Evening star., 1943-07-19
Republican Victory
In 1914 Forecast
By Spang|er
By GOULD LINCOLN.

By GOULD LINCOLN.
Republican victory in the 1914
presidential and congressional elec-
tions was predicted today by Chair
man Spangler of the Republican
National Committee, on the basis
of election returns and public opin-
ion surveys.
Mr.. Spangler sent his analysis of
these figures to Republican party
officials throughout the country, de-
claring that they give adequate
basis for belief in Republican vic
tory next year"
While some of the Southern
States present fertile field for
Republican gains" Mr.. Spangler
rested his claim of party victory in
the 38 Northern and Western States
which have 416 votes in the elec-
toral college of 531. He showed the
Republican gains, beginning in the
election of 1910, in these States and
continuing in the elections of 1912
and ny-elections since then.
Popular Vote Cited.
In 1910, he pointed out, the Re-
publican candidate for President,
Wendell Willkie, carried 10 of these
Northern States with 50 electoral
votes. President Roosevelt carried
% of them with 1886 electoral votes.
The majority in the popular vote in
these states for Mr.. Roosevelt was
2,449,752, or SIT per cent against
473 per cent for Mr.. Willkie.
Republican gains in the congress
sional and gubernatorial elections
of 1912 were pronounced. The Re
publicans gained Senators, A
Representatives and Governors.
Today each party has governors of
"a States. Half of the Democratic
Governors are in States Of the
"solid South"
Chairman Spangler said that the
combined vote for Republican men,
bers of Congress in these SO states
was 539 per cent against 42.3 per
cent for the New Dealers.
Figures 1912 Electoral" Vote.
"If we had been electing Presi-
dent in 1912" he continued, "and
the same vote had been cast for
him, the Republican candidate
would have received 344 in the elec-
toral college against u for the New
Deal"
Democratic leaders today pointed
out, however, that President Roose-
welt himself was not running IN
1912. The picture next year, they
insisted. would be very different
when the people come to decide
whom they want for commander
in chief.
While these Democrats speak con-
fidently of re-electing Mr.. Roose-
welt, they are somewhat fearful of
what may happen in the congress
sional elections. The election OF
a Republican House next year, they
admit, would be blow.
Points to Subsequent Elections.
Chairman Spangler said that since
the 1912 elections there have been
several local elections which indi-
cate a continuation and a broaden
ing of the trend against the New
Dedl. ne ISCdllCu III eiiS
Sixth Missouri District in 1912. the
Republicans had elected their can
didate to the House with ma
iority of 7,787. He died and his
son was elected last January by
a majority of 1871, with many
fewer votes cast.
In Michigan last April, State
-,;J. o1oot;o,, 1,iohu,ov rnY11roic.
sioner showed Republican gain OF
80 per cent over the previous vote,
in 1941, for this Office. The COP
candidate was elected, removing this
last important State office from
Democratic hands.
Mr.. Spangler pointed also to the
showing made by the Republican
candidate for Mayor of Chicago last
April, the strongest in 10 years, al
though the Republican candidate
was defeated by Mayor ED" Kelly.
Further, he said the Republicans
had elected this year a Mayor of
Baltimore for the first time in 16
years.
Claims Gain Among Labor.
Referring to the polls made by
the American Institute of Public
Opinion. Mr.. Spangler said they
showed the Republicans had made
a gain of per cent among union
and nonunion labor and a gain of
per cent among the agricultural
voters of the country since 1910.
This. he said, meant total gain
In these classifications of 100000
votes. Applied to the 3S Northern
and Western States and added to
the 1910 Republican vote. this would
give the Republicans a majority Of
210,248.
Mr.. Spangler himself claimed that
"various spot tests" showed Re
publican gain of per cent among
the professional, small businessmen
and women and nonclassified voters.
Within the last six weeks" Mr.
Spangler concluded, "the revolt
against the New Deal and Mr..
Roosevelt has become more pro-
nounced."