He earned his Ph.D. in quantitative psychology from The Ohio State University and completed a fellowship with the Intelligence Community Postdoctoral Research Fellowship Program. He is most knowledgeable about social, cognitive, and motor processes in decision making and has extensive experience educating both the public and professionals on common judgment errors. His teaching and research provide statistical modeling tools to non-statisticians, including work to develop a structured analytic technique to implement Bayesian networks for intelligence assessments. In 2013, he joined the Center of Excellence in C4I as a core researcher in a federally funded research project called SciCast to develop methods for improving the accuracy of science forecasts.