Evening star., 1944-10-20
Lincoln
Continued From First Pag

for President Roosevelt in the last
three elections.
The Dewey strength in this section
is the result of a number OF factors.
First, Gov. Dewey himself made a
good impression on his Western
trips. He has liberalized the Re-
publican national platform, par
ticularly with regard to labor. His
slugging reply to Mr.. Roosevelt in
Oklahoma City increased his
chances not only in Oklahoma but
in the rest of this Western country.
Mostly Agricultural.
Many of these Western States are
agricultural. The majority of the
farmers, cattlemen and sheepmen
have turned against the New Deal
In addition, small businessmen, par
ticularly the little shopkeepers, are
bitterly resentful of the red tape
from Washington bureaus which
has them entangled. Bureauc-
racy is a potent argument against
the fourth-term candidate. In ad-
dition, the fourth term itself is a
strong iSsue-with many Democrats
as we'll as Republicans.
Mr.. Roosevelt has on his side of
the political equation the war and
the fact he has been in charge OF
the war effort since Pearl Harbor
He has, too the support of the
greater, much greater part of or
ganlzed labor. Not so much is
heard of the peace planning, al
though it is urged on behalf of the
President that he is the man who
should represent the United States
at the peace table.
Measured in terms of electora.
votes, those States which seem
rather sure to go for Gov. Dewey
roll up material number: Michi.
gan, 10; Wisconsin, IL; Minnesota
IL; North Dakota, 4 South Dakota
4; Colorado, 6; Idaho, 4; Kansas
9; Nebraska, 6, and Iowa. 1l-a
total of &c. If he should carry
Wyoming with 3 electoral votes
and Oregon, 6; Missouri, IS, anc
Illinois, 3d. they would bring the
total to 1873.
Would Mean Victory.
This total added to what Gov
Dewey may expect in the great
States of the Middle West and or
the Eastern seaboard, could give
him victory. The total vote in the
electoral college is 531, and 26e
votes are necessary to elect.
The so-called open spaces of the
West now have become in consid-
cradle measure the seat of what is
left of conservatism in this country
Forty years ago, in the days oi
Theodore Roosevelt, the reverse was
true, and it was the industrial East
and North which held conservative
ideas and showed it at the polls.
Today it is to the industrial GEN.
ters of the country that the New
Dealers look for support of theil
so-called liberal ideas, ideas which
are not new, however, and which
look more and more to State con.
troll of the lives and activities of thu
American people.
Here in Illinois, in the presen
Congress, the Republicans have 1
members of the States House dele
CATION and the Democrats 9. Th,
g Democrats in the House are al
from Chicago. The Republican!
have l Chicago District, the 10th
where Representative Dewey i.
seeking reelection. They hold al
Of the so-called downstate districts
and Representative Day, Republi-
can, is the Representative at large
for the State.
Faces Hard Fight.
Mr.. Dewey has a fight on his
hands against the Democratic can.
didate, Alexander J. Resa. There is
a considerable vote in the district
inclined to support Mr.. Resa or
racial lines. However, the Repub.
licans believe that they can over
come this opposition. Mr.. Dewey is
recognized as a valuable member OF
eAAS AiOdoC anu ljiS COliSliIutIllS dI
not unmindful Of the record he has
made in that body.
Mr.. Day. seeking reelection as
Representative at large, is opposed
by the only woman seeking i'm
portant Office in the State-Mrs
Paul Douglas, whose husband, a
former professor at Chicago Univer-
sity, is now marine captain. Mr.
Day was prewar isolationist
Nevertheless, he won reelection in
1912. The outcome of the Day.
Douglas race is likely to depend
upon whether the State goes for
Gov. Dewey or for Mr.. Roosevelt.
Illinois has very large number
of men in the armed forces. Many
of them have applied for and re-
ceive6 ballots. Here as in other
States the final result may we'll turn
on the percentage of soldier votes
for the President and for Gov.