Evening star., 1948-10-17


desperately planned political coup to
win back to the Democratic ticket
the followers of Henry A. Wallace
who are making President Truman's
candidacy more dificult in q num-
Der Of big industrial States. That IL
was hastily abandoned by the Presi-
dent scarcely relieves the feeling
that Mr.. Truman has again been
inept-at q time when 1t was vitality
necessary not to upset the work be-
ing done by the United States and
the Western Democracies before the
United Nations Security Council and
Assembly.
Wallace Speech Recalled
Memories are not so short but
that a similar misstep in interna-
tional relations by the President
when he permitted Henry Wallace
to make his Madison Square Garden
speech in 1946-is recalled. At that
time Mr.. Wallace, with his sugges-
ton of Russian appeasement, while
former Secretary of State Byrnes
was negotiating with the Soviet
representatives in Paris, gave the
Russians a lift.
Ten States in this section of the
country, having a total of lat elec-
toral votes; all seem certain to go
to the Dewey-Warren Republican
ticket, with the possible exception
of Minnesota and Missouri. The
eight others, Michigan, Illinois, Iowa,
Wisconsin, Kansas, Nebraska, Ohio
and Indiana, are giving their sup
port to the Republicans. This
means 121 of the 266 electoral votes
necessary for the choice of Presi-
dent.
Some of the Democrats in Michi-
gan admit that the State will 60
for Dewey by 5000 when they talk
privately. Republicans predict q
greater margin, some of them going
as high as 10000. The conflicts
between regular" Democrats and
the CIO on the one hand, and be-
tween the CIO and the AFL on the
other, are not helping the Truman
or the State ticket in Michigan.
The CIO, indeed, has taken over"
It nominated its own candidate,
G. Mennen williams, for Governor
in three-cornered primary, against
Victor Bucknell, AFL candidate. and
Burnett Abbott Of the regular DEM
ocrats. In the State convention
which followed, it rarnmed its own
candidates for the rest Of the Stats
ticket down the throats of the other
factions.
Missouri Proud of Truman
In Minnesota the Dewey chances
of victory seem to be on the upgrade.
In that State, Henry Wallace and
his third party, while not nearly a.
material as it was once believed
to be, will cut into the Truman vote.
Furthermore, the Republicans have
increased the tempo of their cam
paign there and seemingly they are
getting results. The Democratic
Farmer Labor Party is split with
it's right and left wings.
Missouri's pride in having q Pres
ident Of the United States alone
seems to stand in the way Of a Dewey
victory. There is a growing con-
fidence among Republicans that
the Truman sentiment may bs
overcome at the polls. What finally
happens in the State will turn
on the vote which st. Louis casts.
If the Republicans can hold the
Democrats down to $4,000 or
10000 lead in st. Louis, the New
York Governor will have q good
chance of carrying the Presidents
home State. -Four years ago, Gov.
Dewey, running against the late
President Roosevelt, carried the
State outside of st. Louis, but the
Democrats in that city ran up o
10000 vote lead for Roosevelt.
The indications are that Gov.
Dewey will run away with the elec-
tion in Illinois, State which he
lost four years ago by 100000 votes.
He is far out in front in Kansas.
Wisconsin and Ohio, and
more moderately so in Iowa and
Indiana.
Time.for-a-Change Feeling
1t seems increasingly evident that
if the Dewey-Warren ticket goes over
big in these States, it will carry along
with it victories in senatorial con-
tests, desperately needed by the Re-
publicans to retain control of the
Upper House in the Eighty-first
Congress. Senator Brooks, the Re-
publican seeking reelection in 1lli-
nois, is apparently out Of danger.
Ball, a particular target Of
labor, Is having a hard
struggle in Minnesota. Indeed, the
Democrats claim they will elect their
Mayor Humphrey Of Min
beyond a doubt.
initiating against President Tru-
man is the fact that so many indie
pendent voters have apparently
reachedsa conclusion that q change
in party control and administra-
ton in Washington is long overdue.
The Democratic bosses in some OF
The larger industrial cities. like
Jacob M. Arvey in Chicago, are
having a tough time reversing their
stand against the nomination Of
President Truman before the Demo-
;ratic National Convention got
lnder way in Philadelphia last July.
The big sweep which the Repub-
leans made in the congressional
elections two years ago leaves little
'oom for Republican gains in House
members in the coming election. In
Iced, in some of the congressional