Evening star., 1952-04-29
The Political Mil
The Political Min
Deadlock Held Unlikely
In 9. O. P. Convention
Either Eisenhower or Tuft
Certain to Be Nominated
BY Gould Lincoln

~S~sN Ssu$Vb
The further the preconvention presi-
dental campaign goes the more certain
it appears there will be no real deadlock
in the Republican National Convention
next July. The presidential nomination.
therefore. will 60 either to Senator Taft
OF Ohio or Gen. Dwight D. Eisenhower.
the two front runners. In the Repub-
lican race this year there are no
favorite-son candidates - unless you
consider Gov. Warren of California and
Harold E. StaSsen, former Governor of
Minnesota. in that category. The War;
rem and StaSSen vote combined prob.
ably viii be slightly in excess of 100 in
the national convention.
Should the Taft and Eisenhower vote,
at the opening of the convention, be so
close that the combined Warren and
StaSSen vote holds the balance. the WOO
ing OF the California and Minnesota
delegates will be intense. Neither Gov.
warren nor Mr.. StaSSen wants the Ohio
Senator for the party candidate. 1t is
easy to guess, therefore, to which can
didate these delegates may go.
Few Deadlocks in Past.
Few Republican National Conventions
4AnFC I'LL 441tO OCdulOChS. Wnen L0eV
have. there have been at least three
outstanding candidates, plus favorite-
son candidates. The big States this year
are sending no favorite-Son candidates
to hold their delegations in line for a
ballot or two. Ohio and Illinois, for
example, will plunk for Taft right away:
New York and New Jersey for EiSen-
mower. Pennsylvania, Massachusetts,,
Michigan and Texas will have no favor
lte-son candidates. Their delegates will
line up for Taft or Eisenhower when
the roll is called. Californias 70 dele
gates will vote for Warren it is expected.
and Minnesota will turn in % for
Stassen. Unless all signs fail, Stassen
will release his delegates to vote for
Eisenhower at the drop of a hat.
There are no Governors or Senators. as
favorite-son candidates, from New York.
pennsylvania. Massachusetts,, Michigan.
Iowa, IexaS or any of the larger States,
and none from the smaller. The rivalry
between the Taft and Eisenhower forces
is too intense. In PENNSYLVANIA. for
example, Senator Duff leads group of
the elected delegates who will insist
upon voting for Gen. Eisenhower. and
there is another group, dominated by
former Senator Joe Grundy and Repub.
lican National Committeeman Owlett.
who will insist upon voting for Senator
Taft. Gov. Fine will control some 80
delegates there. and he can Jump either
way he wishes, and it may be to Eisen-
hover, despite the claims made by, the
Taft managers.
Such being the circumstances. there
will be no Smoked-f1lled room decision
after convention deadlock-as there
was In 1920, when Warren Harding of
Ohio was the choice of the party bosses.
In that year three strong candidates.
Senator Hiram johnson of California.
Gen. Leonard Wood. and Gov. Lowden
OF Illinois, tied up the convention.
Race for Delegates Close.
The race for delegates between Taft
and Eisenhower, as far as it has gone, is
extremely close. and the Massachusetts,
primary today makes its closer. The AS
sociated Press figures showed delegates
instructed for or favoring individual can
didates as follows: Taft 266, Eisenhower
233, StasSen %, Warren 6, and Mac
Arthur 2. This is total of $50 dele
gates out OF the national conventions
AbAOO' <ASONe q AAAAANACO AlOlC nave U66Il
chosen, but have not indicated their
choice. These figures will be revised
necessarily as more and more States
choose their delegates. They are indie
ative, however. of a final and quick
ShoWdoWn-not a deadlock. Warren's
6 delegates are from Wisconsin, and
must be added later to his large block
from California.
1t is within the probabilities that con-
tested delegations and the control of the
organization may play their parts at
the coming convention in Chicago AL
ready a number of contests have been
promised.