Evening star., 1950-04-02
By the Assoeioted Press

IedCIleO IuTulug-pOlnL IN Marcn
and will yield to strong seasonal
improvement this month.
The firm tone of sales and
production, plus probable winter
record in building activity, led to
a general view in the Administra-
tion that no "emergency-type" ac-
tion by the Government is needed.
But some long range planning
was under way. Organized labor
was calling for faster action. And
some sentiment for standby anti
depression laws was stirring in
Congress.
Midsummer Peak Seen.
This general concern over jobs,
at time when business volume is
close to it's all-time high, is
prompted by:
l. Forecasts that the spring de-
cline in idleness will be followed
by a midsummer peak of perhaps
million unemployed.
2. Unofficial estimates that the
year-long average will be about
million, or some 612 per cent of
the work force. 1t was SIS per cent
last year and 3.4 per cent in 1913.
3. Absence of any clear sign
that the country can absorb many
more than million of the
IL million new workers leaving
school this year and. in later years.
Congress, which got into a furry
about employment a year ago, is
showing renewed interest. Senator
Douglas, Democrat, of Illinois, is
backing a s2.2 billion plan for
loans and grants to develop
distressed areas.
Senator Murray, Democrat, of
Montana, plans to revive the pro-
posed economic expansion act"
sponsored by him and II other
Senators.
Revival of CCC Sought.
A bill to revive the Civilian Con-
servation Corps, a tested treat
ment for depression, is due for
hearings before the House Public
Lands Committee after the Easter
recess. Its author, Representative
Reva Beck Bosone, Democrat, of
Utah, foresees no rush of jobless
youths into CCC camps; but she
thinks the law should be ready for
use If necessary.
Within the next week or so, off,
cials disclosed also, President Tru-
man will ask Congress for money
and authority to grant funds to
those States whose reserves for
unemployment compensation are
dwindling.
The Census Bureaus job report
for March, due this week, is ex-
pected to show little change from
February. which set an eight-year
record of 4,684,0O0 die.
Officials looked to April. how
ever. for a clear-cut showing of
Improvement. Employment will
rise and joblessness decline until
the summer outpouring of stu
dents chokes the labor market.
At that time-probably in July
unemployment of S million is
certainly possible" one official
said privately. Another, Rebort C.
Goodwin, director Of the Bureau
OF Employment Security, put the
number between 4 million and S
million.
May Coincide With Job Peak.
But If production continues it's
upward strides-and Secretary of
Commerce Sawyer says it is now
close to the boom level Of 1948-
the number Of men at work may
also reach its 1850 peak at that
time:
Mr.. Goodwin told a reporter
that civilian employment should
approach so million in July.
A White House official reported
that President Truman's Council
OF Economic Advisers is concerned
over the inability of the country
to provide jobs for some 100000
OF the annual crop of l million
new workers.
But the council, which shortly
will submit to Mr.. Truman it's
confidential appraisal of first
quarter conditions. was said to op-
pose any wholesale campaign of
pump-priming, public works or
emergency aid at this time.
The economic policy makers
hold the view that the Govern
ment should concentrate on meas
ures to expand national income
and production, rather than on
"make-work" programs.
Mr.. Truman in January gave
Congress a glowing forecast of a
$500 billions national output by
1854. He said 1t would make jobs
for another 5 million workers.
Plans Being Prepared.
Many Government agencies are
doing advance spadework on anti