Arizona tribune., 1964-01-10
10 YEARS FROM NOW
WASHINGTON

Z 1uOuSCT1eS Association
has taken a look into what
chronological developments this
nation may expect within the
next decade and it's forecast
will make space data today as
passe as the jet has overshad-
owed the Wright brothers first
flight over Kitty Hawk, NC,
in 1908.
The focal point Of this huge
chronological fort is the de-
velopment Of vehicles and sup
port equipment that can carry
man to the moon and back. At
the same time, the aerospace
industry IL developing very
high-performance aircraft, and
liRh.speed Vertical Takeoff and
Landing Craft, with great-vers-
ability, which will become oper-
ational before 1912.
Though ALA makes no at
tempt to predict major break
throughs in technology, 1t points
out that the general trends and
requirements for the space pro-
gram over the next 10 years
"can be forecast with reason
able certainty" And among the
general trends an q require.
Ynents its forecasts are:
y Newly-developed COMPUTE
ers to take over the role Of
countdown procedures for space
flight, which for the most part
are now dependent on manual
operations.
~ The memory capacity Of
ground-based data processing
equipment that will increase
about 1000, 900 times over the
present units.
81 The temperature resist
ance Of metal alloys will In
crease about 1000 degrees
Tahrenheit-a factor that has
slowed the development Of high
performance aerospace vehicles.
These aspects Of future space
flights are incorporated In a
new publication, The Aerospace
Technical Forecast, which was
prepared by the Aerospace In
dustries Association. The publ
cation IL a guide to industry en-
gineers as well as subcontrac-
tors a n d suppliers for future
planning. Copies Of the report
are $500 each and are avail
able at Aerospace Industries
Association, 1925 DeSales st.
NV, Washington 6, DC.
Trends and Requirements
The publication divides the
trends and requirements" into
eight sections: environmenlal,
system, propulsion, materials,
system components, groun d
support equipment, manufacture
ing process and testing.
AS for the systems, the Fore
cast notes there will be a re-
quirement for ct least 10 times
90 many major training sys.
TENS. Training simulators,
which duplicate on the ground
the stresses and conditions IN
flight will become more import
ant. It predicts an improve
ment in reliability Of electronic
systems as much as 100 times
greater than today.
Forecast also predicts that
DEVELOPMENT will start tn the
next decade on a single-chamb-
er rocket engine producing 6 to
8 million pounds Of thrust. This
means that by clustering these
engines, booster power In the
range Of Is to go million pounds
Of first stage thrust can be
produced. This compares with
the current Atlas booster Of
more than $4,000 pounds.
Tensile Strength
Lack of proper materials has
been q major difficulty in the
development Of most high-per-
Torrance aerospace vehicles. In
addition to inceasing the temp
erature resistance of refractory
metal alloys by as much as
1000 degrees Fahrenheit, the
tensile strength of glass fiber
reinforced plastics is expected
to rise from 100000 pounds per
square inch to 100000 during
the next ten years. This means