Evening star., 1952-08-24

didn't mean, however, that Chou
would not be on his knees a good
deal of the time. Here were the
obvious areas for decision:
Korea. Since they entered the
Korean war IN 1850 the Red Chi
nese have expanded their army
from rs million to million, in
spite of some 100000 casualties.
Almost all their equipment comes
from Russia. This big army buildup
seemed to have committed the
Chinese against any backward step,
not only in Korea, but anywhere
else in the Far East. If there is
to be any turning point in Korea,
the pivot seems to be how much
more equipment Stain has to spare.
He and Chou have one of three de-
ciSions open to them: Go after a
truce, open a new offensive, or
tick along as they have been doing.
Japan. Japan's industrial plant
dwarfs all others in Asia, including
China's. This is one of the most
important single factors of life
facing the Reds in the Far East.
Solidly aligned with the West,
Japan is still technically at war
with Red China and Russia. It
is good bet that Chou and Stain
will come to some long-range deci-
sion on how to soften up Japan.
The Japanese are half expecting
some kind of peace overture or
possibly an offer for more trade.
Red Marshall Plon'
Economic Aid. This is where
Chou figures to get pair of sore
knees. Party Boss Mao TSe- tung
himself got only $50 million a year
out of Stain when he went to
Moscow in 1850. America gives
Japan more than eight times
that much. China has ambitious
plans to broaden its industrial base,
but it needs more help If it intends
to maintain its big army.
MGnchuriG. Chou is ready to
collect on a 1850 Soviet promise
to relinquish the Russian share In
control of the Changchun railways,
Port Arthur and Dairen before the
end Of 1852. The Russians stepped
out of character when they made
that promise and will be out of
character again If they follow
through.
Southeast Asia. China and Rus
STA compete in spreading the Com
munist gospel to Southeast Asia.
Chou and Stain will try to keep
the outward harmony intact. Indo-
China and Burma probably would
be the first places to show the
effects of any decisions made in
Moscow.
Meot for, Theoreticions
Not many observers expected the
Communist Party congress to reveal
any big change in foreign policy,
although the conclave obviously
would be extremely important,
especially from the theoreticians'
point of view.
Most informed guessers opined
that the meeting signaled the sue
cess of the postwar purge, showing
that Stain could risk calling the
party together again, something he
should have been doing every three
years, according to the constitution.
Dropping "Bolshevik" from the
party name and changing the
"politburo" to the "praesidium"
were billed as reorganization
moves, but were regarded mainly
as camoufiage for still further
Capitalization Of power.
Malenkov was widely considered
to have stepped into line for Stains
job after getting the assignment
to deliver the keynote address.
Nobody suggested, however, that
Malenkov would make any signif-
cant changes even II he were to
take over.
The fiction In five-year plans,
which Russia tries to sell as . pro-
found system Of economic planning,
appeared In two ways. First, this
latest one Is being announced more
than 10 months after 1t started.
Second, the goals are ridiculously
high.
Here are some fantasies singled
out by Western experts:
Al. National and private income