The Wilmington morning star. [volume] (Wilmington, N.C.) 1909-1990, 1946-01-27
~ GEORGE GALLUP
injector, American Institute of
Public OpiniOn

Nv GEORGE GALLUP
injector. American Institute of
Public Opinion
PRINCETON, N. j., Jan. TO-
rbo hip city vote today still is the
, lne of Democratic party
u snonoth outside the South as it was
)! tbe DAYS of the New Deal. There
III ro W. No signs of any important swing
dl 'ov from the Democrats in the
az a|+ hiogest metropolitan centers OF
10 10 U 1and having over half million
nooulation each.
T. presidential election were
.oid todav the evidence from polls
~ =" the Institute indicates that
W 1ose - biz cities would go Demo
u ra+ic bv about the same margin
'. " ' ,bp average as in 1914 and 1910.
~ The same is true for the 70 cit
:. NJ 100000 and 100000 popula-
N ~ when they are considered as
a group. -
In Sl0II, lue Olo '-oAAAoiiie' eAoiA "
4bo solid South and the big city
vote seems to be working as eff
fectivelv for the Democratic party
IN terms of votes today as it
has ever since the party came to
power II years ago.
Not one of the cities with more
Than 100000 population went
Renublican in 1886, 1910, or 1914.
These cities are New York, Chi
cago. Philadelphia. Detroit, Los
Angeles. Cleveland, Baltimore, St.
Louis. Boston, Pittsburgh, San
Francisco. Milwaukee and Buffalo.
They accounted for more than
one-fifth of all the major party
votes cast in 1914.
In the last two presidential cleo
tons Cleveland was the most
Democratic of the group, Buffalo
the least.
The trend of sentiment in the Is
cities combined is shown by COM
pairing latest poll results with cleo
ton statistics for recent years.
The poll question was:
"If a presidential election were
being held today, which party
would you vote for-Democratic
or Republican,"
Is Largest Cities
Dem. ReD.
1886 Election --7O.5a6 1850
1910 Election --60.9 1871
1914 Election -----61.4 1876
TODAY ------62 80
THE REPUBLICANS have been
somewhat more successful in
cities of 100000 to 100000
population than in the 10 largest
cities. Whereas in 1886 only SYRIA
cuse went Republican among the
100000 to 100000 population group,
IL 1910 the total going Republican
was seven-Cincinnati, Indianap-
oils, Grand Rapids, Fort Wayne,
Syracuse, Tulsa, and Yonkers. In
1914, eight of the cities of 100000
t 100000 population went Repub-
lican' They were Cincinnati, In
dlanapolis, Grand Rapids, Fort
Wayne, Peoria, Tulsa, Wichita,
end Yonkers.
Inc trend of sentiment in metro
polltan areas of 100000 to 100000
populatlon, as a group, is given
below:
Cities 100000 to
100000 Population
,oo. Dem. Rep.
1895 Election $3.50 32.59o
lS4O Election ----6O 40
1874 Election --59.9 40.1
TODAY - 60 40
WHETHER THE big cities will
ne the same happy hunting ground
lof the Democrats in 1916 or 1913
oepends largely on two factors,
namely:
u Whether labor union mem
osFs' who constitute a very i'm
puItanf part of the big city Demo
CauC vote, are as much in favor
VI me party after the present
~ situation settles down as
@ Ga nave been in the past, and
w whether the turnout of voters
vii, election day in the big cities
will be large.
,, AS for the farm vote, surveys
;a"eady reported have shown that
t H lhe Middle West states-bat-
~ of many an election
t tnv Iarmers today lean strongly
aware award the Republican party,
n rneir vote in the poll being So
Pen cent Republican, AZ per cent