++++

FORWARD ESTIMATE FOR THE 1978/79 WINE-GROWING YEAR

THE COMMISSION OF THE EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES ,

HAVING REGARD TO THE TREATY ESTABLISHING THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY ,

HAVING REGARD TO REGULATION NO 24 ON THE PROGRESSIVE ESTABLISHMENT OF A COMMON ORGANIZATION OF THE MARKET IN WINE ( 1 ) , AS LAST AMENDED BY REGULATION ( EEC ) NO 816/70 ( 2 ) , AND IN PARTICULAR ARTICLE 3 ( 1 ) THEREOF ,

WHEREAS ARTICLE 3 ( 1 ) OF REGULATION NO 24 STIPULATES THAT EACH YEAR A FORWARD ESTIMATE MUST BE DRAWN UP IN ORDER TO DETERMINE THE RESOURCES AND ASSESS THE REQUIREMENTS OF THE COMMUNITY , INCLUDING FORESEEABLE IMPORTS FROM AND EXPORTS TO THIRD COUNTRIES ;

WHEREAS THE FORWARD ESTIMATE MAY BE DRAWN UP IN PARTICULAR ON THE BASIS OF INFORMATION COLLECTED AND COMMUNICATED TO THE COMMISSION BY THE MEMBER STATES IN ACCORDANCE WITH COMMISSION REGULATION NO 134 ON THE DECLARATION OF WINE HARVESTS AND STOCKS ( 3 ) , AS AMENDED BY REGULATION ( EEC ) NO 1136/70 ( 4 ) ;

WHEREAS THE FINAL FIGURES FOR THE 1976/77 WINE-GROWING YEAR AND THE PROVISIONAL FIGURES FOR THE 1977/78 WINE-GROWING YEAR FORM A USEFUL BASIS ON WHICH TO ASSESS THIS INFORMATION AND ON WHICH TO DRAW UP THE FORWARD ESTIMATE FOR THE 1978/79 WINE-GROWING YEAR ;

WHEREAS THE MEASURES PROVIDED FOR IN THIS ESTIMATE ARE IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE OPINION OF THE MANAGEMENT COMMITTEE FOR WINE ,

HAS ADOPTED THIS ESTIMATE :

THE FORWARD ESTIMATE FOR THE 1978/79 WINE-GROWING YEAR IS SHOWN IN THE ANNEX IN THE COLUMNS RELATING TO THAT YEAR .

( 1 ) OJ NO 30 , 20 . 4 . 1962 , P . 989/62 .

( 2 ) OJ NO L 99 , 5 . 5 . 1970 , P . 1 .

( 3 ) OJ NO 111 , 6 . 11 . 1962 , P . 2604/62 .

( 4 ) OJ NO L 134 , 19 . 6 . 1970 , P . 4 .

ANNEX

FORWARD ESTIMATE FOR THE 1978/79 WINE-GROWING YEAR

HEADINGS*GLOBAL VOLUMES*RED AND ROSE*

*1976/77 DEF.*1977/78 PROV.*1978/79 EXP.*1976/77 DEF.*1977/78 PROV.*1978/79 EXP .*

1 . TOTAL PRODUCTION*148 850*...*133 050*...*...*84 744*

2 . AMOUNT OF PRODUCTION INTENDED FOR PROCESSING AS GRAPE JUICE*434*...*555*...*...*250*

3 . AMOUNT INTENDED FOR VINIFICATION*148 416*128 218*132 495*93 380*82 557*84 494*

4 . STOCK AT START OF SEASON : *77 833*81 583*74 150*48 490*51 452*42 226*

- IN PRODUCTION*41 107*44 581*40 242*27 658*30 575*24 807*

- IN THE TRADE*36 726*37 002*33 908*20 832*20 877*17 419*

5 . AVAILABILITY AT START OF SEASON ( 3 + 4 ) *226 249*209 801*206 645*141 870*134 009*126 720*

6 . TOTAL IMPORTS*5 496*5 998*5 998****

7 . AVAILABILITY ( 5 + 6 ) *231 745*215 799*212 643****

8 . TOTAL HOME USE : *145 502*136 835*140 876****

- DIRECT CONSUMPTION BY HUMANS*127 059*125 171*126 864****

- PROCESSING*17 707*10 922*13 161****

- OF WHICH , DISTILLATION : *16 978*10 190*11 140****

- OF WHICH GRAPE SPIRIT WITH A REGISTERED DESIGNATION OF ORIGIN***5 000****

- OF WHICH IN CONFORMITY WITH REGULATION ( EEC ) NO 816/70*5 390*1 040*4 280****

- OF WHICH , OTHER***1 860****

OF WHICH VINEGAR PRODUCTION*729*732*762****

OF WHICH AROMATIC WINES - VERMOUTH PRODUCTION***1 259****

- LOSSES IN PRODUCTION*407*195*400****

- LOSSES IN TRADING*329*547*451****

9 . EXPORTS*4 660*4 814*5 379****

10 . STOCK AT END SEASON*81 583*74 150*66 388****

11 . VARIATIONS IN STOCKS ( 10 - 4 ) * + 3 750* - 7 433* - 7 762****

12 . DEGREE OF SELF-SUFFICIENCY ( 3:8 ) % ( 1)*105,9*94,4*97,0****

13 . CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA , PER ANNUM ( LITRES ) *49,1*48,2*48,8****

( 1 ) CALCULATED WITH THE EXCLUSION OF QUANTITIES DISTILLED BY VIRTUE OF INTERVENTION MEASURES .

* ( IN 1 000 HL ) *

*WHITE*TABLE WINES 1978/79*V.Q.P.R.D . 1978/79*OTHER WINES 1978/79*

*1976/77 DEF.*1977/78 PROV.*1978/79 EXP.*TOTAL EXP.*RED EXP.*WHITE EXP.*TOTAL EXP.*RED EXP.*WHITE EXP.*TOTAL EXP.*RED EXP.*WHITE EXP .*

1 . *...*...*48 306*96 502*71 775*24 727*24 013*10 869* 13 144*12 535*2 100*10 435*

2 . *...*...*305*155*100*55* - * - * - *400*150*250*

3 . *55 036*45 661*48 001*96 347*71 675*24 672*24 013* 10 869*13 144*12 135*1 950*10 185

4 . *29 343*30 131*31 924*32 417*24 164*8 253*35 573* 16 362*19 211*6 160*1 700*4 460*

*13 449*14 006*15 435*19 228*14 869*4 359*20 992*9 934* 11 058*22*4*18*

*15 894*16 125*16 489*13 189*9 295*3 894*14 581*6 428* 8 153*6 138*1 696*4 442*

5 . *84 379*75 792*79 925*128 764*95 839*32 925*59 586* 27 231*32 355*18 295*3 650*14 645*

6 . **** - *** - ***5 998***

7 . ****128 764***59 586***24 293***

8 . ****93 228***26 348***21 300***

****92 409***26 210***8 245***

****180*** - ***12 981***

****180*** - ***10 960***

**** - *** - ***5 000***

****180*** - ***4 100***

**** - *** - ***1 860***

**** - *** - ***762***

**** - *** - ***1 259***

****290***60***50***

****349***78***24***

9 . ****1 991***3 221***167***

10 . ****33 545***30 017***2 826***

11 . **** + 1 128*** - 5 556*** - 3 334***

12 . *************

13 .