OVEN COKE PRODUCTION

( 1 000 TONNES )

*1*2*3*DIFFERENCE 2-1*

*JANUARY TO JUNE 1980*JANUARY TO JUNE 1981*ORIGINAL FORECAST 1981*TONNES* % *

BELGIUM*3 265*2 896*5 900* - 369* - 11*

FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY*14 160*13 911*28 400* - 249* - 2*

FRANCE*5 757*5 299*10 900* - 458* - 8*

ITALY*4 095*3 919*7 600* - 176* - 4*

NETHERLANDS*1 211*1 155*1 950* - 56* - 5*

UNITED KINGDOM*5 246*4 300*10 950* - 946* - 18*

COMMUNITY*33 734*31 480*65 700* - 2 254* - 7*

TABLE 26

IMPORTS OF COAL FROM THIRD COUNTRIES

* ( 1 000 TONNES ) *

*ACTUAL 1 . HALF-YEAR 1980*ACTUAL 2 . HALF-YEAR 1980*PROVISIONAL 1 . HALF-YEAR 1981*

BY COUNTRY OF DESTINATION****

BELGIUM*3 162*4 175*3 277*

DENMARK*4 334*4 690*4 080*

FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY*3 650*3 577*4 350*

FRANCE*11 711*10 775*10 600*

GREECE* ( 196 ) * ( 335 ) * ( 28 ) *

IRELAND*571*370*590*

ITALY*6 954*6 722*7 884*

LUXEMBOURG*65*150*136*

NETHERLANDS*2 419*2 605*2 870*

UNITED KINGDOM*3 485*3 694*2 500*

COMMUNITY ( WITHOUT GREECE ) *36 351*36 738*36 287*

*ACTUAL 1 . HALF-YEAR 1980*ACTUAL 2 . HALF-YEAR 1980*ESTIMATES 1 . HALF-YEAR 1981*

BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN****

USA*12 378*15 526*16 382*

CANADA*242*549*495*

AUSTRALIA*4 523*3 408*3 775*

SOUTH AFRICA*8 976*10 522*10 125*

POLAND*8 283*4 940*3 240*

USSR*1 294*1 334*495*

OTHERS*655*459*1 775

TOTAL*36 351*36 738*36 287