Evening star., 1952-10-12
Presidential Winner
Should Win Control
OF House, Experts Say
by the Associated Press

remember the seers who were
burned in the 1948 national elec-
ton upset.
A cross check of private opin-
ion of party officials concerned
with electing a friendly Congress
for their presidential nominee
leads only to these conclusions:
House-Almost certain to be
won by the party which captures
the presidency, unless the ma
tional election is exceedingly close
Senate-Likely to remain Dem
ocratic because the mathematics
of this particular year favor that
party, but a Republican landslide
no doubt would carry the Senate
with it.
G. o. P. Risking More.
Every one of the 435 House
seats is up for grabs this year.
But only IS Senate posts are be-
ing contested and of these the
Republicans must risk 81, the
Democrats IA. Five of the Demo-
cratic posts are in the South and
are cinches for that party.
OF the 81 G. o. P. senatorships
which are up this year, only six
are considered in the bag for that
party. Ten of the Republican Sem
ate candidates this year must run
in States which went Democratic
for President in 1948.
The 82nd Congress which ex-
pires at the end of this year is
Democratic-controlled in both
branches but it has the closest
party divisions in 20 years with one
exception.
The senate is 40 to At although
throughout the 1852 session it was
so to 46. Senator Mcmahon of
Connecticut, a Democrat, died in
July End a Republican, William
A. Purtell, was named to succeed
him.
The House now has $50 Demo-
Gratis. 200 Republicans, one IN
dependent, and four vacancies.
Ten May Decide Control.
Ten hard-fought contests may
well decide control of the Senate
in the 83rd Congress.
In five contests the Democrats
claim they are leading in the
battle to defeat Republican in
cumbents. The five contests are:
Washington - Representative
Jackson against Senator Cain.
tana Representative
Mansfield against Senator Ecton.
Massachusetts, Representative
Kennedy against Senator Lodge.
Missouri - Stuart Symington
against Senator KEN.
Indiana-Gov. Henry F.. Schrick-
er against Senator Jenner.
Following are five seats which
Senate campaign Of
ficials say they expect to wrest
from Democrats:
Connecticut - Senator Purtell
(who holds the Mcmahon seat
until November ~ against Sena-
tor Benton.
Michigan-Representative Pot
ter against Senator Moody.
Maryland-Representative Beall
against George P. Mahoney.
Wyoming-Gov. Frank A. Bar
rett against Senator O'Mahoney.
New Mexico-Patrick j. Hurley
against Senator Chavez.
Democrat Chances Good.
Democratic strategists also in
sist they have excellent chances
to defeat Senator Williams in
Delaware with 1t. Gov. Alexis I.
Bayard: Senator Smith in
New Jersey with Archibald S.
former Undersecretary
of the Army; Senator Watkins in
Utah with Representative Gran
ger; and to win back the Nc
Mahon seat in Connecticut by
beating Prescott Bush with Repre-
sentative Ribicoff.
Republicans contend they are
it hot for Senate Majority
Leader Mcfarland, who is op-
posed by Barry M. Goldwater in
Arizona: Senator Kilgore. opposed
by former Senator Revercomb in
West Virginia; and Senator Un-
derwood. opposed by former Sem
ator Cooper in Kentucky.
Not Hopeful in Key States.
In three of the Nations largest
States, all key backgrounds in
the presidential election, the Dem
ocrats are not optimistic about de-
feating Republican incumbent
Senators. These are New York
Pennsylvania and Ohio.
One Democratic official said
well carry New York for Steven
son but I'm afraid we can't beat
Senator Irving Ives"
In Nevada, where the Demo-
Gratis had hoped to unseat Re-
publican Senator Malone, they
now say it depends on what Sen
ator McCarran does.
Senator McCarran, a Democrat
who frequently plays a lone
political hand, backed his former
law partner in the Democratic
senatorial primary this year but
the associate was beaten by &
young newspaperman, Thomas B
Machling. Democratic campaign
officials say that Senator Malon,
probably will be returned if Sena.
tor McCarran refuses to help Mr.
Mechling.
House Claims Conflicting.
One G, o, P. House Campaigr