Evening star., 1952-05-11

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An Associated Press survey in
dicated that if the election were
The Importont Oregon Primary Is Friday.
The Associated Press Hos Conducted a
Survey Which Reached Into Every
County in the Stote for ond Estimote
OF Results.
held this week. Gen. Eisenhower
would win the preference of Ore
gon voters as the Republican can
didate for President. But whether
he wins all of the States 18 con-
vention delegates depends on how
many of the eight supporters of
Senator Taft Of Ohio-who aren't
bound by the presidential prefer
ence vote-are elected as dele
gates.
Senator Kefauver is an odds-on
choice to win the Democratic
primary. His two opponents
Gov. Adlai E. Stevenson of Illinois
and Supreme Court Justice VIII
liam o. Douglas-are unwilling
candidates. This apparently as
sures Senator Kefauver of IL con-
vention votes, because all Demo-
cratic candidates for convention
delegates are pledged to support
the winner Of the presidential
primary.
6I% For Eisenhower.
The AP survey, which covered
all of the States SO counties,
added up to an indicated vote of
81 per cent for Gen. Eisenhower.
Gov. Earl Warren of California,
who is on the ballot, and Senator
Taft who is not, are expected to
battle it out for second place in
the Republican primary.
The survey gave Gov. Warren
Just over 16 per cent, and Sena-
tor Taft just under 16 per cent.
But the estimates were made just
as the California Governor was
opening his Oregon campaign.
And the Taft picture could be
changed by a last-minute drive
for write-in votes by Taft sup
porters. Many newsmen said they
expect Gov. Warren-always a
popular figure in Oregon-to in
crease his strength.
Senator Taft did not enter the
Oregon primary personally but
his State organization has asked
that his name be written in.
Eight Taft adherents filed for
delegate to the Republican Ma
tional Convention by petitions,
and so did not have to sign a
pledge to support the primary
winner.
Concentrate on 8 Delegates.
Taft supporters are concentrat-
ing on electing' these eight can
didates. Several of them might
be successful. Gov. Douglas NC
Kay, whose administration is sol
idly behind Gen. Eisenhower,
charges these eight candidates
with scuttling the purpose of the
primary.
The remaining votes-ading up
the 7 per cent-are expected to
be divided up among the follow
ing: Cd Gen. Macarthur. who
has asked Oregon Republicans not
to vote for him; CD Harold E.
Stassen. who is actively campaign
ing; 90 Oregon's Senator Wayne
L. Morse, whose name was entered
against his wishes and who is
campaigning through the state for
Gen. Eisenhower; ca William R.
Schneider, st. Louis Lawyer.
On the Democratic side, the es-
Inmates give Senator Kefauver tit
per cent compared with 1874 fol-
Gov. Stevenson and 10 for Justice
Douglas.
Gov. Stevenson has said repeat.
edly he is not a candidate, but
when he came to Oregon recently
he left many political writer's be.
lieving that he would accept {
draft nomination. Justice Dougla!
went as far as to buy space il
the States official voters pam.
phlet to ask people not to vot.
for him.
The estimates used in the sur
vey were made by newsmen OF
daily and weekly newspapers, anc
radio stations; also py regula
correspondents of the Associated
Press in counties where no news
paper or radio station estimate
was available. Many of then
were based on local polls. To ar
rive at an estimate for the State
the figures for each county wer'
weighed in accordance with pri
mary registration figures.