Evening star., 1944-11-05
Gould LincOln's Political Survey Con-
tinued from First Page.)


in States with 228. 1t leaves three
States with 80 votes outside either the
Roosevelt or Dewey lines.
Necessary to elect are 266 electoral
votes.
A number of the States placed in
the Dewey column are certainly very
close, and the same is true Of some
of those credited with Roosevelt lean
ings. With his 127 electoral votes in
the IL States of the South, the Presi-
dent has an ace in the hole, which
Gov Dewey offsets with strong support
in the Midwest States.
The summary embassies the fact
that Gov. Dewey must have all the
breaks in some of these great States
of the Eastern Seaboard. If, for ex-
ample, Mr.. Dewey should lose PENN
sylvania and Connecticut, in the COM
pilation already given, he would lose
the election. Or If he should win those
States and lose New York, the result
would be a Roosevelt victory.
In the opinion of most political OBJ
servers-and it is borne out by the
polls which have been taken-the race
for the presidency may be the closest
since 1916, when the late President
Woodrow Wilson nosed out Chief JUS
tice Charles Evans Hughes. retired.
Claim House for COP.
Next in importance to the presi-
Dental race are those for seats in the
House and Senate. Republican leaders
claim that, even should President
Roosevelt be reelected, the Republicans
will elect a ma ajority of the House of
Representatives. They say they have
chances of winning in IS congressional
districts now held by Democrats or
third-party members
Unless the Republicans are able to
carry the country for Dewey, however.
the chances are decidedly against their
electing majority Of the House. In
the present Congress the Republicans
have within three or four the same
number of House seats as the Demo-
Gratis. They have, indeed, as many seats
as they could conceivably win, unless
Dewey comes through winner, lead
ing the Republican ticket. If Roosevelt
wins the election the chances are that
the Democratic lead in the House will
be increased over the present figure.
So far as the Senate is concerned,
the expectation is that the Democrats
will retain majority in that body,
no matter who is elected President. On
the other hand, the Republicans will
make gains in the Upper House, no mat
ter who wins the presidential election.
The present makeup of the Senate
is So Democrats, 81 Republicans and l
Progressive. To win control of the
Senate the Republicans would have to
hold their 81 seats and take II seats
away from the Democrats, This would
give them bare majority of one. This
is not likely to happen unless there
should be Republican landslide.
Chance for Senate Seats.
Only one-third of the Senate mem
bership is up for election, plus three
who are filling vacancies under tempo
rary appointments total Of IS. The
Republicans have chances of winning
Senate seats now held by Democrats in
Iowa, Illinois, Missouri, New Jersey,
New York and Idaho.
In the event that Dewey should carry
such debatable States as Kentucky,
Washington and Oklahoma, the Repub-
icans probably would win additional
seats in those States. The Republicans
are also fighting hard to win seat in
California, now held by Senator Downey,
Democrat, and seat in Utah held by
Senator Thomas, Democrat. In jeopar-
dy are at least two seats held by Re-
publicans, Danaher of Connecticut and
,Nye Of North Dakota. Senator Davis,
Republican, is seeking reelection in
Pennsylvania, and probably will win,
unless President Roosevelt should carry
that State by considerable margin.
If Mr.. Roosevelt is reelected, it will
be due to the war situation, to fanatical
support from the greater part of Or
ganized labor and to continued fond
ness of the Negro vote in large pivotal
States north of the Mason and Dixon
line.
working Tor Gov. Dewey Of New York,
the dynamic and youthful candidate of
the Republican party, are the follow
ing factors:
He has conducted a hard-fighting.
smashing campaign, outlining the most
progressive platform, both domestic and
foreign, ever presented by q top Re-
publican leader, with the exception Of
Lincoln and the first Roosevelt.
He has gone far toward removing
foreign affairs as an issue from the
campaign by asserting that he will
carry on with the same military lead
ers undisturbed, and that he will do
his utmost to bring about effective
collaboration Of the United States with
other nations for the maintenance OF
peace In the future.
A long accumulation of resentments
against the Roosevelt administration,
centering around bureaucratic and
autocratic control from Washington,
opDosit''n on tp' part q many eit-