Evening star., 1948-10-24

Hici ocIdIoT 1uuey Dy oUU,uU
votes.
Democratic leaders, when the
take their hair down, admit tha
the situation looks bad. Indeed, a
one of them said: 1T couldn't lool
worse" However, they still hop
for a miracle. They also hope tina
Presidents Trumans 11th-hou
dash into the State today will helI
The Democrats are concentrating
largely on an effort to win back SOM
of the Congressional seats wrun.
from them in 1916. In the turn owe
that year the Republicans won q
House seats to five for the Demo
Gratis. All six of the Philadelphia
Congressional districts elected Re
publicans, an almost complete re-
versal.
The Fourth Congressional Distric
would be good prospect for a Dem
iocratic victory, except for the fac
that the Wallace ProgresSives hav,
entered Joseph A. Rainey, Negro
"a former Democratic magistrate, il
this House race. The district ha!
"a large Negro voting population
Representative Gallagher, Repub
lican, has more than better chanc,
of victory.
Hope to Win Second District.
The Democrats regard the Secone
District as their best chance in tn,
Philadelphia area, where former
Representative Granahan is seek
ing to make a comeback against Re.
publican Representative McGarvey
They hope for victory, too, in tn.
Fifth District. against Republican
Representative Sarbacher.
Outside of Philadelphia, tn,
Democrats best bet for a House sea
now held by Republican lies il
the 10th District. usually strongl,
Democratic. Even Republican lead
ers say they fear a Democratic vic
tory there. The, Republican candi
dates for the House in the 18th ane
23d Districts have real fights on
their hands. too.
Except for the 10th Gackawanna
district. and perhaps the End
in Philadelphia, the Republican
FIeaders contend that their candi.
dates have good chances of election
They are hoping to take. from tnt
Democrats the goth ,distrfcsa a.rep.
resented for years by Democratic
Representative Walter. There is 6
large Republican vote in this dis.
trict. and Walter in the past has
had the support of many Repub-
licanS.
Registration Heavily COP.
Registration in Pennsylvania has
been overwhelmingly Republican fol
years. Today it is stronger thar
ever, with 2,946,274 Republicans te
l 1862, ,031 Democrats. In the Roose.
velt years this heavy Republican
registration meant nothing on elec.
tion day. This year, however, there
is no Roosevelt to bolster the Demo.
cratic ticket. Republican registra
ton increased this year by 300 ,O0(
over 1944-and the Democratic in.
crease was less than 5000. Ir
Democratic Pittsburgh (Allegheny
County, Republican registration in.
creased by more than 100000 in the
same period. and the Democrat,
by less than $4,000. In Philadelphia
Republican registration is up by
almost 100000 and the Democratic
registration has shrunk more thar
5000.
1t could be that more people in.
tend to vote according to party reg
istration this year than in recent
years.
Republicans who claim they will
carry Philadelphia by 100000 vote.
point to the fact that more thar
15,0 900 volunteer workers have of.
fered their services on Election DAY
to get out the vote, many of then
proposing to use their automobile
to carry voters.
The Democratic organization IL
Philadelphia is doing it's best, bu
1t is frankly relying upon the PAC
and the labor union workers to tax,
voters to the polls.
Racial Groups to Help.
Three large racial groups in Phil.
adelphia will give the Republican!
better break this year. The frs
is the Negro vote-estimated to b,
about 10000 registered voters. Tn,
Negroes voted almost solidly fol
Mr.. Roosevelt four years ago. Dem.
ocrataic leaders insist they will bt
just as strong for Mr.. Truman, ex.
cept that some will stray away t,
Henry Wallace, Progressive Part.
candidate. Republicans take a diff
ferent view-declaring they expec
so per cent of the Negro vote to bt
cast for Gov. Dewey.
The Jewish vote, which wa
heavily pro- Roosevelt, is definitel,
off the Democratic reservation. TIL
Democratic leaders admit this is /,
fact, and the Republicans are claim
ing heavy support from that quarter
The Italian vote, third large bloc
has been going more and more Re
publican in recent years and i
expected to turn in an even create
percentage for the COP a weel
from Tuesday.
Both Republicans and Democrat
are agreed that the Wallace vot
in Philadelphia mas shrunk mate
rally In recent weeks. They esti
Mate the Wallace strength on elec
tion day at from $4,000 to 10000
Whatever it may be, it will be los
to Mr.. Truman.
Scandals to Have Little Effect.
The scandals growing out of tn
municipal elections in Philadelphi
last year, which have been followe,
by failing half dozen or more per
sons for fraud, probably will effec
the election here very little. Tn
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