Evening star., 1943-03-06
This Changing World
Macarthur Victory Seen feseins Japonsss
To Consolidate Defsnses In Soath paeifle

uOSOsUv SSv0UOSO
In Soath paeifle
bsins informed. y sohsdusd -
begin IN ie49.
Li1s I'll 0rientAls, ths japanese
Are suspicious people. AZ one
time they believed In the In
vincibility q the Nssi forces.
Nov they have begun 70 have
their doubts. They also coneratu-
late themselves On having 70.
sisted terrific pressure from Ber-
lin 70 attack Russia in Siberia.
From the performance Of the
N,tssiAfi armies In the last Ave
fnonths they realise that their
own intelligence reports which
warned Toxic not to tackle Rus
sia were extremely wise.
Unc0ncerned Over Atlantic.
Toxic must be looking hope
fully to the bitter struggle sched-
uled to start In Western Europe
in the next few months. Funda-
mentally the Japanese care lit
tie who wins the Atlantic battle.
Their main interest lies In the
fact that 4 large number Of
Americans, British, Russians,
Italians and Germans will be
killed. They realize that the
heavier the American ana Brit.
ish losses, the less likelihood
there Is for the United States to
turn on japan with all our re-
naming might.
It Is in no way fantastic to
imagine that after the war In
Europe Il erided-and the Japa-
nese must hope that the German
resistance Will be strmg---a
peace loving" government may be
established In Toxic. And after
scores Of public men have COM
rnitted hari-kari the new sov-
ernment would turn to Washing
ton and offer the American
people an olive branch with
plenty Of smiles ana 80 sorrys."
The chance Of such 4 policy
being successful depends, Of
course, on how strong are the po-
sitions Of Japan in the West and
Southeast Pacific. It also depends
on whether or not China viii be
maintained as q fighting partner
OF the United Nations.
The beavsrlike work of the
Japs in territories conquered
from America, the Netherlands
and Britain since the beginning
Of the war Is intended to make
them so strong that the Allied
military chiefs Will have to ad-
NIT that 1t would take 4 bitter
and long campaign before the
Japanese are reduced.
Japs Seek Chang Downfall,
Tho efforts Of the japanese in
China. both diplomatic and mill.
tAry, are aimed ct either bring
ing about the political downfall
OF Generalissimo Chang Kai-
shek and the establishment Of q
government willing to subscribe
to the new order In Asis" or
dealing 4 military defeat to the
Chinese which would compel
ohiane to move his capital far
ther east and become completely
isolated from his allies.
In any event, the majority Of
competent Warrington obssrv-
: efs believe that Japan viii Aban.
don hopes to establish itself in
Australia or In better positions IN
the Southeast Pacific.
Such = strategy was. in keeping
with an overall success Of the
arms of the Axis both In Europe
and in Asia. But, since the Nazis
have shown that they henceforth
will take An offensive-defensiye
position, the Japanese will have
to revise their own strategy and
concentrate principally In the
West ana Southwest Pacific.
This does not mean that there
Will be no further engagements
In that area. Neither does 1t mean
that the Japanese may not A.
tempt to attack the Aleutiaas or
Alaska or even Hawaii, But
such attacks, It IL believed here
VIII be perfunctory. JApan's
strategy is expected to be con-
centrated exclusively in the de-
Tense Of territories already &C.
quired and possibly IN an About
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