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COUNCIL ESTIMATE

of 2 February 1982

concerning young male bovine animals weighing 300 kilograms or less and intended for fattening for the period 1 January to 31 December 1982

(82/54/EEC)

THE COUNCIL OF THE EUROPEAN

COMMUNITIES,

Having regard to the Treaty establishing the European Economic Community,

Having regard to Council Regulation (EEC) No 805/68 of 27 June 1968 on the common organization of the market in beef and veal (1), as last amended by the 1979 Act of Accession, and in particular Article 13 thereof,

Having regard to the proposal from the Commission,

HAS ADOPTED THIS ESTIMATE:

INTRODUCTION

This estimate relates to the period 1 January to 31 December 1982. It has been prepared in the light of information available to the Commission and on the basis of the foreseeable trend for 1982 of supplies of and requirements for young male bovine animals intended for fattening in the Community.

1. Assessment of Community supplies for 1982

In view of the number of breeding females (cows and heifers) anticipated for 1982 (about 35 897 000), some 31 570 000 births of calves are expected during that year. Production over the year of male calves would therefore be about 15 785 000 head, of which losses of about 1 190 000 (± 7;5 %) should be provided for. The net availability of young bovine animals of Community origin should therefore be about 14 595 000 in 1982.

2. Estimated Community requirements for 1982

2.1. The number of slaughterings of male calves envisaged for 1982, on the basis of data collected from Member States, should be about 4 330 000 head.

2.2. The number of male animals intended for slaughter as fattened young bulls and bulls or for breeding should be about 6 980 000 head.

2.3. The number of male animals intended for slaughter as bullocks should be about 3 520 000 head.

2.4. In the light of information provided by Member States and of the above, it is expected that in 1982, the requirements of Community breeders in young male bovine animals for fattening will be 10 500 000 head.

2.5. From the considerations set out in 2.1 and 2.4 it follows that the Community's overall requirements in male calves will be 14 830 000 head in 1982.

These requirements will only be partly satisfied by Community supplies of these animals which, as shown in point 1, amount to about 14 595 000 head.

The foreseeable Community shortfall for 1982 in male calves for fattening will therefore be around 235 000 head.

CONCLUSION

On the basis of the considerations set out above, the estimate for young male bovine animals intended for fattening which may be imported in 1982 under the arrangements provided for in Article 13 of Regulation (EEC) No 805/68 is fixed at 210 000 head.

However, in accordance with the procedure laid down in Article 27 of Regulation (EEC) No 805/68, if, by 1 August 1982, imports have reached 90 % of 140 000 head in the Community or 90 % of 120 000 head in Italy, an additional quantity of 25 000 head, the whole of which shall be intended for Italy, will have to be introduced for the fourth quarter.

Done at Brussels, 2 February 1982.

For the Council

The President

L. TINDEMANS

(1) OJ No L 148, 28. 6. 1968, p. 24.