The Waterbury Democrat., 1943-07-07

at that time. It is banking heavily
 on the fact that the American peo- l pie will not want to change admin 1 istrationS in the middle of a war
 apparently not giving much weigh
 to the possibilities that the prin-
 cipal issues may not be the conduct
 of the fighting war overseas, but the
 much more domestic issues of con- fusion on the home front, and this matter of the fourth term
 Among the professional listeners in who claim to be attuned to the political Seismograph rumblingS, Emil Hurja, who was Jim Farley s principal prognosticator for num- Der of years, still ranks high. Hurja was one of the few prophets who called the 1942 mid-term elections right and based his predictions then on polls which he had taken for the Pathfinder magazine of which he is now editor and publisher. Ever since the first of the year, Hurja has been sampling cross-section opinion on all manner of issues and he now comes up with some rather interest ing findings.
 FEW FOR FOURTH TERM
 One of Hurja's first polls covered the members of all the state legis- latureS. What amazed even Hurja was the large number of Write-in comments he got back on his ballots about one out of every four-two- thirds of this entire group reported they were opposed to the fourth term and everything it stands for, although aver four-fifths of the ballots showed they believed the President would seek a fourth term. Less than tenth expressed them selves as favoring the Presidents aspirations. Most of them were from the southern states.
 These findings, representing cross-section of opinion from local politicians supposedly in close touch with affairs in their own locality, led the Hurja surveyors to the con- clusion that there are more anti New Deal Democrats now than there were four years ago, and that they are more intensely anti In short, it has been estimated that more than third of the delegates to the Democratic convention will refuse to join in a fourth term movement Some believe that if the Democrats had preserved their tWo-thirds rule for nomina- tions the opposition could defeat MT. Roosevelt in convention"
 DEWEY STRONG
 It should be made clear here that this opposition is not enough to stop a fOurth-term nomination, even if the poll accurately repre- sents opinion.
 Hurjas newest poll, to sound out Republican sentiment on their can- didate, was made of the delegates to the 1940 G. o. P. convention in Philadelphia, which nominated Wendell Willkie. The question put to these delegates was, Who would make the best candidate for the Republicans in 1944?"
 With third of the delegates who elected Willkie replying, the return came out surprisingly with Cover nor Thomas E. Dewey of New York overwhelmingly first, and Willkie second.
 Translating the poll returns into electoral votes by states and scoring the states as their delegations would vote in convention, the tally be- came: Dewey 283, Willkie 138, Bricker 95, Stassen II, Bridges 4. Eliminating the 10 states of the solid south, the tally was Dewey 241, Bricker 84, Willkie 76.
 One curious factor about this poll was that it checked with the earlier poll which Hurja had made of the Republican members of the state legislatures which tallied Dewey 2O6, Bricker 129, Willkie 70, not count ing the southern states. In terms of general popularity with the Repub- llcan state legislators, however, it was Dewey first with 29 per cent, Willkie second with 25 per cent, Bricker third with Is per cent.
 All this, of course, is just political done