Evening star., 1952-10-31
Lincoln
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and his Democratic supporters on
the defensive.
The tremendous interest in this
election is also indicated by the
increased registration both in New
York City and upstate.
The total for both is 1921 ,984.
One feature of the big registration
lis that in upstate New York,
where except for a few spots, the
territory is regarded as strongly
Republican, the registration is
lis 4,305,987, as compared to g.
.515,997 in the city. Also, the
ienrollment upstate has risen
$4,000 above the registration in
1948. while the city registration is
up 100000 above that of 1948. To
put it another way, the increase
in registration upstate is Is per
cent and the increase in the city
is 6 per cent.
Essential to G. o. p. Victory.
President Truman carried the
country, but lost New York in
1948. 1t is conceivable, but not
probable, that Gov. Stevenson
could do the same this year. Gen.
Eisenhower, his supporters say,
also could win the election without
New York's votes. That, however,
would be an even more unlikely
political feat. Republican victory
in presidential elections has not
been won, over 81 years, without
New York's electoral votes. Con-
traryWise, the Democrats in two
such elections carried the Nation
without New York - in s1916I
and 1948.
New York remains the big prize
for either party in the election
next Tuesday, any way you look
at it. In consequence, both are
putting out every effort to carry
the State. Four years ago, Gov.
Dewey, the Republican presiden-
tial candidate, won the State, but
with a plurality-not a majority
Of the popular vote. Mr.. Truman's
vote was 2,780,2O4 to 2,841,163 for
Dewey and 509,559 for Henry WAL
lace, Progressive. Gov. Dewey's
plurality was mere 6O,959. Most
of the Wallace vote came from
potential Democratic voters.
Hallinan Is Factor.
This year there is no Wallace
to ruin Democratic chances. There
is. however, another Progressive
candidate, Vincent Hallinan, a.
left winger and a candidate of the
American Labor Party of New
York. He, too, will take poten-
tial Democratic votes. The esti-
mates by both Democratic and
Republican leaders is that he will
not receive more than 100, 900, and
most of it in New York City. Some
observers, however, and ALP lead
ers say that Mr.. Hallinan will
poll as many as 100000.
Republican claims today are
that Gen. Eisenhower will come
down to the city line with a lead
of 100000. Their contention isl
this will be too great a margin
to be overcome by Democratic
voters in the city. The upstate
plurality in 1948 was
549,216, and the Democratic plu-
rality in the city that year was
488.257. 1t must be remembered,
that Henry Wallace's,
half million votes were 422, 900 in
the city and $1,000 upstate.
Depend on Big Registration.
G. o. P. leaders are basing their
estimate of upstate pluralities on
the fact that the new registration
has been so heavy in that Republi-
can section. They figure, too, that
the potential Republican vote up
state did not come out to the polls
four years ago, but just relaxed
and stayed away. There is some
reason to believe this to be fact. |
They are counting on holding up
state Democratic votes down in
some of the cities and counties.
MIR. Truman ran unusually we'll