Evening star., 1944-07-09
Postwar Disarming Likely
To Be Considerably Delayed
Victors Expected to Maintain Much of Strenetfi
Until Preservation of Peace Is No
Longer in Any Danger
By Constantine Br0,cn

States Is not so far off, according to the
views of all military men in Washington.
There still is possibility that some dirty
situations will be encountered in France.
where the Germans are rushing powerful
reinforcements from the eastern front
for final effort to throw us back But
unless the military operations are badly
mismanaged-and there is no reason to
believe that they will-the Germans face
complete defeat in the next few months
In the Far East, although there is the
possibility of China's collapse, the mill
tarv situation is equally favorable. AS
soon as Gen. Douglas Macarthur and
Admiral Chester w. Nimitz receive the
needed air covering, invasion barges.
transports and an additional force of
half million trained fighting men, the
major offensive against the Japanese
will be started and, regardless of what
type Of suicidal war they are prepared
to fight, their defeat is assured
But while the military victory appears
to be certain, the political victory-the
only one that counts for the establish
Aioie VI q AdSIiAi6 PcdSC-lo IlcUuAOuo dllu
questionable.
Complete Unity Now.
There is complete unity among all
members of the United Nations as to the
military scope of the war. They all are
on record as desiring the annihilation of
the German and japanese armed forces.
When the Allies reach the capitals of
the two empires which are the main
culprits of the present world tragedy,
the Germans and japanese will have
collapsed. Many German and Japanese
war industries already have been de-
stroyed, the rest, together with the
available raw materials for the manu-
facture of war implements, will be
strictly controlled by the victors.
This being the case. the question
arises as to who could be the next ag-
gressor The United Nations say that at
the end of the war they will remain
united in order to prevent repetition of
the present tragedy, which had its
origin in the refusal of the world powers
to disarm at the end of the World War.
The United States is prepared to ad-
vocate such disarmament policy again
Both major political parties in this
country are willing to lead the way,
provided, of course, there is no question
of an unilateral action as came between
1920 and 1899.
Pledged to Enemy Disarming.
They also are pledged to see that the
enemy is thoroughly disarmed, which
was not the case after the World War.
President Roosevelt has made this plain
in many of his public and private utter
ances. The Republican nominee,
Thomas E. Dewey, said in his accept
ance speech that the Germans and jap
anese will be compelled to say never
again not only with their lips but also
with their hearts"
Under these circumstances, it is logical
to think that our major associates ex-
pound similar views Once the main
centers of war infection-Japan and
Germany-have been destroyed, there
appears to be no good reason or excuse
for continuation of heavy armaments.
But neither Premier Stain nor Prime
Minister Churchill seem reconciled to
the idea of quick disarmament.
Russia today has the largest armies
in the world. The Russian forces are
conservatively estimated at between 400
and 500 divisions fully equipped with
tanks, planes and the most up-to-date
artillery principally from the United
States. the modern arsenal of democ-
racy"
When the war is over and the indus
trial rehabilitation of the u S. S. R. is
started Russia no longer will need Amer
lcan war materials; she herself will be
able to produce them The Kremlin's
insistence on placing under Soviet tute-
lage all the border states. including a
large slice of Eastern Germany, is based
on the assumption that Russia needs
adequate protection for her boundaries
Moreover. Premier Stain is reported to
have told Prof. Oscar Lange the Polish
American who went to see him in Nav
that Russia was willing to arm 1000 ,OOC
Poles as soon as government friendly
to the U. S. S. R.-that is to say a Mos
cow-manufactured government-is es-
tablished in Poland.
The logical question being asked in
Washington il, against whom is Stain
preparing himself militarily? It could
not be that he is worried about the
Reich, which will lay Frustrated at the