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( 1 ) OJ NO L 148 , 28 . 6 . 1968 , P . 24 .

( 2 ) OJ NO L 61 , 5 . 3 . 1977 , P . 1 .

( 3 ) OJ NO L 131 , 26 . 5 . 1977 , P . 1 .

COUNCIL ESTIMATE

OF 18 DECEMBER 1978

OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR BEEF AND VEAL IN THE PROCESSING INDUSTRY FOR THE PERIOD 1 JANUARY TO 31 DECEMBER 1979

( 79/10/EEC )

THE COUNCIL OF THE EUROPEAN

COMMUNITIES ,

HAVING REGARD TO THE TREATY ESTABLISHING THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY ,

HAVING REGARD TO COUNCIL REGULATION ( EEC ) NO 805/68 OF 27 JUNE 1968 ON THE COMMON ORGANIZATION OF THE MARKET IN BEEF AND VEAL ( 1 ), AS LAST AMENDED BY REGULATION ( EEC ) NO 425/77 ( 2 ), AND IN PARTICULAR ARTICLE 14 ( 2 ) THEREOF ,

HAVING REGARD TO THE PROPOSAL FROM THE COMMISSION ,

HAS ADOPTED THIS ESTIMATE :

INTRODUCTION

THIS ESTIMATE COVERS THE PERIOD 1 JANUARY TO 31 DECEMBER 1979 . IT HAS BEEN PREPARED IN THE LIGHT OF INFORMATION AVAILABLE TO THE COMMISSION AND ON THE BASIS OF FORECASTS THAT CAN BE MADE AT PRESENT . IT IS DERIVED FROM ESTIMATES OF DEMAND IN THE INDUSTRY AND OF COMMUNITY SUPPLIES OF MEAT OF QUALITIES AND TYPES OF CUT SUITABLE FOR INDUSTRIAL USE , HEREINAFTER REFERRED TO AS ' MEAT FOR PROCESSING ' .

DEMAND IN THE INDUSTRY FOR MEAT FOR PROCESSING HAS BEEN ASSESSED BY THE REFERENCE TO THE QUANTITIES OF FRESH AND FROZEN MEAT USED EACH YEAR .

SUPPLIES OF MEAT FOR PROCESSING WITHIN THE COMMUNITY HAVE BEEN ESTIMATED BY REFERENCE TO THE QUANTITIES OF FRESH MEAT NORMALLY USED FOR THIS PURPOSE .

CHAPTER I

SUPPLIES OF MEAT FOR PROCESSING

ACCORDING TO INFORMATION SUPPLIED TO THE COMMISSION BY THE MEMBER STATES IN SEPTEMBER 1978 , COMMUNITY SUPPLIES OF HOME-PRODUCED FRESH MEAT FOR PROCESSING FOR 1979 CAN BE ESTIMATED AT 800 000 TONNES EXPRESSED AS MEAT ON THE BONE . THE TOTAL OF 800 000 TONNES INCLUDES AN ESTIMATE OF APPROXIMATELY 60 000 TONNES IN RESPECT OF COWS SLAUGHTERED IN ACCORDANCE WITH REGULATION ( EEC ) NO 1078/77 ( 3 ).

IT IS ALSO ESTIMATED THAT AT THE END OF 1978 THE COMMUNITY WILL HOLD A PUBLIC STOCK OF MEAT AS A RESULT OF STANDING INTERVENTION PURCHASES . THE QUANTITY OF THIS MEAT SATISFYING THE REQUIREMENTS OF MEAT FOR PROCESSING CAN BE ESTIMATED AT 145 500 TONNES OF MEAT ON THE BONE .

AT THE END OF 1978 THERE WILL BE A STOCK OF MEAT HELD IN PRIVATE STORAGE . THE QUANTITY OF THIS MEAT SATISFYING THE REQUIREMENTS FOR PROCESSING IS ESTIMATED AT 50 000 TONNES EXPRESSED AS MEAT ON THE BONE .

WITH EFFECT FROM JANUARY 1979 THE COMMUNITY WILL OPEN A TARIFF QUOTA FOR 38 500 TONNES OF BONELESS FROZEN MEAT , WHICH CORRESPONDS TO 50 000 TONNES OF MEAT ON THE BONE .

EXPERIENCE HAS SHOWN THAT UNDER THESE QUOTA ARRANGEMENTS 13 000 TONNES OF FROZEN MEAT EXPRESSED AS MEAT ON THE BONE WILL BE IMPORTED IN 1979 FOR PROCESSING .

IN 1979 THE QUANTITY OF MEAT WHICH MAY BE IMPORTED INTO THE COMMUNITY AND ORIGINATING FROM BOTSWANA , KENYA , MADAGASCAR AND SWAZILAND WHICH SATISFIES THE REQUIREMENTS FOR PROCESSING IS ESTIMATED AT 11 500 TONNES OF MEAT EXPRESSED AS MEAT ON THE BONE .

FOR 1979 THE TOTAL AVAILABLE SUPPLIES FOR PROCESSING WILL THUS BE AS FOLLOWS :

// - FRESH MEAT : // 800 000 TONNES //

- FROZEN MEAT TAKEN OVER AT INTERVENTION : // 145 500 TONNES //

- FROZEN MEAT RESULTING FROM PRIVATE STORAGE AID CONTRACTS : // 50 000 TONNES //

- FROZEN MEAT IMPORTED UNDERGATT QUOTA : // 13 000 TONNES //

- FROZEN MEAT IMPORTED UNDER ACP CONVENTION : // 11 500 TONNES //

//

// 1 020 000 TONNES //

//

// CHAPTER II

INDUSTRIAL DEMAND FOR MEAT FOR PROCESSING

ACCORDING TO INFORMATION SUPPLIED TO THE COMMISSION BY THE MEMBER STATES IN SEPTEMBER 1978 , COMMUNITY DEMAND FOR MEAT FOR PROCESSING IN 1979 CAN BE ESTIMATED AT 1 080 000 TONNES OF MEAT EXPRESSED AS MEAT ON THE BONE . THIS FIGURE INCLUDES QUANTITIES REQUIRED FOR THE PREPARATION OF PRESERVED FOODS AS SPECIFIED IN ARTICLE 14 ( 1 ) ( A ) OF REGULATION ( EEC ) NO 805/68 . THIS LATTER QUANTITY IS ESTIMATED AT 110 000 TONNES .

CONCLUSION

THE NEEDS OF THE PROCESSING INDUSTRIES , INCLUDING THOSE PRODUCING PRESERVED FOODS REFERRED TO IN CHAPTER II AND CONTAINING NO CHARACTERISTIC COMPONENTS OTHER THAN BEEF AND JELLY , HAVE BEEN ESTIMATED AT 1 080 000 TONNES OF MEAT EXPRESSED AS MEAT ON THE BONE .

THE DEFICIT IN MEAT FOR PROCESSING IN 1979 CAN BE ESTIMATED AT 60 000 TONNES OF MEAT EXPRESSED AS MEAT ON THE BONE .

IN LIGHT OF THE EXPERIENCE GAINED IN 1978 IT IS PROPOSED TO APPORTION THIS TONNAGE , IN ACCORDANCE WITH ARTICLE 14 ( 1 ) OF REGULATION ( EEC ) NO 805/68 , SO THAT :

( A ) 30 000 TONNES OF MEAT INTENDED FOR THE MANUFACTURE OF PRESERVED FOOD , WHICH DOES NOT CONTAIN CHARACTERISTIC COMPONENTS OTHER THAN BEEF AND JELLY , SHALL QUALIFY FOR THE TOTAL SUSPENSION OF THE LEVY , AND

( B ) 30 000 TONNES OF MEAT INTENDED FOR THE PROCESSING INDUSTRY FOR THE MANUFACTURE OF PRODUCTS OTHER THAN THE PRESERVED FOOD REFERRED TO IN ( A ) SHALL QUALIFY FOR THE TOTAL OR PARTIAL SUSPENSION OF THE LEVY .

DONE AT BRUSSELS , 18 DECEMBER 1978 .

FOR THE COUNCIL

THE PRESIDENT

J . ERTL