The Waterbury Democrat., 1944-10-17


 permit re-reglstratlon at new ad- dresses; third, because many of the migrating workers may vote by mall in the states and precincts of their l040 residence.
 In estimating the potential nun. Der of voters at 8S,600,000 the Gen. SuS Bureau was not of course pre- dieting how many of this number of voting age would actually regis- ter and vote, If the same percent Nge624 per cent of the eligible voters--goeS to the poles in l944 as in l940, then the total vote would be 55,o00,00o, which would be R rec. ord.
 THE DOPESTERS ARE
 BUSY CALCULATING ,
 While Census Bureau makes no estimates of the number of actual votes that will be cast in each state this year, figures compiled by three Bureau of Labor Statistics research CTS are being studied with consider able interest by political dopesters,
 The three Labor Department Tee Searchers Emile Benoit- -Smully- an, Bettina c. Conant and Maxine Anderson-were not primarily in- terested in voting strength. What they were after was preliminary survey of poSt-war employment problems and the economic Impact of the end of the war on the nation as well as various states, Their tlg- ureS, however, have on incidental political interest in showing where the migration of potential voters has been heaviest,
 Eighteen states have experienced net gain in population during the war years, says the BLIS study aS rec ported in the Monthly Labor Re- view, while 30 states had 0 loss. These figures are on total popula- ton, by tho way, and not just on adults of voting age.
 California has had the biggest gain, 1900, 900. If California labor goes for Roosevelt, aS B generally expected, that gain would give the Democrats on advantage.
 Washington, Ohio, and Michigan each gained more than c quarter of million, the movement being largely in industrial workers and their families, thus throwing e po- tential labor vote advantage in states which both Democrats and Republicans have been claiming. sCOME GAINS MAKE NO
 DTFFERENCE-BUT OTHERS MIGHT
 The states which show e net ini- grafton population gain between 100000 and 2b0000 are Connecticut l27000: Florida i96,000, Maryland 235 1000, New Jersey iB4,000, oregon l38,000, Virginia l66,000. The gains in Florida, Maryland and Virginia, normally Democratic, would make no difference in the end result. The question is whether this gain is enough to swing the election in Connecticut, New Jersey and Ore. gon.
 The other side of the political strategy map Is to see what states lost population, and what effect that might have on the election. The big net population losers through mi. grafton of labor are;
 Alabama ii8,000, Arkansas 226, ,000, Georgia i30,000, Iowa i02,000, Ken- lucky 262,000, Minnesota i9i000, Mississippi i94,000, Missouri ii6,000, New York 222,000 North Carolina 202,000, North Dakota 100000, Okia- homa S03,000, Pennsylvania ll2,000, South Carolina i37,0oo, West Vir- ginia 10000, Wisconsin i02.000.
 In the southern states on out- migration would not be expected to make much difference In an election result, Tn the border states 1t would. In the northern states Q loss of in. duStrial labor vote would be expect- cd to make that state more Repub- lican.
 The whole problem makes c nice jigsaw political map puzzle for your next rainy evening ct home.