Evening star., 1960-11-06
ELECTION
Continued From First Page

Continued From First Page
one. With the Senator appar-
entity far ahead in New York
with its Is electoral votes, Vice
President Nixon's chances oi
winning the election depend
largely on the outcome in foul
other large States-Pennsyl.
vania, Ohio. Illinois and Cali.
fornia-with the total Of liz
electoral votes.
There is every indication
that he must take three oi
those four States to win the
election. The Vice President
and his advisers insist they car
do it, but two more campaign
visits to each Of those States
leave me convinced that only
one gifted with clairvoyance
can tell how they will come
out"
BrOder Out ON Limb
Mr.. Broder goes q bit further
out on the limb:
IF I were to judge simply by
what my eyes tell me. after this
week I would have to say Sen
ator Kennedy is headed fof q
landslide victory. # a campaign
that produces the kind Of re-
sponse he gets and the kind OF
crowds he gets is not a winning
campaign, then something very
strange is happening.
"But I have enough respect
for the Republican and Demo
cratic professionals who see the
race in such States as Califor-
mia, Illinois and Pennsylvania
as very close to draw back from
predicting q landslide. I will
say. though, that I think it Is
possible that Mr.. Nixon will get
no more than 10 States and
none with more than Indiana &
13 electoral votes.
II would be genuinely sur.
prised II Nixon won. Kennedy
Is rolling, and. as the conven-
ton showed, it's hard to stop
him one he gets steam up"
Reminder Of 1s4s
AS q warning to his editors
Of the fallability Of such ap-
praisals, Mr.. Broder closed his
dispatch with. yours in an
ticipation Of another 1948," a
gentle reminder of the year
when the smashing Truman
victory confounded all the ex-
perts.
Both correspondents dealt IL
some detail with what appear
to be the three imponderablel
OF the campaign-the persona
appeal Of the candidates, thu
religious issue and the effect
OF President Eisenhower's in.
tervention.
Here is what they had to say
MPACT-Mr. Broder: "a
stop after stop Senator Ken.
nedy is pulling record crowds
While I would not say that the
response is any more fervent
than it was six weeks ago, Il
Is now not just to his initia
appearance at the speaker
stand but to his words as well
There is no doubt in my
mind that the intensity Of thu
feeling Kennedy arouses il
greater than Nixon instillec
when I was travelling with him
In the big cities, particularly
there is a direct emotional linl
between this man and the peo,
pie that goes beyond the mere
persuasion of his words.
1T has struck me that thu
real intangible in this cam
paign is the sense of excitement
and anticipation Kennedy hal
created. This is an infectious
thing-not at all rational. bu
a kind of itch to see what
one man will do in Office. Ont
politician I talked to put il
this way: Don't underestimate
the factor of boredom in elec.
tions. The public will Otter
vote for the man who promise.
to be the more exciting tt
watch He said that was wha'
happened with Rockefeller ii
New York. I think it may hap.
pen again with Kennedy and, Il
it does, a landslide would moi
be out Of the question"
Mr.. Holland: "I have seen
both candidates draw tremen.
dous crowds, but I think that
the mere size of crowds means
nothing. There are some other
factors, however. that may be
important.
First, I was impressed by
the numbers of young married
people. many of them with
children in arms, to be seen in
any parade or demonstration
for Kennedy. And, in the same
vein. ! was impressed by the
Va rAwA ~.