Roanoke Rapids daily herald., 1948-10-18
Dixie Gratis Get
% To 40 Votes
On Estimate
BY Ray Tucker

WASHINGTON" Oct. 19-The
Dewey camps confidential -
mate of next months presi1 s.
tial lineup gives President Tru-
man an electoral total ranging
from a maximum Of 1877 to a
minimum of 80. The victorious.
requirement in this popular numA
bers game is 266.
The Albany forecasters believe
that the Thurmond-W Wright ticket
will roll up from % to 40 ballots
in the political college. They
give Henry Wallace not a single
piece of the important, collegiate
paper. They place the Republi-
can presidential nominees pop
ular lead at between 100000
and 5000, 900. In their slow" MOI
ments, they figure that Governor
Dewey will show up on election
night with BIT votes. In high
gear, they give him 1872.
PREDICTIONS: In making
these predictions, the Albany
spokesman explain that they are
trying to be generous in their
computation of presidential str
ength. In other words they don't
want to delude themselves into
overconfidence for fear of the
reaction on field workers. AS
Paul E. Lockwood, Mr.. Dewey's
executive aide, says:
''We are operating on the the
DRY that it's enough if you win
by one vote!"
Incidentally, these estimates
were compiled before news of
President TruElan's Vinson-to-
Stain play, Memphis Boss Ed
Crump's declaration for the
States Rights slate, Coke Ste.
venson's announcement that he
would support the Republican
and other anti-Truman develop
ments.
STRENGTH: Instead of listing
the states which they expect
their man to carry, the Dewey
statisticians prefer to measure
their opponents strength. Here's
are the states which they allot
to President Truman in their
more generous moments:
Rhode Island, Minnesota, Ari-
IONA, New Mexico, Oklahoma,
Texas, Kentucky. Tennessee, Mi
ssouri, West Virginia, Arkansas,
North Carolina, Alabama, Geor-
gia, Florida, Virginia. Total:
1877 electoral votes.
The states now regarded al
headed for the Thurmond-Wright =
column, either by actual vote or
electoral manipulation, are: Lou
isiana, Mississippi and South
Carolina. Total: 20 electoral vo-
ties. Should Georgia and Florida
join the Dixie parade, the fig
ure would be ~ electoral units.
Under such circumstances, the
final tally would be: Dewey, 1876
Truman, LAT; Thurmond, 40.
There is, too. the possibility
that few ather southern
states-Alabama, for instance
may "secede," thereby boosting
the States Rights total and lower
ing President Truman's..
CEILING: Republican calcula-
tors arrive at the possible Dewey
maximum, although they refuse
to fix any ceiling on their favo-
rites demonstration, by subtract
ting several states from the list
they hand to Mr.. Truman in
their lie s-n o t * d -ourse-
Ives moods.
In view of recent adverse
breaks for the Chief Executive,
and especially the Vinson cpl
sode, they think that they have
a fair chance to tip over the
following states: Minnesota, Ari
iona, New Mexico, Kentucky,
Tennessee, Missouri. =
These commonwealth have
an electoral total of 81 votes, and
if subtracted from the Truman
figure given above, it would
leave him with only 80 electoral
ballots. In that event, the tally
would be: Dewey,392; Truman,
30; Thurmond, 40.
Under this super-Dewey tabu-
lation, Mr.. Truman's minimum
of 30 electoral ballots would
come from the following stated
Rhode Island, Oklahoma, Texas,
West Virginia, North
Carolina, Virginia.
Although to prolong this song
of political sorrow is painful,
there are G. o. Peers who main
tain that they will also take
Rhode Island, West Virginia, No
nth Carolina and Virginia.
ALIVE: Despite the prospec-
tive electoral disparity betwee<E
the two major candidates, Mr..
Truman's slashing and ag-
9roccive rapppni0n ~ davoaro.