The Wilmington morning star. [volume] (Wilmington, N.C.) 1909-1990, 1945-06-08
RABS0N PREDICTS
End OF JAR WAR
J., RODGER W. BABSON

~" 7 start by calling attention to
May defjnite statements made In
tne Annual Forecast Of December
N my 1q44 in which I said
70. ..T ME greater part of Germany
NV will collapse before the
aln3 planting season opens n
. nei spring of 1s45.
1aost people think. Japan Will
as ,,a + within six or twelve
eo ontbs after Germany collapses
lno o1f stains health continues, ne
~ - he the worlds most powerful
VIII W u, 1945 and may dictate the
maze MAJ, terms, especially for the
Pacific" o,,v nro,,d Of the
o forecast in view of the con-
a 'i4;ons under which it was written
dl1, oders will remember that last
fe~~ the public were very hope.
s y, md looked for the collapse OF
faI an at any time; but I said
Gelii +here would be no collapse IN
ma, ma Then the Germans started
l s'. famous bulge in the middle
tne n1acenber and Washington was
o. 49,, much disturbed. In fact, a
Vel i, If newspaper clippings will
s.au' that I was almost the only
SNOW l',,nist who was optimistic at
e GU close of last year. But l knew
+ tt's German temperament.
hove been in Japan since Ger
INV declared war upon US ana
man, r41l have an agent in Shanghai.
SUI t,,rther have always been inter
l. .+od in American missions in both
1 Tansn and China. I, however, am
b bsy my present forecast upon
an,otbing else which may seem
v 's unimportant to many readers
w. rsfer to the fact that my per-
sonal house-servant is Japanese,
s sor near Tokyo. He has lived with
us day-and-nignt for twenty years
md was preceded by a cousin who
u,ss with us for seven years. Hence
know the japanese Temperament.
# is true that certain japanese
u,bo descended from a famous old
prince have the ''hari kiri'' re-
Goion These few will commit sui
ride rather than surrender. They
NOW serve as human bombs. They
however, make up but a small por-
.ion of the Japanese people who.
IS whole, are human like our
selves actuated by the same mo-
tiyes. A Japanese soldier will live
on very little food. This he can
carry on his back. They are tough
phvsical specimen. Hence, it costs
The Japanese only 20 per cent to
support their army of what it costs
us to support an American Army.
But what of this? Japan has less
than 20 per cent of our resources.
Japanese soldiers will fearlessly
obey orders and follow a blueprint;
but when something which they
have not planned for happens, they
are lost. AS a nation, they are
wonderful copyists, but they lack
originality. They had every move
ment Of their war planned and
charted before Pearl Harbor. Ev-
cry thing went according to plan in
connection with Thailand, Indo-
China, Burma, the Dutch East In
dies and the Philippines. Then
something happened to their blue
print
During the past year their plans
have been of no use and they have
suffered accordingly. In my own
household, I can give a wonderful
banquet for twenty people if I give
my Jap week to prepare it,
but if I bring home one person
to dinner for whom he has not
planned, he is completely upset.
They prosper on success, but can
not stand failure. Hence, I feel GER
tain that their collapse will be only
question of months.
All the above means that the
glooal war will be over before
most people expect it. It will be
over before all the boys in Europe
have a chance to get to the Pa
clflc. Excess in special depart
ments, the casualties will be light
Most Of the boys may be home be-
fore Christmas.
The above means that re-conver-
Non will steadily continue through
out the year and some time during
me next year we will be going full
olast on consumer production. A
lew excellent years of business
with higher stock prices should
follow. Furthermore, if we play |
lair with Russia, Joseph Stain |
should be one of our best friends
80 long as he lives. Upon his death |
1t IS very possible that Russia
VIII be split up or suffer civil rev.