Evening star., 1942-06-30

expe ed1Clo II
= which he con-
Jay G. HAYDEN. ceived, he had
been forced out as First Lord OF
Admiralty. And when, in Novem-
ber, 1915, he also was removed from
membership in the inner war coun-
Gil, he asked for a front-line mill
tary command. Dressed IN a
majors uniform he delivered a fare
we'll to the House. In the course
Of it he said:
There is no reason to be dis
heartened about the progress Of the
war. We are passing through bad
time now, and 1t will probably be
worse before it Is better. But that
it will be better, if we only endure
and persevere, I have no doubt
whatever.
Tendencies More Important.
The old wars were decided by
their episodes rather than by their
tendencies. In this war the tenden-
cies are far more important than
the episodes. Without winning any
sensational victories we may win
this war. 1t is not necessary in or
der to win the war to push German
lines back over all the territory abb
sorbed, or to pierce them. While
the German lines extend far be-
yond their own frontiers and while
her flag flies over great capitals and
subjected provinces, while all the
circumstances of military success
attend her armies, Germany may be
defeated more fatally in the second
and third years Of this war than II
the Allies had entered Berlin in the
first.
Some Of these small states are
hypnotized by Germanys military
'pomp and precision. They see the
glitter. they see the episode. But
what they do not see and realize is
the capacity Of the ancient and
mighty nations against whom Ger
many is warning to endure adver-
sity, to renew their strength, to toll
on with boundless suffering to the
achievement of the greatest cause
for which men ever fought"
Except that the present war has
proceeded farther on its course than
had the First World War In No
vember. 1915. the condition today Is
much the 4me. Germany and ia
pan have Mad all the best Of the
episodes" but the Tendencies"
featured by the accretions OF Rus
sian and American manpower and
productive power. are moving In.
exorably the other way.
Tried Another Front.
There is an interesting analogy
OF Mr.. Churchill's First World War
experience also, bearing on the
present burning question as to
whether Great Britain and the
United States should attempt an in
vasion Of Europe to relieve the
pressure on Russia The Darda-
nelles venture was designed to
create another front from which
Germany could be attacked through
the back door Churchill then was
the young enthusiast, burning with
aggressive spirit, in contrast with
the older British heads such as Lord
Kitchener and Lord Fisher.
But Churchill himself swung COM
pletely around before the First
World War ended. He returned
from his fighting service in France
convinced that the Allies could win
only by policy Of defensive attri-
ton. His first act after he arrived
in London was to circulate among
leading officials secret memoranda.
asserting that British losses in the
battle of the Somme had been more
than twice those Of Germany. From
this he deduced that Britain should
refrain from further major attacks
in France and focus all of its effort
on clearing the Atlantic Of German
submarines in order to hasten the
day when American manpower
would play its part.
Statement Bitterly Disputed.
Sir Douglas Haig. the British
commander in chief. bitterly dis
puted Churchill's statement on
relative losses, but Prime Minister
Lloyd George was 70 impressed by
It that he brought Churchill back
into the cabinet, first as minister Of
munitions. with the special job Of
fastening American material assist
ance.
Now Mr.. Churchill Is the elder
statesman. under heavy pressure
from younger enthusiasts to launch
an immediate offensive, but his pre-
vious statements have left little
doubt that his present conception
OF the way to ultimate victory is
the same as 1t was in 1918. His
immediate concern Is to hold exist
ing defensive lines, IN Russia, the
Mediterranean region. China, Aus
tralia, India and Britain itself,
until full American strength can
be mustered and brought TO bear.
There Is every indication that Mr..
Churchill is counsehng waiting
game and that he Is determined to
stake his political future on this
position.
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