Evening star., 1944-10-30
Surrey Indicates
Vote Next Week
|0f "A Million
3,392, 900 Ballots
Are Expected From
Service Forces

~ wv SbSSS
DEWEY WILL SPEED up campaign
In nome stretch. Page Az
ROOSEVELT APPEARS fit after
rough weather on tours. Page A-2
VOTING SURVEY TABULATION
by States on Page Az.
BY the Associated Press.
On. the basis of incomplete
registrations and qualified esti-
mates of voters, State officials
figure roughly that more than
100000 persons will vote in
next weeks presidential election,
including 3,392,000 service men
and women.
who actually cast ballots in the 1910
election, but takes into account war
( time dislocations in estimating the
overall decrease, despite heavy reg
istrations in big cities.
There have been lower and higher
estimates of the 1914 total vote.
Henry J. Kaiser. shipbuiiding in
dustrialist and chairman of the
Nonpartisan Association for Fran
chise Education, figures $4,000 900
will vote for an all-time record. He
made this forecast in taking excep-
ton to a 39,50o,000 estimate.
Wallace Expects 45,000,000.
Vice President Wallace has pre-
dicted vote of 100000 and Call
vim B. Baldwin, assistant chairman
of the CIO Political Action Commit
tee, estimate minimum of Al
0o0, 900.
The State officials minimum esti-
mate, compiled by the Associated
Press today, was 44,102,000. This
was raised to 44,637 900 when higher
figures were taken into account in
eight States where. officials gave
varying estimates. The maximum
estimates, for example, added $50 900
to the vote forecast for Missouri,
100000 to South Carolina, $4,000 each
in Colorado and Tennessee, Is 900
each in Alabama, Arkansas and Vir-
ginia, and 10000 in New Mexico.
The vote forecasts were based on
combined estimate by these State
officers of 60,766 ,625 registrants and
other eligibles, compared with Co.
576,979 estimated to have qualified
for the 1910 election. These officials
emphasized that official registration
figures are kept only in a dozen
States and that hence their esti-
mates of eligibles must necessarily
be largely guesswQrk. Also, final
registration statistics, are not avail
able in some States until long after
the election.
Service Vote May Never Be Known.
/ Some State officers said the total
service vote may never be known as
many States do not separate them
from civilian ballots in the counting.
California and Illinois were two of
the big electoral vote States which
set registration records this year.
Final official registrations for Cali
fornia totaled 4,141,3 ,331, an increase
of 1896 over the record set in 1910.
The 1914 total included 2.418965
Democrats and 1,548 1895 Republicans.
1t excludes service ballot applica-
tions. ~
An Illinois tabulation showed
4,501,5 ,554 citizens registered, includ-
ing 2080,70l Downstate and 2,420,853
in Cook County (Chicago).
officials in eight States estimated
a larger vote this year than actual
ly cast four years ago in Arkansas,
Colorado, Connecticut, Illinois,
Maryland, Mississippi, South Caro-
lima and Wisconsin.
The Census Bureau estimates the
number of potential voters"-citi-
zens 81 years of age and over-at
!, 88 800 900 this year, an increase of
more than 100000 in four years,
with women of voting age now ex-
ceeding the men for the first time
: by more than 100000. Males were
computed at 44,043,6 ,669 and females
at 44662 1856.
Won't Estimate Total Vote.
1t estimated 100000 males over
, 2l are in the armed forces.
The bureau would not estimate
the total vote this year, but said If
there were no abnormal factors and
: the ratio of balloters to potential
. voters were the same as in 1940-
62.4 per cent-the vote on November
, Z would be 55,327,930.
"As matter of fact" it added,
: 'if conditions were normal, the 1914
vote would probably exceed this fig
TIRE because the tendency has been
for an increasing proportion of the
population to exercise the right of
: suffrage"